[HN Gopher] Facebook scrambles to escape stock's death spiral as...
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       Facebook scrambles to escape stock's death spiral as users flee,
       sales drop
        
       Author : donsupreme
       Score  : 53 points
       Date   : 2022-09-30 16:00 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cnbc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cnbc.com)
        
       | boxmonster wrote:
       | I've read "cyberpunk" novels so I had a certain vision of what a
       | virtual world would look like that I probably share with a lot of
       | people. Believe me, it's not the worlds biggest online cyber mall
       | with cyber mall cops telling me to behave myself. Metaverse is a
       | corporate wet dream. I regret spending money on my Oculus
       | glasses.
       | 
       | I'd hoped the virtual world would start out and be built
       | organically by people because it was fun, useful and anyone could
       | make a little money, just like the early internet.
       | 
       | Foisting this mall world on us is not going to work. I hope they
       | adjust.
        
         | gdulli wrote:
         | > I'd hoped the virtual world would start out and be built
         | organically by people because it was fun, useful and anyone
         | could make a little money, just like the early internet.
         | 
         | The early internet having been so organically developed for fun
         | and utility happened because money wasn't yet involved/in
         | charge.
         | 
         | At this point could there ever again emerge any major new
         | technology that wasn't either developed by a huge corporation
         | or quickly acquired by a huge corporation?
         | 
         | Will we ever see a scenario again where such an important
         | technology is allowed decades to emerge while it's ignored by
         | industry for being too academic, too early, too much for nerds?
         | 
         | Today, even Wordle couldn't stay independent. How could anyone
         | build a multiverse popular enough to have a network effect but
         | not get invaded by spam, money, predation?
        
           | QuadmasterXLII wrote:
           | If the weird, unmonetized, organic virtual world existed now,
           | there would be correlation between it being unmonetized,
           | organic, and weird, and us not knowing about it.
        
           | boxmonster wrote:
           | The early internet was funded and created by the US
           | government and DNS was run by them too. Then open standards
           | committees were created to make sure everyone spoke the same
           | tech language. No one owns the internet. There's no reason
           | this can't be recreated.
        
             | gdulli wrote:
             | There was an innocence that hadn't yet been lost then. We
             | didn't have to worry about security, toxicity, and money in
             | the early hobbyist/enthusiast internet of the 90s. We were
             | able to let it be "built organically by people because it
             | was fun".
             | 
             | The reason not everything was a mall was because it wasn't
             | yet mainstream and there was a years-long head start before
             | monetizing it at scale was solved. Today, the monetization
             | (and other predatory) patterns already exist and will be
             | ported over to any metaverse from the start.
             | 
             | Any metaverse will resemble Facebook or something
             | equivalent. Discoverability will resemble Google or
             | something equivalent. Community interaction will resemble
             | Reddit or something equivalent. I don't see how this would
             | be avoided.
        
               | boxmonster wrote:
               | Sure it can. Give me some way to build a virtual location
               | on my desktop machine - virtual server vs. web server -
               | and then design a protocol that lets people visit it,
               | plus a discovery service that let's people find it. The
               | discovery service could warn people if my site was
               | harmful, like Google does now with web sites.
        
         | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
         | > I regret spending money on my Oculus glasses.
         | 
         | The "Metaverse" might be a flop, but what about other VR games?
         | There's tons of good ones out there.
         | 
         | And if you have a decent gaming PC, you can use your Oculus
         | with it and play all the games on SteamVR.
        
           | boxmonster wrote:
           | That's my second disappointment. I prefer programming to
           | playing games. Programming is my game. If I could stake a
           | claim in the Metaverse and build Spalding Gray world
           | (boxmonster comes from his Monster in a Box) so that Spalding
           | was part of the virtual world then I would. Something similar
           | to how I can build a website. Spalding Gray world just an
           | example of what I'd like to be able to freely do for very
           | little cost. The Metaverse should be more like Minecraft and
           | less like AOL.
        
