[HN Gopher] The madness of reduced medical diagnostics
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       The madness of reduced medical diagnostics
        
       Author : dynm
       Score  : 75 points
       Date   : 2022-05-20 12:39 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (dynomight.net)
 (TXT) w3m dump (dynomight.net)
        
       | the_sleaze9 wrote:
       | I think the author is correct in the acedemic sense, but ignorant
       | of the reality of healthcare.
       | 
       | If a doctor receives a test result that shows a suspicious mass,
       | then neglects to order a biopsy to investigate further, there are
       | 2 rough outcomes.
       | 
       | 1. It was nothing 2. It was cancer
       | 
       | If it turns out to be (2), the doctor and the
       | practice/hospital/whatever gets sued for malpractice.
       | 
       | On a more ranty note, why does everyone think they are better at
       | other people's jobs than those people are? Where is the basic
       | trust in the other? You think a doctor in the United States after
       | ~15 years of school doesn't know that most biopsies turn out to
       | be more harmful that useful? Come on. Restore some basic trust in
       | other's competence.
        
         | peteradio wrote:
         | Presumably the patient can decline the biopsy? What happens to
         | liability in that case? Does the doctor then have to decline to
         | work with that patient further? What happens to liability if
         | the doctor doesn't fire the patient? I agree there needs to be
         | trust somehow, yet it seems practitioners hands are tied from a
         | level above to toe the line for liability reasons rather than
         | patient outcome. Is a doctor able to take into account all
         | extenuating circumstances of a patient or only those predefined
         | on a checklist passed on by a murky review process? What
         | happens to patients who do research and find alternative (maybe
         | better) opinions, well are they in network? Can a network have
         | differing opinions among its practitioners?
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Generally there would be no potential medical malpractice
           | liability if a patient declines a medical procedure. That
           | happens all the time.
           | 
           | Physicians can fire patients, although they seldom do so
           | because of declining a medical procedure. Professional ethics
           | and state laws generally require the physician to first hand
           | off the patient to another physician first; they can't just
           | drop someone with zero notice.
           | 
           | There is generally no mandated checklist, at least not from a
           | legal standpoint. Some healthcare provider organizations do
           | require their employees to follow certain written standards
           | of care. Medical societies also publish evidence-based care
           | guidelines. Compliance is voluntary but gross deviations
           | could be factor in liability cases or in actions by state
           | medical boards.
           | 
           | Insurance reimbursement is an entirely separate issue. Every
           | insurance plan has a different network of providers and
           | different rules about which services are covered under
           | various circumstances.
        
         | axg11 wrote:
         | This is the reality. In fact, the situation is getting even
         | more complicated as direct-to-consumer screening becomes more
         | popular (e.g. full body MRI scans). Companies that are selling
         | the health screenings are only incentivized to sell as many
         | screenings as possible. Scans inevitably result in benign
         | incidental findings far more often than they identify real
         | health problems. Then the patient is directed to a specialist
         | who is uninvolved with the screening company. The specialist is
         | incentivized to aggressively investigate the finding out of
         | fear of malpractice and due to pressure from the patient.
         | Nobody has ever thanked their doctor for inaction. The end
         | result far too often is a series of expensive and painful
         | procedures with a large dose of anxiety. Of course screenings
         | also save lives, but nobody is responsible for ensuring the
         | benefits outweigh the harms at the macro level.
         | 
         | I don't think any actor in that chain is malicious, it's just
         | an example of poorly aligned incentives. Screening companies,
         | doctors and patients all believe they are making the most
         | optimal choice.
        
         | CogitoCogito wrote:
         | Also the author seems to entirely ignore patient psychology.
         | Sure in some parallel universe where patients can be told "so
         | we found something weird on your lung don't know what it is and
         | don't really care" and just accept it, then maybe doing the
         | unnecessary tests doesn't matter (ignoring extra costs of
         | course which _do_ matter). But we don't live in that universe.
         | Ignoring how patients actually behave and pretending they are
         | just perfectly logical is basically malpractice in my opinion.
        
       | maxfan8 wrote:
       | One slightly reasonable common argument I hear for reduced
       | medical diagnostics is: "we don't have the resources; it'd
       | overwhelm the medical system". While this may be the case for
       | some tests, there are probably a great number of tests that could
       | be scaled to be done yearly on the whole population.
        
         | CogitoCogito wrote:
         | > While this may be the case for some tests, there are probably
         | a great number of tests that could be scaled to be done yearly
         | on the whole population.
         | 
         | Isn't this already the case? Tests that are considered worth
         | doing regularly even without extra symptoms are done regularly.
         | E.g. mammograms and colonoscopies/stool tests.
         | 
         | (I'm ignoring your focus on "yearly" since really you care
         | about "regularly" given that yearly is totally arbitrary and
         | timing that makes sense is clearly dependent on the tests in
         | question.)
        
           | maxfan8 wrote:
           | No. Not all screenings/tests are done, even when it's super
           | low cost and non-invasive. For example, one factor that is
           | used to determine whether to screen for certain types of
           | cancer is "Possible harms from follow-up procedures". [1]
           | Another factor that is taken into account it the chances of a
           | false positive. [1] Both of these factors are irrational,
           | since more information is strictly optimal given a rational
           | agent. They should not even merit consideration in choosing
           | whether to undertake a screening (this information should
           | only be used _after_ a screening is done, to determine
           | follow-up action).
           | 
           | In my opinion, the only justifiable factors are probably
           | along the lines of:
           | 
           | - invasiveness (e.g. if it's non-invasive or minimal cost)
           | 
           | - benefit to the patient if detected
           | 
           | - cost relative to other screenings/actions that can be done
           | for the patient
           | 
           | Everything else seems strictly suboptimal.
           | 
           | [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cancer_screening#Risks
        
             | CogitoCogito wrote:
             | > For example, one factor that is used to determine whether
             | to screen for certain types of cancer is "Possible harms
             | from follow-up procedures". [1] Another factor that is
             | taken into account it the chances of a false positive. [1]
             | Both of these factors are irrational, since more
             | information is strictly optimal given a rational agent.
             | 
             | Your entire argument here seems to require patients to be
             | rational agents. They aren't.
        
               | maxfan8 wrote:
               | > Your entire argument here seems to require patients to
               | be rational agents.
               | 
               | Yes, my argument does rely on patients being rational
               | agents.
               | 
               | > They aren't.
               | 
               | That may be true, but it's certainly paternalistic (in
               | the formal, definitional sense) to act as if they are not
               | rational agents and withhold information/reduce autonomy.
               | This is a case of pure paternalism (again, in the formal
               | philosophical sense).
               | 
               | Different ethical systems, of course, make different
               | judgements on whether this behavior is moral. It's also
               | up for debate whether this is a desirable feature of the
               | medical system.
        
