[HN Gopher] In microtransit, passengers order a shuttle van inst...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       In microtransit, passengers order a shuttle van instead of having
       to take a bus
        
       Author : moino06
       Score  : 62 points
       Date   : 2022-07-20 10:40 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.npr.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.npr.org)
        
       | dredmorbius wrote:
       | Sorting out the numbers here:
       | 
       | - 15 vans.
       | 
       | - 37,000 trips / week (6-day service). I suspect most are on
       | weekdays.
       | 
       | - 6,170 trips/day
       | 
       | - 13.5 hour operation (5:30 am - 7 pm)
       | 
       | - ~457 trips / hour
       | 
       | - ~30 trips / van-hour
       | 
       | I'm not sure how many seats per van, though I suspect 6--9 (3
       | rows of 3 seats). If a trip is 15 minutes, then that's an average
       | of 7.5 passengers/trip.
       | 
       | Keep in mind that net trips includes the deadhead (no passenger)
       | portion.
       | 
       | The ridership numbers seem unusually high to me. I'd be
       | interested in seeing trip profiles.
       | 
       | By comparison, BART in the SF Bay Area has an annual ridership of
       | over 20 million, and over 104,000 weekday riders. (I also suspect
       | a Bart rider is two trips.) Bart moves 3x what Wilson are
       | claiming for weekly numbers, and roughly as many people in an
       | hour as Wilson does in a day. The Transbay Tunnel can accommodate
       | 24 ten-car trainsets per hour. Each car can carry more than 200
       | passengers at crush load, or 48,000 passengers/hour for the tube
       | as a whole.
       | 
       | https://www.bart.gov/about/projects/corecapacity
       | 
       | https://www.bart.gov/about/history/cars
       | 
       | Put another way, microtransit is trying to shoehorn transit into
       | a sprawl- and car-centric urban landscape. Dense development and
       | well-travelled routes are what make transit efficient and viable.
        
       | zeroth32 wrote:
       | In Asia it is called marshrutka. It is amazing to see how US
       | reinvents wheel and gives it cool names.
        
         | pif wrote:
         | [OT]
         | 
         | > In Asia it is called ...
         | 
         | So a few billions of people, speaking a multitude of languages,
         | all use the same name for a concept? How nice!
        
           | richiebful1 wrote:
           | If I had to guess it comes from Russian marshrut/marshrut
           | (route). Marshrutki/Marshrutkas in the former Soviet Union
           | typically run on fixed routes just like busses.
        
         | AlbertoGP wrote:
         | Indeed, and in Germany it's called "Rufbus" and that's what you
         | have in small villages where a regular bus service is not
         | available. I know there are such in other countries but I don't
         | know the other names.
        
         | midislack wrote:
         | You can't even pronounce that word in most Asian languages.
        
         | Loughla wrote:
         | We already have this in my rural area in the states. There's a
         | shuttle that picks people up to funnel them to either the local
         | parking lot near the interstate (to catch a larger bus to the
         | closest city center) or to disperse them to the 5 or 6 large
         | employers across 3 counties.
         | 
         | You call the company, they send a van. Usually you get picked
         | up with two or three other people and it might take an hour to
         | get where you're going (when a car could do it in 30-45 minutes
         | in a direct route). Or you schedule a regular pick up, and they
         | coordinate to have you ride with 10 or so other people, but the
         | ride is a lot shorter.
         | 
         | And it's 100% free. The large employers pay to subsidize its
         | use for the entire area because they get such a value from it.
         | You can get the shuttle to take you anywhere.
        
         | selimthegrim wrote:
         | Also "jitney" in the Philippines (and formerly USA) or "dollar
         | van" in NY
        
       | riffic wrote:
       | this (mini-buses, _dial-a-bus_ as it was known in the 70s) was
       | one of the patterns in Christopher Alexander 's _A Pattern
       | Language_
       | 
       | https://www.iwritewordsgood.com/apl/patterns/apl020.htm
       | 
       | > Establish a system of small taxi-like buses, carrying up to six
       | people each, radio-controlled, on call by telephone, able to
       | provide point-to-point service according to the passengers'
       | needs, and supplemented by a computer system which guarantees
       | minimum detours, and minimum waiting times. Make bus stops for
       | the mini-buses every 600 feet in each direction, and equip these
       | bus stops with a phone for dialing a bus.
        
       | kyletns wrote:
       | This is amazing. Of course a full train or bus can be an order of
       | magnitude more efficient, and so should be installed and run
       | where there's demand, but replacing the prohibitively-expensive
       | private option of Uber with an affordable, if slower, city option
       | is just... lovely!
        
       | erjiang wrote:
       | In my past life I built and sold dispatch software for
       | microtransit / on-demand rides. (UberPool as a service, more or
       | less.)
       | 
       | What this article doesn't say:
       | 
       | * Many, many cities have something similar already, but only for
       | riders with disabilities. ("paratransit") You need to schedule
       | your ride the day before, but they will take you from door to
       | door.
       | 
       | * The cost per ride is quite high: more than $20 per ride, often.
       | This cost is borne by the city, while riders pay little to
       | nothing. In very few cases does it make financial sense - most
       | places aren't replacing their buses with microtransit.
       | 
       | * The best utilization I've seen is on campuses, where there are
       | a fixed set of stops in a small region, and a large population of
       | people who can't or don't want to drive (maybe due to limited
       | parking).
        
         | anyoneworks wrote:
         | Istanbul has an oddly good system, where vans run a set route,
         | but you can ask for them to stop wherever. I feel like this
         | would be a better balance that would allow for greater
         | coverage, while also lowering the cost of equipment and in the
         | very least, eliminating the need to walk as much to a stop.
         | It's also faster because it's basically a large taxi, so once
         | the van is full, you only stop where the passengers need. This
         | is only a supplement there, but I think it would work better
         | than the majority of bus set-ups currently used.
        
       | slackfan wrote:
       | So... a taxi, or a route taxi like they have in Russia with extra
       | steps.
        
       | ZeroGravitas wrote:
       | These make good partners for bus systems that run lots of busses
       | during rush hours but become infrequent or nonexistent at night
       | and weekends.
       | 
       | Including a few free rides on this service with a season ticket
       | for a bus makes it much easier for people to go carless.
        
       | Overtonwindow wrote:
       | Do they pickup multiple passengers? It does seem like subsidized
       | taxis, and not really "mass transit," but I'm glad it's helping
       | people. I think a tram system powered by overhead lines is much
       | more efficient, and better, they just need to lay the tracks.
       | 
       | I think about Berlin and how you can get just about anywhere on
       | the tram system, and if you are well behaved your trip could be,
       | well, free.. [0]
       | 
       | [0] https://www.nomadenberlin.com/blog2/public-transport-in-
       | berl....
        
       | 8bitsrule wrote:
       | I've often calculated how long I'd have to spend on mass transit
       | to get to some desireable event and back - and decided,
       | reluctantly, to skip it. Because the waits+rides would take
       | longer than the event lasted.
       | 
       | The option to use microtransit _once a week_ would be well worth
       | paying twice as much.
        
       | The-Bus wrote:
       | NYC needs a broader bus network, but it doesn't need to use the
       | existing large (or XL articulated aka bendy bus) to do so.
       | 
       | Hong Kong has Public Light Buses that carry 1M passengers a day:
       | https://www.td.gov.hk/en/transport_in_hong_kong/public_trans...
       | 
       | Dollar vans effectively do this currently, but it's cheaper than
       | any light rail or other solution, especially for outer borough
       | transportation.
        
         | woodruffw wrote:
         | I take the buses in Brooklyn pretty regularly, and I don't find
         | the routes themselves especially lacking[1]. But higher volume
         | would be nice, and I'd be interested to see evidence presented
         | that smaller buses would accomplish that (versus more dedicated
         | bus lanes and high fines for blocking the lanes).
         | 
         | [1]: https://new.mta.info/map/5261
        
       | bdcravens wrote:
       | The small city I grew up (about 30k) had a similar service in the
       | 80s.
        
