[HN Gopher] Starlight interstellar probe
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Starlight interstellar probe
        
       Author : Hooke
       Score  : 73 points
       Date   : 2022-10-09 20:20 UTC (3 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (en.wikipedia.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (en.wikipedia.org)
        
       | ck2 wrote:
       | What's the effect on mass at 1/5th light speed?
       | 
       | Ah okay, google says only +2%
       | 
       | > A particle moving at one-fifth the speed of light (60,000
       | km/sec or 37,000 mi/sec) has a mass only 2% greater than its rest
       | mass. When a particle's speed approaches the speed of light,
       | however, the mass increase (called the relativistic mass
       | increase) is significant.
        
       | gzer0 wrote:
       | > _Currently, research models suggest that using this technology,
       | a satellite massing 100 kilograms (220 lb) could reach Mars in 3
       | days, a significantly shorter time than the current transit time_
       | [1].
       | 
       | Incredible. This is simply incredible. I hope humanity succeeds
       | here.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DEEP-IN
        
         | JPLeRouzic wrote:
         | This means an acceleration of 85 g, what hardware can support
         | this? What temperature the influx of energy will induce?
        
           | varjag wrote:
           | A GPS guided Excalibur shell acceleration peaks around
           | 12000g.
        
             | JPLeRouzic wrote:
             | Thanks I learned something!
        
             | JPLeRouzic wrote:
             | Please, did you achieve to power on your MS1201.02 single-
             | board PDP-11 ? Thanks!
        
               | varjag wrote:
               | Ha! Nope, some months after the post I re-capped it and
               | installed modern DIP switches. Then I stumbled on another
               | specimen in perfect condition and grabbed that one. Both
               | are still collecting dust on my projects shelf: never got
               | around to powering either on, even though I have the
               | power circuit sequence and schematics. Something to be
               | said about spreading yourself too thin! :)
        
               | JPLeRouzic wrote:
               | > Both are still collecting dust on my projects shelf:
               | 
               | Ah, ah, it's something I know as well!
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | Will the aliens that detect & intercept the probe wonder how
       | something as simple as the nematode built & launched the probe.
        
         | fallingfrog wrote:
         | The prospect of aliens trying unsuccessfully to communicate
         | with a nematode is pretty comical
        
         | rrwo wrote:
         | Nematodes manipulated evolution to produce organisms that would
         | send them to other solar systems.
        
         | dclowd9901 wrote:
         | If they had our level of intelligence, probably.
        
         | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
         | We couldn't intercept `Oumuamua and it wasn't travelling at a
         | high fraction of light speed.
         | 
         | Actually capturing an object with that much velocity would
         | require a high level of sophistication, very fast reactions,
         | and a big energy budget.
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | Alpha Centauri aliens who'd be able to detect and intercept
         | that probe would have their Twitter flooded with funny memes
         | made from our hn discussions of the mission long before the
         | actual probe arrives. Actual arrival wouldn't even make it into
         | their news.
        
         | adipginting wrote:
         | That is a positive assesment. On the other hand, imagine if the
         | aliens think that the senders of these probes were deliberately
         | sending pathogens to the aliens' worlds. This is a statement of
         | war.
        
           | rapind wrote:
           | They'll just assume that the idiot species sending out
           | statements of war have already been taken care of (probably
           | by themselves).
        
             | spinlock wrote:
             | The aliens could just send back blueprints for a black hole
             | weapon and wait for us to do the wrong thing.
        
       | Pxtl wrote:
       | > They would fly at one-fifth of the speed of light
       | 
       | what? I thought most materials would be obliterated by the damage
       | caused by traveling through the interstellar medium at such
       | speeds.
        
         | sliken wrote:
         | Would some be lost, likely. Would all have some holes in the
         | large sails, sure.
         | 
         | But some on board redundancy should let a decent fraction of
         | them to survive. Keep in mind the lasers will boost the
         | velocity for just minutes to hours, so you can launch many of
         | them.
        
       | jcfrei wrote:
       | Is there any way for these probes to communicate with earth
       | during their journey?
        
         | dghughes wrote:
         | These proposed devices use laser or solar on a giant multi
         | kilometre area material. I wonder if the shape of the material
         | could also be a dish used to transmit a signal back to earth.
        
         | 0xf00ff00f wrote:
         | From their report:
         | 
         | > We have run link margin calculations including Zodi, CIB,
         | galaxy and optical emission for such a wafer scale system run
         | in a hibernate/burst mode using the DE-STAR array as both the
         | transmitter of power to propel and communicate with the
         | spacecraft as well as to receive the very weak signal from the
         | spacecraft and conclude it is feasible to receive data (albeit
         | at low rate) at light year distances.
         | 
         | Source:
         | https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/roadmap...
        
         | ncmncm wrote:
         | There has been no hint of any answer to this question. Did they
         | think no one would notice?
        