               | CogitoCogito wrote:
               | > That may be true, but it's certainly paternalistic (in
               | the formal, definitional sense) to act as if they are not
               | rational agents and withhold information. This is a case
               | of pure paternalism (again, in the formal philosophical
               | sense).
               | 
               | Call it whatever you want. Idealizing patients as
               | rational agents instead of considering how they are in
               | reality results in worse outcomes. If your goal is to
               | actually help people, you should base your arguments on
               | how things are in reality instead of some idealized dream
               | world.
        
               | maxfan8 wrote:
               | > If your goal is to actually help people, you should
               | base your arguments on how things are in reality instead
               | of some idealized dream world.
               | 
               | That's a fair position (you seem to be a utilitarian),
               | and probably quite defensible. But, one could argue that
               | patient choice is an important feature for our medical
               | systems to have. _I_ certainly want to be able to refuse
               | medications that my doctor recommends (e.g. opioids) or
               | seek alternate advice /second opinions. My cost-benefit
               | analysis equation is probably not the same as my doctor.
               | 
               | To be clear, I'm not talking about an "idealized dream
               | world", as you put it -- I'm talking about patient
               | autonomy in the real world, even if it means allowing
               | patients to make what seems like a suboptimal decision.
        
               | CogitoCogito wrote:
               | > I certainly want to be able to refuse medications that
               | my doctor recommends (e.g. opioids) or seek alternate
               | advice/second opinions.
               | 
               | You can do this.
               | 
               | > I'm talking about patient autonomy in the real world,
               | even if it means allowing patients to make what seems
               | like a suboptimal decision.
               | 
               | Patients are allowed to have these tests done against the
               | recommendations of doctors (of course the costs might not
               | be covered by insurance).
               | 
               | So I'm not really sure what you're arguing anymore...
        
       | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
       | The big problem with testing is that it assumes the human body
       | can be averaged.
       | 
       | We are not.
       | 
       | One person's natural lump is another's cancer.
       | 
       | One person's low heart rate is another's natural genetic gift.
       | 
       | Modern medicine , particularly compensation, wants to put
       | everything in neat black/white boxes.
       | 
       | Which is why tests are more dangerous than they seem. You are not
       | average, and you shouldn't compare yourself to any perceived
       | average because the human body is not average.
       | 
       | You should compare yourself to you, and that's all the doctor
       | should use.
        
       | sudden_dystopia wrote:
       | I have never understood this rationale to not do more
       | comprehensive diagnostics. Sure, it costs more up front. But
       | wouldn't catching problems earlier save more money and suffering
       | in the end?
        
         | ufo wrote:
         | That is one of those things that sound intuitively true, but
         | isn't necessarily the case in practice.
         | 
         | One example that I am more familiar with: thyroid nodules.
         | Recently, the medical guidelines have increased the size
         | threshold for a biopsy, where you poke a needle in it to find
         | out whether it is cancer or not. We could assume that
         | diagnosing these cancers when they are smaller would always
         | better, but that is not the case... On one end, it turns out
         | when the nodule really is cancer, it is just as safe to wait to
         | do the biopsy only after it has grown over the size threshold.
         | And on the other end, the biopsies are not 100% accurate. A
         | good percentage of the time, it can't say conclusively whether
         | it is cancer or not. When that happens the only way to know for
         | sure is to surgically remove the thyroid, which might result in
         | the patient being put on lifelong hormone medication. One might
         | think that in a perfect world we would act rationally over this
         | uncertain information and not remove the thyroid when all it
         | has is a small nodule with uncertain diagnosis. However, human
         | intuition doesn't work well with percentages. When a patient is
         | told they have a chance of having cancer, no matter how small,
         | they will want to pursue every avenue to investigate and
         | resolve the matter, even when the cost benefit is not worth it.
         | When they looked into the statistics of how many people were
         | getting thyroid surgery we could see that as imaging technology
         | improved, more and more people had thyroid surgery, with no
         | reduction in the number of deaths from thyroid cancer.
        
         | kayodelycaon wrote:
         | Because none of this happens in a vacuum. The tests aren't
         | perfect and open to interpretation, but that's the least of the
         | problems here.
         | 
         | Sometimes no action is the correct action, but no one is going
         | to do that. How many laws have been passed because "something
         | needs to be done" even though nothing in the law needed fixing?
         | 
         | Many people, I'd say most, are not happy with inaction. Knowing
         | something _may_ be seriously wrong can have an enormous
         | emotional cost for some people. Dismissing this as irrational
         | is like saying humans are irrational. (Spoiler: they are)
        
           | jjoonathan wrote:
           | Exactly, and the human "bias towards action" is amplified by
           | legal mandate. A doctor can't recommend inaction if a pack of
           | lawyers is lurking in the bushes waiting to pounce if the
           | situation worsens.
        
           | dwelch wrote:
           | Agreed. I think the article and parent comment seem to be
           | from the perspective of someone who has never had to, say,
           | read or interpret a chest CT. Or had to tell someone that
           | they have an indeterminate module that may be cancer but may
           | be nothing.
           | 
           | The article also seems to imply that their is one entity or
           | person who controls all aspects of diagnosis (hence the meme
           | at the top), from taking a history and doing a physical exam
           | to perfectly understanding the intricacies of all additional
           | diagnostic testing. Of course, your primary care doctor may
           | not understand exactly what percentage of people in a low (or
           | high) risk cohort with this lung nodule with certain specific
           | imaging features turn out to have cancer. Hopefully the
           | radiologist does--but they didn't talk with the patient to
           | assess their risk tolerance and data-collection preferences
           | before saying "consider further evaluation with tissue
           | sampling" in that report.
           | 
           | At the end of the day, respecting patient autonomy matters.
           | It sounds like whoever wrote this article would lean towards
           | asking their doctor to collect as much information as
           | possible. Others wouldn't. In a perfect world, the patient
           | will be well informed by their doctor, be well-counseled on
           | the risks and benefits of a test / intervention, and will be
           | capable of understanding things like statistics well enough
           | to come to an informed decision that works for them. In
           | reality, that often does not happen for a number of reasons.
        
         | CogitoCogito wrote:
         | > Sure, it costs more up front. But wouldn't catching problems
         | earlier save more money and suffering in the end?
         | 
         | No? That's even shown clearly in the anecdotes of the original
         | blog post.
        