       | Wowfunhappy wrote:
       | Aren't these just subsidized taxis? They don't help with
       | congestion, they don't help with pollution, I don't see how they
       | ultimately bring down costs since you still need individual cars
       | and drivers...
       | 
       | Perhaps in some limited cases, multiple people going the same way
       | at the same time can share a vehicle, but how often will that
       | work out in practice? I basically never end up sharing an
       | Uber/Lyft with anyone else despite selecting the pool option.
       | 
       | Am I missing anything?
        
         | Symmetry wrote:
         | For a bus line with only a few people replacing the bus with a
         | car is going to reduce pollution on net. Replacing a full bus
         | with a number of full vans will be bad for the environment, of
         | course, but on most routes and most of the time busses aren't
         | full. Ideally we would use a mixture of busses and vans
         | depending on the demand for a particular route.
        
         | jimkleiber wrote:
         | Less parking needed if people take these. In my suburb, it may
         | be hard to get an Lyft and it may cost like $6 to go 1-2 miles
         | if they do show up. Other than that, if I don't have a car,
         | there's no bus to take me to most parts of the city, I'd have
         | to walk or ride or a bike.
         | 
         | Yes, they seem like subsidized taxis but with more capacity
         | than normal taxis and maybe less direct routes than normal
         | taxis. If people have more time than money, I think this can
         | help.
         | 
         | In terms of pollution and congestion, if they increase the
         | density of people traveling more than they increase the total
         | distance traveled, then I would assume they help reduce both.
        
         | CuriouslyC wrote:
         | There are van taxis that do this in third world countries,
         | they're not terrible. Faster than a bus line and cheaper than a
         | regular taxi. I think if pooling was more of a norm and people
         | were a bit less time sensitive it'd work great here with the
         | support of an app.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | > People are very time sensitive.
             | 
             | People have been convinced they _need_ to be time
             | sensitive.  "30 minutes or it's free", "next day shipping",
             | etc. are everywhere. In many cases, we're not as time
             | sensitive as we've been trained to think.
             | 
             | American public transit is so frequently poor that it often
             | means a 10 minute trip by car might be two hours by bus,
             | but a whole bunch of people would be fine with a 30-45
             | minute option being available.
        
               | ipaddr wrote:
               | In America you have the appointment time, class start
               | time, shift start time. Changing that would take a huge
               | social shift
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | It's been a few years since I was in Europe, but I'm
               | pretty sure folks there make appointments and show up at
               | work/school at a specific time.
               | 
               | Public transit is fine for all of these things _if_ it
               | runs reliably, often, and with sensible routing. You
               | leave a little earlier, but someone else is doing the
               | driving, so it 's a nice time to read, check email, etc.
        
               | kwhitefoot wrote:
               | > but I'm pretty sure folks there make appointments and
               | show up at work/school at a specific time.
               | 
               | Your recollection is perfectly correct, we certainly do
               | make and keep appointments!
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | If we wouldn't expect the van drivers to be less time
             | sensitive, we certainly shouldn't expect all of society to
             | become less time-sensitive to accommodate inconsistent
             | transportation. We can't afford to have people late all the
             | way down, because lateness accumulates by blowing
             | coordination. It's through promptness and good logistics
             | that we save time that we can use to relax.
             | 
             | We should just prioritize consistent public transportation.
             | 
             | edit: if you're five minutes late at doing something you
             | want to do, you may have wasted five minutes, or you more
             | likely haven't wasted any time, because you spent that five
             | minutes doing something _else_ that you wanted to do.
             | 
             | If you're five minutes late meeting someone, you're far
             | more likely to have wasted their five minutes, unless they
             | can shift other small tasks around to fill those five
             | minutes.
             | 
             | It adds up to a lot of lost time spent waiting and
             | uncomfortable.
        
         | phphphphp wrote:
         | I think you're missing that the demand dynamics are different
         | in underserved areas. They're an alternative to a fixed bus
         | route, so there's a much greater tolerance for flexibility,
         | i.e: 30 mins for one of these micro-transit buses to show up,
         | and a 50% longer journey time vs. an Uber is very acceptable as
         | a bus alternative, but an Uber rider would be very unlikely to
         | accept that, which means Uber Pool is very unlikely to find a
         | co-passenger whereas micro-transit is.
        
           | seltzered_ wrote:
           | Also woth noting in many cases these are intended to help
           | link one in further out areas to existing mass transit
           | infrastructure - IIRC Via in seattle has its service area to
           | help one get from home to a link light rail station.
        
         | VyseofArcadia wrote:
         | > They don't help with congestion
         | 
         | Definitely not the point of these. In larger cities, bus
         | transit is for reducing congestion without massive
         | infrastructure investment. In smaller cities, bus transit is
         | purely for helping people who can't/don't drive get to where
         | they need to be.
         | 
         | The problem is, there is not enough ridership in smaller cities
         | for a bus to be frequent or cover a wide area. This solves that
         | problem, but it only works since congestion isn't a problem.
         | 
         | As soon as there enough people to worry about congestion, bus
         | transit is better.
        
           | beej71 wrote:
           | Also in larger cities, large busses are frequent. If my small
           | town ran busses every 10 or 15 minutes, there'd be a lot more
           | riders.
        
         | pif wrote:
         | > They don't help with congestion, they don't help with
         | pollution,
         | 
         | So what? The first and only point of a public transport system
         | is, you know, transporting people. Limiting congestion and
         | pollution comes very far in terms of priority, and only once
         | the core mission is fulfilled.
        
           | conductr wrote:
           | We already know how to fulfill the mission. Every decision
           | after are second order and involves trade offs of various
           | factors to various stakeholders. This is sacrificing
           | congestion, pollution and possibly cost efficiency in order
           | to gain ride time efficiency
        
           | jltsiren wrote:
           | The primary purpose of public transport (within an urban
           | area) is reducing traffic. The vast majority of people can
           | use private vehicles just fine, and if traffic is not an
           | issue, the rest can use taxis. Subsidized ones if necessary.
           | 
           | Reducing traffic is the primary goal. When there is less
           | traffic, the city can reserve less space for streets and
           | parking. That leaves more space for the purposes people are
           | in the city for. Also, areas with fewer cars tend to be more
           | pleasant than areas with heavy traffic.
           | 
           | Congestion and pollution are secondary issues.
        
             | kwhitefoot wrote:
             | > The vast majority of people can use private vehicles just
             | fine,
             | 
             | Roughly half the population of the UK has nowhere off road
             | to park the car and only enough space in the road to park
             | one or sometimes only one for each two dwellings and you
             | risk someone else taking the space if you move your car.
             | This means that while it might be literally true there is
             | nonetheless a substantial number of people for whom using a
             | private vehicle is not just fine.
        
               | jltsiren wrote:
               | You have it backwards.
               | 
               | Half the population of the UK lives in areas where public
               | transport has enabled limiting the space required by
               | traffic. In some other parts of the world, similar
               | situations have been resolved by removing excess houses,
               | making more space for traffic.
               | 
               | Also, private vehicles include bikes and scooters, which
               | are often more appropriate for urban settings than cars.
        
           | woodruffw wrote:
           | The object of a public transportation system is to transport
           | the _public_ , not individual people. That means mass design
           | considerations, which are the same considerations as anti-
           | congestion. Reducing pollution is a nice side effect.
        
