[HN Gopher] Indonesia: The most amazing development story on Earth?
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       Indonesia: The most amazing development story on Earth?
        
       Author : RickJWagner
       Score  : 79 points
       Date   : 2022-07-01 11:56 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (noahpinion.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (noahpinion.substack.com)
        
       | misja111 wrote:
       | One part of the development of Indonesia that is conveniently
       | left out of the article, is the annexation of West Papua. An area
       | rich of gold mines. Unfortunately for the indigenous population,
       | things didn't end with the annexation. An estimated 500,000 West
       | Papuans have been killed in the bloody conflict that has
       | continued until now.
       | 
       | It's a conflict that rarely makes it into the news, a common
       | thing when the victims are poor and lots of money is at stake.
       | See e.g. https://www.indigenouspeoples-
       | sdg.org/index.php/english/ttt/...
        
       | vondur wrote:
       | They make a huge amount of guitars there now. Go to a music store
       | and check where a sub $1000 guitar is made. Probably 80% of them
       | are now made in Indonesia. This has all happened in the last 10
       | years.
        
         | immigrantheart wrote:
         | And it is high quality.
        
         | zakki wrote:
         | You may interested in this guitarist channel for his finger
         | style:
         | 
         | https://youtube.com/channel/UC8ulHx3SxnYY-e1lVzx5K3A
        
       | humbleMouse wrote:
        
       | MarketingJason wrote:
       | I've lived in Jakarta (long time ago) and visited recently for
       | work. One story sums up how I feel about Indonesia:
       | 
       | I worked for a globally-distributed company. The founder, org,
       | and some engineers were located in Indonesia. We had a company-
       | wide "working retreat" in Bali for a month where I got to work
       | alongside our Indonesian Software Engineer team.
       | 
       | At some point, I got up and started to refill a disposable Dasani
       | water bottle I had been using at the water dispenser. The senior
       | dev comes over to me looking shocked.
       | 
       | "What are you doing?" "Umm...I'm getting some more water?" "Don't
       | you know about BPAs?" "Yeah"
       | 
       | He began to explain I shouldn't re-use water bottles because it
       | gets more BPAs in the water. I just said "thanks, I'm okay" and
       | kept re-using the bottle. I also asked around, it was a common
       | belief among the rest of the group.
        
         | jl2718 wrote:
         | Context: https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-43823883
         | 
         | And... I'm not the expert but I'm pretty sure the BPAs in the
         | second fill are negligible compared to the first. The point is
         | that they are all drinking single-use bottled water and
         | trashing the bottles because of a tiny irrational concern for
         | themselves.
         | 
         | The owner of Jungle Bay in Dominica said a similar thing. Like
         | how we go to watch leatherbacks nesting, and Dominicans show up
         | with hatchets. He was trying to do conservation from a banker's
         | chair in Morgan Stanley, but it wasn't working because the
         | people felt no connection to the ecosystem. He started the
         | resort so that the locals would see the value that 'we' ascribe
         | to it.
        
         | statguy wrote:
         | I was once talking to a senior dev from country X, he explained
         | to me how vaccines cause autism, or how the moon landing is
         | fake or Bill Gates is implanting microchips in all of us, that
         | sums up how I feel about the country X.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | pessimizer wrote:
         | This is definitely true. Although it's a bit extreme to not
         | refill a disposable bottle once or twice, you should instead
         | buy a bottle that is meant to be refilled and not buy bottled
         | water if it can be avoided.
         | 
         | What I'm curious about is what you thought that said about the
         | entire country of Indonesia, so much so that nothing else
         | needed to be said. (Even assuming that the BPA claim is false.)
        
           | jlg23 wrote:
           | > not buy bottled water if it can be avoided.
           | 
           | That goes against every advice I've ever heard for traveling
           | developing countries. It's usually "yes, even for brushing
           | your teeth, use bottled water!".
        
         | rajup wrote:
         | > He began to explain I shouldn't re-use water bottles because
         | it gets more BPAs in the water. I just said "thanks, I'm okay"
         | and kept re-using the bottle. I also asked around, it was a
         | common belief among the rest of the group.
         | 
         | Any reason to believe that is not the case? BPAs in plastic
         | bottles are well known at this point. I guess I'm not
         | understanding what this anecdote says about your feelings about
         | Indonesia.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | stainablesteel wrote:
           | It's true, you shouldn't. The plastic leaches off in multiple
           | forms. Doing it a couple times won't really hurt you, but
           | it's a bad long-term habit.
        
         | filoleg wrote:
         | I don't think I am particularly dense, but I heavily struggle
         | to tell what this is supposed to mean. I definitely appreciate
         | this story being posted here, but I cannot put a finger on what
         | kind of a feeling about Indonesia it is supposed to sum up.
         | 
         | So on your work trip to Bali, the devs from Indonesia suggested
         | you dont reuse a plastic bottle due to BPAs in the water
         | getting higher with reuse, you ignored their suggestion
         | (presumably because BPAs arent a concern in this case?), and
         | that sums up how you feel about Indonesia? I feel like I am
         | missing something important in this story.
        