         | petercooper wrote:
         | I get a full MRI imaging every two years so I spent a lot of
         | time researching the ethics around it just to be prepared, and
         | there are two things I could bring up.
         | 
         | First, false positives. There can be things that looks like
         | problems but aren't, or that _are_ problems but with
         | complicated risk profiles around their management or resolution
         | (especially true of aneurysms). For heavily studied situations
         | where imaging is low risk and hugely effective with low false
         | positive risk, most countries _do_ have screening programs,
         | such as regular cervical smears or mammograms for women of
         | certain ages, as well as aortic aneurysm screening for men over
         | 65 (in the UK, at least).
         | 
         | Second, psychology. A surprising (to me) number of people do
         | _not_ want to know about their medical status until a problem
         | actually occurs. But then once they _do_ know, many folks can
         | be prone to undue worry or hastily made emotionally driven
         | decisions that run contrary to data.
         | 
         | I'm going to totally make up these figures but as a
         | demonstration of the _idea_ , imagine that brain aneurysm scans
         | tend to find aneurysms of concern in 5% of people and that of
         | these 5%, 4% are likely to die within 5-10 years due to that
         | aneurysm. Scan the entire country and you now have millions of
         | people potentially terrified of an aneurysm that won't kill
         | them. If an aneurysm is found and you are offered an operation
         | with a 5% chance of mortality, are you taking it? The research
         | I saw when I was looking into it is that, yes, most people want
         | to get rid of the "problem", despite a higher risk of short
         | term mortality rather than sitting it out. This is just one of
         | the reasons doctors grimace when people want to get such scans
         | without cause, but there are many others beyond the scope of
         | this reply too.
        
           | throwaway18451 wrote:
           | I want to get regular imaging; I've never done it. I don't
           | even have a PCP, I've been frustrated with previous PCPs not
           | paying attention to detail or waving my symptoms as
           | psychosomatic. I'm not sure how to assess whether a doctor
           | ahead of time would actually be willing to work with me
           | rather than say things that they think make me feel better.
           | These doctors keep running me against the 99% heuristic
           | [https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/heuristics-that-
           | almost...].
           | 
           | Now I have real money for the first time, I'm sure that makes
           | access easier, but I'm not sure how to search and assess for
           | quality medical care. It seems like search engines are not
           | the way and it's mostly word-of-mouth. I guess I'll go around
           | my office asking coworkers if their pcp is any good / has an
           | opening...
           | 
           | I just want to go into a lab where I can have the imaging /
           | diagnostics run, no question, have the ability to look at the
           | charts myself and send them to whatever doctor -- rather than
           | convincing a doctor to do imaging tests in the first place.
           | 
           | Are you in the US? How are you able to request MRI scans
           | without an immediate cause?
        
           | SemanticStrengh wrote:
           | > Although cardiovascular disease is widely recognized as the
           | leading cause of death, a lesser known fact is that aortic
           | aneurysm is the 15th leading cause of death over the age of
           | 65 years in the USA.
           | 
           | I was not aware of this. non-surgical interventions: https://
           | www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/circj/advpub/0/advpub_C...
           | 
           | > This is just one of the reasons doctors grimace when people
           | want to get such scans without cause, but there are many
           | others beyond the scope of this reply too.
           | 
           | Great points. Is it legal for a doctor to hide informations
           | to its patient? such as the fact he has a seemingly "minor"
           | aneurysm ?
           | 
           | > I get a full MRI imaging every two years
           | 
           | You might wanna study radio-protectors such as NAC. I had
           | read it is also a contrastive agent but it's unclear to me
           | what it help to see and what it might inadvertently hide (if
           | anything)
        
             | thaeli wrote:
             | MRI isn't ionizing radiation, so much lower risk profile
             | there. You may be thinking of CT scans?
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | The idea that only ionizing radiations induce damage has
               | to stop bruh https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35237875/ I
               | mean it's much safer but still a concern.
        
               | hfsh wrote:
               | That has nothing to do with NAC. NAC supposedly helps
               | protect against possible kidney damage caused by the
               | _contrast agent_ , nothing to do with radiation, ionizing
               | or otherwise.
               | 
               | Doesn't seem to be a clear indication that it actually
               | helps for that, but it's used for quite a lot of other
               | things, like treating paracetamol overdose.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | > nothing to do with radiation, ionizing or otherwise.
               | 
               | bruh radiations induce oxidative stress and free radicals
               | which is the major cause of damage, which the antioxidant
               | GSH (NAC) prevents/reduce
        
         | incongruity wrote:
         | A number of reasons come to mind:
         | 
         | 1. Not doing anything in the face of "evidence" is ripe for
         | malpractice lawsuits, rightly or wrongly
         | 
         | 2. Not doing anything in the face of "evidence" can drive
         | anxiety for patients and many clinicians want to be seen as
         | having some answer or path forward, however:
         | 
         | 3. Not all diagnostics are risk or pain free
         | 
         | 4. Not all diagnostics are precise enough to make treatment
         | decisions clear, correct, and authoritative - so more
         | diagnostics will lead to more false positives which, when
         | paired with the previous points lead to trouble for the
         | clinician and possibly the patient.
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
        
       | h2odragon wrote:
       | If a test shows "narrowed arteries" or whatever but it's not
       | currently impacting you; _inaction is an option_.
       | 
       | Knew a fellow who was told he had a "weak blood vessel in his
       | brain", had probably had it forever, but now he's retired they
       | can "go in and fix it" and so he goes in for a surgery to remove
       | a threat he was unaware of and that had not hurt him yet.
       | 
       | He got out after a week, never really recovered, and died within
       | 2 months. Apparently there was another aneurysm they failed to
       | see or fix; because it _couldn 't_ have been a _direct_ result of
       | his procedure.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | My understanding is that, for typical "retirement age" humans,
         | _any_ major surgery (including  "physically minor, but you're
         | under general anesthesia for a while surgery) carries a high
         | risk both of very slow recovery, and of very slow _or obviously
         | incomplete_ recovery of pre-surgery mental capabilities.
        
           | SAI_Peregrinus wrote:
           | I had a brain surgery (craniectomy to remove a colloid cyst
           | in the interventricular foramen of Monro) at 22, and while I
           | was home from the hospital after 2 days it took over a month
           | to get back to normal. It'd surely be hellish after
           | retirement age. Anything with general anesthesia is high-
           | risk, no matter how minor the rest of the procedure.
        
         | hammock wrote:
         | Brain surgery is safe and effective, and prevents severe
         | disease and death. I encourage everyone to stay up to date on
         | their brain surgeries. I'm sorry to hear about your friend.
        
           | pfisherman wrote:
           | I get the satire and I hate to be pedantic... BUT
           | 
           | The phrase "safe and effective" has a legal meaning and only
           | applies to (1) drugs and vaccines, (2) high risk medical
           | devices, and (3) novel medium risk medical devices.
           | 
           | The phrase "safe and effective" notably does not apply to the
           | practice of medicine, which is not regulated by FDA. When it
           | comes to medical practice, you are usually speaking in the
           | language of (CMS) quality / value - "quality adjusted life
           | years" - and then clinical endpoints - blood pressure below
           | X.
           | 
           | I know this is being pedantic, but as someone who has had an
           | up close view of FDA regulatory policy / process from both
           | sides of the table, it literally hurts my head to see some of
           | the inaccurate and misguided stuff that gets bandied about on
           | the interwebs.
        