         | sliken wrote:
         | This isn't new, there's been many discussions. But generally
         | you spend billions making lasers, on the ground, in orbit, and
         | on the moon has been suggested. You make the space craft with a
         | sail a few atom thick surface tuned for the frequency of the
         | laser to minimize weight and maximize thrust.
         | 
         | However even 1% of the speed of light means it's going to be
         | too far to accelerate significantly on the order of 10 minutes
         | to 10 hours. Sure we could put laser arrays on the outer
         | planets, but that's not particularly feasible today.
         | 
         | So what do you do with your $billions of lasers once post
         | launch ... of course launch more. Especially since you are
         | likely to lose some due to radiation and space dust.
         | 
         | Launch once an hour and hopefully your communication system can
         | handle hops of 4 or more ships, which would be 4 hours * 0.01C
         | = 0.04 light hours or about 1/3rd the way to mars. With some
         | fancy encoding that doesn't seem so hard. People get across the
         | earth on a few watts with signals 20db below the noise floor,
         | no line of site, and a message energy sapping atmosphere and
         | bounces off not particularly reflective soil.
         | 
         | For some idea on the difficulty, with 1970s tech (45 years
         | ago), voyager 1 has a 22 watt transmitter and is still
         | communicating from well past pluto.
        
       | denton-scratch wrote:
       | I'm not ssure it's ethical to deliberately send organisms to a
       | distant planet. A novel organism can destroy all other life on a
       | planet; it happened here.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyanobacteria
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | On the plus side, it could seed life on a lifeless planet.
         | 
         | The probability that some earth bacteria would outcompete the
         | local fauna on a planet it was not evolved for seems impossible
         | to know.
         | 
         | But my guess is very close to 0.
        
         | Balero wrote:
         | To be clear, you are not suggesting that Cyanobacteria
         | originated from extraterrestrial origins. But when it evolved
         | on earth, it then wiped out all non-Cyanobacteria?
        
           | denton-scratch wrote:
           | No, I'm not suggesting that!
           | 
           | When cyanobacteria evolved, they filled the world with
           | molecular oxygen, which was toxic to most of the other
           | organisms on Earth. The cyanobacteria could cope with the O2;
           | so effectively, they terraformed the Earth into a place they
           | could live, at the expense of the organisms that were doing
           | very nicely, thank you, until the cyanobacteria turned up.
           | 
           | I don't believe that life travels between stars.
           | 
           | It can't happen by accident; it has to be done by a
           | sophisticated civilisation. The only evidence I have of such
           | a civilisation is ours, and it's only been able to launch
           | space rockets for a few decades. And our civilisation was
           | living in caves just a few millennia ago. I have no reason to
           | believe we are more than a flash in the pan. I feel sure that
           | in a few more millennia, if we're still around, we won't be
           | interested in interstellar probes we fired-off in antiquity.
        
           | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
           | > But when it evolved on earth, it then wiped out all non-
           | Cyanobacteria?
           | 
           | Most, not all were either wiped out or survive only in small
           | anaerobic niches. It was a mass extinction.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Oxidation_Event
        
         | teeray wrote:
         | Seriously... if a space probe filled with alien bacteria
         | crashed into Earth and started wiping out life... well, we'd
         | consider that an attack.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | Or maybe someone had a rounding/least significant digit error
           | and was aiming at Mars but hit Earth by a mistake? Obviously,
           | they'd be calling the planets other names like Kepler-186f
           | assuming they had a similar honorific naming convention.
        
           | squarefoot wrote:
           | What if one day we discover that bacteria sent from a distant
           | star over here actually _started_ life on earth?
        
             | denton-scratch wrote:
             | > bacteria sent from a distant star
             | 
             | I'm sort-of OK with the idea that life travels through
             | space as fungus spores, or something like that. I'm not OK
             | with the idea that they are "sent". So I can believe that
             | life on Earth "fell from the sky". But I don't think that's
             | really what happened.
        
             | teeray wrote:
             | The strawman would not change our reaction to a meteor
             | filled with alien life that starts killing off the
             | population.
        
         | mannerheim wrote:
         | Doesn't sound like the probe would be landing on a planet. At a
         | fifth of the speed of light, there's no slowing down enough to
         | do anything more than a flyby.
        
           | denton-scratch wrote:
           | If there's no plan to land, why the living cargo? But I
           | agree, it isn't possible to land, except in a very high-
           | energy crash. So again, why the living cargo?
        
             | mannerheim wrote:
             | I have no idea. Some sort of time capsule for aliens who
             | catch it? Seems kind of pointless otherwise.
        
           | elorant wrote:
           | And what happens if the probe crashes on the planet with that
           | much kinetic energy?
        
             | kspacewalk2 wrote:
             | Total annihilation of the tiny, light probe and its
             | contents happens. It will either burn up in the atmosphere
             | before impact, or if none is there this event be negligible
             | compared to all other space objects impacting said planet.
        
