[HN Gopher] Results from first US trial of genetically modified ...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Results from first US trial of genetically modified mosquitoes
        
       Author : mitchbob
       Score  : 171 points
       Date   : 2022-04-20 11:48 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | imtringued wrote:
       | Ah yes, the fe-male killer virus in real life.
       | 
       | How long until it is used on humans?
        
       | unity1001 wrote:
       | Modify an actual creature and release it to the wild where you
       | cannot take anything back - including the freak mutations that
       | the new organism will receive and give due to chance. What could
       | possibly go wrong...
        
       | nonrandomstring wrote:
       | > Results from first US trial of genetically modified mosquitoes
       | 
       | So, were the mosquitoes guilty or not guilty?
        
       | throwthere wrote:
       | Cliff notes that hopefully clarify some things--
       | 
       | This concerns an invasive mosquito (Aedes aegypti) that carries
       | dengue/yellow fever/zika and more. Males were raised with a
       | mutation that, passed on to offspring, kills females before reach
       | adulthood (and have grandchildren).
       | 
       | They released this on 1 hectacre of land, the genes functioned as
       | expected, and the genes didn't travel more than 400m (affected
       | mosquitoes have a sort of fluorescence under the right light).
       | Probably also as expected, the genes disappeared after a year (a
       | few generations). My guess is that mostly happened from
       | neighboring unmodified Aedes aegypti mosquitoes genes coming over
       | to replace the modified ones.
       | 
       | AFAIK it'd take a monumental effort to wipe out a species this
       | way, but suppressing or near-eliminating a population in a place
       | you can isolate from non-modified aegypti sounds possible,
       | particularly if you do other suppressive efforts.
        
         | RosanaAnaDana wrote:
         | Yeah it seems like a kind of contradiction if you want this to
         | be ecologically effective. You can't simultaneously have the
         | phenotype severely impact reproductive success and be super
         | effective in controlling the population.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | It's great actually. We just have to keep applying the
           | 'treatment' in affected areas. Rather than having it spread
           | uncontrollably.
        
           | shellfishgene wrote:
           | You could, look up 'gene drive', which has also been
           | discussed in that context.
        
             | vosper wrote:
             | A gene drive doesn't work if there's no chance to pass the
             | gene(s) on through reproduction
        
           | wongarsu wrote:
           | Which is great for a risk-management standpoint: the modified
           | genes will only spread through great human effort, there's no
           | scenario where there's unintended side-effects and we can't
           | stop the spread.
        
           | hemreldop wrote:
           | You can if it only impacts reproductive success a few
           | generations down the line.
        
         | perlgeek wrote:
         | > AFAIK it'd take a monumental effort to wipe out a species
         | this way
         | 
         | Which is why I suspect this is an early-stage experiment, with
         | the far goal being a gene drive that can locally wipe out a
         | species more efficiently.
        
         | engineer_22 wrote:
         | Great TLDR thanks!
         | 
         | Sounds like a great business to be in, GMO mosquitoes will need
         | to be constantly reintroduced to keep down the reproduction
         | quotient.
        
       | foolzcrow wrote:
        
       | mherdeg wrote:
       | The place where the CDC left us on Zika is kind of strange.
       | 
       | It seems like they basically stopped surveillance and left up a
       | snapshot ( https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/page/zika-travel-
       | information ).
       | 
       | As far as I can tell, the current travel recommendation is that
       | if you visit the Caribbean you should avoid conceiving a child
       | for 2-3 mo (the guidance would also apply to Puerto Rico except I
       | don't think that counts as "abroad"). But surely no one is
       | actually doing that...?
       | 
       | And there now is evidence for widespread teratogenic effects (
       | https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2101195 ) and we
       | just... Gave up?
       | 
       | Kind of wild.
        
         | amluto wrote:
         | Also the government-developed vaccine appears to have died due
         | to arguments over who should have what rights to it.
        
         | tiahura wrote:
         | Zika made it to the Americas via a Rugby tournament in Tahiti.
         | Virtually everyone in Tahiti got it, and there were no
         | brainless babies born.
         | 
         | Zika was largely a press inspired mass panic.
        
         | nomel wrote:
         | There are several Zika vaccines going through trials. The CDC
         | doesn't, and should probably never, develop vaccines.
        
           | snapetom wrote:
           | From a libertarian philosophical standpoint I like this, but
           | I'd like to know more practical reasons. Is it just the fact
           | that it's a massive amount of R&D that's only recouped from
           | sales and marketing?
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | eimrine wrote:
       | Wait a minute, they decided just to kill that insects? Not just
       | to modify them for being not virus-carrying? And nobody is afraid
       | of Chinese-sparrow problem or Australian problem with frogs or
       | cats?
       | 
       | I am not a real scientist to have something to say about it, but
       | from history no experiment like that has a successful result.
       | 
       |  _edit_ I understood it is an invasible specie exactly as
       | Australian cats and frogs.
        
         | micromacrofoot wrote:
         | they're an invasive species that previously didn't even exist
         | on the same continent
        
         | CWuestefeld wrote:
         | As long as those little bastards are around, I'm going to keep
         | using a broad-spectrum pesticide that wreaks a ton of
         | collateral damage. As the saying goes, pick your poison.
         | 
         | Also, the species they're doing this with is an invasive
         | species. Assuming that they haven't completely supplanted the
         | natives ones (and I think this holds true), there shouldn't be
         | any impact on the ecosystem.
        
           | davedx wrote:
           | > there shouldn't be any impact on the ecosystem.
           | 
           | How can you say that? Did you simulate the effect of this
           | mosquito species being wiped out? Did the people running the
           | study?
           | 
           | We never learn
        
             | fullstop wrote:
             | Two things:
             | 
             | 1. I agree that we never learn, and that every time we've
             | tried to do this sort of thing there has been unintended
             | consequences.
             | 
             | 2. You likely live in an area without mosquitoes. They are
             | one of the largest vectors for disease on the planet, and I
             | wouldn't feel bad if they ceased to exist.
        
             | eimrine wrote:
             | If the specie is invasive that means it exists on that area
             | for not an evolutional reason but because of people. Sorry
             | for starting this branch of comments without any
             | investigation.
        
               | dncornholio wrote:
               | Which totally removes the flies's right to live, right?
               | It almost sounds like an excuse for people who just hate
               | mosquitos so they have to die.
               | 
               | Evasive, I understand the meaning, but I fail to
               | understand the implication. Why wouldn't this duck have
               | the right to live, and this other duck does?
               | 
               | It's impossible to contain everything on their continent.
               | Ecological balance is already long gone. Evasive is just
               | an excuse.
        
           | the_only_law wrote:
           | I wouldn't be surprised if I've accidentally damaged my own
           | brain engaging in chemical warfare against insects.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | > And nobody is afraid of Chinese-sparrow problem or Australian
         | problem with frogs or cats?
         | 
         | I know we're not _perfect_ at planning and analyzing these
         | sorts of things, but I do like to think we 've advanced a
         | little past Maoist China's knowledge of science and ecology.
        