           | meepmorp wrote:
           | Nah, we should all assume that of any and all medical
           | interventions are unsafe and ineffective based on individual
           | second-hand anecdotes we read in the comment sections of
           | websites.
        
         | cma wrote:
         | Do you know the medical term for what he had? Was it one of
         | these?
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cerebral_arteriovenous_malfo...
        
           | h2odragon wrote:
           | Could have been; but I don't recall what it was even if i did
           | hear it.
           | 
           | He explained it to me as "they said i had a time bomb that
           | hadn't gone off yet in my skull" but he wasn't convinced
           | until they scared his wife too. My impression was that the
           | seriousness of the condition was debatable, that was the
           | feeling i got from him. What he might've been told by his
           | doctors i dunno.
        
             | chasd00 wrote:
             | it's a nice, fat, and juicy billable event, of course it
             | was a "time bomb".
        
             | hirako2000 wrote:
             | Since we've accepted to let healthcare be a business, we
             | can only blame the logical consequence of that system,
             | health professionals are running a business, they will
             | scare off the siblings son and grand kids of a senile
             | elderly if they can bank 20k for some unnecessary surgery.
             | 
             | I imagine someone will be jumping on the occasion to point
             | out that not all car dealers are crooks, but the rising
             | number of anecdotes is concerning.
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | SemanticStrengh wrote:
         | edit: my comment is not adequate for aneurysms
         | 
         | Well there are solutions that have negligible risk of damage
         | and potent likeliness of protection/improvement, e.g. for
         | narrowed arteries the vasodilator tadalafil in low dose should
         | be a net improvement. Then you might want to combine it with a
         | pro-angiogenic drug such as VEGF or better BPC-137.
         | 
         | Also even if someone seems asymptomatic it doesn't mean he is,
         | narrowed arteries very likely to increase his aging rate and
         | chances of death and are likely to create a nocitropic effect
         | by creating a mini brain ischemia.
        
           | greggsy wrote:
           | While I'm sure you know what you're talking about, and it is
           | very interesting, it's poor form to suggest treatments for _a
           | cardiovascular brain conditions_ , after being given second
           | hand information of a _single symptom_ with no further
           | history or context.
        
             | SemanticStrengh wrote:
             | well yes I was talking in general, actually for brain
             | aneurysms the recommendations I made are likely to increase
             | mortality because the aneurysm has more likelihood to break
             | with a vasodilated overflow.
        
       | IG_Semmelweiss wrote:
       | Incentives have a powerful effect in healthcare:
       | 
       | - Physicians want to avoid getting sued - Physicians want to get
       | paid , just like everyone else. - The payor in the system is not
       | the patient, but a faraway entity removed from the situation on
       | the ground.
       | 
       | In such instances, all 3 factors influence a decision. If a
       | decision to perform procedure X is close to 50/50 (test/no test)
       | 
       | Do you think "no test" will win ?
       | 
       | Now put that in the macro context of millions of patient visits.
       | now, since we are talking diagnostic testing, you may need to be
       | tested at a hospital. So now, you are voluntarily exposing
       | yourself to a hub of tired doctors/bureaucracy/germs.
       | 
       | That starts looking like madness , for sure
        
       | rayiner wrote:
       | > What? If the harms of the biopsy outweigh the benefits, don't
       | do the damn biopsy!
       | 
       | But you'll get sued if the scan suggests something but you don't
       | follow up and do the biopsy, and it turns out to be cancer. The
       | author doesn't seem to realize this is all happening against the
       | background of potential litigation.
        
         | adgjlsfhk1 wrote:
         | Also, if you know that you won't do a biopsy even if the test
         | comes back positive, then the screening isn't helping anyway.
        
       | xsor wrote:
       | One reason behind why doctors can't simply do tests then not
       | follow up is simply medical malpractice suits. Often times, once
       | you do the test you're locked into figuring out everything even
       | to the detriment of the patient for fear of getting your license
       | revoked.
        
       | tylerrobinson wrote:
       | > And I'll wearily pretend to accept that people are emotional
       | and couldn't understand Bayesian reasoning or false positives and
       | so we need to worry about stressing them out (#2).
       | 
       | > Why are we taking as given that a net-negative decision to do a
       | biopsy will be made
       | 
       | The author should stop wearily pretending that anxiety isn't a
       | common result of a positive test, and recognize that the average
       | person is not comforted by a Bayesian analysis when their health
       | could be at risk.
       | 
       | If continuing to a biopsy is as common as the author says (I
       | don't have any data on it), that suggests anxiety IS a common
       | response and we can't simply wish it weren't the case. Mental
       | health is health.
        
         | pfortuny wrote:
         | Thanks for saying this. There was an article the other day here
         | on HN about someone totally obsessed with "fulfilling" his
         | iphone app's health "objectives".
         | 
         | Anxiety is one of the worst outcomes of over-diagnostics.
        
         | jchw wrote:
         | This. I don't want to know there's a nodule and then hear "but
         | it could be nothing. Don't worry about it."
         | 
         | Because then suddenly, I'll become hyper aware of every
         | potentially significant symptom and have to resist the urge to
         | constantly google and check if there's a chance it might
         | indicate something. Is that pimple a pimple? Hey, I don't
         | remember my neck feeling this lumpy. Boy, I sure do seem to
         | have sinus issues a lot. Are these joint aches normal? Etc,
         | etc, etc.
         | 
         | As a kid, I felt absolutely invulnerable to worrying about my
         | health. The first time I experienced true health anxiety is
         | when my doctor pointed out a mole on my back and said "do you
         | want to check this mole for cancer?" to which I replied, "oh, I
         | guess so?"... only he didn't. Because he checked with
         | insurance, and insurance came back negative on it.
         | 
         | I am still in my 20s. I'm not in the best health, but my
         | everyday life is pretty uninhibited by health issues. I don't
         | wake up with coldsweats. So yeah, it could happen to me, but
         | frankly it's worth being skeptical at my age.
         | 
         | But when the doctor pointed out that mole, they shattered the
         | mental barrier I had between myself and cancer patients. I knew
         | mentally that of course it could happen to me, but I had
         | absolutely no idea that the signs of it could literally be
         | hiding on my back, and I would be none the wiser. I googled and
         | I learned a whole lot, and my intuitions were very wrong. In
         | fact, I had many symptoms that can indicate various cancers. I
         | heard stories about pimples that were not pimples, back pain
         | that was not back pain, etc. people living normal lives who
         | just went in for a checkup and suddenly faced certain death.
         | 
         | I've mostly snapped out of the hypochondria mindset, but still
         | today I wonder about some symptoms in a way I never would've
         | before. My life is altered by this one thing a doctor said off
         | hand.
         | 
         | And for what it's worth, I'm not saying he should not have done
         | that. Insurance should've covered the biopsy just in case. I've
         | outright noticed that sometimes, doctors will slightly edit
         | your responses to things to get insurance to OK a diagnostic,
         | and I think it's in some part because they know that if you
         | don't get that peace of mind it could be damaging. Being hyper
         | aware of your heart beat or super concerned about sleep apnea
         | is not as bad as suffering from actual disease, but it's
         | certainly it's own kind of hell.
         | 
         | It's weird to me because much like cancer patients, I viewed
         | myself as separate from hypochondriacs and immune to it as a
         | whole. A lesson learned the hard way, and now I feel a twinge
         | every time I see a new headline about cancer or hypochondria.
        
