[HN Gopher] No wonder Netflix is bleeding subscribers - it's bec...
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       No wonder Netflix is bleeding subscribers - it's become the new
       cable
        
       Author : philk10
       Score  : 23 points
       Date   : 2022-04-21 19:48 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | It's amusing to see CNN circle the wagons by shutting down CNN+
       | in favor of one "big tent" streaming service from the parent
       | company.
       | 
       | It's as if a cable channel is not supposed to develop a strong
       | brand. I mean, MTV did, back when it played music videos, but as
       | part of the Viacom stable the then 65 Sumner Redstone decided
       | unilaterally that we wouldn't be able to watch music videos
       | anymore.
       | 
       | The ratings went in the toilet but who cares, Viacom is entitled
       | to a certain number of cents per sub whether or not you watch and
       | there is no way to accept or refuse MTV except to subscribe or
       | not subscribe to the whole bundle.
       | 
       | People might think you have a brand because you have a logo but
       | there is no benefit for the company in making the consumer
       | believe that you stand for something because the consumer doesn't
       | have a disaggregated choice: once you subscribe it doesn't matter
       | if you watch or not.
       | 
       | It drives me nuts that people think GAME PASS from Microsoft is a
       | good idea but I see it as "someday parents are going to be
       | wondering why their kids aren't interested in playing video games
       | anymore"... The answer will be that games wouldn't have been fun
       | for twenty years and the parents just remember what it was like
       | back when video games were fun, back when video game makers made
       | money when they made fun games people want to buy. Once they got
       | paid regardless, there wasn't any reason to make games fun
       | anymore.
        
         | diordiderot wrote:
         | The majority of Fox News' cabal revenue comes from people who
         | don't watch it
        
           | _aavaa_ wrote:
           | Silence brother! We do not speak openly about the cabal
           | revenue.
        
         | culpable_pickle wrote:
         | I find your argument compelling, but slightly off.
         | 
         | you can't just totally give up, but you need to find the
         | cheapest way to be adequate, which turns into trash stuff that
         | triggers something in our brain to seek out more of it.
         | 
         | It's the same with sugar and junk food.
        
       | etempleton wrote:
       | When Netflix began original programming almost everything they
       | put out was interesting even if I wasn't the target demographic.
       | 
       | Their recent programming, beyond a few good shows and
       | documentaries, is mostly lowest common denominator garbage. I
       | think Netflix became data obsessed. The problem with that is good
       | art or even entertainment is rarely made by analyzing a
       | spreadsheet to determine what audiences want.
       | 
       | So now they have an app where it is hard to find things, because
       | I guess it is more "sticky," and content that is brain dead,
       | because I guess their data suggests a lot of people will watch it
       | relative to the cost.
       | 
       | They should have remained focused on premier television. Big
       | shows people want to talk to their friends about. Not Movies,
       | because they do a terrible job promoting them and not reality TV,
       | because no one is subscribing to a service to watch reality TV
       | (though they will probably watch it once subscribed).
       | 
       | I do think that the pandemic disrupted filming so they bought
       | what they could to fill the gap, so hopefully the quality picks
       | back up.
        
         | jmoak3 wrote:
         | >no one is subscribing to a service to watch reality TV
         | 
         | I subscribe to Hulu to host Bachelor series watch parties.
         | 
         | However, I strongly agree that Netflix content is braindead and
         | the service charges you more than its content is worth.
        
           | moomin wrote:
           | If you haven't watched it, I highly recommend "UnReal". It
           | gives you the experience of watching reality TV and prestige
           | TV at the same time.
        
         | diordiderot wrote:
         | It's there a term for this phenomenon where a 'thousand cuts'
         | of small optimizations that improve x or y metric kill a brand?
        
           | kelseyfrog wrote:
           | I'm not above neologizing.
           | 
           | Garden Path Optimizing
           | 
           | transitive verb
           | 
           | 1. to be misled by progressive or incremental optimization.
           | 
           | 2. to achieve sub-optimality by pursuing incremental
           | optimization.
        