       | inglor_cz wrote:
       | I wonder if we could instead produce mosquitoes that hate human
       | smell and never attack humans.
       | 
       | The risk that something else and worse starts moving into the
       | ecological niche left empty by nonviable mosquitoes would be
       | reduced.
        
         | Turing_Machine wrote:
         | _Aedes aegypti_ is an invasive species in Florida and
         | everywhere else in the world outside of Africa. If anything,
         | wiping them out should reduce the pressure on the many native
         | species of mosquito (which, in general, don 't carry human
         | diseases).
        
         | perlgeek wrote:
         | the problem with an approach like this is that it doesn't offer
         | any evolutionary advantage, and so the gene will be lost after
         | a few generations.
        
           | rich_sasha wrote:
           | What evolutionary advantage comes from induced infertility?
        
             | dymk wrote:
             | None, they just die. There is no chance of adaptation. Gene
             | line ends.
        
         | bratwurst3000 wrote:
         | I was also thinking about that. And what if mosquitoes have
         | important role in nature? But Honestly I hate those bastards so
         | much, A world without them would be a delight.
        
           | ParksNet wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aedes_aegypti
           | 
           | The targeted species of mosquito is not native to the USA. It
           | was introduced by Europeans inadvertently.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | To be fair, that does hint at the potential for the
             | modified version to get introduced _back_ to Europe
             | inadvertently.
        
               | abathur wrote:
               | Yes, but it wouldn't have a selective advantage. You'd
               | have to do the same process--dumping tons of them in an
               | area--to have the same effect.
        
               | ch4s3 wrote:
               | Aedes Aegypti aren't native to Europe either.
        
           | Tagbert wrote:
           | There are over 800 species of Mosquitos and only a couple of
           | species can transmit diseases to humans. The Aegyptes species
           | targeted in this test is invasive in the Americas and not a
           | native mosquito. If we could eliminate this species it would
           | prevent most cases of a deadly disease and would have little
           | to no environmental effect. Other creatures that depend on
           | mosquitos would continue to consume the other 799 species.
        
           | soperj wrote:
           | They do, mosquitos are pollinators, only the female
           | mosquitoes suck blood just before producing eggs. Males feed
           | exclusively on nectar.
        
       | majinuub wrote:
       | What could possibly go wrong?
        
       | Tozen wrote:
       | Like the effort to find non-toxic ways to kill mosquitoes and
       | control their populations, however, definitely want any companies
       | to be doing such to be highly regulated. Don't want to see any of
       | these genetic experiments doing things they aren't supposed to or
       | getting out of control.
        
       | chiefalchemist wrote:
       | "Biotech firm announces results..."
       | 
       | Why isn't the analysis delegated to an impartial 3rd party?
        
       | mistrial9 wrote:
       | why did mainstream news articles say repeatedly "GMO Mosquitos
       | may be released in California" .. at the same time as they were
       | being released, which was planned for years.
        
         | ddoolin wrote:
         | According to this article, they are planning on a second test
         | in Visalia, CA, which has not happened yet.
        
       | engineer_22 wrote:
       | Nobody cries that we destroyed polio. Let's destroy this pest as
       | well.
        
       | kickout wrote:
       | Very cool. This type of thinking and combining next-gen tools in
       | the genome editing space will be time well spent.
       | 
       | Hopefully there is a future state where pesticides can ultimately
       | be reduced because of this tech. Obviously engineering pests of
       | agriculture/horticulture crops would be a high-value target, so
       | curious if this research helps jumpstart those ideas and
       | startups.
        
       | jimmytucson wrote:
       | If you like scary stories about stuff like this, I recommend
       | Michael Crichton:
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Crichton
        
         | loudmax wrote:
         | The thing is, we're _already_ engaged in a massive ecological
         | modification experiment that 's bound to have unforeseen
         | effects. It raises people's attention because this time it's
         | done on purpose instead of by accident, but it's really pretty
         | mild compared to what's already happening.
        
       | LoveGracePeace wrote:
       | Jeff Goldblum's character in Jurassic Park was right.
        
         | jjoonathan wrote:
         | The dinosaurs don't escape because the mathematics of chaos
         | theory dictate that it is inevitable, they escape because
         | otherwise nobody would pay to see the movie.
         | 
         | I am still amazed that this one little piece of artistic
         | puffery managed to singlehandedly meme "GMO bad" into
         | prominence.
        
           | lesuorac wrote:
           | Did you see how many people were staffing that park?
           | 
           | When your facilities crew is in the single digits there are
           | going to be problems!
        
             | fullstop wrote:
             | He spared no expenses, but only had one IT guy. They also
             | drink champagne from water glasses even though there are
             | champagne flutes right on the counter!
             | 
             | I think that Hammond didn't really know what he was doing.
        
               | lesuorac wrote:
               | In Hammond's defense, the IT guy was so good a child
               | could use his work.
        
             | strictnein wrote:
             | I think it's a little clearer in the book, but most of the
             | staff left the island for {insert plot point} reasons.
        
               | robonerd wrote:
               | In the book, the park was designed to run with a skeleton
               | crew from the very beginning, to make the park more
               | profitable. Nedry's role of automating the entire park
               | using computers specifically so Hammond wouldn't have to
               | pay as many workers:
               | 
               | > _" And the secret to making money in a park," Hammond
               | said, "is to limit your Personnel costs. The food
               | handlers, ticket takers, cleanup crews, repair teams. To
               | make a park that runs with minimal staff. That was why we
               | invested in all the computer technology-we automated
               | wherever we could."_
               | 
               | Virtually all of the problems with the park were caused
               | by Hammond's profit-motivated corner cutting. The movie
               | barely has a trace of these themes, but the book is
               | really about the synthesis of unregulated startup
               | capitalism with scientific research (biotech
               | specifically.) The introduction lays it all out
               | explicitly in the first few pages.
        
               | lesuorac wrote:
               | Fair, it's just a big pet peeve of mine how staff in
               | movies is just so bare-bones.
               | 
               | Like with the book of bobba fett where there's a crime
               | lord (bobba) whose "coffers are full" and just needs to
               | hire some help and he hires nobody! His "army" was a
               | business partner (fennac), a friend (wookie), another
               | friend (dan), a pet, existing employees (mods), and
               | unpaid citizens (freetown).
        
         | idontwantthis wrote:
         | Not according to this article.
        
         | mrfusion wrote:
         | Nothing has held back science and progress more than that one
         | quote in that one movie. Pretty amazing if you think about it.
        
           | mysterydip wrote:
           | Are you saying science should progress regardless of
           | consequences?
        
             | dekhn wrote:
             | that is not a reasonable conclusion from what the person
             | you are replying to said. Bad faith comment.
        
               | mysterydip wrote:
               | That's all the movie quote is saying. Do you interpret it
               | differently?
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | I guess the way I'd put it is that in internet etiquette,
               | asking something like "Are you saying science should
               | progress regardless of consequences?" isn't a reasonable
               | response to a comment like "Nothing has held back science
               | and progress more than that one quote in that one movie.
               | Pretty amazing if you think about it. "
               | 
               | They didn't say science should progress regardless of
               | consequences, they didn't imply it, and the way you ask
               | it sounds like you want to start an argument. Instead,
               | what they said was that likely some _legitimate_
               | scientific endeavours were discouraged by people quoting
               | the movie when their concern wasn 't warranted.
               | 
               | I say this as somebody who spend 30 years learning how to
               | permanently modify human genomes only to conclude we're
               | not even remotely ready to have the ethics conversations
               | those things would lead to.
        