         | DeathArrow wrote:
         | But the best way to proceed is still to make the CT and let the
         | patient decide.
        
         | greenglass wrote:
         | Could having doctors refuse to run diagnostics also lead to
         | anxiety? It has for me personally but I may not be the typical
         | patient. Some people want zero information about medical
         | issues. They just want to leave all of it to the doctors, no
         | desire to research their condition or understand the details;
         | just trust the doc. I am the sort of person if my mechanic
         | tells me I need an expensive repair, I want to know why. Once I
         | had a dr tell me that I was wrong to feel less anxiety after
         | getting an abnormal brain scan, than I would have felt had I
         | not had the scan at all. It was an absurd conversation and very
         | clear to me that the dr was more invested in his opinion on the
         | matter than he was in listening to my reasons why the scan was
         | reassuring to me. It was an mri, so no radiation. But he
         | insisted that my anxiety would be worse having had the scan
         | than if I hadn't. A bizarre moment. Anyway, maybe doctors
         | sometimes get too stuck on their own opinions and don't fully
         | appreciate that there are more than one type of patient? Some
         | people like to change their own oil, some do not. Doctors may
         | also underrate the anxiety of having no clear diagnosis when
         | life changing problems occur. One size fits all mentality is
         | probably wrong.
        
           | n8henrie wrote:
           | Did you offer to pay for the MRI cash (roughly $5k I would
           | bet)?
           | 
           | Because to me this sounds more like "your insurance won't pay
           | for it because it is not an indicated study by ACR criteria."
           | 
           | I hear that spending hours on the phone trying to justify a
           | test to an insurance company is no fun, and I bet the task is
           | not made any easier if you don't actually believe that the
           | study will help the patient.
        
             | greenglass wrote:
             | HMO so yes, costs are a factor. But it was a small cost
             | relative to repeated doctor visits, hospital costs, etc...
             | MRI for massive HMO are not $5000 due to economies of
             | scale. The dr in this case was angry because the MRI
             | revealed brain tumors which needed to be monitored.
        
       | cflyingdutchman wrote:
       | I was squarely in the author's camp and am now a little less so
       | having seen the impact of false positives on my family. Anxiety
       | is real and harmful, and humans are generally very bad at
       | responding to tiny, explicit risk of big harm (small nodule in
       | lung that may be cancer or not, covid, vaccine side-effects,
       | shark attacks).
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | OrvalWintermute wrote:
       | This article is rather funny because it misses out on key facts
       | of how doctors practice medicine these days.
       | 
       | I listen to my supremely well educated plastic surgeon wife
       | regularly discussing and giving guidance to office staff around
       | patients in their private practice. Their general approach is to
       | get patient statistics, and that is all, without the aggregated
       | vital signs. I asked her once, "Why don't you get the patient
       | vital signs too?"
       | 
       | Her response was unexpected, "If we get patient vital signs, we
       | immediately become liable for patient overall health. Our
       | malpractice insurance is specific to the practice of medicine for
       | plastic surgeons, and plastic surgeons only. Our front office
       | staff are normally front office only, or aspiring doctors on a
       | break between their undergrad and entry to medschool. Our
       | practice uses no Nurse Practicioners, Physician's Assistants, or
       | nurses. We're not set up, or staffed appropriately to deliver
       | general medical care."
       | 
       | Conclusion 1: Medical care is characterized by liability control;
       | there are logistics/staffing aspects to medicine around specific
       | types of care.
       | 
       | Medical Diagnosis we think of as scans, remote tests. You get a
       | CAT scan, you get an MRI, or X-ray, bam, 15 seconds, 5 minutes,
       | or an hour later (after waiting in a hospital for hours) you're
       | done and some radiologist or other specialist is interpreting the
       | results and you have a diagnosis. That is true in some cases, but
       | not others. If you get a positive mammogram, or a suspicious lump
       | what is the next step? Welp, that is regularly one of two things
       | - a needle biopsy, or an investigational biopsy. Needle implies
       | small, thin, fairly painless. Not this needle - instead imagine a
       | needle designed for tissue harvesting, like a horse sized needle.
       | This big giant thing needs to go into your breast to suck up
       | enough of the suspicious lump for a pathologist to examine it.
       | Alternatively, you could have an investigational biopsy where a
       | surgeon takes a small amount of tissue from inside your breast
       | with a scalpel. Investigational biopsies via scalpel can be a big
       | scam too, where a car accident occurs, a cut tendon in the hand,
       | and the surgeon decides to open up the arm past the wrist to
       | visualize all the soft tissue up the arm. Lucrative billing
       | enhancements.. But, when it comes to breasts, we know that
       | certain life changes predispose towards a positive mammogram for
       | a limited time window. Stopping breast feeding being the foremost
       | change that can cause suspicious lumps.
       | 
       | Conclusion 2: Diagnostic tests can be quite painful, and, at the
       | wrong time, quite unneeded. Some of them are damaging. Good
       | medicine is about as much when to intervene, and when to test,
       | just as much as it is about when not to intervene and when not to
       | test.
        
         | kyleee wrote:
         | wow, really gross that they don't take vitals
        
       | psyc wrote:
       | Not for the reasons central to the article, but my favorite is
       | the No HPV Test For Men stance. Because men usually don't have
       | symptoms and have far less risk of cancer than women..... Just
       | take 10 seconds to ponder how myopic that is. But that's how the
       | medical establishment thinks about health care.
        
       | teekert wrote:
       | This is so true. And I think we need more Bayesian models in
       | Hospital IT systems to help with this. The probability needs to
       | be updated, you shift to a new population with new evidence. It
       | seems so clear, yet somehow it is so intuitive. Why? In many
       | respects, Bayesian reasoning is just what we do, but then
       | sometimes it fails us. We are just not good at accepting risks of
       | any kind I think. Better to not put ourselves into this position
       | seems to be the reasoning. Avoid that "The test told you so!"
       | feeling...
        
