[HN Gopher] Centralization is inevitable, but decentralization i...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Centralization is inevitable, but decentralization is right behind
       it
        
       Author : agreeahmed
       Score  : 114 points
       Date   : 2022-11-01 15:31 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (subconscious.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (subconscious.substack.com)
        
       | nonrandomstring wrote:
       | "Inevitable" is the last desperate cry of those who have given up
       | thinking.
        
         | mistermann wrote:
         | It can also be caused by people who think in an imperfect
         | manner. Most people think according to how they have been
         | taught to think, not what is perfect.
         | 
         | A critical component of a well designed trap: consider all
         | suggestions that you are trapped in an imperfect methodology to
         | be conspiratorial/etc, _and therefore false_. Checkmate.
        
           | nonrandomstring wrote:
           | I think I follow you. It's a way to shut down conversation
           | before it's even begun.
        
             | mistermann wrote:
             | Let's just hope that nothing like that ever happens on this
             | planet!
        
       | BirAdam wrote:
       | Centralization and decentralization happen in waves as a natural
       | result of ossification and complexity growth.
       | 
       | As an example, IBM was once the dominant market force in
       | computation. As the business grew and became increasingly
       | byzantine, it was unable to respond to market changes or market
       | demands in any meaningful way, and therefore the market became
       | decentralized. This happened to Microsoft. If Apple continues on
       | its current path it will happen to Apple. If Google continues on
       | its current path, this will happen to Google. The entire internet
       | was once significantly decentralized both in structure and in
       | content providers. The content got silo'd by a few major players,
       | and it is now swinging back the opposite direction while the
       | structure is becoming increasingly AWS/Azure/Google. This too
       | will eventually start going the opposite direction as those
       | infrastructure providers ossify.
       | 
       | Nothing is forever.
        
         | edmcnulty101 wrote:
        
         | lob_it wrote:
         | "Most things are not forever"
         | 
         | https://www.webmd.com/a-to-z-guides/what-is-pfas
         | 
         | There.. Fixed that for you
        
           | nuancebydefault wrote:
           | "PFAS chemicals don't break down _easily_ over time"
        
       | humanistbot wrote:
       | Tim Wu makes a similar argument in The Master Switch, a history
       | of information networks and monopolies going back to telegraph
       | networks in the 19th century.
        
         | cinquemb wrote:
         | Why stop at the 19th century? It's not like the cost of
         | transmitting information was less expensive before then, nor
         | was it less centralized (people who had the resources/knowledge
         | to propagate such information).
        
           | humanistbot wrote:
           | The book already was pretty long...
        
       | seydor wrote:
       | the internet is even less constrained than the airport network.
       | With practically zero friction keeping it in check, it can
       | centralize completely. So, we can't put our eggs on
       | decentralization, but instead we should put them on competition.
       | Seemingly however, there is no competitor to silicon valley. And
       | the valley itself is extremely anticompetitive and monopolistic,
       | with different parts of the net being consolidated to a few
       | monopolistic giants. our hope for competing ideas in digital
       | networking are going to come from siloed out ecosystems, like
       | china and russia. Indeed, the cold war was a time of great
       | progress in almost everything
        
         | mistermann wrote:
         | Is it possible to host a site on a Chinese or Russian internet
         | such that it is impossible to be taken down by Western forces?
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | Yes but no, as the Chinese or Russians may be much more
           | likely to take down your site.
           | 
           | If the site is _supported_ by the country, it is VERY hard to
           | take down.
        
           | seydor wrote:
           | I assume so, in russia
           | 
           | Of course western governments can block it
        
       | armchairhacker wrote:
       | Centralization is better than decentralization in 99% of cases,
       | but the 1% is really important: when the centralized system
       | fails, or is controlled by an adversary (e.g. malicious
       | government).
       | 
       | IMO decentralized internet (and social media and currency) should
       | be possible, routinely tested, and readily-available when the
       | centralized internet fails. But a neutral, trusted, central
       | server will is basically always preferred when it is available.
        
         | CuriouslyC wrote:
         | > Centralization is better than decentralization in 99% of
         | cases
         | 
         | This is way overgeneralizing, and not remotely true for a large
         | swathe of things. Centralized systems are actually less
         | efficient unless the central agent is a party to every
         | interaction due to the nature of the system. If the central
         | agent is only a party by virtue of the imposed structure,
         | you've created overhead, made the system difficult to change,
         | and made it brittle to variance from design assumptions.
         | 
         | Decentralized systems can evolve much more rapidly, can survive
         | catastrophic variance, and are more efficient in a large number
         | of cases.
         | 
         | Centralizing mail delivery works well, centralizing economies
         | or ecosystems does not.
        
       | nicopappl wrote:
       | It is true that power laws are seen everywhere, and that there
       | are reason for those.
       | 
       | I like the article, because it exposes very quickly a very
       | powerful idea, but I disagree with the conclusion.
       | 
       | Information networks are built by humans, they are designed, they
       | are not necessarily bound by the rules of evolution. Which means
       | we may yet be able to find a system that is not afflicted by the
       | curse of perpetual destruction and reconstruction.
        
