[HN Gopher] The Merge
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The Merge
        
       Author : night-rider
       Score  : 84 points
       Date   : 2022-08-19 10:31 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (avc.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (avc.com)
        
       | kranke155 wrote:
       | People should really try to understand what's happening in
       | blockchain. Eventually the computational capacity will reach the
       | levels that virtually any app can be replicated inside of it,
       | with a much lower fee for the developers/owners/users and often
       | having full open source code for the components. The blockchain
       | development environment is fundamentally less terrible than the
       | centralised database world, and eventually the computational
       | differences between the two will be so low that centralised
       | databases will be less desirable just because do the warp in the
       | social contract.
       | 
       | Databases encourage centralisation of power to developer/owners,
       | with aggressive bent towards monopoly. Blockchain encouraged
       | opennesss and portability. It's simply a better social contract.
        
         | 0xcde4c3db wrote:
         | > Eventually the computational capacity will reach the levels
         | that virtually any app can be replicated inside of it, with a
         | much lower fee for the developers/owners and having full open
         | source code.
         | 
         | How do you figure? Skilled developers have struggled to
         | efficiently scale an application from one to two rack servers
         | connected with Infiniband, never mind a hodgepodge of
         | heterogeneous hardware and WAN interconnects running a
         | distributed VM. There is nothing in blockchain (nor
         | immutability generally) that actually addresses the underlying
         | issues here, and if anything I would expect the requirement to
         | cryptographically validate all data committed to the chain to
         | make inefficiencies related to synchronization orders of
         | magnitude worse, not better.
        
           | kranke155 wrote:
           | I assume something like Moore's Law applies tbh.
           | 
           | I agree of course it makes order of magnitude slower. The
           | point is - how long until this slow is good enough to perform
           | immensely useful things, with a better distribution of wealth
           | generation than the current datacenter model?
           | 
           | I would say in the next 5 years we'll start seeing
           | breakthrough apps.
           | 
           | Like I said above I don't expect everything ever to go on
           | chain in the near future, you can have very useful apps that
           | only touch on chain for the truly necessary. Even doing the
           | "truly necessary" was painful until very recently, but now
           | with Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, Algorand, Polkadot and
           | Solana, it's becoming more and more accessible over time.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | dale_glass wrote:
             | > I assume something like Moore's Law applies tbh.
             | 
             | We're nearing the limits of physics already. I do expect
             | hardware to get much faster still, but not forever and not
             | as fast as now.
             | 
             | > I agree of course it makes order of magnitude slower. The
             | point is - how long until this slow is good enough to
             | perform immensely useful things, with a better distribution
             | of wealth generation than the current datacenter model?
             | 
             | I think really never. Because the rest of the world doesn't
             | sit idle, and most anything can be done the traditional
             | way.
             | 
             | You could pay huge $$$ to create a smart contract on ETH,
             | or you could get more power than any normal person could
             | afford on the Ethereum blockchain on the AWS EC2 free tier.
             | If you think paying amounts with a few zeroes in them is a
             | sensible thing, then you have far more computing power
             | available.
             | 
             | I think the only reason to use the blockchain is if you
             | really need the blockchain. And the vast majority of
             | computing doesn't. And as we're seeing, the blockchain is
             | very much vulnerable if the world wants to push it around
             | badly enough.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Mostly everything can be done in the traditional way -
               | and much faster indeed. The point of blockchain is a
               | superior social solution, not technical.
               | 
               | I agree with you we will use blockchain where it's
               | necessary, but I suspect that's a decent percentage of
               | our future digital world.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | > Mostly everything can be done in the traditional way -
               | and much faster indeed. The point of blockchain is a
               | superior social solution, not technical.
               | 
               | That's highly arguable. It's a superior social solution
               | if you buy into a very, very specific kind of "social",
               | and are happy with systems that operate within a very
               | limited realm.
               | 
               | Eg, if you like the existence of things like chargebacks,
               | then the blockchain isn't the kind of solution you want.
               | 
               | And you also need for the entire problem to reside inside
               | the blockchain ideally. Blockchains lose any power if
               | they have to interact with the outside world. You can
               | make guarantees around how ETH moves from A to B, but if
               | say, a physical product is involved then the blockchain
               | can't do anything about it.
        
         | jameskilton wrote:
        
           | kranke155 wrote:
           | Feel free to do a point by point rebuttal.
        
             | thedufer wrote:
             | > Eventually the computational capacity will reach the
             | levels that virtually any app can be replicated inside of
             | it
             | 
             | This only makes sense if blockchains can catch up to
             | traditional methods, because applications in the real world
             | will just continue to get more complex as compute power
             | allows. A defining feature of blockchain computation models
             | is that the same calculation must be run many, many times
             | to verify it. Given that each individual one must run on
             | the hardware that blockchain is competing with direct usage
             | of, there's no plausible story for blockchain to close the
             | gap.
             | 
             | > with a much lower fee for the developers/owners/users and
             | often having full open source code for the components.
             | 
             | See above - how could running the same calculation many,
             | many times, plus the networking costs to communicate, ever
             | compete on price with just running it once? At least one,
             | and more likely all, of the parties must lose in the
             | blockchain model.
             | 
             | > The blockchain development environment is fundamentally
             | less terrible than the centralised database world
             | 
             | Terrible in what way? It can't compute on price or compute
             | power/latency/etc.
             | 
             | > eventually the computational differences between the two
             | will be so low
             | 
             | Again - how? See above.
             | 
             | > that centralised databases will be less desirable just
             | because do the warp in the social contract.
             | 
             | I can't come up with a way to parse this that has any
             | meaning, so I'm not sure what to say about it.
             | 
             | > Databases encourage centralisation of power to
             | developer/owners, with aggressive bent towards monopoly.
             | Blockchain encouraged opennesss and portability. It's
             | simply a better social contract.
             | 
             | This seems to be your only real argument - some vague
             | social benefit. But how do we get there? See above -
             | blockchains are far, far more expensive to run, so why
             | would anyone migrate real applications to them? Even if
             | this benefit were real, which I doubt, you don't seem to
             | have any mechanism for making it work in the face of the
             | very real costs of doing so.
             | 
             | Regulation seems like the only plausible way, but anti-
             | regulation and anti-government is a pretty explicit goal of
             | most blockchain folks.
        
         | boh wrote:
         | People do understand. Please stop telling us how
         | hypothetically, possibly, sometime in the future things may one
         | day be somehow better and more amazing than it is today for
         | some yet to be understood reason. You must not be paying
         | attention to say something like "The blockchain development
         | environment is fundamentally less terrible than the centralised
         | database world" given the perpetual controversy in the
         | developer communities of every major cryptocurrency.
        
           | kranke155 wrote:
           | NFTs work and they allow artists to
           | 
           | - make money off digital art in a global permissionless
           | market (didn't exist before) - easily charge royalties in
           | perpetuity for resale of their art
           | 
           | Some aspects of DeFi - the ones that were properly audited
           | and whose function is not a ponzi derivative - work
           | absolutely fine. Compound, AAVE, Uniswap, Curve Finance.
        
             | jjulius wrote:
             | >... easily charge royalties in perpetuity for resale of
             | their art...
             | 
             | Hi. Artist here. I have yet to actually see any example of
             | this occurring with a piece of NFT art. Do you have an
             | example of an NFT that is actively collecting royalties for
             | the artist via resale?
        