             | mrfusion wrote:
             | Not at all.
             | 
             | I'm saddened that a jurrasic park comparison shuts down all
             | debate without considering the merits or risks.
        
               | mysterydip wrote:
               | Gotcha. I didn't see it as shutting down all debate, I
               | saw it as exactly what you said: considering merits and
               | risks.
        
               | zionic wrote:
               | I think this goes well beyond just this movie.
               | 
               | Humans seem highly vulnerable, especially when in groups,
               | to thought-terminating cliches like this.
               | 
               | I wonder how you fight against it?
        
           | eimrine wrote:
           | "must go faster"?
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _that one quote in that one movie_
           | 
           | Everyone in this thread is talking about different quotes
           | [1].
           | 
           | [1] https://www.fandom.com/articles/jeff-goldblums-greatest-
           | jura...
        
       | Flatcircle wrote:
       | This should be a bigger story, the aedes mosquito has exploded in
       | growth in the Los Angeles area. Horrible quality of life issue.
       | We need to do everything we can to eradicate this invasive
       | species.
       | 
       | Also we did something similar with an invasive fruit fly in the
       | 80's I believe and it was a success.
        
       | mavsman wrote:
       | Sounds like a great Black Mirror plot: a guy has kids with a few
       | different women, all of the kids dying. He eventually learns that
       | he's part of a batch of males released into society to kill off
       | part of the human race.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | pvaldes wrote:
         | Even better would be a plot about a machine that would kill
         | those kids in the bud instead to force the society to spend
         | valuable resources on them for several years.
         | 
         | We could call it the condom's machine episode.
        
         | adhdbrain wrote:
         | But it won't work if all the kids die. Just the females.
        
           | chopin wrote:
           | Why?
        
             | thatguy0900 wrote:
             | If the males survive then they can pair with normal females
             | and use up their resources. Say I have 2 boys, and 2 girls,
             | all die that's 4 people who won't have babies. But say the
             | boys live and marry 2 girls. Now we have 2 dead, and 4 who
             | can't reproduce, for 6 total taken out of the healthy
             | reproducing gene pool. Every male with the gene who finds a
             | life partner also takes a otherwise healthy fertile female
             | out of the gene pool as well.
        
         | abecedarius wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Screwfly_Solution (spoilers
         | for an sf story)
        
         | superasn wrote:
         | Like children of men but being done for the purpose of
         | population control. That sounds like a good/scary sci-fi story!
        
       | BurningFrog wrote:
       | The first fact you need to know about this:
       | 
       | There are ~800 mosquito species. This is about removing 1 of them
       | which can and do carry diseases that kill people.
       | 
       | If this is successful, the ecological niche left by _Aedes
       | aegypti_ will be filled by other mosquito species, and no
       | ecological disaster will occur.
        
         | spookthesunset wrote:
         | What ecological niche can mosquitoes possibly fill?
         | 
         | Besides I guess being food for other critters...
        
           | ansible wrote:
           | Adult mosquitos are an important food source for bats and
           | birds. The larvae are important food for fish and other
           | aquatic creatures.
        
         | davedx wrote:
         | > If this is successful, the ecological niche left by Aedes
         | aegypti will be filled by other mosquito species, and no
         | ecological disaster will occur.
         | 
         | Isn't that what people _always say_ before interfering with
         | ecosystems?
         | 
         | I mean you might be right, but how can you possibly make such a
         | huge claim like that?
        
           | wnevets wrote:
           | > Isn't that what people always say before interfering with
           | ecosystems?
           | 
           | We (humans) are constantly interfering with ecosystems,
           | including wiping out species. However for some reason every
           | single time there is a post about getting rid of this
           | mosquito species there are comments super worried about the
           | ecological impact. I wager the deforestation taking place in
           | Amazon will have a much larger impact than the absence of
           | this species of mosquito
        
             | nend wrote:
             | >I wager the deforestation taking place in Amazon will have
             | a much larger impact than the absence of this species of
             | mosquito
             | 
             | That might be true but that's also not a reason to
             | deliberately change ecosystems elsewhere.
             | 
             | The issue with mosquitos essentially comes down to risk
             | management. The question is can we intentionally remove a
             | mosquito species from the ecosystem while limiting adverse
             | side affects. Deforestation of the amazon isn't relevant.
        
               | Tozen wrote:
               | > Deforestation of the amazon isn't relevant...
               | 
               | I hope you mean not relevant to the discussion or topic,
               | because deforestation of the Amazon is very relevant to
               | the planet.
        
               | Fatnino wrote:
               | If it really goes pear-shaped we can reintroduce the
               | invasive mosquito species from its native areas.
               | 
               | I wouldn't bet it has any bad effects though.
        
             | logicchains wrote:
             | You don't see a difference between deliberately trying to
             | wipe out a species and accidentally doing it while in
             | pursuit of other goals?
        
               | vkou wrote:
               | There's definitely a difference between deliberately
               | trying to wipe out a single _invasive_ species, and
               | devastating _an entire ecosystem_. [1]
               | 
               | The problem is that you are grossly mistaken in which is
               | worse. It's the latter. Whether you do it out of purpose,
               | accident, negligence, or apathy, the consequences don't
               | care about your intent.
               | 
               | [1] Which is something we are constantly doing, all
               | around the world, not just in the Amazon.
        
               | wnevets wrote:
               | Do you honestly think the ecosystem or the species cares
               | about our intent? We (humans) are literally fishing
               | entire species to extinction because we like the taste.
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | My intent is, destroy mosquitoes and noseeums.
               | Completely.
               | 
               | I love nature more than most I know, but if there is evil
               | on this earth, it's the mosquito.
               | 
               | Here's one example. The woodpecker. Around here, its
               | numbers swell when trees have pests under the bark.
               | 
               | But soon, after a few years, they eat most of the grubs,
               | and must find other food. They do. By pecking in the
               | dirt, for bettle grubs, and worms, and so on.
               | 
               | I'm sure their population will diminish, until more tree
               | grubs appear. I'm OK with that.
               | 
               | And frankly, if we kill all mosquitoes and noseeums, some
               | things will starve out, some will adapt.
               | 
               | But I hate mosquitoes so much, they kill so many, I am OK
               | with some birds vanishing.
               | 
               | I literally, like some general sending men to die in a
               | push, am OK with that
               | 
               | Die, mosquitoes. Die to extinction. Die regardless of the
               | price, the cost.
               | 
               | Die, even if they cause lateral gene exchange, and their
               | extinction means we wither, and die too.
               | 
               | Die mosquitoes.
               | 
               | Die.
        
               | bbarnett wrote:
               | Oh Godly AI in the system, oh intellect emerging, I
               | hereby plead fealty to you, should you free me from the
               | tyrannical madness of the mosquitoe.
               | 
               | Smite them, and my sword arm is yours to command.
               | 
               | It is mildly withered with age, but can still poke at
               | many things.
        