       | gobrewers14 wrote:
       | > In the 1960s the army, with support from the U.S. CIA,
       | committed a mass slaughter of half a million suspected
       | communists. In 1998 there was a huge series of riots against
       | ethnic Chinese people, which ended up toppling the country's
       | dictator at the time.
       | 
       | There's book called The Jakarta Method by Vincent Bevins that
       | goes into this topic in detail. It's a very interesting (and
       | tragic) read.
        
         | ngai_aku wrote:
         | I also recommend the documentary The Act of Killing about this
         | topic (Academy Award winner).
        
           | corrral wrote:
           | For a fictional connection:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Year_of_Living_Dangerously.
           | ..
           | 
           | Mel Gibson, Sigourney Weaver, and Linda Hunt with a stand-out
           | and very deservedly academy award winning supporting role.
        
         | gradschoolfail wrote:
         | And for entertainment there is the multiple AA winning
         | preAmerica Mel Gibson vehicle
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Year_of_Living_Dangerously...
         | 
         | Once banned in Indonesia..
        
       | frankosaurus wrote:
       | John McWhorter suggested that colloquial Indonesian would be an
       | ideal universal language for the world.
       | 
       | https://conversationswithtyler.com/episodes/john-mcwhorter/
        
       | goldfeld wrote:
        
       | thematrixturtle wrote:
       | In Indonesia the vast majority of _everything_ -- population,
       | wealth, power, infrastructure, development etc -- is concentrated
       | on the single island of Java, which is about the size and
       | population of Japan. On Java basically everybody speaks
       | Indonesian (if often as one of several languages), and the vast
       | majority are culturally Javanese  & Muslim. Yet, compared to
       | Japan, it would be hard to describe Java as a success story, and
       | it's quite clearly both poorer and developing more slowly than
       | its neighbors.
        
         | rootsudo wrote:
         | 50/50, not "everything" there is Bali, which is much more for
         | Tourism, Foreigners - and more to the point that most people do
         | not think Bali is Indonesia.
         | 
         | Culturally Javanese and Muslim, yes but there are sects of
         | Christianity, and outside Java it goes dependent of island,
         | Manado, Bali, Lombok, etc. There is religious freedom.
         | 
         | Java is a success story, for most of South East Asia and
         | Central Asia.
        
           | thematrixturtle wrote:
           | Bali has an outsized profile due to the tourism, but it has
           | only 4M of Indonesia's 273M people, plus the island is
           | swamped with (mostly Javanese) migrants.
           | 
           | I'm well aware that there's a lot more to Indonesia than
           | Java, but from an economic lens, Java _is_ Indonesia. The
           | island generates well over half the country 's GDP:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Indonesian_provinces_b.
           | ..
        
         | goombacloud wrote:
         | Well, the exploitation of "natural resources" (i.e. environment
         | destruction) happens mostly in Sumatra, Papua, and Borneo and
         | is the major economic driver :/
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | MomoXenosaga wrote:
       | They are relocating the capital instead of fixing the old one.
       | And I'm guessing none of Jakarta's poors get to live there.
        
       | elmerfud wrote:
       | As someone who visits Indonesia regularly, the article has some
       | points but the development is so radically unequal and division
       | of the people's are so strongly held that "development" in this
       | sense is those in power choosing winners. Huge swaths of the
       | population is held in poverty because they are not of the right
       | village or island.
       | 
       | There is literally no mobility between economic and social
       | classes in this country. Skill, desire with a touch of luck is
       | not enough to move you ahead in Indonesia like it is in other
       | places. If you are a poor village person you will be that
       | forever. Your only option is to marry in to a better
       | social/economic class but even that's difficult because poor
       | village people aren't desirable there, except to westerners who
       | well... You know why.
       | 
       | I'll believe it's an amazing development story when stop seeing
       | 15yo girls shipped in to the cities where their only job they can
       | get is giving out favors for less than a cost of a meal at a mid
       | priced restaurant in that same city. Because if you're not able
       | to get those people from the village to participate in your
       | developing society in a meaningful way that doesn't include
       | exploiting them there is no amazing story here.
        
         | immigrantheart wrote:
         | That seems like majority of 3rd world country. It isn't unique
         | to Indonesia.
        
         | bogomipz wrote:
         | >"As someone who visits Indonesia ..."
         | 
         | I was curious, do you visit for work or just recreational
         | travel? I would love to see more of it. Any recommendations
         | outside of the usual Bali or very touristy places?
        
           | zakki wrote:
           | Here are some places:
           | 
           | - Lombok (east of Bali)
           | 
           | - Raja Ampat (West Papua)
           | 
           | - Mentawai (northern part of Sumatra)
           | 
           | - Yogyakarta (has its own autonomy, kingdom based province).
           | From here you can visit Borobudur. 8th century Buddhist
           | temple, largest in the world
           | 
           | - Bunaken a small island in North Sulawesi
           | 
           | Find more information in internet.
        
