[HN Gopher] DOE announces breakthrough in residential cold clima...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       DOE announces breakthrough in residential cold climate heat pump
       technology
        
       Author : josephscott
       Score  : 571 points
       Date   : 2022-06-18 16:39 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.energy.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.energy.gov)
        
       | anonu wrote:
       | Can you use the same tech to cool a house? That would seem to be
       | much more needed given the climate trends (warming) and
       | demographic trends (moving to Southern US States).
        
       | jamisteven wrote:
       | "can save families as much as $500 a year on their utility
       | bills".... ehhh, people affected by an extra 500 per year arent
       | going to fork over 20k for a new system that will save only 500
       | per year.
        
         | gehsty wrote:
         | Overall the cost may not be that much but the bigger shift is
         | to electrification of heating instead of a gas burning boiler,
         | as electrical systems can take advantage of power from offshore
         | wind / solar etc. another way of looking at it is most people
         | will replace their boilers in the next 20-30yrs, if they can
         | get a electrical heat pump system they should (and the
         | governments should make this economically advantageous to do
         | so).
        
         | hsbauauvhabzb wrote:
         | Is the cost on new homes comparable? Does the US subsidise this
         | at all?
        
       | disantlor wrote:
       | hmm as someone about to purchase a heat pump system for heat in a
       | northern climate I am not sure if I should wait...
       | 
       | is this an announcement of a breakthrough or a challenge to find
       | a breakthrough?
        
         | rudedogg wrote:
         | If you haven't heard of it, make sure you use
         | https://ashp.neep.org/#!/product_list/ to help pick a model.
         | 
         | One tip from my install, is to go with single zone units. I did
         | a multi-zone and the way the control system works is kind of
         | weird. They also don't have as good of a turndown ratio[0] as
         | smaller/single zone systems, making it less efficient.
         | 
         | Overall I'm happy with it though.
         | 
         | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turndown_ratio
        
         | zip1234 wrote:
         | There are already heat pumps that work at very low temps.
         | Mitsubishi has models that are still heating at -13f
        
         | boulos wrote:
         | FTA, they already measured it and will deploy in 2024:
         | 
         | > The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
         | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF. DOE's
         | Oak Ridge National Laboratory validated the performance and
         | efficiency of Lennox's prototype.
         | 
         | > Lennox is one of nine manufacturers competing in the CCHP
         | Technology Challenge. Its product and others that meet the CCHP
         | Technology Challenge will undergo trials in cold climate
         | regions over the next two years to demonstrate performance,
         | efficiency, and comfort when applied in the field throughout a
         | winter. Deployment and commercialization are planned for 2024.
        
         | Jgrubb wrote:
         | I just bought a Mitsubishi mini split system to replace our oil
         | furnace and bring A/C to our house here in New Jersey for the
         | first time. Their high end outdoor units heat down to -13 F,
         | which is colder than I've ever seen here. It arrives in august.
         | 
         | Gree has a system that claims to have full heat down to -31, so
         | I'd say just keep researching and you'll probably be fine.
        
           | throw0101a wrote:
           | > _Gree has a system that claims to have full heat down to
           | -31, so I 'd say just keep researching and you'll probably be
           | fine._
           | 
           | Doing a quick search, they're using 'standard' R410A
           | refrigerant (PDF):
           | 
           | * https://www.greecomfort.com/assets/our-products/multi-
           | plus-u...
           | 
           | the same as everyone else. It seems just that they though it
           | worth the engineering effort to push a little further than
           | most other companies.
           | 
           | See anything with the label "For Extreme Conditions":
           | 
           | * https://www.greecomfort.com/our-products/
        
           | david422 wrote:
           | What is the plan for when it gets colder than -13? Do you do
           | a hybrid with your furnace? Some other solution? Thinking of
           | getting some heat pumps myself.
        
             | leviathant wrote:
             | In nearby Philadelphia, it rarely gets that cold, and not
             | for extended periods of time, but when it does, we bust out
             | blankets and space heaters to make up the difference.
        
             | Jgrubb wrote:
             | We usually switch to the wood stoves once winter sets in.
             | Our forced air furnace is incapable of making the house
             | warm and cozy because duct reasons that I can't really fix.
             | 
             | I'm planning on getting rid of it altogether and doing the
             | heat pump(s) most of the year, the wood stoves in winter
             | and reclaiming a lot of headroom in the basement and an
             | entire utility room that the furnace currently takes up.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | I've looked into heat pumps pretty extensively for my
             | upcoming boiler replacement (looking at an air-to-water in
             | my case, but very similar principles apply).
             | 
             | In my case, the 99% design temperature is high single
             | digits Fahrenheit. For the 3.5 days/year colder than that,
             | the plan is to have the house "coast" on thermal mass.
             | 
             | That's for cases where the ambient temp is below design
             | (where the heater can make heat but just no longer enough
             | to keep up with the building heat loss), not for when it's
             | below a cutoff (where the heater shuts off entirely). In my
             | case, that's so far below design temp that I'd expect to
             | never see it. (We hit -9degF in 2016 and would have to go
             | all the way back to 1943 to find a low of -14degF.) If it
             | happened, thermal mass would start to carry us with
             | electric space heating keeping the house from totally
             | freezing.
        
               | hamandcheese wrote:
               | I might invest in some backup propane heaters as well (a
               | buddy heater at Walmart is pretty affordable and is safe
               | for indoor use). I feel like in blizzard-like conditions
               | having electricity be your backup plan might not be too
               | wise.
        
             | 0x53 wrote:
             | They way it works in practice is that the air handler that
             | comes with the heat pump will contain a backup emergency
             | heat element in case it gets too cold or there is a problem
             | with the heat pump. The cost to run it is much higher, but
             | it should only run in the most extreme cold temperatures.
        
         | newsclues wrote:
         | Go ahead as planned but perhaps have the installer plan for a
         | future upgrade when the current device fails
        
         | mjmahone17 wrote:
         | You probably should not wait: it will be 2 years of testing
         | according to the announcement, and if you're doing a retrofit
         | most the cost of installation will be installing the transfer
         | lines inside, mounting the unit, etc (opening walls and closing
         | them back up). Transferring from an old outdoor unit to a new
         | one should be a fraction of the original install cost
         | (basically just the new unit cost plus the cost of hooking it
         | up).
         | 
         | But, if you're willing to wait or pay extra for the efficiency
         | gains, you might be even better off getting set up with a
         | ground source heat pump now. The install cost is more up front,
         | but because ground temperature is higher than air temperature
         | in winter and lower than air temperature in summer, the
         | differential you need to pump in or out is a lot less, and
         | therefore much more efficient. I don't think any air to air
         | heat pump in the next 20 years will be as efficient as a ground
         | to air system you could install now. The air to air systems
         | just have lower up front install costs.
        
           | pbourke wrote:
           | In the US, there is still a 30% federal tax credit for ground
           | source heat pumps as well. Many of the other energy credits
           | have sunset (such as solar, I think)
           | 
           | Edit: it's 26% this year and 22% next year.
        
       | selimnairb wrote:
       | This doesn't sound any better than the efficiency of
       | Mitsubishi/Trane "hyper heat" heat pumps, which are already on
       | the market.
        
         | tzs wrote:
         | It depends on what they mean by this:
         | 
         | > The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
         | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF. DOE's
         | Oak Ridge National Laboratory validated the performance and
         | efficiency of Lennox's prototype.
         | 
         | Usually when people talk about efficiency of heat pumps they
         | are comparing to electrical resistance heating (which is 100%
         | efficient). If that's what they mean then they are saying 200%
         | efficient at 5, which is not as good as Mitsubishi, which is
         | better than 200% at 0.
         | 
         | But in the first paragraph they say:
         | 
         | > The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) today announced that
         | American heat pump manufacturer Lennox International became the
         | first partner in the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's)
         | Residential Cold Climate Heat Pump Technology Challenge to
         | develop a next-generation electric heat pump that can more
         | effectively heat homes in northern climates relative to today's
         | models.
         | 
         | It could be that they are stating efficiency compared to
         | current heat pumps, not compared to resistance heating, in
         | which case they would be claiming quite a bit higher efficiency
         | than Mitsubishi, which would certainly justify calling it a
         | breakthrough.
         | 
         | Another possibility is that what they could be claiming as the
         | breakthrough is the 100% heating at 5 part. The Mitsubishi cold
         | weather heat pumps start losing capacity below 23, falling from
         | 100% at 23 to 76% at -13.
         | 
         | I don't think that would be as big a breakthrough as double the
         | efficiency of current heat pumps, because it wouldn't make it
         | so heat pumps are feasible in climates too cold for Mitsubishi.
         | But it would make it so that in places you can use a heat pump
         | you might not need as big of a heat pump with the new
         | technology as you would need with a Mitsubishi. That could
         | lower up front cost making converting from something else to a
         | heat pump more feasible for many.
        
         | joenathanone wrote:
         | Domestic is the key here.
        
         | adrianmonk wrote:
         | Mitsubishi's products seem to be mini-split systems[1].
         | 
         |  _-- > EDIT: Or maybe not... they seem to offer forced-air too.
         | <--_
         | 
         | The DOE challenge is for ducted systems. Their site[2] says:
         | 
         | > _The Challenge is currently focused on residential, centrally
         | ducted, electric-only HPs._
         | 
         | The DOE challenge also has other requirements[3] that I don't
         | know if the Mitsubishi systems satisfy. It requires certain
         | levels of efficiency and "grid interactivity" (meaning Energy
         | Star "demand response"[4] where your utility can temporarily
         | tweak your thermostat settings).
         | 
         | ---
         | 
         | [1] https://www.mitsubishicomfort.com/residential/new-products
         | 
         | [2] https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/cchp-technology-
         | challe...
         | 
         | [3] https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2021-10/bto-
         | cchp-...
         | 
         | [4]
         | https://www.energystar.gov/sites/default/files/ENERGY%20STAR...
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | Kind of a shame, ducted heating has a lot of issues, but is
           | the best for retrofit I guess.
        
           | oneplane wrote:
           | I wonder why ducted systems were part of the requirements, is
           | it because it's just aimed at the USA and then mostly at
           | adoptability for existing systems (which seems to be ducted
           | mostly)? I only have anecdotal experience and no numbers to
           | back that up, but it's the only reason I can come up with
           | that would put such a restriction in place.
           | 
           | I'd say rip the ducts out and just use split systems but I
           | imagine other people have thought about that and figured it's
           | not the best way to go. (or at last not in the US)
        
             | pkulak wrote:
             | Yes, because nearly every house in cold climates is ducted,
             | and we're trying to get people off oil heating quickly,
             | easily, and cheaply. Popping a new heat exchanger in an
             | existing furnace is stupid simple compared to running
             | coolant lines to new, wall-mounted exchangers all over the
             | house.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | Hydronic heat distribution (baseboard and radiators) is
               | quite common in New England.
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | Not in any construction in the last 50 years.
        
               | pkulak wrote:
               | Sorry, meant to mean "in the US", since this was an
               | American Government competition.
        
               | sokoloff wrote:
               | New England is part of the US.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | I think that's true, if the ducts exist already that's
               | simplest and cheapest. If they don't mini-split type
               | systems are. But I suspect that long term those are going
               | to be a pain in the butt because you have a lot of
               | failure points.
        
               | pbourke wrote:
               | Mini splits seem to be pretty reliable. They're very
               | common outside of North America. Most of the leading
               | manufacturers seem to be from Japan (Mitsubishi, Fujitsu,
               | Daikin)
        
           | gwittel wrote:
           | Many of the Mitsubishi heat pumps work with central ducted
           | systems just fine. I have one (replaced a central gas heat,
           | electric AC system). It's just a different air handler but
           | the heat pump was the same as would have been used in a mini-
           | split install.
           | 
           | When cross shopping the Mitsubishi vs Trane, the Mitsubishi
           | was miles ahead. I didn't even get the most cold weather
           | efficient option (not needed for my climate).
        
             | adrianmonk wrote:
             | Oh, you must be right. I was finally able to find this on
             | Mitsubishi's site:
             | 
             | https://www.mitsubishicomfort.com/residential/products/duct
             | e...
             | 
             | And that says it's compatible with some "hyper-heat"
             | outdoor units. So apparently they do offer both.
        
             | philips wrote:
             | How did you find a Mitsubishi installer? I like the product
             | but couldn't find a contractor in the Portland Oregon area.
        
               | gwittel wrote:
               | I used Mitsubishis site to find the local "diamond"
               | contractors (those factory trained and do enough volume).
               | Then cross referenced vs yelp.
               | 
               | https://www.mitsubishicomfort.com/find-a-contractor
               | 
               | I see a few in Portland and several in nearby zip codes.
               | Hopefully one can work for you. There are different tiers
               | of "diamond" so you can compare if the difference matters
               | to you.
               | 
               | One thing that's a bit different is the air handler and
               | outside compressor run on one circuit (mine is a 3 ton
               | unit). So there's a power line between the 2 units. That
               | threw off our city inspector. But it works out nice since
               | I now have an extra 20A breaker free :)
        
               | philips wrote:
               | Thanks! Do you have the technical docs with the
               | efficiency curves for the Mitsubishi ducted systems? I
               | can't find the materials amongst all the marketing.
               | 
               | For example this is the Carrier Infinity 24 we are
               | considering. https://d1049ui2fjityy.cloudfront.net/userfi
               | les/inriver/docu...
        
               | gwittel wrote:
               | I found it in their catalog. You'll need your model or
               | series. After all the specs there were some
               | efficiency/temp tables. It was under Pros (vs homeowner)
               | -> USA -> product support -> catalog -> m and p series.
               | 
               | Catalog:
               | 
               | https://mylinkdrive.com/viewPdf?srcUrl=http://enter.mehva
               | c.c...
               | 
               | pocket guide:
               | 
               | https://mylinkdrive.com/viewPdf?srcUrl=http://enter.mehva
               | c.c...
        
               | gwittel wrote:
               | For reference, here's what we have: 36KBTU
               | AIRHANDLER/HEATPUMP HI-STATIC M SERIES DUCTED SYSTEM
               | INDOOR MOD# SVZ-KP36NA OUTDOOR MOD# SUZ-KA36NA2
               | 
               | It's a slightly older model as we had height restrictions
               | to work around. This prevented us from getting a newer or
               | hyper heat model. IIRC ours had good efficiency into the
               | 20F range which was plenty for us.
               | 
               | In comparison, the Trane dropped efficiency at 50F and
               | needed heat strips at that temp (so pretty crap).
        
       | pfdietz wrote:
       | I wonder if the ideas used here can make low temperature
       | geothermal systems more efficient. An example is the 760 kW
       | system at Chena Hot Springs, 50 miles east of Fairbanks, Alaska.
       | The system there uses hot water from said springs to generate
       | power using repurposed refrigeration technology.
        
         | fghorow wrote:
         | Chena Hot Springs geothermal _is_ a heat pump. It 's an
         | absorption chiller used partially (primarily?) to keep an ice
         | house chilled as a tourist attraction. It works for such
         | relatively low geothermal temperatures because the average
         | Carnot Delta T is pretty good (because Alaska).
         | 
         | As to whether or not thermo-acoustic technology could work,
         | that's a good question.
        
       | markvdb wrote:
       | So much air in this statement, but almost zero raw numbers.
       | 
       | In the mean time, there are good quality air/water heat pumps on
       | the market in Europe. Look at the Nibe F2120 for example. It
       | blows this thing out of the water. It has a COP of 2.5 at -25C...
        
         | gorbypark wrote:
         | Any sources of info on good heat pumps in the European market?
         | I just moved to Spain and am casually looking at options.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | impostervt wrote:
       | That's great news. I have a heat pump in my house, but still need
       | to use the gas furnace when the temp drops below 40 degrees
       | Fahrenheit.
       | 
       | A repair person goofed the settings last January, and I didn't
       | notice the furnace wasn't kicking in until the end of February.
       | My electric bill went from $150-ish for Feb 2021 to $450-ish for
       | Feb 2022.
        
         | danans wrote:
         | That's pretty poor performance. Most modern heat pumps on the
         | market will work well below 32F, even at > 1 COP.
        