             | gruez wrote:
             | >The object of a public transportation system is to
             | transport the public, not individual people
             | 
             | "Individual people" comprise "the public".
             | 
             | >That means mass design considerations
             | 
             | In a town of 49,000 people, and where there are only 5
             | buses that run once per hour, I think such considerations
             | isn't really worth considering, at least compared to the
             | convenience factor of not having to wait 1 hour.
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | > "Individual people" comprise "the public".
               | 
               | The point I was making is that public transportation
               | systems should be designed with multiple people in mind.
               | Otherwise they're just subsidized taxicabs (which is
               | fine, in an extremely rural area, but Wilson is a
               | moderately sized city right on I-95).
               | 
               | > In a town of 49,000 people, and where there are only 5
               | buses that run once per hour, I think such considerations
               | isn't really worth considering, at least compared to the
               | convenience factor of not having to wait 1 hour.
               | 
               | "Mass design" doesn't mean a NYC-scale subway or bus
               | system; it means a combination of (1) incentivizing mass
               | transit, bringing demand up, and (2) expanding access to
               | transit and restructuring routes to meet demand. It
               | wouldn't surprise me if Wilson hadn't done a ridership-
               | based restructuring of their routes and timetables in the
               | last 30 years.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | They can't transport many people either though.
        
             | vel0city wrote:
             | Most of the time these are replacing areas with bus lines
             | with small ridership. Its cheaper and on average faster to
             | service those areas with this model instead of driving a
             | lot of empty busses around constantly. If ridership
             | increases to the point where busses again make sense I
             | imagine they'll resume bus service to those areas.
             | 
             | Some of the transit around me had areas change to this
             | model. I know people who used to ride the bus and now take
             | this. Being able to dispatch a ride (and even schedule one
             | a day ahead of time!) makes things a lot easier, more
             | reliable, and faster. Previously they would have to walk a
             | few blocks to the main street and wait in the 100F weather
             | for up to 10-15 minutes. Potentially they'd have to change
             | busses depending on where they were trying to get to, often
             | having yet another wait in the 100F weather. Now they're
             | able to schedule their ride ahead of time, the car meets
             | them outside their apartment, and they're able to get a
             | ride directly to nearby shops or the light rail/major bus
             | terminal to get someplace else.
        
           | chaos_emergent wrote:
           | Plus, the counter-factual is not the same use of bus systems,
           | but instead lower use of bus systems in favor of private ride
           | share companies who don't have the incentive to limit
           | congestion or pollution at all. The consumer revolution has
           | plainly exposed that people will consistently choose the more
           | convenient option.
        
             | feet wrote:
             | I hear trains are pretty damn convenient in Europe. I
             | wonder why the US doesn't have anything like that, hmm
             | 
             | Cue: people who claim some absurd innate differences while
             | ignoring the lobbying efforts of car manufacturers
        
               | kwhitefoot wrote:
               | The US does have trains in the north east, or so I have
               | heard.
        
       | nicwolff wrote:
       | > These days, the service runs about 37,000 trips a week, Lentz
       | said, or more than two and a half times the 26,000 rides the old
       | bus system ran in a typical, pre-pandemic week.
       | 
       | Are "trips" different from "rides" in some way that makes this
       | arithmetic correct?
        
         | bombcar wrote:
         | Sounds like a "trip" is roundtrip (two rides) - so 37,000 trips
         | is 74,000 rides, which is more than deuce and a half times
         | 26,000.
        
       | patch_collector wrote:
       | I recall Hong Kong's solution, at least when I was there a decade
       | ago. You had the Metro with fixed rails for core routes, then
       | double-decker buses that went to additional areas in large loops.
       | Next were the green minibuses that had small loops, branching off
       | from the other services. After that were red minibuses, which had
       | specific pickup locations, then would drop you off anywhere
       | nearby. All of which could be paid for using the same Octopus
       | card.
       | 
       | It was great.
        
         | SeanLuke wrote:
         | I think Hong Kong can pull this off in part because so much of
         | the city is long thin corridors which can be nearly entirely
         | serviced by the metro, commuter train, by light rail in the new
         | territories (and I guess the cable car). This covers a high
         | percentage of commuter needs, and so buses, minibuses, and
         | taxis are to some extent gap-fillers to get people from major
         | arteries to the remaining small proportion of outlying
         | destinations.
         | 
         | It is great, you are right.
        
       | whatever1 wrote:
       | Public transit that is not subway on rails suck big time.
       | 
       | I have wasted thousands of hours waiting for the bus that either
       | came early, or is late, under 100 degrees of sun and under
       | snowstorms. Add to that the <10mph average speed that a typical
       | bus that stops every 2 minutes achieves, and a 2mile commute can
       | last easily 45 minutes.
       | 
       | I have walked thousands of miles because the bus stops do not
       | align with my destinations.
       | 
       | Since I got a car and live in the suburbs, I pay much lower
       | housing costs, I start exactly 20' before my punch in time, I
       | park under my office building and I am never late (maybe 1/300
       | due to an accident). Oh and I always arrive dry.
       | 
       | Commuting in general is bad. Commuting by bus is one of the worst
       | things that us peasants have to deal with on a daily basis.
        
         | kevincox wrote:
         | The biggest problem with most bus systems is that they use the
         | same roads as private traffic. This means that for any
         | individual person taking the car is faster than taking the bus.
         | Of course all of these people who live in car-dependent suburbs
         | already have a car so the additional cost to drive is low and
         | they will get there faster and arguably more comfortable (sure,
         | you can't read a book but you have your own personal
         | environment). The end result is that the roads are full, need
         | constant expansion and no one takes the bus.
         | 
         | Subways on rail are often faster than driving so they tend to
         | be incredibly popular and greatly reduce traffic on the road.
         | But subways on rails are not the only way to ensure that public
         | transit is fast.
        
         | dvfjsdhgfv wrote:
         | You know it's not by accident, right?
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motors_streetcar_consp...
        
           | Symmetry wrote:
           | Streetcars, combining the routing inflexibility of trains
           | with the vulnerability to traffic of busses. We could have
           | saved them if we'd banned cars from city centers and you can
           | argue that if you want to but it wasn't GM that did them in.
        
             | woodruffw wrote:
             | "Vulnerability to traffic" can be alternately expressed as
             | "right of way violated by individual cars." The history of
             | the decline of streetcars in the US is the history of
             | automotive companies convincing the public that cars take
             | priority over all other forms of transportation,
             | consequences for the commons be damned.
        
               | amanaplanacanal wrote:
               | The same reason they invented the crime of "jaywalking".
        
               | saimiam wrote:
               | I'd argue Jaywalking is probably one of biggest reasons
               | traffic in India is so chaotic.
               | 
               | People simply walk on the street and it wrecks traffic
               | flow, reducing all flow to stop and go with accompanying
               | honking.
               | 
               | I, for one, wish jaywalking were treated as a crime on
               | Indian streets.
               | 
               | Maybe then we'd fight to take back the pavements
               | currently used by hawkers and for parking.
               | 
               | Side note: how does one reverse the tragedy of the
               | commons? How do we make people treat roads and public
               | areas like a shared resource?
        
               | dvfjsdhgfv wrote:
               | Some European cities, especially in the Netherlands,
               | found a solution, and I think it works quite well.
        
               | saimiam wrote:
               | You mean bikes? India is usually too hot to cycle.
               | 
               | Here's another statistic which amazed me when I first
               | heard - apparently 70% of working age Mumbaikars (Mumbai-
               | ites?) walk to work.
               | 
               | That could be another reason why there are so many people
               | on the road all the time.
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | I think they probably meant the Netherlands' general
               | urban planning principles. Cycling access is one small
               | part, but there are lots of other things that can be
               | copied: making it impractical to drive in city centers,
               | restricting commercial traffic to highways and off-hours
               | stops, fully separating pedestrian and cycling crossings,
               | etc.
        
           | gruez wrote:
           | Under "Counterarguments" section it's been argued that the
           | streetcar lines were already on a downward decline by the
           | time GM bought them, so blaming GM seems tenuous.
        
