[HN Gopher] U.S. takes unprecedented steps to replenish Colorado...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       U.S. takes unprecedented steps to replenish Colorado River's Lake
       Powell
        
       Author : prostoalex
       Score  : 176 points
       Date   : 2022-05-09 16:46 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | rurp wrote:
       | > Lake Mead ... has fallen so low that a barrel containing human
       | remains, believed to date to the 1980s, was found in the receding
       | shoreline on Sunday
       | 
       | More human remains have already been found since that first
       | barrel[0]. It's more than a little disturbing to think about how
       | many people rely on that lake for their drinking water and how
       | much worse the quality will get as the water levels drop.
       | 
       | [0]https://nypost.com/2022/05/09/more-remains-found-at-lake-
       | mea...
        
       | oasisbob wrote:
       | From an ops point of view, the unforeseen technical difficulties
       | in dealing with this problem are pretty stunning. eg, there is
       | "plenty" of water in a bunch of upstream reservoirs which can't
       | be released - either because it's in the dead pool, or because
       | dropping the levels causes other problems.
       | 
       | The Navajo reservoir has 800,000 acre-feet of water which can't
       | be released due to the high placement of an intake pipe. If that
       | intake is exposed, water to several small cities and part of the
       | Navajo reservation (unfulfilled decades-long promise, still in-
       | process) ceases to flow.
       | 
       | Apparently it's a design flaw made in the name of cost-savings.
       | 
       | https://twitter.com/edmillard/status/1520915847316836352
       | https://twitter.com/edmillard/status/1520914733674553344
        
       | Aaronstotle wrote:
       | Growing up in Southern California, it was always maddening to me
       | why water restrictions weren't always in place, it's a desert!
       | 
       | Somehow we would get lots of rain or snow fall in the mountains,
       | then state lifts water restrictions, and we end up with low
       | reservoirs again.
       | 
       | Another issue is that Los Angeles would issues fines for high
       | water usage, that's not enough when wealthy people can pay the
       | cost, the consequences for wasting water need to be much higher.
       | 
       | (edit:Typo)
       | 
       | 2nd Edit: Water restrictions should be applied to the agriculture
       | sector (since it accounts for ~80% water consumption), that
       | wasn't very clear in my original comment.
        
         | me_me_mu_mu wrote:
         | We should ban farming in the desert and no offense to the
         | farmers there but y'all gotta deal with it somehow. You have
         | lobbies stealing and wasting our water to grow shit crops.
         | 
         | My family and I suffered enough from our 3rd world country and
         | without any major resources managed to survive and do well
         | enough for ourselves. You with your massive resources should be
         | able to do something else. Sorry not sorry.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | It's not your water. If you want it, buy it from them.
        
             | me_me_mu_mu wrote:
             | What are ag lobbies for $100?
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Indeed, it probably was the ag and ranching interests
               | that set up California and much of the west with a system
               | of private water rights in 1850.
               | 
               | Given that this is the case, it about as difficult as
               | nationalizing land and homes to deal with the housing
               | crisis.
        
         | caymanjim wrote:
         | > Another issue is that Los Angeles would issues fines for high
         | water usage, that's not enough when wealthy people can pay the
         | cost, the consequences for wasting water need to be much
         | higher.
         | 
         | Aside from hypocrisy and optics, this isn't really a problem. I
         | don't like it for the same reason I don't like cash bail and
         | other areas where the rich can buy a free pass, but it has a
         | negligible effect on water use. 80% of California's water is
         | used by agriculture and another 10% by other industries,
         | leaving 10% for residential use, of which rich people filling
         | pools and watering lawns is a drop in the bucket. As usual,
         | business has succeeded in externalizing costs, and through
         | effective lobbying and marketing, has managed to convince the
         | public that it's their selfish behavior that is the problem.
        
         | ajdude wrote:
         | I've read somewhere that one major factor is agriculture.
         | Almonds and pistachios require over a gallon of water per nut,
         | or over 1 trillion gallons/year for the former [0] and it seems
         | like that's where at least 10% of california's water supply is
         | going[1]. Along with actively killing bees[3] I struggle to
         | wonder if growing those nuts are even worth it.
         | 
         | [0]
         | https://www.gainesville.com/story/opinion/2021/08/24/douglas...
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://web.archive.org/web/20201203025513/https://fruitgrow...
         | 
         | [2]
         | https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/jan/07/honeybee...
        
           | apcragg wrote:
           | Pistachios and Almonds use 4x less acreage than Alfalfa, hay,
           | clover, etc. These feed and grazing crops use almost exactly
           | equal acre-feet of water per acre as pistachios and almonds.
           | It's a convenient direction to finger point at if you want to
           | distract from the impact of animal feed agriculture.
           | 
           | https://www.cdfa.ca.gov/Statistics/PDFs/2020_Ag_Stats_Review.
           | ..
        
           | MisterTea wrote:
           | > Along with actively killing bees[3]
           | 
           | Off by one error.
        
             | bowsamic wrote:
             | Obviously started at 1-based and then decided to switch to
             | 0-based afterwards to fit in with the HN crowd
        
         | 01100011 wrote:
         | The LA basin, OC and San Diego aren't technically deserts. San
         | Diego gets 20% more rain than what generally qualifies as a
         | desert(10"/yr).
         | 
         | I agree in spirit though.
         | 
         | We have seen an increase in reservoir capacity over the last 20
         | years in SoCal though. San Diego seems to be doing fairly well,
         | water wise, with toilet to tap and desalination.
         | 
         | We really need a national water
         | grid(https://www.osti.gov/biblio/963122) though. Climate change
         | is coming. We need infrastructure for moving large amounts of
         | water around the country so we can continue to grow food in the
         | sun belt.
        
           | lief79 wrote:
           | How much of what is currently being grown there would still
           | be cost effective if they have to pay the cost of actually
           | moving that water through the grid?
           | 
           | Almonds and alfalfa are the two that seems to come up the
           | most often, but I'm not pretending to have done my own
           | research.
        
           | bcrosby95 wrote:
           | A national water grid would be incredibly expensive for what
           | it provides.
           | 
           | I wonder how feasible it would be to have the federal
           | government get California to relinquish some of its rights to
           | the Colorado River in exchange to help fund desalination
           | plants. Then the Colorado River can go more towards providing
           | water to landlocked states in the southwest that don't have
           | such an option.
        
             | db65edfc7996 wrote:
             | Don't we already have oil pipelines criss-crossing the
             | country? Why would water be any harder? Enough capacity to
             | ensure the populace has enough to drink (ie not replace
             | agricultural requirements) seems like a reasonable goal.
        
             | oasisbob wrote:
             | > I wonder how feasible it would be to have the federal
             | government get California to relinquish some of its rights
             | to the Colorado River in exchange to help fund desalination
             | plants.
             | 
             | California and the lower basin states already overconsume
             | their allotment of water from the Colorado River, some
             | years by a lot.
             | 
             | Colorado and other upper basin states are tired of it, and
             | are evaluating what legal approach makes the most sense to
             | force a stop to excess water releases into the lower basin.
        
             | 01100011 wrote:
             | > for what it provides
             | 
             | Flood safety, food security and more gravity storage for
             | renewables. Yeah, not worth much at all.
        
           | DocTomoe wrote:
           | Or, instead of building a national water grid and thus
           | another piece of incredibly expensive infrastructure that you
           | won't find politicians willing to maintain 30 years from now,
           | you could abandon areas like SoCal that are clearly becoming
           | unsuitable to sustaining life. It's going to happen anyway,
           | why not get a head start?
        
             | 01100011 wrote:
             | Yeah, abandon them. Just let large areas of the US lay
             | fallow.
             | 
             | Jesus, what happened to HN?
        
           | kmbfjr wrote:
           | Sorry, but that is a cute way to say "take water from people
           | who have it".
           | 
           | For decades, southwest states have put up billboards in rust
           | belt states to entice workers to move in order to keep
           | workers filling their economies. Much to do was always made
           | about the great climate. So if climate is an economic
           | advantage, so is easy access to water.
           | 
           | These large bodies of water are not just for irrigation, they
           | are the method for which much of the nation's harvest of
           | grain is moved to eastern ports. It still is used to move the
           | raw materials for steel production. Tapping the Great Lakes
           | to support California's insatiable thirst will only drop the
           | lakes to a level where shipping becomes unprofitable.
           | 
           | Climate change is already making food growing possible in
           | some formerly unlikely locations. I'm exactly at latitude 42
           | degrees (it runs right through my living room). Not a mile
           | from my home, they grow broccoli and other vegetables right
           | up until December 1, unheard of twenty years ago. They are
           | now on the second planting of lettuce a week into May.
           | 
           | Climate change is going to take that market away from these
           | states whether they have water or not.
        
             | 01100011 wrote:
             | Yeah why don't you head to the southeast the next time they
             | have a flood event and tell them that they need to keep all
             | that water and also they can't have anymore produce from
             | west of the rockies.
             | 
             | It's hard to take you seriously when you suggest we're
             | going to drain the great lakes. Do you think the only
             | supply of freshwater the west could tap is the great lakes?
             | 
             | The breadbasket of the US, the great plains, is also prone
             | to water insecurity. This isn't just about the west.
             | Climate change will bring unpredictable change and we need
             | a way to move water around. You never know, you could be
             | living under a drought in 20 years. Will you still fight
             | water redistribution then?
        
           | idiotsecant wrote:
           | The amount of water you'd have to move to sustain agriculture
           | in arid regions is a stupendously huge number. We can't even
           | keep up with badly needed _electrical_ transmission grid
           | construction (and maintenance), which would be orders of
           | magnitude cheaper to build and maintain than what you
           | propose. I struggle to see how thousands of miles of water
           | pipeline hundreds of feet in diameter is practical to
           | construct or maintain. That 's like type 1 civilization class
           | of engineering project.
        
             | 01100011 wrote:
             | > stupendously huge number
             | 
             | I'd like to see some napkin math on this. You don't have to
             | provide all the water for Ag, you just need to supplement
             | local shortfalls. No one is assuming rainfall in the
             | western US will drop to zero.
             | 
             | > We can't even keep up with badly needed electrical
             | transmission
             | 
             | Oh gosh I guess we should just give up then. Oh well, we
             | tried. Let's all commit mass suicide now. Sorry but this
             | modern, visionless attitude nauseates me. I'm sorry you've
             | believe so much of modern media that you've given up hope.
             | 
             | Water storage is electrical storage(gravity based). Pumped
             | hydro can even out renewable energy and allow it provide
             | base load.
             | 
             | > That's like type 1 civilization class of engineering
             | project.
             | 
             | What? Like the interstate highway system?
        
           | newaccount2021 wrote:
        
         | geph2021 wrote:
         | In Northern California, there are neighborhoods (like mine),
         | that aren't even on water meters. It's flat rate water usage.
         | Only recently have water districts started installing meters
         | due to state regulation to have all water metered by 2025!
        
         | TheJoeMan wrote:
         | I figure a "progressive" water bill would make more sense like
         | our progressive tax brackets. If someone wants to pay
         | $100/gallon for their 1,000,001st gallon so be it.
        
           | rootusrootus wrote:
           | It wouldn't have any appreciable effect on usage, however.
        
         | whalesalad wrote:
         | Silly to punish the urban water users when they only account
         | for 10% of usage in the entire state.
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | But they consume 100% of the water they own. If urban water
           | users need more water than they own, they can buy more or
           | consume less.
           | 
           | There is a mechanism for government sizing property, but they
           | do have to pay for it.
        
         | CogitoCogito wrote:
         | None of that really matters. Agriculture uses so much more
         | water than people in LA that focusing on those people (whether
         | rich or poor) is a waste of time and energy.
        
         | hetspookjee wrote:
         | The other day I was scrolling through google earth and visited
         | the hottest place on earth "Furnace Creek" in Death Valley. And
         | to my surprise there is a golf course right next to it.
        
           | oinksoft wrote:
           | As far as I know, Furnace Creek is an oasis, and its golf
           | course is irrigated by non-potable groundwater from local
           | springs.
           | 
           | Water Conservation at The Oasis:
           | https://www.oasisatdeathvalley.com/who-we-
           | are/sustainability...
           | 
           | Hydrogeology of Lower Amargosa Valley (see Fig. 1 in report):
           | https://pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/sir20185151
        
             | rurp wrote:
             | Pulling water out of a desert ecosystem like that can have
             | a profoundly negative impact on the native wildlife,
             | whether or not the water is human drinkable.
        
         | koheripbal wrote:
         | The major use of water in California is agricultural, not
         | residential, by a large margin.
         | 
         | Moreover, the crops with the highest water usage are not at all
         | the most economically valuable.
         | 
         | The real issue is that the true cost of the water is not passed
         | onto the agricultural farms.
        
           | AYBABTME wrote:
           | We'd be in a much worst situation if the farms didn't produce
           | the food they do. The entire continent would face food
           | shortage, and the world's economy would be hit. Just see what
           | happened when Ukraine's farms got knocked out of the playing
           | field, and scale that up by California's farming supply to
           | North America.
        
             | pkaye wrote:
             | Grow those crops in other parts of the country where there
             | is more water.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | valarauko wrote:
             | Perhaps, though is California really the best place on the
             | continent today to grow what it does? Perhaps 50 or 80
             | years ago it was reasonable - is it today? I agree that
             | California's agricultural output is important, but it would
             | also be strategically important to move some of to places
             | better able to sustain it.
        
             | s0rce wrote:
             | I don't think that's true, the largest use is crops that
             | aren't eaten like pasture and alfalfa for cattle or even
             | that ends up exported.
             | 
             | https://www.pressdemocrat.com/article/specialsections/these
             | -...
        
             | soco wrote:
             | And the almond milk produced by most of the Californian
             | water-thirsty farms is going to solve the world shortages
             | how?
        
             | LeifCarrotson wrote:
             | Ukranian wheat is a staple. Californian pistachios are a
             | luxury.
             | 
             | An entire continent with a shortage of California
             | pistachios does not mean people starving in the streets and
             | the world economy imploding. It means a handful of really
             | unhappy pistachio plantation owners and millions of people
             | happily eating Georgia peanuts (only half of which are
             | artificially irrigated, they get plenty of water from the
             | sky) instead.
             | 
             | Unfortunately, the pistacho farmers are wealthy and
             | connected, so they can shift the narrative to "turn off
             | your expensive city water while you're brushing your teeth"
             | while they draw more in an hour than years of toothbrushing
             | would use.
        