         | giantg2 wrote:
         | "Information networks are built by humans, they are designed,
         | they are not necessarily bound by the rules of evolution. Which
         | means we may yet be able to find a system that is not afflicted
         | by the curse of perpetual destruction and reconstruction."
         | 
         | Given humanity's track record, destruction and reconstruction
         | seem like a solid bet.
         | 
         | Not to mention, systems will require change anywhere nature
         | interacts with it.
        
         | munificent wrote:
         | It's very easy to design a system not afflicted by the curse of
         | perpetual destruction and reconstruction.
         | 
         | The key challenge is that that system, by design, will be less
         | efficient than other competing systems. So if there is a
         | surrounding meta-system that allows it to compete with others,
         | the other systems that tend towards consolidation will drive
         | out your system.
         | 
         | It's essentially the same problem we see in economics today
         | with supply chains. Companies that optimized their supply
         | chains to have more margin made more money and won... as long
         | as the supply chains were all running perfectly. But once COVID
         | happened, it became clear that those businesses had no
         | resilience.
        
       | padobson wrote:
       | It's also worth mentioning that in order to increase your status
       | in any of these networks, you're going to have to serve the
       | central nodes in some way. So if you're trying to grow your
       | social media following, eventually you're going to have to get
       | the attention of an influencer who will in turn rub off some of
       | their influence on you. If you're trying to increase your
       | capital, you're going to need to provide value to some
       | influential capitalist. If you want to increase your political
       | power, you're going to have to be appointed/elected to a role in
       | some powerful political institution.
        
       | happytiger wrote:
       | Centralization is just the impact of digitization. Digitization
       | is inevitable, because efficiencies are tremendous.
       | 
       | Then you will have a battle for control of centralization
       | centered on verifiable identity, kyc and centered ultimately
       | around financial system control, which is the center use case of
       | centralized identity platforms.
       | 
       | All incentives during this phase are centralization,
       | consolidation and scale. Decentralization efforts will be
       | carefully controlled and excluded by very powerful interests.
       | Financial incentives will prevent meaningful adoption.
       | 
       | The carrot will initially be digital money centered on banking
       | directly in the Federal Reserve. Those licenses have been issues
       | for several years and the direction is clear.
       | 
       | There is a lot of carrot left to fuel the consolidation phase,
       | and as economic conditions change and global conditions degrade
       | people will embrace centralized solutions in the short term.
       | 
       | Then you will have an interruption to the central control systems
       | which will lead to decentralized systems.
       | 
       | It will take much longer than people realize for this cycle to
       | play out. We're still in the consolidation phase. I'm a huge
       | believer in decentralized systems, but like self-driving cars,
       | it's less of a technology problem and more of an autocratic and
       | powerful interest story.
        
         | openfuture wrote:
         | Sorry but you are full of shit. Centralization is not
         | digitization. Centralization is relying on the use of coercion.
         | It's a /central/ source of truth.
         | 
         | The identity system we've been stuck with since WW1 will
         | finally be replaced with something decentralized and
         | approaching fair thanks to digitization. What we're lacking is
         | the software that gives individuals self sovereignty.
        
           | happytiger wrote:
           | That's not a very kind response.
           | 
           | I'd love to have a constructive conversation rather than
           | resorting to base name calling.
           | 
           | I mean to say that centralization is caused by digitization
           | because of the financial incentives, not that centralization
           | IS digitization. And all of our current systems _are_ systems
           | of legacy control.
           | 
           | In fact I generally agree with you. Generally the identity
           | system will be interrupted, and at the core digitization of
           | the legacy system will happen. I'm simply saying that there
           | will be further consolidation and centralization first and it
           | will take longer than most people think due to the powerful
           | financial interests involved.
           | 
           | To put it in your own words, I generally believe we will have
           | to go through a economics "with the tragedy" before we get to
           | the part where the tragedy gets removed.
        
             | openfuture wrote:
             | I believe it was kind but the tone does not get across the
             | textification.
             | 
             | Glad to hear your justifications. They are more persuasive
             | than the initial representation.
             | 
             | Thank you for engaging the constructive conversation.. now
             | w.r.t. the power of financial interests, I think it is
             | overestimated and easily shattered but we will just have to
             | see what happens.
        
       | kornhole wrote:
       | When framed as extremes in a false dichotomy, centralization
       | seems the better option. In the reality of decentralized social
       | media servers, thousands of community servers of various sizes
       | rather than individuals make up most of the nodes and homes for
       | people. In the current #Twittermigration, the biggest general
       | servers are buckling from the mass inflows of members. More
       | servers are easily springing up to provide new homes. The
       | architects and maintainers of the fediverse anticipated the need
       | to make setup and administration easy, but we were maybe not
       | prepared for such a big pulse. Thanks for the boost Elon.
        
