[HN Gopher] Dutch scandal serves as a warning for Europe over ri...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Dutch scandal serves as a warning for Europe over risks of using
       algorithms
        
       Author : Kiala
       Score  : 215 points
       Date   : 2022-04-13 12:49 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.politico.eu)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.politico.eu)
        
       | jokoon wrote:
       | I'm on welfare in france, and sometimes I wonder if the
       | government is going to find some excuse to stop giving me money.
       | 
       | Could be "not applying to enough job offers", while most
       | employers are always complaining about candidates not being
       | skilled enough, which is why unemployment is so high.
        
         | BlueTemplar wrote:
         | This is happening to my half-sick mother, right now, 6 months
         | before retirement (!), because Pole Emploi is seemingly unable
         | to both check its own database for the presence of a recent job
         | offer she was rejected from _and_ also to reply to (or even
         | read ?) the (e-)mail pointing this out that has been sent to
         | it. Going to have to seize the Ombudsperson now...
         | 
         | Some related levity :
         | 
         | Nistoire, professeur de chomage - Groland - CANAL+ :
         | 
         | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n-Yck-aO4Ww (fr)
        
       | mahesh_rm wrote:
       | Once upon a time I made the mistake of incorporating a startup in
       | the Netherlands. Never. Again.
        
         | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
         | Why? From what I heard UK, Ireland, Luxembourg and Netherlands
         | are _THE_ places in Europe to incorporate a startup, at least
         | compared to the bureocratic horror stories I heard from places
         | like France or Germany.
        
         | orangepurple wrote:
         | What went wrong?
        
           | vanderZwan wrote:
           | Based on their username I would guess "being not-white in a
           | country that is totally convinced it isn't racist but is
           | actually seriously racist".
           | 
           | Also, it's not discussed much but the Netherlands has a very
           | serious "old boy network" problem where white douchebags who
           | didn't achieve much during their studies except boozing with
           | other white douchebags keep failing upwards.
           | 
           | It's the reason why me and my mixed ethnicity background do
           | not regret emigrating either, despite the superior bike
           | infrastructure and hagelslag.
        
             | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
             | _> but the Netherlands has a very serious "old boy network"
             | problem where white douchebags who didn't achieve much
             | during their studies except boozing with other white
             | douchebags keep failing upwards._
             | 
             | This isn't some Dutch thing. I've seen the exact same thing
             | in Germany, Austria and Switzerland at the big-name
             | companies in those countries (like BMW, etc.).
             | 
             | Basically, to succeeded, be a white local from a mid-
             | upper/upper class family, go to a famous uni there and
             | party, and you'll fail yourself to the top management in a
             | big company there quite nicely, while immigrants have glass
             | ceilings to make sure they know their place.
        
               | mahesh_rm wrote:
               | Pretty much this. Despite the fact that I am blonde and
               | from Europe. Plus (from my perspective and specific to
               | the Netherlands): it's an ecosystem of speculating
               | "professionals". The Tax stuff is all done in Dutch.
               | Accountants and the likes demand huge fees, and the Tax
               | Authority assumes you are a Tax Resident if you
               | incorporate a BV there. It took 4 years after I left
               | Amsterdam (and about 20k EUR) to get rid of the annoyance
               | of the Belastingdienst / Accountants demanding I would
               | file personal and business stuff there, while I was
               | actually living in another continent. I have been living
               | in more than 8 Countries up to now, and the Dutch Society
               | is the only one I am positive I will never ever try to
               | join again.
        
               | vanderZwan wrote:
               | We're in agreement - I did not mean to imply it's an
               | exclusively Dutch problem, I was just pointing out that
               | it's a problem that isn't brought up that much when
               | people talk about issues in Dutch society.
               | 
               | Also, since "white" is a flexible term that varies per
               | country but always basically designates which socially
               | constructed ethnicities are the "exclusive clubs" on top
               | of society, it should probably be pointed out to for
               | everyone who has no experience with North-Western
               | European whiteness that people from Eastern and Southern
               | European countries are not considered white in these
               | countries most of the time either, except perhaps when
               | they're compared to immigrants from countries even
               | further away.
        
