[HN Gopher] The PDSA loop - Plan-Do-Study-Act
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       The PDSA loop - Plan-Do-Study-Act
        
       Author : nsoonhui
       Score  : 76 points
       Date   : 2022-11-03 07:11 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (commoncog.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (commoncog.com)
        
       | lupire wrote:
       | Do and Act are the same thing, so it's Plan-Act-Study-Act.
       | 
       | Why isn't it Plan-Act-Study and then loop? (BTW that looks a lot
       | like Red-Green-Refactor)
        
       | saltcured wrote:
       | This makes me think of the "MAPE loop" I encountered in a
       | presentation in the bowels of an IBM research facility once. This
       | was about autonomous systems but applies equally to cognition,
       | and I think puts the phases in a more intuitive order.
       | 
       | Monitor (observe) the existing environment.
       | 
       | Analyze the data you acquired through monitoring.
       | 
       | Plan your actions based on analysis.
       | 
       | Execute your plan.
       | 
       | Lather, rinse, repeat.
        
         | halJordan wrote:
         | There's a bunch of versions. You can also Orient, Observe,
         | Decide, and Act.
        
           | lupire wrote:
           | Measure, Understand, Solve.
        
       | raydiatian wrote:
       | Scientific method has so many pen names: OODA loop, Deming
       | cycle...
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | The key part of the scientific method is the hypothesis and
         | then testing the hypothesis. The OODA loop doesn't have that.
         | It's not the same thing.
        
           | raydiatian wrote:
           | > OODA loop doesn't have that.
           | 
           | Feels pretty 1:1 to me. Both work to define a model & state
           | (shared observe), both seek to identify ways to improve the
           | model and/or state (orient/hypothesize), both take real world
           | action to secure those improvements (do/act/test), both have
           | ongoing feedback.
           | 
           | OODA may be more rapid and strategically oriented (haha), but
           | they're doubtless the same methodical approach at the end of
           | the day.
           | 
           | I claim it's scientific method having multiple pen names
           | simply because scientific method is older than PDSA & OODA
           | from late '50s. If OODA loop came from Sun Tzu, I'd say it's
           | all OODA loop pen names.
        
             | Jtsummers wrote:
             | PDSA/PDCA are applied outside of combat (if we're comparing
             | it to OODA) with training, exercise, and study. Learn what
             | the aircraft can do and develop a new maneuver, practice
             | the maneuver until it becomes automatic, then in combat
             | with the OODA loop (tightened by training and practice) you
             | apply the maneuver when it's appropriate to overcome your
             | opponent.
             | 
             | PDSA/PDCA can improve the OODA loop because it can inform
             | how you train, but the OODA loop is not PDSA/PDCA.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | Naga wrote:
             | OODA loops might look superficially like the same concept,
             | but that's hiding a lot of the complexity of it. The
             | difference between the scientific method and OODA is that
             | OODA is a framework for making decisions under extreme
             | uncertainty. It's not just the feedback loop of continuous
             | learning, but its about recognizing that your adversaries
             | also have their own OODA loops and that if your loop
             | operates faster than theirs, you have a distinct advantage.
             | This implies both that you should make decision faster than
             | your opponent, or that you should make your opponent make
             | slower decisions (such as by causing confusion). Very
             | powerful tool.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | Right - the _most_ important thing about OODA is
               | realising that OODA itself can be an anti-pattern, and
               | really you should be aiming to attack the enemy 's OODA,
               | not worrying about your OODA so much.
               | 
               | Has anyone else seen the animation of the two fists
               | rhythmically striking each other at the same time, until
               | one side accelerates their loop and strikes the enemy
               | when they're not prepared?
               | 
               | 'Shatter the enemy's cohesion and will to fight by
               | getting inside their OODA loop' - that's the one-sentence
               | summary of contemporary military thinking.
        