       | PaulKeeble wrote:
       | The NHS has gone the other way and wont run diagnostic tests it
       | really needs to. The end result is growing legal action over
       | failure to diagnose conditions. Long covid is diagnosed in just
       | 28,000 patients and yet the office for national statistics says
       | by the symptom studies 1.8 million have it. There is no where I
       | know of, certainly not on the NHS, where you can get a test for
       | microclots, a condition found in the bulk of Long Covid cases and
       | easily treatable but doesn't show up in normal clotting tests.
       | You can get micro clot tests throughout a lot of Africa but such
       | is the reluctance to run tests in the UK no labs have bothered.
       | Its something we have known can be tested and treated for 17
       | months at least.
       | 
       | Be careful about reducing the testing just because it drives over
       | treatment because under treatment is quite deadly, cheaper maybe
       | but also has a serious impact of life expectancy and disease
       | burden. Life expectancy is dropping in the UK and disease burden
       | is one of the highest in the western world and growing. The grass
       | isn't greener on the low test and treatment side, health care is
       | still increasingly expensive and the results are worse.
        
         | refurb wrote:
         | But this is how population medicine works.
         | 
         | You're willing to trade off a few extra deaths if you can save
         | a certain amount of money. Hell NICE in the UK put a very firm
         | GBP figure on the value of a life-year.
         | 
         | It works great at a population level since you maximize
         | outcomes and keep costs low.
         | 
         | But that isn't that comforting when you're the poor bloke who
         | dies from lung cancer that could have been detected early but
         | NICE said the 50GBP test isn't cost-effective.
        
           | starkd wrote:
           | And yet I seem to remember we were told government would not
           | be making vital healthcare decisions like the greedy private
           | sector corporations. That was supposedly a chief selling
           | point to government managed care.
        
           | pfortuny wrote:
           | That is why population "medicine" is anything but "medicine".
           | The State is not a physician. But turns out that it IS.
        
             | refurb wrote:
             | People point to the US, but every country in the world is
             | struggling with healthcare costs and how to contain them.
             | As technologies develop, costs will only continue to rise -
             | the question is how to control costs and get the maximum
             | benefit.
             | 
             | From my own experience it's typically done a few ways: 1)
             | the government decides what treatment will be paid for and
             | which ones won't [this works pretty well since patients
             | don't know what they're missing], 2) the government simply
             | caps a budget and pushes treatment decision down - doctors
             | and hospital are forced to make trade-offs. Countries that
             | do #2 often have long wait times for elective procedures -
             | that's the cost control mechanism.
             | 
             | The US does neither one of these very well (but does them
             | to some extent, but it's unevenly applied), so costs are
             | very high (in addition to other factors). But if one wants
             | universal care and a manageable healthcare budget, you need
             | to say "no" to some things that would otherwise still
             | benefit the patient.
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | > But this is how population medicine works. You're willing
           | to trade off a few extra deaths if you can save a certain
           | amount of money.
           | 
           | Or even make a certain amount of money:
           | https://www.openthebooks.com/substack-investigation-
           | faucis-r...
        
           | tuukkah wrote:
           | > _dies from lung cancer that could have been detected early
           | but NICE said the 50GBP test isn't cost-effective._
           | 
           | It would be awesome if in cases like this, the doctor would
           | suggest the patient to pay this 50GBP out of their own
           | pocket.
        
           | axg11 wrote:
           | Compare the UK vs. US [0]: life expectancy is higher in the
           | UK _and_ expenditure is lower. As much as people love to dunk
           | on the NHS, population-level optimization works.
           | 
           | [0] - https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy-vs-
           | health...
        
             | refurb wrote:
             | I'd be very cautious assuming 100% of life expectancy
             | differences are due to healthcare system alone.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | The UK has a lower obesity rate than the USA (although
               | still relatively high compared to other developed
               | countries).
        
       | bell-cot wrote:
       | Amusing Idea: Let people apply for "Always Full Diagnostics"
       | status, and accept ~0.01% of the population. The "lucky" AFD's
       | would get every test, scan, biopsy, follow-up, exploratory
       | surgery, etc. that was remotely plausible. The anonymized results
       | from all those (mostly unwise) things would be a gold mine of
       | public health data. And I suspect there'd be more than enough
       | obvious adverse outcomes to convince most of the other ~99.99%
       | that "more is better" does not apply to medical diagnostics.
        
       | mdrzn wrote:
       | I am in a similar boat, I _feel_ healthy but I would like to do a
       | full body and blood checkup to know if there 's anything coming
       | down the line or if anything's out of order at the moment but I
       | do not yet know.
       | 
       | Is it better to know? To not know? To know when it's the moment?
       | BTW I'm in Italy so it wouldn't even be _that_ expensive to do
       | every couple years.
        
         | swayvil wrote:
         | You imply an interesting assertion.
         | 
         |  _This machine will tell me how I feel better than I can do it
         | myself. This secondhand abstraction is more reliable than my
         | firsthand observation_
        
       | mreiner wrote:
       | From what I understood about how the system works in most
       | European countries:
       | 
       | A test has a specific sensitivity and a rate of false positives.
       | So for screening (CT in this case) you would want a high
       | sensitivity and low cost, while the false positives would not be
       | your priority. The positives should go through a confirming test
       | (biopsy in this case) with a high specificity. Here cost and
       | sensitivity are usually secondary.
       | 
       | Now insurers look at the screening tests rate of false positives.
       | If they deem it too high, they don't want doctors to do those
       | tests on a population with a low probability of having the
       | condition you are screening for (low base rate). If the patient
       | belongs to a subgroup shown to have a high enough base rate of a
       | condition, then it makes sense to do the screening.
       | 
       | Then you have different patients, some want to get one MRI each
       | year, some only want to run diagnostic after they experience
       | symptoms. I believe most doctors respect that individual risk
       | tolerance within the given framework.
       | 
       | Now the thresholds obviously should be revised regularly as cost,
       | test properties and even base rates of diseases change, but I
       | don't see a systemic defect here, my blind spot?
        
       | edarchis wrote:
       | That's all nice but we used to recommend systematic PSA screening
       | for all males over 50. We later realized that there was a lot of
       | false positives and that the intervention often brought more
       | risks than it cured actual cancers. So it's only recommended for
       | patients with risk factors.
       | 
       | Now, consider the GP who has healthy 50yo, does a PSA anyway and
       | it's positive. The GP could still decide not to act. But the
       | patient is not so likely not to do anything. Or even understand
       | the odds. At that point, if the patient dies, the GP is likely to
       | get sued because he should have acted. Even if over all of his
       | patients, not acting was more efficient. If the GP decides to
       | act, however, regardless of whether the patient survives, he
       | won't be blamed for it. So doctors have a nasty incentive to act.
        