               | s0rce wrote:
               | Barring eliminating long standing (pre-statehood) water
               | rights and the entire system (likely not to happen) they
               | probably just need to pay these plantation owners not to
               | grow stuff.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
         | I have Kentucky bluegrass throughout my yard and so do the
         | other 100,000 people in my town.
         | 
         | We live in a fucking desert with cactuses part of the native
         | flora. Why are we watering Kentucky blue grass?
         | 
         | Colorado resident.
        
         | georgeburdell wrote:
         | Minor nitpick as an amateur green thumb, but depending on where
         | you're talking about in southern California, coastal California
         | is a Chaparral ecoregion [1], characterized by a high density
         | of shrubs. A desert has lower plant density. It irks me when
         | people in the Bay Area and LA go full desert xeriscape because
         | a) the plants are not adapted for those environments b) animals
         | are less adapted to those plants and c) the exposed sand does
         | little to locally cool the area, unlike native plants
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_coastal_sage_and_ch...
        
         | dmckeon wrote:
         | Of the water used in California, 80% is used by agriculture.
         | Asking people to stop watering lawns is merely a way to appease
         | the public by suggesting that everyone is doing as much as they
         | can to ease a drought, and an attempt to shift responsibility
         | to those horrible urban businesses with broken sprinklers. /s
         | Meanwhile, almond growers in the Central Valley and alfalfa
         | growers in the Imperial Valley are mining aquifers to grow
         | crops.
        
           | itslennysfault wrote:
           | I don't disagree that blaming regular people is a
           | distraction, but lawns?? really? Why does anyone have a lawn
           | in the desert. Can we just not?
        
             | darkwizard42 wrote:
             | Sure, but if we are talking about "low hanging fruit" --
             | putting some restrictions or adjusting the costs of water
             | use for agriculture would have a massive outsized effect on
             | water tables. Yet we keep trying to nip at the edges on
             | super small issues like...water for a lawn
             | 
             | There is already some math in the thread regarding how its
             | almost 2 magnitudes more of water use for a cow for a month
             | over a lawn for a year
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | Don't get distracted. Grass lawns aren't all that common in
             | the desert. Yes, some people pay for the water to make it
             | happen, but by far most do not.
        
           | swarnie wrote:
           | I really hope my generation can kill off the concept of a
           | "lawn". Growing a mono-cultured weed in a desert just so that
           | you can have a Saturday morning chore is utterly baffling to
           | me.
        
             | recursive wrote:
             | Killing the entire concept seems to be a solution too big
             | for the problem. There are plenty of places where lawns
             | require zero additional irrigation.
        
             | warcher wrote:
             | it will not make a lick of difference and I like my kids to
             | have someplace to play outside.
        
               | wyre wrote:
               | There's a lot of room between a grass yard and a safe
               | yard for children to play in
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | Most yards are just natural local grass. A relatively small
             | number of people put in extra effort to make it a
             | monoculture, but most just let it settle into whatever the
             | local grass variety is, and then mow it periodically.
             | 
             | And in the desert, most people don't have grass lawns.
        
           | r00fus wrote:
           | Don't forget livestock - much bigger use than Ag. Pound per
           | pound meat requires a LOT more clean water than crops, even
           | almonds.
        
             | thfuran wrote:
             | Isn't livestock largely a subset of agriculture?
        
               | slimsag wrote:
               | Livestock are largely fed dried grass/grain which
               | consumes a ton of water to grow but doesn't provide much
               | to the cattle. Cows drink 9-12 gallons/day, 30-40
               | gallons/day for milk cows. Probably more in dryer
               | climates.
               | 
               | For comparison a 20'x20' lawn uses about 120 gallons/day.
               | 
               | One acre of alfalfa requires ~12k gallons/day and
               | sustains 0.4 to 0.8 heads of cattle.
        
               | r00fus wrote:
               | I find the diagram on this article more clear [1]: pound
               | for pound, beef uses 2x what nuts do on average. If there
               | is an effort to reduce industrial water usage, those
               | high-usage categories are probably where to look to cut
               | (and less on residential water usage).
               | 
               | [1] https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/06/water-
               | footprint-food-...
        
               | Ekaros wrote:
               | Yeah, high-usage categories in areas without sufficient
               | supply of water. On other hand in some areas there is
               | sufficient amount of water available even with this
               | usage. There really isn't one fit everywhere policy.
        
           | slimsag wrote:
           | Same thing here in Arizona. Saudi Arabian hay farms here are
           | massive, and use _groundwater_ aquifers to grow Alfalfa which
           | is exported back to SA to feed cattle.
           | 
           | But yeah, it's the people not turning off the faucet while
           | brushing their teeth that are the problem! Who do they think
           | they are? Don't they know we're in a desert?! /s
        
           | markvdb wrote:
           | Both agricultural and residential overconsumption need
           | tackling. Both.
           | 
           | Example from the article: "326,000 gallons (1.23 million
           | liters), is enough water to supply one or two households for
           | a year."
           | 
           | No! That is enough for >16 households a year in this rich
           | part of northwestern Europe [0]. In a naturally dry area,
           | consumption should be substantially less, not 16 times more.
           | 
           | Lowering residential water consumption to these reasonable
           | levels gives an immediate 18.80% savings on total water
           | consumption. That's nothing to sneeze at.
           | 
           | Forcing responsible water use upon non-agricultural users
           | might also encourage a critical look at agricultural water
           | consumption.
           | 
           | [0] https://www.vmm.be/data/gemiddeld-leidingwaterverbruik-
           | gezin...
        
             | frumper wrote:
             | They might be calculating for loss in getting it from
             | Colorado to Los Angeles. LA averages around 28k gallons a
             | years per household.
        
             | raphaelj wrote:
             | I'd expect water consumption to be actually higher in a dry
             | area compared to Belgium (not 16x more though). You'd need
             | more water to grow crops, wash your car, hydrate yourself.
             | You might also take more frequent showers.
        
               | markvdb wrote:
               | One may think of it as balancing the water budget, or
               | more realistically as somewhat managing the negative
               | externalities of sucking the land dry in ~ four human
               | generations.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | > Example from the article
             | 
             | ... is incorrect, by at least a factor of 10.
        
               | markvdb wrote:
               | I wish I had misread my sources[0], but unfortunately,
               | 500000l per year per household really is in there.
               | 
               | From the relevant wikipedia article [1]:
               | 
               | "Many homes in Sacramento didn't have water meters until
               | recently. They now are gradually being installed after
               | [...] law mandating meters statewide by 2025." In other
               | words: we pretend to care a little, but actually, we
               | don't.
               | 
               | The famous French saying is more honest: "Apres nous le
               | deluge". Loosely translated: "We'll be long gone before
               | the flooding starts.". Both very applicable and not at
               | all...
               | 
               | What we shall tell the children?
               | 
               | [0] http://www.irwd.com/images/pdf/save-
               | water/CaSingleFamilyWate...
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water_in_California#Urb
               | an/resi...
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | If people want the water owned by agriculture, they should
           | put their money where the mouth is and buy it. Everything is
           | for sale for a price.
        
           | Aaronstotle wrote:
           | Water restrictions should be applied to the agriculture
           | sector as well, if it was up to me I would put a quota on
           | each supplier for how much water they can pull per year.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | Would you pay them for their water?
        
               | caymanjim wrote:
               | It's not their water. It's collectively our water. And
               | they don't pay market rates for it.
               | 
               | Agriculture costs are incredibly complex. The true cost
               | of food is socialized, in the form of free/cheap land and
               | water, subsidies, tax breaks, and fixed prices. I don't
               | want to pay the true dollar price for food any more than
               | the next person. I recognize that there's a societal
               | benefit in socializing/externalizing the cost of food
               | production.
               | 
               | That shouldn't stop us from acknowledging the true cost
               | and trying to fix it. If we're looking to conserve water,
               | the very first place we should be looking is agriculture.
               | Maybe we shouldn't be growing rainforest crops in the
               | desert. Maybe we shouldn't be draining our reservoirs and
               | aquifers for crops that are exported. Maybe
               | agribusinesses making record profits should feel the pain
               | of higher water costs before we tell people they can't
               | take a shower.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | It almost always is "their" water. California was founded
               | in 1850 with private water rights, where individuals
               | owned the water, like the surface land or gold and oil
               | under their property.
               | 
               | The fact that people now wish that the water was
               | collectively owned by the state, does not make it so.
               | 
               | If people want water to be collectively owned, they need
               | to collectively purchase it and buy out the farmers.
               | 
               | In some instances where farmers are not using their own
               | water, they have contracts with the state to provide X
               | gallons at Y prices. If the state wishes to break those
               | contracts, they need to pay for breach of contract.
        
       | sulam wrote:
       | Farmers keep planting more and more almond groves in places that
       | cannot naturally support anything but grazing. At some point
       | there will have to be a reckoning over water rights, although I
       | don't expect it to be pretty.
        
       | nathanaldensr wrote:
       | From what I know of this problem, these "unprecedented steps"
       | aren't going to matter a hill of beans.
        
       | version_five wrote:
       | > Amid a sustained drought _exacerbated by climate change_
       | 
       | This is a religious statement, same as writing "god is great"
       | after a statement. Climate change, sure I'm on board and I think
       | we need to act to address it. News articles just throwing in
       | these random "praise the lord"s in their writing serve nobody,
       | make any case for action weaker, and undermine the credibility of
       | the reporter and news service.
       | 
       | If you're reporting on a study about that fine, if you're just
       | writing about how the reservoir is low, no need to add some
       | hallelujahs to your article.
        
         | scoofy wrote:
         | I mean... really? Is this what we're doing to discredit
         | researchers now? I can understand the argument that the general
         | term "climate change" is problematic as a catch all term for a
         | lot of complex climate systems all changing at once because of
         | one macro input changing, but "a religious statement"? Do you
         | not realize that these changes are predictions made by
         | researchers related to _falsifiable_ hypotheses? Do you
         | understand how empiricism works?
        
           | s1artibartfast wrote:
           | No individual climate event is a testable event. The claim is
           | that multiple events will become more frequent over time. It
           | is not empiricism to claim there will be more hot days then
           | normal, and then say every hot day is driven by your
           | hypothesis
        
             | scoofy wrote:
             | We do this all the time. This is basic bayesian analysis.
             | We make predictions on the probabilistic increase/decrease
             | in events. When the evens occur at the predicted rates, we
             | can attribute them, in aggregate, to the underlying
             | theoretical causal factors.
             | 
             | If say, climate scientists were predicting a 5% decrease on
             | rainfall over a 10 year period, and the rain completely
             | stopped over that time, we could rightly say the hypothesis
             | was bunk. However, to suggest that probabilistic causality
             | is incompatible with scientific claims, I would say you
             | need to need to re-read your philosophy of science.
             | 
             | Yes, you should always read a "very probably" with any
             | claim of fact for any empirical claim (this is the problem
             | of induction), but yes, you can say that "this weather
             | event is (very probably) the result of climate change," if
             | it fits in nicely with the probabilistic predictive model.
        
       | russellbeattie wrote:
       | In my lifetime, the population of the world has doubled, and the
       | population of the US went from 209M to 330M. Much of our water
       | problems stems from the simple fact that there's so many more
       | people and companies that are now trying to use the same amount
       | of water.
       | 
       | The only long term solution for our water problems is massive
       | investment into desalination and pipelines from the coasts
       | inland. There are other solutions such as using what we have more
       | efficiently, equitably and with less waste, but that will only
       | get us so far. We're heading towards 400M Americans by 2060.
       | They'll all need water.
        
       | vuciv1 wrote:
       | Wow. I just kayak'd this lake with my partner and her family 3
       | days ago. The white coloration of the bottom 30 feet or so
       | contrasted with the red tops show just how much the lake has
       | fallen.
       | 
       | My partner's parents said that they were on the lake about 20
       | years ago, and their reaction to how much it had fallen was very
       | visceral.
       | 
       | I'm very glad something is being done to help the lake.
       | 
       | Also, go see it if you get the chance. It's very beautiful.
        
       | Kalanos wrote:
       | maybe millions of people aren't supposed to live in a desert a
       | mile above sea level
        
       | jmyeet wrote:
       | The first thing to point out is that some like to hijack the
       | water shortage as being related to climate change. It isn't. It's
       | based simply on inaccurate projections of how much water would
       | flow in and increased usage. That's it.
       | 
       | What I find infuriating is:
       | 
       | 1. Water rights for agriculture are a particular problem. As if
       | we don't subsidize agriculture enough (eg [1]);
       | 
       | 2. There really should be more water restrictions and there
       | should've been for years already; and (this is the big one)
       | 
       | 3. We're making consumers (further) subsidize agriculture by
       | funding and paying for expensive desalinated water.
       | 
       | [1]:
       | https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2021-10-10/colorad...
        
         | time_to_smile wrote:
         | While you are absolutely correct that there are plenty of
         | problematic issues around water management in the West that
         | would have created a problem like this eventually even in a
         | world without climate change, it is absolutely the case that
         | aridification of the region, caused by climate change, is
         | exacerbating the issue.
         | 
         | This is similar to the issue regarding forest fires in the West
         | cost. A huge factor _is_ mismanagement of controlled burns in
         | the forests. However, years of record drought absolutely do
         | increase the probability of a forest fire.
         | 
         | Rather than falsely say "it isn't", it's better dismiss the
         | false narrative that this is completely unavoidable because of
         | climate change. With much better water management we could have
         | postponed the impact of climate change quite a while.
         | 
         | The bigger issue is that climate change is being used as an
         | excuse to mask decades of mismanagement of water resources in
         | this region. I also agree with your point that the real
         | conversation should be entirely "what are we going to do about
         | agriculture in deserts and regions that are soon to be
         | deserts?"
        
         | burkaman wrote:
         | Why were the projections inaccurate?
        
         | ZoomerCretin wrote:
         | As someone that enjoys being able to eat, I think that
         | agricultural subsidies are far better than the alternative.
        
         | s1artibartfast wrote:
         | Water rights aren't a subsidy, but Water ownership is part of
         | the problem. If the state wants water someone else owns, they
         | should buy it.
        
         | idiotsecant wrote:
         | If we're going to subsidize something agriculture is one of the
         | things i'd be willing to foot the bill for. The invisible hand
         | of the market is not a good way to make sure that everyone
         | stays fed.
        