               | wanderingbort wrote:
               | Sure, look at the last sale for this piece https://opense
               | a.io/assets/ethereum/0x495f947276749ce646f68ac...
               | 
               | The artist got 0.21 ETH in the transaction despite not
               | actually having a direct role in the sale.
               | 
               | Here is that sale transaction https://etherscan.io/tx/0xc
               | d157ff73439e20903a8573ef2a280571a...
               | 
               | Here is the artist's wallet https://etherscan.io/address/
               | 0x4de5ae339b406a8cd5037e9138a62...
               | 
               | I just picked a random entry, I don't know this piece or
               | artist. There are a lot of examples easily found on the
               | major markets (opensea is one such market)
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Most markets allow you to set royalties for your NFT. I
               | know Versum, Hic et Nunc, pretty sure Opensea. Almost
               | certainly Foundation and Nifty and all the others must do
               | it too?
        
               | seibelj wrote:
               | https://opensea.io/collection/nickelodeon-rugrats-
               | heyarnold-...
               | 
               | My company is one of the largest NFT companies. This is
               | one of our projects. Millions of dollars in secondaries
               | on OpenSea and our hosted marketplace at
               | https://Nickelodeon.xyz/
               | 
               | We collect all royalties and remit payment to the rights
               | holders which include all artists and creators with
               | residuals on Rugrats, of which there are many. They get
               | their check quarterly along with all the other payments
               | (movies, tshirts, video games, etc.)
               | 
               | This isn't exactly rocket science
        
               | polygamous_bat wrote:
               | So, are you saying that you run a centralized third party
               | that is charged with collecting the royalties and passing
               | it on to the artists? Because nowhere in the ERC-721
               | standard is there a way to differentiate between a "sale"
               | and a "transfer between wallets".
               | 
               | So tell me, please, exactly how "blockchain" is bringing
               | "decentralization" to the art field. I am all ears.
        
               | jonnydubowsky wrote:
               | The Rarible exchange contract supports all kinds of
               | external royalty interfaces, among them two that Rarible
               | defined themselves, being an early player in the NFT
               | space:
               | 
               | https://hackernoon.com/enabling-nft-royalties-with-
               | eip-2981
               | 
               | ERC721, 1155 & 2981 together act as a toolkit for the
               | encoding of royalty administration.
               | 
               | For example, if an NFT collection owner only implemented
               | one of Rarible's royalty distribution schemes mentioned
               | above, another marketplace that's not aware of that
               | interface can simply call the common registry's
               | getRoyaltyView function. It tries to query all known
               | royalty interfaces on the token contract and translates
               | any response to a commonly useable result.
               | 
               | Collection owners who haven't put any royalty signaling
               | scheme into their contract can deploy an extended
               | "override" contract and register it with the common
               | registry. This registration method will ensure that only
               | collection owners (identified by the owner public member)
               | can call it
               | 
               | The Rarible exchange contract supports all kinds of
               | external royalty interfaces, among them two that Rarible
               | defined themselves, being an early player in the NFT
               | space:
               | 
               | For example, if an NFT collection owner only implemented
               | one of Rarible's royalty distribution schemes mentioned
               | above, another marketplace that's not aware of that
               | interface can simply call the common registry's
               | getRoyaltyView function. It tries to query all known
               | royalty interfaces on the token contract and translates
               | any response to a commonly useable result.
               | 
               | Collection owners who haven't put any royalty signaling
               | scheme into their contract can deploy an extended
               | "override" contract and register it with the common
               | registry. This registration method will ensure that only
               | collection owners (identified by the owner public member)
               | can call it
               | 
               | ```function royaltyInfo(uint256 _tokenId, uint256
               | _salePrice) external view returns (address receiver,
               | uint256 royaltyAmount);```
               | 
               | The interface also completely works off-chain, so
               | marketplaces that trade assets on alternative
               | infrastructure can still query the creator fee without
               | knowing anything else besides the interface signature of
               | the EIP-2981 method.
               | 
               | PaymentSplitters: Sending NFT Royalties To More Than One
               | Receiver.
               | 
               | Open Zeppelin's PaymentSplitter primitive allows setting
               | up individual split contracts that keep funds safe until
               | their payees claim them, and their receive function
               | requires the bare minimum of gas to run. NFT collection
               | builders can create an inline PaymentSplitter containing
               | the wanted list of beneficiaries and their respective
               | share amounts and let their EIP-2981 implementation yield
               | the address of that split contract.
        
               | seibelj wrote:
               | A sale happens in a marketplace. Marketplaces collect
               | royalties and forward them to the address specified. We
               | are indeed a centralized player, just as all NFT creators
               | are centralized entities (i.e. people) but the assets
               | trade on decentralized networks.
               | 
               | I think you have a fundamental misunderstanding of how
               | all of this works and have a sneering, dismissive affect
               | because this is something you don't understand embraced
               | by people who don't care what you think.
        
               | kareemsabri wrote:
               | So if they don't use your marketplace are the royalties
               | not collected?
        
             | rcthompson wrote:
             | Of all the artists I follow, not a single one has had
             | anything good to say about NFTs. Their only interaction
             | with NFTs has been dozens of scammers fraudulently minting
             | NFTs of all their work, followed by exchanges putting the
             | burden of proof on the artist to show that each individual
             | NFT is fraudulent.
             | 
             | Maybe there's some legitimate business happening in the art
             | NFT space, but if so, it's a drop in an ocean of fraud.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | There's huge amounts of legitimate business happening in
               | NFTs. I would find it hard to imagine an argument that
               | Beeple's huge sale was somehow not legitimate.
               | 
               | I'm hoping a technical solution appears soon for fraud.
               | NFT fraud is no different from a person on the street
               | doing a high quality print of someone else's artwork, and
               | unlike that situation, a technical solution for NFT fraud
               | is conceivable.
        
               | zimpenfish wrote:
               | > I would find it hard to imagine an argument that
               | Beeple's huge sale was somehow not legitimate.
               | 
               | An argument that Beeple's huge sale was somehow not
               | legitimate: https://amycastor.com/2021/03/14/metakovan-
               | the-mystery-beepl...
        
             | foepys wrote:
             | > - easily charge royalties in perpetuity for resale of
             | their art
             | 
             | Can they really? The art itself is not recorded on any
             | blockchain. Just the link and/or hash can be stored there
             | because of costs. Both can change without noticeably
             | modifying the art. Thus a working legal system is still
             | required and blockchain does not provide any meaningful
             | benefit over a standard contract.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Those two things don't cancel each other out.
               | 
               | The art being recorded on a blockchain or not doesn't
               | matter - what you're selling in an NFT is a signature not
               | the art. An NFT is a decoupling of the art and the
               | signature, because digital art is infinitely
               | reproducible. The NFT introduces scarcity - but only for
               | an authentic signature (which can't be faked) not the
               | digital art itself.
               | 
               | And want you're saying is not necessarily true - my
               | understanding is that some markets do place the art on
               | IPFS, but I'd have to look into it's exact working to
               | know for sure.
               | 
               | But I believe for the old Hic et Nunc that was the case.
               | 
               | In this particular case - it is better than a standard
               | contract because the previous method of authenticating
               | work is hugely expensive for the artist and has immense
               | gatekeeping. Minting an NFT takes 30 seconds. Getting you
               | work into an art gallery takes months if not years of
               | battling and requires other people to make the decision
               | whether they want your art in their sales space or not.
               | In crypto you can just do it yourself and figure out your
               | own personal authentication method (usually twitter).
        