       | a_c wrote:
       | What about the other extreme, let everyone do all the tests
       | imaginable? Or course it doesn't make sense. The balance is on
       | how mych evidence available before a test is suggested. Evidence
       | is the incident rate among the population and the false negative
       | rate(specificity). I'm using very loosely defined terms here
       | because I'm too lazy to quote the definition. But no need false
       | dichotomy.
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | There is an easy fix but nobody would stand for it: do full
       | longitudinal surveillance of all tests. That is, the gent with
       | the "narrowed" arteries could be followed to see if it becomes a
       | problem (a lot of the metrics are, to simplify, fairly arbitrary
       | and based on a small observational _n_ ). Perhaps he does have a
       | stroke, perhaps not.
       | 
       | Of course no one would stand for such an intrusive system. But
       | over time it _would_ improve diagnosis.
        
         | cryoz wrote:
         | > the gent with the "narrowed" arteries could be followed
         | 
         | How exactly would you follow? Stress testing, angiography,
         | cardiac MR, CCTA??
        
         | SemanticStrengh wrote:
         | anonymised data about prescription correlations and symptom
         | metrics is the #1 missed opportunity of mankind progress. The
         | tragic fact is, for most drug we have zero clue what they're
         | doing to your body after a 6month-1 year period, nor do we know
         | what do the combinatorial explosion of polypharmacical
         | interactions do. There are people currently living the dream of
         | increased lifepsan/healspan by getting lucky on that
         | pharmacological lottery ticket and other (most) are living the
         | invisible damage nightmare.
        
       | gumby wrote:
       | There's a baseline issue here which is insurance companies and
       | actuaries.
       | 
       | If you can afford to be outside the insurance system in the US
       | you can get excellent care. That can include having tests done
       | that aren't covered by insurance and _avoiding_ tests that an
       | insurance company would normally require just for CYA reasons,
       | but aren't worth the risk.
       | 
       | But the incentives of the insurance-driven care are not aligned
       | with optimal patient outcome.
        
         | SemanticStrengh wrote:
         | in countries that have public paid medicare (such as France) it
         | really shows that it leads to a strong lag in adopting modern
         | medical practices and drugs. I'm not advocating against free
         | medecine, however this limitation should be more highlighted
         | than it currently is. Too many people think they're getting the
         | best treatment..
        
           | pfortuny wrote:
           | Same here in Spain "the best medical service in the world"
           | (as all piliticians boast, from left to right and back
           | again).
        
             | SemanticStrengh wrote:
             | Make medecine great again /s
        
           | gumby wrote:
           | That kind of lag is not always a good thing. I'm OK with
           | medicine not being an early adopter domain.
        
             | SemanticStrengh wrote:
             | The patient should have a right to be an early adopter if
             | he wants to. Besides, drugs will never leave alpha status
             | if we never let them flow on the market. Although yes
             | obviously a gradually titrated A/B testing scheme would be
             | much more reasonable than the current illegal/legal shift.
             | Moreover cf my other comments, anonymised statistics are
             | needed.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | I hear this repeated a lot but it's not necessarily true.
         | 
         | I had an experience with a doctor who was supposedly so
         | prestigious that she didn't accept insurance. I ended up going
         | to two appointments where she did nothing but push for redoing
         | some tests in her expensive laboratory at a cost of $5000. She
         | couldn't explain why her lab was different and eventually
         | admitted that they used the exact same equipment as my previous
         | (insurance-covered) test.
         | 
         | When I declined and tried to leave she offered me the
         | "discount" of $1000 off for new patients. It was really just
         | one big push to funnel people through her expensive lab
         | combined with a fancy office and nice bedside manner.
         | 
         | Don't assume that just because someone is outside of the
         | insurance system they're going to provide superior care.
        
           | hammock wrote:
           | You got scammed. Sounds like you know that. I've seen
           | functional medicine docs like this too, it's a part of their
           | business model to sell you overpriced supplements that they
           | get kickbacks from.
           | 
           | Just because they don't take insurance doesn't mean they
           | don't have their own ethical sketchiness. However, just
           | because there are bad non-insurance docs out there doesnt
           | mean there aren't excellent, ethical ones of the type OP
           | described.
        
             | Spooky23 wrote:
             | Yup. Dermatologists are big into this too.
             | 
             | My wife gets to visit them a lot due to a skin cancer
             | episode, and her former practice was swallowed up by some
             | private equity dermatology group. I learned about their
             | operations via a case study published one of their vendors
             | - a commission/incentive management software platform. Up
             | to 70% of provider pay is about pushing magic goop for your
             | face.
        
           | gumby wrote:
           | > a doctor who was supposedly so prestigious that she didn't
           | accept insurance.
           | 
           | It seems like there's a problem right up front: prestige.
           | 
           | My main doctor doesn't accept insurance though she will give
           | you a form with the diagnosis codes marked if you want to
           | submit it yourself. She simply doesn't want to deal with the
           | paperwork. There's none of the fancy "concierge" and
           | "membership" bullshit, much less "prestige". She just has an
           | ordinary doctor's office, and doesn't own a lab or anything.
           | 
           | But in exchange for filing the insurance form if I remember
           | to: the longest I've had to wait to see her when I was sick
           | was a couple of hours, I can bring my dog with me to my
           | visits, and she and I pass scientific papers back and forth
           | when determining treatment. But the main advantages of "no
           | insurance" are that we have lots of time for a visit (if
           | needed) and nobody looking over her shoulder for prior auth
           | or such. It's a much more collaborative model.
           | 
           | Unfortunately I don't think this model scales, but my
           | exposure to the more formula-driven mass medical system has
           | been discouraging.
        
             | kyleee wrote:
             | why do you bring your dog to a doctor visit?
        
       | SemanticStrengh wrote:
       | More generally I had read on HN a while ago that this is the
       | reason why doctors don't do a Full-body radiography/scan. Because
       | many humans have bugs/anomalies that are mild/non-issues but are
       | ambiguous and anxiety prone. The latter (and most salient reason
       | tragically) is that the doctos by covering much more data, would
       | become legally responsible for not seeing (e.g. a tumor found in
       | a place that wasn't the tissue/region target of the original
       | investigation) I find those really sad and I want to have a whole
       | body radio (and disclose that I take the anxiety cost willfully
       | and that I abandon my right to sue the doctor for this specific
       | radio), is it possible? Is there a place where this can be done?
        
         | thaeli wrote:
         | In the US, many "concierge" doctors (the ones who don't take
         | insurance) will order this type of scan if you want it.
        
           | SemanticStrengh wrote:
           | I wasn't aware, how does that even work, radio machines can
           | fit a whole body field of view? Thx I'm in EU unfortunately.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _how does that even work_
             | 
             | It's just a full-body MRI. Costs a couple thousand dollars.
             | Would put it in the category of neat curiosity and possibly
             | useful as a baseline or if you have surprise cancer or
             | something. But totally unnecessary and to be avoided if
             | you're prone to medical anxiety.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | > Costs a couple thousand dollars
               | 
               | Why such scaling with the size? Pure greed? The guy has
               | mostly to push a button..
        