             | revolvingocelot wrote:
             | At least the c. elegans don't survive to fuck up the
             | biosphere, as per the root comment.
        
             | BenjiWiebe wrote:
             | If it's a few grams of mass and a few m2 of area, it will
             | evaporate if it hits any atmosphere.
        
               | fallingfrog wrote:
               | It will be the size of a compact disc though. I'm not
               | sure it will encounter enough atmosphere to absorb that
               | much kinetic energy before it hits the ground. Meteors
               | enter the atmosphere at 37 miles per second; this will be
               | going a thousand times as fast. It will probably look
               | like an instantaneous vertical spike of incredible
               | brightness followed by a fairly large impact explosion. I
               | imagine that at .2c the atoms of atmosphere would be
               | essentially stationary, so the trail through the
               | atmosphere would be a cylinder of total vacume surrounded
               | by a rapidly expanding shell of exotic high energy
               | particles. The air would be ionized and conduct a lot of
               | electric current too, so this would be followed by a
               | humongous lightning bolt. All that momentum is focused in
               | a single direction, straight down- so I imagine the probe
               | would penetrate pretty deep into the planet's crust,
               | straight through to the mantle, maybe, which might cause
               | a volcanic eruption. Would be quite a sight to see, I
               | imagine. Like god's railgun.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | This _NEEDS_ to be a scene in a disaster pr0n movie.
               | Where 's JJ's Bad Robot when you need it?
        
               | kristjansson wrote:
               | This is the greatest thing I've read all week
        
               | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
               | It's also way overestimating things. More like 10x the
               | 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33177030
               | 
               | "Straight down" is odds against. Over a place that's not
               | empty land or water is also odds against.
        
               | JackFr wrote:
               | > All that momentum is focused in a single direction,
               | straight down
               | 
               | Well, no. Straight down is possible, but not necessary or
               | even necessarily likely.
               | 
               | I think there's relatively little empirical evidence with
               | respect to relativistic collisions at macroscopic scales,
               | but isn't there a simpler conservation of energy argument
               | to be made? Absent fancy orbital mechanics maneuvers,
               | isn't the upper bound of the 'planet killing' energy of
               | impact the total energy imparted by the accelerating
               | lasers?
               | 
               | Or am I missing something (could be physics was 30+ years
               | ago.)
        
               | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
               | > isn't the upper bound of the energy
               | 
               | The energy of a 10g object at 0.2c is not just bounded,
               | it is calculatable, and not really that large. The earth
               | has had worse encounters, multiple times, in the last
               | century. The above wildly overstates even a "best case
               | straight down direct hit" scenario.
               | 
               | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33177030
        
             | andrewmutz wrote:
             | Space is massive and planets with life on them are (at
             | best) extremely scarce.
             | 
             | This probe crashing in to a planet that any life form cares
             | about would be extremely unlikely.
        
             | BenjiWiebe wrote:
             | Also figuring 10g of mass, an online calculator suggests it
             | would have about 4 megatons of tnt worth of kinetic energy,
             | or 8% of the Tsar Bomba. Not negligible but not planet
             | destroying either.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | philipkglass wrote:
               | I get 1.85 * 10^13 joules for 10 grams at 0.2 c from
               | https://physicscalc.com/physics/relativistic-kinetic-
               | energy-..., or about 4.4 kilotons of TNT equivalent. I
               | think that you may have slipped a factor of 1000
               | somewhere (calculating for a 10 kilogram probe, maybe?)
        
               | Archelaos wrote:
               | I also checked it, but you were faster to publish. My
               | result was also 4.4 kilotons TNT equivalent, not
               | megatons.
        
               | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
               | for comparison, the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor was
               | "estimated ... to be equivalent to the blast yield of
               | 400-500 kilotons of TNT"
               | 
               | And it caused broken windows, other damage, over 1000
               | injuries.
               | 
               | This would be 10x larger?
               | 
               | To be fair, if that meteor had hit over a big city, it
               | would have caused much more damage. More probable if it
               | had hit over open ocean, it would have done very little.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chelyabinsk_meteor
        
               | LeifCarrotson wrote:
               | That's almost suspiciously similar to the Tunguska event,
               | [1] a 3-30 megaton event from 1908, which flattened a
               | large area of Siberian forest. Airburst meteorites hit
               | fairly frequently in our solar system.
               | 
               | I don't even know if you could detect a difference
               | between an extrasolar high-velocity (60,000 km/s) low-
               | mass (10^-2 kg) airburst and an interplanetary
               | 'low'-velocity (27 km/s) high-mass (10^+9 kg) airburst.
               | 
               | Importantly, these events are purely thermal, not
               | nuclear, so there would be no radioactive fallout.
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tunguska_event
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | rapind wrote:
         | Slow version of the Death Star. 1) Send Cyanobacteria out. 2)
         | Wait a few billion years for a competitive animal to evolve and
         | nuke the planet to pieces. 3) Profit! (mine the asteroids).
        