           | happyopossum wrote:
           | It's not about 'working', it's about the cost of electricity
           | when it gets colder and the efficiency drops. Gas is pretty
           | cheap for heating in most of the US...
        
         | philips wrote:
         | What heat pump do you have?
        
       | dukeofdoom wrote:
       | So 10k+ outlay to save under $500/year. That would take only 20+
       | years to pay off. The wall units are kind of flimsy. Expect at
       | least one to break. And that $500 in savings is probably
       | $300/year in reality. Its still a great option for some places,
       | just not really to switch over from a gas furnace.
        
         | prirun wrote:
         | Seems more reasonable to compare the typical initial cost vs
         | the increased initial cost for the higher efficiency unit that
         | saves $500/yr.
         | 
         | My house was built in 2000 with a regular AC unit for the main
         | floor and heat pump for the 2nd floor, both Payne, a builder
         | grade of Carrier. The inside coil went first, at the 9-yr mark
         | with a 10-yr warranty, so I did get a new coil at no expense
         | but it cost $600 to install it.
         | 
         | A couple years later, the outside heat pump went out, and
         | because of the system's age (about 11 years), they recommended
         | replacing the furnace and heat pump.
         | 
         | A couple year later, the main floor furnace exhaust gas blower
         | mechanism went out, and again, the outside unit was replaced
         | because it was 14 years old.
         | 
         | In contrast, my previous house had an American Standard AC and
         | furnace that was installed in 1970 when the house was built. I
         | had to replace the furnace blower motor one year - about $500 I
         | think - but the original AC and furnace were working like a
         | champ when I sold the house in 2003.
         | 
         | In summary, you aren't getting 20 years out of any modern,
         | shitty system anymore. They're designed to fail after 10 years.
         | You might get lucky and have something fail after 9 years; then
         | you'll only have to pay for labor. But because there are 2
         | major independent components, the outside compressor and inside
         | furnace, it's unlikely they'll both fail within the warranty.
         | 
         | My AC guy told me the main reason they fail is because the new
         | coils are made of very thin aluminum and so fail sooner than
         | the old systems. If a coil fails, either in the furnace or the
         | outside condenser, you're screwed. They can sometimes fix them,
         | but good luck with that. Most HVAC dealers don't want to bother
         | doing that; they just want to sell a new system.
        
         | hgomersall wrote:
         | Which is always the problem when you ignore the negative
         | externalities. One would hope those externalities might start
         | to be internalised to the cost of burning fossil fuels for
         | heat, then heat pumps might become a better prospect.
         | 
         | (Tbh, I recently did a high level analysis of a heat pump in a
         | temperate climate, and in light of climbing fuel bills and the
         | potential for low price electricity from renewables at low
         | demand plus batteries, heat pumps start to make a lot of sense.
         | You need to think about using them differently to gas though)
        
           | bialpio wrote:
           | I think it also ignores the fact that one of the big energy
           | suppliers entered a war of territorial expansion and it may
           | take a while until it's business as usual - I'd expect this
           | to also affect energy prices.
        
             | hgomersall wrote:
             | Is this a US thing? Please elaborate...
        
               | happyopossum wrote:
               | Think it's pretty clear he's talking about Russia.
        
               | hgomersall wrote:
               | Whoops, yes! Evening responses are not my most alert
               | time!
        
       | kmax12 wrote:
       | Interesting to see heat pumps come up more and more these days.
       | As a lot of comments here point out, heat pump technology is
       | already pretty good, even in cold climates.
       | 
       | It seems to me a lot of the barriers to adoption in the US are
       | lack of awareness from consumers and widespread support from
       | installers. The equipment for a heat pump shouldn't be much more
       | expensive then an air conditioner since they share so many parts,
       | but that isn't the case in practice.
       | 
       | I think government regulations that encourage heat pumps
       | manufacturing and installation are part of the solution. For
       | examples, Biden administration recently issued orders to use the
       | Defense Production Act to produce heat pumps [0] or NYC banning
       | new natural gas hook ups for heating [1].
       | 
       | The other part of heat pumps adoption is making them exciting for
       | consumers. It feels like if you get the right combo of all of
       | that, heat pumps could be the next electric vehicle.
       | 
       | I only recently learned about heat pumps and found it difficult
       | to understand how they worked and potential benefits. Towards
       | that end, I started hacking on this tool for others to get that
       | info: https://www.heatpumpswork.com
       | 
       | [0] https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-
       | action...
       | 
       | [1] https://www.theverge.com/2021/12/15/22837799/new-york-
       | city-b...
        
       | rocqua wrote:
       | Reminds me of this company: https://www.blueheartenergy.com/
       | 
       | The claims are pretty amazing. High efficiency, efficient over a
       | wide range of temperature difference, high temperature
       | differences possible.
       | 
       | The operating principle is totally different. It is based on
       | acoustic waves. Not using phase-changes but just the ideal gas
       | law (pressure and temperature are proportional). I tried to get
       | my head around it, and I got it with a standing sound wave. But
       | they use a traveling wave, for which I could not find
       | explanations I understood.
       | 
       | The general idea is "lower air pressure and move gas to cold side
       | so the gas heats up" followed by "raise air pressure and move gas
       | to warm side so the gas cools down". That means the low pressure
       | needs to be low enough that the gas gets colder than the cold
       | side, and the high pressure needs to be high enough that the gas
       | gets hotter than the hot side. Luckily that is 'just' a matter of
       | amplitude of the sound wave. I think this is how they achieve
       | their wide range of efficient temperature deltas.
       | 
       | That wide range is the main difference with a phase-change based
       | unit. The phase change happens at a much more difficult to change
       | temperature.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | lifty wrote:
         | Really curious what kind of COP this technique can achieve.
         | Cool tech if real, since it doesn't need any refrigerant.
         | Wondering if there are other downsides.
        
         | dr_dshiv wrote:
         | Fascinating. I wish my physics courses had focused more on
         | waves.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thermoacoustics
        
           | honksillet wrote:
           | When you get past freshman physics it is all waves! (Mostly)
        
             | WJW wrote:
             | All of it is also particles! (Mostly)
        
               | dr_dshiv wrote:
               | Wait, serious question, is a wave in water or on a string
               | in some way also understood as a particle?
               | 
               | And, even from the perspective of field theory, aren't
               | fields defined by the type of waves moving through them?
        
               | feet wrote:
               | No, they're talking about things such as photons and
               | electrons
               | 
               | I don't think the fields are defined by their waves, but
               | specific fields have specific wave patterns/types
        
               | sjy wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phonon
        
               | jahnu wrote:
               | Isn't it not all fields? (Mostly?)
        
         | londons_explore wrote:
         | Non phase change systems are inherently more efficient because
         | every heat exchanger (air/air, air/coolant and coolant/water)
         | can be counterflow, allowing substantially greater efficiency.
         | 
         | In phase change systems, the 'hot side' and 'cold side' are all
         | at the same temperature, which means any gradient in whatever
         | you are heating/cooling is lost energy.
        
         | pkaye wrote:
         | This video shows how a thermoacoustic engine works. But I don't
         | know if it can be good enough to cool an entire house.
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=abswNCqnMRQ
        
         | jabl wrote:
         | Another non-phase change method is the reverse Brayton cycle.
         | Kind of like running a gas turbine in reverse. I think it is
         | somewhat widely used in cryocooling, and in jet airliner cabin
         | AC, but it seems to not have caught on for domestic heat pump
         | applications. Presumably the traditional phase change
         | approaches are more efficient in the relevant temperature
         | ranges.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Does this have something to do with vortex tubes?
        
             | jabl wrote:
             | No.
        
         | thinkingkong wrote:
         | This same mechanism is also how the james webb space telescope
         | stays cold!
        
           | digisign wrote:
           | McJWS keeps the hot side hot, and the cold side cold.
        
             | burnte wrote:
             | Ooo, deep cut. I liked those burgers.
        
         | babyshake wrote:
         | > The general idea is "lower air pressure and move gas to cold
         | side so the gas heats up" followed by "raise air pressure and
         | move gas to warm side so the gas cools down".
         | 
         | This sounds like Maxwell's Demon, where the work required to
         | prevent the system from reaching thermodynamic equilibrium is
         | equal to or greater than the extra energy. How does this differ
         | from that?
        
           | chroem- wrote:
           | Energy input in the form of compressor work. It's not even
           | remotely similar to Maxwell's Demon.
        
           | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
           | This is how a refrigerator works. No it does not violate the
           | "Maxwell's Demon" thought experiment. Yes it does consume
           | electricity, it's not for free. _Efficiency_ gains are still
           | good though.
        
           | huffmsa wrote:
           | Not at all. You use a compressor or some other means to
           | increase the pressure. That's what the electricity is for.
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | This isn't decreasing entropy without doing any work like in
           | the thought experiment.
        
           | numpad0 wrote:
           | Counterarguments to Maxwell's Demon is not that such chambers
           | with a microscopic door cannot be fabricated, but that the
           | Demon and his door cannot run without some entropy/power
           | source outside to the chamber thereby negating the "negative
           | energy" created by it. The Demon works if you don't mind
           | feeding him and maybe adding fuel to the chamber as well, but
           | then you're not getting the supposed free energy.
        
           | Dylan16807 wrote:
           | Can you explain in more detail how it sounds like Maxwell's
           | Demon? There's nothing that sounds like it sorts the air
           | particles, so I don't see the connection.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Maxwell says that the effort you put in is more than the work
           | you can get out. So the heat difference you get, even if
           | converted perfectly to other kinetic energy, will always be
           | less than the electricity input.
           | 
           | But we aren't after kinetic energy, or work. We are after
           | heat.
        
             | taeric wrote:
             | I thought heat was a form of kinetic energy? Specifically,
             | it is a measure of the kinetic energy of an object's
             | particles, independent of the kinetic energy of the object
             | as a whole. That not accurate?
        
       | no-dr-onboard wrote:
       | DOE should probably be capitalized as it's unlikely that a doe (a
       | deer, a female deer. . .) came through with a technological
       | breakthrough ;)
        
         | RicoElectrico wrote:
         | The opaque HN automatic title mangler doing its job. I'd argue
         | it does more harm than good.
        
           | libria wrote:
           | We can't argue that until we have data on the true positives.
           | For all we know, HALF the titles had the submitters pet word
           | in all caps.
        
             | mh- wrote:
             | We could flag those.
        
             | RicoElectrico wrote:
             | How do we know? I did not notice such thing in original
             | submission titles (as in <title></title>).
        
         | dpcx wrote:
         | I thought it was Doe-Anderson (a local ad agency) first... I am
         | not a smart man without enough coffee.
        
         | im3w1l wrote:
         | This makes me idly wonder if we could use those rays of golden
         | sun for heating more efficiently than we are. Pitch black
         | panels facing the sun through which you pump some heat-transfer
         | fluid? Hooked up to a heatpump?
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | nickpeterson wrote:
       | One thing I do t see many mentioning is the low temp heat pumps
       | currently available are pretty expensive last I checked (think
       | $15k), that's simply not feasible for most people. We need
       | something in the 4-8k range so the average joe can justify it.
       | Perhaps this new set will be cheaper.
        
         | Forge36 wrote:
         | Where does the cost increase come from over an air conditioner?
        
         | jhallenworld wrote:
         | I just got a quote: $30K to upgrade a 1000 sq ft. apartment
         | from oil fired steam (59% efficiency boiler from the 40s) and
         | hot water to heat pumps near Boston. Includes removing oil
         | tank, radiators and installing resistance electric hot water
         | heater.
         | 
         | Or I could upgrade from oil to gas for $14K (to an 82%
         | efficiency boiler). I have a strong incentive to do this since
         | the cost of heating with gas will be 1/3.5 compared with
         | heating with oil.
         | 
         | I think these are insane prices, but that's what contractors
         | get around here. There is a $10K incentive for the heat pumps,
         | but it requires a home inspection and probable upgrade of the
         | insulation. IMHO, the incentive is not enough- it needs to make
         | the heat pumps the cheapest option.
         | 
         | As far as fuel costs, the gas would definitely be cheaper. The
         | electricity comes from gas (especially in the middle of the
         | winter). The price is more because you are paying someone to
         | convert the gas to electricity. The efficiency of getting the
         | heat from gas via electricity is only a little more with heat
         | pumps (when accounting for generation and transmission loss and
         | much higher heat pump efficiency).
         | 
         | Maybe in the future the electric supply will be greener, but it
         | isn't today. They are trying to build a HVDC line from Boston
         | to Quebec for more hydropower, but Maine and NH are not
         | allowing it due to NIMBY (a referendum in Maine, financed by
         | gas companies, killed it).
        
       | fortran77 wrote:
       | The Technology Connections guy is going to be vindicated!
        
         | pkulak wrote:
         | Someone Tweet this at him, pronto!
        
       | joemazerino wrote:
       | Big news for us NorthEasters. Propane and oil are going up.
        
       | endisneigh wrote:
       | Cheapest thing to do is remove all exterior drywall, spray foam
       | everything and call it a day.
        
         | mh- wrote:
         | Where do homes have "exterior drywall"?
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | I guess they meant demolish the interior finishes of exterior
           | walls, spray foam the wall cavities.
           | 
           | That's certainly a way to retrofit an older building, but you
           | still need a heat pump.
        
             | endisneigh wrote:
             | You really don't. I've been in a house in Maine with spray
             | foam in 20 degrees with no heat turned on and interior temp
             | was around 65. It was pretty amazing actually.
             | 
             | A heat pump isn't cost effective compared to Reno with
             | spray foam. An average heat pump probably takes a decade
             | minimum to pay off.
        
             | mh- wrote:
             | Ah, thanks. I get what they mean now. It doesn't sound like
             | a good idea, but I get what they mean. :)
        
           | t3rabytes wrote:
           | drywall on the interior of exterior-facing walls
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | Spray foam is expensive. It's considerably cheaper to install
         | mineral wool or blown cellulose or fiberglass. And you can blow
         | in insulation without removing the drywall.
        
           | endisneigh wrote:
           | Spray foam is expensive, but it pays for itself pretty
           | easily. You can diy drywall hanging simply enough so you're
           | really just paying for the foam and someone to plaster, you
           | can paint yourself.
           | 
           | A cheaper option is rigid foam with canned spray foam around
           | the perimeter.
        
           | mh- wrote:
           | Aren't the tops of walls capped usually? How does one blow in
           | insulation without removing drywall?
           | 
           | Serious question.. I'd have thought it not practical to
           | remove the cap on the wall (and that's assuming you can
           | access it from the attic).
           | 
           | edit: "top plate" is the term I couldn't remember. substitute
           | for cap in my comment.
        
             | magicalhippo wrote:
             | > How does one blow in insulation without removing drywall?
             | 
             | We got blown insulation in the floors (ie between roof and
             | floor), he drilled a 2 inch hole every two feet or so. We
             | added our parquet floor right on top, with just some thin
             | XPS sheets inbetween for noise.
             | 
             | Not sure about drywall, but I'd imagine it's similar.
             | Easiest would be to just put some 6mm plasterboards on top
             | to cover the holes, saves you handling each one
             | individually.
        
             | amluto wrote:
             | You drill smallish holes in the drywall in each stud bay,
             | blow the insulation in through the holes, and patch them.
             | This is much less expensive and less messy than removing
             | and replacing drywall. It can be done with cellulose
             | insulation, with fiberglass (the loose fluffy kind, not
             | batts), and possibly some other products.
        
               | mh- wrote:
               | Ah ok that makes sense. Thanks!
        
       | beepy wrote:
       | "Lennox International... developed the first prototype that
       | achieved the Technology Challenge's standards about a year ahead
       | of schedule. The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at
       | double the efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and
       | -10degF."
       | 
       | The release goes on to say they expect commercialization and
       | deployment in 2024.
        
         | tempestn wrote:
         | Perhaps I missed it skimming the article, but my question is,
         | double the efficiency compared to what? To the current state of
         | the art cold climate hear pump? Or to a resistive heater?
        
           | pkulak wrote:
           | Yeah, and what is "100% heating"? Do they mean 100% of the
           | capacity? Why do people write things with important words
           | just left out?
           | 
           | My new car can do 100% driving!
        