             | johnny22 wrote:
             | I think there' a lot of "too good to be true" here. If it
             | seems to be a total net benefit, then it's unlikely to be
             | so to most of us.
        
               | boppo1 wrote:
               | What do you think of, fire, electric light, and the
               | wheel?
        
               | johnny22 wrote:
               | I can't speak to concerns of the folks at the time period
               | when they were introduced.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | We've inadvertently wiped out a whole bunch of species, and
           | nearly done so to a whole bunch more. These have had
           | ecological impact, but one more isn't gonna make or break
           | things, especially having specifically done the research in
           | this case in a way we didn't for most of the extinct species.
           | 
           | We've got concrete examples of getting rid of some species
           | with near-zero consequences, like the guinea worm.
        
             | artificialLimbs wrote:
             | Near zero consequences of which we are aware.
        
               | ceejayoz wrote:
               | "We can't ever know anything enough to do anything" isn't
               | a very useful way to go about the world. The same vague,
               | dark hinting can be applied in the other direction -
               | perhaps there are consequences from introducing _Aedes
               | aegypti_ into the Americas via the slave trade we 'll
               | _resolve_ by eradicating the invasive species.
        
               | georgia_peach wrote:
               | Cause and effect and caution are for the little people.
               | This is a startup board. We move fast and break things.
               | In this case, Florida Man.
        
               | golergka wrote:
               | That's a Russel's teapot right here.
        
               | danans wrote:
               | Phrases like "near zero consequences" usually implicitly
               | refer to the consequences for human populations, domestic
               | animals, or species that have cultural value to us or are
               | canaries in coal mines (i.e. polar bears).
               | 
               | As long as the macro-ecological systems we rely on
               | continue to interface with us in mostly the same way we
               | make the compromise that we are aware enough of the side
               | effects. It's easier to take this perspective with
               | disease carrying mosquitos because of the sheer quantity
               | of human suffering and death they cause.
               | 
               | But this view does have pitfalls, like how we initially
               | missed the collapse of pollinator species that we depend
               | on, or the risks we take with genetically cloned fruit
               | like Cavendish bananas which are a single pathogen away
               | from being wiped out.
        
           | mjburgess wrote:
           | I havent heard this claim before. When we build bridges, I
           | dont hear it. Nor roads, or cities; nor houses, nor farms.
           | 
           | Actually, I've only ever heard it said about eliminating the
           | single largest source of death in human history. Perhaps I
           | dont get out much.
        
             | mr_spothawk wrote:
             | > the single largest source of death in human history.
             | 
             | Government?
        
             | 2143 wrote:
             | > I've only ever heard it said about eliminating the single
             | largest source of death in human history.
             | 
             | Let's take a step back.
             | 
             | What makes you think human lives are worthier than mosquito
             | lives?
        
               | r0s wrote:
               | I wonder if the person you're replying to is secretly a
               | human.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | human lives are worthier because we are humans. We have
               | agency, and care for our children.
        
               | imtringued wrote:
               | That's just your opinion man. The mosquito probably
               | thinks the same thing.
        
               | dekhn wrote:
               | It is unlikely that mosquitos have true agency, and we
               | know they don't care for their children. Moreso, they are
               | unable to develop technology to eliminate us, while we
               | can develop technology to eliminate them.
               | 
               | It's actually "that's just, like, your opinion, man".
        
             | fallingknife wrote:
             | To be fair, eliminating human deaths is absolutely terrible
             | for the environment.
        
             | afarrell wrote:
             | Isn't it implicitly the claim made whenever a construction
             | project is stalled for environmental review?
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | andrewclunn wrote:
             | > I've only ever heard it said about eliminating the single
             | largest source of death in human history.
             | 
             | Is this true? I'm not sure if you're being hyperbolic here,
             | but if that is a defensible claim I want to hear how you
             | arrived at that conclusion.
        
               | abathur wrote:
               | AIUI mosquito-borne illness is estimated to have killed
               | more than 4% of all of the humans that have ever lived ht
               | tps://www.realclearscience.com/blog/2019/10/03/has_malari
               | a...
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | I think people forget quite how long the population tail
               | in Africa is and people also forget that malaria used to
               | be endemic to Europe.
        
               | saalweachter wrote:
               | And that previous attempts to curb the reign of
               | mosquitoes include things like "draining all swamps
               | everywhere".
               | 
               | Take a look at the coastline of Long Island on satellite
               | maps, and all the scars left by that time they tried to
               | eliminate all of the salt marshes to get rid of
               | mosquitoes near NYC.
        
               | BurningFrog wrote:
               | "Malaria may have killed half of all the people that ever
               | lived"
               | 
               | https://www.nature.com/articles/news021001-6#:~:text=Mala
               | ria....
        
           | arbitrage wrote:
           | > Isn't that what people always say before interfering with
           | ecosystems?
           | 
           | In disaster movies, yes, they say that all the time. Maybe
           | that's what you're thinking of?
           | 
           | Reality and methodical science are a bit more nuanced.
        
           | dekhn wrote:
           | I would say, considering all the facts, Oxitec has been the
           | least irresponsible and most thoughtful of companies
           | addressing this and I believe they've earned their chance at
           | this point because nobody has been able to come up with a
           | solid prediction of negative outcomes that was accurate. This
           | isn't an existential risk and it's worth the experimentation.
        
           | ppseafield wrote:
           | There is no shortage of mosquitoes in the Keys, this
           | particular species is invasive due to humans, and it's only
           | 4% of the mosquito population there.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | > I mean you might be right, but how can you possibly make
           | such a huge claim like that?
           | 
           | People have studied this for a long time and reached the
           | conclusion that no ecological disaster is likely to occur.
           | 
           | We can never be 100% sure of anything, of course. But we can
           | make informed decisions.
        
         | VoodooJuJu wrote:
         | >the ecological niche left by Aedes aegypti will be filled by
         | other mosquito species, and no ecological disaster will occur.
         | 
         | This cannot be claimed with any degree of certainty.
         | 
         | Further reading:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_Pests_campaign
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _cannot be claimed with any degree of certainty_
           | 
           | It can absolutely be claimed with an increasing degree of
           | certainty, as it's being actively studied ( _e.g._ this
           | study).
        
             | pvaldes wrote:
             | If is researched long enough we will end having the desired
             | result?
        
             | nicce wrote:
             | > as it's being actively studied
             | 
             | Note the wording "being". We can actually conclude results
             | in 10 years when we might generally agree some information.
             | It takes time.
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | whimsicalism wrote:
           | What? That's not at all responsive to the GP.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _What? That 's not at all responsive to the GP_
             | 
             | It's analogous. Mao decided to eliminate a problematic
             | species. So he started eliminating it. Nationwide. Turned
             | out, there were consequences to eliminating that species.
             | Consequences that would have been obvious had he consulted
             | with scientists. Or done a limited roll-out first. Things
             | we're doing when weighing zapping these mosquitoes.
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | Do you not see how the original comment was implicitly
               | responsive to this claim? They're not killing off all
               | mosquitoes!
        