       | skybrian wrote:
       | Nit: Dunbar's number is casually used in a way that doesn't seem
       | relevant here. It's not true that we can only remember about 150
       | entities. People know many thousands of words.
       | 
       | (It is true that there are limits on what people will remember.)
        
         | mellavora wrote:
         | Dunbar's number is that ON AVERAGE people can only maintain 150
         | relationships.
         | 
         | "maintaining relationship" is not the same as remembering or
         | knowing the person's name. It is spending enough time with the
         | person that you have an ongoing relationship, which is eased if
         | you remember a number of details about them (job history,
         | hobbies, birthdays, etc).
         | 
         | On average matters because the number is about group size, not
         | any one individual's ability. For the group to cohere, most of
         | the people in the group need to know most of the people in the
         | group.
         | 
         | You will find people who can only manage 100 or fewer
         | relationships, likewise, people who can maintain many more,
         | even orders of magnitude more.
         | 
         | It isn't about the individual. It is about the group.
        
           | bombcar wrote:
           | Another way to put it is that for a group of 100-150 or so,
           | you'll be able know everyone decently well. A small college
           | graduating class, or a tiny high school perhaps.
           | 
           | At about 300 or so, you'll "recognize" most of the group, but
           | you won't know much about many of them, or really have a
           | relationship.
           | 
           | And once the group is above that, you either need to have it
           | hierarchical setup (you don't know all the members of the
           | families at your school, but you recognize the parents, etc)
           | or it just becomes a mash of smaller groups (no matter how
           | you try to pretend it isn't).
        
         | Retric wrote:
         | Dunbars number relates to remembering relationships between
         | people which is 150 * ~149 things not 150.
         | 
         | You might not remember what everyone in the group thinks of
         | everyone else, but keeping track of grudges is often relevant.
        
           | robocat wrote:
           | It is nowhere near 150 * 149 because people in human networks
           | have different amounts of connectivity, "influencers" with
           | many connections, and others with few connections, as well as
           | cliques with high internal connectivity but low external
           | connectivity. And relationships between influential
           | individuals matter way more.
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_network
        
             | Retric wrote:
             | Influencers are more a function of very large social
             | networks, they don't really represent small tightly knit
             | communities very well.
             | 
             | Consider something like a thanksgiving dinner you have what
             | looks like central figures say a grandparent that everyone
             | is related too, but the grand kids have tighter bonds to
             | their parents than the grandparent.
             | 
             | Extend that to a village and you get more social people
             | with more connections across the community, but those
             | aren't even close to the strongest bonds.
        
       | dathinab wrote:
       | We centralize because we created/use a economical system where
       | that such system behaviour is promoted.
       | 
       | We could also use a system which demotes or outright forbids too
       | much centralization.
       | 
       | So it's not inevitable at all.
       | 
       | Or at least it isn't if you just look at how people are likely to
       | interpret the title, reading "centralization" as in "central to
       | the whole system".
       | 
       | Local increases in "centralization" are normal, e.g. people
       | centralize in cities, but calling that centralization is
       | misleading IMHO. They are local aggregates not central to the
       | whole system.
       | 
       | More important if we e.g. look at (biological) nature
       | centralization is nearly always the prelude of collapse and
       | anything more then very localized centralization is often an
       | indication for potential problems.
       | 
       | So we probably should change our system to demote too much
       | centralization.
        
       | LatteLazy wrote:
       | And yet our economic and social systems have never been more
       | decentralised...
        
         | jasmer wrote:
         | Yea, not really. The wild west was wild. People used to make up
         | their own banknotes, there were fraud and schemes everywhere.
         | We take for granted that our bank won't steal our deposits,
         | that's a new concept. Most of that is derived from some degree
         | of 'centralization' - that said - it's definitely not this
         | 1-to-many scheme that the language implies. The Fed has immense
         | power, but is not really in your business. You can exchange
         | money with whomever you want (almost) and it's none of the
         | Feds' business.
         | 
         | Much like 'AI' I think this word 'decentralization' triggers
         | something within.
         | 
         | It's worth considering that impulse (i.e. freedom is really
         | important, and we should think about it), but also needs
         | constant contextualizing.
        
           | LatteLazy wrote:
           | What your describing is just a different, more local form of
           | centralisation. If your bank manager gets to refuse to give
           | you your money, he has all the power. That's very very
           | centralised, even if it's centralised in him, not in a CEO or
           | a president.
           | 
           | I have 4 accounts at 4 different banks. If one of them
           | refused to hand the cash over, even without any redress, I
           | have 3 other accounts to fall back on. So my life is much
           | less centralised than Wild West Bill.
           | 
           | The same applies to almost all elements of life. Back in the
           | wild west, no one would date you if you didn't go to church.
           | The priest literally had centralised power to refuse you a
           | partner (and God help you if you were gay or the wrong colour
           | or from a "bad" family). Today no one knows or cares. Very
           | very decentralized. Ditto employment or housing or crime and
           | punishment.
        