         | rnk wrote:
         | This plan to spread organisms is criminal. It's insane,
         | dangerous, should be blocked. We haven't even decided if we
         | should do this in our own solar system, it's extremely
         | controversial just going to Mars or other planets with only our
         | earthly life known - we could impact life, including microbes
         | on Mars, Europa or wherever it may be.
         | 
         | Spreading living organisms far beyond our solar system is
         | clearly a bad idea at this stage of development and knowledge.
         | We could easily destroy other ecosystems. Imagine how we'd feel
         | if the opposite happened. Of course anyone who pays attention
         | knows that we have discovered all the precursors of life, the 4
         | genetic bases (one of them is different between rna and dna so
         | there are kind of 5 but they found that 5th one too) - we've
         | already detected them in space, which is amazing in itself.
         | It's extremely likely there will be other places in the
         | universe, almost certain based on the number of galaxies and
         | stars, that other planets have life on them. We can't just dump
         | a bunch of developed microbes there that might have unknown
         | effects.
        
           | MockObject wrote:
           | It's not obvious what ethics means outside the biosphere. By
           | default, the biospheres exist in a _state of nature_ with
           | respect to each other.
        
         | alkonaut wrote:
         | And I'm sure no one would ever do that without careful
         | consideration. And this, obviously, isn't that. Not least
         | because it's passing at 0.2c with no chance of stopping. If it
         | hits a planet by an extremely unlikely accident it will be
         | converted into a very brief firework.
        
           | mcguire wrote:
           | Why bother doing it at all?
           | 
           | Do you have any reason to believe C. elegans or tardigrades
           | will behave differently in the vicinity of Alpha Centauri?
           | Wouldn't that mass be better used doing just about anything
           | else?
        
             | alkonaut wrote:
             | Not sure tbh (might be clarified in the article). Could be
             | just the combination of whether they survive the travel
             | _and_ a reasonable milestone for the trip? I doubt there is
             | any combination 1) between including living organisms and
             | 2) passing a specific place in space. My hunch is that it's
             | two separate goals done on the same trip.
        
             | denton-scratch wrote:
             | What is the mass of a few hundred tardigrades?
        
         | swamp40 wrote:
         | They should have included a way to kill it after the experiment
         | was over.
        
           | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
           | Impact at 0.2c will take care of that.
           | 
           | Not impacting and sailing off into the dark for a few
           | megayears is slower but also effective.
        
         | spinlock wrote:
         | I was thinking that I wouldn't appreciate aliens sending crazy
         | microbes to earth just to see what happens.
         | 
         | It's weird that NASA is funding the DEEP-IN part of the project
         | but not the microbe part. IMO you cannot separate the two.
        
           | spaetzleesser wrote:
           | You can separate them. You want to send probes with sensors
           | and get the data back. Just don't send microbes.
        
         | dclowd9901 wrote:
         | Since there's no objective morality, I'd say, for us, thank
         | goodness it did.
        
       | pokstad wrote:
       | Reminds me of the Staircase program in the book Deaths End (third
       | book of the Three Body Problem trilogy).
        
       | idiocrat wrote:
       | Perhaps it will quickly become mushy minced goo, a mix of protein
       | parts -- after so many years of radiation.
        
         | mofosyne wrote:
         | Sounds like an important fact to figure out if true or not.
         | That would inform if our exploration should be purely AI based
         | or if we can transport humans across the stars.
        
           | Pxtl wrote:
           | Realistically our _existence_ will be purely AI based by the
           | time we figure out how to transport things across the stars,
           | if ever.
        
       | DrBazza wrote:
       | I thought there was another name for it, but it seems that the
       | Wait Calculation, is applicable right now, i.e. if we send
       | something now, we might as well wait for X years and send
       | something that's faster and will over take whatever we send now.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interstellar_travel#Wait_calcu...
        
         | tyho wrote:
         | The wait calculation doesn't really apply to this project. The
         | whole basis of it is that new technology can't speed up probes
         | you have already launched. This isn't true for these probes as
         | improvements in technology can be used to increase the speed of
         | the probes that have already been launched. It also assumes
         | that the bulk of the investment is in the hardware that's
         | launched. With this project, the expensive stuff stays on the
         | ground, the probes are cheap.
        