               | kkielhofner wrote:
               | My NFT anti-fraud solution has ~195m NFTs indexed and
               | analyzed (everything on Ethereum, Polygon, and Solana).
               | Here's the breakdown of current storage methods across
               | all of them:
               | 
               | curl
               | https://match.tovera.com/api/v0/stats/nft/storageMethods
               | 
               | [ { "storage": "https", "ratio":
               | "0.39163250000000000000", "counted_at":
               | "2022-08-20T05:55:01.164Z" }, { "storage": "ipfs",
               | "ratio": "0.58654950000000000000", "counted_at":
               | "2022-08-20T05:55:01.164Z" }, { "storage": "unknown",
               | "ratio": "0.00090250000000000000", "counted_at":
               | "2022-08-20T05:55:01.164Z" }, { "storage": "chain",
               | "ratio": "0.01584000000000000000", "counted_at":
               | "2022-08-20T05:55:01.164Z" }, { "storage": "http",
               | "ratio": "0.00507550000000000000", "counted_at":
               | "2022-08-20T05:55:01.164Z" } ]
               | 
               | 2% on chain (almost all SVGs), 60% on IPFS, and 40% on
               | HTTPS (total above 100% because I rounded).
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Thank you for this. The fact that you did this shows that
               | there is a potential for a solution for NFT/art copies.
               | Hopefully markets will begin doing this themselves and
               | stop this plague.
        
               | te_chris wrote:
               | Decoupling of the art and the signature??? Do you read
               | what you write before you write it?
               | 
               | There's a reason NFTs are easy and gallery placements are
               | hard: one has value
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | people are making millions of dollars from NFTs, but
               | sure. You're the determiner for what has value in the
               | world.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | The NFT market has been briefly popular and since then
               | has cratered. Also there's a huge amount of wash trading,
               | so most of that activity isn't even real.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Throwing the baby with the bath water. The baby is small
               | and there is a lot of water, but the baby is there.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | I'm not sure how this comment answers what I said
        
               | Kbelicius wrote:
               | > In this particular case - it is better than a standard
               | contract because the previous method of authenticating
               | work is hugely expensive for the artist and has immense
               | gatekeeping. Minting an NFT takes 30 seconds.
               | 
               | As you said NFT is just a signature so how do the NFTs
               | solve the problems of authenticating art?
        
               | kkielhofner wrote:
               | They don't. An example search from my NFT anti-fraud
               | solution:
               | 
               | https://fnftf.io/?results=982ce32629ebcbd7dce30baf2f84ada
               | fb5...
               | 
               | So there you have it - dozens of copies of the same art
               | across the same chain and other chains plus dozens of
               | other low-quality "remixes" that don't qualify as an
               | original work. Nothing in the space (other than solutions
               | like mine) do anything to authenticate the content in any
               | form or fashion.
               | 
               | In fact, on FNFTF we make a pretty big deal of searches
               | that only return one result (original and unique content)
               | because it doesn't happen very often:
               | 
               | https://fnftf.io/?results=81cd744ab237b0eb68fbe1702c82db9
               | cdf...
               | 
               | Shameless plug I suppose but there isn't anything else
               | publicly available that shows just how bad and widespread
               | this issue is.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | I'm sure what you mean. NFTs allow for a market for
               | digital art, in that there's an immutable ledger where
               | artists can say "I am selling 10 'signed artworks' of
               | this piece". Because the ledger is known to be immutable,
               | and it allows for transactions between users, you have a
               | market where there wasn't one before.
               | 
               | The problem of authenticating art before this, for a
               | digital artist, was that you HAD to have a gallery do it
               | with you in order for it to work. No one trusted anyone,
               | not even the artist, to say that there would only be "10
               | copies" of that digital artwork, since they couldn't do
               | any follow through if the artist decided to say there
               | were ten copies but sold 10 000. This was an issue with
               | digital art that was previously only solved by the
               | reputation of X art gallery - the art gallery would say -
               | "we certified only 10 copies, and our reputation as a
               | gallery protects this artwork from being certified
               | again".
               | 
               | With NFTs you just do it. The problem was gatekeeping,
               | the need for an "authority" to certify your signatures on
               | digital art, and the process involved. NFTs are a click
               | of a button and a few dollars to mint.
               | 
               | Does that answer your question?
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | > The problem of authenticating art before this, for a
               | digital artist, was that you HAD to have a gallery do it
               | with you in order for it to work. No one trusted anyone,
               | not even the artist, to say that there would only be "10
               | copies" of that digital artwork, since they couldn't do
               | any follow through if the artist decided to say there
               | were ten copies but sold 10 000. This was an issue with
               | digital art that was previously only solved by the
               | reputation of X art gallery - the art gallery would say -
               | "we certified only 10 copies, and our reputation as a
               | gallery protects this artwork from being certified
               | again".
               | 
               | > With NFTs you just do it.
               | 
               | No, you can't. Anybody can go right now and mint their
               | own series of BAYC or any artwork they want. The
               | blockchain will allow it. It won't even care if you mint
               | it against the exact same data, because as far as I know
               | nothing in the blockchain cares that there's more than
               | one NFT pointing to the same URL, or pointing to an URL
               | that resolves to content bit-by-bit identical to
               | something somebody else already minted.
               | 
               | The only guarantee you can have is an extremely weak one,
               | in the form of "this precise collection, with this
               | precise unique ID is set in stone". That's not going to
               | stop anybody from creating another one 5 minutes later.
        
               | mpeg wrote:
               | This is incorrect, as the parent explained the point of
               | an NFT is the signature, this proves you bought from a
               | certain collection _that was created by a certain wallet_
               | 
               | You can create your own BAYC, scammers do it all the time
               | but they aren't too successful because it's trivial to
               | see it came from an unknown wallet.
               | 
               | Sure, you could infringe on the copyright of a non-crypto
               | artist and pretend to be the artist in an NFT
               | marketplace, but then it becomes a normal copyright claim
               | 
               | NFTs don't replace the legal system, they simply remove
               | the need for the artist to be trusted by a third party
               | (an art gallery, etc) before they can authenticate their
               | own work to a buyer.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | > This is incorrect, as the parent explained the point of
               | an NFT is the signature, this proves you bought from a
               | certain collection that was created by a certain wallet
               | 
               | Note that the parent seems to be arguing something in the
               | system removes the need to trust in the artist, that it
               | stops the artist from creating more items than they
               | promised. But how? Nothing stops the artist from creating
               | a second wallet, or a second collection.
               | 
               | > NFTs don't replace the legal system, they simply remove
               | the need for the artist to be trusted by a third party
               | (an art gallery, etc) before they can authenticate their
               | own work to a buyer.
               | 
               | I don't see how. How do I know that a given wallet ID is
               | connected to the right person? OpenSea or whoever just
               | takes the place of the gallery, and is effectively in
               | charge of answering takedown requests.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | It doesn't stop the artist from re minting the same art,
               | but if he does it will be associated to his wallet, his
               | reputation will be tarnished, an they won't be able to
               | keep selling their art. The incentives are hugely against
               | it, and unlike even physical art (who stops me from
               | painting the same piece 20 times in secret) the ledger
               | for the existence of the NFT is public.
        
               | wanderingbort wrote:
               | You are correct. NFTs do not prevent counterfeiting. One
               | could argue that it makes counterfeiting easier due to
               | their open nature.
               | 
               | However, it also makes detecting counterfeits trivial. So
               | trivial that the consumer can detect it using their own
               | devices and freely available wallet software. No need for
               | special skills or trust anchors like appraisers (other
               | than the public blockchain and public standards).
               | 
               | This isn't a complete solution for scams because most
               | people don't realize how trivial it is to check before
               | they buy. I believe the remaining problems are in
               | usability and education problem. The tech does lower the
               | barrier to achieving a safer ecosystem.
               | 
               | We could have a healthy debate over whether the tech
               | solved the hard side or the easy side of the problem.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | > However, it also makes detecting counterfeits trivial.
               | So trivial that the consumer can detect it using their
               | own devices and freely available wallet software.
               | 
               | Only so long that the authentic source is present. You
               | can detect the authentic BAYC because BAYC has a large
               | presence and everyone knows their wallet ID.
               | 
               | Now let's say I take a photo, and you find a NFT for it
               | on OpenSea. How do you know if it's authentic?
        