           | spiderice wrote:
           | I'm not expert, but I think you're oversimplifying a real
           | problem. My understanding is that we're giving water to
           | farmers at such a cheap price, that they are essentially
           | wasting it on crops that shouldn't be grown where they are
           | growing them. Which costs us ridiculous amounts of water in
           | order to get cheap luxury crops, at the cost of other things.
           | If it were about keeping people fed.. well, that really isn't
           | an issue. We're REALLY efficient at farming enough crops to
           | keep people fed, even without wasting water.
           | 
           | edit: after reading some other comments, it's perhaps
           | inaccurate to say that we're giving agriculture the water.
           | And it sounds more like they bought it years ago at a
           | ridiculously cheap price and are still benefiting from that.
        
           | rurp wrote:
           | But why grow that food in a desert where residents are facing
           | critical water shortages?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | adgjlsfhk1 wrote:
         | What do you mean "It isn't"? Yes, the projections were
         | inaccurate, but the reason they were inaccurate is that they
         | climate change has and will continue to decrease the amount of
         | water that falls in the region.
        
           | jmyeet wrote:
           | You'll see a lot of charts on the water levels of Lake
           | Powell, for example. It's easy to paint a picture of drought
           | and/or climate change and that's what people do. But you
           | can't just look at the net. You have to look at inflows vs
           | outflows. Here's one such study on supply and demand [1]:
           | 
           | > Apportioned water in the Basin exceeds the in the Lower
           | Basin despite recently approximate 100-year record (1906
           | through experiencing the worst 11-year drought in the 2011)
           | Basin-wide average long-term historical last century.
           | However, there have been natural flow2 of about 16.4 million
           | acre-feet periodic shortages throughout the Upper (maf).
           | 
           | Note the increasing consumption from Figure 2.
           | 
           | [1]: https://www.usbr.gov/watersmart/bsp/docs/finalreport/Col
           | orad...
        
         | russdill wrote:
         | It's really hard to argue that climate change isn't a
         | component. The problem may still exist without climate change,
         | that's an argument that certainly can be made.
        
         | jimnotgym wrote:
         | Why, I wonder, does the article talk about a massive drought if
         | that is not a factor?
        
           | banannaise wrote:
           | It's only a "massive drought" in comparison to excessively
           | rosy projections. Unfortunately, that's the default position,
           | and a lot of material simply runs with it.
        
             | titzer wrote:
             | https://www.drought.gov/current-conditions
        
               | margalabargala wrote:
               | Yes indeed- everyone agrees that based on current
               | definitions of drought, large areas are in drought.
               | 
               | The argument being made here is that rather than some
               | current conditions being considered "drought" compared to
               | what's "normal", current conditions _ought_ be considered
               | "normal", as the current definition of "normal" does not
               | accurately reflect what is in fact normal for some of
               | these areas.
        
         | kokanee wrote:
         | > It's based simply on inaccurate projections of how much water
         | would flow in
         | 
         | This ignores the fact that both projections and actual flow are
         | trending downward. If the problem were just bad data, we would
         | be just as likely to have a surplus as a deficit.
        
           | manquer wrote:
           | Equal probability of both errors is only if the errors were
           | random. The errors or poor data could be intentional so the
           | outcome is favorable to someone
        
       | lvl102 wrote:
       | Is Orange County paying for this? Because they should...
        
         | kylehotchkiss wrote:
         | Isn't Orange County paying for a desalination plant sometime
         | soon? https://www.ocregister.com/2022/05/04/newsom-gets-it-
         | right-o...
        
           | manquer wrote:
           | That plant is years late and had recent setback with an
           | unfavorable staff report from the costal review (which can be
           | overridden in the commission meeting next week)
           | 
           | Even if that plant goes live it is only 50 million gallons a
           | day or just 2.5% of the needs of Orange county.
           | 
           | You would need 40 more plants like that .
        
       | peachtree2 wrote:
       | The almonds in California consume as much water in one year as 56
       | cities the size of Los Angeles (back-of-the-envelope math from
       | publically available sources)
       | 
       | The issue is not just people but an out-of-control agro
       | businesses that have no limitation to their water usage
        
       | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
       | Time to plan the end of hydro in Western states. Power can come
       | from the sun (there's a _lot_ of sunny land in the West) rather
       | than hydro. We need that water for drinking and sanitation, with
       | ag coming a distant third [in terms of human survival].
        
         | wswope wrote:
         | Are you claiming that hydroelectric generation leads to loss of
         | water somehow? Or just that the reservoirs should be drained?
        
           | wswope wrote:
           | Update with some papers I found for anyone else curious:
           | 
           | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.06.067
           | 
           | https://digitalscholarship.unlv.edu/water_pubs/59
        
       | mauvehaus wrote:
       | Three books anyone interested in the Colorado River generally or
       | Glen Canyon Dam specifically should read are
       | 
       | Cadillac Desert. A history of how all the dams came to be.
       | 
       | The Emerald Mile. Things got pretty perilous at Glen Canyon Dam
       | owing to it being too full at the wrong time of the year. In the
       | midst of this, three guys decide to take advantage of flow levels
       | we're unlikely to see again in our lifetimes to set an all time
       | record for running the Grand Canyon. This is on my personal list
       | of the greatest true stories ever told.
       | 
       | Down The River (or anything else by Edward Abbey, really). The
       | titular essay is about a trip down the Colorado. Abbey was an
       | ardent critic of Glen Canyon Dam for flooding Glen Canyon. Better
       | known for writing The Monkey Wrench Gang and Desert Solitaire,
       | but Down the River more specifically deals with the Colorado.
        
         | beezlebroxxxxxx wrote:
         | To add an interesting fiction book: _The Water Knife_ by Paolo
         | Bacigalupi focuses on a hypothetical future where individual
         | militias and municipalities /states in the South/South West
         | fight and engage in near hidden warfare over access to the
         | dwindling Colorado River. The wealthy are able to live in
         | compounds where enormous amounts of water are recycled in a
         | self contained system, while the less well off have to fend for
         | themselves in what is a veritable super desert. It's quite
         | dark, but a troubling possible future written in a clear hard
         | sci-fi voice.
        
         | drums8787 wrote:
         | Add to that list "Where the Water Goes" by David Owen.
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | The movie Chinatown was also about California and water.
         | 
         | "The film was inspired by the California water wars, a series
         | of disputes over southern California water at the beginning of
         | the 20th century, by which Los Angeles interests secured water
         | rights in the Owens Valley"
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinatown_(1974_film)
        
         | pneumatic1 wrote:
         | Or for water infrastructure more generally, City Water, City
         | Life by Carl Smith
        
         | imperialdrive wrote:
         | https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-water-knife-paolo-bacig...
         | I enjoyed the audiobook.
         | 
         | "In the near future, the Colorado River has dwindled to a
         | trickle. Detective, assassin, and spy, Angel Velasquez "cuts"
         | water for the Southern Nevada Water Authority, ensuring that
         | its lush arcology developments can bloom in Las Vegas. When
         | rumors of a game-changing water source surface in Phoenix,
         | Angel is sent south, hunting for answers that seem to evaporate
         | as the heat index soars and the landscape becomes more and more
         | oppressive. There, he encounters Lucy Monroe, a hardened
         | journalist with her own agenda, and Maria Villarosa, a young
         | Texas migrant, who dreams of escaping north. As bodies begin to
         | pile up, the three find themselves pawns in a game far bigger
         | and more corrupt than they could have imagined, and when water
         | is more valuable than gold, alliances shift like sand, and the
         | only truth in the desert is that someone will have to bleed if
         | anyone hopes to drink."
        
         | RationPhantoms wrote:
         | Sprinkle in "The Water Knife" by Paolo Bacigalupi as a really
         | fun read about "Water Wars" in the future.
        
       | ericmay wrote:
       | > One acre-foot, about 326,000 gallons (1.23 million liters), is
       | enough water to supply one or two households for a year.
       | 
       | This is mind-blowing. Is this true? Each house in American
       | (roughly) uses this much water? I assume it's certainly not an
       | issue in, say, Ohio where my monthly water bill I think has never
       | exceeded $25 - but there's just no way this is sustainable in
       | places out west prone to drought, right?
       | 
       | Am I over-appreciating this seemingly large number?
       | 
       | > "We are never going to see these reservoirs filled again in our
       | lifetime," said Denielle Perry, a professor at Northern Arizona
       | University's School of Earth and Sustainability.
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | > One acre-foot
         | 
         | These units seem to be deliberately obtuse.
        
           | Iwan-Zotow wrote:
           | ca 1200 cubic meters
        
           | conqueso wrote:
           | I think it's a perfect descriptor - makes me picture an acre
           | of land (footprint) with a height of 1 ft
        
           | macksd wrote:
           | I've mostly heard it used by farmers. And it makes sense if
           | you're thinking of the equivalent rainfall measured in inches
           | on a property measured in acres.
        
         | com2kid wrote:
         | > Ohio where my monthly water bill I think has never exceeded
         | $25
         | 
         | My sewer bill in Seattle is over $120. That isn't for water,
         | that is just the price of getting the water out of my house!
         | (My water bill is half that, go figure!)
         | 
         | This was winter/spring, so just this is just laundry,
         | showering, and doing dishes.
        
         | mhh__ wrote:
         | In general American houses seem to use enormous amounts of
         | basically everything.
        
         | thedougd wrote:
         | I had a city issued smart water meter at my last residence with
         | 5-6 residents. I set a text message alert at 400 gallons per
         | day, as that was a very unusual event that might warrant
         | attention. I had high efficiency showers, toilets, and washers.
         | I only ever hit it, and well exceeded it, when I did something
         | like water the lawn a few times a year. A high watermark
         | estimate (har har) would be 400 x 365 = 146000. I suppose two
         | households is plausible, but I'd guess more like three to four
         | for 326000.
         | 
         | Where I live, in a very wet part of ther United States, water
         | is still too expensive for watering the lawn regularly. This is
         | usually because the meter reading is used to assess charges for
         | sewer as well. Those who do have irrigation systems request
         | second meters to avoid sewer charges or even tap into the gray
         | water supply.
        
           | brewdad wrote:
           | Where I live, the sewer charges for the year are based off of
           | your water usage during the coolest, wettest months of the
           | year in winter. My water usage (3 person household) is about
           | 80% higher in the 3 hottest summer months. The rest of the
           | year, there is no need to water anything unless you planted a
           | completely inappropriate landscape or you enjoy seeing your
           | money runoff into the storm sewers.
           | 
           | I pulled my figures for the past year. We used approx 36,000
           | gallons in household use and 9,000 gallons in
           | irrigation/outdoors use. Effectively, my lawn is equivalent
           | to one additional person living in our home.
        
           | lotsofpulp wrote:
           | The fact that decorative lawns exist at all is indicative of
           | water not being expensive enough.
           | 
           | Edit: By decorative, I mean the manicured lawns that are only
           | for aesthetics that require tons of watering and sprinkler
           | systems, and pesticides/insecticides/fertilizers.
        
             | sidewndr46 wrote:
             | Aren't all lawns decorative?
        
               | kevin_thibedeau wrote:
               | There is value in tick control around a residence. For
               | that, grass is the most practical ground cover. Anything
               | beyond the bare minimum is an excess.
        
               | sidewndr46 wrote:
               | Wouldn't dirt, sand, or rocks work just fine?
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | Where I live in the Northeast, the natural state of a
               | patch of dirt--or for that matter a patch of gravel--will
               | be to become a forest in most cases by way of grass,
               | weeds, bushes, and trees.
        
               | recursive wrote:
               | Not if that dirt grows tall weeds. Many lawns don't need
               | to be irrigated at all.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | To some degree. But there are a lot of reasons to keep
               | some sort of buffer around the house in any case. Now
               | (unless required by local regulation/HOA/etc.), this
               | doesn't necessary mean a perfectly manicured Kentucky
               | bluegrass lawn but in a lot of the country just letting
               | nature take its course will have tall grass, bushes, and
               | eventually trees growing right up to the foundations.
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | Midwest ground becomes a lawn without any real effort.
               | Maybe seed it a bit.
               | 
               | To imitate that in the southwest you usually need
               | irrigation.
        
         | snarkerson wrote:
         | That is in terms of electrical power generation by
         | hydroelectric dams.
        
         | BeefWellington wrote:
         | According to my water company I used about 67,300 gallons of
         | water the past year, which is about 300,000 L. It's not out of
         | the ballpark.
        
         | foobarian wrote:
         | Be a bit aggressive and assume the number is 365,000 gallons -
         | that means 1000 gallons per day. Statistics from a perfunctory
         | Google search seem to indicate around 300 gal/day/household, so
         | it seems about right if a bit on the high side.
        
         | gernb wrote:
         | I thought it meant 1 acre-foot provides enough electricity at
         | the dam for 2 households for 1 year?
        
           | ericmay wrote:
           | You might be right, though I'd still say that seems like a
           | lot of water...
        
         | bumbledraven wrote:
         | https://extension.colostate.edu/topic-areas/family-home-cons...
         | :
         | 
         |  _Water supply planners estimate that a typical household needs
         | 0.4 -0.5 acre feet of water per year (approximately 150,000
         | gal) to satisfy the demands of a home and landscape._
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | I have to believe that a lot of that is the landscape part. I
           | admittedly live by myself but if I do the math right, it
           | looks like I use about 3,000 gallons a year--virtually none
           | of which is used outside the house.
        
             | bcrosby95 wrote:
             | 3,000 gallons a year comes out to 8.2 gallons per day.
             | Seems a bit low. Even a low flow toilet uses 1.1-1.6
             | gallons per flush.
             | 
             | In my experience, with a family of 4, a lawned landscape is
             | gonna take up about 50-70% of your water use in SoCal. This
             | is based upon living in a couple of places down here.
             | 
             | Also, pools are a giant red herring. A noncovered pool
             | would take up about 5% of that above water budget. Once you
             | cover it it consumes basically no water (once filled).
             | 
             | Note that drought tolerant grasses use upwards of 60% less
             | water than standard lawns. And subsurface irrigation uses
             | upwards of 70% less water. Still not a good idea to have
             | tons of the stuff, but if you want a small patch of it you
             | can do so without blowing the water budget. Most people
             | don't do this though.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | I'm usually at my town $50 minimum and my last quarterly
               | bill was for 100 cu.ft. So 3,000 gallons a year. I would
               | say that of course I'm not there all the time--and pre-
               | COVID I travelled a lot--but not true at the moment. I
               | did grow up in a house with a poor water supply from a
               | well so I probably have a lot of habits related to not
               | running water unnecessarily. I agree it seems low but
               | that's what the numbers say. (And, as I say, this is
               | mostly just one person.)
               | 
               | I live in New England and haven't watered my lawn since
               | it was established and rarely water gardens. Even if
               | things can get a bit brown during the summer, they come
               | back.
        