             | akgerber wrote:
             | US streetcar lines were in the 'transit death spiral' in no
             | small part because they were largely built before cars were
             | common, and became dramatically slower once car traffic
             | started obstructing their right-of-way, which they were
             | usually required by contract to maintain.
             | 
             | (There were many other factors, including their
             | overexpansion during a securities bubble and that their
             | concessions were usually for a 'nickel fare' with no
             | inflation adjustment, which lead to declining real revenue
             | over time)
        
         | martopix wrote:
         | Except in Switzerland.
        
         | newaccount2021 wrote:
        
         | Thrymr wrote:
         | The city of <50k residents from the article is never going to
         | have a subway system on rails. This is a solution for small
         | cities that replaces the terrible bus service you've
         | experienced. The microtransit system described specifically
         | eliminates the bus stops that you cite as drawbacks.
        
         | ahoy wrote:
         | Public bus transit and private car transit are inherently in
         | conflict. You basically can't run them on the same streets and
         | expect the bus to not suck.
         | 
         | You could, of course, run the bus in a dedicated, separate
         | right-of-way to solve that problem. But like you said, just
         | build rail at that point
        
           | kwhitefoot wrote:
           | > You basically can't run them on the same streets and expect
           | the bus to not suck.
           | 
           | That's just nonsense or specific to some areas. I spent a
           | couple of hours on the Stagecoach buses today travelling from
           | Paignton to Kinsgwear and then Dartmouth to Totnes and back
           | to Paignton. The same journey by car would probably have been
           | more expensive because of the cost of parking the car in busy
           | tourist towns and it wouldn't have been much quicker. Some of
           | the roads are barely wide enough for two cars to pass each
           | other yet the buses still keep to their timetable.
        
             | andylynch wrote:
             | Quite. Bus schedulers are very well informed on traffic
             | patterns and account for this. Some days when things are
             | faster then usual this means they will ask drivers to stop
             | for a bit in order to avoid running early.
        
         | topkai22 wrote:
         | I used to commute by bus rapid transit. It was great. The buses
         | were every 5-10 minutes during peak times, the stations and
         | website gave spot on updates, the air conditioning always
         | worked, the buses were clean, you had internet the whole way
         | and generally everyone could find seating. When there was an
         | accident or road construction the bus... went around it.
         | 
         | When I moved to a subway-oriented city the trains were a bit
         | more frequent and not subject to street traffic, but they were
         | more crowded, the internet/phone service regularly failed; and
         | when things went wrong, they REALLY went wrong, which occurred
         | monthly. A 15 minute ride turning into hot crowded 1h+ mess was
         | not uncommon. And the regular track and station closures
         | created all sorts of chaos that I never dealt with on the bus.
         | 
         | Bus rapid transit is one of the most underrated modes of
         | transportation and light rail easily the most overrated, IMO.
         | It's not bad, but it has captured the public's attention in an
         | unhealthy way.
         | 
         | Of course, now I work from home and walk to about 50% of the
         | places I need to go, even in the deep suburbs.
        
         | rockinghigh wrote:
         | > Public transit that is not subway on rails suck big time.
         | 
         | Are you talking about the US? I found buses to work quite well
         | in France, Japan, London, Switzerland. Even in the US, they
         | work fine in dense areas.
        
         | woodruffw wrote:
         | Public bus systems _can_ be good; most cities and
         | municipalities simply don 't bother to make it so (because
         | "polite society" drives everywhere).
         | 
         | NYC's buses have their own flaws, but they demonstrate many of
         | the necessary conditions for success: dedicated bus lanes,
         | split-service (local and express on the same route, with
         | corresponding bus sizes), and multimodal connections (light
         | rail, streetcars, subways). This is all in contrast to how many
         | bus networks in the US operate: they pick you up on the side of
         | the highway, drive with the rest of traffic, and drop you off
         | on either the highway or in a bus depot in the middle of
         | nowhere.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | Yeah, same in Chicago, really the same as mass transit
           | anywhere: You need density to make it work. My little town of
           | under 100K population tries to do city bus services but it's
           | a joke. Most routes run once or twice an hour which is not
           | often enough to be convenient. Busses drive around empty or
           | with one or two riders. It's a service that costs millions of
           | dollars a year to operate and is used by a tiny minority of
           | the people. It's a sacred cow though.
        
           | CodeWriter23 wrote:
           | Sounds pretty good, if you overlook people smoking meth or
           | crack, publicly urinating and defecating on the bus,
           | violence, etc. Not unique to buses for sure. Thanks, but I'll
           | keep my "polite society" vehicle and properly planned
           | highways in Orange County.
        
             | bryanlarsen wrote:
             | You don't see that during rush hour.
        
             | kaetemi wrote:
             | Sounds like they need to put toilets on the bus. People
             | poop, it's normal.
        
             | woodruffw wrote:
             | I have never once seen any of these on a public bus, either
             | in my city or others. What you're describing sounds like a
             | civic problem where you live, not some kind of intrinsic
             | quality of public transportation.
        
               | lambic wrote:
               | Same. I've travelled by bus in many cities on three
               | continents and never experienced anything like that. The
               | worst bus I've been on was in San Francisco but even that
               | was pretty clean and decent.
               | 
               | I haven't owned a car for three years and public transit
               | has been fine most of the time, but I live in a city that
               | prioritises public transit. On the rare occasion that I
               | can't get a bus somewhere there is a car sharing service
               | I can fall back on.
        
               | mcspiff wrote:
               | I've lived in 3 Canadian cities and 1 major US city.
               | Regularly used public transit in all of them. Used
               | transit around both Canada and the US as a tourist, plus
               | a few locations in Europe, Australia.
               | 
               | For any location where I was using it for more than a
               | week I've encountered something unpleasant. Various
               | degrees and extremes, but in my experience (not OP) it
               | certainly seems to be intrinsic to public transit.
               | 
               | Some of these could arguably be a net good (it's much
               | better that the drunk is on the bus rather than driving
               | himself!) and I continue to prefer transit over driving
               | myself when available, but I would never deny that it's
               | not always an enjoyable experience
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | To be fair: I've seen plenty of unpleasant things on
               | public transport. Subways, in particular, are a different
               | world from public buses in NYC.
               | 
               | When I think about these things, I interrogate my frame
               | of reference. At least for the US, the most appropriate
               | contrast is the road trips I've taken, during which I saw
               | no shortage of drunk drivers and general mishegaas at gas
               | stations and rest stops.
        
               | mcspiff wrote:
               | Totally agree. But to run with your frame of reference
               | point if I may, it's also important to look at those
               | events from other's POV. I'm a larger, older man. What I
               | find mildly uncomfortable on a late night bus alone might
               | feel absolutely dangerous for my wife. Or someone with
               | disabilities, etc.
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | Yeah, that's a great point, and a source of bias. On top
               | of that, it would be a real contortion for me to claim
               | that NYC's public transit is even _remotely_
               | accommodating to people with disabilities.
        
               | scarmig wrote:
               | Definitely saw a foilie in use on the bus yesterday
               | evening.
               | 
               | The issue is that my city promotes itself as a good
               | example of public transit and receives accolades from
               | public transit folks, and naive people take it as
               | archetypal.
        
           | falcolas wrote:
           | Taking the bus to Javits Center will quickly show how even NY
           | with their subways and buses fall short. I ended up walking
           | about 10 NY city blocks b/c the bus wasn't running.
        
             | woodruffw wrote:
             | I won't excuse Javits: they built it in one of the most
             | inconvenient neighborhoods in Manhattan for public transit
             | (presumably because it's a convention center, meaning that
             | most of the expected traffic is out-of-towners staying at
             | nearby hotels). That being said, the 7 to Hudson Yards is
             | (IME) the best way to get there, and is among the more
             | reliable subway services.
             | 
             | Edit: That being said, 10 city blocks is half a mile.
             | That's an ordinary walk in NYC.
        