             | yason wrote:
             | What they probably meant is that at 5degF the pump can
             | supply 100% of the heat required to keep a house (of
             | certain size) warm, with no other form of heating required.
             | At -5 and -10, it can still extract enough heat from the
             | outside to supply 70-80% of what's needed but you will need
             | other means of heating such as resistive electric radiators
             | to complement the heat pump.
             | 
             | Surely not engineering way of thinking but that's a common
             | heat pump metric for ordinary people.
        
           | joemazerino wrote:
           | To the current cold pump which can only be efficient at 0 or
           | above. Then you get diminshing returns for the electricity
           | expenditure
        
           | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
           | Heat pumps have efficiency > 100%
        
             | OJFord wrote:
             | No they don't. Just because you don't pay for an input
             | (outside air/the ground/a body of water) doesn't mean it
             | isn't an input.
        
             | lupire wrote:
             | Efficiency is a misleading word for heating, because the
             | units don't match; they are both energy, but different
             | "type". The denominator is fuel energy lost, but the
             | numerator is thermal energy change within an area of
             | interest. A heat pump moves thermal energy from outside,
             | changing unimportant thermal energy into good thermal
             | energy.
             | 
             | "Coefficient of performance" is a better term.
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_performance
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | This just seems like unnecessary hair splitting to me.
               | Obviously the efficiency of something is subject to the
               | important inputs and outputs involved.
               | 
               | If someone asks: "how efficient is this heat pump at
               | heating my house?" And you start digressing about how
               | that's the wrong question to ask you'll be giving them an
               | impression opposite reality, which is for most people: it
               | will use less electric energy than heat energy it puts
               | into your house, almost all the time.
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | There are theoretical upper bounds on the COP though. As
               | heat pumps get better, it may some day make sense to say
               | things like "this heat pump is 95% efficient, so there is
               | no point in replacing it".
        
               | ketzo wrote:
               | Huh, I've always heard the "heat pump efficiency > 100%"
               | but never really understood what that meant. Thanks for
               | the explanation.
               | 
               | So the ">100%" comes from the fact that you're spending
               | less thermal energy than you are moving?
        
               | thedougd wrote:
               | Exactly.
        
               | dghughes wrote:
               | No OP but yeah heat pumps are very efficient some >300%
               | efficient since you're just "pumping heat" from one place
               | to another not generating it.
               | 
               | Even electric heat alone is 100% efficient no incomplete
               | combustion or degradation over time. Efficient bu much
               | more expensive than just moving heat already in the air.
               | 
               | Ground-source are better for now since they are moving
               | heat from a relatively consistent source the Earth. It's
               | about 15C to 25C one meter down where the ground-source
               | heat pump lines are run.
               | 
               | Generating vs moving heat I think is misunderstood by
               | people or really more likely they just don't care. As
               | long as the bill is low!
        
               | based69 wrote:
               | If you could really move heat 300% more efficiently than
               | using a resistive heater to generate heat, couldn't you
               | just move a bunch of heat to power a steam turbine and
               | get a perpetual motion machine?
        
               | pbhjpbhj wrote:
               | It's not entirely clear what you mean. But, you say "if
               | you could really ..." as if ground-source/air-source heat
               | pumps don't do this exact thing; do you think they don't
               | work?
               | 
               | Running a steam turbine by pushing water down a borehole
               | to come into contact with a high-temp (>100degC) source
               | has been done; it's not perpetual motion. Energy pumping
               | the water is << energy output from the steam produced.
               | It's solar energy that's being used, ultimately.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | Yeah take the energy you pump from Reservoir A to
               | Reservoir B divided by the energy requires to do that and
               | that's COP. Which you can think of as an efficiency.
        
               | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
               | Slightly more precisely: you're using less energy (in the
               | form of electricity used to run the heat pump) than you
               | are moving into/out of the heated/cooled space.
        
           | martijnvds wrote:
           | Maybe they're trying to write around the term "Coefficient of
           | performance" (COP) for people who have never heard of heat
           | pumps.
           | 
           | I think a COP of 2 at 5degF (-15degC) is pretty good.
        
             | tssva wrote:
             | Minimum COP for the competition is 2.1-2.4 at 5degF. No
             | idea what the actual COP for this unit are.
        
             | linsomniac wrote:
             | COP of 2 at 5F is good. But... Mitsubishi has one that is
             | 3.13 at 5F and LG has one at 2.65 at 5F, so this isn't
             | really the breakthrough that the press release claims, the
             | breakthrough is that a US company is doing it.
        
               | tssva wrote:
               | That depends on whether the Mitsubishi and LG units meet
               | the other requirements of the competition.
        
       | mikewarot wrote:
       | At some point, it would be great to use a natural gas powered
       | engine to run a heat pump. You could then use the exhaust gas as
       | a heat source for the heat pump, possibly eliminating the need
       | for a pre-heater.
       | 
       | Cooling the output should increase the Carnot efficiency of the
       | motor.
       | 
       | Heating the outside air intake with that heat should be
       | sufficient to avoid the need for an electrical resistance pre-
       | heater.
       | 
       | This combination could also run on propane, ethanol, gasified
       | wood, etc. Anything that gets burned now could be used to create
       | far more heat output than straight up combustion.
       | 
       | There's got to be a flaw in this idea, math/physics wise.
        
         | threeseed wrote:
         | > There's got to be a flaw in this idea
         | 
         | The flaw is that we need to stop using fossil fuels now in
         | order to meet Paris targets.
         | 
         | Natural gas in particular is an issue because demand is
         | increasing globally whilst large suppliers i.e. Russia,
         | Australia for many reasons are not able to meet it. Which is
         | pushing up prices and increasing unreliability over the short,
         | medium and long term.
         | 
         | Now is the best time to bite the bullet and transition to a
         | decarbonised world.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | lazide wrote:
         | I think you're basically describing a steam engine that
         | mechanically powers a heat pump, pumping it's own waste heat
         | and whatever environmental heat it needs.
         | 
         | It's pretty complicated. Direct hearing via heat exchanger is
         | usually pretty good and much simpler, albeit less efficient. If
         | burning thermal sources, raw efficiency is rarely all that
         | necessary though. The heat output per unit mass is usually
         | pretty high.
        
         | speedgoose wrote:
         | > There's got to be a flaw in this idea
         | 
         | Environmental impact or geopolitics issues aside, an
         | electricity grid is much more convenient and cheaper than a
         | propane/ethanol/gasified wood grid. Transporting gaz by trucks
         | and storing it in individual houses is not very convenient too.
        
         | cmarschner wrote:
         | Why would you create new technology with natural gas these
         | days. It seems such an energy source of the past. Europe is jus
         | suffering from the dependency on it and seeks to get away from
         | it as soon as possible.
        
           | finiteseries wrote:
           | Europe is resource poor and suffering from a dependency on
           | Russia.
           | 
           | 55 billion cubic meters annually were set to be added to this
           | dependency as recently as February 21st of this year before
           | yet another land war erupted on the continent, forcing them
           | to _suspend_ certification.
           | 
           | The pipeline is already built though.
        
           | Someone1234 wrote:
           | Agreed. Just electrify everything in the home, then while we
           | still have natural gas then just use it for electricity
           | generation. Natural gas's only benefit is that it is
           | currently cheap, when that stops being true, then it is just
           | worse than electricity across the board.
           | 
           | The great thing about electricity is that it scales REALLY
           | well with new generation and distribution technologies.
        
             | petesergeant wrote:
             | I'd rather cook on a gas hob than an electric one at the
             | moment
        
               | threeseed wrote:
               | You may change your mind when it becomes orders of
               | magnitude more expensive.
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | I use single dollars a month in gas cooking.
        
               | bonzini wrote:
               | Infrared absolutely, but induction cooktops are pretty
               | good and the only thing you can't do with them is stir
               | frying.
        
               | philips wrote:
               | Why can't you stir fry?
        
               | liveoneggs wrote:
               | You can't remove or move the pan during cooking
        
               | dd36 wrote:
               | You can for a few seconds.
        
             | coryrc wrote:
             | So, you burn natural gas in a powerplant to create
             | electricity somewhere around 55% (hopefully) efficiency; in
             | most of the US, the heat output is wasted. You then lose 6%
             | to transmission, getting to 52% efficiency, to put it into
             | a 2x COP heat pump (which we mandate use gases with GWP in
             | the thousands) to get 104% of natural gas heating.
             | 
             | Or, spend the same amount on air sealing reducing heating
             | needs by about 30%, pay workers instead of factories, and
             | get the same reduction in natural gas use, also without the
             | refrigerant bomb waiting to go off, and not needing more
             | power plants built. Mandate every rental have lower than 6
             | ACH50, since misaligned incentives mean they're usually
             | worse than homeowner-occupied units.
        
               | seoaeu wrote:
               | Efficiency percentages are the wrong way to look at it.
               | If you instead frame it in terms of tons CO2 equivalent,
               | then locking in the emissions every year between now and
               | 2050 is going to be worse, compared to the alternative of
               | burning a bunch of natural gas for electricity now but
               | gradually phasing it out in favor of wind and solar.
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | Most heat pumps aren't going to last 30 years. Passivhaus
               | only needs 1500W maximum of heating, so they usually
               | don't use heat pumps.
               | 
               | Wind and solar also lock in natural gas usage, because
               | they don't provide inter-seasonal storage or even intra-
               | day storage.
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | 10u152 wrote:
         | These certainly exist and have some, rare use cases.
         | 
         | Personally I've seen them use when there are large air
         | conditioning loads but insufficient electrical power
         | 
         | https://www.yanmar.com/global/energy/ghp/
        
       | smileysteve wrote:
       | When I read the title, I wonder why air to water and air to
       | ground heat pumps aren't more common in cold climates. Where it
       | is 0degf on the surface, a few feet deep and you're back to
       | 46degf.
       | 
       | So we could have had efficiency 10 years ago instead of today?
        
         | jltsiren wrote:
         | Ground source heat pumps have become popular in the past 10-20
         | years. Natural gas has historically been cheap enough that
         | replacing it may not be cost-effective if your house is
         | connected to a gas grid. When replacing other heating sources,
         | a ground source heat pump typically pays itself back in 5-10
         | years.
        
           | zdragnar wrote:
           | Most homes with natural gas don't have enough space for a
           | horizontal system, and vertical systems are very cost
           | prohibitive.
           | 
           | When you do have land, your horizontal space now is also
           | being used up by a septic system.
           | 
           | It's great if you can do it, but on the whole I suspect
           | ground source is always going to be an expensive and
           | difficult proposition for most people.
        
             | jltsiren wrote:
             | Based on a quick search, the typical costs for installing a
             | vertical system to a single-family home are 15k to 25k
             | euros in Finland. The contractors I found seem to
             | discourage horizontal installations unless the bedrock is
             | unusually deep. Drilling bedrock is cheap, while horizontal
             | pipes have to be much longer, because the ground gets cold
             | in the winter.
        
               | zdragnar wrote:
               | Odd, here drilling far eclipses excavation costs.
               | Horizontal systems just need a backhoe to install, as you
               | only need to dig below the frost line (we also get down
               | to about -40 in winter). Vertical drilling requires more
               | specialized equipment and so is more costly. Vertical
               | systems are about $10k more expensive than higher end
               | horizontal systems.
        
         | pbourke wrote:
         | Ground source heat pumps are 2-3x the cost of air source, and
         | require a decent sized piece of land for installing the ground
         | loop. Vertical installations use less surface area but are even
         | more expensive since you're drilling holes 400' deep for the
         | loop.
         | 
         | Water source heat pumps are easier installations but require
         | houses sited near a specific type of fresh water source that
         | does not fully ice over in the winter or dry up in the summer.
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | Any studies in what these things do to the frostline?
           | 
           | Heat pump is better than burning fossil fuels, but we also
           | stop needing to treat system after system like it's a
           | bottomless well. We did that with real wells, then rivers,
           | then the sky, then the ocean, then carbon dioxide and next up
           | will be ground heat.
           | 
           | There was a house last year that I think people were
           | complaining about on Reddit, giant house out I'm the woods,
           | all glass walls and heat pumps, labeled as green. It's not a
           | green building if you are 2x as efficient as fossil fuels but
           | your house needs four times the BTUs of a reasonable design
           | and 6 times a green one.
           | 
           | Twice as efficient and half the heat loss is green. Blowing
           | the surplus is not.
        
       | starkd wrote:
       | Once again the headline does not match the claim in the article.
       | This is not a breakthrough in terms of technology. This is the
       | announcement of a partnership. There was no "breakthrough". This
       | is government advertising for a private sector company that
       | frankly is beginning to resemble corporate fascism.
        
       | dchichkov wrote:
       | There is plenty of opportunity in being more efficient. To give
       | an example, houses in the Bay Area has gray/black roofs. In the
       | summer such roof receives about 10kW of energy and readily
       | converts it into heat. Heat, which we are trying to evacuate from
       | the house with our super-efficient heat pumps in the air-
       | conditioning units.
       | 
       | If only we'd painted these roofs with white reflective roof paint
       | (~92% reflection). We would have removed ~8kW of heating from
       | such roofs! And then, maybe, we wouldn't have to pump all that
       | energy into air-conditioning. So the surrounding air would be
       | cooler, less noise would be heard from air conditioning, less
       | energy would be spent. And the cost? 4 gallons of white
       | reflective paint and a couple of hours of work, painting the
       | roof...
        
         | drusepth wrote:
         | What happens to the "heat" energy that gets reflected by
         | white/reflective roofs? It seems like it'd stay in the relative
         | vicinity of the house, heating up the outside air further (even
         | by a small amount), right? If that's the case, are there
         | diminishing returns to worry about with effectively just moving
         | heat from one place to another, assuming the (hotter) outside
         | air will probably continue to warm up the house anyway? Do we
         | just bank on something else absorbing the energy instead? Does
         | it leave the area/atmosphere if nothing absorbs it?
         | 
         | (Please don't take this as a rhetorical "this is why X solution
         | doesn't work" -- I'm no expert here and am just curious where
         | all that reflected heat/energy goes!)
        
           | jliptzin wrote:
           | I would assume those light rays reflect off the roof instead
           | of getting absorbed...in that case the heat is absorbed into
           | the atmosphere, I have a hard time believing it sits around
           | the house and lingers there for any significant amount of
           | time (doesn't heat rise?)
        
             | oneoff786 wrote:
             | Heat rises is short for hot air rises. The light would not
             | be completely absorbed by the atmosphere more than it did
             | on the way down.
        
           | extra88 wrote:
           | With a light or reflective surface, a lot of the energy is
           | reflected as light so it's not converted to heat. Relatively
           | little will be absorbed by the air near ground level, heating
           | the air only a little.
        
           | dexwiz wrote:
           | "Heat" from the sun that we feel is mostly IR/Visible light.
           | Mix of stuff happens if we reflect it with white surfaces.
           | Some of it does go back into space. Some of it will get
           | reflected by the atmosphere back towards the ground. IR light
           | is also directly absorbed by the air molecules, but very
           | little. Air is mostly transparent at visible wavelengths so
           | it absorbs very little energy. Solids are much better at
           | converting IR to thermal energy. Realistically air
           | conditioning is just moving heat from one side of a wall to
           | another. Overall painting buildings white won't change the
           | temperature of Earth, but it does help the building in
           | question, which is all air conditioning cares about anyways.
        