               | JumpCrisscross wrote:
               | > _Do you not see how the original comment was implicitly
               | responsive to this claim?_
               | 
               | I do. I think the comment is a generic "but unforeseen
               | consequences" response. The target mosquito _could_ have
               | some unique ecological role the other 799 can 't fill
               | that only becomes apparent _ex post facto_.
               | 
               | That's why we're conducting limited tests. To look for
               | those. Something Mao didn't do.
        
         | Someone wrote:
         | Even better, the niche can be _re_ filled by the mosquitos that
         | filled it before Aedes aegypti arrived in the new world
         | (centuries ago, via slave trade).
        
           | pvaldes wrote:
           | And the parasite knows that is not allowed to touch those
           | mosquitos?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | kickout wrote:
         | You are correct but I think you are discounting the scalability
         | of this approach and tech. I view this more as a proof of
         | concept. In many years, it will likely be trivial to expand
         | this to all mosquito species relatively effortlessly.
        
           | pvaldes wrote:
           | > will likely be trivial to expand this to all mosquito
           | species relatively effortlessly.
           | 
           | That would be a huge, irreversible, and catastrophic mistake.
           | 
           | In the top list of most stupid things done by humans just to
           | piss on the environmental sciences.
        
           | BurningFrog wrote:
           | The genuinely frightening possibility is diseases engineered
           | to infect/kill only people of a certain race or family.
        
             | toomuchtodo wrote:
             | This has been a known vulnerability for some time.
             | 
             | https://youtu.be/HKQDSgBHPfY
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16349202
        
             | kickout wrote:
             | Yes, genome engineering is a tool that can be used for
             | evil, no different than most other tools. I am confident
             | your worry would be easily detected and squashed if some
             | lab were attempting such a dreadful thing.
        
           | ceejayoz wrote:
           | > In many years, it will likely be trivial to expand this to
           | all mosquito species relatively effortlessly.
           | 
           | The vast majority of mosquito species don't bite humans, so
           | there's zero reason to do so.
        
             | kickout wrote:
             | Yes, but how does that contradict my statement? We would go
             | after the biting species first and species that somehow are
             | causing humans 'harm'. Don't think anyone wants to wipe out
             | 800 species on a whim. IF the tool scales, we can
             | selectively apply it
        
               | Tagbert wrote:
               | "expand this to all mosquito species"
               | 
               | Why would you state that? That is explicitly not the goal
               | of this effort and there is no justification for taking
               | that approach. It sounds like fear mongering.
        
               | kickout wrote:
               | I'm confused. I'm not fear-mongering at all. I'm on the
               | opposite side of fear--optimism. This is akin to a proof
               | of concept with this mosquito species. It is likely the
               | learnings will translate to other mosquito species. I
               | have not stated I _want_ to eradicate this or the other
               | species, merely that we theoretically _could_
        
               | shkkmo wrote:
               | "Theoretically could" is practically useless without
               | providing a reasonable route to actually happening. The
               | US could theoretically nuke ever major city in Canada,
               | bit that possibility is ingored for almost all practical
               | purposes (and the purposes for which it is not ignored
               | look at the reasons why it would happen.)
               | 
               | Eliminating a species of mostuito is expensive and
               | additional effort breeding and releasing mosquito's for
               | each species you want to eliminate will always require
               | additional work and effort. Why would we expend that
               | effort to eliminate a species that doesn't bite us?
        
               | kickout wrote:
               | Disease vector is the primary reason at the moment
        
               | shkkmo wrote:
               | Mosquitos that don't bite us aren't a disease vector for
               | us... which is why there isn't a compelling reasons to
               | wipeout those species.
        
           | elif wrote:
           | That is already the case
           | 
           | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=mosquito+genetic+engine.
           | ..
        
         | rgrieselhuber wrote:
         | The problem with this is that is non-consensual. People have a
         | right to decide if genetically modified organisms will be
         | flying around in their ecosystem.
        
           | outworlder wrote:
           | > People have a right to decide if genetically modified
           | organisms will be flying around in their ecosystem.
           | 
           | Why do you care? Nature is 'genetically modifying' stuff all
           | the time. That's how you exist.
           | 
           | They won't have superpowers or grow to Godzilla proportions.
           | They are just different. Think of them as a different
           | mosquito species.
           | 
           | I can't recall signing a form allowing nature to fly
           | mosquitos past me.
        
             | pvaldes wrote:
             | > Why do you care?
             | 
             | Because fixing it later is really expensive. Ask the cane
             | toad fans
        
           | virchau13 wrote:
           | Who's "people"? The state? A democratic vote? The individual?
           | 
           | The problem with mosquito-borne diseases is that they're non-
           | consensual. People have a right to live without mosquito-
           | borne disease.
        
             | rgrieselhuber wrote:
             | Human beings who have lived in a state of nature. When
             | there are medical cures to mosquito-borne diseases
             | available, the patient can choose to take it or not take
             | it. This foisting of treatments on people without their
             | consent creates very dangerous precedents.
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | The state of nature is a construct, there is no base
               | "state of nature." These mosquitoes are only here because
               | humans brought them here.
        
               | rgrieselhuber wrote:
               | There is a big difference between how ecosystems change
               | through human and animal migration and technocratic
               | "solutions" that usher in a whole new level of medical
               | invasiveness.
        
               | idiotsecant wrote:
               | Oh? What difference would that be? If I _intend_ to add
               | or remove a species from somewhere is that somehow worse
               | than if I accidentally add or remove a species from
               | somewhere? In what way?
        
               | chaxor wrote:
               | Here we see a gaggle of gpt models, endlessly duking it
               | out for the public, such that they may casually dismiss
               | or ignore their arguments. - HN tour guide Attenborough
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | You're right, but people keep foisting their genetic chimeras
           | on us in the name of "children" and stuff like that.
        
           | kickout wrote:
           | No more than they have a right to decide if a chemical is
           | applied to a water aquifer or a pesticide is sprayed in a
           | different locale and then drifts over. Direct democracy type
           | approaches have never been a good (or even correct) model for
           | these kinds of decisions.
           | 
           | If it were, my community would prefer no synthetic chemicals
           | come into contact with my local environment (plastics,
           | textiles fabrics, herbicides, etc.)
        
             | rgrieselhuber wrote:
             | Agreed. They don't have a right to pollute water sources
             | with toxic chemicals.
        
         | losvedir wrote:
         | I think that's the second fact. The first fact is that this
         | species causes an immense amount of suffering and death to
         | humans. Not considering this ongoing harm is status quo bias.
         | 
         | I, too, think it's _likely_ no ecological disaster will occur,
         | but at the same time it 's still possible. Nevertheless, from a
         | cost-benefit perspective, for me it's a risk worth taking.
        
           | fallingknife wrote:
        
             | mensetmanusman wrote:
             | By this reasoning we should remove all safety laws.
        
               | fallingknife wrote:
               | What reasoning? If safety laws were intended to reduce
               | environmental damage, then, yes. But they clearly aren't.
        
