[HN Gopher] How to create a blog post title optimizer with GPT-3...
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       How to create a blog post title optimizer with GPT-3 and Hacker
       News data
        
       Author : minimaxir
       Score  : 147 points
       Date   : 2022-08-15 15:49 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (minimaxir.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (minimaxir.com)
        
       | behnamoh wrote:
       | Goodhart's Law: "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be
       | a good measure."
       | 
       | Optimizing for HN frontpage is a terrible idea. (1) HN users are
       | usually hostile against titles that even remotely look clickbait
       | and flag them, (2) It attracts the wrong audience to the blog
       | post.
        
         | davidgerard wrote:
         | "Clickbait" that truthfully describes the contents and attracts
         | readers who will like it is also known as "good headline
         | writing."
        
           | a4isms wrote:
           | A bit of a digression, but when I think "clickbait," I think
           | of optimizing for curiosity about the contents, which is not
           | strictly equivalent to attracting readers who will like the
           | contents.
           | 
           | "Good headline writing" to me suggests being attractive to
           | people who will like the contents, but also allowing people
           | who might not care for the contents to self-filter.
        
         | WithinReason wrote:
         | But what if you optimize on data from HN?
        
           | behnamoh wrote:
           | My point is: "why optimize in the first place"??
        
         | a4isms wrote:
         | Speaking as someone who has been writing forever and blogging-
         | as-we-currently-know-it since 2004...
         | 
         | It always depends on what you want out of it. Some people are
         | outcome-oriented. They want reputation and/or the affirmation
         | of crowds, and for them, writing is a process of reverse-
         | engineering what people want to read. At a deep level, they
         | don't want to _write_ , they want to _have written_ something
         | popular.
         | 
         | Others are journey-oriented. They write to work ideas out.
         | paulg championed this over a decade ago almost twenty years ago
         | when he wrote an essay explaining that the word "essay" is not
         | just a noun, but also a verb suggesting an attempt or
         | experiment: http://www.paulgraham.com/essay.html.
         | 
         | For some ideas, trying to explain them forces us to confront
         | the idea cheaply and identify areas where we haven't thought
         | things through all the way.
         | 
         | And of course, sometimes it's a little of column A, a little of
         | column B. Speaking for myself, my taste is almost entirely for
         | column B:
         | http://braythwayt.com/posterous/2014/10/30/write.html. But this
         | is a big world, and if someone wants what's in column A or to
         | sprinkle some column A on their column B essay, well, this post
         | provides some hints.
        
           | Jensson wrote:
           | Yeah, you can make HN posts that gets upvoted, or HN posts
           | that gets a lot of responses explaining things to you and
           | where you get downvoted. To me the second case is much more
           | valuable than the first case, people helping me root out my
           | biases and fix my worldview is the main reason I use HN. It
           | is really hard to fix your unknown unknowns, but posting
           | things you think are correct and seeing how people correct
           | you is a really fast and easy way to find them out.
           | 
           | But of course you need to contribute things back or you will
           | get negative score and banned, so I mix in some things I know
           | will get upvoted as well.
        
         | adriancooney wrote:
         | Anecdotally I agree with you but doesn't this blog post suggest
         | the reverse - click bait does well? The model was trained on a
         | fairly comprehensive set of HN titles and it scores click-
         | bait-y titles with a high "Good" probability. e.g. `"Beware!
         | Uninstalling this PC game deletes your hard drive"` with a
         | `62.0% Good prob`. There's a ton of hidden complexity involved
         | here but if click-bait was generally downvoted by the HN
         | community, we should expect a low "Good" score, right?
        
       | gwph wrote:
       | Reposts are very common on Hacker News. I wonder if incorporating
       | the performance of the same links with differing titles might've
       | yielded a better training set.
        
       | earthboundkid wrote:
       | Okay, now optimize for controversial.
        
       | goodside wrote:
       | This is a cool demo, but note the author doesn't actually show
       | the rewritten headlines are better in any way but spot-checking.
       | The conclusion here isn't that GPT-3 can optimize titles on its
       | own, but that it generates ideas that, when reviewed by a human,
       | can be usefully cherry-picked for inspiration. The task of
       | ensuring, e.g., that the headline is factually accurate is left
       | to the human.
        
         | minimaxir wrote:
         | There isn't an easy way to _prove_ one headline is better than
         | another outside of A /B testing, unfortunately.
        