           | ehnto wrote:
           | It's definitely a perception issue that's borne from some
           | reality. Having taken buses in a few cities, I can say some
           | buses were perfectly fine, clean, and felt dignified to ride.
           | A utility of the commons. Some other cities, it felt like
           | taking a vandalized back alley vending machine to work.
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | > because "polite society" drives everywhere
           | 
           | In other words, because they are currently bad.
        
             | woodruffw wrote:
             | Chicken and egg; we've (in the US) culturally encoded
             | public transport as inconvenient, inefficient, and for
             | "poor people," all but ensuring that it remains that way.
             | Other parts of the world don't have that stigma, and are
             | better off for it.
        
         | deepsun wrote:
         | In Eastern Europe they are pretty good, moving like 80% of
         | public. Way faster than 10mph, I couldn't beat it by bicycle (I
         | tried) on most routes.
        
         | xhkkffbf wrote:
         | Why is rail any different? If one train goes down on a subway
         | line, all of the trains after it are pretty much stuck too. A
         | few lines can sometimes route around pain, but that's kind of
         | rare.
         | 
         | In general, public transportation is just pretty inconvenient.
         | (Now, I like walking so it's a bonus for me, but I can see how
         | it's not for everyone.)
        
         | fennecfoxen wrote:
         | > Public transit that is not subway on rails suck big time.
         | 
         | Bus Rapid Transit called. It promised 95% of the raw speed and
         | 4x the service frequency at 25% of the cost.
        
           | marssaxman wrote:
           | Bus Rapid Transit calls when you are proposing a subway or a
           | tram, promising great things at a low price. After you agree
           | to settle for a shinier bus line instead of the nice, fast,
           | reliable transit system you originally wanted, the value
           | engineers get to work compromising the design, and you end up
           | with... another bus route. Maybe it has a different color of
           | paint this time.
        
             | mcspiff wrote:
             | Both Seattle, WA and Ottawa, ON built out dedicated BRT
             | infrastructure that was later repurposed for light rail. So
             | I wouldn't say it's always just a new coat of paint.
        
               | marssaxman wrote:
               | The downtown Seattle transit tunnel is an unusual beast;
               | it was built from the start as a hybrid bus and rail
               | system, though the city did not yet have any plan to
               | build a train network. The builders designed the tunnel
               | and its stations for train service and laid tracks
               | anyway, expecting they would eventually be needed.
               | 
               | So... where BRT is a proposal to save money on transit by
               | building cheaper infrastructure - a promise it can always
               | keep, since bus service can be degraded as far as
               | necessary to fit a budget - the DSTT project instead used
               | the promise of future rail service as a motivation to
               | spend _more_ money on transit, building better
               | infrastructure than they actually needed at the time.
        
             | fennecfoxen wrote:
             | It sounds like you were just going to end up with a
             | mediocre, compromised system anyway. "Light rail" is still
             | bringing us things like the Santa Clara VTA system at
             | _best_ , and the Virginia Beach "Tide" at its worst.
             | Likewise cities with "real" subways include such luminaries
             | as Atlanta and Miami. Have you tried to take the metro
             | system in Miami?
        
         | sdrwefgfvb wrote:
         | That sounds specific to where you live. In London the buses are
         | amazing.
        
         | simonebrunozzi wrote:
         | > a 2mile commute can last easily 45 minutes.
         | 
         | at 10mph average, which includes stops, I doubt a 2 mile
         | commute could take 45 minutes. It should take... 12 minutes.
         | Let's call it 15.
         | 
         | > I have walked thousands of miles because the bus stops do not
         | align with my destinations.
         | 
         | It's probably good for your health.
         | 
         | Seriously, now: I get your point. The
         | 
         | > under 100 degrees of sun and under snowstorms
         | 
         | is the worst part, I guess.
         | 
         | I commuted by bus only occasionally in my life, and I've
         | luckily been telecommuting for the past ~15 years or so. But I
         | can relate.
        
           | sjf wrote:
           | You don't take the bus, it probably _is_ 45mins. You are not
           | including time walking to /from the bus stop at both ends.
           | Time spent _waiting_ for the bus- this is probably the
           | biggest one. Time for people getting on and off at bus stops
           | and paying- in some places, for example in London, there are
           | stops every couple of hundred meters on the route, it is kind
           | of ridiculous.
        
             | andylynch wrote:
             | Having them close together is a massive help to people with
             | mobility issue, bags, and /or small children. TFL policy is
             | to reduce journey times by keeping stops less than five
             | minutes' from homes, and closer in town centres. The buses
             | also won't normally stop unless there is someone boarding
             | or alighting.
        
           | simonsarris wrote:
           | > I doubt a 2 mile commute could take 45 minutes. It should
           | take... 12 minutes. Let's call it 15.
           | 
           | We can look this up. For instance, going from somewhere
           | random in Tribeca to a random bar 2 miles away is a 42 minute
           | walk or a 37-42 minute bus ride (with 1 change, with busses
           | running every 15 minutes). This is a good example of a
           | failure mode if the bus doesn't go exactly where you want it
           | to.
           | 
           | https://www.google.com/maps/dir/''/40.7237156,-73.9777888/@4.
           | ..
           | 
           | What if you do a _perfect_ straight line single bus for 2
           | miles from Tribeca it 's still 24 minutes, with busses every
           | 15 minutes, so between 24-39 minutes.
           | 
           | https://www.google.com/maps/dir/''/40.7437799,-73.9917792/@4.
           | ..
           | 
           | The subway option is much faster (original comment is
           | comparing busses to subways)
        
         | jxramos wrote:
         | I still remember when I as a full time public transit commuter
         | well into my adulthood. When new friends who didn't own cars
         | would begin spending significant time with me we'd have to
         | naturally public transit around town. Many of these individuals
         | never really spent significant time outside of a car or a
         | building having to stand around waiting outdoors. This became
         | obvious when the weather got rough in winter and it was
         | revealed they didn't own a proper coat to spend time freezing
         | outside. I've lent out many of my extra coats in these
         | situations.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Santa Clara County, CA, had that in 1974-1975.[1] It was a
       | failure. Mini-buses running around with zero or one passenger.
       | 
       | The trouble is, there have to be a lot of people wanting roughly
       | the same trip for mini-buses to work. Otherwise you're just
       | running a taxi service with an oversized vehicle.
       | 
       | It works when there's a common source or destination, such as an
       | airport or a downtown area or a school. It doesn't work in a big
       | diffuse area, where everybody wants a different trip.
       | 
       | [1] https://trid.trb.org/view/52882
        
       | Proven wrote:
        
       | moviewise wrote:
       | Via-shuttle is available in the SF Bay Area:
       | https://www.cupertino.org/our-city/departments/public-works/...
        
         | Tagbert wrote:
         | Yes, we have Via in Seattle, too.
         | 
         | It picks up people and takes them to the closest light rail
         | station or takes them home from the station. It has a fixed
         | radius of operation and typically there are 2-5 people in the
         | van. It is a feeder system to bring riders to light rail
         | trains.
        
         | moviewise wrote:
         | And the on-demand shuttle service is expanding to nearby towns:
         | https://www.sanjoseinside.com/news/via-cupertino-shuttle-ser...
        
       | reidacdc wrote:
       | We had something like this in the exurbs of Calgary in the 1970s,
       | it was called "DART", for "Dial-A-Ride Transit".
       | 
       | It was semi-on-demand, and not door-to-door.
       | 
       | The scheme was, you called the DART line (from your land-line,
       | obviously) and gave your address, and there was a mini-bus that
       | made the rounds of the residential neighborhood, which would come
       | to your address on its next round. It would then take you to the
       | local transit junction point, a nearby shopping mall with several
       | bus bays where a number of regular bus routes converged, and you
       | would make your connection and complete your journey in the
       | regular way.
       | 
       | It seemed to me to be a reasonable way of efficiently delivering
       | infrequent transit service to a large area, although I personally
       | only used it a couple of times to visiit a friend.
        