               | wanderingbort wrote:
               | If you (the artist) have no presence in NFTs, it's fake.
               | 
               | If you do, then I can trivially verify that you are the
               | minter.
               | 
               | Crucially, the person that has the incentive to mint (the
               | artist) also has all they need to establish the
               | provenance of the photo.
               | 
               | No 3rd parties, no specialized tools/skills.
        
               | dale_glass wrote:
               | Okay, and how do you know whether I have a presence in
               | NFTs? Go and check, and do tell me how you figure it out.
        
               | wanderingbort wrote:
               | I think you are coming at this the wrong direction.
               | 
               | As a buyer I have to have some compulsion to buy. If that
               | is not "I want to buy an authentic piece tied to an
               | artist" NFTs probably aren't for you.
               | 
               | With NFTs I can start at either the artist or the piece
               | and trivially connect to the other.
               | 
               | NFTs don't solve for discovery.
               | 
               | Nor do they provide a root of trust for artist identity.
               | At best they can provide information to some sort of
               | identity system but NFTs by themselves are not a complete
               | solution for that.
               | 
               | As an artist who wants to sell an NFT, the onus is on you
               | to broadcast your presence/address so that your buyers
               | can check provenance. Post it on your Instagram maybe. It
               | doesn't have to be magical.
        
               | klez wrote:
               | That rises another question, imho: who cares?
               | 
               | I don't mean that in a dismissive way, I actually mean
               | why is authenticity important or even desirable when
               | using a medium that allows for infinite copies at near-
               | zero marginal cost?
               | 
               | It's just not the right medium for it. It would be like
               | expecting to be able to digitally transfer a statue.
        
               | solveit wrote:
               | This has been mysterious to me for a long time and it
               | still remains mysterious to me, but I have to accept that
               | people do care. This isn't just limited to NFTs, people
               | buy signed copies of things despite signatures being
               | trivial to forge, people buy authentic branded items even
               | when indistinguishable counterfeits are available, people
               | pay more for "original prints" of _digital_ photographs!
               | 
               | In short, people care about _provenance_. NFTs guarantee
               | provenance for data, even if the process of  "attaching"
               | it to a jpg or whatever is a bit clunky. I don't
               | understand why people care so much about provenance, but
               | they do, and NFTs provide a partial solution.
        
               | Kbelicius wrote:
               | > Does that answer your question?
               | 
               | No it doesn't. Your claim was that NFTs make
               | authenticating art easier. What you wrote has nothing to
               | do with art authentication.
               | 
               | Basically I can take some digital art made by somebody
               | else and be the first to release an NFT of it. What now?
               | How does an NFT help us here?
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | It doesn't. It just allow for a market of digital
               | signatures for digital art. but technical solutions to
               | the problems you're talking about are conceivable.
        
           | kranke155 wrote:
           | Im not sure what you mean by perpetual controversy either.
           | 
           | What I mean by "less terrible" is socially, not technically.
           | 
           | Centralised datacenter based development leads to digital
           | feudalism, where the owners of the datacenters take control
           | of the "digital land" and build moats around them (often
           | fake, imaginary - see how text messaging has no
           | interoperability anymore when 10 years ago it did)
           | 
           | In blokchain / decentralised databases development this is
           | not possible - people can always access the data that's on
           | chain, and they can extend your code, see it, change it
           | (depending on the license even copy it and just make a
           | slightly different product, a la Uniswap V2 and Sushi Swap).
           | This leads to a real free market for applications, instead of
           | the digital feudalism that naturally results from centralised
           | data centers.
        
             | ctxc wrote:
             | - Who pays for the low latency high capacity data storage
             | costs? - The ad-model subsidizes almost all costs for the
             | end user. I couldn't even DREAM of storing an arbitrary
             | amount of photos and videos and text spanning years, highly
             | available all the time, ability to search and communicate
             | with anybody etc for free without this. There are huge
             | costs involved with this that the "data moat" subsidizes.
             | 
             | Note that I'm not referring to the "morals" of doing this,
             | my question is pragmatic.
             | 
             | - Why will say, a Facebook do this with "decentralized
             | data"? - How do they pay their bills, what monetization
             | structure do you envision? - Will people pay for something
             | they have always had for free? It won't be a nominal amount
             | since they have to bear the costs of running the service,
             | there's no subsidization.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Those are all great questions. I honestly don't expect
               | rich media to be stored on chain for a long, long time -
               | not unless some Pied Piper type solution shows up!
               | 
               | On monetisation structures - no idea, the only thing
               | blockchain does is build a permissionless system where
               | people will be able to experiment wildly with different
               | models. Like Jobs said when he launched the iPhone "I'm
               | excited about the stuff we don't know about" more than
               | what's out there now (Ethereum being at best now a rough
               | Beta project).
               | 
               | Certainly the monetisation of digital art has changed a
               | lot of what some of my favourite 3D artists have been
               | doing - they no longer compete for likes on Instagram
               | (worthless) but actively promote their NFTs from which
               | they can make good money out of. They are producing the
               | exact same kind of output - digital art - but NFTs are
               | quietly taking over the whole space and changing the
               | whole economic structure.
        
               | pionar wrote:
               | > actively promote their NFTs from which they can make
               | good money out of.
               | 
               | People pay for inherently worthless NFTs with inherently
               | worthless tokens, so they're not making good actual money
               | unless they happen to cash out on an upswing.
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | Thinking that cryptocurrency doesn't have value at this
               | point is a hopeless perspective.
        
             | klez wrote:
             | > people can always access the data that's on chain
             | 
             | Doesn't that have heavy privacy implications? Or is this a
             | solved problem the solution to which doesn't get much
             | publicized?
        
               | kranke155 wrote:
               | That's a good point I don't have a rebuttal to.
               | 
               | The potential dystopia is that crypto can lead to
               | something like a digital society that's completely naked
               | to the nation state and everyone knows what everyone else
               | has done, forever, always. Every transaction, movement
               | and digital app usage would be in a transparent public
               | ledger with everyone's IDs attached to it.
               | 
               | It's not a good scenario and which is why I feel like any
               | idea that CBDCs are a good idea seem delusional.
        
         | rglover wrote:
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UAVImvzFhXI
        
       | thematrixturtle wrote:
       | A less starry-eyed take:
       | 
       | https://davidgerard.co.uk/blockchain/2022/08/20/proof-of-sta...
        
         | baobabKoodaa wrote:
         | I usually judge arguments on their merits, but on this case
         | I'll make an exception and judge by the credibility of the
         | author: that article is not worth reading. David Gerard is a
         | permabear who has been criticizing crypto for about a decade
         | now. Everything that happens in crypto is bad according to him.
         | Ethereum moves to PoS? Bad. Ethereum doesn't move to PoS? Bad.
         | There's no event in crypto that would be positive according to
         | him.
        
         | nibbleshifter wrote:
         | Oh, that guy. He tends to be technically incorrect regularly
         | and gets rather arsey when you call him on it.
        