           | RosanaAnaDana wrote:
           | Even then, is there even a way to do so with A/B testing?
           | 
           | Even in A/B testing you can't fully control for the
           | environment a headline sits in. Whats happening in the world?
           | What styles of headlines are trending?
           | 
           |  _Proving_ things is very difficult, and probably not
           | necessary.
        
             | minimaxir wrote:
             | "Proving", in this case, is whether the performance of one
             | title is better than another at statistically significant
             | level.
             | 
             | Performance can be faceted by referrer if necessary if
             | there's a need to control the results further, or exclude
             | sources where title A/B testing can't feasibly be done or
             | has noticeably different behavior. (an example is using a
             | different title for social sharing vs. the article title
             | itself)
             | 
             | This is generally how title A/B testing works at every
             | major online publisher.
        
       | cweill wrote:
       | Hey Minimaxir again! This is really funny because I built an
       | entire company around this idea: optimizing titles for YouTube
       | videos: https://CreatorML.com.
       | 
       | Similarly, the user can use GPT-3 to generate titles, and a
       | secondary ranker model scores them for estimated viewership. I
       | use a regression model however.
       | 
       | Anyway, just funny that "great minds think alike" :)
        
       | sharemywin wrote:
       | In the article the author used GPT-3 babbage instead of Curie or
       | Davinci. It got a 68% prediction rate on the validation set. I
       | wonder if the other versions scored better?
       | 
       | Also wonder how much it cost to train it?
        
         | minimaxir wrote:
         | I mentioned in the article it cost $2.
         | 
         | Finetuning on curie would be 5x that ($10) which is a bit much
         | to experiment, and also increase the overall generation cost
         | notably.
         | 
         | It's _possible_ there would be an accuracy improvement but it
         | 's arguable if it's worth it.
        
       | Labo333 wrote:
       | Should we be concerned that the author is "Data Scientist at
       | BuzzFeed"?
        
         | minimaxir wrote:
         | In what way?
        
           | manquer wrote:
           | Not OP, I don't think it is concerning if anything makes you
           | more qualified, Buzz Feed has enormous subject matter
           | expertise on titles that work.
           | 
           | However I did it find it amusing after reading your rejection
           | of click baity versions of the title because HN crowd
           | wouldn't go for it
        
       | motoboi wrote:
       | This is so funny because the article is actually on the first
       | page, but GPT-3 told him it's not a good title. Lol
       | 
       | So, it's GPT-3 wrong, is his code wrong or it's just that GPT-3
       | doesn't like hacker news titles?
        
         | ruuda wrote:
         | Well, can you imagine how much more upvoted it would have been
         | with a _good_ title?
        
         | andreyk wrote:
         | Also, those were variations on a title about this particular
         | topic. I bet if the model were used to score the likelihood
         | that this blog post (with any reasonable title) were to hit
         | front page, it would predict that to be likely.
        
         | minimaxir wrote:
         | The model predicted a 1/5 chance that it turned out to be a
         | good title, so those aren't _terrible_ odds for a random
         | chance. Although if this post does hit 100 points, I 'll add an
         | update.
         | 
         | That's the difficulty of interpreting the results of AI models
         | and one of the dark secrets of DS/ML practicioners is that they
         | don't always have the right answers, just the best-case
         | scenarios.
        
           | minimaxir wrote:
           | Update: it did hit the 100 points. -\\_(tsu)_/-
        
           | smel wrote:
           | The title was not good I think GPT-3 or Dalle are the keyword
           | put them in any form a lot of people will sneak in :)
        
       | ruuda wrote:
       | I wonder, when sampling to shrink the set of bad titles, it
       | samples uniformly. But wouldn't it be better to take the n worst
       | titles (with the least upvotes)? After all, titles near the
       | good/bad threshold are a bit arbitrary and should be hard for the
       | model to get right, would increasing the contrast make it perform
       | better? Or does that limit the model's exposure too much that it
       | ends up harming more than it helps?
        
         | minimaxir wrote:
         | It does sample uniformly to shrink the bad titles.
         | 
         | Sampling nonuniformly may introduce an unexpected bias, so
         | there's a tradeoff there.
        
       | coffee_beqn wrote:
       | That is pretty powerful. I didn't realize we had so many tools
       | already that something like this looks.. easy?
        
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       (page generated 2022-08-15 23:01 UTC)