         | jmpman wrote:
         | I've imagined that self driving cars would fill in this "last
         | mile" from the end destination to an air conditioned transit
         | hub. Once you get enough density in a transit hub, the
         | frequency and destinations should explode, making the network
         | usable, even in car heavy towns like Houston.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | I don't see how. Once you have a car you may as well drive
           | all the way there, and self driving makes it much faster.
           | Then you have the convenience of the car when you get there.
           | either way you need a parking lot for the car to sit in.
           | 
           | Transit works best when you can get rid of a car. The cost of
           | owning a car is very high, transit good enough that you would
           | get rid of a car is only a little cheaper. Bad transit is
           | only a little cheaper, but most people will just use their
           | car. Note that I said a car: most people are in a family
           | situation with more than one car (or at least more than one
           | person who could get a car if they wanted one), so we can
           | save money by having them get rid of one car and the other
           | car is only used for those 5% tasks that transit isn't good
           | for.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | The self-driving cars in the parent poster's comment
             | wouldn't be personally owned. They'd pick you up, drop you
             | off, and then go get the next person. It wouldn't be doing
             | much sitting in parking lots at busy times, and could park
             | in municipal lots out of the busy areas at night.
        
       | kderbyma wrote:
       | good for small towns.....cities no....not a good deal at all...
        
         | tremon wrote:
         | Why?
        
           | killingtime74 wrote:
           | Buses have higher economies of scale?
        
             | vel0city wrote:
             | Not if they're driving on routes where you only get maybe
             | 2-3 riders an hour.
        
           | Schroedingersat wrote:
           | Answered you in comment below by accident.
        
         | Schroedingersat wrote:
         | Cities have the demand to support real transit which is vastly
         | more cost and energy efficient. They have congestion which
         | isn't helped much by shuttles compared to a bus or other high
         | capacity transit. Congestion also slows the shuttle down so you
         | need more shuttles and more depots. They also have more
         | destinations at cyclable distances.
         | 
         | Paratransit is for mobility for theose who can't drive in areas
         | that can't justify a train or enough buses for a <1hr max wait
         | time. It needs a larger per km subsidy to be affordable.
         | 
         | Edit: apologies, responded to the wrong comment
        
           | ls15 wrote:
           | > They have congestion which isn't helped much by shuttles
           | compared to a bus or other high capacity transit
           | 
           | Multiple simultaneously driving taxis can be replaced by one
           | shuttle van at times or for routes where large busses would
           | run mostly empty, because they lack flexibility.
        
             | Schroedingersat wrote:
             | Yeah, if you need coverage shuttles are great albeit at a
             | high marginal cost per trip. If you need capacity then they
             | don't really work. A city will spend more on shuttles than
             | they would on a network extensive and well designed enough
             | to get good utilization.
             | 
             | I guess they are useful in some US cities as a stepping
             | stone where there are massive political and legislative
             | barriers to building a functional city.
        
               | ls15 wrote:
               | But I found them useful in Berlin (see my other comment
               | in this thread) and Berlin already has one of the best
               | public transport networks in the world, I think. For me
               | they were just closing the gap between taxi and public
               | transport. In terms of use cases and in terms of pricing.
        
         | ls15 wrote:
         | Berlin had an on demand ride sharing shuttle service, called
         | _BerlKonig_ , that has been run by Berlin's public transport
         | provider BVG. Unfortunately it was recently discontinued, but
         | apparently the BVG is planning a new on demand service.
         | 
         | BerlKonig was automatically following routes that would
         | optimize for a higher load factor.
         | 
         | For me it was the best option for certain scenarios.
        
       | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
       | Yessss!!! There is no best one-size-for-all solution for
       | transportation, we need lots of different methods to select the
       | best methods for the situation. Scooters, [e-]bikes, vans,
       | trolleys, buses, subways, trains, funiculars. (And more that have
       | yet to be invented; personally I hope for rentable e-assist pedi-
       | cabs to take cargo like groceries home in cities without the need
       | for a 2-ton+ vehicle)
       | 
       | I think this van service combined with an "Uber Pool" model
       | enables highly efficient trips that can supplement mass-transit.
       | Within the planning of bus routes, there are always routes that
       | will take a lot longer or require transfers, but are rarely
       | taken; vans that can "go anywhere" would fill those gaps, without
       | the need for profit-making (and without the discrimination and
       | exploitation of taxis).
       | 
       | From the article, here's why van supplementation can work: _" For
       | $1.6 million, we're providing well over twice as many trips and
       | covering 100 percent of the city with a system that picks you up
       | within 15 to 20 minutes of your request, versus a bus that was
       | only running once an hour."_ It's more expensive [to the city]
       | but it provides much greater mobility and time-saving for
       | citizens.
       | 
       | When you're a single mom and groceries are an hour ride one-way,
       | and the bus only comes once an hour, and you work late, just
       | getting food is a nightmare that takes 3+ hours at the end of a
       | long day. Because of that, she may have to spend $25-50 on taxis
       | (many grocery stores aren't open late), which further reduces her
       | already stretched income. Supplemental transportation methods can
       | solve this problem and transform quality of life for
       | disadvantaged people in society.
        
         | helloooooooo wrote:
         | This kind of strategy must be combined with changing the ways
         | cities are built. Your last point about the single mom, this
         | SHOULDNT be a problem. At all. How did people 100 years ago
         | deal with not having access to food without a time consuming
         | trip? They either grew their own, or they lived close enough to
         | a place where they could buy it. The private automobile
         | completely killed the idea of living close to what you need.
        
           | Originami wrote:
           | 100 years ago there were no single moms. Unmarried births
           | have increased from 19% in 1950 to 72% in 2010 for Africa-
           | American women: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/
           | files/2014/12/e...
           | 
           | Largely due to the expansion of the welfare state which
           | encourages single motherhood.
        
             | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
             | Also, 110 years ago, most people in America did not live in
             | cities
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | semi-extrinsic wrote:
         | This is America trying to fix problems that are caused by their
         | poor-to-nonexistent urban planning, FWIW. I've lived in several
         | countries in Europe, and you have to be far out into the
         | countryside before it gets difficult to go grocery shopping
         | with a bike and bike trailer, or even just a backpack and
         | walking.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | midislack wrote:
       | Where's this all coming from lately? Seems that walkable cities
       | (code for making vehicle ownership so expensive and onerous that
       | only the elite can drive) and the push for public transit is a
       | top down affair that is being force fed to the public not just
       | via the usual media outlets, but also legions of GPT based
       | Internet shills.
       | 
       | It also seems very European. All the big cities already have
       | buses and trains in the US. Outside these places it's not only
       | not practical, it's totally infeasible. So who is making this
       | push? WEF? Mayor Pete?
        
       | hammock wrote:
       | Why does no one talk about the private bus companies and the
       | colectivos that are found throughout Central and South America?
       | The system is amazing for anyone who has used it, compared to
       | alternatives.
        