           | myself248 wrote:
           | All that energy started at the sun, we call it "light" when
           | it's visible and "radiation" when it's outside our visual
           | range, but it's the same stuff.
           | 
           | The fact that it reached the roof in the first place means
           | the atmosphere is transparent to it. So with a white roof,
           | the wavelengths being reflected are the same ones being
           | received, it'll reflect right back through the atmosphere and
           | back into space. Effectively it just increases the Earth's
           | albedo a tiny bit.
           | 
           | Any wavelengths which were gonna heat the air by absorption,
           | were absorbed on the way in and didn't reach the roof in the
           | first place.
           | 
           | HOWEVER.
           | 
           | In the case of dark/black roofs, the heat DOES stay in the
           | vicinity of the house, at least for a while. The radiation
           | was absorbed by the roof, and now two main things happen to
           | it:
           | 
           | One, the hot roof heats the nearby air by convection. This is
           | the main contributor to the "urban heat island" effect.
           | Eventually this warmed air mass will affect weather patterns,
           | but even before that, it just makes the place feel hot.
           | 
           | Two, the hot roof emits its own radiation, in a whole range
           | of wavelengths determined by its absolute temperature,
           | according to Planck's law. This includes infrared wavelengths
           | that the atmosphere is not transparent to (the absorption
           | region between 5 and 8 microns), so that radiation IS
           | absorbed by the atmosphere and heats it as well. And just
           | like convective transfer above, the warmed air contributes to
           | heat-island and weather effects, etc.
           | 
           | (The phenomenon of a hot object emitting its own radiation is
           | why thermal cameras work, by the way. And if you get the
           | object even hotter, the Planckian locus shifts into our
           | visible range and you get an object that is "red hot", or
           | even hotter still and it's "white hot", etc. This is why the
           | "whiteness" of lightbulbs is expressed in Kelvin, that's the
           | temperature of an object that would glow the same color as
           | the bulb emits. The "warm white" and "cool white" are
           | misnomers; the so-called "cool" color represents a much
           | hotter blackbody source.)
        
             | grog454 wrote:
             | > Any wavelengths which were gonna heat the air by
             | absorption, were absorbed on the way in and didn't reach
             | the roof in the first place.
             | 
             | What is the basis for this? Intuitively (I am no expert) it
             | seems more likely that the amount of thermal energy
             | produced would be a function of the distance light travels
             | through a medium and the amount of energy carried by the
             | light in the first place. So I would expect that the
             | "inbound" light would produce more thermal absorption
             | energy than the reflected "outbound" light, but it wouldn't
             | arbitrarily _all_ be absorbed on the way in.
             | 
             | Reality seems to be more complicated: https://www.sciencedi
             | rect.com/science/article/abs/pii/096016...
        
               | myself248 wrote:
               | It was a bit of an oversimplification on my part, since
               | for a given wavelength, the atmosphere isn't binary,
               | completely transparent or completely opaque (i.e. the
               | radiation would go a very very short distance before
               | being absorbed), but for _most_ wavelengths it's _very
               | close_ to binary. Either it's absorbed or it isn't, to a
               | first approximation.
               | 
               | Yes, some wavelengths are absorbed very weakly, and some
               | are scattered rather than absorbed. But these represent a
               | tiny fraction of the spectrum, the nuance would've
               | overcomplicated the post, and they don't change the
               | result much.
               | 
               | For wavelengths that are not absorbed, they can be
               | reflected back out just as easily as they came in. For
               | wavelengths that're strongly absorbed, they heat the
               | first parts of the atmosphere they encounter, and this is
               | why the thermosphere is called that.
               | 
               | For those few wavelengths that're weakly absorbed, yes
               | they produce some heating on the way in, and if you
               | reflect them back out, they do produce some heating on
               | the way out. But as you've said, because the intensity of
               | the radiation is decreasing along the whole path, the
               | "outbound" contribution is weak indeed. It turns out to
               | be basically a rounding-error in the thermal
               | contribution, which is overwhelmingly dominated by
               | blackbody absorption and re-emission, which often does
               | produce wavelengths that're strongly absorbed. On a
               | perfectly-white planet (or snow-covered region), you
               | might have to start caring about weakly-absorbed
               | wavelengths, but for most types of ground cover, other
               | effects swamp it.
        
         | rayiner wrote:
         | Would that work in terms of all the other stuff? Rain snow etc.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | recuter wrote:
         | Imagine instead of paint if we could come up with some sort of
         | material that generates electricity.
         | 
         | P.S. - If you look into the white paint thing more carefully
         | you'll be rather disappointed.
        
           | mumblemumble wrote:
           | I have photovoltaics on my roof. I won't be doing it again.
           | 
           | I'm almost certain that putting the money that they cost into
           | making my home more efficient in the first place, by doing
           | things like sealing leaks, upgrading the insulation, and,
           | yes, making the roof a lighter color, would have reduced our
           | energy consumption by more than the amount that the PVs are
           | generating.
           | 
           | The PVs absorb a lot of thermal energy, too, more than the
           | shingles themselves do. So they make the roof hot. You can
           | actually feel the difference inside the house - the rooms
           | that are underneath the solar panels get warmer in the summer
           | than the ones that aren't. So some amount of that electricity
           | we're generating would seem to just be undoing the effects of
           | the PVs on the house's thermal situation. There's still a net
           | benefit, but probably because we're people who are inclined
           | to accept that summer is hot in the first place. Trying to
           | keep those rooms at or below 80F/26C might be an expensive
           | endeavor.
           | 
           | Also, I've discovered that one does not simply have a roof
           | leak fixed when there are solar panels on the roof, because
           | they are in the way. So maintenance has been rather more
           | expensive than I expected.
           | 
           | In general, I'm sanguine about solar as a renewable option.
           | I'm just increasingly inclined to believe it's better
           | implemented as an industrial technology, and that homeowners
           | probably have better options for greening their houses.
        
             | Angostura wrote:
             | Interesting. My PVs have made the house substantially
             | cooler. There is an air gap between the panels and the roof
             | itself - they effectively shade the roof.
        
               | mumblemumble wrote:
               | Aha. Well, I would not be at all surprised to discover
               | that we ended up with a sub-par installation.
        
               | throwaway3334 wrote:
               | Are these solar tiles (solar shingles) or a traditional
               | air-gaped panel?
        
               | dd36 wrote:
               | Same. This statement is bizarre to me. You can't bolt
               | solar panels directly to a roof. There is an air gap from
               | the rails and also the edges of the panels.
        
               | zie wrote:
               | You actually can if you get the stick on variety. They
               | don't last as long, etc, etc. But they do exist and have
               | their uses.
        
             | JaggerFoo wrote:
             | I came across a forum thread for Baja California, where
             | thay have and discuss off-grid air conditioning in a very
             | hot area of Mexico. Interesting discussion.
             | 
             | Air Conditioning Off The Grid:
             | http://forums.bajanomad.com/viewthread.php?tid=97584
        
             | grog454 wrote:
             | > The PVs absorb a lot of thermal energy, too, more than
             | the shingles themselves do.
             | 
             | I've found this to be interesting going back as far as
             | middle school, where we're taught renewable energy sources
             | like solar panels can help reduce global warming by
             | replacing greenhouse gas emitting alternatives. Yet
             | fundamentally, they are designed to turn the only external
             | source of energy our planet receives (sun light) into heat
             | and other forms of energy that will eventually become heat
             | rather than reflecting it back out into space (albeit
             | through the atmosphere). Seems so backwards to me.
        
               | mumblemumble wrote:
               | One could argue that the only energy sources that aren't
               | doing this somehow are geothermal and nuclear.
        
               | stephen_g wrote:
               | That's not correct - nuclear power plants only have
               | efficiencies of about 33-37%, so 63 to 67% of the energy
               | that nuclear reaction is producing is dumped into the
               | atmosphere which wouldn't have otherwise (obviously there
               | would have otherwise still been some radioactive decay of
               | the material in the ground if it wasn't used as nuclear
               | fuel, but nothing like refining it and bringing it to a
               | critical mass in a reactor).
               | 
               | Meanwhile, 100% of the energy that a solar panel receives
               | (and radiates some back as heat) would have hit the earth
               | anyway.
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | The problem we're trying, broadly, to solve right now
               | isn't "we're directly heating up the planet" but "we're
               | trying to stop trapping heat in the atmosphere through a
               | potentially self-propagating greenhouse process".
               | 
               | This is why carbon neutrality is the focus and not just
               | purely energy usage.
        
               | grog454 wrote:
               | It appears to be a different (and more direct) way of
               | framing the same problem:
               | https://www.nasa.gov/feature/langley/joint-nasa-noaa-
               | study-f...
               | 
               | A better argument for solar panels is that per kwh of
               | useful energy, a solar panel traps less solar energy (in
               | kwh) than the CO2 produced by coal or gas or w/e. But
               | I've never see this particular argument made and
               | therefore couldn't even guess at HOW much better a solar
               | panel is than coal and HOW much worse it is than nuclear
               | or geothermal (which could actually be net energy loss
               | for earth, by dispersing some thermal energy locked deep
               | within the earth out to space).
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | > A better argument for solar panels is that per kwh of
               | useful energy, a solar panel traps less solar energy (in
               | kwh) than the CO2 produced by coal or gas or w/e.
               | 
               | It's not a better argument because the solar panel
               | doesn't "trap" the energy. At most it borrows it,
               | eventually it will radiate back out if allowed to do so,
               | just as it would if it were absorbed by a rock. Humans do
               | not occupy enough of the surface of this planet to make a
               | dent in that.
               | 
               | The thing that will keep it from radiating back out is
               | greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. And unlike some brief
               | capture of energy, the greenhouse cycle is essentially a
               | chain reaction.
        
               | MichaelZuo wrote:
               | But it is radiating it 'back out' less efficiently than a
               | white roof. Thus black solar panels may indeed be a net
               | negative if every building otherwise would have had a
               | white roof.
               | 
               | In a land of mostly dark roofs it's probably a net
               | positive.
        
               | stormbrew wrote:
               | Unless you pump the energy deep in to the ground it will
               | still eventually find its way to radiate back out in the
               | form of infrared blackbody radiation. The timescale we're
               | talking about isn't very long in the grand scheme of
               | things, and the entire surface of the planet is doing
               | this to some extent or another.
               | 
               | Even if we did one of those megasolar projects people
               | like to talk about like paneling the whole Sahara or
               | Mojave, we would still only be absorbing a tiny amount of
               | the petawatts per second the sun is constantly bombarding
               | the planet with, much of it being absorbed by plants, the
               | ocean, darker rocks, etc.
               | 
               | Our solar panels just don't hit the scale that the
               | melting ice caps do, and the only thing we can do to stop
               | that is reduce the flow of new ghgs into the atmosphere.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | ericd wrote:
               | Yeah, it's a little counterintuitive, I'd just keep in
               | mind that the amount of energy we use is _tiny_ compared
               | to the amount that the sun bombards the earth with. The
               | absorption and generation is going to be insignificant
               | compared to the amount trapped by the addutional
               | greenhouse gasses.
        
               | stephen_g wrote:
               | That doesn't follow. Consider the alternatives - thermal
               | generation (including nuclear) must reject massive
               | amounts of waste heat into the atmosphere, before the
               | electricity is used and heat is generated from that use.
               | That's what cooling towers are designed to do.
               | 
               | That's even before thinking about the effect from CO2 or
               | methane from gas fugitive emissions.
               | 
               | The earth has the ability to radiate away quite
               | considerable amounts of heat luckily, and solar produces
               | considerably less waste heat than thermal. So solar and
               | wind can only make things better.
               | 
               | Minimising waste heat is of course good, which is why
               | energy efficiency is so important, and heat pumps are
               | doubly so - because they are extremely efficient, but
               | also because they don't produce as much heat but transfer
               | most of it!
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | What do you think normally happens to the 1000w per
               | square meter which the sun radiates?
        
               | sacrosancty wrote:
               | More of it is reflect back into space from many natural
               | surfaces than from solar panels. Not scientific but look
               | how black this solar farm appears compared to the
               | surrounding land
               | 
               | https://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/85000/
               | 854...
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | Right and so to follow this logic through, how do you
               | think we get energy out of fossil fuels? Or nuclear
               | reactors? Or a hypothetical fusion power plant?
        
               | coryrc wrote:
               | I doubt that picture is recording most of the wavelengths
               | of light responsible for getting heat back into space.
        
             | enraged_camel wrote:
             | >> The PVs absorb a lot of thermal energy, too, more than
             | the shingles themselves do. So they make the roof hot. You
             | can actually feel the difference inside the house - the
             | rooms that are underneath the solar panels get warmer in
             | the summer than the ones that aren't.
             | 
             | I've actually read the opposite: most PVs don't sit
             | directly on the roof, but rather a few inches above it. And
             | that air gap further limits the amount of solar energy that
             | makes it onto the roof and into the attic.
        
               | XorNot wrote:
               | That claim doesn't really add up. I have solar panels as
               | well and yes - not only is their an air gap, but pretty
               | obviously the rooms they're over are north facing (I'm in
               | Australia) with north facing windows and obviously get
               | hotter anyway due to that.
        
             | supernovae wrote:
             | Are you in a mobile home or something?? I have solar too
             | and I absolutely love it. I'm not sure how anyone could
             | feel warmer in a room with panels above as i've never seen
             | a stick house without attic spaces and i've used my IR
             | camera to look for hot spots and i see nothing out of the
             | normal where any panels are... also, panels tend to cover
             | the entire surface area where the sun is shining the most
             | too not just rooms so it makes no sense to me read what
             | you're saying.
             | 
             | To make solar worthwhile we did an energy audit so we also
             | replaced windows, got new siding and installed new doors.
             | Energy efficiency doesn't have to be mutually exclusive. I
             | got a bigger rebate from the city with proof of energy
             | audit.
             | 
             | as far as roof repairs... why would solar matter and why so
             | many roof repairs? I've been through tropical storms, down
             | pours and many a hail storm and not a single problem and my
             | roof is 23 years old..
             | 
             | I could never go back. I charge my Tesla at home and my
             | electric bill averages about 70 a month over a year after
             | solar. That's less than a weeks worth of gas for my Jeep.
             | 
             | year 6 on panels and 0 maintenance with a 20 year guarantee
             | on efficiency and install warranty if i had problems i'd
             | call my installer for service.
        
             | fomine3 wrote:
             | Solar panels are placed on best places to receive solar
             | emission, so the room also be hot, isn't it?
        
             | tomrod wrote:
             | Is this not something simple foam insulation would fix?
        
           | highwaylights wrote:
           | Wouldn't a reflective coating work better?
           | 
           | Given it's a once off cost it seems like this should be
           | doable.
        
             | thombat wrote:
             | Neighbors and pilots may complain
        
               | highwaylights wrote:
               | I dislike people and planes are noisy.
               | 
               | I take your point, I'm doing it anyway.
        
           | throwaway3334 wrote:
           | Actually, I was looking into installing solar, to offset
           | $400/month of air-conditioning costs, during the summer. I
           | could have had around 1.5kW of solar. But the cost of this is
           | north of $25k, plus all the hassle to get the permits, plus
           | all the extra complexity. While the cost of painting the roof
           | is $100 + work. And now it is very rare that I have to run
           | the AC.
        
             | sxates wrote:
             | Do you mean 15kw? 1.5 is only like 4 panels, it wouldn't
             | make $400 per month and wouldn't cost anywhere near $25k.
        
               | throwaway3334 wrote:
               | I was looking at installing a very small solar array,
               | just to offset the AC costs. The quote for the solar kit
               | that could produce ~1.5kW (2170W Solar Kit: 7xURE NSP
               | 310W - Mono 60 Cell - All Black Panels + 7xEnphase IQ7
               | 60-Cell Microinverters w/QCables + 1x Enphase IQ Combiner
               | 3 + Wireless Monitoring) was $6.5k.
               | 
               | But, I was also considering having a 10kW battery to
               | store that energy and to have a backup power, like Tesla
               | Powerwall - $10k. And then there was work to install,
               | permits, my time. Overall my estimate was, realistically
               | it'd be ~$25k. Maybe I was wrong.
               | 
               | On my house I have two sections of roof that are
               | flat/horizontal. Roof is pretty thin there and although
               | there is insulation, on hot days ceiling was getting worm
               | in the 2 rooms under these sections. I also was hoping
               | that an extra layer of solar would insulate my roof a bit
               | more. So I wouldn't have to run AC that much. So the hope
               | was to stop wasting annoying $400 on AC in the hottest
               | months. But the cost of installing solar felt
               | prohibitive. So I've made a quick calculation and spent
               | $100 on the reflective roof paint instead...
        