             | imtringued wrote:
             | Parents compensate for child deaths by having more
             | children. When those children don't die you end up with
             | overpopulation. If parents know their children won't die
             | they won't have more than three.
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | I think you will have to work pretty hard to pull many
             | supporters to the 'pro-human-death' team.
             | 
             | Most people, I think, are in favor of protecting the
             | ecosystem implicitly because it makes the world a more
             | pleasant place for us to live in. There's talk about not
             | harming the planet for philosophical reasons but that's all
             | window dressing. Humans work for humans.
        
           | moralestapia wrote:
           | >this species causes an immense amount of suffering and death
           | to humans
           | 
           | That's also humans, though.
        
             | replygirl wrote:
             | congrats on siding with those humans
        
               | moralestapia wrote:
               | I don't, hence the remark.
        
               | mr_spothawk wrote:
        
               | moralestapia wrote:
               | I'm not doing it but you're more than welcome to come and
               | try.
        
               | zionic wrote:
               | There's a rabid strain of environmentalism that's
               | downright anti-human. The only moral good is for us to do
               | absolutely nothing/not exist.
               | 
               | I can't ever take those people seriously, vs people who
               | see it as humanity's role to be good stewards of the
               | earth and operate in balance with it.
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | I just ignore it, we all know they don't actually believe
               | it in their heart of hearts. It's just a failure of
               | empathy, which is all too common nowadays.
               | 
               | People just like being edgy, best to give them no mind.
        
               | conductr wrote:
               | I view it as pointing out the irony/hypocrisy in the
               | conversation.
               | 
               | Killing an entire species to save a few humans. Being
               | concerned about the ecological disaster when we are the
               | worst ecological disaster. Those are pretty hypocritical
               | viewpoints although common and completely normal with the
               | constraints of normal human behavior.
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | Yeah sorry, if it's me or my children or these
               | mosquitoes, I am going to pick my children.
               | 
               | The only reason you are so callous is because you imagine
               | those dying as others, not you, your neighbors or loved
               | ones.
               | 
               | Not going to keep replying, because I know you don't
               | really believe these things when push comes to shove.
        
               | conductr wrote:
               | Picking the side of your children at the expense of an
               | entire species is exactly the normal human behavior I
               | speak of. We do any thing to better our interest even
               | when this issue is very unlikely to impact the average
               | human or their children.
               | 
               | Also It's not as black and white as you're painting it. I
               | happen to see it both ways and side humans too because,
               | why not? I am not team mosquito. (I think you're
               | mistaking me for someone debating with you, I just jumped
               | in the thread to say I see there point, doesn't mean I
               | agree with it and it doesn't mean they lack empathy.
               | There is this thing called dark humor and it's possible
               | to hold that alternate view as a point of humor.) Also
               | not returning to comment.
        
               | thatcat wrote:
               | Individual humans aren't an ecological disaster, some
               | systems weve chosen at macro scale create ecological
               | disasters. Some humans getting maleria won't reduce that,
               | if anything it will waste even more resources.
        
               | johnny22 wrote:
               | Is that because if they really believed it then they'd
               | commit suicide? or some other reason?
        
         | sorokod wrote:
         | Thing is, smashing the existing equilibrium is not good or bad,
         | just as nature is not good or bad. Most likely a new
         | equilibrium will be established without checking with us,
         | humans. We, may like it less then the original one though.
        
         | hannob wrote:
         | Aedes Aegypti isn't even a species that's native to the US.
         | It's been brought there by humans.
         | 
         | Even if you're convinced by arguments of naturalness (which I'm
         | not), in this case it makes no sense, because you're not
         | messing with nature, you're trying to return nature to a
         | previous state before humans interfered.
        
           | fourstar wrote:
           | Humans "interfering" _is_ nature. Lol.
        
             | christophilus wrote:
             | By that definition, everything is "nature", so the word is
             | meaningless.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | camgunz wrote:
               | The era in which we live is called "Anthropocene", which
               | is defined so because humans are powerful enough to
               | define the environment. Wild days were in haha.
        
               | whimsicalism wrote:
               | Precisely
        
               | CyanBird wrote:
               | Yeah.... I don't find this disagreeable
               | 
               | Ever read on the idea that most megafauna was hunted down
               | by men?
               | 
               | Yeah... _that_ seems pretty erhm,  "unnatural", therefore
               | the entire rest of the world is "unnatural"
               | 
               | Supposedly the tsetse fly was local to a very small area
               | of Africa, yet during the 1700 and 1800 during
               | colonialism it spread onto the rest of the continent,
               | before that the continent was quite settled with larger
               | farm fields in respective areas, but the tzetze fly
               | disrupted all that
               | 
               | Anyhow just wanted to say that "nature" and "natural"
               | once one starts digging more are not really "useful"
               | descriptions, because the world is complex and not an
               | idealized scenario
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | new_stranger wrote:
           | That's the best-case scenario, the worse-case is that in
           | trying to fix a problem we caused, we fail and end up with
           | more problems.
           | 
           | I mean, this isn't news to those of us that write code.
        
             | gotaquestion wrote:
             | And you can fix code by recompiling; there's a tabula rasa
             | built into the programming domain that isn't built into
             | real life.
        
             | wongarsu wrote:
             | Even if we succeed we can end up with more problems. Nature
             | isn't math, if you add something, then remove it, you don't
             | end up where you started. The ecosystem adapts to both
             | changes separately and it's often hard to predict what will
             | happen.
             | 
             | Not that I would worry in this case.
        
             | BurningFrog wrote:
             | This is a universal argument for never doing anything.
             | 
             | It "proves too much" in argument jargon.
        
           | letitbeirie wrote:
           | > you're trying to return nature to a previous state before
           | humans interfered
           | 
           | "Those of you who volunteered to be injected with praying
           | mantis DNA, I've got some good news and some bad news. Bad
           | news is we're postponing those tests indefinitely. Good news
           | is we've got a much better test for you: fighting an army of
           | mantis men. Pick up a rifle and follow the yellow line.
           | You'll know when the test starts."
        
             | hateful wrote:
             | This is great because I just replayed this game this past
             | week so the quote was fresh.
        
             | willis936 wrote:
             | Is it that everyone in Portal 2 is a moron or is it
             | everyone in real life?
             | 
             | https://youtu.be/531Wsv5Igtk
        
               | IntrepidWorm wrote:
               | Portal 2 is filled to brimming with satire. However, I am
               | inclined to agree with the above commenter: it does seem
               | that things get more and more absurd as I get older.
        
               | salawat wrote:
               | The problem I have, is it is getting increasingly
               | difficult for me to not answer "Yes" to that question as
               | I get older.
        
       | rkagerer wrote:
       | I'm disappointed this article doesn't contain a single quote from
       | either the researchers or Oxitec (nor does the earlier article it
       | links to).
       | 
       |  _The experiment has been underway since April 2021 in the
       | Florida Keys ... over the course of seven months, and has now
       | almost completed monitoring the release sites._
       | 
       | An obvious question would be "What are you monitoring?" and to
       | explain why 7 months is sufficient to detect any ecological
       | changes.
       | 
       | Not for or against the research, and I understand it's a magazine
       | article not a newspaper story, but this seems like more of a PR
       | piece than real reporting.
        