           | Ericson2314 wrote:
           | But also, the wild west was founded upon the US wars with the
           | native americans (centralized) and railroad monopolies
           | (centralized).
        
         | jryhjythtr wrote:
         | Meta and Visa suddenly go permanently offline. What does the
         | social and economic landscape look like now?
        
           | yamtaddle wrote:
           | It's a little rough for about a week and by a month out
           | everything's basically completely fine.
        
           | vishnugupta wrote:
           | India has its own payment processing stack, UPI so I expect
           | Visa going down shouldn't lead to a major disruption. It's
           | yet to be tested however so we won't know until Visa actually
           | goes down.
           | 
           | WhatsApp going down on the other hand will be a big pain as
           | lots of businesses and people rely on it. Though I expect
           | them to figure out alternatives within a few weeks.
        
           | LatteLazy wrote:
           | Meta goes offline, nothing of any importance changes.
           | 
           | Visa goes offline, people switch to mastercard or use cash.
           | 
           | Now compare that to living in the wild west, and the only
           | town in 100miles bans you because you're slight different to
           | them.
        
           | stickyricky wrote:
           | I go to the bank and get cash. Businesses accept that cash
           | for goods and services. I observe no difference in my social
           | media habits because I do not use Meta products.
        
             | jryhjythtr wrote:
             | Good for you, Mr. Exception-to-the-rule. (Btw, the same is
             | true for me too).
        
               | nonrandomstring wrote:
               | And me. So your "exception" hypothesis is getting weaker
               | :)
               | 
               | You've really got me thinking.
               | 
               | Is there a word for that thing when "everyone knows" what
               | they think "everyone is doing", but once they start to
               | dig deeper it turns out nobody really is? Everyone is
               | pretending to, because they think that's what everybody
               | should say and do?
               | 
               | Mass delusion? Group fallacy? Fashion? Groupthink? None
               | quite capture it.
        
               | jryhjythtr wrote:
               | Sample bias. HN crowd != people I know in real life.
        
               | mypalmike wrote:
               | I think what's happening here is selection bias. The
               | people who proudly have no Meta accounts are replying to
               | each other saying "me too". The hundreds of others who
               | were reading did not reply.
        
               | nonrandomstring wrote:
               | Sample bias is a thing, sure.
               | 
               | I'm alluding to something a bit more interesting, I hope.
               | 
               | We don't have a way to _test_ those hundreds of voices
               | comprising the supposed silent majority. I 'm saying that
               | when/(BIG if) one does - via some hitherto undevised
               | ingenious experiment which always yields truth - we find
               | that no... in fact everyone is at best ambivalent, but
               | mostly going along with what they _think_ the majority
               | view is.
               | 
               | I'm sure there's a name/concept for this in group
               | dynamics.
               | 
               | Consensus mythology? (I'm just making that up)
               | 
               | A hallmark is that interrogating the group yields one
               | answer, but each individual considered privately will
               | give you a very different answer.
               | 
               | But it's not "group-think" I'm talking about, because
               | that implies a more overt pressure. Rather it emerges in
               | the absence of coordination amongst an implied majority
               | when there exists a loud propaganda message designating
               | some other group a minority.
               | 
               | I think this effect has important implications in the
               | kind of 50:50 + swing elections we've seen over the past
               | few years. For example, in Brexit, a mass of lethargic
               | voters assumed "everyone will vote against" and didn't
               | verify the reality by asking lots of diverse friends.
               | It's not that people are trapped in actual bubbles so
               | much as bubbles of their own mind based on assumptions
               | about those around them.
               | 
               | Sorry, that's probably a long and clumsy way of saying
               | something obvious.
        
             | YurgenJurgensen wrote:
             | Just go and get cash during a bank run. How hard can that
             | be?
        
               | stickyricky wrote:
               | That wasn't provided as a condition. In a bank run,
               | Visa's existence or non-existence is irrelevant. Credit
               | is frozen.
        
               | YurgenJurgensen wrote:
               | Do you really think Visa and Meta could go under without
               | causing a bank run?
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | By "Visa" do you mean "all payment clearing houses" and
               | by Meta do you mean "all social media"?
               | 
               | Because if Visa shits itself (it has) I use Amex,
               | Mastercard, cash, debit, or even checks.
               | 
               | And if Meta shits itself I don't even notice except to
               | make fun of it.
        
               | YurgenJurgensen wrote:
               | Think about the situation for a second. You'll be
               | switching to other methods, and so will everyone else,
               | all at once. Do Amex and Mastercard even have the
               | capacity to take up the slack with no notice? Do you
               | really think that every critical component of a cost-
               | optimised system will have been over-provisioned to be
               | able to take on hundreds of millions of additional
               | customers in a single day? And if one fails, the demand
               | switches to the remainder and crashes them too. It's a
               | classic cascade failure.
        
         | gort19 wrote:
        
         | andsoitis wrote:
         | Can you elaborate?
        