           | seibelj wrote:
           | He is a crank, he does post here sometimes to bicker with you
           | which can be amusing
        
         | Keeeeeeeks wrote:
         | The core axiom is unfalsifiable because it hinges on asserting
         | the intent, and relying on other unfalsifiable questions to try
         | and ascertain intent ("why do decentralization if not to avoid
         | legal risk of doing bad things?"), but the answers proposed by
         | crypto proponents aren't ideals or scenarios that the writer
         | empathizes with, it seems
        
       | TakeBlaster16 wrote:
       | No mention of sanctions?
       | 
       | It's estimated that ~50% of staked value is held by US companies.
       | These companies are going to have to make an impossible choice.
       | Either:
       | 
       | 1. Sign transactions coming from the sanctioned addresses,
       | inviting the wrath of OFAC.
       | 
       | or:
       | 
       | 2. Refuse to sign these transactions.
       | 
       | 2a. If between 33% and 66% of the network refuses, the network
       | will penalize dissenters by slashing their staked coins, until
       | they no longer have a 33% stake. Billions of dollars of customer
       | funds could be lost.
       | 
       | 2b. If > 67% of the network refuses, transactions can be
       | successfully censored. Now we no longer have decentralized ETH,
       | we have "USA coin", where the government can censor anyone with a
       | quick email to Brian Armstrong.
       | 
       | I don't see a way out. It doesn't look like the network is
       | actually decentralized enough to handle a nation-state attack.
       | This was not an issue with the old proof of work scheme. I'll be
       | amazed if the merge is not delayed while they work on a solution
       | to this.
       | 
       | EDIT: If Coinbase does lose that money, you could say the network
       | is operating as designed in the presence of a hostile validator.
       | But a LOT of people are not going to be happy with the result.
        
         | RichardCNormos wrote:
         | In the US, it would end up in court. It directly pits fiduciary
         | duty against OFAC.
         | 
         | For example, if a US-based CEX that operates in New York has a
         | slashing event, that brings regulatory consequences from NYDFS,
         | regardless of the reason for the slashing.
        
           | kortilla wrote:
           | Not really. You can't have a fiduciary duty to break the law.
           | The downside risk is much higher to violate OFAC.
        
         | scyclow wrote:
         | Re 2b: While the scenario you're outlining certainly isn't
         | ideal, I don't think it's fair to say that the transactions are
         | "censored". All they can do is not validate blocks with this
         | transactions in them. It's only a matter of time though before
         | a block is validated by someone not under the purview by OFAC.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | TakeBlaster16 wrote:
           | All blocks are voted on by the validators. If 67% of the
           | network is censoring transactions, someone else could not
           | just pop in and validate a block, because they would not have
           | 67% of the votes.
        
         | jrsj wrote:
         | This isn't a bug, it's a feature. It's also something Bitcoin
         | maximalists have been warning about for a long time.
        
         | aboodman wrote:
         | I guess another potential option is that companies that stake
         | large amounts of ETH don't exist in the US?
        
         | randomran01234 wrote:
         | > This was not an issue with the old proof of work scheme.
         | 
         | Censorship of transactions because of OFAC is already happening
         | in PoW mining.
         | 
         | https://twitter.com/takenstheorem/status/1560690035955011585...
        
           | globalreset wrote:
           | Except in in PoW it only means delayed transactions, because
           | only one miner has to "sign off" the block - everyone else
           | accept it passively. A single miner, even with 0.1% mining
           | power is enough to keep the network censorship resistant.
           | 
           | In PoS majority of validators has to actively approve a block
           | containing "illegal" transactions, leading to permanent
           | censorship.
           | 
           | The exact interpretation of validation vs mining
           | responsibility in face of law and passive vs active is fuzzy
           | , but it leaves miners is better legal position.
        
             | robcohen wrote:
             | A better legal position, until that is it's made illegal to
             | accept unapproved blocks. PoW is not immune to the exact
             | same regulatory pressure. The US gov can just force a fork
             | of the chain by requiring US miners to only accept approved
             | blocks.
        
             | 0x64 wrote:
             | You are wrong about the majority of validators having to
             | approve a certain transaction for them to be included. Even
             | if 80 % of the network were censoring, those transactions
             | would, on average, make it into every fifth block.
        
               | randomran01234 wrote:
               | Can you point to any sources? I would like to read about
               | how this will be accepted even if the majority is against
               | inclusion.
        
               | 0x64 wrote:
               | Because not attesting is against the network's fork-
               | choice rules. If that censoring majority chooses to avoid
               | said block, because it contains transactions that should
               | be censored, they will perform an illegal re-org around
               | the block. Sure, it won't be "illegal" as a majority of
               | the network follows said re-org.
               | 
               | It's an extremely nuanced topic, and it was extensively
               | discussed in the last core-developer call on Thursday.
               | Every single operator has been warned that going against
               | the fork-choice rules could, and ultimately will, result
               | in social mitigations against spec-deviating behavior.
               | 
               | This could be set of socially executed slashings of
               | validators that don't respect the fork-choice rules, or
               | an honest-minority executed hard-fork that effectively
               | causes misbehaving validators to bleed until they start
               | respecting the protocol's rules.
               | 
               | I could be wrong on multiple counts, especially regarding
               | re-orgs, but this is how I've understood the issue.
        
             | brian_cloutier wrote:
             | PoS seems very similar to PoW, and if one is fine (as we
             | seem to think), the other is fine too.
             | 
             | In POW there are only block producers, and producing a
             | block requires actively choosing transactions and
             | transaction ordering.
             | 
             | Ethereum POS includes an additional attestation step where
             | validators confirm that they have seen blocks without
             | exercising any control over the contents of those blocks.
             | 
             | But this is exactly what PoW miners do when they extend the
             | chain: every block is a vote for all previous blocks in the
             | chain.
        
             | randomran01234 wrote:
             | Interesting, so this is a problem if 66% or more decide to
             | reject a transaction. How many blocks are currently signed
             | by solo miners in PoW? Almost all blocks are signed by
             | pools which looks like the PoS committees in practice yo my
             | naive eyes. A miner with 0.1% hash power would probably be
             | a _very_ long delay.
             | 
             | I do agree this is probably the most concerning thing that
             | Tornado Cash sanctions have shown us. Still don't think the
             | energy cost of PoW is worth it, and would rather see PBS
             | and crList solve this problem.
             | 
             | https://notes.ethereum.org/@fradamt/H1ZqdtrBF
        
               | TakeBlaster16 wrote:
               | The difference is that PoW pools are made up of
               | individual miners who are free to go elsewhere if their
               | pool misbehaves. Pools do not have their own mining
               | hardware, and so they have an economic incentive to be
               | well-behaved. If they misbehave, everybody leaves and
               | they vaporize their business overnight.
               | 
               | PoS is tyranny of the majority: You cannot take your
               | business elsewhere.
        
               | randomran01234 wrote:
               | It's the same with staking. If you aren't solo staking,
               | you are just delegating to a staking pool. And you can
               | withdraw that and deposit it elsewhere if they do not
               | align with your values.
        
               | TakeBlaster16 wrote:
               | Again, it is not possible for staking pools to differ on
               | "values". If a validator does not vote with the majority,
               | their funds will be slashed by the protocol.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | randomran01234 wrote:
               | Trying to understand how this differs in practice. Anyone
               | delegating to a staking pool is forced into their values.
               | Ethermine recently started blocking OFAC transactions, so
               | does the majority of miners in that pool agree with this?
               | If so, what is the defence against censorship in this
               | scenario except for some to exit the pool and use another
               | that aligns with their values?
        
               | TakeBlaster16 wrote:
               | Ethereum is still using PoW as of today, so anything
               | Ethermine did recently isn't really relevant to
               | discussions about PoS. As long as Ethereum is using PoW,
               | pools of any size can pick and choose what transactions
               | to include in a block. Once Ethereum switches to PoS,
               | that will no longer be possible (without further protocol
               | changes)
        
           | camjohnson26 wrote:
           | That appears to be a single miner, so the transactions will
           | still go through.
        