             | BlargMcLarg wrote:
             | Mind you, literally anyone who doesn't fit this mentality
             | in some way (ethnicity, sex, character, etc.) is quickly
             | considered an outsider with problems getting in. You can be
             | a white heterosexual native guy and still struggle because
             | the Dutch mentality doesn't mesh with you personally. Very
             | much because "boozing with other white douchebags" concerns
             | all descriptors.
             | 
             | It's why the Dutch "kan niet"-mentality is so prominent.
        
               | mtts wrote:
               | Very much this. The Netherlands is essentially a frat
               | house kept afloat by dangerously unregulated immigrant
               | labor, a dwindling number of middle class professionals
               | and tax laws that would be an embarrassment to all but
               | the most unrepentant of tax havens.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | My guess - "incorporated in NL" has some high fixed costs,
         | whether in actual dollars or in hassles & overhead. Any FAANG
         | can spend a $1M or ten to farm out the latter to professionals.
         | But if you're an actual startup...
        
       | Tozen wrote:
       | This really isn't about "algorithms", so much as it is about
       | xenophobia and ethnic discrimination. The "algorithm", is just
       | another plausible deniability cover for institutionalized
       | discrimination against various minorities and the poor who are
       | least able to fight back.
       | 
       | Those in charge, know exactly what they are doing when they
       | create their "blacklists" and "targets". They know the names,
       | they have the bias and prejudices, and they want to target those
       | minority groups. The poorer and less able to fight back, the
       | better. They know the type of damage they are doing to those
       | peoples lives, and sadistically enjoy inflicting it.
       | 
       | It's only when they get caught, do they start running around and
       | pulling out excuses from their orifices, and "it was the
       | algorithm" is just one of them.
        
         | vanderZwan wrote:
         | > _The "algorithm", is just another plausible deniability cover
         | for institutionalized discrimination against various minorities
         | and the poor who are least able to fight back._
         | 
         | What makes this extra infuriating is that even before these
         | algorithms were implemented in the Netherlands there were
         | already plenty of people warning us that this would happen if
         | we ever would be so foolish to do so. I can only presume they
         | feel a certain frustrated kinship with climate scientists right
         | now
        
       | tomputer wrote:
       | In the documentary _Alone Against the State_ , five mothers who
       | became victims of the Dutch childcare benefits scandal share the
       | chilling stories of how their lives and that of their children
       | were destroyed by a state system deprived of humanity.
       | 
       | It is a Dutch documentary, unfortunately without English
       | subtitles:
       | 
       | https://www.2doc.nl/documentaires/series/2doc/2021/alleen-te...
        
       | sidewndr46 wrote:
       | > The Dutch tax authorities now face a new EUR3.7 million fine
       | from the country's privacy regulator.
       | 
       | How does this work? Wouldn't the government be fining the
       | government and paying itself with the citizens tax revenues?
       | 
       | Also, this doesn't seem to serve as a warning at all. Unless all
       | the politicians and civil servants were removed from their job,
       | barred from public positions and given hefty fines then this is
       | actually a clear sign encouraging more of this behavior from
       | governments. Until there are clear consequences enacted by the
       | populace, governments will continue this kind of behavior.
        
         | yunohn wrote:
         | > Until there are clear consequences enacted by the populace,
         | governments will continue this kind of behavior.
         | 
         | In fact, the government staged a token dissolution right before
         | scheduled general elections, and proceeded to win the elections
         | and come right back into power. Nothing changed.
         | 
         | Truly magical how accountability works.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | This is mostly a failure of our citizens deciding not to hold
           | the current coalition accountable and still voting for them.
           | There are some wider 'failure of democracy' reasons for this,
           | but in the end I lay the blame at the feet of people who
           | voted for the current government.
        
             | einpoklum wrote:
             | People vote because of a combination of issues. Perhaps the
             | main opposition parties also merit punishment-by-not-voting
             | for other actions. My point is that one cannot lay the
             | responsibility in a once-per-4-years parliament seat
             | assignment.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | I blame people who did not weigh this problem heavy
               | enough in their decisions.
               | 
               | I also personally blame people who voted VVD and CDA in
               | general, but that is a wider and more personal judgement.
        