               | danans wrote:
               | > The quote for the solar kit that could produce ~1.5kW
               | (2170W Solar Kit: 7xURE NSP 310W - Mono 60 Cell - All
               | Black Panels + 7xEnphase IQ7 60-Cell Microinverters
               | w/QCables + 1x Enphase IQ Combiner 3 + Wireless
               | Monitoring) was $6.5k.
               | 
               | Remember to take 23% off for the federal tax credit.
               | 
               | > But, I was also considering having a 10kW battery to
               | store that energy and to have a backup power, like Tesla
               | Powerwall - $10k.
               | 
               | That's a not-so-small detail, accounting for $18.5k of
               | the bid! A battery is also pretty unhelpful for reducing
               | the A/C portion of your electric bill, especially since
               | most traditional A/Cs require more than the 20A that the
               | Enphase 10kWh battery can output and will pretty quickly
               | drain any home backup battery that could support that
               | current demand.
               | 
               | > So I've made a quick calculation and spent $100 on the
               | reflective roof paint instead...
               | 
               | $100 in reflective roof paint, while a great measure to
               | take, isn't going to reduce A/C electricity usage more
               | than PV, which has the added benefit of offsetting your
               | other electricity usage when you are not in the cooling
               | season.
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | The enphase batteries are stackable to get more amperage.
               | However, we were definitely amperage limited when we
               | sized ours. We have a few high amp / low duty cycle
               | devices.
               | 
               | It can definitely run our 60+ amp HVAC system, but not
               | overnight. (We didn't buy it for that, but it's nice that
               | we don't even notice our frequent, short outages until
               | enphase and pg&e email us...)
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | We have an enphase system with a solar array that's a bit
               | under 10x that size. We paid about $60k (ignoring tax
               | credit) in the bay area, and I think we overpaid.
               | 
               | We have about 2.5 watt hours of battery per watt of solar
               | panel, which seems about right around here. (The battery
               | is fully charged by the end of day about 95% of the
               | time.)
               | 
               | Your quote has 6.6 Wh/W, and the PV bit is small, so
               | fixed costs are also biting you.
               | 
               | Edit: we have electric heat, and you probably don't. Our
               | worst case days are cold and cloudy, so perhaps the
               | battery sizing makes sense, though if you want AC at
               | night, you'll want enough solar panels to charge the
               | battery and run the AC.
        
               | abc_lisper wrote:
               | I didn't get the battery but paid 28.5K (without rebates)
               | for a 12.8kW array. I think that's very reasonable.
               | Heating, cooling and car charging are covered with around
               | 6mWH capacity left a year. Thinking of converting my
               | water heater now.
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | I like our Ruud/Rheem hybrid heat pump water heater. (The
               | two brands are the same company. The only difference is
               | whether you pay someone to install it.)
               | 
               | However, it was not trouble free:
               | 
               | The time of day scheduling feature is useless. Once or
               | twice a month it gets stuck in "lower temp" mode. The app
               | reports kWh used and displays alerts, which is nice.
               | Otherwise, there's no reason to give it WiFi access.
               | 
               | Pay for the leak detector option. It's relatively cheap,
               | but not included for some reason.
               | 
               | You're likely to have condensation issues unless you use
               | a good installer, or do it yourself and follow
               | directions.
               | 
               | The power lead on ours wore through due to vibration too,
               | so pick someone that's experienced/conscientious enough
               | to route wires carefully.
        
               | dd36 wrote:
               | It shouldn't cost you more than $2/Watt. Obviously if you
               | only do 5 panels, you still have all of the interconnect
               | cost and it's not nearly as efficient.
        
               | hedora wrote:
               | $2/watt has been way below average for a long time in CA,
               | especially with a battery.
               | 
               | I read the national average recently spiked up to $3.10,
               | thanks to the Biden administration's mishandling of
               | Trump's China Tariffs.
        
               | recuter wrote:
               | Sounds wrong, check this out:
               | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QWJpafOHoD0
               | 
               | 5kWh battery thing for $1,500:
               | https://signaturesolar.com/eg4-lifepower4-lithium-
               | battery-48...
               | 
               | Growatt 3kW Stackable Off-Grid Inverter for $700:
               | https://signaturesolar.com/growatt-48v-3kw-150vdc-
               | stackable-...
               | 
               | Solar panels are $2-$3 per watt depending where you live.
               | 4x300watt panels is just the ticket, depending where you
               | are and whether you can get a 30% tax credit that's about
               | $2000.
               | 
               | Whole thing all together would be about $5000. It would
               | generate about $1 of electricity a day. Would eventually
               | pay for itself over its lifetime if you don't mind
               | faffing about with it to get started.
               | 
               | > On my house I have two sections of roof that are
               | flat/horizontal. Roof is pretty thin there and although
               | there is insulation, on hot days ceiling was getting worm
               | in the 2 rooms under these sections. I also was hoping
               | that an extra layer of solar would insulate my roof a bit
               | more.
               | 
               | It will be slightly cooler underneath it.
        
               | ComputerGuru wrote:
               | That's insanely cost prohibitive, tbh. No wonder more
               | people aren't jumping at the opportunity. You would need
               | 14 years just to pay back the cost of installation, and
               | that's assuming zero maintenance simultaneous with
               | magically sustained like-new performance.
               | 
               | After those 14 years, you "make" an annual non-compounded
               | 7% ROI (again in 2022 dollars).
               | 
               | Spending some of that money on insulation and sticking
               | the rest in a savings account somewhere is a much wiser
               | bet.
        
               | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
               | I've never understood the calculations people make to
               | justify that solar roof panels save them money.
               | 
               | Every time I do the calculations, it's money loss.
               | 
               | If you want to install them for environmental reasons,
               | great. But don't kid yourself that's is a great
               | investment. It's not. Putting the money into an S&P 500
               | index fund for 14 years is a better investment. It will
               | double about twice in that time.
        
               | maigret wrote:
               | If everyone does that, all your stock won't be worse much
               | when the world will be either at war or starving. People
               | have kinda forgot to think long term clearly. Also, you
               | must live in a country where the politics are very anti
               | climate. In my country it's a good investment to install
               | solar power.
        
               | recuter wrote:
               | The batteries are often rated for 20 years, after which
               | you're down to 80% capacity, they don't simply stop
               | working. Solar panels are rated for 30 years. So yeah,
               | pretty hands off.
               | 
               | As for why do it, well, a right sized system allows you
               | to be independent from the utility company so if monthly
               | financing for it falls to the same ball park you're
               | paying for electricity already you've simply locked in a
               | rate and hedged against further price hikes.
               | 
               | If I was paying on average $99/mo to PG&E or whomever I'd
               | eyeball a $12,000 system financed over 10 years. That
               | would get you about 20kWh storage and enough panels to
               | keep it full which may or may not be enough for your
               | house.
               | 
               | That crossover point obviously varies from house to house
               | and what's available to you locally. I think it makes a
               | lot of sense for new houses, that way they might avoid a
               | potentially very costly hookup to the grid which in some
               | locations is tens of thousands of dollars in itself.
        
             | 10u152 wrote:
             | 1.5 kW of solar for $25k ? Somethings way off, closer to $1
             | per watt.
        
               | wlll wrote:
               | This is more reasonable. I have 2x400W solar panels
               | sitting in my kitchen right now (they're going on a boat)
               | that cost me PS215 each.
        
             | beAbU wrote:
             | I think your math is off my an order of magnitude
             | somewhere. Your $25k can buy a 40Kw kit according to this1
             | South African retailer (excl installation, but my point
             | still stands.
             | 
             | Also, don't unferestimate painting a roof. I recently had
             | my ~400m^2 roof painted, and the final bill was 50k ZAR
             | (~3k USD), and this is in a country with dirt cheap manual
             | labour costs. It's a very labour intensive operation if
             | done properly.
             | 
             | 1 - https://www.sustainable.co.za/collections/grid-tied-
             | solar-po...
        
               | wffurr wrote:
               | Installation is most of the cost. So "excl installation"
               | isn't a useful number.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | I always wondered why in such climates we don't simply stick
         | mirrors on the roof (cheap) but solar panels would seem to be
         | the best option in the longer term (much more expensive than
         | either mirrors or white paint). But you are absolutely right:
         | black or dark gray roofs are quite silly in a hot climate.
        
           | maigret wrote:
           | I have the same question, it would seem a quick win to have
           | optimized house colors for the current temperatures. Many hot
           | countries do it right, but especially northern architecture
           | hasn't adapted as well. Also, too much unshadowed windows.
           | There's a lot to win with well thought architecture.
        
         | seltzered_ wrote:
         | Changing how roofs are approached (color, materials) may also
         | have a (possibly beneficial) hydrological effect, even better
         | would be some form of vegetation grown on roofs (likely called
         | 'green roofs' to some) to help with evapotranspiration for
         | facilitating a small water cycle (helping water vapor travel
         | inland) and reduce the 'urban heat dome' effect.
         | 
         | (see Millan Millan's papers like
         | https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/article/69/2/143/5254231 ,
         | can link to some other newer stuff if desired)
        
         | WhompingWindows wrote:
         | In northern New England, we see a lot of homes using heating
         | oil and woodstoves. These create a lot of local emissions and
         | can be expensive or use a lot of time/effort (woodstoves). Heat
         | pumps that work especially well in cold climates would be a
         | huge efficiency gain over oil, woodstoves, and electric
         | resistive space heaters which are also commonly used as stop-
         | gaps in the region.
        
         | gumby wrote:
         | > To give an example, houses in the Bay Area has gray/black
         | roofs.
         | 
         | Those are no longer legal. Title 24 requires a "cool roof" *
         | 
         | When I had my roof re-covered a couple of years ago the roofer
         | apologized and said he had to use a light color. Which wasn't a
         | problem for me so no apology was needed.
         | 
         | * https://coolcalifornia.arb.ca.gov/cool-roofs-codes-and-
         | stand...
        
           | zbrozek wrote:
           | My understanding is that you can insulate your way to Title
           | 24 compliance. You just have to have a total ingress
           | performance over some level.
           | 
           | Now that said, it would still be better for our communities
           | to reflect this energy back out into space to reduce
           | environmental heating. Houses in my area at solar noon have
           | almost half a megawatt of heating potential. By municipal
           | code they are not allowed a roof reflectivity of more than
           | 40%.
        
             | gumby wrote:
             | I guess having mirrors on all the houses could cause
             | problems for other people, even for flat roofs. But I
             | agree: reflecting the incident beams is important: when it
             | emerges as heat (IR) it can be trapped by GHGs.
             | 
             | I had been thinking of the reflectivity benefit rather than
             | the reduction in air comditioning.
        
           | hedora wrote:
           | That's strange. We just built a house in the Bay Area with a
           | black roof, and have never heard of this. It passed
           | planning/inspection, and the thing you linked says we are in
           | a title 24 zone.
           | 
           | We hadn't thought about it, and would likely have opted for a
           | lighter roof, had someone pointed it out to us.
        
             | oefnak wrote:
             | Well, I assume you covered it with solar panels, so it
             | doesn't really matter.
        
             | fnordpiglet wrote:
        
         | sundvor wrote:
         | Seems like a better idea to cover the roofs with PV panels, to
         | be honest. This would reflect heat _and_ provide power for the
         | cooling  / travel / regular house electricity.
        
           | stephen_g wrote:
           | Why not both? If you have a light colour roof, you can use
           | bifacial panels and get additional generation for the same
           | surface area!
        
         | joshocar wrote:
         | This is one of the reasons metal roofs a nice, they reflect
         | heat and you don't need to paint them white, they make special
         | paints for metal roofs that help reflect the heat and also look
         | nice.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
        
         | an9n wrote:
         | Couldn't agree more.
         | 
         | I'm in the UK and in the process of installing underfloor
         | insulation in a house built around 1890. It is a flooboards-up
         | job involving a windproof one way moisture permeable membrane
         | above the joists, with hygroscopic insulation on top, and then
         | a vapour control barrier on top of that, with all edges of
         | layers taped to the joists where possible, all holes for wires,
         | pipes etc. sealed with tape, and finally membranes brought up
         | to wall behind the skirting boards. It's going to cost around
         | PS1k for a room of about 25m2. We have double glazing, the
         | walls aren't particularly cold in winter, and the roof is
         | insulated. I'm convinced most of our cold is coming through the
         | floor and I reckon this job (along with the rest of the house
         | in time, ugh) will make a huge difference.
         | 
         | But I'm having to do it myself because there are literally no
         | specialist fitters where I live, and there are no government
         | incentives that I am aware of. Why aren't the government going
         | hell-for-leather for insulation etc.?
        
         | MobileVet wrote:
         | Black / dark tile roofs across the south are completely
         | ridiculous. I doubt people understood this when shingles were
         | first developed but we do now and we should adjust accordingly
        
           | Hellbanevil wrote:
           | The main reason they are dark is because they are made with
           | oil.
           | 
           | Asphalt tiles are fairly cheap, and that's a good thing. It's
           | the labor that makes up most of the cost of a roof.
           | 
           | I'm trying to get up the nerve to shingle my four bedroom
           | home, and it's not the cost of materials I'm worried about.
           | It's my body.
           | 
           | My fear with global warming measures is the poor, and middle
           | class, will be required to bear the brunt of the preventative
           | measures.
           | 
           | I guess the race is on to develop a 50 year life expectancy,
           | but reasonably priced, white shingle? They might be out
           | there? I really haven't researched them.
           | 
           | If anyone knows a cheap roofing contractor in the Bay Area,
           | please divulge?
           | 
           | Twenty years ago I had a estimate of $25,000. I think that's
           | too much now. I'm a ex General Contractor.
        
             | Wowfunhappy wrote:
             | > My fear with global warming measures is the poor, and
             | middle class, will be required to bear the brunt of the
             | preventative measures.
             | 
             | They'll also bear the brunt of the effects of global
             | warming, and those will be worse.
             | 
             | We should try to make environmental programs as equitable
             | as possible. But first and foremost we need to _do them!_
        
               | Hellbanevil wrote:
               | Yea, but trying to squeeze more out of the lower middle
               | class, and poor, dosen't seem kind at this point in
               | history.
               | 
               | I see a lot of virtue signaling out there.
               | 
               | Most of us can't afford a electric vechicle, and those
               | federal credits seemed to just go to people whom could
               | afford any vechicle.
               | 
               | I can't even afford the smog check, and registration, on
               | my 4 banger toyota. A Truck I've keep going 20 years. It
               | uses very little gas. (My vechicle has always been tuned
               | up properly. I thought by now we would have had free smog
               | checks for the poor? In CA we have a low income deal that
               | was enacted when CA decided to require smog checks. It's
               | so complicated most people don't use the "gift". You need
               | to bring your car to a mechanic in order to get any money
               | back. Shade Tree mechanics are out of luck.
               | 
               | My point is the corporations/government will pass any
               | Global Warning measures down to us.
               | 
               | We are already tapped out.
               | 
               | If we are really serious about Global Warming lets go
               | after the wealthy boys first. Take away their private
               | jets.
               | 
               | And enough with their Globalization. If they can make a
               | product that dosen't need to be shipped long distances,
               | have them make it here.
               | 
               | I'm a Democrat, and winced when Biden pretty much gave a
               | FY to the oil companies in order to sound Progressive. I
               | knew at the time, the poor can't afford to pay more for
               | gas, and natural gas.
               | 
               | Now--I don't blame the president for this spike in gas
               | prices, but I would have rather have him say this is a
               | big problem, and we can't just do away with oil.
               | 
               | Be it my PG&E bill that just seems to go up, and the
               | $6.69 gas at my Chevron station, the poor are already
               | paying to much of their income on a complex problem. (My
               | gas station raised their prices the minute they started
               | talking about inflation, and the Russia sanctions. It is
               | pure greed. They made a record profits in the past few
               | years.
               | 
               | Sorry about my rant. I just don't like being squeezed so
               | much, while my wealthy neighbors buy crap from Amazon,
               | and think they are doing their part by driving a Tesla.
        
               | UncleEntity wrote:
               | When I left California I was driving a '67 ford galaxy
               | which, being over 25 years old at the time, wasn't
               | required to be smogged anymore and was fully surprised
               | when they made me do it when I registered it in Arizona
               | (where it is anything post-66 has to have smog). Even my
               | motorcycle had to be smogged (which, I believe,
               | California doesn't require) and that thing couldn't help
               | but get really good gas mileage.
               | 
               | So, fear not, a couple more years and you will be smog
               | exempt.
        