             | paulpauper wrote:
             | so what if more do it? then you got a problem. just 3
             | miners control >50%
        
         | flotzam wrote:
         | > 2b. If > 67% of the network refuses, transactions can be
         | successfully censored.
         | 
         | Similar with PoW. For both PoW and PoS, the proper response is
         | to socially coordinate forking out the censoring block producer
         | majority (like with the Bitcoin UASF that was threatened over
         | much less egregious miner misbehavior). PoS improves on PoW
         | here in two ways:
         | 
         | 1. _Non-censoring_ PoS block producers can have a tiny
         | meatspace presence compared to PoW mining operations, which
         | makes it easier to physically evade pro-censorship forces
         | 
         | 2. It's more effective to coordinate a direct confiscation of
         | the _censoring_ PoS block producers ' on-chain capital
         | investment, compared to making miners' equipment partially
         | obsolete by coordinating an ad-hoc redesign of the PoW
         | algorithm
         | 
         | https://nitter.net/dystopiabreaker/status/156071598642414796...
        
           | syntheweave wrote:
           | "Socially coordinating" is how fiat works. It should only be
           | a bootstrapping mechanism towards trustless behaviors, not
           | the mechanism to cancel each other on-chain.
        
           | tromp wrote:
           | With PoW, even if a majority of hashpower refuses to include
           | a particular transaction in their mempool (and hence in
           | blocks they mine), that transaction can be mined by some
           | minority miner.
           | 
           | It's only when the majority is colluding to reorg the chain
           | that the transaction can be censored.
        
             | flotzam wrote:
             | > It's only when the majority is colluding to reorg the
             | chain that the transaction can be censored.
             | 
             | I'm assuming (like in the last tweets of the linked thread)
             | that pro-censorship forces who can arrange for the
             | supermajority in PoS to censor transactions can also
             | arrange for the majority in PoW to not build on any
             | uncensored head of the chain, i.e. they can mandate "always
             | reorg."
        
             | pa7x1 wrote:
             | This is true also in PoS. If 90% of the validators censor a
             | transaction, i.e. Do not include them in their blocks, the
             | censored transactions would take 10x longer to be included
             | but they would be included eventually.
        
         | zionic wrote:
         | This is in fact already a problem with PoW and is happening
         | right now. AFAIK ether mine stopped including TC transactions
         | in their blocks.
        
         | kranke155 wrote:
         | "The idea of apolitical money is a fantasy"
         | 
         | Yannis Varoufakis, London, circa 2017
         | 
         | Either crypto follows the law or it gets banned. IMO this was
         | inevitable.
        
           | silentsea90 wrote:
           | You present a problem with Proof of Stake as an inevitable
           | run in with the law and/or some folly of the crypto
           | community. That's not very sound logic.
           | 
           | I personally believe in apolitical decentralized money
           | winning against fiat which is governed on the whims of
           | central bankers and crony capitalism. Every system where
           | technology brings fairness, power to all, and hard rules
           | wins. This will not be an exception. It is the separation of
           | money and state, not very dissimilar from church and state,
           | monarchy and nationhood etc.
        
             | RandomLensman wrote:
             | It's fine to want a different society/policies, but you
             | need to expand on how that new society should look like
             | then: How would sanctions work, for example? Or if there
             | are none, will there be other means of defense/offense? Who
             | would set the rules of the monetary system and what would
             | give legitimacy to those rule setters? How to move from the
             | old system to the new without (too much) disruption? ...
             | 
             | The endings of proper monarchies weren't always simple and
             | nice events - if that is the magnitude of change you have
             | in mind.
        
               | silentsea90 wrote:
               | Sanctions don't stem from the existence of Fiat currency
               | (at least directly), and may still exist depending on
               | power dynamics. The move is on the way and will continue.
               | It will be disruptive but I'm not sure exactly how it'll
               | go. Regular military offense and defense systems will
               | exist but just not ones where the US say prints infinite
               | money for war and incurs sovereign debt. Wars might be a
               | lot smaller scale then. Old world wars required rulers to
               | raise money, taxation etc. They didn't print out of thin
               | air, or bankrupt entire nations (eg Weimar Germany)
               | 
               | Non Fiat money has been the norm pre unpegged Fiat. It's
               | been around for 2-3k years at least, whereas unpegged
               | Fiat is 50 years old. I'm surprised we find the fall of
               | Fiat as hard to imagine:)
        
             | HelloNurse wrote:
             | What "hard rules" can compete with actually enforced law?
             | Don't you expect more "whims" (and scams) from private
             | adventurers than from governments?
        
               | silentsea90 wrote:
               | I expect all parties to act in their own best interests.
               | I do in fact expect more scams from private bodies, but
               | the government conducts a much larger scam in printing
               | without accountability a currency unbacked by anything
               | and not bound to any rules, a billion ton gorilla that
               | moves the "free" markets at it's whim.
               | 
               | The people's interest imo is in fairness to all not asset
               | owners who aren't as affected by money printing etc
               | 
               | The law isn't sacrosanct, but of course it needs to be
               | followed. It is malleable and comes from lawmakers who
               | may or may not represent the interest of the people,
               | unwittingly or otherwise
        
             | Vespasian wrote:
             | The power of law comes from the ability, to confiscate
             | things, kick in doors and arrest people. Usually there is
             | some social consensus such that most comply anyway most of
             | the time.
             | 
             | This is true and always and trumps whatever your software
             | says is meaningless if there is any conflict ("you and what
             | army" is a very valid question.
             | 
             | Now, the law (a court) can of course allow your software
             | and might even enforce a contract bases on your software
             | 
             | In good systems the governed people have a say in how those
             | laws are created. In Bad ones it's literally whatever one
             | person mutters with a mouth full of breakfast cereals and
             | headaches.
        
             | manigandham wrote:
             | Crypto itself can cross borders as a intangible virtual
             | entity. You cannot. Your physicality means you're bounded
             | by geographical borders to a nation state and thus its laws
             | and regulations.
        
               | nostrademons wrote:
               | That assumes that people are the entities that the
               | economy optimizes for, which hasn't been true for 10,000
               | years or so. People are disposable to capitalism - there
               | are 7.7 billion of us, which makes individual humans
               | about as significant to the economy as individual neurons
               | are to consciousness. As long as there exist some humans
               | that are in a position to do the crypto-economy's
               | bidding, it'll happen, and it doesn't matter if some of
               | them are thrown in prison or executed or die from poor
               | government policies.
               | 
               | From the perspective of world history, this is a BFD. The
               | monetary system of the past 80 years has been controlled
               | by the ruling class of a ~150-300M person nation. The
               | crypto economy imposes uniform rules on ~3B people, which
               | is an order of magnitude greater complexity, and should
               | see further specialization and gains from trade for those
               | that participate in it.
        
         | etaioinshrdlu wrote:
         | Where is the evidence that a validator signing transactions
         | invites the wrath if OFAC?
        
           | rufusroflpunch wrote:
           | Do you really think they wouldn't turn they screw when the
           | time came?
        
             | etaioinshrdlu wrote:
             | They might, but speculating on what the Gov might do is
             | tough. I was very convinced that Bitcoin and all
             | derivatives would be outright illegal just a few years
             | after they went mainstream, and that has definitely not
             | happened. In a sense every self-hosted bitcoin wallet could
             | be seen as violating payments laws.
        