               | cryoz wrote:
               | A radiologist would need to interpret the MRI.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | 1) well 1000 dollar per hour seems like a non-reasonable
               | price.
               | 
               | 2) one should have a legal right to command a MRI scan
               | without paid analysis.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _1000 dollar per hour seems like a non-reasonable
               | price_
               | 
               | MRIs are expensive machinery that take highly-trained and
               | well-paid technicians to maintain and operate. The
               | imaging process takes an hour alone; start to finish,
               | it's a two-hour process that is far from just pushing a
               | button.
               | 
               | > _one should have a legal right to command a MRI scan
               | without paid analysis_
               | 
               | I don't think there is a law, in America, prohibiting
               | MRIs without expert analysis. But one, that's useless.
               | And two, the people who don't think it's useless are the
               | ones most likely to misinterpret the data and cause
               | problems for the MRI provider.
        
               | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote:
               | > Google Query: cost of an MRI in India
               | 
               | > Result: How much does an MRI scan cost in India? The
               | average cost of MRI scan in India is usually between Rs.
               | 1500 to Rs. 25000.
               | 
               | > Query: Rs. 25000 in US dollars
               | 
               | > Result: 25,000 Indian Rupee equals 321.02 United States
               | Dollar
               | 
               | ...so ok, there's a chance the first answer is wrong
               | and/or there's some factor I'm missing, but assuming it
               | isn't one must again ask the question: Why does an MRI
               | cost $5k?
               | 
               | For the record, asking specifically about a full body
               | scan did not change the price:
               | 
               | > Query: cost of an full body MRI in India
               | 
               | > Result: [...] And the full-body scan cost you between
               | INR 18000 to INR 25000 in India.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Why does an MIR cost $5k?_
               | 
               | Where did $5k come from? I said a "couple thousand
               | dollars," though looking at my e-mail it was $1,500. A 4
               | to 5x cost differential from India to New York City seems
               | explicable.
        
               | SemanticStrengh wrote:
               | answering you next comment since HN has a lag.. I don't
               | think american radiologist read this paper
               | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5265198/ but
               | hey one can hope the myth that occidentals are better
               | trained, it might be actually true who knows
        
               | AnIdiotOnTheNet wrote:
               | $5k is a number that's been thrown around in this thread
               | so I guess it stuck in my head.
               | 
               | > A 4 to 5x cost differential from India to New York City
               | seems explicable.
               | 
               | Then please explain it, because you seemed to be saying
               | that this expense was inherent to the machine and had
               | little to do with cost of related labor. If that was the
               | case, one wouldn't expect an MRI in India to cost 1/5th
               | as much.
               | 
               | I also doubt it would be any less expensive here in south
               | central Wisconsin than it is in New York City.
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _this expense was inherent to the machine and had
               | little to do with cost of related labor_
               | 
               | The machines are expensive. They also vary in strength,
               | with scanners in _e.g._ the Philippines and Malaysia
               | being of considerably lower strength than is common in
               | America [1]. (I couldn 't find data for India. There are
               | certainly no 7T scanners there; I believe most are 1.5T
               | and below. In New York, it was a 3T.)
               | 
               | Between that, which might be a 2 or 3x differential
               | between a low and high field strength scanner, and the
               | cost differential of "highly-trained and well-paid
               | technicians [needed] to maintain and operate" [2], 4 to
               | 5x seems explicable.
               | 
               | [1] https://researchonline.lshtm.ac.uk/id/eprint/6700/1/I
               | L9.pdf
               | 
               | [2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31449409
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | AlphaOne1 wrote:
         | The question that needs to asked though is: what would you do
         | with that information? Would you be willing to undergo biopsy
         | (which is the standard for diagnosis) knowing there is a non-
         | zero risk of complication. What if the biopsy is not
         | conclusive? Do we then do a major surgery which includes risk
         | of death? Imaging is NOT diagnostic for tumors. For most
         | lesions, you have to take tissue samples.
         | 
         | Disclosure: I'm a pathologist.
        
           | SemanticStrengh wrote:
           | > what would you do with that information? Well for starters
           | anyone should check he has the right number of each organ,
           | and at the right place (not ectoplasmic), and that their
           | shape and volume is not pathologic. You should also check
           | your bones joints to check wether you have metallic
           | accumulation or not. It's not just about tumors. In any
           | cases, there are generally many possibles diagnosises that do
           | not involve a biopsy, such as blood/urine/lymph/fecal
           | biomarkers, and DNA testing. In some cases you might even
           | consider biofluorescence. Secondly, if a thing look like a
           | tumor, I would study the risk and if very low I would proceed
           | for a biopsy (risk seems OK) or otherwise use
           | anticarcinogenic drugs. I would not proceed to a risky
           | surgery unless necessary though, especially in an era where
           | potent anticarcinogenic exists such as PNC-27
           | 
           | BTW it's very cool that this is a thing>
           | https://www.nlm.nih.gov/research/visible/getting_data.html
        
       | norswap wrote:
       | > If you do a CT scan and it shows a mass, you'll order a biopsy.
       | 
       | > But because that patient was low-risk, the harms of that biopsy
       | will outweigh the benefits.
       | 
       | > Thus, you shouldn't do the CT scan.
       | 
       | > What? If the harms of the biopsy outweigh the benefits, don't
       | do the damn biopsy!
       | 
       | I'm not sure what the point of doing the CT scan if we're not
       | going to act on its result.
       | 
       | Sure, you gain the confidence that everything's gucci if it turns
       | negative. Is that really worth the stress of the test going
       | positive and the not doing the biopsy? Seems dubious to me.
        
         | gpt5 wrote:
         | The author is not arguing against efficiency in the medical
         | system, but against the reasoning of - "if we test for X bad
         | things will happen"
        
         | j-pb wrote:
         | In a "perfect world" we'd all get routine checks, this would
         | have two advantages:
         | 
         | * Most illneses are easier to treat and have better long term
         | outcomes in terms of morbidity, when they are detected early /
         | in a asymptomatic stage.
         | 
         | * We could collectively use the data collected from scanning
         | "healthy" people, and adjust our bayesian priors so that we can
         | more accurately adjust our diagnostic measures. E.g. common
         | virus infections can give you brain lesions visible in MRI
         | scans. However since MRIs are expensive we rarely scan healthy
         | people so every lesion in an MRI is an immediate supicion of MS
         | or other neurodegnerative diseases. We simply don't have good
         | baselines for this.
         | 
         | The latter would allow us to look at all the indicators more
         | holistically to make a well balanced judgement if more invasive
         | diagnostics are warranted.
        
       | cryoz wrote:
       | Why do the CT scan in the first place if you are not going to do
       | a biopsy if you find something?
        
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