           | LatteLazy wrote:
           | In my modern, urban, life I have 1000 different options for
           | my food supply or friendships or housing or employment. Aside
           | from a very unengaged, far away, government there is no
           | centralised entity in my life. And even that I can replace by
           | moving country.
           | 
           | 100 years ago, there was one major employer in my area (east
           | London), a few grocers and bakers, people's activities were
           | tightly controlled and linked to family status. Participation
           | in all elements of economic and social life was tightly
           | controlled by a small clique of economic, clerical and
           | political elites.
           | 
           | People think about centralisation as a corporate or
           | government thing and a unitary national authority. But it's
           | not. It's part of every later of society. When we lived in
           | tribes, the chief had totally centralised power over almost
           | everything. Villages were the same with an overlord somewhere
           | you'd never see. Towns were lighter but still quite
           | centralised. Modern cities and urban life is about as
           | decentralized as it is possible to be.
           | 
           | That's my understanding of centralisation. Sorry it's not
           | better explained.
        
       | api wrote:
       | Decentralization is sort of a bad term in that it can have very
       | different contextual meanings and the exact meaning is hard to
       | pin down.
       | 
       | I like looking at it from a perspective of privacy,
       | ownership/sovereignty, and choice.
       | 
       | A system that has a few dominant centralized players that are
       | _interchangeable_ is decentralized as far as I 'm concerned. An
       | example would be static web hosting. A system with hosted
       | centralized options but where I can also self-host is also
       | decentralized. An example would be something like GitLab.
       | 
       | I want systems where I own and control my own data and where it's
       | not being data mined without my approval. I want systems where
       | someone isn't always looking over my shoulder. I want systems
       | that treat me as the customer not the product.
        
       | MarkPNeyer wrote:
       | The author doesn't understand bitcoin; The pie chart is
       | misleading. All you have to do to see that it is wrong is see how
       | the chart has changed over time. Why isn't one big mining pool
       | taking all the others? Why did the miners lose the block-size
       | wars?
        
       | cdata wrote:
       | Plug: I'm working with the author on a decentralized protocol for
       | networked thought and a companion browser called Subconscious.
       | We're a very young project and just getting off the ground.
       | 
       | If you're interested in topics like the one in the article, all
       | our work is open source and we love getting into it with folks on
       | Github or our Discord (link in the README):
       | https://github.com/subconsciousnetwork/noosphere
        
         | jessmartin wrote:
         | I've been exploring Noosphere as a protocol-level solution to
         | the dilemma posed here about centralization. Some really
         | interesting tech! Definitely worth checking out if this stuff
         | interests you.
        
         | kitkat_new wrote:
         | yet you choose two closed source centralized solutions for your
         | project: Github and Discord
        
           | openfuture wrote:
           | Preach yo! the medium is the message.
        
       | m463 wrote:
       | You can centralize things... on yourself or your family.
        
       | Razengan wrote:
       | I bet there's a true hive-mind species out there that would
       | disagree.
        
         | tenebrisalietum wrote:
         | Even bees centralize around the queen bee.
        
           | stormbrew wrote:
           | I think this is now widely considered to be a false
           | anthropomorphization of what's really going on in a hive.
        
       | Ericson2314 wrote:
       | The point of open protocols is not that there will actually be
       | many providers, but that one could switch providers easily if
       | they do something fishy. It's about the threat, and what can
       | happen on margin.
       | 
       | Keeping a sword dangling over the monopolist's head is
       | reasonable.
        
         | apichat wrote:
         | I agree. A few years ago, I wrote an article on this subject :
         | 
         |  _hello@joe -- greeting, editorial rule and name on the
         | Internet_
         | 
         | http://apichat.fr/doku.php?id=hello_joe_greeting_editorial_r...
        
         | teddyh wrote:
         | Not if the switching cost is high and/or slow. The problems of
         | a monarchy will not be solved by setting up a competing
         | neighboring kingdom.
         | 
         | To bring the topic back to networking, it has been said that
         | decentralization is the worst form of networking except all
         | those other forms that have been tried from time to time.
         | 
         | (With apologies to Winston Churchill.)
        
         | neilk wrote:
         | You are correct. The greatest threat to someone providing a
         | service based on an open protocol is that users might pick up
         | and leave.
         | 
         | Consequently, a service provider will plow enormous resources
         | into differentiating their service, and generating other lock-
         | in effects, so the users find it hard to leave.
         | 
         | A popular open source protocol is actually the perfect playing
         | field for a would-be monopolist.
         | 
         | The monopolist can make their service better and better with
         | cash and execution, but meanwhile the protocol is stuck at a
         | baseline since a varied ecosystem doesn't upgrade itself as
         | quickly. So it is less and less attractive.
        
           | the_other wrote:
           | > A popular open source protocol is actually the perfect
           | playing field for a would-be monopolist.
           | 
           | At first I thought "email seems a good example of this: most
           | people don't want to leave Google, I don't want to leave
           | FastMail"... but then I remembered that I could just leave
           | FastMail and take my email to Google. Which proves the
           | upthread point about the open protocol being a safety net for
           | users.
           | 
           | Can you talk about some examples of monopolised open
           | protocols?
        