         | mgh2 wrote:
         | Let's reverse engineer what a PM will think with data:
         | 
         | 1. 80/20 rule: Target best performing shows, replicate success
         | to capitalize on fan loyalty/momentum (new seasons or spins):
         | The Crown, Money Heist, Designated Survivor, Narcos...
         | 
         | 2. Validation: Look at high movie ratings, copy those
         | categories: Korean dramas, documentaries, telenovelas, reality
         | TV...
         | 
         | 3. Culture: Follow trending themes on social media - feminism,
         | financial freedom, woke...incorporate them into the screenplay,
         | regardless of bias, craft, or message
         | 
         | 4. Engagement: As long as we capture user attention and
         | addiction, reinforce this habit via recommendations with AI
         | algorithms
         | 
         | Like Facebook, they are focused on creating an _addiction
         | machine_ for short term gain, and this strategy is reflected on
         | their increasingly low quality shows - this affects the brand,
         | leading to low trust and rising churn
        
         | mcv wrote:
         | It's both the drop in quality and the increase in cost. That
         | turns Netflix into a really bad deal in the face of cheaper
         | competition with more quality shows.
         | 
         | Netflix used to rule with affordable access to the best new
         | shows, but now they offer neither.
        
         | deckard1 wrote:
         | > The problem with that is good art or even entertainment is
         | rarely made by analyzing a spreadsheet to determine what
         | audiences want.
         | 
         | Exactly. I made this point a month or two ago. I cancelled my
         | Netflix account for the first time since _2004_. Because with
         | all their data scientists and two decades of viewer data (more
         | detailed than Nielsen ratings could ever provide), and
         | _billions_ of dollars... they still can 't compete with AMC,
         | HBO, etc. It's inexcusable. It's laughable. And it makes me
         | think we are in a serious big data/data analytics bubble. When
         | I unsubscribed, their crowning achievement was a "Top 10"
         | leaderboard. Something any junior dev could throw together with
         | a few SQL reports and a day or two of free time. That feature
         | also highlighted the bargain bin nature of Netflix's catalog.
         | 
         | The other problem they have is they have eroded viewer trust.
         | You can't actually watch new shows because you _know_ they will
         | be cancelled after a season or two. So new shows come out and
         | no one watches and Netflix cancels them because of no one
         | watching. It 's a snake eating its own tail.
         | 
         | Plus people have realized they would rather wait until all
         | seasons are out to binge watch than have to wait large gaps of
         | time.
        
           | moomin wrote:
           | This habit of cancellation is, for me, the biggest failure of
           | the lot. Some of their shows were very high quality and quite
           | unique: One Day At A Time, The OA, The Baby-Sitter's Club.
           | You know what else all of these shows have in common? They
           | were cancelled at the top of their game.
           | 
           | People forget that many huge shows, e.g. Breaking Bad,
           | Battlestar Galactica, only became hugely popular several
           | years into their run. The Wire is even more extreme: it only
           | really became huge after the last episode was broadcast. But
           | in each of those cases, someone made the call that a high-
           | quality show was worth running, either because they hoped it
           | would find a wider audience or because they believed it
           | enhanced their brand.
        
       | filereaper wrote:
       | Netflix has gone from costing $9.99 CAD to $20.99 CAD over all
       | these years, with loss of content like Friends etc... For which
       | I'd have to go to another service.
       | 
       | As a subscriber, I'm essentially footing the bill for Netflix's
       | "spray and watch" technique which is getting hard to support when
       | the content doesn't appeal to me. So maybe focus is key and
       | perhaps don't cancel so many shows I was into before (Marco Polo,
       | Daredevil, etc...)
       | 
       | I'm keeping Netflix around but if they start preventing my family
       | from using a single account which we've had for a decade now,
       | that's the last straw and I'm cancelling the service.
        
         | jfengel wrote:
         | Daredevil, at least, wasn't their fault. Disney bought the IP
         | and refused to license it. You can see it on Disney+.
         | 
         | That still leaves them on the hook for lots and lots of other
         | shows that they canceled. (My particular beef: I Am Not Okay
         | With This, though the pandemic deserves a lot of blame for
         | that.)
        
       | flatearth22 wrote:
        
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