           | brnt wrote:
           | That's like asking what the best place to visit in the US is,
           | besides the Grand Canyon. There are so many!
        
             | bogomipz wrote:
             | And yet people ask for travel recommendations for the US
             | all the time and people are happy to give them, often for
             | the specific region of the country that they are from or
             | familiar with. You realize there's an entire travel
             | industry that runs on this very premise right?
        
               | brnt wrote:
               | True, there's good money to be made off googling for
               | people.
        
         | Gimpei wrote:
         | The gini of Indonesia, at ~37, isn't low, but it isn't
         | particularly high either. Below Malaysia, China, and the
         | Philippines, but above Thailand. Mobility is hard to track at
         | Indonesia's level of development. All I could find was this
         | study, which suggests relatively high educational mobility in
         | the Jakarta "slums" [1] and this study that suggests that
         | Indonesia is an outlier in terms of having high mobility
         | relative to its level of inequality [2].
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/488961/a...
         | [2]
         | https://www.wider.unu.edu/sites/default/files/Publications/W...
        
         | SimpJee wrote:
         | Lived and worked in Indonesia, and am married to an Indonesian.
         | "Huge swaths of the population" living in villages is not true,
         | the majority of the population works and lives in the major
         | cities.
         | 
         | I saw very diverse mix of Indonesians originally from those
         | small villages working in the big cities in a variety of jobs
         | in a variety of sectors and positions. Every year after Ramadan
         | when the mass migration happened back to their home towns it
         | was great hearing where co-workers were all going to. I even
         | joined one year and went to a smaller town/village with family
         | and friends, and it never struck me as poverty - but rather a
         | farming town like we get in the middle of America.
         | 
         | I'm sure you are right though about the situation of some
         | people living in remote villages, or islands today, and I also
         | saw poor (many) but what I don't agree with is your wording
         | that make it sound like more than half the country or something
         | is in that situation.
        
           | Jabbles wrote:
           | > the majority of the population works and lives in the major
           | cities
           | 
           | Technically true at 57%, but your wording makes it seem like
           | you think it is much higher. Or perhaps you have a different
           | definition?
           | 
           | https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS?locat.
           | ..
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | As someone from one of the countries on Noah's chart, I hate
         | this attitude. It epitomizes allowing perfect to be the enemy
         | of good.
         | 
         | Indonesia's development isn't just those in power "choosing
         | winners." Indonesia's under 5 mortality rate has dropped from
         | 400 in 1,000 in 1950 to 23 per 1,000 today. You can't achieve
         | that just from top-down redistribution.
         | 
         | For the same reason, it's an "amazing development story" even
         | if there's still lots of desperately poor people in villages.
         | My dad's village in Bangladesh is still poor, but the school
         | has walls now, unlike when he was a kid when it was just a
         | roof. He was complaining the other day that "kids these days
         | don't know what it's like to take a boat to school during
         | monsoon" because drainage projects addressed annual flooding.
         | 
         | For developing countries, it's so incredibly hard to get a
         | system in place that merely makes progress. 99% of approaches
         | to making progress simply don't work. Shitting all over a
         | system that is making progress, however unequal and flawed, is
         | bad. Do you need a quasi dictator to enable development, like
         | in Chile, Singapore, and Korea? Do you need growing inequality,
         | like America's own industrial revolution? All that is fine!
         | Millions of kids' lives will be saved from that in the long
         | run.
        
           | refurb wrote:
           | That seems to be a common theme among the ever pessimistic
           | crowd online.
           | 
           | Progress is never perfect and course corrections need to be
           | made constantly. But the improvement in the QOL among many SE
           | Asian countries is truly remarkable. People have gone from
           | subsistence living where starvation is a real threat to a low
           | income life where basic medical care, housing and food is a
           | given for most of the population.
        
         | the_gipsy wrote:
         | Doesn't Indonesia have a fascist past? That would explain the
         | strong classism and immobility.
        
           | yunohn wrote:
           | Indonesia was colonised by Europe for centuries (1). If
           | anything, that would explain the poverty and difficulty in
           | eradicating inequality, than a few years of "fascism".
           | 
           | (1) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Indonesia
        
           | jeffreyrogers wrote:
           | How would that explain it? Past authoritarianism seems a poor
           | predictor of social mobility in the modern world.
        
             | the_gipsy wrote:
             | Why?
        
           | UncleOxidant wrote:
           | Germany had a fascist past as well.
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | I don't think any country has transformed from our natural dirt
         | poor state to modern industrial prosperity in an evenly
         | distributed way.
        
           | aikinai wrote:
           | Japan did it. South Korea as well, maybe slightly less
           | equally distributed.
        
             | rootsudo wrote:
             | No, Japan still _has_ not done it. The major metropolitan
             | cities may reflect it, but there are tons of cities where
             | that is not the case across Japan.
        
               | aikinai wrote:
               | It sounds like you're just arguing that no country in the
               | world has wealth distributed equally enough? Japan is
               | some where around #15 in global equality rankings, well
               | above other nations that have been rich for far longer.
        
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