               | hadlock wrote:
               | My daily driver is a 1955 and I'm exempt from safety
               | inspections at this point. I also have a one-time(!) $175
               | registration fee in my state. If you can keep up with the
               | basic maintenance (grease certain joints every couple
               | thousand miles, etc)the lack of regulatory oversight on
               | these older vehicles can sometimes push them back into
               | being more affordable than driving a 10-15 year old car.
               | Just don't get in a wreck in them, crumple zones weren't
               | really invented until the 90s.
        
               | Hellbanevil wrote:
               | No--in CA it's 1975, or earlier. It's a rediculious law
               | because the old cars do not put that many miles on the
               | road. I wish it was 30 years.
               | 
               | While I'm on my soap box; Neusome (a guy I went to high
               | school with (Redwood, and voted most Fashionable, a
               | liberal Marin county boy) has a bill on his desk that
               | would do away with fees associated with Parking Tickets.
               | As of today, he has not signed off on it. The only reason
               | I can think of is he's getting more middle of the road
               | for a run at the big office?
               | 
               | These extra fees and fines are not fair to the poor. A
               | parking ticket in SF is running $80 bucks without fines.
               | $5-6 an hour if you find the right spot. Neusome knows
               | this personally.
               | 
               | He barely graduated from Redwood High School, and dropped
               | out of college due to some nebulous learning disability.
               | He opened some coke dens in SF, and a few Bootjack liquor
               | stores with family money. The SF bars went up in flames
               | because they were poorly managed. Oh yea, his cousin
               | Brendan has a DUI that disappeared? I might write a book
               | on this guy one day. While I seem pissed, he's better
               | than the alternatives.
               | 
               | If he wasn't born wealthy, he would be in the Embarcadero
               | in SF with a needle stuck in his arm.
        
               | rswail wrote:
               | You need to vote for people who have policies to increase
               | tax on the rich.
               | 
               | Government will pass climate change measures on to those
               | that squeal the quietest.
               | 
               | Globalization is not the cause of climate change, it's a
               | natural effect of economics as our technology and
               | capabilities improve.
               | 
               | No one is saying to do away with oil, but that also means
               | that oil companies don't have a social license to extract
               | excessive profit. So tax them.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | You can easily do it yourself, I did it first on a chicken
             | coop to practice and once I got the hang of it I did a 145
             | square meter roof on top of a two story building in
             | relatively short time. The clock was ticking because we
             | were about to have frost and that makes working on the
             | North side of such a roof next to impossible. If you have
             | to remove the old stuff first use a flat shovel, that works
             | the fastest compared to more fancy tooling.
             | 
             | Make sure you invest in a proper safety harness, they're
             | not that expensive and even if I really hope you won't need
             | it you'll be very happy you did that in case you do...
        
             | hedora wrote:
             | We recently paid thirty for asphalt, simple design, under
             | US average size.
             | 
             | I once knew a handyman that swore by painting over black
             | membrane roofs with some sort of white rubber patch paint.
             | It was probably a terrible idea, but I wonder if such a
             | product exists for asphalt roofs.
        
           | SoftTalker wrote:
           | I think people understood. It's just that tar/asphalt is
           | cheap and makes a very good roofing material.
        
           | hsbauauvhabzb wrote:
           | Pretty sure they were recently banned in Sydney, Australia.
        
             | josh64 wrote:
             | Not quite unfortunately - the new Planning Minister caved
             | to the property developer lobby:
             | https://www.theguardian.com/australia-
             | news/2022/apr/09/plan-...
        
               | jdironman wrote:
               | What exactly are the challenges with producing lighter
               | colored roofing?
        
               | freen wrote:
               | People who are happy to let the world burn so they can
               | have their roof look the way British roofs look.
        
               | ip26 wrote:
               | Asphalt is black, and a high albedo is hard for anything
               | to maintain with dirt, dust, and age.
        
               | stephen_g wrote:
               | That's not it in Australia - we don't use asphalt
               | roofing. Normal roofs are tile, steel or (more rarely)
               | zinc here.
               | 
               | I think the US is fairly unique in that regard. I'm so
               | used to our houses here that the idea of using shingles
               | made of asphalt just seems bizarre to me.
        
               | Tagbert wrote:
               | I had assumed that the white color would come from a
               | white granular material impressed into the asphalt base
        
         | mrfusion wrote:
         | But that 10kw isn't going directly into your house. The attic
         | is designed to vent the air and let that hot air escape.
        
           | cy_hauser wrote:
           | For my house the problem is that the sun's energy is
           | converted to radient heat which makes its way hours after the
           | air has cooled. The HVAC people have said no amount of
           | insulation or attic fans will help. They suggest radiant
           | barrier roofing of varoius types. The simplest being
           | reflective paint, which the HOA won't allow.
        
         | wolverine876 wrote:
         | Agreed, though you still need to account for cold days when you
         | want more heat in the house.
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | If the roof assembly is decently insulated, then relatively
         | little of that 10kW heats the house. So, while improvement is
         | available, it's not nearly that large.
        
           | hn_throwaway_99 wrote:
           | Still, though, I have to wonder what the equivalent "CO2
           | reduction" would be considering that a white roof is likely
           | to radiate most of the incoming sunlight back into space,
           | where if it is radiating in infrared then that heat is more
           | likely to be trapped on Earth.
        
             | amluto wrote:
             | Indeed.
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_heat_island
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reflective_surfaces_(climat
             | e...
        
             | throwaway3334 wrote:
             | For now, everyone is free to pump out kilowatts of heat
             | with their roofs, parking lots, air conditioners into the
             | surrounding air. It is not considered pollution, even when
             | it is already 100 degF outside.
             | 
             | On the days when there is an inversion in the atmosphere,
             | the hot air stays trapped. People have to run ACs in their
             | houses, stores and offices. And that results in even more
             | heat routed to the place, with ACs units, literally pumping
             | energy from the solar arrays somewhere in the desert into
             | the city.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | My intuition says that the volume of inside vs outside
               | air is so big that it has little effect.
        
               | throwaway3334 wrote:
               | You can look at how much space roofs cover in the suburb
               | in the Bay Area. It'd be roughly 25% streets, 40% roofs,
               | 30% backyard, 5% front-yard. Adding white reflective
               | coating increases "Solar Reflectance" and decreases
               | "Thermal Emittance" and absorption. Most dark roof
               | materials reflect 5 to 20% of incoming sunlight, while
               | light-colored roof materials typically reflect 55 to 90%.
               | A white roof coating that you can purchase at your
               | regular home improvement store would do that 90%.
               | 
               | So effectively, in the suburban area there is an
               | opportunity to change our average solar reflectance by
               | ~32% [(90% - 10%) * 40%]. If we just abandon the idea
               | that a good house should look like a house in Normandy
               | and have a black roof.
               | 
               | [edit: I've opened a section of sat map (in Sunnyvale,
               | near Reed Ave/Sequoia Dr.) and estimated
               | roof/street/backyard/front-yard by area, for a lot of 2
               | houses and adjacent street. The numbers above are from
               | that estimate. Heat and noise of ACs is somewhat local
               | (urban heat island effect, etc), so that local estimate
               | is what counts. It is not surprising that we can have 40%
               | roofs. Land is expensive in the suburb like that.]
               | 
               | As per: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reflective_surfac
               | es_(climate... - "If all urban, flat roofs in warm
               | climates were whitened, the resulting 10% increase in
               | global reflectivity would offset the warming effect of 24
               | gigatonnes of greenhouse gas emissions, or equivalent to
               | taking 300 million cars off the road for 20 years. So it
               | seems, there is not only local/urban heat island effect,
               | but even some global effect. To put this into
               | perspective, Tesla sold 2 million vehicles. No idea, if
               | the Wiki numbers are correct...
        
               | uxp100 wrote:
               | I suspect that there are good stats somewhere, but I
               | think that 40% roofs might be a pretty high over estimate
               | in say, Sunnyvale, or even San Jose.
        
               | rch wrote:
               | I'm not aware of any stats, but I've experienced the
               | difference between hot neighborhoods and cooler
               | neighborhoods, right next to each other in Houston. It
               | would be great to have a quantitative measure for this
               | effect, similar to a walk score (which isn't perfect, but
               | can be occasionally useful).
        
               | kolinko wrote:
               | Are you sure it's because of AC and not the amount of
               | concrete pathways compared to green areas, vegetation and
               | shade from trees? Also various thermal properties of the
               | ground?
               | 
               | Even if houses were 50% of the land area, they take up a
               | miniscule amount of air volume. Also, hot air floats up,
               | so there is little chance you could feel the heat from an
               | AC outside. On the other hand, if the earth is hot
               | because you have few trees, you will feel it everywhere
               | when walking on a sidewalk.
               | 
               | In Europe at least it's common knowledge that you need to
               | have trees and greenery everywhere to make heat bearable
               | outside. If you replace trees and grass with concrete you
               | get an island of heat that will be unbearable during
               | summer to walk through.
               | 
               | edit: thermal camera image of a walkway with trees in
               | summer https://images.app.goo.gl/m2XN7rqodavDcwoE9
        
               | 8bitsrule wrote:
               | At this time last year, this region was subjected to a
               | 'heat dome'. Luckily this building has a 'cool dome' in
               | the basement. Spent a few days listening, reading and
               | solving down there (12-16degC cooler).
               | 
               | Much cooler temperatures (13degC) are found just a few
               | feet below ground. (Memorable to those who've visited
               | 'root cellars.) Before long those mysterious 'underground
               | cities' in Anatolia may not seem so mysterious. It's a
               | low-cost, low-tech, zero-energy solution, used by native
               | communities in many regions of the world.
        
               | wcoenen wrote:
               | > _Much cooler temperatures (13degC) are found just a few
               | feet below ground. (Memorable to those who 've visited
               | 'root cellars.) Before long those mysterious 'underground
               | cities' in Anatolia may not seem so mysterious._
               | 
               | When the London metro was built (over a century ago), the
               | clay was at 14 degrees C. But over time, it heated up
               | from all the power dissipated by the metro system. Now it
               | is around 20 to 25 degrees C and doesn't really act as a
               | heat sink anymore. The same happened in the NY subway.
               | 
               | So soil can act as a great heat sink for a while, but not
               | forever. I suspect the same would happen if you'd put a
               | modern city underground and relied on the temperature of
               | the soil instead of pumping heat out somehow.
        
               | smaudet wrote:
               | This and geo-thermal. The crazy megalomaniacs pushing
               | solar are as bad as the rest of oil/coal kingpins,
               | unsustainable and another ecological train-wreck in
               | progress.
        
           | AngryData wrote:
           | Yes this. It helps but it isn't a magic bullet because the
           | roof is already airgapped from the roof and the house
           | insulated from the attic. If the roof was directly insulated
           | shingles would curl up and start failing within one or two
           | summers due to the heat. That is why there are roof vents,
           | gable vents, and soffit vents, to let air freely flow into
           | and out of the attic/roof cavity.
        
             | DubiousPusher wrote:
             | > If the roof was directly insulated shingles would curl up
             | and start failing within one or two summers due to the
             | heat.
             | 
             | This is an old school carpentry trope and yet I've never
             | actually seen any statistical evidence indicating that
             | roofs over vaulted ceilings which are directly insulated
             | must be replaced more often than non-vaulted.
        
               | cpwright wrote:
               | Anecdotally we have about 1/3 of our roof with a vaulted
               | ceiling and the other 2/3 with an attic. The side with an
               | attic is the side that would be suitable for solar panels
               | (more sun at the right angle) or adjacent to the vaulted
               | ceilings. The leaks that came up were all on the
               | insulated vaulted ceiling side; starting about 25 years
               | old, and we had another every couple years for about five
               | years until replacing the roof. The attic parts never had
               | any problems.
        
               | SoftTalker wrote:
               | We have a vaulted ceiling and there is still an air gap
               | under the roof. The ceiling "vault" is separately framed;
               | there is still a foot or two of air space between the top
               | of the vault and the roof deck.
        
             | amluto wrote:
             | As far as I know, it's important to have outdoor air that
             | flows under the roof in _cold_ climates to avoid ice dams.
             | Otherwise insulating the roof deck is just fine and
             | possibly even advantageous.
             | 
             | An unconditioned attic is not so great because it's
             | difficult or impossible to do a good job of avoiding
             | leakage into the living space. Also, any mechanical
             | equipment in the attic would like to be in conditioned
             | space.
        
         | csomar wrote:
         | Yeah this was figured out in the Mediterranean probably a few
         | hundred years ago: https://www.santorini-view.com/white-houses-
         | of-santorini
         | 
         | Unfortunately, we are losing some of this cumulative knowledge
         | due to it not being documented, and due to the looks of
         | alternatives (although the grey buildings in the US are as ugly
         | as it can get)
        
           | drjasonharrison wrote:
           | Well also asphalt tiles being cheaper material and cheaper
           | installation on sloped roofs (snow!) over wood frame
           | construction.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | They're only cheaper in the short term. Long term energy
             | costs and replacement costs factor in strongly, and chances
             | are that once you make that calculation you'll end up with
             | old fashioned terracotta roofs being cheaper over the life
             | of the house.
        
           | JasonFruit wrote:
           | We're not losing the information that light colors heat less
           | in the sun. Neither could anyone who spent five minutes on a
           | black roof in the sun forget that tidbit. It's just that
           | other factors than the energy required to cool a building
           | took precedence in the past.
        
             | kjkjadksj wrote:
             | Anecdotally it seems like we are. The rad thing to do in my
             | area of california is to paint your white washed spanish
             | style home mud brown or ozzy osbourne black. Then you have
             | to install a much more powerful AC system when in the past
             | maybe just opening windows and getting crossbreeze was
             | enough. All these houses used to have awnings over sun
             | facing windows when they were build in the 1920s but at
             | some point that must have been seen as ugly and its now
             | pretty rare to see.
        
               | dotancohen wrote:
               | > The rad thing to do in my area of california is to
               | paint your white washed spanish style home mud brown or
               | ozzy osbourne black.
               | 
               | It seems that the Ames Research Center is rather rad
               | hardened, then. Fitting. JPL too, for that matter.
        
               | kube-system wrote:
               | That rad thing to do is an example of what they meant by
               | other things taking precedence.
        
         | foobiekr wrote:
         | Hell most of the 1950s and 1960s Bay Area housing stock is
         | worse - it's tar and gravel roofs without any significant
         | insulation thereby turning houses into ovens. The right answer
         | to most of them is a new foam roof which both provides
         | insulation and reflectivity being white but people get quite
         | upset about the foam roof thing, especially with Eichlers.
        
         | epmatsw wrote:
         | There's actually a $500 tax credit to install reflective
         | shingles for this very reason.
         | https://www.energystar.gov/about/federal_tax_credits/roofs_m...
        
       | boardwaalk wrote:
       | > The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
       | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF
       | 
       | So, 2 EER (2x of resistive heat) at 5F, 1.8 at -5F and 1.6 at
       | -10F? Is that right? Seems awkwardly worded.
        
         | brtkdotse wrote:
         | That's uh, pretty terrible? My 15+ year old Nibe gets as much
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | It says "double" the efficiency, so I assume they mean 2x the
         | COP of the previous model at 5F, and 1.7-1.8x the old COP at -5
         | and -10F.
         | 
         | A COP of 2 @ 5F isn't a "breakthrough" vs. the first
         | commercially available model I could find numbers for, and a
         | COP of 1.5 at -10F seems implausible:
         | 
         | https://www.nordicghp.com/2017/01/heat-pump-effective-temper...
         | 
         | Honestly though, this press release is so poorly written, I
         | wouldn't trust the numbers match up to anything.
        
         | mlyle wrote:
         | > So, 2 EER (2x of resistive heat) at 5F
         | 
         | Yes (or double of previous model as another commentator points
         | out-- hard to say).
         | 
         | > 1.8 at -5F and 1.6 at -10F?
         | 
         | They've not told us the efficiency-- just that it provides
         | 70-80% of nameplate amount of heating at those temperatures.
        
           | boardwaalk wrote:
           | Ah, I see. I figured they'd keep the input energy constant
           | because otherwise you're not saying much at all (you could
           | figure that the efficiency plummets and you'd be better off
           | with a space heater).
        
             | mlyle wrote:
             | It's possible. Also possible it's barely outperforming the
             | space heater at the lower temperature and input power has
             | increased. They've not told us enough.
        