       | cletus wrote:
       | I love futurist content. Isaac Arthur's channel on Youtube is a
       | fantastic resource for this. I'm convinced that a Dyson Swarm (ie
       | orbitals around a star to near-fully capture the energy output of
       | the Sun) is our inevitable future because it doesn't require any
       | new physics or exotic tech. Specifically, solar power and
       | stainless steel get you most of the way there. It just makes too
       | much sense.
       | 
       | This has all sorts of implications but an important one is how do
       | you travel between stars. The rocket equation is bad news for
       | interstellar travel. Getting to any significant percent of light
       | speed (and decelerating at the other end) requires an insanely
       | massive amount of energy that we really don't have any likely
       | feasible method without exotic things like antimatter or black
       | hole propulsion (yes, this is a thing). Even on vast timescales,
       | you almost need viable nuclear fusion, which is far from a
       | certainty.
       | 
       | But these all assume you carry your fuel, which is the real
       | tyranny of the rocket equation. Photos of course have momentum.
       | Enough of them can be used as a form of propulsion, which is what
       | the Starlight project is about.
       | 
       | So one proposal for interstellar travel is so-called interstellar
       | highways where energy from a star is concentrated to provide
       | propulsion. You then only have to carry fuel to deceleate.
       | Alternatively you can pre-build infrastructure to use the same
       | technique to slow you down at the other end.
       | 
       | Personally, i think this is likely the only viable method we've
       | thus far conceived. I encourage you go watch this [1] if this
       | interests you.
       | 
       | [1]:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDR4AHYRmlk
        
         | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
         | Re: Dyson Swarm not needing new tech
         | 
         | 1. How do you keep the swarm from hitting each other and
         | staying in the same place and not crashing into the sun as you
         | capture the near-full output of the star?
         | 
         | 2. How do you get the power transmitted to our planet?
        
           | sbierwagen wrote:
           | The outer layers will be heavily shadowed by the inner
           | layers, of course. The builder will keep manufacturing nodes
           | until it hits some equilibrium point between node
           | manufacturing cost and how much power it captures over its
           | lifetime.
           | 
           | If nodes are cheap and lifetimes are centuries long you could
           | be fine with outer nodes that only get 0.1% as much sunlight
           | as the innermost nodes.
        
           | sliken wrote:
           | 1. Each one tracks it's nearest neighbors, which should have
           | approximately zero differential velocity. A few gyroscopes or
           | actuators to change the mirrors angles should give you plenty
           | of thrust for controlling orbits. Inevitably probes will
           | drift outward without counter thrust, after all they are
           | basically solar sails. You could also use lasers, microwaves,
           | or similar to cooperatively fly together without colliding.
           | Of course you don't have to be perfect, just good enough that
           | more expensive solutions aren't worth it.
           | 
           | 2. Why bother? Make fuel, like antimatter for instance. Then
           | launch them to where you need them. Maybe by a relay system
           | and you could use the kinetic energy to help keep your ideal
           | orbit.
           | 
           | Keep in mind these don't have to last forever. Maybe have 3
           | different designs for how close you are to the sun. Then you
           | get installed in the inner most orbit of that band, then
           | during your useful life you edge towards the outside edge of
           | the band, launching anti matter payloads periodically and
           | then get recycled at the outer edge. As long as you collect
           | significantly more energy than your production cost it's a
           | big win.
        
           | ncmncm wrote:
           | The planet does not need the power; it gets all it needs. It
           | is used in space.
           | 
           | They don't crash into each other for the same reason our
           | satellites (mostly) don't: they are in selected orbits.
           | 
           | But if we have not worked out aneutronic fusion by the time
           | we would be able to build something like this, you might as
           | well write off humanity.
           | 
           | By then all the action will be out in the Kuiper Belt, where
           | the truly valuable resource is: cold.
        
             | vinaypai wrote:
             | > They don't crash into each other for the same reason our
             | satellites (mostly) don't: they are in selected orbits.
             | 
             | Real world orbits != Kerbal space program orbits
             | 
             | Things don't stay put in an orbit because the (a) earth
             | isn't a perfect uniform sphere (b) gravitational influences
             | from the rest of the solar system will perturb things.
             | Satellites needs regular stationkeeping to keep them in
             | specific orbits.
             | 
             | And that is even though low earth orbit is mostly empty.
             | There are only about 27,000 "objects larger than a
             | softball" according to NASA's orbital debris and spacecraft
             | tracking.
             | 
             | To build a Dyson swarm you'd need to scale that up
             | trillions of times to capture a significant portion of the
             | Sun's output.
        
               | skykooler wrote:
               | Satellites in a Dyson swarm can use the Sun's light for
               | stationkeeping, acting as a solar sail. It doesn't work
               | that well at Earth's distance to the sun but the swarm
               | would be much closer to maximise power production per
               | satellite.
        
               | ncmncm wrote:
               | Presumably the energy would then be delivered to where it
               | is needed via laser. With so many high-power laser beams
               | going all the time, inner-system navigation might be
               | hazardous.
               | 
               | All the more reason to stay out in the Kuiper Belt.
        