             | neilk wrote:
             | Email is the paradigmatic example. You can export your
             | mailbox and use `pine` if that's your jam. But in the real
             | world, most users of Gmail will depend on at least one
             | feature of Gmail that isn't easily replicable elsewhere.
        
               | giobox wrote:
               | I wonder what gmail's churn rate even is? It is surely
               | staggeringly close to zero.
        
           | mkmk3 wrote:
           | > A popular open source protocol is actually the perfect
           | playing field for a would-be monopolist.
           | 
           | Whereas when there's no popular open source protocol, the OSS
           | ecosystem upgrades itself fast, like a cheetah? :P Whatever
           | mental model you're using here might just be going over my
           | head and I'd appreciate you being more explicit about it
        
         | k__ wrote:
         | Plus, if these protocols are built on top of cryptographic
         | methods, it might not be so easy for the providers to do
         | something fishy in the first place.
        
           | somenameforme wrote:
           | Since somebody chose to downvote the above comment, I think
           | it bears elaboration for those who might not understand. A
           | contemporary example is domain names. The current domain
           | system is a monopoly, and it sucks. You pay companies a
           | never-ending and ever-increasing rent to do literally less
           | than nothing. A domain isn't much more than a key/value pair
           | in a small database. You're paying never-ending rent to them
           | for them to _not_ go out of their way to delete your entry.
           | 
           | Relying on a centralized competitor to offer something better
           | would be dubious. If they gain substantial marketshare
           | there's nothing stopping them from deciding to simply swap
           | back to our current system. It could even be done
           | retroactively since everybody has those lines in their terms
           | and conditions that amount to 'We can do anything, and you
           | can't do anything about it.'
           | 
           | But with a decentralized system you have the possibility of a
           | new type of domain where while one operator may be able to be
           | the only one that can create them, once they transfer that
           | domain to you it becomes literally impossible for them to
           | access, change, or affect it in any way, shape, or form.
           | Decentralization is able to turn various digital goods into
           | something much closer to their physical counterpart where you
           | are buying something that is no longer connected to the
           | seller after checkout. And this can really help ensure the
           | integrity of services that otherwise might be susceptible to
           | bait and switch business models.
        
             | efsavage wrote:
             | I'm not defending registrars/registries per se, but...
             | 
             | > A domain isn't much more than a key/value pair in a small
             | database.
             | 
             | No, it's often a huge investment and important part of
             | security approaches (certificates, validation, email, etc.)
             | 
             | > You're paying never-ending rent to them for them to not
             | go out of their way to delete your entry.
             | 
             | Yes, you're paying them to not update that value to point
             | to someone else's server. Just like you pay your landlord
             | to not only keep your apartment in working order, but to
             | not let someone else live there.
             | 
             | > becomes literally impossible for them to access, change,
             | or affect it in any way, shape, or form
             | 
             | How is this a good thing? Someone takes over your domain
             | and nobody is able to get it back? You just spent millions
             | of dollars on marketing to get people to visit your
             | somenameforme.tld and now it points to another site because
             | your key leaked. -\\_(tsu)_/-?
        
               | somenameforme wrote:
               | Keys don't "leak" but of course they can be stolen - like
               | any real product. If you spend $40 million on your Van
               | Gogh, and it's stolen - that's not going to be a happy
               | moment. Fortunately keeping a key safe is much easier
               | than keeping a physical asset safe. And you'd only need
               | to access your archive the times when you need to change
               | the IP for your domain or are otherwise
               | transferring/selling it.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | Keys can easily leak; there was a high-profile example
               | not so long ago where a bunch of GPG public keys shared
               | factors due to a bug in generation.
        
               | lob_it wrote:
               | SIM swap attacks happening at every level of the mobile
               | industry would probably invoke cool rebuttals as well.
               | 
               | https://consumer.ftc.gov/consumer-alerts/2019/10/sim-
               | swap-sc...
               | 
               | You are not going to be able to pay extra to make rotten
               | to the core pretty.
        
             | PontifexMinimus wrote:
             | > A contemporary example is domain names. The current
             | domain system is a monopoly, and it sucks. You pay
             | companies a never-ending and ever-increasing rent to do
             | literally less than nothing. A domain isn't much more than
             | a key/value pair in a small database.
             | 
             | Is there any legal or technical reason why someone can't
             | set up a DNS server that resolves domain names to different
             | IP addresses than those traditionally used?
        
               | somenameforme wrote:
               | Beyond network effect, nope. This is one of the more
               | convenient ways to block in-app ads on mobile. Set your
               | DNS to something like AdGuard's servers, and they'll
               | resolve ad delivering domains to a no-op. And suddenly
               | all major third party ads in apps or the web alike are
               | gone.
        
               | PontifexMinimus wrote:
               | > Beyond network effect, nope.
               | 
               | So why does no-one do this/ Obviously people do do it for
               | ad-blocking, so why not for other purposes? Too difficult
               | to get traction, perhaps?
        