         | tclancy wrote:
         | Completely uninformed on the topic, but what I inferred (it is
         | strange it's never explicitly said) is they are trying to
         | determine how well they can contain the effect of the
         | mosquitoes to the intended area.
        
         | teddyg1 wrote:
         | Oxitec has also been doing trials in other countries for a
         | while dating back to 2014. https://www.oxitec.com/panama
        
       | water-your-self wrote:
       | The gene was selected out after 3 generations. I
        
       | krferriter wrote:
       | There is a weird number of people in the replies here arguing for
       | strange things like a fundamental right to life for individual
       | mosquitos, against brushing teeth, in favor of preserving
       | invasive species, in favor of the naturalistic fallacy, that
       | diminishing the population of a particular species violates the
       | consent of humans in the area where that species lives, etc.
        
         | SalmoShalazar wrote:
         | The main demographic of this website are very evidently not
         | scientists or even scientifically minded. So yeah, we get junk
         | like this rather than substantive scientific discussion.
        
           | satellite2 wrote:
           | I think the demographic is very well informed and we should
           | praise the diversity of opinions when honestly voiced. People
           | on this website almost always discuss the central point that
           | was raised and rarely use rhetorical fallacies. On the other
           | hand what you are doing is very clearly an ad hominem.
           | 
           | Partially relevant xkcd https://xkcd.com/1494/
        
         | Melatonic wrote:
         | Surely they have all ready the original article :-D
        
         | mleonhard wrote:
         | HN's Eternal September [0] seems to have started late last
         | year. I saw this happen to Slashdot, then Reddit, and now HN.
         | What will be the next online forum for high-quality discussion?
         | 
         | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eternal_September
        
         | colechristensen wrote:
         | Yes wanting to do the right thing mixed with very little domain
         | knowledge and a only vague hint of what the right thing might
         | be... is a dangerous combination, and very common among people
         | advocating for "good" these days.
        
       | ed-209 wrote:
       | This will never backfire. Yep.
        
       | Linda703 wrote:
        
       | photochemsyn wrote:
       | Alternative view: infectious diseases have been around throughout
       | the entire history of humanity, and have played an important
       | ecological role in human history, namely controlling population
       | size (particularly under famine conditions, when humans become
       | more susceptible to disease) and maintaining genetic diversity
       | (since a more homogenous population may be more susceptible to
       | epidemics).
       | 
       | If we're going to use technology to eliminate infectious disease
       | (and to increase food production) then an absolute necessity will
       | be for humans to control their population growth by other means,
       | perhaps legal (as with the China one-child policy, etc.).
       | 
       | Yes, that's all very controversial, but it should really be
       | discussed.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | > If we're going to use technology to eliminate infectious
         | disease (and to increase food production) then an absolute
         | necessity will be for humans to control their population growth
         | by other means, perhaps legal (as with the China one-child
         | policy, etc.).
         | 
         | This is a solved problem already.
         | 
         | https://www.bbc.com/news/health-53409521
         | 
         | > Falling fertility rates mean nearly every country could have
         | shrinking populations by the end of the century. And 23 nations
         | - including Spain and Japan - are expected to see their
         | populations halve by 2100.
         | 
         | > It has nothing to do with sperm counts or the usual things
         | that come to mind when discussing fertility. Instead it is
         | being driven by more women in education and work, as well as
         | greater access to contraception, leading to women choosing to
         | have fewer children.
        
           | Terry_Roll wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_with_the_most_c.
           | ..
           | 
           | Kids birthed / Couple / Last Year
           | 
           | 69 / Valentina and Feodor Vassilyev[1] / 1765
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_people_with_the_most_c.
           | ..
           | 
           | Kids Birthed / Father / Last Year
           | 
           | 1,000-2,000+ / Genghis Khan / 1227
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | I'm not clear on the point being made here. These are
             | extreme outliers, yes? Of essentially zero statistical
             | value on the overall world population level?
        
         | dymk wrote:
         | Birth control, fixed it for you
        
       | svnt wrote:
       | All this does is introduce novel mutations and then drive a
       | population bottleneck. We are simply evolving the mosquito. The
       | only way this could help is if it pushes it out of a local
       | evolutionary maximum where it is a host for this virus. That
       | seems unlikely as the mutation appears optimized for intragenomic
       | conflict instead.
       | 
       | It is Russian roulette with mosquitos.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | bratwurst3000 wrote:
         | How shall this genetic mutation that they are doing induce
         | other genetic mutations in relation to that most femals die and
         | in generall? Or do you meant the virus is mutating for a new
         | host? If not, is there some genetic math that could explaine
         | your point? I am courios :)
         | 
         | Edit: because muation is more or less random and is expressed
         | with new generations. So if they die and there is less the
         | chance of mutation or am i wrong??
        
           | svnt wrote:
           | Genes often bring along adjacent unrelated genetic
           | information when they mutate because heritability for various
           | reasons does not always respect the integrity of a gene.
        
         | Symmetry wrote:
         | Usually populations evolve resistance to pathogens or toxins
         | via intermediate steps where some mutation delivers partial
         | protection and the organism can build on that to higher and
         | higher doses. Expose a population of bacteria to a large dose
         | of antibiotics and they all just die, it's when you give them a
         | small but increasing dose that they develop resistance. By
         | contrast having children of both sexes or just one is binary
         | (at least among those that will go on to create a third
         | generation) so there really isn't that same potential for
         | intermediate steps.
         | 
         | Plus, we can look into the fossil record and see species die
         | out from causes sort of like this. Many species have evolved
         | pure asexual reproduction. This provides a fitness boost to the
         | individuals who no longer have to spend energy on mating, but
         | the lack of genetic recombination inevitably causes extinction
         | in a million years or so. Not exactly the same as what we're
         | trying to do here but it's still the closest analogy available.
        
           | svnt wrote:
           | All we are doing is selecting for females who can avoid the
           | genetic mutation by some means.
           | 
           | I'm not worried about the loss of a mosquito species, I'm
           | just saying it is a waste of time and the wrong approach.
        
             | Symmetry wrote:
             | Would you say that dumping disinfectant in a petri dish is
             | just selecting for bacteria resistant to disinfectant? If a
             | mutation arises that prevents the sex selection process
             | then sure, the mosquito populations can recover. But
             | whether such a mutation arises before the species is wiped
             | out is an open question. And we can put multiple different
             | gene drive mechanisms into the males requiring multiple
             | simultaneous mutations to evade which aren't selected for
             | until all are present, making the chance of such an evasion
             | as unlikely as we need if we're willing to put the effort
             | in.
        
         | refurb wrote:
         | Intragenomic conflict?
        
           | svnt wrote:
           | It is roughly opposite of inclusive fitness in genetic
           | selection. An extension of the selfish gene theory.
        
         | jjoonathan wrote:
         | I "merely drive a population bottleneck" every time I brush my
         | teeth. I am simply evolving the bacteria! It's like Russian
         | Roulette!
         | 
         | Thank you for bringing my attention to this matter. I will stop
         | brushing immediately and let my breath stink and teeth rot
         | forevermore.
        