         | seydor wrote:
         | What you describe exists in opensimulator worlds. It's friday
         | night, so a lot of virtual parties going on:
         | https://opensimworld.com/events
        
           | boxmonster wrote:
           | Cool, this is closer to what I think will ultimately be
           | successful. From the FAQ: _What is OpenSimWorld? OpenSimWorld
           | is a directory of 3D worlds that use the open source
           | OpenSimulator software and are connected to each other via
           | the hypergrid functionality. OpenSimWorld is not a Grid, and
           | we don 't host or rent regions, we only provide an easy way
           | to discover amazing virtual worlds and to advertise your own
           | region._
        
         | n4r9 wrote:
         | Not to detract from your point about Meta, but isn't the online
         | world in books like Snow Crash just as much of a corporate wet
         | dream? I suppose it's more libertarian-corporate than what you
         | might call the liberal-corporate of today, but it's still a
         | brutal and gritty world.
        
           | boxmonster wrote:
           | > brutal and gritty world
           | 
           | I think that's the attraction for early adopters who build
           | much of the foundations. Sort of like crypto, web3, DeFi and
           | all that right now. A Wild West were only the smart survive
           | and you can buy drugs and guns if you know how.
           | 
           | Zuckerberg's vision of the Metaverse is blessed by human
           | resource managers who insist everyone follows the code of
           | conduct and no one has genitals. It's bland and comfy, like a
           | mall.
        
       | rchaud wrote:
       | $6.7b in quarterly profit and $40b in cash on hand. Plenty of
       | money to burn on selling people the idea of virtual real estate
       | and Nintento Mii quality avatars.
       | 
       | They're trying to juice ad numbers by jamming more Tiktok style
       | reels into people's IG feeds, which will likely cause an even
       | bigger exodus among IG's biggest accounts.
        
       | jimcavel888 wrote:
        
       | mensetmanusman wrote:
       | The US is a small percentage of FB usage. It is the internet in
       | some countries.
       | 
       | Amazing that an iOS update did this though.
        
         | twobitshifter wrote:
         | And it's difficult for facebook to argue that apple giving
         | users the option to keep their data private was
         | anticompetitive.
         | 
         | This is the classic problem of building on someone else's
         | platform. I know facebook tried their own phone and bubble
         | based android launchers, but they seemed to give that up too
         | easily. In comparison to the money being spent on meta,
         | attacking their weaknesses on the device front might have been
         | a better avenue. They could have bought their way in rather
         | than building it.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | nier wrote:
         | According to this article [1] in the New York Times the
         | introduction of Apple's App Tracking Transparency isn't among
         | the four biggest challenges for Facebook. Daring Fireball has
         | it summarized [2] like so:
         | 
         | "The age problem": Young people aren't using Facebook at all
         | and are using Instagram less, but the success of both platforms
         | as advertising revenue bonanzas is predicated on usage by the
         | youth demographic.
         | 
         | "The innovation problem": Facebook hasn't invented a new hit
         | since the blue app itself and its other successes were all
         | acquired.
         | 
         | "The metaverse problem": They're betting the company on AR/VR,
         | but it remains to be seen whether that's going to be a big
         | thing.
         | 
         | "The antitrust problem": No summary necessary.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/22/briefing/facebook-
         | metaver... [2]
         | https://daringfireball.net/2022/08/facebooks_problems
        
         | ergocoder wrote:
         | In Thailand, the new Bangkok governor do Facebook live almost
         | every day on his work. 100,000+ views on almost every video
         | from a city of 8m.
         | 
         | It is truly refreshing to have this kind of transparency.
         | 
         | I have faith in FB. It is a good communication/community tool.
         | They have to tone down the VR thing a bit. It is not the time
         | for VR yet.
        
         | bdangubic wrote:
         | how much money do you think they make in countries where they
         | are "the internet..."?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | CynicusRex wrote:
       | Glad to see my quitfacebook.org is finally getting some sweet
       | action.
        
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