               | cestith wrote:
               | There are DNS blocklists for mail servers. It's a
               | slightly different thing, but basically there's if
               | there's an entry it means there's a reputation for the
               | mail sender. Some of them are present/not present and
               | some have a score. Some are against the IP of the sender
               | only, while others are against the domain name or full
               | hostname of the sender. You just set your mail server to
               | do the right lookup against the right DNS server, and
               | incoming mail can be filtered based on the results of the
               | DB someone else is maintaining.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | There are a very few alternate roots that have actually
               | gotten traction - the most famous of which is .onion
        
               | teddyh wrote:
               | People have tried:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alternative_DNS_root
        
           | npc12345 wrote:
           | Sure, Binance could run off with your money tomorrow if they
           | wanted you, but if you keep most of your money in your actual
           | Bitcoin wallet and only deposit what you need to, your money
           | is 100% safe.
        
             | nico wrote:
             | Big lesson learned from Mtgox.
             | 
             | Unfortunately wallets have their cons too, and there are a
             | lot of people who have lost their passwords or thumbdrives
             | and thus access to their crypto.
             | 
             | No silver bullet.
        
               | k__ wrote:
               | Web3auth/Torus and Argent trying to solve that problem.
               | 
               | But yeah, the moment you have key recovery, even if it's
               | decentralised and requires multiple parties, you aren't
               | 100% in charge anymore.
               | 
               | But, it's probably a good alternative to being 0% in
               | charge with custodial wallets.
        
               | andirk wrote:
               | Didn't the Mtgox people finally get their BTC back but
               | only after a few years and the price 100x'd ironically?
               | Either way, diversify ones portfolio including where the
               | moneys are kept.
        
               | nico wrote:
               | Don't know if distribution has happened yet. But there
               | were at least a few investors buying claims, so plenty of
               | people were able to cash out.
               | 
               | You could say that's actually a better outcome than
               | losing your private key.
        
             | bombcar wrote:
             | 100% safe from _some forms of loss_ but you still have
             | various risks associated with passwords, key phrases,
             | wallet phrases, software bugs, backups, etc.
        
       | lawrenceyan wrote:
       | Oh hey super cool, I think these are what you call small-world
       | networks which show up in a lot of different places.
       | 
       | I'm actually reading a chapter right now on the architecture of
       | the brain that talks a lot about this in the context of our
       | neural connections: Chapter 2 or Cycle 2 "Structure Defines
       | Function"[0].
       | 
       | [0]:
       | https://neurophysics.ucsd.edu/courses/physics_171/Buzsaki%20...
        
       | pjkundert wrote:
       | That is, until the ease, quality and utility of fully
       | decentralized systems exceeds the pain of the fragility and
       | abusiveness of the current centralized offerings.
       | 
       | The power of unenclosable carriers offered by breakthroughs such
       | as Holochain https://holo.host is breathtaking.
        
         | jeremyjh wrote:
         | You aren't addressing the points the article made about
         | efficiency and other selection pressures.
        
           | pjkundert wrote:
           | Classic peer-to-peer networks have low connectivity. Scale-
           | free networks are resilient (most nodes don't matter), but
           | are vulnerable to attack (kill a few "hubs").
           | 
           | DHTs (such as underlying Holochain) are scale-free, but also
           | automatically heal from attacks.
           | 
           | Most importantly, they operate essentially unimpeded even in
           | the face of _successful_ network partitioning attacks.
           | 
           | All while each "agent" ( _You_ ) retain complete
           | cryptographic control of your data and identity.
           | 
           | And, if/when you want to migrate your data (exfiltrate), re-
           | package the functionality (create new clients, or integrate
           | multiple networks), or even completely fork the entire
           | application -- all of this is at your fingertips, and no
           | entity can stop you.
        
           | agreeahmed wrote:
           | +1 - author argues that _some degree_ of centralization is a
           | natural property of interconnected systems to due the
           | aggregated effects of things like preference attachment and
           | economies of scale.
        
         | briantakita wrote:
         | > That is, until the ease, quality and utility of fully
         | decentralized systems exceeds the pain of the fragility and
         | abusiveness of the current centralized offerings.
         | 
         | I agree. A centralized system will seek to expand to further
         | consolidate control & create cartels which often act against
         | the interests of those outside of the cartel. A system of
         | decentralized components that becomes centralized can be forked
         | to create alternative systems that address the interests of
         | those who maintain the alternative systems.
         | 
         | It's like forest garden management technique...using fire to
         | create new growth & biodiversity. The mature forest has less
         | biodiversity & will eventually die out on it's own, but a fire
         | will clear the less "fit" organisms leaving space for new
         | organisms to grow.
         | 
         | > The power of unenclosable carriers offered by breakthroughs
         | such as Holochain https://holo.host is breathtaking.
         | 
         | Is the Holochain api/architecture stable or is there still
         | churn?
        