               | Ruphin wrote:
               | Making it illegal to have Bitcoin is not very easy.
               | 
               | What you call a "self-hosted bitcoin wallet" is just
               | knowing some combination of bits that happens to be the
               | private key that gives you the ability to sign
               | transactions for some Bitcoin. How do you make it illegal
               | to know something? What if I tell you my private key,
               | does that mean you are then suddenly violating payments
               | laws? What if you stumble upon it by accident?
               | 
               | Technically any string of 32 bytes is a valid private key
               | that can hold Bitcoin. There just might not be any
               | Bitcoin in the address associated with it at this time.
               | What if I "know" a random string of 32 bytes, am I then
               | suddenly in violation of laws when someone randomly
               | deposits Bitcoin to the corresponding address?
               | 
               | The legal difficulty is that the action of having or
               | holding Bitcoin (or mostly any cryptocurrency) is
               | something that has no physical representation and is
               | purely information based.
               | 
               | Mining or making transactions is a different story
               | altogether. These require, amongst other things, that you
               | send specific digital information across the internet
               | which is certainly something that can be made illegal.
        
       | mypastself wrote:
       | Can someone clarify the point about expected price action changes
       | for ETH/USD and other pairs?
       | 
       | Presumably the author believes a smaller proportion of Ether will
       | be regularly traded than on the PoW system, but will the total
       | staked (i.e. held) amount be sufficient to impact prices
       | significantly? Also, why would we expect stakers to not take
       | their profits on a regular basis?
       | 
       | What's the meaning (and reasoning behind) the following
       | statement:
       | 
       | > Ethereum will move from a system that has roughly $20mm a day
       | of structural outflows to a system that has roughly a half a
       | million dollars a day of structural inflows.
        
         | wmf wrote:
         | _Also, why would we expect stakers to not take their profits on
         | a regular basis?_
         | 
         | Currently it's impossible to unstake so the existing stakers
         | are self-selected hodlers. Longer term some stakers will hodl
         | and some will take profits.
        
       | koolba wrote:
       | Assuming a fork is expected and the PoW chain is running
       | alongside the PoS chain, wouldn't this cause a massive run up in
       | ETH holdings to end up with assets on both chains?
        
         | foepys wrote:
         | This already happened multiple times, e.g. Ethereum Classic and
         | for Bitcoin with Bitcoin Cash a few years back.
         | 
         | It created quite a bit of drama when exchanges refused to give
         | customers the respective forked coins.
        
           | silentsea90 wrote:
           | Exchanges refused to give customers forked coins? Why?!
        
             | wmf wrote:
             | It takes a certain amount of development work for an
             | exchange to support a new coin so sometimes they don't do
             | it.
        
               | silentsea90 wrote:
               | I'm not sure it's that much work if there's something of
               | tangible current value being held from their rightful
               | owners, esp when they keep adding all sorts of coins.
               | There should at least be a way to extract them even if
               | the exchange doesn't support trading them
        
               | landemva wrote:
               | Those who care about claiming forks will not use an
               | exchange. People have varying priorities.
        
               | baobabKoodaa wrote:
               | I agree that's the way the world should be, but it isn't.
        
             | xorcist wrote:
             | Forking a chain is trivial. There are websites that lets
             | anyone do it with a single click.
             | 
             | You can't realistically expect exchanges to trade all
             | possible fork coins.
        
         | thematrixturtle wrote:
         | No, because the merge in itself does not create new value, it
         | simply splits existing value in two. So 1 old PoW ETH today
         | will be worth (say) 0.9 PoS ETH and 0.1 PoW ETH tomorrow.
         | 
         | To be clear, that's the theory, reality is a little more
         | complicated. This happened earlier with ETH and ETC, as well as
         | BTC and a whole bunch of forks, and in practice there was
         | always a bit of "value" created from thin air, at least
         | temporarily, with original + fork > original before fork.
        
       | yuan43 wrote:
       | > Proof of Stake systems (of which they are many in the market
       | already like Solana, Avalanche, etc) are considered more secure
       | because the likelihood of a 51% attack is much lower. I don't
       | plan to lay out the argument here, but suffice it to say that
       | Ethereum is moving to a consensus mechanism that many consider to
       | be more resistant to attack, making it even more secure than it
       | has been.
       | 
       | I don't think so. At best, we can say that the attack surface
       | will have changed. How it has changed will unfold. But to claim
       | that POS is "more resistant to attack" is complete rubbish and a
       | sign the author is clueless about the technological
       | ramifications.
       | 
       | It's kind of like saying that traveling 2 miles below the ocean's
       | surface by submarine is safer than traveling by car because you
       | can't get hit by a drunk driver.
        
         | silentsea90 wrote:
         | +1 two different systems with their own pros and cons. So far
         | PoW seems more resilient, but that may also have to do with
         | Bitcoin treating nation states and centralized entities as
         | adversaries from the start.
        
         | derefr wrote:
         | This wasn't supposed to be an argument about the relative
         | exploitability of the attack-surfaces presented by
         | implementations of the technologies of PoW and PoS consensus
         | systems, though; but rather about the economics inherent in
         | "cornering the market" in PoW vs PoS.
         | 
         | PoW and PoS both allow a single party to unilaterally control
         | the network _when they 're working exactly as intended_ -- just
         | under conditions that are impractical in major networks. That
         | impracticality can be measured in economic terms -- as a
         | dollars-and-cents cost to acquire the assets necessary to take
         | control.
         | 
         | It's harder to buy out 51% of validation stake of a network of
         | size N, than it is to buy the GPUs and the electricity to power
         | them to do 51% of the mining for a network of size N. GPUs are
         | technically unbounded -- you can just build your own fabs, if
         | you really care -- and so the marginal cost of acquiring
         | another GPU+electricity is constant. But stake is a pie; the
         | marginal cost of acquiring more of it increases as less of it
         | remains available on the market. (And many people will just
         | never give theirs up, for ideological reasons.) Thus, it's
         | harder to Sybil attack PoS than PoW.
        
           | scottiebarnes wrote:
           | 51% attacks aren't just a single actor dictating blocks, but
           | the threat of a cartel of large stakeholders cooperating to
           | attain 51% of vote power
        
             | derefr wrote:
             | Yes, and? This is orthogonal to PoW vs PoS. In either case,
             | you can treat the resulting cartel as "a single party" for
             | purposes of modelling them.
             | 
             | It's also not really a scenario worth considering.
             | 
             | In order to cooperate, the miners/validators need to have
             | full alignment on their goals. Which is very unlikely for
             | Sybil attacks, which almost always destroy systemic
             | economic value -- including the value held by the
             | attackers. You might be able to find e.g. a government who
             | wants to do a Sybil attack to accomplish goal X, and are
             | willing to burn down $N billion dollars of their own staked
             | assets to do so; but can you find a bunch of other
             | governments or large corporations who _also_ want to
             | accomplish that same goal X more than they want their own
             | stake-value? And who can be trusted to coordinate and not
             | leak the plan?
             | 
             | A Sybil attack is basically like a bank heist where the
             | attacker(s) have to pull up to the bank in their own
             | personal aircraft carriers (destroying said aircraft
             | carriers in the process, from the hull damage of sliding
             | along several city streets), without anyone realizing
             | they're coming. You can _maybe_ theoretically do it as one
             | entity with full internal goal-alignment. It 's much
             | _harder_ to do it as multiple entities.
        
               | scottiebarnes wrote:
               | One relevant question is which system allows for the
               | pooling of resources easier. In PoW you have mining
               | pools, and a member changing pools is trivial as changing
               | an address. In PoS you have large organizations like
               | Coinbase running staking for users. Don't know how
               | withdrawls will work, but that could be a very
               | significant amount of eth. Coinbase would have to vote a
               | certain way to comply with laws.
        