         | 1123581321 wrote:
         | Perhaps tell us why it's amazing and the road to where it is
         | today.
         | 
         | I think most can surmise that all forms of transit have been
         | repeatedly tried all over the world. Sharing details and their
         | applicability to other other municipalities are what will
         | advance transit.
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | Sure. I'm not really an expert in how they work but if you
           | speak Spanish they're easy enough to use.
           | 
           | Most cities have private bus companies that run their own
           | routes. Where the bus is going is posted in the front on a
           | piece of paper and you just hop on when you see one. The
           | companies compete with each other so the routes often change,
           | the prices are low and supply always meets demand.
           | 
           | Colectivos are a different phenomenon. In certain meeting
           | places there are combi buses (12 pax vans basically) each one
           | going to a different place usually a suburb or a neighboring
           | town or a landmark outside of town or somewhere within
           | commuting distance. You pay a small fee and the driver will
           | sit there until all the seats are full, and then drive to the
           | destination. Sometimes you sit 5 min before departing,
           | sometimes 30 min. But usually it's not so bad and it's far
           | and away the cheapest way to get these longer distances
           | reliably.
        
       | RF_Savage wrote:
       | The greater Helsinki area municipal transit authority "HSL" had
       | this years a go. You could hail a mini bus with an app if you had
       | some friends with you. I guess it was not sustainable, even if it
       | was well liked. As it got shut down after a few years.
        
       | kevinpet wrote:
       | I think this featured in Charlie Stross's novel Rule 34. His
       | version includes what seems like dynamic rerouting based on
       | willingness to pay a premium.
        
       | karmakaze wrote:
       | Back in the late-70s/early-80s the town I lived in had a thing
       | called Dial-a-Bus which was longer than a minivan with maybe
       | 10-15 seats, built lighter than a modern airport shuttle. It
       | could pick you up from home and drop you off at an address, etc.
       | I remember when the price jumped from 10 cents to 25 cents per
       | ride. Prank calls were a thing unfortunately.
        
       | hunglee2 wrote:
       | in Hong Kong - especially in the New Territories - the mini-van
       | is basically the main mode of semi-public transport.
       | 
       | The 'Xiao Ba ' basically operate fixed routes, seats about 13,
       | pick up and move per stop, but don't stop on empty stops unless
       | called to do so via open outcry from a passenger who wants to get
       | off at that spot.
       | 
       | Somewhere in between taxi (entirely private, no fixed route) and
       | bus (entirely public, fixed route). They're great, and generally
       | missing from transportation systems in the Western world
        
       | bluGill wrote:
       | Another bad idea that keeps coming back. Real experts have
       | written about it. Start with
       | https://humantransit.org/2019/08/what-is-microtransit-for.ht...
       | and be prepared to read for a while to understand why this is not
       | a good idea despite the hype.
        
         | HonestOp001 wrote:
         | It is the future, getting the large inefficient buses off the
         | system is the goal.
         | 
         | His thesis that the vehicles meander and no technology will fix
         | that is refutable in that technology can identify opportunities
         | to minimize inefficiencies. A good algorithm will create
         | efficient routes for the flexible transit.
         | 
         | Finally, the author is a public transit consultant. He is not
         | going to be good for a reference when he is on one side of an
         | item. He may be a subject matter expert, but he is blinded to
         | what can be accomplished. Judging from other people's comments
         | from other countries, my thesis is more accurate.
        
           | wbsss4412 wrote:
           | Flexibility and efficiency are often at odds.
           | 
           | Fixed route service is FAR more efficient than any sort of
           | micro transit service can ever be, unless we are looking at
           | areas with very low demand.
           | 
           | The most efficient algorithm is always going to be having
           | people gather in one spot to be picked up and dropped off
           | rather than driving all over to different points.
        
             | treis wrote:
             | >Fixed route service is FAR more efficient than any sort of
             | micro transit service can ever be
             | 
             | Theoretically fixed route service is far more efficient.
             | Practically, it's not because it takes a lot of demand to
             | run at high frequency and high utilization. As an example,
             | I live in Atlanta and it costs the system $9 per bus ride
             | these days. And given the nature of the system and the city
             | it usually takes people more than one bus ride to get where
             | they need to go.
             | 
             | Lyft/Uber usually comes out to be slightly to much cheaper
             | excepting long cross-metro rides. The problem is that I
             | don't get my $15.50 subsidy.
        
               | wbsss4412 wrote:
               | You aren't making an apples to apples comparison though,
               | your assertion is that it costs the system $18 for you to
               | take a trip, but you're only looking at the fare charges
               | by Uber/Lyft. Uber and Lyft continue to operate at a
               | loss, and are therefore subsidizing their rides as well.
               | Additionally, they are able to maintain a contingent
               | workforce that a public transit agency would likely never
               | be able to get away with. Uber and Lyft are directly
               | subsidized by investor money, in addition to the lower
               | wages earned by drivers who _also_ cover the capital
               | expenditure for vehicles and cover the maintenance costs.
               | 
               | And final point, mass transit demand still hasn't
               | returned to pre pandemic levels. Obviously, it may be the
               | case that we have seen a long term shift in demand, but
               | the fact remains that the current system was built
               | out/provisioned for a higher level of demand, so it's not
               | surprising that the cost structure is higher right now
               | than it should be. Pre pandemic it looks like bus/rail
               | cost Marta around $4.50 per trip.
        
               | treis wrote:
               | >You aren't making an apples to apples comparison though,
               | your assertion is that it costs the system $18 for you to
               | take a trip, but you're only looking at the fare charges
               | by Uber/Lyft.
               | 
               | The $18 is operating cost and doesn't include capital
               | costs. Lyft is EBIDTA profitable and Uber likely is on
               | rides too. Their fares are enough to cover the operating
               | cost of the system. Comparison is as apples to apples as
               | it can be.
               | 
               | >Pre pandemic it looks like bus/rail cost Marta around
               | $4.50 per trip.
               | 
               | Even still. To use a practical example, my kid's day care
               | is 4 miles away. I would need 2 buses to get there by
               | MARTA so $9 if we assume pre-pandemic costs. Lyft will
               | take me there for between $8.93 and $14.17 with various
               | options on shared + wait time. For a solo car for a pick
               | up in 4 minutes it's $11.01.
               | 
               | Lyft will take me 9 minutes to get there while MARTA will
               | take 46 minutes if I time everything perfectly. More
               | realistically it's an hour which is barely faster than
               | walking the 4 miles.
        
               | wbsss4412 wrote:
               | Lyft's adjusted EBITA was $55 million in Q1, given their
               | active rider number stands at ~19 million, at best they
               | are likely offering rides at cost.
               | 
               | That still leaves out the costs incurred by the drivers.
               | Opex for transit agencies includes maintenance, insurance
               | and driver salaries and benefits which are much more
               | costly than it is for Lyft.
               | 
               | You are right that sprawling metro areas are very well
               | suited for mass transit, though. There does need to be a
               | sufficient amount of demand in order for it to work.
               | 
               | The fact of the matter is that the main problem is a land
               | use pattern that requires over $9 to travel to and from a
               | child's daycare.
        
           | chaos_emergent wrote:
           | Are buses that inefficient? Why is the objective to remove
           | them, and by what measure are they inefficient?
        
             | bluGill wrote:
             | Buses require expensive drivers and so they are the most
             | expensive form of transit. A small bus costs almost as much
             | as a big on to run. A train costs more per trip, but a
             | train typically has many more people on. In theory you
             | could run a train for service where a small bus would work,
             | but since nobody does that the fact that a train would cost
             | a lot more for that service is irrelevant.
        
               | semi-extrinsic wrote:
               | Buses are far from the most expensive form of transit.
               | High-speed ferryboats or helicopters probably claim that
               | prize. I'm pretty sure airplanes are also more expensive,
               | as are subways if you include the cost to build them in
               | the first place, as well as cars if you include total
               | cost of ownership.
        
               | bluGill wrote:
               | Cost is typically measured per passenger km or some such.
               | Ferryboats can come out cheap if there are enough people
               | on them. I'm not aware of anyone using helicopters for
               | mass transit. Airplanes are very cheap for long distance
               | service.
        