             | coryrc wrote:
             | The energy input goes down because it physically can't run
             | a differential high enough to get full heating output.
             | 
             | They could choose the lowest temperature, find it's power
             | input, then fix it at that amount. But at low temperatures
             | the concern is usually less "efficiency" and more "am I
             | going to freeze to death", because in most of the cold
             | areas temperatures aren't usually that cold for that long
             | (though in others it definitely is, and if you're running
             | at 1.6 COP for a significant amount of time, you're better
             | off with more insulation than a heat pump).
        
       | ocdtrekkie wrote:
       | With natural gas hitting four times it's cost last year, couldn't
       | come at a better time. Next winter, heat will cost more than rent
       | in Chicago.
        
         | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
         | Don't worry, the rent will go up too.
        
       | formvoltron wrote:
       | Anyone know how this compares to a geothermal system?
        
         | thinkcontext wrote:
         | Heat pumps for geothermal applications don't need to be
         | optimized for less than 0C.
        
         | danans wrote:
         | It doesn't really compare since ground-source/geothermal
         | systems are designed to work with a smaller temperature
         | difference (since the earth stays about 50F most of the year a
         | few feet down).
         | 
         | Business wise, if this really works at 2COP at 5F, this might
         | take over most of the market served by ground source heat pumps
         | though.
        
       | overeater wrote:
       | Does anyone know why there has never been any breakthroughs in
       | air conditioning for 50 years? Windows air conditioners have been
       | incredibly heavy, loud, expensive, and resource-intensive for so
       | long. Even a small room needs one that is back-breaking to
       | install. And pretty much everyone in the world (except those with
       | central air) needs a couple of air conditioners now.
       | 
       | Sure the "efficiency" is improving but it's mainly tricks for
       | turning it on/off at better times. I know there are some U-shaped
       | ones now, but it's just a slightly different styling.
       | 
       | Edit: two commenters pointed out examples of air conditioners
       | which are 77 lbs and 56 lbs. As a comparison, the OSHA
       | recommended lifting weight is 50 lbs. I would love to see someone
       | apply Apple's obsession with thinner, lighter, "revolutionary new
       | design" to ACs.
        
         | HPsquared wrote:
         | Most poetically answered by Flanders and Swann:
         | 
         | The First Law of Thermodymamics.
         | 
         | Heat is work and work is heat
         | 
         | The Second Law of Thermodymamics:
         | 
         | Heat cannot of itself pass from one body to a hotter body
         | 
         | Heat won't pass from a cooler to a hotter
         | 
         | You can try it if you like but you far better not-a
         | 
         | 'Cos the cold in the cooler will get hotter as a rule-a
         | 
         | 'Cos the hotter body's heat will pass to the cooler
         | 
         | Heat is work and work is heat and work is heat and heat is work
         | 
         | Heat will pass by conduction and
         | 
         | Heat will pass by convection and
         | 
         | Heat will pass by radiation
         | 
         | And that's a physical law
        
         | kristiandupont wrote:
         | I have pondered this as well and studied it a bit. I feel that
         | there is room for new tech that can help with this increasingly
         | dire problem.
         | 
         | Thermoacoustic refrigeration seems to be one of the more
         | promising technologies but I would love to hear about others.
        
           | vincnetas wrote:
           | Thermoacoustic... love to hear about others :) yes pun
           | intended.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | As I mentioned elsewhere:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31791936 there is a
           | company that claims to use thermoacoustics for general heat-
           | pump duty. I believe they are targeting European style
           | hydronic heating. Aiming to be efficient whilst still
           | producing the 80c water that many older hydronic systems here
           | in Europe still require.
           | 
           | Interestingly, they aren't that loud because any sound lost
           | is energy lost, so they try very hard to 'keep it quiet'.
        
         | lock-the-spock wrote:
         | > And pretty much everyone in the world (except those with
         | central air) needs a couple of air conditioners now.
         | 
         | Absolutely not. Where I live we had 34degCtoday but I would
         | still never buy an A/C unit, which will ruin your health
         | (heat/cold shock, bad air moisture levels, ...), waste immense
         | amounts of energy and makes leaving the house a pain as the
         | rest of the world becomes uncomfortable. Most of my friends
         | here earn very well but I can't think of anyone that would see
         | a reason to buy one. Live with the temperature and adjust -
         | like the famous Iberian or Mexican siesta, where you simply
         | accept that midday are low energy hours.
         | 
         | But even beyond this, the reason for A/C use is just bad
         | architecture and city design. More trees in the streets can
         | lower the temperature in the street itself and nearby
         | residences easily by 1-2 degree. Less absorbing surfaces
         | (asphalt, stone sidewalks, ...) make another difference.
         | 
         | And as regards the houses, there are plenty of ways for passive
         | and energy efficient buildings that keep cool. In the middle
         | east they have built self-cooling houses for centuries.
         | 
         | And in all this, even if you are stuck with bad streets and
         | architecture, you can simply adapt, use efficient ways to keep
         | cool (a fan can work wonders) and drink warm rather than iced
         | drinks and your circulatory system will thank you as you don't
         | switch regularly get shocked with 10-15deg differences and you
         | will sweat much less.
        
           | hahamrfunnyguy wrote:
           | I'd been using a window unit for the bedroom but got sick of
           | taking it in an out and decided to see how long I could
           | manage without it. Now I prefer no air conditioning because
           | of the reasons you state above - it feels much more
           | comfortable being outside on hot days. I keep the windows and
           | doors closed during the heat of the day then open them up
           | when it's cooler outside than it is inside.
        
           | bonzini wrote:
           | Let me guess, where you leave there are "serious" blinds
           | outside the windows that help keeping sunshine out. I wonder
           | when Central Europe will start installing them.
        
           | adrianN wrote:
           | I also won't buy AC for myself anytime soon, but I'm still
           | young and healthy. Older people have a lot more serious
           | problems with heat waves.
        
         | sparsely wrote:
         | Mini splits are widely used and have become dramatically more
         | economical and popular over the last decade or so. They are
         | much quieter and more efficient than window units.
         | 
         | Some areas ( _cough_ nyc _cough_ ) may need some regulatory
         | breakthroughs but the technology is there.
        
           | foobiekr wrote:
           | Can you expand on the regulatory issues or provide a pointer?
        
         | stormbrew wrote:
         | Window units really only exist at all because of buildings that
         | can't accommodate better designs for either practical or legal
         | reasons. There's just no amount of innovation that can make it
         | so that having the intake and the outtake right next to each
         | other without a nearly perfectly sealed box on one side (ie. a
         | fridge or a freezer) is gonna be anything but a big ugly noisy
         | energy gobbler.
         | 
         | If you can't have central, you should have mini-split, and
         | that's where all your problems get solved. If you can't get
         | mini-split because your landlord won't let you drill conduit to
         | outside then you're just kinda stuck and the laws of
         | thermodynamics are your enemy, not a lack of innovation.
        
         | iancmceachern wrote:
         | "Lisa, in this house we obey the laws of thermodynamics!"
         | 
         | It's physics and thermodynamics. It's basically the same as
         | with any heat engine, internal combustion engines included.
         | 
         | There is a certain maximum theoretical efficiency that is not
         | 100%. When we build real machines (not theoretical ones) there
         | are real world losses like heat loss, fluid flow friction,
         | moving part friction, electrical inefficiencies, etc. Those
         | real world losses van be gradually worked on over time,
         | improved incrementally to yield small gains in efficiency. But
         | never large ones, and never more than the theoretical max
         | efficiency, which is not 100%.
         | 
         | It's like hybrid cars (not plug in hybrids, but just gas
         | powered hybrids), they've doubled or trippled the mileage
         | compared to a comparable regular car, but they will always need
         | gas, they will never be 100% efficient.
         | 
         | Same with this. There will always be some fundamental
         | electrical losses in the copper in the motor, air gap losses in
         | the motor, friction in the bearings and fluid, heat losses to
         | the environment, etc. It's the cost of doing the work. There is
         | no free lunch, so we can only incrementally improve the little
         | losses over time.
        
           | eloff wrote:
           | My understanding is that heat pumps can be over 100%
           | efficient because they're actually moving heat from A to B
           | where one side is the outside environment. It doesn't violate
           | thermodynamics if you view the Earth as a closed system. The
           | heat pump itself is not a closed system.
        
             | iancmceachern wrote:
             | Thanks for highlighting this because it's a common
             | misconception.
             | 
             | "The coefficient of performance or COP (sometimes CP or
             | CoP) of a heat pump, refrigerator or air conditioning
             | system is a ratio of useful heating or cooling provided to
             | work (energy) required.[1][2] Higher COPs equate to higher
             | efficiency, lower energy (power) consumption and thus lower
             | operating costs. The COP usually exceeds 1, especially in
             | heat pumps, because, instead of just converting work to
             | heat (which, if 100% efficient, would be a COP of 1), it
             | pumps additional heat from a heat source to where the heat
             | is required. Most air conditioners have a COP of 2.3 to
             | 3.5. Less work is required to move heat than for conversion
             | into heat, and because of this, heat pumps, air
             | conditioners and refrigeration systems can have a
             | coefficient of performance greater than one. However, this
             | does not mean that they are more than 100% efficient, in
             | other words, no heat engine can have a thermal efficiency
             | of 100% or greater. For complete systems, COP calculations
             | should include energy consumption of all power consuming
             | auxiliaries. The COP is highly dependent on operating
             | conditions, especially absolute temperature and relative
             | temperature between sink and system, and is often graphed
             | or averaged against expected conditions."
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coefficient_of_performance#
             | :....
             | 
             | More detail here:
             | 
             | https://physics.stackexchange.com/questions/489467/can-a-
             | hea...
             | 
             | In short, a heat pump is more efficient when compared to
             | using the energy to directly generate heat because it's
             | more efficient to move heat than generate it.
        
             | Dylan16807 wrote:
             | They're not talking about that 100.
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | That means you need somewhere to move the heat to, and the
             | thermoynamics of heat capacity are not forgiving if you are
             | trying to make something lightweight. You need atoms and
             | lots of entropic states to store heat :)
        
         | bushbaba wrote:
         | Idk this "toshiba" AC has a built in heat pump and operates at
         | super quiet levels. Would I call it a "breakthrough", likely
         | not. But it is a meaningful improvement over an AC released
         | decades ago.
         | 
         | https://www.homedepot.com/p/Toshiba-14-000-BTU-12-000-BTU-DO...
        
         | JaimeThompson wrote:
         | Check out the inverter type ones such as this one [1] It isn't
         | light but it is quiet and adjusts the amount of power it uses
         | depending on cooling needs much better than a typical window
         | unit making it more efficient.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.midea.com/us/air-conditioners/window-air-
         | conditi...
        
           | daydream wrote:
           | The Midea U window AC units are a really good product. I am
           | easily cooling a roughy 1,200 square feet space with only one
           | of the 12k BTU units and a few ceiling fans, and it typically
           | gets into the 90's F here in the summer with significant
           | humidity.
           | 
           | No affiliation to Midea just a satisfied customer.
        
             | uxp100 wrote:
             | I agree. The U shape is a gimmick, but a good one. It helps
             | it be quieter inside, but even outside they are quite
             | quiet. I have whole house AC, but I like the windows open,
             | I like being hot. Just not when I'm sleeping. Basically
             | only downside is a truly terrible app that is the only way
             | to access just a few features.
        
               | JaimeThompson wrote:
               | Terrible doesn't begin to describe that app. Honestly
               | what does the turbo button in the app even do?
               | 
               | I have one in a room on the far end of the house that the
               | main AC can't reach, it helps reduce power usage since I
               | can keep the rest of the house warmer.
        
         | devwastaken wrote:
         | Patents, intellectual property, etc. It's why every appliance
         | is trash nowadays. Big corps are IP holders, and there's only
         | so many ways to engineer certain actions. Regardless even if
         | you try to startup a company you'll be pushed out by the
         | control big corps have over manufacturing.
         | 
         | We need to start nullifying IP if we ever hope to see
         | innovation.
        
           | mensetmanusman wrote:
           | Probably not this, most IP can be worked around, and
           | especially in the area of AC operations and thermodynamics,
           | that hasn't changed in almost a century.
        
         | jeffbee wrote:
         | Talk about moving the goalposts. You asked, people answered.
         | The revolution is that you can now buy an 8000 BTU unit that
         | weighs little, costs almost nothing, and can be installed
         | anywhere in a few minutes.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | Thermodynamics are harsh mistress... Add that to limitations on
         | what can be used as refrigerants. The reality that these
         | systems need to operate with rather long duty cycles for
         | decade+ at minimum. And the reality is that there isn't much
         | magic in how they operate. Compression and expansion of gas.
         | 
         | Computers are actually a very special case. They don't really
         | do any physical work in sense other stuff does, thus
         | miniaturization gives lot of gains there. I have long said that
         | small drones are answer to flying cars. We have them and they
         | are small, but lifting people is hard work.
        
         | vanderZwan wrote:
         | AFAIK the physics of heat pumps is considered to have been
         | fully figured out for ages and all that's left is the
         | engineering. Maybe it wasn't considered a "sexy" enough topic
         | to nerd out over and hyper-optimize?
         | 
         | Edit: it might also be an issue of diminishing returns of
         | better efficiency compared to how difficult it is to produce
         | and maintain a better unit. Thermodynamics can be a pain like
         | that.
        
         | mikepurvis wrote:
         | We got a U-shaped one for a big open attic space and I'm a fan
         | of it. It cost more and was a little bit more drama to install
         | (came with a big support bracket thing), but it's very
         | effective and quiet. We meant it as a stepping stone to
         | eventually putting a mini-split setup on that side of the
         | house, but it might end up just being the long-term solution.
         | 
         | EDIT: Oh lol, the unit we got was actually one of those Midea
         | ones linked in a sibling comment.
        
       | pengaru wrote:
       | What a misleading clickbait headline.
       | 
       | This isn't a technology breakthrough, this is a DOE
       | policy/partnership/funding "breakthrough".
        
         | bitexploder wrote:
         | Right? We have Fujitsu units that maintain their COP down to 0F
         | and still are 80% efficient below there down to like -15
        
       | fithisux wrote:
       | I'll believe it when I see it marketed. Even if it works I doubt
       | it will be within financial reach for most people.
        
       | asdfman123 wrote:
       | "Tapping into the emerging clean energy market is a huge economic
       | opportunity that will bring a bolstered manufacturing sector,
       | good paying jobs, and a brighter, cleaner future to _Texas_ and
       | communities across America."
       | 
       | If anyone else is confused by this, it's because Lennox is
       | headquartered in Texas.
        
         | davidro80 wrote:
         | You are confused by this? It's a straightforward statement.
        
           | InsomniacL wrote:
           | what's not straight forward is understanding why the
           | statement lists a single state and everyone else falls under
           | 'communities across America' which the comment above clears
           | up.
        
             | davidro80 wrote:
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | What's the breakthrough on the tech old level? What did they
       | discover?
        
         | tootie wrote:
         | It can operate efficiently at lower temps. Current air source
         | heat pumps see degraded performance and below freezing temps
         | and will not be able to effectively heat a home at the lowest
         | temps that can occur in the northern hemisphere.
        
           | mrfusion wrote:
           | Thanks. But I'm trying to figure out how they do that.
        
             | margalabargala wrote:
             | The "secret sauce" of the increased efficiency is that
             | they're using thermoacoustics, which previously had been a
             | technology used in one-off applications with a large budget
             | (e.g. the James Webb telescope uses it to stay cool). Prior
             | to now there were no manufacturers providing the technology
             | to be widely available at scale.
        
         | PaulDavisThe1st wrote:
         | No idea how the Lennox units in TFA do it, but the Mitsubishi
         | "hyper-heat" units do it by diverting a small amount of their
         | output back into heating up the refrigerant at very cold
         | temperatures. It starts to get a bit "slushy" at the low end of
         | the performance range, which impacts the ability to move heat.
         | By warming it back up to the bottom of its ideal operating
         | range, the whole system functions more efficiently.
        