               | cosmojg wrote:
               | > Has anyone else seen the animation of the two fists
               | rhythmically striking each other at the same time, until
               | one side accelerates their loop and strikes the enemy
               | when they're not prepared?
               | 
               | Please come back and share this if you remember what it
               | is or where to find it!
        
             | chrisseaton wrote:
             | I think the difference is OODA informs your actions. You
             | aren't 'testing' the enemy - you're acting yourself.
             | 
             | (I've taught and applied OODA professionally.)
        
           | aaronharnly wrote:
           | I concur, though it's fair to note that the PDSA loop /
           | Deming cycle has an hypothesis embedded, in the form of a
           | theory of action -- "I hypothesize that changes X to the
           | system/process will result in outcomes Y."
           | 
           | Not the same as inference to the best explanation, but not
           | unrelated.
        
       | RandomWorker wrote:
       | My PhD in a nutshell, only learned to close the loop in year 3
       | when I went from one paper in 2.5 years to 3 papers in 1.5 years.
        
       | don_albrecht wrote:
       | The key point is having the full iteration cycle. You can't learn
       | from simply thinking, dreaming, and planning. You need to follow
       | through and experience the consequences. That is what uncovers
       | the unknown unknowns. Those things you can't plan for.
        
         | beebmam wrote:
         | You can indeed learn things when your models highly accurately
         | reflect reality (or in situations where the models themselves
         | are their own reality). Logic and mathematics are powerful
         | tools for making discoveries and learning.
        
         | don_albrecht wrote:
         | The inability to truly learn from the consequences of their
         | actions is the primary criticism leveled against many
         | consultants. they plan, they do but they rarely stick around
         | for the study and act.
        
           | heavenlyblue wrote:
           | It feels like that is essentially the main selling point of
           | working for a consultancy
        
       | LAC-Tech wrote:
       | I feel like I'm lacking imagination - the "act" sounds a lot like
       | the "plan' to me. Surely you apply the things you've learned by
       | making the next plan?
        
         | Jtsummers wrote:
         | Loops like PDCA/PDSA aren't necessarily _tight_ loops, where
         | you _immediately_ jump into the next. Since the objective is
         | process /quality/whatever improvement the Plan phase is
         | defining a plan to improve the process (sticking with that
         | one). The Do phase is enacting the plan. The Study phase is
         | studying the effect and learning. The Act phase is the
         | continuation of the plan (if successful) or perhaps a rollback
         | if not. Then, at some point, you start another loop (ideally
         | this becomes continuous, but most orgs and teams aren't ready
         | for that I've found). But again, continuous doesn't mean
         | _tight_.
         | 
         | As a hypothetical, you get hired into a team that doesn't use
         | version control (me 12 years ago, fortunately they already knew
         | it was dumb and were fixing it). So you decide to introduce
         | git. There are a dozen codebases and 30+ people on this system.
         | So you start with one codebase and a coupe motivated
         | individuals, you create a Plan. You plan to use gitlab or
         | whatever and see if you can work out kinks (like merge
         | conflicts that they never know about until testing because
         | "merge" is "copy files into the same directory, keep the
         | newest"). Then you Do the plan, you and the motivated
         | individuals try it out for a cycle (whatever that means in this
         | team). Then you study it, see if you had fewer issues,
         | delivered faster, higher quality, fewer erroneous "merges"
         | (probably none now). Then you Act, you roll out this process to
         | the rest of the team and codebases.
         | 
         | And if your team is ready for it, you repeat this method over
         | and over to reach continuous process improvement, tackling
         | different aspects of the process and system that are causing
         | problems.
        
         | taeric wrote:
         | My take is that many get stuck in rapid cycles between "Plan
         | and Do". Without taking the time to actually study the results
         | to build plans based on what you find, you are likely not
         | understanding why you are succeeding or failing.
         | 
         | That is, even if you are currently succeeding, if you are stuck
         | in too rapid of a "plan and do" cycle, you are likely to get
         | blind sided by what you aren't learning.
        
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