               | brewdad wrote:
               | Are you sure there isn't a base amount of water usage
               | captured in the minimum charge? 2 toilet flushes a day (1
               | solid, 1 liquid) and a 3 minute shower gets you to 8
               | gals/day before you've washed any dishes or clothes.
               | 
               | I mean, if you are able to keep your water use that low,
               | congrats and keep it up. We could all use more people
               | like you. In reality, I'm guessing you are using a bit
               | more than that however.
        
               | ghaff wrote:
               | It's the actual amount on my water bill. And yeah. 2-3
               | toilet flushes a day. Probably a 3 minute shower. A
               | gallon or two for plants. The biweekly high-efficiency
               | washer. (And I'm sometimes traveling but much less so
               | recently.) The weekly dishwash. Etc. Surprises me too.
               | But that's what the numbers say. Not even trying to be
               | unusually convervationist.
        
         | chemeng wrote:
         | I think average US household water usage is around 250-500
         | gallons per day. So 326k gal per year for 2 households isn't
         | that far off.
        
           | sidewndr46 wrote:
           | 250 gallons a day? Where would someone use that much water?
           | Are they filling their tub 10 times a day?
        
         | driverdan wrote:
         | People use far more water than they should and water is much
         | cheaper than it should be. $25 in water could very well be this
         | much, you'd have to check your bill to see what volume you use.
        
           | brewdad wrote:
           | My town charges $3 per CCF (748 gallons). The biggest
           | challenge to getting residents to alter their usage is that
           | that number gets lost amongst all of the fixed charges. If I
           | turned off my meter for a month, I'd still face $85 in fixed
           | charges. My lowest water bill of the past year was $91 and
           | the highest was $106. Typical bill is $94.
           | 
           | The water usage rates are pretty much noise for all but the
           | poorest families.
        
         | ch4s3 wrote:
         | The average American uses about 29,930 gallons of water per
         | year[1]. The figure of 326,000 gallons is enough for 3 families
         | of four people. However, water usage varies wildly in the US by
         | region and housing type.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.epa.gov/watersense/statistics-and-facts.
        
           | DocTomoe wrote:
           | Compare that to Germany, where the average water consumption
           | per household is 12439 gallons per person per year [1].
           | Sounds to me like Americans are particularly wasteful with
           | their water consumption.
           | 
           | [1] https://www.bdew.de/service/daten-und-
           | grafiken/entwicklung-d... (figure shows liters per day, 129
           | liters per day are about 12438.5 gallons per year)
        
             | ch4s3 wrote:
             | Toilets and lawns probably contribute a lot to this
             | difference.
        
           | jillesvangurp wrote:
           | That's 82 gallons per day. Or 372 liters. Quite a lot.
           | 
           | A standard (inefficient) US toilet uses 1.28 gallons every
           | time you flush it. Lets assume you have four people per
           | household maybe using the toilet about 6 times per day, each.
           | That's almost 30 gallons right there. The average shower
           | takes about 15 gallons. So times four that's 60 gallons right
           | there. Adds up to 80 gallons already. That's before you turn
           | on the washing machine, the dishwasher, watering the lawn,
           | making tea, etc. 82 sounds about right but also very
           | wasteful.
           | 
           | The question of course is could the US do better? And why
           | would it? As it turns out, a lot of places treat water like
           | an almost free commodity. Hence the complete disregard for
           | toilet and shower inefficiencies. If people would pay for it
           | by the gallon at a reasonable amount, they'd fix it. But they
           | aren't.
           | 
           | Say you'd price it a 10 cents per gallon. A 15 gallon shower
           | now costs you 1.50$. Maybe you'd install some water saving
           | shower head and shower bit less long. The actual price is
           | closer to a 1000 gallons for that price. Hence the average
           | American not giving a shit when they flush the toilet, take a
           | shower, etc.
           | 
           | Water isn't cheap to source anymore. Especially if you live
           | in a desert. Taking water from unsustainable sources has the
           | downside that those sources run out eventually. Especially if
           | they are not being replenished naturally anymore. That's what
           | is happening in a lot of places. Water isn't scarce though.
           | Our planet is covered in it. All we need to do is separate it
           | from salt (and our waste) and we can have as much as we want
           | of it. But it comes at a price.
        
             | ryantgtg wrote:
             | I checked our water bill yesterday (Los Angeles), and found
             | we average well over 82 gallons a day. I'm trying to figure
             | out why. Household of 3, no lawns, lots of succulents (a
             | couple fruit trees but we're not crazy about watering). So
             | our water use is largely: daily shower, dishwasher, toilet,
             | sink, washing machine, and reverse osmosis water faucet. We
             | had a crappy tankless water heater for a few years, so I
             | actually removed the water saving shower faucets and sink
             | aerators. I got a new tankless, so now I want to put back
             | on the water saving faucets and see how that impacts
             | results.
             | 
             | But... I was surprised. I could definitely shorten my
             | showers.
        
               | anonAndOn wrote:
               | How old are your toilets? Old toilets could use as much
               | as 7 gallons per flush 30+ years ago. Modern toilets use
               | 1.6 gpf or less. Swapping out a 3gpf toilet that came
               | with the house for a modern one made a helluva difference
               | in my usage.
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | Reverse osmosis throws a lot of water down the drain to
               | keep the filters from clogging. I'm just an hour or so
               | south of you and get the water doesn't taste incredible
               | out of the sink, but I got a Pur countertop water filter
               | which gets the chalky taste out without wasting any
               | water, might be worth a try? Reverse osmosis is pretty
               | intense if your water coming out of the pipe is treated,
               | it's better suited for people with totally untreated
               | water IMO
        
               | ch4s3 wrote:
               | My guess would be that the RO filter is dumping a bunch.
               | They seem to use 4 gallons for every 1 gallon of filtered
               | water [1]. I personally do't like RO water, it tastes off
               | to me and I appreciate having a. little fluoride in my
               | water to fight off tooth decay.
               | 
               | [1]https://americanhomewater.com/the-truth-about-reverse-
               | osmosi...
        
               | kylehotchkiss wrote:
               | I lived overseas for a bit somewhere where you have to
               | have an RO filter to drink from the tap. Nearly every
               | filter on the market has mineral restoration packs which
               | I think help with that bland water RO taste. One of the
               | servicemen who changed our filters once warned us that
               | the calcium in our purifier was so low that our bones
               | would lose calcium. While I don't know if I believe it,
               | it was interesting to learn that minerals in drinking
               | water can benefit health
               | 
               | I kind of miss making coffee with water out of that
               | purifier though, it tasted noticeably better
        
               | bombcar wrote:
               | You could try reading the meter and going without one
               | thing each day - but maybe the reverse osmosis filter
               | flushes itself too often?
        
             | ch4s3 wrote:
             | Since 32% of all of American water use is irrigation, I'd
             | probably start with improvements and moves towards more
             | drip irrigation. For domestic use, toilets seem to
             | represent ~24% of use, so moving to dual flush toilets
             | could probably make a big dent. Outdoor water use for homes
             | contribute between 30% and 60% depending on region so
             | discouraging green laws in arid regions is probably a good
             | idea, and that seems to be happening.
        
         | nickphx wrote:
         | Homes are but a drop in the bucket for water consumption when
         | compared with agricultural use.. Many states still use flood
         | irrigation to water crops.
        
         | lost953 wrote:
         | That's ~900 Gal/Day which sounds pretty high for 1 or 2
         | households but I suppose if they are large and have large lawns
         | or something it could be reasonable. I would naively think it
         | is closer to 5 to 10 households.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | rtkwe wrote:
         | If you take the US average of 138 gallons per day and take that
         | out to a year 1 acre-foot is about 6.5 households but out west
         | you probably get more water usage for lawns and things like
         | cooling which is more likely to use swamp coolers than the rest
         | of the US so it's possible.
         | 
         | [0] 138 gallons per day is a little over 190k L/yr
         | https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=138+gallons+per+day+to+...
         | 
         | edit: 138 figure from here. Just took the google knowledge box
         | answer: https://www.watercalculator.org/footprint/indoor-water-
         | use-a...
        
           | francisofascii wrote:
           | So ironically, water usage is higher per household where
           | water is more scarce.
        
             | rtkwe wrote:
             | That's just my guess at the difference. It could also be a
             | figure including other things like the per household usage
             | for hydro-electric power like some other people have
             | guessed in this thread. That would fit with the other
             | mentions of losing hydro-electric power if the lake level
             | were to fall too low.
        
         | cesaref wrote:
         | That does seem like an astonishingly high number, but I guess
         | there is quite a range of water requirements across the
         | country.
         | 
         | To put this in context, it's 10x the water we use in our house
         | in the UK, and I don't think we're particularly low in our
         | water usage (we work out to be around 300 litres a day).
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | ErikVandeWater wrote:
       | It seems best if every household and business got a set quantity
       | of water for free based on their realistic (or typical) need for
       | water, and beyond that water would be priced much more
       | expensively based on how much water is actually available.
       | 
       | Shutting down hydroelectric power is really wasteful since they
       | already are incurring the negative environmental effect of the
       | dam, but without the benefit of getting clean energy.
        
         | TedDoesntTalk wrote:
         | Where I live, price per gallon increases significantly if you
         | exceed a monthly quota (which is not free)
        
       | ncmncm wrote:
       | They could be _doing something_ about the water shortage. A good
       | thing to do would be to erect solar panels over the surfaces of
       | all the reservoirs involved to cut evaporation, and supply power
       | from those when they are producing instead of draining more water
       | out.
       | 
       | Build out enough solar panels, and they can pump water back up at
       | peak times.
       | 
       | Desalinating water and pumping it up would be a bigger project
       | involving a lot of pipe. Before that, put up solar panels to
       | shade the canals, and desalinate water for where the canals lead
       | to.
        
       | ianai wrote:
       | """the Bureau of Reclamation will release an additional 500,000
       | acre-feet (616.7 million cubic meters) of water this year from
       | the Flaming Gorge Reservoir upstream on the Wyoming-Utah border
       | that will flow into Lake Powell."""
       | 
       | Per the article, sounds like they also have about 80% of that in
       | an artificial lake that they'll not release for now.
       | 
       | As someone who's lived his entire life in the southwest: this is
       | bad. The importance of water to life can't be understated but can
       | go unrealized if you're "in the land of plenty" of water. Lack of
       | water has felled societies and started wars throughout history.
       | "People will say they're going to war for all sorts of reasons
       | but ultimately it's for of water, food, or resources."
       | (Paraphrasing)
       | 
       | Further, the answer is probably not to tell people to simply
       | move. That's not a solution for the number of people at stake.
       | Further, this is some of the most renewable energy rich land in
       | the US. Solar panels and some pipes could probably push water in
       | from the oceans reliably enough-levels of renewable energy.
        
         | eloff wrote:
         | I was just at lake Powell a couple weeks ago. It was very sad
         | to see how low the water was. Lone rock is completely dry.
         | Beaches where people used to park their boats are now up 80ft
         | of cliffs. I couldn't help but think I was looking at climate
         | change first hand. I know it's more complex than that, but the
         | feeling was unshakable nonetheless.
         | 
         | I think for now the solution is to raise the price of water for
         | agricultural users and let the chips fall where they may.
         | That's the vast majority of water use in the southwest. One
         | could do this in a somewhat balanced way by offering some
         | financial support for said farmers. But it has to be done.
        
         | wbl wrote:
         | We do not need farms in Arizona when Michigan exists
        
           | zrail wrote:
           | I know you're probably using Michigan just as a foil, but
           | Michigan is sort of a weird case. The land that's able to be
           | farmed is being farmed very well. The problem is that north
           | of a certain point the land is just not very arable[1] due to
           | a number of factors including soil quality and growing season
           | length.
           | 
           | [1]: https://project.geo.msu.edu/geogmich/ag_regions.html
        
         | formerkrogemp wrote:
         | Thirsty folks from California and the Southwest wanting more
         | water to be piped in to feed their water intensive crops and
         | lawns in the desert. I'm sure that'll go down well in outlying
         | regions. Maybe change in meteorological patterns and population
         | levels hitting critical mass without the attendant
         | infrastructure are bad for water levels. Aquifers are depleted.
         | Rainfall is reduced. There's no more snowmelt to bank on as
         | that savings account has been drained. Wildfires, drought, and
         | rising sea levels will displace significant numbers of people.
         | Agriculture will shift north and east. I think California
         | peaked a few years ago.
        
           | skybrian wrote:
           | It's particularly galling when many California cities have
           | desalination as an option and it's opposed in many places.
           | Farming is going to have to cut back regardless, though,
           | since it uses 80% of the water. (Not including environmental
           | use.)
        
             | azemetre wrote:
             | Why is farming an improper use of water? I mean nations
             | need to grow food and not rely on other countries as their
             | bread basket, that seems like good systems planning. As for
             | the types of food I suppose that is a good discussion to
             | have but how do you deal with the reality that beef is an
             | enormous use of water over nearly every single crop?
        
               | freeone3000 wrote:
               | It's a _desert_. There are way better regions to grow
               | food.
        
               | ac29 wrote:
               | The central valley, where most of CA's food is grown, is
               | not a desert. It was formerly mostly grasslands.
        
               | formerkrogemp wrote:
               | It's a desert now. Or will be. There's no more snowmelt
               | to rely on. Rainfall is down. Aquifers are depleted so
               | much the ground is sinking. Someone said I'm this thread
               | that San Diego isn't a desert because they get 20% more
               | rain than a desert by definition. 10 inches per year is
               | really not a lot to replenish your water levels.
        
               | skybrian wrote:
               | I don't think farming in California will ever go away,
               | but conserving water (say, cutting back by 20%) means
               | that some crops might not be grown in California anymore.
               | And the farming that's done will use water more
               | efficiently.
               | 
               | (Also, regarding the "bread basket," grain is not
               | typically grown out west, I don't think? That's east of
               | the Rockies.)
        
               | google234123 wrote:
               | If they cut back by 5% then residential people would get
               | 25% more water.
        
