[HN Gopher] Ask HN: What Is Today's Lead?
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       Ask HN: What Is Today's Lead?
        
       "What is the thing that looking back will turn out to be horrible
       for us and pervasive in the environment?"  Posted by
       u/adamgordonbell in another thread on HN today.  This seems to be a
       very important question.  Some of my proposals:  1) Environmental
       contaminants in water, food, and air
       https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/07/13/a-chemical-hunger-part-
       iii-environmental-contaminants/  2) Xenoestrogens in plastics,
       pesticides, toiletries, perfumes, polyester and nylon clothing
       https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3947648/  3) Mass
       consumption of pharmaceutical drugs  4) Vegetable seed oils
       https://chriskresser.com/how-industrial-seed-oils-are-making-us-
       sick/  5) Sugar and hyper palatable foods
       https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/04/25/book-review-the-hungry-brain/
       6) Endemic pathogens like toxoplasmosis
       https://www.hardtowrite.com/pathogens/  What else? What is today's
       lead?
        
       Author : tikkun
       Score  : 26 points
       Date   : 2022-05-29 16:01 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
       | dzdt wrote:
       | Wide use of antibiotics destroying the balance of people's gut
       | biomes.
       | 
       | Microplastics.
       | 
       | Already mentioned in original: environmental chemicals mimicking
       | hormones.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | phendrenad2 wrote:
       | I don't think there's anything as bad as lead, so all of these
       | are distant runners-up:
       | 
       | * Particulate matter from internal combustion engines, brake pads
       | (contributes to cardiovascular disorders)
       | 
       | * Plastics leeching chemicals into food
       | 
       | * Second-hand drugs in our drinking water
       | 
       | * Microplastics (maybe)
       | 
       | If I can stand on a soapbox for a minute, it would be nice if
       | there were any societal move to reduce these risk factors, but we
       | can see from the California "Prop 65" warnings how far people
       | will go to deflect from doing something useful.
        
         | nixonpjoshua1 wrote:
         | The problem with prop 65 is that the warning gives no detail to
         | the level of risk or even type of risk, lead is labeled the
         | same as coffee
        
           | more_corn wrote:
           | Yeah, well intentioned but poorly executed plans don't mean
           | planning is useless or good intentions are useless. It means
           | don't do things badly.
        
       | dredmorbius wrote:
       | I'd suggest looking to practices which:
       | 
       | - Are very widely used.
       | 
       | - Deliver a clear short-term benefit.
       | 
       | - Have a remarkably low cost.
       | 
       | - Whose long-term impacts _may_ be complex or difficult to
       | demonstrate.
       | 
       | - Which have a clear entrenched interest.
       | 
       | Most of the options you list seem to fit these criteria. There
       | will be many others.
       | 
       | For a longer list, borrowing on work of Charles Perrow ( _Normal
       | Accidents_ ), I suggest that the following tend to be
       | determinants of complexity (stated in low/high relation, no
       | particular listing order):
       | 
       | - Coupling flexibility: loose/tight
       | 
       | - Coupling count: low/high
       | 
       | - Internal complexity: low/high
       | 
       | - Threshold sensitivity: low/high
       | 
       | - Self-restabilisation tendency: high/low
       | 
       | - Constraints/tolerances (design, manufacture, operational,
       | maintenance, training, financial): loose/tight
       | 
       | - Incident consequence: low/high
       | 
       | - Scale (components, mass, distance, time, energy
       | (kinetic/potential), information, decision): low/high (absolute
       | log)
       | 
       | - Decision or response cycle: long/short
       | 
       | - Environmental uniformity: high/low
       | 
       | - Environmental stability: high/low
       | 
       | - State determinability: high/low
       | 
       | - Risk determinability: high/low
       | 
       | - Controls coupling: tight/loose
       | 
       | - Controls response: high/low
       | 
       | - Controls limits: high/low
       | 
       | - Controls complexity: low/high
       | 
       | See:
       | https://diaspora.glasswings.com/posts/97208f300fc4013901a300...
        