               | cletus wrote:
               | The worst case is orbitals will require some active
               | stationkeeping.
               | 
               | If your civilization goes the route of interstellar
               | highways well you already have the ability to focus a
               | large amount of power on a sail of some sort to give
               | propulsion. You could use exactly the same thing to
               | correct orbits.
               | 
               | It's also worth noting that orbitals around the Sun are a
               | whole lot bigger volume than orbits around the Earth. LEO
               | orbits have a radius of 6500-7000km. The Earth is
               | 150,000,000km from the Sun so the radius of that is about
               | 8 orders of magnitude more.
               | 
               | If you assume orbits between Venus and Mars and include
               | orbits off the Solar plane, the math for a full Dyson
               | swarm the math (IIRC) works out to a mean distance
               | between orbitals of around 100,000km, even with trillions
               | of them.
        
           | Ancalagon wrote:
           | 1. ion engines and solar panels and plutonium
           | 
           | 2. microwaves
           | 
           | I think a bigger issue would be gathering the material and
           | fuel to even consider this a probable future.
        
       | exitb wrote:
       | At 1/5th of speed of light the probes would cover 1AU in less
       | than an hour, so the visit in the area would be extremely brief.
       | Is there actually a way to get any meaningful data out of it? Or
       | is it just so we can say that we've "been" there?
        
         | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
         | Regardless of travel speed, it would take a lot of energy to
         | get matter or even any identifiable bits of data back from
         | Alpha Centauri to here.
         | 
         | I don't see any discussion of how they propose to tackle that
         | problem.
        
           | ncmncm wrote:
           | It is never even hinted how any information could ever be
           | communicated back to Earth.
           | 
           | It makes me think the whole project is not serious, like
           | launching Voyager with no Deep Space Network to listen.
           | 
           | Are they hoping that over the 40 years it takes to get there,
           | a solar-system-sized radio telescope would be built to
           | listen? Even with that it is implausible.
        
             | simonh wrote:
             | IIRC the idea is to send a chain of probes at regular
             | intervals, and the probes would relay signals back along
             | the chain.
        
               | ncmncm wrote:
               | So, even less plausible than a solar-system-sized radio
               | telescope.
        
             | skykooler wrote:
             | According to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breakthrough_Sta
             | rshot#Laser_da..., the probes should be able to talk to a
             | 30-meter telescope on earth using lasers. The data rates
             | are very low, of course, but that can be handled by making
             | sure the probe has enough storage for its few-hour-long
             | transit of the system and then transmitting that back over
             | the following months.
        
               | ncmncm wrote:
               | How do they get the laser out there? What powers it?
        
               | 0xf00ff00f wrote:
               | From
               | https://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/2005/2005.08940.pdf
               | 
               | > The sailcraft transmits 100 Watts, deriving its power
               | from a 700-Watt hydrogen beam that is normally incident
               | on the sailcraft when it faces Earth. This hydrogen beam
               | is simply a manifestation of the interstellar medium,
               | incident on the sailcraft at 0.2 c.
               | 
               | From https://arxiv.org/pdf/1805.01306.pdf
               | 
               | > One way to tap the sailcraft's kinetic energy could be
               | via the interstellar medium: The Local Interstellar Cloud
               | is primarily composed of 0.3 atoms/cm3 of partially
               | ionized hydrogen. From the sailcraft's perspective
               | traveling at cruise velocity, this manifests as a
               | monochromatic hydrogen beam that is incident from the
               | direction of travel, having a combined kinetic energy of
               | 55W m-2, or 0.7 kW over the sail's area if it faces the
               | direction of travel.
               | 
               | The report for Starlight suggests a RTG:
               | 
               | https://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/atoms/files/road
               | map...
        
           | UberFly wrote:
           | I was thinking the same thing. That part seems like an
           | afterthought. The real interesting part is the laser
           | propulsion.
        
         | Tepix wrote:
         | The answer is to send not one probe, but many (thousands).
         | 
         | If every probe manages to capture and transmit a couple dozen
         | pictures while it is within the interesting range, it adds up.
         | 
         | Also these probes could use each other as relays if we send a
         | long string of them towards one destination.
        
           | ianai wrote:
           | Yeah. What I'd really like is proposals/discussion around
           | intrastellar travel infrastructure like this. Park sources of
           | light and coms at certain key locations around the solar
           | system to enable faster traffic. Maybe hollow out some larger
           | asteroids for habitats.
        
             | cee_el123 wrote:
             | as far as comms goes - nothing can speed it up - but yes
             | the idea of using relays makes comms more
             | reliable/repairable
        
               | ianai wrote:
               | Right, it's not about speed but the message reliably
               | getting there.
        
         | rthomas6 wrote:
         | I wonder if it could unfurl a light sail when it got most of
         | the way there to slow it down. Is that feasible?
        
           | kadoban wrote:
           | In short: no. It'd need to slow down enough to counter-act
           | years worth of a laser specifically making it go faster.
           | Without a laser on the other end, really no shot.
        