               | skybrian wrote:
               | This is true, but remember that averages can be
               | misleading. Available water is a very spiky graph [1].
               | Reservoirs balance it out some, but cities need and can
               | afford _reliable_ water, so backup sources are good, even
               | if they 're expensive.
               | 
               | [1] https://d32ogoqmya1dw8.cloudfront.net/images/trex/stu
               | dents/l...
               | 
               | From:
               | https://serc.carleton.edu/trex/students/labs/lab4_1.html
        
               | rurp wrote:
               | Growing food in the desert is the improper part. There
               | are plenty of areas in other parts of the country that
               | aren't experiencing crippling drought. That is where
               | water intensive crops should be grown.
               | 
               | Most southwest desert farming only exists because of
               | government subsidies. If farmers actually had to pay
               | market rate for water most farms in this region would not
               | be possible.
        
               | azemetre wrote:
               | That's a good point, something I am curious about now is
               | the water costs of desert farming versus cattle ranching.
               | Just wondering how close the gap actually is, I honestly
               | want to say desert farming uses less resources than
               | raising cattle for slaughter but I'm unsure and just
               | guessing from the hip here.
        
               | rurp wrote:
               | I'm not sure how they compare in terms of water, but
               | cattle ranching could certainly be done with less impact
               | in less dry regions as well.
               | 
               | One unique problem to cattle ranching in the southwest is
               | that many of them are allowed to free range on public
               | lands. Those cattle eat a lot of native vegetation which
               | leads to worse wildfires and greatly harm native
               | wildlife. They also trample cryptobiotic soil, resulting
               | in much worse dust storms.
               | 
               | I wish we could move agriculture entirely out of areas
               | that get less than 5" of rain per year, especially since
               | so much of the country is better suited for it. Subsidies
               | are sticky though, not many farmers will willingly give
               | up their handouts and few politicians want to fight that
               | battle.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | pram wrote:
         | > Further, the answer is probably not to tell people to simply
         | move.
         | 
         | Though if you consider the long-term outlook apocalyptic and
         | you own a house in these states, it would be prudent to sell
         | before everyone else.
        
           | mywittyname wrote:
           | The Federal government has set the precedent that they will
           | bail out people impacted by climate change in the USA.
        
             | giantg2 wrote:
             | Only when it's convenient. They did change the rules about
             | FEMA and insurance when it comes to floods. They also
             | adjusted the flood area designations to include theoretical
             | risk (ie places that have never had a flood problem).
        
           | kingkawn wrote:
           | I already know multiple people who have left southern
           | California in order to beat the rush out. They consider
           | themselves climate refugees.
        
         | jcranmer wrote:
         | The real solution to the water crisis is to start by admitting
         | that water _is_ a scarce resource in the region that needs to
         | be rationed somehow and then start working on an equitable plan
         | for rationing.
         | 
         | While water is necessary for life, a lot of the water usage in
         | a suburban lifestyle is just plain wasted. To give an idea,
         | when I worked at a water treatment plant, I got to see just how
         | different the water consumption rates were between winter and
         | summer--winter water usage was roughly half that of summer.
         | 
         | So a simple starting point for water rationing is... ban lawns
         | and watering lawns (if you don't like such bans, then I'd
         | alternatively suggest changing water rates so that it's cost-
         | exorbitant to water a lawn). If you want to live in a desert,
         | you need to landscape your house appropriately for living in a
         | desert.
         | 
         | The next contentious point will be a readjustment of the water
         | rates for agricultural perspectives. The simple truth of the
         | matter is that residential water usage--especially if you
         | remove lawn care from the equation--is highly recoverable as
         | drinkable water, since almost all of that water goes back down
         | the sewer pipes. Agricultural water usage is generally far less
         | recoverable, especially if you're growing plants for export
         | whose mass is mostly water (which means you are rather
         | literally exporting water).
        
           | mimikatz wrote:
           | Or just raise the price of water to a market level and let
           | things work themselves out. people waste and act irrationally
           | when they get something for less than it should cost.
        
             | uoaei wrote:
             | And kill everyone who can't afford it?
        
               | baggy_trough wrote:
               | What nonsense! Are you worried that rich people will buy
               | all the food, or use all the gasoline?
        
               | uoaei wrote:
               | It seems you have misunderstood. This point is not about
               | supply of water, it is about supply of dollars in a given
               | wallet. Doesn't matter how much water is in supply: if
               | someone cannot meet the price, they won't have access.
               | 
               | Any time there is a minimum price on something, people
               | who cannot afford that price won't receive that thing.
               | When that thing is water, they will die. Seems pretty
               | straightforward to me.
        
               | baggy_trough wrote:
               | We charge for water now. I'm not aware of any poor
               | Californians dying of thirst due to cost. So I believe
               | your hypothesis is wrong.
        
               | Lammy wrote:
               | > I'm not aware of any poor Californians dying of thirst
               | due to cost.
               | 
               |  _Lockary v. Kayfetz_ is a good place you can start: http
               | s://lawcat.berkeley.edu/record/1121751/files/fulltext.pd.
               | ..
               | 
               | "With new construction halted and Bolinas's desirability
               | unabated--or enhanced--after the moratorium, housing
               | became pricier. In 1979, to create more affordable
               | housing, the District allowed property owners to build
               | second units on their property. Today [2007], property
               | owners waiting for a chance to develop outnumber property
               | owners with [water] meters, and homes can easily fetch $1
               | million."
        
               | baggy_trough wrote:
               | People in Bolinas are dying of thirst?
        
               | Lammy wrote:
               | You will find it difficult to quantify a dollar-value of
               | the damage done to people who would like to live in a
               | particular place but have been locked out due to
               | artificial constraints on housing supply. That's why it's
               | such an effective strategy.
        
               | silisili wrote:
               | Just make the first 3-4000 gallons at typical rates, and
               | ramp the price way up over said threshold.
               | 
               | Water companies already charge gallon prices by usage
               | today, just not to any deterrent extent.
        
               | bliteben wrote:
               | This is how my water is priced in a place with over 80
               | inches a year.
        
               | silisili wrote:
               | 80 inches of rain!?! Curious where that is! I lived in
               | about 50ish inches and found that too much already.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | To do this, though, you'd have to resolve the water rights
             | issue first. The vast majority of water consumption is by
             | farmers who are not in the same market as residential
             | consumers. There's little point in making regular people
             | pay a progressive rate for water usage.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Raising rates has two points.
               | 
               | 1) Raise the price of residential water until the cities
               | can buy the water from farmers.
               | 
               | 2) Raise the price to curtail use until cities can
               | operate within their existing supply
        
               | 11101010001100 wrote:
               | Sounds just like bitcoin mining/farming.
        
             | jjav wrote:
             | > Or just raise the price of water to a market level and
             | let things work themselves out.
             | 
             | This doesn't work well for something which is required to
             | support life and a scarce resource.
             | 
             | The result would be that the very rich still continue to
             | water their acre of front lawn, wasting a lot of water on
             | something nonproductive because money is not an issue.
             | Meanwhile poor and middle class people get priced out of
             | being able to afford basic usage of water to live.
        
               | gilbetron wrote:
               | progressive water rates. Figure out a decent figure for a
               | person to live on in a decent manner (say 100 gallons, or
               | whatever), then make that 100 gallons super cheap, but go
               | above that and it rapidly gets expensive.
        
               | baggy_trough wrote:
               | On the contrary, it works very well indeed, and far
               | better than a centrally planned "equitable" allocation
               | system. Such a system is the very reason we're in the
               | pickle we're in!
        
             | effingwewt wrote:
             | This proposal always ignores poor people. How are those
             | with low/no income supppsed to afford it.
             | 
             | We will have a housing and _water_ crisis as it will bring
             | investors and speculators. It has destroyed oil prices,
             | housing, land, etc.
             | 
             | Our market is a sham. Tying essential life-giving water to
             | it was a mistake.
        
               | mywittyname wrote:
               | You can have progressive water rates. Everyone gets X
               | gallons of water at the current rate, then the rate goes
               | up by 10 times. Then perhaps another 10x for the top 1%
               | of water usage.
               | 
               | Not doing anything makes the situation worse for
               | everyone, poor people included.
               | 
               | The good thing about a market-based approach is that it
               | might allow for water to be obtained from means that are
               | currently economically non-viable. Perhaps high-volume
               | water users would happily pay 1000x current prices, and
               | at those prices, desalination, or other alternate forms
               | of water collection become viable.
               | 
               | You might be able to give water to poor people for free.
               | If there was a system where a households using under a
               | certain volume of water could pay nothing, in exchange
               | for freeing up water to be sold to large purchasers who
               | pay 10-1000x the per gallon price.
        
               | jjav wrote:
               | > You can have progressive water rates.
               | 
               | > You might be able to give water to poor people for
               | free.
               | 
               | This would be a lot more fair. Allocate a reasonably
               | small minimum amount of gallons/month/person and that is
               | very cheap (maybe not free). Then have increasing tiers
               | of expensive and much more expensive usage. If someone
               | wants to have an acre of lawn it should cost them
               | millions a month instead of just thousands as today.
               | 
               | Unfortunately some water systems in California have
               | almost gone in the other direction to discourage
               | conservation. During the previous drought they encouraged
               | conservation and everyone did. Then they complained about
               | not making enough money because people conserved.
               | 
               | Instead of raising the top-tier consumption rates to
               | compensate, instead they raised the base rates by a huge
               | amount (base rate being the flat monthly fee they charge
               | even if you use zero gallons). It's not almost $100/month
               | just to be connected even if usage is zero. So a poor
               | family who conserves a lot and barely uses water is still
               | stuck with a huge bill.
        
               | tick_tock_tick wrote:
               | Pretty sure this is by design when possible California
               | prefers regressive taxes. Some good examples: gas tax,
               | vehicle registration, highest sales tax in the country
               | (7.25%) with most counties raising it even more, parcel
               | taxes, etc.
        
               | scotuswroteus wrote:
               | Rich people can afford to game those rules. We don't have
               | a rulemaking system that doesn't eventually cede to
               | lobbying where flat, even rules evolve into entire
               | regulatory systems that favor the rich
        
               | Lammy wrote:
               | > How are those with low/no income supposed to afford it.
               | 
               | They're not -- they're supposed to suffer and die in a
               | way that's "their fault" or that "couldn't be helped".
               | Bolinas California is a prototypical example of this,
               | where a complete ban on new water hookups has been the
               | excuse to prevent any new housing construction at all
               | since the civil rights era: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki
               | /Bolinas,_California#Bolinas_Co...
        
               | tick_tock_tick wrote:
               | They ignore it because it's a non issue since. We do
               | progressive pricing with all sorts of stuff and the
               | amount of water needed to support a household is vastly
               | different than a farm or other large scale operation.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Most cities already have progressive water costs. Enough
               | to drink and bathe is cheapest, and overage to water huge
               | lawns and fill pools costs more per gallon.
        
               | wswope wrote:
               | This is fully detached from mainstream economic theory.
               | Barring a few rural agriculturalists, people below the
               | poverty line don't make a dent in overall water usage - a
               | small handful of wealthy individuals and organizations
               | use the vast majority of water. Pricing water
               | appropriately benefits those poor, rural agriculturalists
               | in the long run too, as appropriate rationing means they
               | don't have to compete with their wealthier neighbors in a
               | race-to-the-bottom arms war, drilling ever deeper into
               | depleted aquifers and purchasing potable water for
               | drinking.
               | 
               | Not to mention the bandaid solution of subsidizing water
               | only up to, e.g., the first thousand gallons per resident
               | per month.
        
               | nawgz wrote:
               | Actually, poor people pay significantly (2 orders
               | magnitude) more per unit water than (presumably sometimes
               | corporate) farmers, who are often growing cash crops that
               | make almost no impact on feeding anyone in the area.
               | 
               | I don't disagree with the market being a fancy BS system
               | to separate the working class from the wealth or
               | anything, but you can't let your politics colour your
               | perception in arenas you know nothing about. Otherwise
               | you are ironically furthering the exact politic you
               | probably hate - emotionally driven
        
           | jdkee wrote:
           | "The real solution to the water crisis is to start by
           | admitting that water is a scarce resource in the region that
           | needs to be rationed somehow and then start working on an
           | equitable plan for rationing."
           | 
           | A better plan would be to let the market allocate water. If
           | people want golf courses, lawns, almond trees, microchip
           | plants, etc. let them pay market prices for the necessary
           | water.
        
             | jjav wrote:
             | > A better plan would be to let the market allocate water.
             | If people want golf courses, lawns, almond trees, microchip
             | plants, etc. let them pay market prices for the necessary
             | water.
             | 
             | Those who use lots of water on such things also have tons
             | of money to spend on it without caring much, or at all. So
             | it won't conserve any water, but it will price out all the
             | poor and middle class people who can't play that game.
        
               | 0xffff2 wrote:
               | Progressive pricing is already a thing in other utility
               | markets. Set tiers such that any single household can
               | afford enough water to live and ramp up from there.
        
               | Panzer04 wrote:
               | Except market driven allocation by and large works,
               | despite the sheer denial going on here. Not every user of
               | water is uncaring of price, and water prices demonstrably
               | work. I don't understand the resistance against such a
               | measure, this is probably a textbook example of where
               | market-driven allocation would work well. Most people
               | don't need enough water for even reasonably high prices
               | to be a serious issue.
        
             | adhesive_wombat wrote:
             | I've always wondered this about microchip plants and their
             | water usage. They need ultrapure water, so it makes sense
             | that they'd need a lot of water if they're using reverse
             | osmosis systems. However, for every one litre of pure water
             | used, hundreds of litres of water just a shade less pure
             | are produced. Can't this just be resold, since for any
             | other purpose, it's still perfectly fine water.
        
           | fooey wrote:
           | I completely agree that the first step is to admit water is
           | scarce and the cost of usage needs to reflect that.
           | 
           | The Utah Governor is an alfalfa farmer though, so good luck
           | getting the states upstream to do play ball
           | 
           | https://www.sltrib.com/news/2021/07/16/cox-says-its-
           | ignorant...
           | 
           | > Gov. Spencer Cox -- a farmer himself -- is calling on
           | Utahns to conserve water to help save the state's farms and
           | ranches. And he doesn't want to hear from anyone that the
           | state's water woes can be solved by further restricting the
           | flow to farms.
           | 
           | > That's "very uninformed," Cox said. "I might say ignorant.
           | ... Nobody has done more to cut back on water usage in this
           | state than our farmers," whose water has been cut "between 70
           | and 75% on most farms. As a result, that's dramatically
           | reducing crops."
        
             | balthasar wrote:
             | The alfalfa must flow.
        
             | jiocrag wrote:
             | What do you think the animals that you eat eat? Just
             | because you don't directly consume alfalfa doesn't make it
             | a wasteful crop.
        