       | Bjorkbat wrote:
       | I'm tempted to say plastics, but I'm also actually kind of
       | optimistic that either we'll engineer fungi / bacteria to
       | decompose it, or said fungi / bacteria will evolve on its own to
       | decompose it. We're already seeing signs of the latter.
       | 
       | https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/14/bugs-acr...
       | 
       | For that reason my vote is on processed foods as well as foods
       | grown "industrially", for the simple fact that we can't really
       | support 8+ billion people without them. On an individual level,
       | sure, you can eat whole foods and grow your own in rich soil that
       | yields nutritionally dense vegetables if you have the means, but
       | on a systemic level I'm not sure you can undo all the changes in
       | our "food system" without also causing a global famine. Besides,
       | are you really going too miss-out on a night with friends at a
       | restaurant because they use seed oils? Is that same restaurant
       | willing to increase their prices in order to cover the cost of
       | using good ingredients?
       | 
       | So yeah, I think for now we're going to have to contend with
       | nutritionally-poor vegetables, pesticides, herbicides, novel
       | zoonotic diseases from animals living in cramped and unhygenic
       | virus factories (the next pandemic is more likely to come from a
       | pig or a chicken than a bat or a pangolin), and plant-based meat
       | which a complex list of ingredients that most people are too lazy
       | to personally vet.
        
       | ellopoppit wrote:
       | Social media, 24 hour news cycle, perhaps even smart phones in
       | some ways
        
       | npc12345 wrote:
       | Seed oils
        
       | version_five wrote:
       | Drug prohibition. Opiate overdoses due to the war on drugs are a
       | major cause for lower US average life expectancy.
        
       | bsder wrote:
       | Processed food.
       | 
       | We put _enormous_ amounts of glop in food solely for the purpose
       | of being able to package and ship it through an industrial supply
       | chain so a few megacorporations can consolidate their profits.
       | And, just like lead, we _know_ this stuff is bad for us.
       | 
       | In the US, we have lost a _LOT_ of scattered places that used to
       | make and serve food locally. There used to be a lot of gas
       | stations, bars, churches, etc. in the old mill towns that all
       | served some amount of home made food.
       | 
       | It wasn't necessarily "healthy"--it tended toward starches with
       | lots of cream and butter. Too much of it was fried. There was
       | rarely a fresh vegetable to be found, but quite often the
       | vegetables came from someone's local garden and had been canned
       | fairly recently. It was generally all made from scratch with
       | _real ingredients_.
       | 
       | To top it off, a lot of science over time is finding that those
       | "unhealthy" dishes weren't as bad for you as we thought.
        
       | _448 wrote:
       | Everything boils down to these two things: Laziness(masqueraded
       | as "convenience") and Greed.
       | 
       | All the 6 points you listed above stem from these two factors.
       | 
       | People started becoming lazy and evolved the idea of mass
       | production, which in turn forced the producers, due to greed, to
       | instigate people for mass consumption.
       | 
       | We need to tweak globalisation a bit to improve the situation.
       | Globalisation is good for many things, but not for every thing.
       | 
       | First, start with food and clothing. People should grow and
       | consume as much local food as possible. The same goes for
       | clothing. That way we won't have this problem of excesses and
       | harm to the environment.
       | 
       | Next, reduce reliance on private transport. Use as much public
       | transport as possible or walk if the distance is not that far.
       | This will help reduce dependence on fossil fuel for which young
       | blood is spilled on the battle grounds and shores afar.
       | 
       | If we do these two things, we will see a massive change for the
       | better.
        
         | bequanna wrote:
         | Regulation.
         | 
         | If we're producing and consuming things that are found to be
         | dangerous, we should regulate/ban and force quality
         | improvements.
        
         | ChrisLomont wrote:
         | >Everything boils down to these two things:
         | Laziness(masqueraded as "convenience") and Greed.
         | 
         | There is also the need to feed people, which is neither
         | laziness or greed. A lot of tech is needed to make enough food
         | for people.
         | 
         | >People should grow and consume as much local food as possible.
         | 
         | Also known as lower standard of living - people don't want
         | that. Large scale food production has made cost of food go from
         | ~40% of family budget (around 1900) to 10%. It has also widened
         | diets allowing lots of variety that people also choose. Also
         | large scale food production has increased yields incredibly,
         | without which many people on the planet now would starve.
         | 
         | >help reduce dependence on fossil fuel
         | 
         | Those same fossil fuels provide modern medicine (and a host of
         | other modern benefits), which again I think people like to
         | have.
        
       | ironmagma wrote:
       | I would guess PFOS/PFAS (which are in paper straws by the way)
       | and synthetic carpets which are 95% plastic, which can become
       | suspended in the air and may contribute to microplastics in the
       | body.
        
       | jmopp wrote:
       | Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Sure, we breathe it out and
       | it's necessary for plant life. But we are currently at levels
       | beyond what we've had in the last 14 million years. I don't think
       | people have realised yet we're in a slow-motion car crash. It
       | also ticks all 5 of the criteria dredmorbius stated in this
       | thread.
        
       | taubek wrote:
       | Changes in soil.
        
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       (page generated 2022-05-29 23:02 UTC)