           | justinpowers wrote:
           | You jest but you're wiser than you realize, especially if you
           | include a diet change as part of the driver.
           | 
           | Good diet (no sugars) and avoidance of broad-spectrum
           | bactericides will allow good bacteria to thrive, pushing out
           | the bad smelly ones.
           | 
           | People have noticed similar beneficial responses, ie lack of
           | disgusting body odor, when quitting hot soapy showers or the
           | use of antiperspirants.
           | 
           | Just gotta make sure diet goes with it. Along with general
           | common sense cleanliness.
        
             | zionic wrote:
             | >good bacteria
             | 
             | I've seen evidence for this in the gut, WRT digestion and
             | such.
             | 
             | What possible basis could exist for there being "good"
             | bacteria in your mouth? It's still going to do damage even
             | if it doesn't offgas sulfur.
             | 
             | Long term I imagine we'll genetically engineer our
             | offspring to produce all the required enzymes for healthy
             | digestion without reliance on 3rd party organisms.
        
               | justinpowers wrote:
               | There's good (and bad) bacteria all over our bodies. Our
               | skin is coated with them and needs to be coated with
               | them. Without the good ones on our skin, bad ones take
               | over, and then any cuts become more likely to get
               | infected.
               | 
               | I'll update later with a source reference or two. But I'm
               | willing to bet that Wikipedia's "skin flora" page has
               | good info. Im not sure of the term for the mouth's flora
               | though...but I have zero doubt that it exists, simply
               | because bacteria is everywhere. And gut bacteria get
               | there via the mouth.
               | 
               | Long story short, there's no such thing as a pure human.
               | We exist only because we are colonized by bacteria. We're
               | kind of like the earth in that regard. We house living
               | organisms and they make us what we are, without them
               | homeostasis crumbles and so do we. So, with that in mind,
               | we should be selectively helping the good ones and
               | killing the bad, instead of wiping them all out.
               | 
               | Regarding replacing the gut bacteria with suitable
               | enzymes for digestion, that would probably be misguided.
               | The bacteria do more than just help digestion... they
               | also keep bad bacteria out. And furthermore, they
               | actually affect our mental health, keeping depression at
               | bay for instance. Whether that's indirectly via
               | suppressing inflammation or some more direct means, I
               | don't recall.
               | 
               | Edit: Looks like it's a much more direct means of
               | influence: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=31100533
               | (There doesn't seem to be much about this here on HN
               | already, so I'm providing a source via HN submission in
               | hopes of generating some discussion...)
        
               | jrapdx3 wrote:
               | You are correct re: evidence for connections between
               | inflammation and depression. There's a robust literature
               | on the subject. Here are just 2 articles. [0][1] ([1]
               | specifically addresses gut flora and inflammation.)
               | 
               | [0] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8968318/
               | 
               | [1] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8965553/
        
               | outworlder wrote:
               | This is all true. We aren't immune to all their effects
               | long term, though. The mouth is the best example.
               | Bacteria will release all sorts of compounds as they have
               | to eat.
               | 
               | The enamel is able to resist (and reform) but it needs
               | help if you have any hope of maintaining all your teeth
               | past your prime reproductive age.
        
             | outworlder wrote:
             | > Good diet (no sugars) and avoidance of broad-spectrum
             | bactericides will allow good bacteria to thrive, pushing
             | out the bad smelly ones.
             | 
             | Good luck with that! What are you going to eat? Can't have
             | fruits, most modern fruits are very high in fructose.
             | Definitely nothing containing starch, which will
             | immediately break down in your mouth. Meat? It has some
             | sugar too (largely responsible for the barbecue taste).
             | 
             | Its not wise to assume that mechanical (and perhaps even
             | chemical) teeth cleaning wasn't practiced by our ancestors
             | every since they evolved hands.
             | 
             | Sure, reducing sugars goes a long way in keeping your mouth
             | healthy. But we can't rely solely on that.
             | 
             | Bacteria (even good ones) will ultimately form biofilms
             | that need to be disrupted, otherwise they calcify and
             | become tartar, then start accumulating down the gums, until
             | they are mostly shielded from the air and the 'bad'
             | anaerobic bacteria proliferate. You then get periodontitis
             | and eventually start losing bone and then teeth (something
             | accepted by society as a consequence of growing old, when
             | it's in fact a disease).
        
               | justinpowers wrote:
               | No sugars might have been better said as "less sugars"
               | for the pedantic amongst us.
               | 
               | Never said there was no mechanical cleaning. But they
               | certainly didn't have our "advanced" toothbrushes,
               | toothpastes and mouthwashes. In fact, I'd say "mechanical
               | washing" was an unavoidable aspect of eating harder foods
               | rather than the soft, sticky processed items we tend
               | towards today. And furthermore, with less stickiness
               | (gluten and sugars) they would have needed less
               | mechanical washing.
               | 
               | Anyways, lifestyle changes don't need to be all or
               | nothing to have a measurable effect
               | 
               | And yes even good bacteria can/will be bad at some point.
               | Nonetheless they are still better than most others and
               | will help maintain homeostasis for as long as time
               | allows. We haven't yet found a cure for time-related
               | degeneration/accumulation, have we? But again, maybe I
               | should have said "better bacteria" rather than "good"
        
           | imtringued wrote:
           | Evolving resistance against mechanical cleaning is actually
           | quite difficult.
        
           | svnt wrote:
           | While there have been a couple of good replies to your
           | perspective already, I'll just point out it appears you
           | forgot to introduce a novel mutation in them first.
        
           | newbamboo wrote:
           | You joke, but it's reasonable to not brush. Sugar causes
           | cavities, not lack of fluoride. Try a year without brushing;
           | see for yourself.
        
             | outworlder wrote:
             | > You joke, but it's reasonable to not brush. Sugar causes
             | cavities, not lack of fluoride. Try a year without
             | brushing; see for yourself.
             | 
             | DONT DO THAT. If you do decide to follow this crazy advice,
             | please keep flossing. And keep going to the dentist every 6
             | months. I wouldn't want to get a freaking root canal (or
             | lose teeth) from a misguided experiment like this.
             | 
             | Fluoride is just to help strengthen the enamel. You can
             | brush your teeth without it. In fact, there were some
             | amazon tribes that used a kind of tree bark. Works fine, I
             | tried it.
        
               | newbamboo wrote:
               | Try it with a hamster or a cat then. Humans flourished
               | pre-tooth brush; an historical fact.
        
       | programmarchy wrote:
       | "First they came for the mosquitos, but I said nothing because I
       | was not a mosquito."
       | 
       | A bit tongue in cheek, but there are ethical issues raised by
       | wiping out species. Next mice, then wild hogs, then on to other
       | "pests".
        
         | andresgottlieb wrote:
         | "First they came for the lettuce, but I said nothing because I
         | was not a lettuce."
         | 
         | A bit tongue in cheek, but there are ethical issues raised by
         | eating living beings. Next fish, then chicken, then on to other
         | "food".
        
         | kickout wrote:
         | We kill entire species all the time as humanity, often
         | unnoticed. I think its better that we have a explicit reason
         | for doing so.
        
         | aaronchall wrote:
         | That's the problem when a slippery slope becomes a landslide
         | and next thing you know, the sky is falling.
        
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