           | systemvoltage wrote:
           | I totally disagree. This is the mentality of defeatism.
           | Instead, we should be trying to solve "Why is this not
           | abundant" and use technology to stave off scarcity-driven
           | society.
           | 
           | If this was 1960's, our society would get together, move
           | earth and mountains and solve the problem. Today's generation
           | of people are being taught to live a scarcity-driven life.
           | 
           | I will vote against any politician that wants to reduce the
           | QoL but giving a pass to globalisation or unnecessary farming
           | in the region that cannot support it. You shouldn't be
           | growing Avocados in a water scarce region.
           | 
           | First remove your special interest groups that get a free
           | pass for polluting the environment or using resources for
           | their own interest by reducing citizen's QoL.
        
           | AviationAtom wrote:
           | I appreciate that you point out that agriculture exports
           | contain the local water.
           | 
           | I have always found it cool when in a showerthought moment,
           | thinking how kind of cool it is that I'm consuming water from
           | another part of the world, as I munch on whatever produce.
        
           | imchillyb wrote:
           | Your /first/ solution is to ban US Citizens from using our
           | own resource?
           | 
           | WTF man?!
           | 
           | Have you ever watched the program: How it's Made? This
           | television program, unintentionally, showcases the massive
           | water-waste that corporations perpetrate daily.
           | 
           | How about we ban manufacturing processes that use water? How
           | about we force companies that use our water to pay Citizens
           | the ACTUAL VALUE of the water, and not a made-up price that
           | makes their business competitive?
           | 
           | How about we tell those companies to _go-F themselves_ until
           | they have a manufacturing plan that doesn 't include our
           | limited water supply?
           | 
           | But, no, your immediate solution is to harm the Citizens...
           | Again, wtf?! @Jcranmer
        
           | r00fus wrote:
           | Given that non-residential is 80% of usage, it seems like
           | that'd be where we should start looking at recycling water
           | usage.
        
             | wfhordie wrote:
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | Agricultural water is usually not for sale to supplement
               | your residential usage. Your lawn or shower is competing
               | with other residential uses, not agriculture.
        
               | google234123 wrote:
               | Agricultural water is taking a growing percentage of the
               | total in California. They are focing residential people
               | to have to ration
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | California has a framework of private water rights.
               | 
               | If residential people want more water beyond what they
               | own the rights to, they have to buy it from someone who
               | does.
               | 
               | It is really that simple.
        
               | kbutler wrote:
               | But agricultural water could be entered into the market
               | for residential usage - the current legal structure
               | incentivizes using the water for agriculture, rather than
               | allowing reselling for higher-value-per-gallon uses.
               | 
               | I was curious about the almond statistic above. Sounds
               | like "1-3 gallons" is exaggerated, but that 1-gallon-per-
               | almond is at least on the right order of magnitude, but
               | farmers are working to reduce water use.
               | https://farmtogether.com/learn/blog/dispelling-
               | miconceptions...
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | In some cases water could be repurposed into the
               | residential market, for a price. The state could buy the
               | farmers lands and water rights, or buy out their
               | preexisting contracts with water suppliers.
               | 
               | The taxpayers don't want to pay for this, so the water is
               | effectively off limits.
               | 
               | Is requiring compensation for seizure the challenging
               | legal structure you mentioned?
               | 
               | The gallons per nut argument is pretty arbitrary. If you
               | look at calories per gallon, nuts are better than almost
               | all vegetables, most meats and many fruits. The high
               | water per mass is basically a result of nuts being one of
               | the most energy dense foods, and photosynthesis requiring
               | water to create calories.
               | 
               | If you want to go down that rabbit hole, you can start
               | looking at the gallons per mass for different foods and
               | comparing their caloric density.
               | 
               | https://www.healabel.com/water-footprints-of-food-list/
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | jcoq wrote:
           | 70% of the water in Arizona goes to farming. Our state ships
           | hay to the Middle East. Subsidized water is a ridiculous
           | subversion of market economics.
           | 
           | Blaming this on suburban households is like pretending that
           | climate change would be solved if only consumers would be
           | mindful of their carbon footprints.
        
             | s1artibartfast wrote:
             | It is not a matter of subsidized water, It is a challenge
             | around private water ownership and public demand.
             | 
             | Most western states have some form of private water
             | ownership, where land owners own the water under it, like
             | gold, oil, ect.
             | 
             | Most of the population is urban, and don't have sufficient
             | water ownership to meet their demands, particularly in
             | times of drought.
             | 
             | This creates a natural conflict between owners who want to
             | use it for one thing, and thirsty cities who don't own the
             | water.
             | 
             | The the extent it is a the fault of suburban households, it
             | is their fault for not buying the water or lands to meet
             | their needs.
             | 
             | https://mywaterearth.com/who-are-the-global-water-grabbers/
        
               | scarmig wrote:
               | If a perfect market existed in water in western states,
               | the cost of a gallon of water would be the same whether
               | directed to urban or agricultural uses. It clearly isn't,
               | which is a pretty clear sign that there are high
               | frictions facing people who want to purchase the water
               | they need.
               | 
               | A fix to this requires a change in policy.
        
               | s1artibartfast wrote:
               | It is not the price of a gallon that is being paid, but
               | the right to use a gallon for all time. There are indeed
               | high frictions, mostly in the form of upfront capital
               | costs.
               | 
               | If you want to buy a farmers water, they want to be
               | compensated for sunk capital and future earnings. They
               | bought land, planted it, drilled wells, and have 30+
               | years of future earnings, after which, they could sell
               | their rights.
               | 
               | In short, the relevant market is for the water rights,
               | not the water itself.
        
             | seandoe wrote:
             | This. I live in Utah and it's the same story.
        
             | yawz wrote:
             | I believe that number is even higher in California: ~80%
             | 
             | How much almond California produces? Given the fact that
             | "one ounce of almonds requires ~23 gallons of water", do
             | the math!
        
             | scarmig wrote:
             | That reminds of me of when my state made a big show of
             | banning restaurants from automatically bringing water to
             | your table, when 80% of our water use goes to agriculture.
        
               | jiocrag wrote:
               | Dude... farms make food lol. You don't need an extra cup
               | of water without asking, but farms need water to grow
               | food. This is the type of delusional entitlement that is
               | ruining the planet.
        
             | adolph wrote:
             | Here is a source(ish) for the above. On the supply side:
             | 41% Groundwater        36% Colorado River (limited to 2.8
             | million acre feet annually)       18% In-state Rivers
             | (unlimited)       5% Reclaimed Water
             | 
             | https://www.arizonawaterfacts.com/water-your-facts
        
             | bogota wrote:
             | It's becoming unbearable that every issue facing society is
             | the consumers fault. I take a ten minute shower and I'm
             | destroying the world but the farmer growing crops that
             | wouldn't exist in the region without imported water is
             | fine.
             | 
             | I realize we can fix more than one thing but the arguments
             | i am always seeing is stating the consumer is the biggest
             | issue and it's infuriating.
        
               | colpabar wrote:
               | If they can convince us that everything is our fault,
               | then we'll turn to fighting amongst ourselves, and
               | nothing will change. Which is exactly where we're at, and
               | not just with climate issues.
               | 
               | Stop trusting the people on TV!
        
               | jiocrag wrote:
               | Whose fault is it?
        
               | grapeskin wrote:
               | To an extent, it is. Americans can't do much about hay
               | shipped to the Middle East, but buying cheap produce out
               | of season pushes markets to grow crops in unusual places.
               | Less of a problem when buying in-season foods from down
               | the road, but that'd mean customers also have to stop
               | shopping at places like Walmart.
        
               | R0b0t1 wrote:
               | Americans can fix the subsidized water distribution. Why
               | allow people in the Middle east to purchase US hay at a
               | discount? Charge fair market price.
        
               | jiocrag wrote:
               | The difference is that we need to eat -- you don't need
               | to take 10 minute showers or water your lawn. It _IS_ the
               | over-consuming citizen (i.e. you) causing these problems
               | at the end of the day, whether that fact makes you
               | uncomfortable or not.
        
             | syspec wrote:
             | I think they alluded to that in their reply
        
           | lesgobrandon wrote:
        
           | revscat wrote:
           | The real solution is to get rid of fossil fuels as quickly as
           | possible and by any means necessary, no matter the cost.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | Rationing is a very blunt instrument.
           | 
           | What works is setting a price for water usage that lets
           | supply and demand meet at a sustainable level.
           | 
           | This would require changing many laws and regulations, which
           | is probably very hard to accomplish because the powerful
           | interests that benefit from the current system.
           | 
           | Nonetheless, that _is_ the solution to strive for.
        
         | bart_spoon wrote:
         | > Further, the answer is probably not to tell people to simply
         | move. That's not a solution for the number of people at stake.
         | 
         | While I agree, we probably _should_ start telling people to
         | stop moving there. The places in the US that are getting the
         | largest influx of people are the same places that are going to
         | be impacted the most by climate change: the West and the South.
         | Some of the fastest growing cities in the nation are in Utah
         | and Arizona, the exact areas we are discussing here.
         | 
         | I used to live in Utah and now live in the Midwest. A lot of
         | people I know feel strongly that they would rather live in the
         | West over the Midwest for various reasons, some of which I
         | agree with, but I can't imagine moving back out there and
         | taking on a mortgage in the area where it seems like the water
         | crisis is a ticking time bomb.
         | 
         | I'd love to be wrong, but if the worst case scenarios are
         | realized, a lot of suffering will be happening to people who
         | have put themselves in the situation well after the warning
         | signs became widely recognized.
        
         | zackees wrote:
         | California topped off all of their reservoirs in 2019. These
         | systems of dams are designed to sustain california for five
         | years, according to local farmers that i've talked to. However
         | the water supply is being diverted into the ocean now because
         | of insane environmental laws.
         | 
         | A farmer in california pays more for water than labor, taxes or
         | anything else.
        
           | Arrath wrote:
           | 2019, while being a wet year, did not come close to the
           | monumental claim of "topping off all their reservoirs". Got
           | anything to back that up?
           | 
           | As for mandated minimum flow levels, would you rather the
           | river courses run dry?
        
           | sulam wrote:
           | Do you get your news by reading signs along 99?
        
           | warcher wrote:
           | Gonna need some citations on that one big hoss. Most of the
           | talk out of California lately is farmers in an arms race to
           | drill the deepest well, because they're planting water-hungry
           | crops like almonds like fiends (good profit margins so fuck
           | the water table).
        
           | kickout wrote:
           | as they should? water where water isn't naturally should be
           | very expensive from an environmental footprint. Externalities
           | and all that
        
           | anonAndOn wrote:
           | > diverted into the ocean now because of insane environmental
           | laws
           | 
           | Is that from the Resnick [0] talking points memo? The
           | Resnicks should grow their almonds back in the Middle East
           | where they belong instead of in the CA desert.
           | 
           | [0]https://www.forbes.com/profile/stewart-lynda-
           | resnick/?sh=274...
        
         | rurp wrote:
         | The water authority in Southern Nevada recently authorized
         | 800,000 _new_ housing connections. So one of the organizations
         | that should be managing the water emergency is actively making
         | it worse.
         | 
         | The problem is that they make a lot more money on new
         | connections than serving existing ones. So existing residents
         | are (correctly) being told to restrict water, but then the same
         | people saying that are turning around and greatly exacerbating
         | the problem.
        
         | snarfy wrote:
         | There really isn't a lot of reason for phoenix to exist. Before
         | the invention of air conditioning it was merely a truck stop
         | between the texas coast and the california cost. Everything
         | there is artificially put there and the only thing making it
         | possible is the water. If everyone tries to stay, the price of
         | water will adjust accordingly. Any crisis with the water will
         | be handled by government as well as they handled covid.
        
         | freeopinion wrote:
         | As for telling people to move, that actually is a solution even
         | for the number of people at stake. Look how many million people
         | left California in the last two years. Just ask Boise, ID. If
         | you start charging $20/CCF instead of $5/CCF to fill an
         | olympic-sized swimming pool, immigration into California might
         | come to a screeching halt.
         | 
         | You don't have to solve the problem in a single year. You can
         | have a 10 or 20 year target to get to zero growth. Just put a
         | cap on building permits.
         | 
         | But plenty of people will scream bloody murder about that.
         | Aren't FAANGs already shelling out millions to add housing
         | because of shortages? Nevada is trying to pipe water in from
         | Idaho and Utah. A Southern Nevada community that doesn't even
         | exist yet just proposed to cut off the water to a neighboring
         | community with thousands of residents so that the planned
         | community could build homes.
         | 
         | Don't reject any solution out of hand. Population growth
         | management is an obvious place to spend some really good
         | thinking.
        
           | alimov wrote:
           | Yeah people moving out and people moving in. It's not like CA
           | lost "millions of people".
           | 
           | https://www.capolicylab.org/pandemic-patterns-california-
           | is-...
        
           | ParksNet wrote:
           | Enforcing US immigration laws and securing the Southern
           | Border should be pursued from an environmental sustainability
           | angle, at least. Seal the border properly and that's 2million
           | people each year we don't have to feed, house, or water.
           | 
           | Deport the 10-20 million already inside the USA and that's an
           | even greater improvement.
        
             | pessimizer wrote:
             | We could also start exiling US citizens and liquidating
             | (ironically) undesirables.
        
             | hall0ween wrote:
             | This doesn't address the largest consumers of water in the
             | area, as stated above. People consume far less water than
             | business and ag.
             | 
             | IMO, golf courses in the southwest is straight up foolish.
             | Start the ax there.
        
               | giantg2 wrote:
               | Just because I'm a smart-ass... it actually might address
               | the agricultural aspect if farmers don't have access to
               | the stereotypical labor sources.
               | 
               | "golf courses in the southwest is straight up foolish."
               | 
               | Or turn them into full size putt putt with astroturf. I
               | wonder if that's ever been done. Would be comical to see.
        
           | colechristensen wrote:
           | Human consumption if you have an ocean isn't much of a
           | concern in the dry places, desalination is cheap enough for
           | what people can pay.
           | 
           | Agricultural and industrial usage, not so much.
        
           | oasisbob wrote:
           | > You don't have to solve the problem in a single year.
           | 
           | Yes, you do. Or nearly so. This is not a problem that has
           | decades to go. If Lake Powell drops below the minimum power
           | pool (as early as 2024), the results could easily be dramatic
           | and horrifying.
           | 
           | It's not even known if long-term water releases from the Glen
           | Canyon dam are possible without using the power plant.
        