           | KineticLensman wrote:
           | >> Each spacecraft would be the size of a DVD disc
           | 
           | Not much room for a light sail large enough to fully offset
           | the power of the launch lasers.
        
           | exitb wrote:
           | Interesting idea, but I don't think the sail would be nearly
           | enough to counteract the gravitational acceleration caused by
           | getting near the target system, let alone losing enough speed
           | to enter an orbit.
        
         | fallingknife wrote:
         | If you are able to determine orbital parameters of planets
         | we'll enough, that would be more than enough time to get much
         | better pictures of exoplanets than any telescope.
        
       | spaetzleesser wrote:
       | Why would you waste weight and send organisms? I can't see
       | anything useful coming out of it. And it would be sad if these
       | organism wiped out alien life.
       | 
       | The probes need as many sensors as possible. It will already be
       | super tricky to make any observations from a probe that goes at a
       | tenth of the speed of light. And how do you get your data back
       | from that distance without huge antennas?
        
       | noduerme wrote:
       | It's a great proposal, it's been around for some time. Who's
       | going to implement it? I could see Musk throwing some spare
       | change at it, but 20+ years is a long time to wait for a news
       | cycle.
        
         | sph wrote:
         | Can we stop calling for notoriously fickle Elon Musk to lead
         | space innovation?
         | 
         | SpaceX is great, but it's starting to feel more and more like a
         | cult of personality, and not that great of a personality
         | either. Any time there's a post about space on social media (HN
         | included), there's always some starry eyed commenters saying
         | "Musk could maybe do it".
         | 
         | It's not like he needs more publicity.
        
           | fallingknife wrote:
           | No one alive on Earth today has both the level of ability to
           | execute and the available funds to match Elon Musk.
        
           | skykooler wrote:
           | I think it's mainly because there are basically only two
           | individuals who own a space company and have the money to do
           | a project like this. And Bezos has not been very successful
           | at getting things done, space-wise.
        
         | SturgeonsLaw wrote:
         | The privatisation of spaceflight is opening up a new era, and
         | will lead to an increasing pace of innovation in the space (get
         | it), but this is why there should always be a place for
         | publicly funded space projects, a la NASA.
         | 
         | We all progress when there are entities out there who can take
         | on the big, long term projects that don't have an ROI measured
         | in quarters.
        
           | onethought wrote:
           | But NASA floundered about without even a launch capability
           | for over a decade until private sector not measuring ROI in
           | quarters with a long term vision to reach mars came along.
           | 
           | Literally your example is the inverse of what has occurred.
           | SpaceX sparked this current era, NASA in fact piggybacked on
           | it, now that the cost of launch is lower NASAs fiddling
           | around the edges is somewhat useful. But everyone is waiting
           | around for SpaceX to solve the hard problems (cheap tonnage
           | to orbit, and multi-planetary landing systems)... because
           | NASA didn't.
           | 
           | (Admittedly NASA funds are funding a lot of SpaceX)
        
             | fallingknife wrote:
             | The main reason for the rocket failure is because it wasn't
             | a rocket program. It was a jobs program. NASA actually does
             | extremely well with its science missions, because they are
             | actually science missions, and not jobs programs.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | > But everyone is waiting around for SpaceX to solve the
             | hard problems (cheap tonnage to orbit, and multi-planetary
             | landing systems)... because NASA didn't. (Admittedly NASA
             | funds are funding a lot of SpaceX)
             | 
             | I don't think you're giving NASA enough credit here. The
             | Commercial Crew and Cargo programs were innovative bets
             | that paid off in spades. I hope they do more like it.
             | 
             | I tend to blame the floundering period on Congress.
        
       | onion2k wrote:
       | If there's intelligent life at the other end they're going to be
       | serious confused about how some microbes built a probe.
        
       | barbegal wrote:
       | The physics doesn't stack up for me. The spacecraft must be
       | lightweight so it can be accelerated to high speeds but it must
       | also have a very large area such that a large proportion of the
       | laser photons hit it. This means a very thin disc shaped
       | spacecraft (a few grams but with a few m2 of area). Whilst this
       | may be able to be constructed it would be incredibly delicate for
       | launch and I can't see how it would have the required strength to
       | avoid it tearing apart under the force applied by the laser
       | photons.
       | 
       | A paper produced looking at the feasibility of such a system
       | https://arxiv.org/pdf/1604.01356.pdf says
       | 
       | >A critical issue will be the stability of the sail. There are a
       | number of perturbative effects. These include laser instabilities
       | and laser mode issues, differential forces on the sail and
       | mechanical modes in the sail, heating of the sail and laser
       | pointing instability. >This is a complex sets of issues that
       | requires a significant amount of research and development. This
       | will not be trivial.
       | 
       | I believe these issues are show stopping rather than "not
       | trivial" You can never fabricate a probe of small enough mass
       | which has enough area for laser propulsion to work effectively
       | whilst not tearing itself to pieces or overheating (at least not
       | to anywhere near relativistic speeds).
        