           | bluGill wrote:
           | > A good algorithm will create efficient routes for the
           | flexible transit.
           | 
           | You assume there is such an algorithm. That assertion so far
           | has proven false, and I see no reason to believe that any
           | algorithm can overcome the fundamental problems.
        
         | chaos_emergent wrote:
         | You buried the lede for this piece. It doesn't say that micro
         | transit is a bad idea, just that its objectives are different
         | than fixed route transit. Specifically, it optimizes for
         | coverage instead of ridership, which makes sense for low
         | density areas.
         | 
         | Even the NPR article says that larger cities are experimenting
         | with micro transit but only for harder-to-reach areas.
         | 
         | It has a place as a complement to fixed route transit, not as a
         | replacement.
        
         | vel0city wrote:
         | > It's one tool for providing lifeline access to hard-to-serve
         | areas, where availability, not ridership, is the point.
         | 
         | From your own article. Flexible/microtransit/whatever you want
         | to call it _can_ be a good idea, and it can be done right. Its
         | not a replacement for a bus route with any level of decent
         | ridership, its for the areas where there literally aren 't
         | enough people interested in riding a bus to make the bus
         | practical. Once ridership numbers get high enough, the transit
         | groups should absolutely upgrade those areas to actual bus
         | lines, but until then it is an option to serve places that
         | otherwise wouldn't be able to be effectively served by decent
         | bus service economically.
        
           | jimkleiber wrote:
           | It makes me think of how I've heard some universities will
           | pave the paths that students had walked, vs creating the
           | paved paths and hoping students walk on them [0]:
           | 
           | > The team at UNC went back into the archive for us and found
           | some plans from the 60s and 70s, when they were really
           | expanding the campus. An archivist discovered one of the
           | written goals for planners was to "build paths where students
           | were going rather than building some sort of grid system."
           | 
           | I believe micro-transit could play a similar role, basically
           | helping the planners even figure out which routes people want
           | to take before they turn them into fully funded routes.
           | 
           | [0]: https://www.9news.com/article/news/local/next/desired-
           | paths-...
        
       | ilauuk wrote:
       | We have this in Jerusalem. At busy times the van takes up to
       | around 6 people and at quiet times you're by yourself. At busy
       | times your ride can take up to triple what it would have taken
       | otherwise, because it makes stops for other people. Like 45 mins
       | instead of 15, which makes it pretty unpredictable. You also
       | often have to wait a while for it. They're called TikTak here.
       | It's mainly useful for getting a direct ride where you'd
       | otherwise have to take more than one bus.
        
       | woodruffw wrote:
       | Make of this what you will: North Carolina's cities used to have
       | remarkably developed streetcar networks[1].
       | 
       | It is depressing and frustrating to see public authorities
       | attempt to recreate the successes of public transport on
       | fundamentally inefficient, commons-hostile substrates.
       | 
       | [1]: https://www.ourstate.com/history-of-north-carolina-
       | streetcar...
        
         | chrismartin wrote:
         | I live in a city with a "modern" streetcar. I even rode it to
         | work for a few months. Two reasons why it's not great.
         | 
         | 1. It shares busy streets with cars yet has zero ability to
         | maneuver in traffic. If just one car is parked a few inches
         | beyond the edge of the parking lane, the entire streetcar route
         | is blocked.
         | 
         | 2. The tracks trap bicycle tires and cause many bicycle
         | crashes. This happened to colleague of mine, fortunately at low
         | speed. There have been dozens of crashes and at least one
         | death.
         | 
         | Electric bus service is cheaper to install and has neither of
         | these disadvantages.
        
           | woodruffw wrote:
           | Both of these are serious issues, and point to an underlying
           | problem: cities have been re-planned _around_ their streetcar
           | networks, not _with_ them in mind. Improperly planned,
           | streetcars are just less mobile buses.
           | 
           | There are known solutions to both of these: give streetcars
           | unilateral right of way, isolate them from car traffic at
           | intersections and stops, and give cyclists their own
           | separated lanes.
           | 
           | Depending on the city, electric bus service might be the
           | right choice! But I'll note: we _undid_ all of the things
           | that make streetcars advantageous, and we could _redo_ them
           | with sufficient political will.
        
             | chrismartin wrote:
             | Even when cyclists have their own lanes, they need to cross
             | the streetcar tracks in order to (1) make turns and (2)
             | avoid obstacles (e.g. cars suddenly pulling out). If they
             | don't plan and execute the track crossing at a
             | perpendicular enough angle, the wheel gets trapped and the
             | rider usually wipes out. The victim is then often blamed
             | for getting hurt by infrastructure of a design that is
             | known to hurt people [0].
             | 
             | [0] https://tucson.com/news/local/court-rules-against-
             | tucson-bic...
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | You're absolutely right. I think the way Amsterdam does
               | this is instructive: nearly all cycling-trolley crossings
               | are completely perpendicular, and all cycling-automotive
               | crossings are isolated _and_ separate from any nearby
               | trolley crossing.
        
             | treis wrote:
             | Streetcars are always less mobile buses. You can do
             | everything you suggest for buses and get the same benefits
             | plus everything that being a bus offers you.
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | The advantages to streetcars aren't limited to what I
               | suggest. They also include noise and air quality
               | advantages (hooking up to municipal power sources instead
               | of carrying their own engines), human advantages (they
               | tend to be more comfortable than buses, both because of
               | road quality and size), capacity, and so forth.
               | 
               | There are many, many situations where buses (ideally,
               | electrified ones) are the right choice. But there are
               | also many situations where streetcars are the right
               | choice, which is why many cities run both (or one over
               | the other).
        
               | treis wrote:
               | >hooking up to municipal power sources instead of
               | carrying their own engines
               | 
               | You can do that with a bus
               | 
               | >they tend to be more comfortable than buses, both
               | because of road quality and size
               | 
               | (1) You can make bigger buses if you want
               | 
               | (2) There's little difference in a streetcar on a track
               | and a bus on a flat road. And it's a lot cheaper to get
               | flat roads than to lay track
        
               | qwezxcrty wrote:
               | >make bigger buses
               | 
               | Nontrivial after adding the second deck (common in UK &
               | Hong Kong), or an articulation (common in EU and mainland
               | China) However for tram, the upper limit is your platform
               | length. It's also common to run single trains off-peak,
               | couple two together during busy hours to double the
               | capacity.
        
               | woodruffw wrote:
               | > You can do that with a bus
               | 
               | Right, at which point it's a cramped, bumpier trolley. It
               | no longer has the main advantage that buses offer, which
               | is being able to alternate their routes based on traffic
               | or blockages.
               | 
               | You can make bigger buses, but they still need to conform
               | to a different set of safety and size standards. Trolleys
               | can make better use of standard lane space (and
               | frequently fit better into standard lanes in older
               | cities, since they can articulate for turns much better).
               | 
               | Laying track does not _have_ to be expensive. Small-to-
               | mid-sized cities in Europe do it cheaply and sustainably;
               | many of the US 's cities have streets that are _already
               | graded_ for streetcars and could be replanted without
               | full surveys. I won 't claim that it's uniformly cheaper
               | than running a bus network, but that's not the sole
               | factor in our civic construction process -- we also
               | consider quality of life, performance, and appeal.
        
           | kwhitefoot wrote:
           | > If just one car is parked a few inches beyond the edge of
           | the parking lane
           | 
           | In places where I have lived and worked that have trams the
           | car always comes off worst because the tram is just so much
           | heavier and more robust. And no one is going to defend the
           | car owner because the tram has right of way. I have even seen
           | buses just touch cars that were illegally parked in bus
           | stops, just a gentle scratch and easily deniable, but you can
           | bet that the car driver never does it again.
        
             | chrismartin wrote:
             | In my experience, the streetcar driver is unwilling to make
             | contact. It waits (perhaps for the car to be towed),
             | passengers hop off and continue their journey on foot.
        
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