               | derefr wrote:
               | From the Coinbase User Agreement (https://www.coinbase.co
               | m/legal/user_agreement/united_states#...):
               | 
               | > 1.4. Governance and Voting. For certain Digital Assets,
               | the underlying protocols offer stakers the ability to
               | vote on matters related to the governance of protocol-
               | level issues. Coinbase may or may not support voting for
               | such assets, and may cease supporting voting at any time
               | in its discretion. _Coinbase will comply with your
               | instruction_ to vote your Supported Digital Assets to the
               | extent Coinbase or its affiliate supports voting for such
               | Supported Digital Assets. In certain cases, Coinbase may
               | vote on your behalf where Coinbase or the applicable
               | protocol does not support delegated voting; _in those
               | instances, Coinbase will vote with the protocol's
               | recommendation_.
               | 
               | But what about jurisdictions that compel them to vote in
               | certain ways?
               | 
               | From the Coinbase page on Eth2 staking
               | (https://help.coinbase.com/en/coinbase/trading-and-
               | funding/co...):
               | 
               | > To be eligible to stake ETH, you must: [...] Live in a
               | jurisdiction eligible for ETH staking.
               | 
               | > Which regions are eligible for ETH staking? [...]
               | United States _(excluding Hawaii & New York)_
               | 
               | In other words: they're just not going to offer the
               | service in any place that compels them to vote a certain
               | way.
               | 
               | I presume most delegatable validators have chosen a
               | similar option: avoiding the problem entirely by not
               | taking anyone's money if they're from those
               | jurisdictions. Just as most ICOs in 2017, when the US
               | didn't have regulatory clarity on crypto being a security
               | or not, just avoided the problem entirely by preventing
               | (direct) sales to US-market investors.
        
               | coralreef wrote:
               | But what happens if/when a large amount of user ETH gets
               | staked in a single country, in a few entities? End users
               | don't have the motive or skills to move their ETH to
               | platforms or systems that better protect
               | decentralization. The downsides of PoS is worth
               | exploring.
        
         | thesausageking wrote:
         | Ever since Fred pumped $Kin, I have a hard time taking anything
         | he says about crypto seriously. Here he seems to be again
         | talking his book, even when the facts don't agree with him.
        
       | rufusroflpunch wrote:
       | The idea that Proof of Stake is more secure against attack is
       | beyond absurd, frankly. However you feel about the energy usage
       | of proof of work consensus mechanisms, they are far more
       | resistant to attack and centralization.
        
         | randomran01234 wrote:
         | Why? PoW can only afford to be attacked twice. It even has a
         | name: "spawn camping." In proof of stake, this is pretty easy
         | to defend against repeatedly.
         | 
         | https://vitalik.ca/general/2020/11/06/pos2020.html
        
           | cowtools wrote:
           | I don't understand how PoS changes this. Also, that blog post
           | does not consider CPU-mined PoW which is unprofitable for
           | miners and sustained attackers.
        
         | paulgb wrote:
         | I agree that it's absurd today, but how many bitcoin halvings
         | until it isn't? When people talk about the security of bitcoin,
         | there's a tendency to pretend that the network's security isn't
         | 98% subsidized by a diminishing pool of unminted bitcoin.
        
           | cowtools wrote:
           | There are cryptocurrencies like monero that have implemented
           | a constant "tail emission" block reward to fight off selfish
           | mining attacks. So that leads me to believe that's a threat
           | specific to bitcoin's tokenomics and not PoW cryptocurrencies
           | in general.
        
         | landemva wrote:
         | > they [PoW] are far more resistant to attack
         | 
         | Many meanings of "attack". A year ago China attacked the miners
         | and they mostly left China. A nation attacking the btc network
         | is real, and the miners physically moved.
         | 
         | It is easier to move a PoS validator, and harder to locate the
         | validator in the first place.
        
       | superb-owl wrote:
       | This disclosure should be at the top of the article:
       | 
       | > Disclosure: My family and USV have large holdings in ETH and
       | other crypto assets and may continue to add to them in the coming
       | weeks, months, and years.
        
         | choppaface wrote:
         | You can trust that any link from avc.com has unstated financial
         | conflict of interest. These links get on the front page because
         | people gawk at "VC said X" not because there's technical or
         | even truthful discussion of X.
        
         | gist wrote:
         | Why is it needed at all though? (I know it's the 'style' to
         | disclose like this). Fred is a VC and he is blogging. It's
         | assumed he has some interest or bias and anyone reading should
         | be skeptical. This is not a news story. He could have a bias or
         | an angle even if he doesn't benefit.
         | 
         | And what does 'large holdings' even mean anyway? Large to Fred
         | what's large to Fred?
        
         | camjohnson26 wrote:
         | Most of the most knowledgeable people in the space probably
         | have large holdings, since otherwise there's not much incentive
         | to learn about it.
        
           | eduction wrote:
           | People don't need incentives to learn about technologies that
           | solve real problems though. I saw the value in Macs, for
           | example, without ever buying Apple shares, I use AWS without
           | owning Amazon, I learned about Linux without profiting from
           | its spread, etc.
           | 
           | Update: My point is simply that if "most knowledgeable people
           | in the space probably have large holdings" as was claimed,
           | this is arguably an indictment of the technology under
           | discussion here. Useful technologies tend to have enthusiasts
           | with no direct financial stake in their success. The fact
           | that people happen to invest in tech companies and do well,
           | or that many have indirect financial incentives to embrace
           | tech, is orthogonal to my point. It is weird if a given tech
           | is entirely or largely carried by people directly invested in
           | it. It raises questions of whether it is generally useful.
           | People who want Fred to front load his disclaimer are
           | probably thinking by along these lines.
        
             | wanderingbort wrote:
             | I can only speak for myself but I built software in the
             | cryptocurrency/blockchain space for about 5 years before I
             | held any as an investment.
             | 
             | For me, the incentive was to learn about the tech for the
             | sake of the tech. I actually wasn't a believer in
             | cryptocurrency as a long term useful concept. I was
             | building into spaces that would benefit from immutability
             | and transparency where accountability was low (high risk
             | businesses and government transparency)
             | 
             | Really, it is something independent of the tech that
             | allowed me to turn a corner on cryptocurrency. I accepted
             | that large groups of believers can "create" value based on
             | nothing but their shared willingness to continue to
             | believe.
             | 
             | Bitcoin and Ethereum have such a critical mass of believers
             | IMO. I wasn't sure that the tech stack would live up to the
             | hype but I was no longer worried that the price would drop
             | to zero.
        
             | dotBen wrote:
             | They don't but realistically that is the incentive and
             | motivation for many people - including technologists who
             | ultimately decide to use their understanding of the market
             | to leverage capital rather than code or perform a similar
             | technical function.
             | 
             | In your case one could argue that if you saw so much future
             | value in the Mac/Apple ecosystem you missed out
             | significantly by not purchasing Apple stock. Depending on
             | when you made your observation, even a modest investment
             | would have had a significant return over the past 20 years.
             | 
             | I actually use the Amazon example when people tell me how
             | worried they are about Amazon becoming all almighty and
             | taking over all commerce - that if they actually believe
             | that then they should probably buy Amazon stock and use the
             | profits to do something to counter whatever negative effect
             | they perceive.
             | 
             | As a former software engineer and founder now VC what I
             | personally realized is I could have the greatest impact on
             | the industry from leveraging capital around my own industry
             | thesis rather than continue to build it myself. It's all a
             | layer cake.
        
             | dataangel wrote:
             | Is your career in a field where learning any of those
             | things is useful? That's still a financial incentive.
        
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