           | jjav wrote:
           | > If you start charging $20/CCF instead of $5/CCF to fill an
           | olympic-sized swimming pool, immigration into California
           | might come to a screeching halt.
           | 
           | 1.33 CCF = 1000 gallons.
           | 
           | So $20/1 CCF = $26.6/1000 gallons.
           | 
           | It's already near those rates, my water bill which I paid
           | last week was roughly ~$20 per 1000 gallons.
        
             | freeopinion wrote:
             | Where do you live? The California Water Service Company
             | tariff for 1-8 CCF is $4.269/CCF for residential metered
             | service in East Los Angeles.
        
             | tzs wrote:
             | This really makes me appreciate my well.
             | 
             | It uses around $0.45 in electricity to pump 1000 gallons
             | from my well continuously. Around $0.37 for 1000 gallons
             | pumped intermittently.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | kk6mrp wrote:
           | Building permits are already crazy expensive in California;
           | you can save a lot of money by building in another state.
        
           | pkaye wrote:
           | Since farming is 80% of water use, cutting out a little bit
           | of the water intensive farming will provide for any
           | residential needs for some time.
        
             | uoaei wrote:
             | Yup. Orchard farmers will routinely leave their thirstier
             | crops in puddles of water, leaving their sprinklers on the
             | whole day because it's easier and less management than a
             | smarter plan. Any exposed water that evaporates from the
             | surface is effectively _wasted_ and won 't be replenished
             | until the next rain- or snowfall.
        
               | adolph wrote:
               | _Meet the California Couple Who Uses More Water Than
               | Every Home in Los Angeles Combined_
               | 
               |  _How megafarmers Lynda and Stewart Resnick built their
               | billion-dollar empire._
               | 
               | https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/08/lynda-
               | stewar...
               | 
               |  _Having shrewdly maneuvered the backroom politics of
               | California's byzantine water rules, they are now thought
               | to consume more of the state's water than any other
               | family, farm, or company. They control more of it in some
               | years than what's used by the residents of Los Angeles
               | and the entire San Francisco Bay Area combined._
               | 
               | [...]
               | 
               |  _Their land came with decades-old contracts with the
               | state and federal government that allow them to purchase
               | water piped south by state canals. The Kern Water Bank
               | gave them the ability to store this water and sell it
               | back to the state at a premium in times of drought.
               | According to an investigation by the Contra Costa Times,
               | between 2000 and 2007 the Resnicks bought water for
               | potentially as little as $28 per acre-foot (the amount
               | needed to cover one acre in one foot of water) and then
               | sold it for as much as $196 per acre-foot to the state,
               | which used it to supply other farmers whose Delta supply
               | had been previously curtailed. The couple pocketed more
               | than $30 million in the process._
        
             | MattGaiser wrote:
             | Yep. All other discussions are fiddling around the edges
             | while you still have farmers casually spraying water in the
             | hot air as it is cheaper than pipes.
        
               | freeopinion wrote:
               | Then raise the price of water. I don't get a Nobel Prize
               | for this. It really just earns me a Captain Obvious
               | sticker.
               | 
               | In the short term, your food will be more expensive. In
               | the long term, people will invest in water-reduced
               | production. Want to see fintech and crypto currency
               | startups at YC get replaced by VF (vertical farming)
               | startups claiming to reduce water use by 80%? Just raise
               | the price of water by 1C//liter. VFVC (vertical farming
               | venture capital) will be all the rage.
        
               | rootusrootus wrote:
               | You're assuming farmers are paying for water the same way
               | residential consumers do. "Just raise the price of water"
               | doesn't work without first reforming a lot of law.
        
               | ausbah wrote:
               | I think the recent bouts of inflation show that people
               | don't take large price hikes kindly
        
               | JaimeThompson wrote:
               | In a country where major companies get governments to
               | fund their factories while they spend billions on stock
               | buybacks that is unlikely to be allowed to happen.
        
               | ericmay wrote:
               | Well that's it. Pack it up. There's no solution as long
               | as government can be bought by companies.
        
             | bushbaba wrote:
             | ...and if you stop farming in california. Inflation will go
             | up.
             | 
             | Realistically, California could and should start a major
             | water works project to import water from the east or
             | pacific northwest.
        
               | pkaye wrote:
               | Only alterantive is to cut back some of the corn/soybean
               | production in the midwest and grow some of the other
               | crops grown in California. If that doesn't work, like you
               | said, we can import water but other states need to
               | cooperate and the federal government should chip in some
               | funding. You can't just tell Californians to suck it up
               | and figure this out by themselves when the state has >10%
               | of the population plus many essential crops and
               | industries.
        
               | Kon-Peki wrote:
               | I don't think there is a need to cut back on corn/soybean
               | production. But we definitely need to be growing more
               | fruits and veggies in the midwest.
               | 
               | Last year Illinois passed two laws: one prevents towns
               | and cities from restricting vegetable gardens. If you
               | want to fill your front yard with a hoop house, your city
               | can't stop you. The other forces each county to establish
               | guidelines for p2p food sales and prevents town and
               | cities from stopping it. This needs to be adopted in
               | other states.
        
         | peachtree2 wrote:
         | Almonds in California use so much water it could feed 56 cities
         | the size of Los Angeles (back-of-the-envelope math from
         | publically available sources)
         | 
         | It's not just people that at fault, but an agricultural sector
         | that has no limits on its consumption do to the money and
         | politics involved.
        
           | kk6mrp wrote:
           | They do limit water consumption actually.
        
           | tzs wrote:
           | Since only something like 0.03% of that water actually ends
           | up in the almonds, you need to track what happens to that
           | other 99.97% to determine the actual impact of almonds.
        
         | curiousgal wrote:
        
           | animal_spirits wrote:
           | If you don't want to start a flame war then don't start a
           | flamewar. This is not relevant to the article
        
             | curiousgal wrote:
             | My point is that if people are fighting something that is
             | so inconsequential to their own personal lives, imagine how
             | hard they are going to fight the things that do affect
             | them.on a daily basis. The very same things that need to be
             | done to tackle climate change.
        
               | mmmpop wrote:
               | Hello, you must be new here.
        
             | perihelions wrote:
             | It was a good illustration of
             | 
             | - _" Apophasis... is a rhetorical device wherein the
             | speaker or writer brings up a subject by either denying it,
             | or denying that it should be brought up. Accordingly, it
             | can be seen as a rhetorical relative of irony."_
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apophasis
        
           | 0x7265616374 wrote:
           | For crying out loud, please be informed and limit the
           | hyperbole. _States_ are putting severe limitations on
           | abortion - despite any attempt to conflate, it 's not in fact
           | a "ban." Even if Roe is overturned, that's not outlawing or
           | banning abortion. Rather, it would return the decision to the
           | purview of the states. If/when a state actually outlaws or
           | bans abortion outright, _then_ you could storm the message
           | boards with the ban-alarm. But until then, please, please
           | stop with the hyperbole.
           | 
           | What people don't seem to understand about climate change -
           | or any major macro-civillization-affecting situation - is
           | that humans are by nature _reactive_ rather than _proactive_.
           | This will likely not change in your lifetime, so you can
           | dispense with the  "because X we'll never take action on Y."
           | Humans will never collectively act until there is compelling
           | enough reason to do so. And that likely means catastrophe on
           | some macro level. Until then, the issue will be patched and
           | duct-taped and small-balled, and confirmation bias will
           | abound.
        
             | suture wrote:
        
             | mikebonnell wrote:
             | Several states have laws that would in fact create an
             | immediate ban is Roe v Wade is overturned.
             | 
             | Specifically, Kentucky, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and South
             | Dakota. Idaho, bans would start 30 days after Roe v Wade is
             | overturned. Several other states, the Attorney General just
             | needs to say yes and abortion is banned.
        
               | cronix wrote:
               | Yes, individual states are choosing for themselves via
               | their duly elected legislatures and governors how they
               | want to handle it if the ruling is overturned. Just like
               | some states place limits on gun magazine capacities. They
               | believe it's best for them, and absent a national law,
               | they can.
        
               | mikebonnell wrote:
               | Agreed, absent Roe v Wade the states must choose for
               | themselves. I was hoping to clarify that:
               | 
               | "States are putting severe limitations on abortion -
               | despite any attempt to conflate, it's not in fact a
               | "ban." Even if Roe is overturned, that's not outlawing or
               | banning abortion." was incorrect as several states have
               | put in place abortion bans if Roe v Wade is overturned.
        
           | jdhn wrote:
           | >I don't mean to start a flamewar but in a country where
           | abortion is being outlawed
           | 
           | 1. If you're worried about starting a flamewar, then don't
           | start one.
           | 
           | 2. Abortion isn't being outlawed at the federal level, its
           | simply being returned to the states.
        
           | Arrath wrote:
           | Agreed 100%, unfortunately.
        
           | yes_i_can wrote:
        
         | irrational wrote:
         | > the answer is probably not to tell people to simply move
         | 
         | What about telling people to stop building in these areas? Last
         | time I looked they were still building new housing developments
         | in Las Vegas! Of course, I also think people should stop
         | building in Miami because of the ocean level rising.
        
         | salmonfamine wrote:
         | I don't think "just move" is the answer either, but the fact
         | remains that the region cannot sustainably support its current
         | population (much less a growing population) given current
         | levels of consumption.
         | 
         | So, either the population has to be reduced, or consumption has
         | to be reduced. But either option seems politically impossible.
         | Our understanding of freedom is not compatible with the cold
         | reality of constrained resources. There isn't a price mechanism
         | capable of equitably reducing consumption, and there isn't a
         | technological solution that's capable of scaling to demand.
         | Something's gotta give.
        
           | apcragg wrote:
           | There is plenty of water in the south west, we just use most
           | of it to grow animal feed in the desert. Even worst, much of
           | that water is subsidized by the US Government which allows
           | farmers to grow that animal feed in the high plains where it
           | would be economically infeasible otherwise. We have
           | engineered this problem to the benefit of a small number of
           | ranchers and farmers and seem determined to blame it on
           | everybody else.
        
             | ianai wrote:
             | Agree. In LV they've got huge water works to recycle all
             | water. It's a known that the water almost exclusively
             | leaves the system when it's evaporated or used to water
             | plants. And there are tight restrictions on residential
             | use.
        
             | freeopinion wrote:
             | The benefit is arguably not just to a small number of
             | ranchers and farmers.
             | 
             | The U.S. went all-in on globalization. That includes
             | globalization of food production. For 50 years the typical
             | USian has taken bananas and coconut for granted. Coffee is
             | a staple in every kitchen.
             | 
             | Produce and dairy of countless varieties are produced in
             | California for consumers around the country and indeed
             | around the world.
             | 
             | Would you argue that globalization of the food supply chain
             | is a mistake? Do you propose that Chicago grow its own
             | spinach? Should Saudi Arabia grow its own alfalfa? Should
             | apples and grapes consumed in Oklahoma be grown in
             | Oklahoma?
             | 
             | I suppose many people are rethinking this whole
             | globalization strategy. From microchips to mozzarella.
             | Economics: the spectator sport with real spectator
             | consequences.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | rurp wrote:
               | The fact that the US grows a lot of food domestically
               | seems completely counter to what you're saying. Growing
               | food within the US has a lot of benefits but doing so in
               | the middle of the desert is the worst possible spot.
        
               | freeopinion wrote:
               | Prove it. Start a tomato farm in Tennessee and challenge
               | Musk and Bezos with your fortune. Replace tobacco with
               | carrots in North Carolina and see how it goes.
        
               | justin66 wrote:
               | > The U.S. went all-in on globalization. That includes
               | globalization of food production.
               | 
               | "Globalization" would include an elimination of domestic
               | agricultural subsidies and tariffs such that everyone is
               | on a level playing field, which is something we have not
               | done in our agricultural sector.
        
             | salmonfamine wrote:
             | We agree here. By "consumption," I'm not just referring to
             | residential consumption.
             | 
             | There is enough water in the Southwest for a sizable
             | population, of course. The problem ahead is how to
             | distribute a constrained resource to that population
             | without deferring to lobbied interests, wealthy landowners,
             | golf-course owners, etc. That's an uphill battle, to say
             | the least.
        
               | apcragg wrote:
               | For sure! Even Buy-and-dry schemes seem to be struggling
               | with political backlash and those landowners are being
               | fairly compensated in voluntary transactions. It's not
               | going to be pretty when the junior water rights holders
               | are cut off for good.
        
       | peachtree2 wrote:
        
       | mrlonglong wrote:
       | I think they shouldn't refill the lake until they've searched for
       | human remains. There have been a couple of stories in the news
       | about people finding such things.
        
       | MengerSponge wrote:
       | 2018 HN thread on the ongoing "drought" out west:
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18098899
       | 
       | Link is this Atlantic article:
       | https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/09/how-the-we...
        
       | rootusrootus wrote:
       | If I'm reading correctly, Lake Powell has a capacity of 25M acre-
       | feet. They're going to release an additional 0.5M acre-feet that
       | feeds into it. That sounds pointless.
        
       | chiefalchemist wrote:
       | > Some experts say the term drought is inadequate because it
       | suggests conditions will return to normal.
       | 
       | One or two hundred years does not normal make. The fact is, this
       | area is now returning to normal. The dams, water supply, etc.
       | were all based on overly optimistic / false assumptions.
       | 
       | If gov / leadership don't have the wherewithal to break this down
       | for the masses, we're never going to get honesty and transparency
       | about climate change.
        
       | agomez314 wrote:
       | I have read recently that the southwest is experiencing the
       | beginnings of a long drought that's been cycling for thousands of
       | years. Is this true? And if so, perhaps the best measure is to
       | adapt and move elsewhere, as civilizations untold have done so
       | for a million years.
       | 
       | EDIT: I read about it in the following paper:
       | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01290-z
        
         | simonsarris wrote:
         | Yes, California has had droughts lasting ~220 and ~140 years
         | before.
         | 
         |  _The findings suggest, in fact, that relatively wet periods
         | like the 20th century have been the exception rather than the
         | rule in California for at least the last 3,500 years, and that
         | mega-droughts are likely to recur._
         | 
         |  _The South American drought was of "horrendous proportions,"
         | said Dr. Kolata, and it destroyed Tiwanaku's agricultural base.
         | The empire's cities were abandoned by about 1000. Dr. Kolata
         | believes that the raised fields could no longer support the
         | cities, and archeological evidence shows that the fields were
         | abandoned between 1000 and 1100. The political state collapsed,
         | the population dispersed and, with agriculture no longer
         | possible, the people relied on raising alpacas and llamas._
         | 
         | https://www.nytimes.com/1994/07/19/science/severe-ancient-dr...
        