         | marcosdumay wrote:
         | Well, you are referencing a paper that says they already got
         | material good enough for 1% of c. The fact that the target of
         | 25% of c is still not achieved isn't as large a showstopper as
         | you are making it to be.
        
         | fnordpiglet wrote:
         | I have over 500 hours on kerbal space program and have been
         | playing with the KSPIE mod that enables beamed power and sails.
         | They definitely work.
        
           | barbegal wrote:
           | Oh yeah they work fine when you neglect certain critical
           | parameters. How hot do your solar sails get in Kerbal? And
           | what is the maximum torque between the sail and the
           | spacecraft in Kerbal?
        
             | simonh wrote:
             | I suspect a close proximity of tongue and cheek in that
             | comment.
        
             | fnordpiglet wrote:
             | They do actually. It's a really good game and mod. Highly
             | recommend it. Especially if you need to use a solar sail
             | that works
        
           | LegitShady wrote:
           | (in kerbal space program)
        
             | fnordpiglet wrote:
             | I mount my games.
        
         | usrusr wrote:
         | > "and the data they produce will be sent back to Earth"
         | 
         | That's where my optimism limiters were triggered: sending
         | something in the general direction of earth is all nice and
         | well, but receiving that signal, sent from the confines of a
         | "DVD sized" emitter, against the backdrop of a nearby star?
         | They should try to find a way to harness optimism for
         | propulsion...
        
           | cee_el123 wrote:
           | perhaps that can be overcome by a train/succession of such
           | probes relaying the signals over shorter distances ?
        
             | usrusr wrote:
             | But how much shorter? Light years are a long distance to
             | cover with relay stations if their peer to peer range is
             | not unlimited. And when "DVD sized" should include both
             | sender and receiver, p2p range most certainly won't be
             | "astronomical" (which it would quite literally have to be).
             | The relay approach implies symmetry and usually what we do
             | with probes is the opposite, compensate a smaller device on
             | one end with a bigger device on the other end.
        
               | sliken wrote:
               | Voyager 1 uses 22 watts and 1970s technology to
               | communicate from 21 light hours away.
               | 
               | Radio encoding has come a long way since then. In
               | particular ft8/js8call uses an encoding that can
               | communicate at over 20 db below the noise floor, allowing
               | communications across the earth with a few watts which
               | involves many 1000s of miles of atmosphere, bouncing
               | (poorly) off the upper atmosphere and the ground many
               | times.
               | 
               | If we launched one an hour at 5% of C (better than today,
               | but much worse than the goals of the project) they would
               | only have to communicate across hops of 3 light minutes,
               | er about half that since 5% of C is the final velocity
               | not the average. Considering voyagers success at 21 light
               | hours and the improvements in encoding that sounds quite
               | feasible.
        
         | usefulcat wrote:
         | Let's say they make a sail that is large enough and light
         | enough to allow the craft to accelerate to very high speeds
         | (say, 0.1 - 0.2c?). It's quite a long way to Alpha Centauri,
         | and even though interstellar space is very empty, it's not
         | completely empty. As the sail hits the odd spec of dust here
         | and there at those speeds it seems like it will be shredded.
         | Maybe it's ok as long as it lasts long enough for it to be
         | accelerated to a 'fast enough' speed?
        
           | Ancalagon wrote:
           | The original idea I recall for this was to send hundreds of
           | these probes with the hope that a few might make it (because
           | this launch method and the probes would be relatively cheap
           | once you built out the laser system).
           | 
           | But also, interstellar vacuum is very, very empty.
           | Encountering a speck of dust even in that distance with that
           | size of a probe is a pretty negligible risk if I recall
           | correctly.
        
       | fallingfrog wrote:
       | I wonder- would an observer in the Alpha Centauri system be able
       | to pick up the accelerating laser with a telescope? That would be
       | a pretty powerful and tightly directed beam. If an observer did,
       | they would have a few years advance warning and know the exact
       | trajectory of the probe.
        
         | sliken wrote:
         | Exact?
         | 
         | I've been hearing launch times in the minutes to hours before
         | the probe is too far away to accelerate it enough to be worth
         | while. The problem is lasers (on those scales) spread quickly
         | so an ever smaller (even with perfect aiming) fraction of the
         | laser energy will be delivered to the probe.
         | 
         | I am curious if the red shift at 1% of the speed of light is
         | enough to throw off the efficiency of the material that's
         | designed for a specific laser frequency.
         | 
         | For the same reason the cone of light will be larger than the
         | orbit of any planets around Alpha Centauri. So the exact
         | direction is tough, but that it's heading towards Alpha
         | Centauri is easy.
         | 
         | The formula for the angle (in radians) of dispersion: (The
         | laser's wavelength)/(p x The laser's aperture)
        
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