         | snapcaster wrote:
         | This seemed like a cool project that actually had a use for a
         | cryptocoin that wasn't pure scamming. Shame it was a scam ponzi
         | anyway
        
           | pjkundert wrote:
           | Hmm? SDK reaching 1.0.0, almost ready for public beta, and
           | capable of deploying global-scale full-stack Apps without
           | server infrastructure?
           | 
           | Perhaps you have it confused with another project.
        
       | kkfx wrote:
       | Centralization means easier driver for those who centralize and
       | SPOFs. We centralize anytime we want an easy path even if it's
       | fragile, and always resulting consequences are bad after a short
       | "honeymoon" timeframe.
       | 
       | My conclusion then is different: we need _common ideas_ , _common
       | tools_ not centralization. What 's wrong with the classic web?
       | Well that information access without search engines was a
       | nightmare, but there is no need of "central" search engines as
       | network hubs. YaCy offer an example FLOSS implementation of a
       | distributed search network whose effectiveness much depend on
       | numbers of indexing peers. In a fully "common web" all who host
       | html pages also participate in the search distributed network and
       | search quality became excellent, than some argue we can also
       | distribute webpages like the ZeroNet idea and a new VERY FAST and
       | VERY EFFECTIVE web is here. Oh, it's utopia just because of big
       | players interests against the most and ignorance of the most,
       | witch is not a technical thing. And that's just an example.
       | 
       | Logistic networks are another example where the centralized free
       | scale network is easier than a hub-less network, but fragile,
       | while a hub-less network is hard to keep, especially if not all
       | nodes cooperate, but far more resilient.
       | 
       | The same happen in politics with historical absolute monarchy vs
       | democracies and pretty anywhere else.
       | 
       | My final reminder: in winter is cold, in summer is hot, sometimes
       | is too dry, sometimes too wet, we human as essentially any living
       | being have tried our best to "mitigate" such natural phenomenon
       | to live better. If certain free-scale networks are a natural
       | thing that does not means we have to accept them without trying
       | to made something better for us.
        
       | cjtrowbridge wrote:
       | Centralization is a prevailing force. There are also many
       | countervailing forces.
        
       | Barrin92 wrote:
       | Hierarchy and centralization are ways to manage complexity and
       | stay efficient as the article correctly points out but one
       | additional point, topological pressures aside is also division of
       | labour and specialization.
       | 
       | Sufficiently large systems benefit more and more from
       | specialization, the emergence of content delivery networks on top
       | of the more generic internet is an example. As the types of
       | content we consume are getting more and more sophisticated,
       | bandwidth heavy and capital intensive, specialized infrastructure
       | and distribution pays off more and more.
       | 
       | For that reason peertube and other alternatives are pretty much
       | structurally doomed. They'll never compete or be as economical as
       | services and infrastructure optimized for that task.
        
       | knaekhoved wrote:
       | "The highway network is not scale-free" - no shit, highways refer
       | to roads of a specific size. You're taking a slice out of the
       | road distribution.
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | That power-law comparison between major freeways and air travel
       | routes is quite misleading, IMO. The highly dense road networks
       | surrounding the major cities (i.e. around Los Angeles, Bay Area,
       | Seattle, Houston, New York-to-Florida, etc.) are left out, but
       | for comparison to air travel they need to be included. Doing so
       | would generate a very different map (with a very different power
       | law).
       | 
       | The freeway map shown looks like the major truck-freight corridor
       | for transporting goods (many collected at coast ports from
       | overseas shipping) across the country to warehouses and
       | distribution centers, certainly not what most people use for
       | travel by car. Hence, comparison to air travel doesn't make much
       | sense.
       | 
       | As far as centralization and decentralization, for most things
       | this comes down to technological limitations (ignoring the issue
       | of economic monopolies blocking local regions from adopting the
       | latest technologies). Local agriculture and local energy
       | production are a lot easier to maintain (and benefit from no
       | transport costs), than say, local chip foundries. Maybe someday
       | cheap 3D printers capable of spitting out nanoscale RISC-V
       | products in someone's garage will be available, but certainly not
       | anytime soon.
        
       | roschdal wrote:
       | Centralisation and decentralization goes in cycles. When we
       | centralized too much, it breaks down, and the cycle repeats.
        
         | kornhole wrote:
         | The pace at which this happens is determined by the barriers
         | and limits of the context. This is why centralists want to have
         | big barriers such as proprietary technology and government
         | backing by laws and other force that protects their monopoly.
         | To create a more dynamic environment in which we can swing back
         | to more decentralized when a central hub becomes too powerful,
         | we need to support communities and open protocols and resist
         | the barriers, laws, and policies that prevent.
        
           | ece wrote:
           | I can't help but compare to US elections, the higher the bar
           | to vote and less registered voters, the more centralization
           | Republicans can pull off. The only way Democrats can win is
           | if voting and registration are easier and lots of people show
           | up to vote, at least nationally.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2022-11-01 23:01 UTC)