       | londons_explore wrote:
       | Lab vs typical observed performance differs quite widely for many
       | home heating systems.
       | 
       | Thats because typically each appliance is tested at optimal
       | conditions (eg. water flow rates). Then, in a real deployment,
       | every parameter differs a little from optimal (eg. the water may
       | circulate slower than expected because you have longer pipes
       | around your home than the lab ones, and your hot water tank is
       | hotter than expected because you like it set hot, and your
       | airflow is less than expected because the filter is a bit
       | blocked, etc.). Each knocks a few percentage points off the
       | efficiency, but the overall impact can be dramatic.
       | 
       | We really need 'smarter' heating systems which can detect and
       | correct for such things. For example, water and air pumps which
       | measure temperatures and flow rates of air/water, and adjust
       | speeds up and down to maintain the optimal efficiency point.
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | Could this be useful in electric cars? I know they spend a lot on
       | heating the cabin.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | Yes; many EVs already use heat pumps, so if this has a higher
         | coefficient of power (and is not much heavier), and it can be
         | scaled down to automobiles, then it will be a win.
         | 
         | (None of those details can be inferred from the press release.)
        
       | borner791 wrote:
       | Clever Deers..
        
         | lucb1e wrote:
         | For anyone else confused, this refers to a previous title
         | version as per https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31791942
         | and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31792348 (the comment
         | I'm replying to was far above those others for me, so I was
         | quite confused)
        
       | visviva wrote:
       | Since DOE is an initialism and not an acronym, the capitalization
       | in the title is incorrect. It should be "DOE".
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Fixed now. Thanks!
        
       | mtlmtlmtlmtl wrote:
       | Technology Connections on Youtube has a great video series on how
       | heat pumps work, why they're important environmentally and what
       | kind of power cost savings they can bring. The second video is a
       | longer guide for people who want to get a heat pump.
       | 
       | https://youtu.be/MFEHFsO-XSI https://youtu.be/43XKfuptnik
        
       | reacharavindh wrote:
       | I wish governments worldwide would boost this industry and get
       | these heat pumps in the hands of people as fast as possible.
       | 
       | I live in the Netherlands that has one of the highest use of
       | rooftop solar and generally energy conscious government and
       | people. I bought a house recently and while doing some changes
       | before moving in, my top priority was to get rid of Gas for
       | heating and replace it with an all electric solution and
       | supplement the power by as many solar panels as possible. As good
       | as my intent is, I literally have EUR25K in the bank waiting to
       | be spent for this, and the government gives a subsidy for
       | essentially halving the cost of a heat pump, I could not get one
       | until day mid next year!!! It is such a disappointment.
       | 
       | The intent is in the right place to encourage people to buy heat
       | pumps, people are also willing. However, the chip shortage, and
       | the insane labour crisis of qualified people who could install
       | this is making the end result unattainable.
       | 
       | My wish is for the European Union to use any emergency powers it
       | has to subsidise/mandate/beg the companies to mass manufacture
       | heat pumps and solve the installation problem- train more people
       | on this trade for free? Make it tax free to earn money by working
       | as a heat pump installer? Anything...
       | 
       | Now, there is added incentive in the form of the need to get rid
       | of Russian Gas. The time is now. Heat pumps already makes
       | economic sense, it helps with climate goals, it boosts economy. I
       | wish things happen sooner than later.
        
         | benj111 wrote:
         | It's crazy to me that in the west; geo politics, national
         | defense, people's budgets, and the economy are all in
         | alignment, but no one in power seems to be capitalising on
         | that.
         | 
         | Here in the UK we've had nothing like that and seem to be going
         | the other way with things like fuel duty cuts.
         | 
         | Another issue here at least is that it seems financially better
         | to pair standard heating with battery storage than invest in a
         | heat pump.
        
         | orbital-decay wrote:
         | I'm actually surprised to see heat pumps gaining so little
         | traction in Europe over time, perhaps excluding Baltics. I'm in
         | Russia myself and I have a heat pump installed in my house for
         | about a decade and a half already. In the long run, it was far
         | cheaper than gas in my case. Not to mention it was faster to
         | install; the gas pipeline bureaucracy alone would have taken
         | several months.
         | 
         | That said, there are environmental concerns about geothermals
         | at scale (see the earthquake in Landau). Not sure how much of
         | it carries over to residential heat pumps, though.
        
           | porker wrote:
           | The "In the long run" bit is the problem. Here in the UK
           | people stay in a house for about 10 years before moving. It's
           | impossible to get payback on many investments in that time,
           | and when you sell your house the improvements aren't valued
           | high enough to return the money you spent.
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | P.R. with zero tech details is indistinguishable from 100%
       | balonie.
        
         | hedora wrote:
         | But it delivers 100% words at 5degF at double the efficiency,
         | and 70% to 80% words at -5degF and -10degF. DOE validated the
         | performance and efficiency of the press release.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | kennywinker wrote:
       | Great, now if someone can crack the engineering challenge of
       | installing a name-brand heat pump for less than $18,000 (CAD)
       | that'd be great.
        
         | com2kid wrote:
         | Lots of do it yourself videos on YouTube showing installs for
         | well under 5k.
         | 
         | Labor is expensive right now. :(
        
           | bbarnett wrote:
           | Name brands tend to be unbuyable by the consumer in Canada,
           | and if you import one, or buy via grey market, the threat is
           | that you have no warranty.
        
           | kennywinker wrote:
           | All the quotes I got were for a day of install. I assume it'd
           | be one tech, but let's be generous... 2 techs x 8 hours x
           | $150/hour = $2400 for labour. So that means either the pump
           | itself costs $15k, or somethings wrong in this market.
        
         | kennywinker wrote:
         | Or my alternate hot-take (or cold-take?): Great, now if someone
         | can crack the engineering challenge of an air-to-water heat
         | pump water heater that doesn't turn your basement into a walk-
         | in refrigerator, that'd be great.
        
           | ortusdux wrote:
           | Rheem, the brand HD carries, is easily ductable. Both the
           | inlet and outlet can take 100' of 8" ducting.
           | 
           | I set mine up with T's, electric dampers and some simple
           | logic.
        
           | metadat wrote:
           | Add a server rack and things will warm up down there.
        
             | kennywinker wrote:
             | Make it a liquid-cooled server rack and we can cut out the
             | hot water heater entirely
        
               | thrill wrote:
               | Run it on solar power and pull the water out of the
               | atmosphere and we can save a bundle on running power and
               | water.
        
           | ulrikrasmussen wrote:
           | Why would it do that? The heat exchanger is placed outside.
        
             | thaeli wrote:
             | Heat pump water heaters mostly draw from room air.
        
             | jacobolus wrote:
             | Common heat pump water heaters (often called "hybrid") have
             | a heat exchanger on the top of the tank, and pull heat out
             | of the surrounding air.
        
           | 1123581321 wrote:
           | What challenge? Any of the HPWH brands can duct exhaust out
           | of the home. Try Sanden if you want more than that.
        
             | kennywinker wrote:
             | The all-in-one heat pump hot water heater pulls in warm air
             | from its surroundings, pulls the heat out of it and puts
             | that into its water. Then it lets out its "exhaust" colder
             | air. Ducting to outdoors improves things, because it
             | doesn't put that cold air back into your basement / utility
             | closet, but you're still pulling heat out of the air -
             | which your house heater now has to put back into the air -
             | and unless your space is perfectly airtight, that's
             | probably just going to be sucked in via the nearest air gap
             | to outside.
             | 
             | It's a bad system. Split systems make sense, and I know
             | they exist, but they seem weirdly rare.
             | 
             | Some data on this topic:
             | https://www.energyvanguard.com/blog/will-a-heat-pump-
             | water-h...
        
               | 1123581321 wrote:
               | The ducting brings the temperature drop to an almost
               | unnoticeable delta. If you are worried, just install it
               | near your furnace. It'll eat radiant heat from that
               | corner that would otherwise go into the walls, egress
               | windows etc. Every other part of the year, you either
               | don't mind or benefit from the cooling.
               | 
               | I have the stats from my own Rheem to know I'm coming out
               | ahead financially during winter and also haven't seen a
               | meaningful swing in the basement climate.
               | 
               | I'm a regular participant in that linked blog, too. :)
        
           | kevstev wrote:
           | How cold does it really get? This could be great for a wine
           | cellar.
        
           | chrislund wrote:
           | Depending on your market, Sanden and Mitsubishi make air-
           | source DHW heat pumps where the evaporator/heat source source
           | is remote (i.e., outdoor) rather than integrated with the
           | tank. I can't speak to Mitsubishi's line but IIRC Sanden has
           | the DHW go straight to the outdoor unit, but then you may
           | need freeze protection, which I think Sanden provides via
           | heat trace. When my current water heater bites the dust, I
           | plan on getting a Sanden, and looking in to the feasibility
           | of making a glycol loop between the outdoor unit and an
           | indoor "indirect" tank to eliminate the need for freeze
           | protection.
        
             | kennywinker wrote:
             | Thanks for the tip! Where I am Mitsubishis seem to only be
             | available through big-name installers, and the only thing
             | they offered me when I talked to them was the all-in-one
             | style that cools your basement. Living in an old house with
             | not great insulation between floors, that was a hard no-go.
             | I'm now googling the Sanden ones and getting some promising
             | results I hadn't seen before.
        
           | Danieru wrote:
           | What you want is an "Ecocute". It is a air source heatoump
           | supercritical co2 tanked hot water system. Designed for the
           | Japanese market. Without install a 500l tank version costs
           | about 1.5k usd in Japan. So you should be able to get one
           | installed for about 20k usd in the US. If you beg the HVAC
           | guy of course.
        
         | nawitus wrote:
         | Why is it so expensive? It's like $1k in Finland.
        
           | kennywinker wrote:
           | I have no idea.
           | 
           | You can definitely do it for cheaper. There are $1000-$3000
           | single-head units available online for self-install, and you
           | could hire an HVAC person to come out and do the high
           | pressure line part of it (or all of it) for a similar range.
           | It just gets expensive with the name-brand ones. For some
           | reason that $2k-6k turns into 10k-20k when you switch to a
           | name brand (e.g. mitsubishi). They're only available through
           | specific installers, and using a non-authorized installer
           | means your warranty is void.
        
             | magicalhippo wrote:
             | Maybe we're talking about different things? I'm in Norway
             | and we got a Mitsubishi Kaiteki[1] for $1800 total,
             | including installation and 25% VAT.
             | 
             | Of course, a multi-room install would probably get
             | expensive quickly here too.
             | 
             | [1]: https://kaiteki.no/
        
               | zo1 wrote:
               | 36k BTU multi room split unit installs are like 4-5K USD
               | here in South Africa, including installation from the
               | rough prices I've seen.
        
           | euroderf wrote:
           | Units are somewhere over a thou and (simple, not multiduct)
           | installation is somewhere under a thou.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | stormbrew wrote:
         | I recently installed a (quite large) heat pump for less than
         | that, though it came close. A lot of the cost came from a few
         | things:
         | 
         | - the Canada premium: these sorts of things are just more
         | expensive here. The base price was just higher than I could
         | find in the US, but obviously importing is too expensive. I
         | think the reason for this is there's almost no stock.
         | 
         | - adapting my house: the house I live in was built to have
         | central air added to it, but even so the pipes going from the
         | furnace room to the outside had to be insulated both directions
         | instead of only one for an AC. Ripping up our basement ceiling
         | to do this added a lot to the cost. An unfinished basement
         | would help a lot here.
         | 
         | - HVAC company confusion: I had to go through like five HVAC
         | companies before I found one that would believe me that I
         | really wanted it. The one I got is a commercial outfit, so
         | their prices were just higher. Even they were skeptical but
         | they were willing to work with us, and by the end they talked
         | about doing more installs so that was nice.
         | 
         | I think the cost for the install and unit itself was $12k for a
         | top of line carrier unit capable of working down to pretty low
         | temperatures. But we already had a compatible carrier furnace
         | and exchanger. Was another couple thousand for ripping up the
         | basement, which we had other contractors do.
         | 
         | This was also literally during the heat dome last year. They
         | had to ship the unit across the country.
        
       | bitexploder wrote:
       | We recently converted our house to 100% heat pumps. The models we
       | have are efficient down to like 0F and continue to work down to
       | -15F (lower than the record low here). So this tech is novel but
       | already consumer available. We have Fujitsu Halcyon XLTH models
       | and commercial units that are less common for residential.
        
         | ComputerGuru wrote:
         | They all "continue to work" at cold temperatures but the
         | question is with what and how much you're going to supplement
         | their insufficient heat with when it gets that low.
        
           | bitexploder wrote:
           | COP is still decent at low temps. That is the point. They are
           | 80% efficient at their lowest temp rating. And, at least
           | where we live 99.9% of days will be 100% efficient.
        
             | ComputerGuru wrote:
             | I guess 80% efficiency for a few days a year is OK. In The
             | Midwest we can go below zero Fahrenheit for a month or more
             | at a time and while I happily live with 80-90% furnace
             | efficiency with natural gas as a fuel, I certainly would
             | never want to do that with electricity as a power source
             | (given the historic price difference between the two).
        
               | bitexploder wrote:
               | Colorado front range here. We also have a lot of solar
               | panels and plenty of credits so that is part of it for
               | us.
        
         | dahfizz wrote:
         | How does your hot water work?
        
           | bitexploder wrote:
           | Heat pump water heater, but that is a totally separate
           | system.
        
       | bradleyjg wrote:
       | I don't believe in breakthroughs anymore until I see a shipping
       | product. I don't care if you are a scientist, company, government
       | agency, or NGO same thing applies.
       | 
       | Tell me you've made an incremental improvement and I'll believe
       | you, tell me you've made a breakthrough and either you're lying
       | or something will prevent it from being realized before
       | commercial availability. This is what decades of press releases
       | and articles that might as well be press releases have taught me.
        
         | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
         | The "save up to $500" in the presser is just so obviously
         | fluff. $500 in what home?
         | 
         | And I suspect the magic here is also an air tight new
         | construction home with a layout designed around this, not leaky
         | everything with an old water heater tucked under the stairs, a
         | 30 year old furnace, and R19 insulated walls.
        
           | WithinReason wrote:
           | > $500 in what home?
           | 
           | The "up to" part means it's the absolutely largest home you
           | can possibly imagine
        
           | pbourke wrote:
           | Presumably the 30 year old furnace is replaced or
           | supplemented with a new heat pump.
           | 
           | I have realized an approximately $500 yearly savings by
           | replacing an older electric tank water heater with a hybrid
           | electric (heat pump) water heater so I can believe that
           | claim.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | linsomniac wrote:
         | You are right to be skeptical, but in this case the lie is not
         | in the performance but that it is a breakthrough.
         | 
         | The announcement is basically: A US company (Lenox) has a
         | prototype heat pump that matches performance of Mitsubishi and
         | LG heat pumps.
         | 
         | The DOE is running a competition to get US companies to improve
         | performance of their heat pumps.
        
           | nfin wrote:
           | it might work.
           | 
           | But there exist sooo many prototyping breaktroughs.
           | 
           | Those who follow press releases for many years know that just
           | a tiny fraction can transfer this in real world products that
           | actually work
           | 
           | (so many more challenges to overcome compared to prototype
           | situations!! I don't even know where to begin... every ground
           | is different, average person doing the manual work is not as
           | skilled and has less support engineers, the guys
           | setting/defining the dimensions of various
           | recipients/pumps/conduits are often undeskilled and the
           | efficiency often lacks tremendously for that reason...)
        
             | linsomniac wrote:
             | My thinking on it is: It'd better work, they're just trying
             | to catch up to the state of the art. The bigger news would
             | be if Lennox _CAN 'T_ make a COP 2 at 5F heat pump. :-
        
         | otter-rock wrote:
         | I agree with the general sentiment, but the article explains
         | that this "breakthrough" is a product prototype that meets a
         | government spec. It's hyperbolic wording, but they're trying to
         | warm people up to the idea of eventually getting a heat pump to
         | alleviate some energy issues.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | osigurdson wrote:
       | >> The prototype delivers 100% heating at 5degF at double the
       | efficiency, and 70% to 80% heating at -5degF and -10degF.
       | 
       | Double the efficiency of what? All existing technology or
       | something else? Do they simply mean the COP is 2.0?
        
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