           | antognini wrote:
           | One of the root causes of the dysfunction of water policy in
           | the West is that expectations around water availability were
           | set in the early 20th century which turned out to be
           | historically anomalous. Long term water agreements between
           | states and with Mexico were based on assumption that those
           | water levels would continue. Now we are seeing reversion to
           | the mean, but it takes a long time for water policy to be
           | updated.
           | 
           | There is a saying that water policy in the West is 21st
           | century needs on top of 20th century infrastructure and 19th
           | century law.
        
           | kokanee wrote:
           | Is the implication here that we should wait another 3,500
           | years for our reservoirs to return to their former peak
           | levels? I'm not sure that trends from a geological time scale
           | are helpful in current public policy debates on natural
           | resource shortages or climate changes.
        
         | phkahler wrote:
         | >> I have read recently that the southwest is experiencing the
         | beginnings of a long drought that's been cycling for thousands
         | of years. Is this true? And if so, perhaps the best measure is
         | to adapt and move on, as civilizations untold have done so for
         | a million years.
         | 
         | Can you site a source? I'm not even skeptical, but if that's
         | true it would be nice to stop blaming climate change.
        
           | cowmoo728 wrote:
           | Periodic variation can work in tandem with a changing mean.
           | Think of a sine wave multiplied with a line of non-zero
           | slope.
        
             | selimthegrim wrote:
             | "resonance" or x sin x
        
           | slg wrote:
           | >if that's true it would be nice to stop blaming climate
           | change.
           | 
           | Events can have multiple causes. Whether there are millennia
           | long natural cycles happening doesn't disprove human caused
           | climate change.
        
             | WillPostForFood wrote:
             | He didn't say it disproved climate change, the question was
             | whether incrfeased C02 was the cause of this particular
             | issue.
        
               | slg wrote:
               | They said "it would be nice to stop blaming climate
               | change". Climate change is still to blame even if it
               | shares the blame with other causes.
        
             | oceanplexian wrote:
             | While this is true, the parent has a point. Politicians and
             | Media are quick to blame Climate Change for any crisis,
             | since it's a great way to deflect blame on to individuals
             | instead of government institutions that failed them. The
             | Colorado River situation is a great example of a
             | mismanaged, centrally-planned government program gone
             | wrong. If water were being priced appropriately, market
             | forces would correct the issue.
        
               | slg wrote:
               | Are you saying that people would be more likely to blame
               | the government if the cause of the drought was entirely
               | natural compared to if it was caused by human action?
        
           | agomez314 wrote:
           | from a quick google search:
           | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-022-01290-z
        
         | ch4s3 wrote:
         | Not really, there are cyclical droughts there, but the flow
         | rate of the Colorado river is currently at about the historical
         | norm.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | arrosenberg wrote:
         | That seems like a telephone-d version of the actual factoid?
         | When the Army Corp of Engineers and the Bureau of Reclamation
         | built dams and resevoirs on the Colorado, they set baseline
         | numbers for those facilities that were overly optimistic
         | because they were doing the work during an unusually wet
         | decade.
         | 
         | I'm not sure how we could even know, with any level of
         | certainty, that there are thousand year drought cycles or how
         | they work. It's true that the Colorado is oversubscribed and
         | the whole Southwest is fairly unsustainable as-is.
        
           | wrycoder wrote:
           | You analyze tree rings to estimate growth. Yes, it's
           | confounded with temperature.
        
       | dev_tty01 wrote:
       | I did a calculation to get a sense of the enormity of these
       | numbers and to consider what it would take to replace this water
       | release with desalination. The release is 500,000 acre-feet, or
       | about 163G gallons (326/000 gal/af). According to Wikipedia, the
       | Keystone Phase III pipeline can deliver 700,000 barrels/day, or
       | 29.4M gallons/day (oil barrels are 42 gallons). Setting aside the
       | 7% flow rate differences between water and oil, an equivalent
       | pipeline would take over 5,500 days, or over 15 years to deliver
       | that much water.
       | 
       | Or to put it another way, the 7.5M acre-feet per year deliverable
       | in the Colorado River Compact would take over 225 pipelines to
       | achieve the same flow rate.
       | 
       | So, for desalination to have any significant impact, we would
       | have to build a huge number of desalination plants and pipelines
       | and provide massive power for the plants and the energy to pump
       | all that water uphill.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keystone_Pipeline
       | 
       | https://usbr.gov/lc/region/pao/faq.html
       | 
       | https://www.regoproducts.com/PDFs/liquid_flow_conversions.pd...
        
         | rurp wrote:
         | One factor to consider is that coastal California cities
         | currently pipe in a huge amount of their water from distant
         | locations. If they ramped up desalination it would lower the
         | overall amount of water travel by quite a bit.
        
           | ceeplusplus wrote:
           | Coastal California cities are also anti-local power
           | generation and anti-nuclear, which means the cost of
           | desalinating billions of gallons of water is going to be
           | through the roof. Our electricity cost is double-triple that
           | of places like NYC and Chicago.
        
       | juanani wrote:
        
       | ch4s3 wrote:
       | Anyone who wants to know more about the situation on the colorado
       | river should read Science Be Damned: How Ignoring Inconvenient
       | Science Drained the Colorado River [1]. The Tl;DR is that water
       | is doled out by a multi-state compact that used several years of
       | historically high water flow as it's basis. Over time, normal
       | river flow rates were bound to deplete the reservoirs.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.amazon.com/Science-Be-Dammed-Ignoring-
       | Inconvenie...
        
         | downrightmike wrote:
         | Also: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOQ0FHxeRTs
        
       | samschooler wrote:
       | If anyone wants to dive deep into the water rights and history of
       | hydrology + politics in the Colorado River Basin, I highly
       | recommend Where the Water Goes by Davin Owen. The books starts at
       | the headwaters near Rocky Mountain National Park and follows the
       | river down to the Gulf of California. It addresses every major
       | issue, water right and major construction project along the way.
       | 
       | https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/317824/where-the-wa...
        
         | eatonphil wrote:
         | Thanks! Cadillac Desert is also on my list on the topic.
        
       | freeopinion wrote:
       | Lake Mead, downstream from Lake Powell, will now be denied even
       | more water. The vertical drop in the water level has been
       | incredible. But the horizontal recession helps to drive the point
       | home. The shoreline has moved more than 15 miles.
        
       | warcher wrote:
       | In Utah (home of lake powell) 80% of our water goes to
       | agriculture, which in turn provides.... 1.6% of state GDP. The
       | overwhelming majority of that state GDP goes to cattle and the
       | feeding of cattle. Not just meat, but the most water intensive
       | form of meat you can eat.
       | 
       | -\\_(tsu)_/-
        
         | 0xbadcafebee wrote:
        
       | willswire wrote:
       | __Lake Mead, formed by Hoover Dam in the 1930s and crucial to the
       | water supply of 25 million people, has fallen so low that a
       | barrel containing human remains, believed to date to the 1980s,
       | was found in the receding shoreline on Sunday.__
       | 
       | Imagine finding this on the shore!
        
         | mercyandgrace wrote:
         | Two Sundays ago:
         | 
         | https://www.reviewjournal.com/crime/homicides/police-believe...
         | 
         | >Las Vegas police provided more details Tuesday morning in the
         | discovery of a body at Lake Mead National Recreational Area.
         | 
         | Homicide Lt. Ray Spencer said they believe the body found in a
         | barrel Sunday was a man who died from a gunshot wound.
         | 
         | "We're going to expand our time frame of the murder to the
         | middle to late 1970s to early 80s," he said Tuesday morning,
         | citing the clothes and shoes the man was wearing.
         | 
         | Spencer said officers discovered the shoes the man was wearing
         | were sold at Kmart and manufactured in the middle and late
         | 1970s.
         | 
         | The barrel was found Sunday near Hemenway Harbor because of
         | dropping water levels in the lake.
         | 
         | Spencer previously said it is possible the barrel was dumped in
         | the lake from a boat.
         | 
         | "The water level has dropped so much over the last 30 to 40
         | years that, where the person was located, if a person were to
         | drop the barrel in the water and it sinks, you are never going
         | to find it unless the water level drops," Spencer said in an
         | interview Monday. "The water level has dropped and made the
         | barrel visible. The barrel did not move....It was not like the
         | barrel washed up."
        
         | chasd00 wrote:
         | Imagine being the one that thought "no one will ever find this
         | at the bottom of the lake!"
        
       | exabrial wrote:
       | Address the root problem:
       | 
       | * Watering of non-native grass lawns should outright be banned
       | 
       | * Unsustainable agriculture, like growing baby spinach in the
       | desert during winter, should be forced to pay unsubsidized rates
       | for water, which should be transferred to the consumers of the
       | product
       | 
       | * People living in the desert should have to pay unsubsidized
       | rates for water for consumption
        
         | ryantgtg wrote:
         | What about things like Nestle siphoning off 58 million gallons
         | a year from public land near LA for nearly no cost in order to
         | bottle Arrowhead water?
        
           | greenshackle2 wrote:
           | That's roughly enough water to grow 50-100 acres of alfalfa.
           | There's a million acres of alfalfa grown in California. And
           | more of other water intensive crops. Yeah it's shitty but
           | it's not a root cause, it's a rounding error compared to
           | agriculture.
        
           | exabrial wrote:
           | I hadn't even heard of that, but that's ridiculous. Definite
           | outright ban of water exports, no exceptions!
        
       | TameAntelope wrote:
       | What crazy off-the-wall things could the US do, if the crisis got
       | to a critical juncture? Is there some kind of "moonshot" way of
       | moving large amounts of freshwater across long distances that
       | would solve this problem?
        
       | diebir wrote:
       | Many people and myself included, would love to see Lake Powell
       | drained. It serves little purpose and we would be better without
       | it. As a bonus, we'd get wonderful Glen Canyon back.
        
       | ur-whale wrote:
       | "acre-foot"
       | 
       | I mean it's not Beard-seconds but not far off.
        
       | loufe wrote:
       | >"One acre-foot, about 326,000 gallons (1.23 million liters), is
       | enough water to supply one or two households for a year"
       | 
       | Did anybody else find this number astounding? That's 3370 litres
       | PER DAY per household. Assuming this numberis accurate, this is
       | not people living in condos. This is people watering their lawn
       | daily, filling their backyard pools, liberally washing their cars
       | every week. I think the water crisis will be an easy fix as soon
       | as the immediacy of the problem causes people to accept higher
       | pricing. No other incentive will eliminate the lunacy which is
       | watering lawns and every-backyard pools in the deserts of Utah,
       | Nevada, and Southern California.
        
         | jeffmc wrote:
         | Domestic use (lawns, showers, toilets, etc) is a small percent
         | of the overall water use in the west. For example, in Colorado
         | 89% of the water usage is for agriculture and only 7% is
         | municipal and industrial
         | (https://waterknowledge.colostate.edu/water-management-
         | admini...). So, we can rip up as many lawns and install as many
         | low flow toilets and it is barely a drop in the proverbial
         | bucket.
        
         | artificial wrote:
         | California's water use is dominated by agriculture[0]. 10% of
         | the water is urban use, how much of that is commercial vs
         | residential? Average is around 100 gallons (~370 liters) per
         | day or much less, depending on the season) Higher prices are
         | already a reality. The cycle is reduce usage, not enough money
         | being made, a water main blows in DTLA [2] since they're 100
         | years old, increase rates, repeat.
         | 
         | [0] https://cwc.ca.gov/-/media/CWC-
         | Website/Files/Documents/2019/...
         | 
         | [1] https://lao.ca.gov/Publications/Report/3611
         | 
         | [2] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/surfs-water-main-
         | break-...
        
         | zrail wrote:
         | I can't be sure but I _think_ what that's referring to is _all
         | the water_ that a household uses including externalities like
         | the water used to grow their food.
        
       | black_puppydog wrote:
       | 1. This doesn't seem to have been done out of any natural
       | conservation considerations, but rather electricity generation
       | considerations. Not saying the latter isn't important, but it's
       | still sad that that seems to still be the only considerations
       | that matter.
       | 
       | 2. This is literally a debt in clean water that will be repaid by
       | generations to come, as the article mentions. What is being done
       | to make sure it _can_ be repaid? Not just the first year or so of
       | water restrictions, but a sustainable plan to reduce consumption.
       | 
       | Overall this reads like they just kicked the can upstream, down
       | the road.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | flerchin wrote:
       | Market forces anyone? Scrap the historical allotments, and have
       | the potential users bid for water. Pay to play seems like the
       | best medicine here. The actual price for a gallon will round to
       | nothing for a consumer, but the ag users will have to figure
       | things out that they should have figured out long ago.
        
       | gloriana wrote:
       | We could decide to dig big inland seas using nuclear weapons.
       | We'd essentially create Mediterranean Sea habitat across
       | southwest by bringing up the Gulf of California (what forms Baja)
       | at Puerto Penasco and creating lots of internal coastal areas
       | with ready access to fresh water. I would guess it could take
       | 5-10 years for the earth moving, and 20-30 for detox, and 20-30
       | more years for habitat re-equilibration.
        
         | justin66 wrote:
         | The Salton Sea, but with radioactive fallout!
        
         | artificial wrote:
         | Great topic for a game, Fallout meets Sim City.
        
       | hyperion2010 wrote:
       | It's that time again!
       | 
       | John Wesley Powell warned us about this more than 140 years ago
       | [0].
       | 
       | I strongly recommend that everyone living in the western United
       | States read at least the introduction[1] to Beyond the Hundredth
       | Meridian[2]. The introduction is more relevant now than it was
       | when it was written 67 years ago, itself 75 years after the
       | publication of Lands of the Arid Region.
       | 
       | Previously:
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28907254
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27910098
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18098899
       | 
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26964166
       | 
       | 0. https://pubs.usgs.gov/unnumbered/70039240/report.pdf LANDS OF
       | THE ARID REGION John Wesley Powell 1878
       | 
       | 1. https://erenow.net/modern/beyond-the-hundredth-
       | meridian/1.ph... Bernard DeVoto 1954
       | 
       | 2. Beyond the Hundredth Meridian: John Wesley Powell and the
       | Second Opening of the West ISBN:9780140159943 Wallace Stegner
       | 1954
        
       | jiocrag wrote:
       | ITT: Software developers mad at farmers because they don't
       | understand that their sustenance comes from farms.
        
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