               | vanderZwan wrote:
               | I'm with you. The fact that we can't even blame FPP
               | voting systems, gerrymandering or other voter suppression
               | tactics for any of this makes it all so much more
               | frustrating. Apparently a significant part of the
               | population either doesn't care about this, or worse,
               | _approves_ of the systemic racism.
        
               | einpoklum wrote:
               | Well, I lean Anarchist and am not a Dutch citizen, but
               | while living in the Netherlands for a couple of years as
               | a post-doc, I was also disheartened to see the Dutch
               | right-wing that dominant in national politics. Do you
               | believe that, say, a GroenLinks-led coalition would have
               | handled this much better?
        
         | StreamBright wrote:
         | It is part of the theatre, unelected government officials waste
         | taxpayers money on something illegal so they have to pay with
         | taxpayer money for it. The only real punishment would have been
         | is jail time for the people involved and explaining to the rest
         | of the unelected government officials that they can end up in
         | jail. Just like how the rest of society works.
        
           | rjmunro wrote:
           | It doesn't have to be jail time for the people involved, it
           | could just be fines, salary cuts, demotions etc. Only the
           | very worst offenders should go to jail.
        
           | sidewndr46 wrote:
           | This sounds like playing monopoly with taxpayer dollars.
        
       | matheusmoreira wrote:
       | The perils of false positives and making decisions based on
       | probability. These governments are punishing innocents and hoping
       | the guilty is among them. Horrifying.
        
       | rowanG077 wrote:
       | I'm dutch and this really is disgusting. But you have to
       | understand that the Dutch population has no real problem with
       | this. The exact same political parties were elected a few months
       | after this scandal. It's just democracy really.
        
         | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
         | Probably because most Dutch people assume shit like this
         | can't/won't happen to them so it's no biggie that the lives of
         | 5 families were ruined. Even less of an issues for them if some
         | of those families affected were immigrants and not Dutch
         | natives.
        
           | amelius wrote:
           | 5 families? the article speaks of _thousands_ of people ...
        
           | jb1991 wrote:
           | Except it was a _lot_ more than just five families.
        
       | goatcode wrote:
       | From what the article spelled out, using algorithms isn't
       | precisely the risk, but using them in a completely horrendously
       | unpracticed and uninformed way seems to be.
        
       | wallaBBB wrote:
       | By reading, seems that the algorithm is just a scapegoat used in
       | the title. This is racial discriminations dating way back,
       | purposely introduced in the algorithm, and supported for 6 years.
       | 
       | > Having dual nationality was marked as a big risk indicator, as
       | was a low income.
       | 
       | >In 2020, Trouw and another Dutch news outlet, RTL Nieuws
       | revealed that the tax authorities also kept secret blacklists of
       | people for two decades, which tracked both credible and
       | unsubstantiated "signals" of potential fraud. Citizens had no way
       | of finding out why they were on the list or defending themselves.
       | 
       | >An audit showed that the tax authorities focused on people with
       | "a non-Western appearance," while having Turkish or Moroccan
       | nationality was a particular focus. Being on the blacklist also
       | led to a higher risk score in the child care benefits system.
        
         | legulere wrote:
         | Algorithms calculating the probability of some event of a
         | person will always be discriminatory, because the probability
         | depends on which groups you belong to.
         | 
         | The problem is that algorithms are an easy way to hide behind.
         | Think of an algorithm to check wether to do a police check for
         | a person. Statistically black people are more likely to commit
         | crimes. The police could easily hide behind an algorithm and
         | say that they are not doing checks only on black people but
         | only on persons flagged by the algorithm.
         | 
         | The problem with that is that most people are not criminal, but
         | will be discriminated just because of which group they belong
         | to.
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | > Statistically black people are more likely to commit crimes
           | 
           | Statistically black people are more likely _to be arrested
           | and convicted for_ crimes. So if you use an algorithm to
           | determine who should be arrested and convicted, how long they
           | should be sentenced, and likelihood of recidivism, and seed
           | that algorithm with historical information about arrests and
           | convictions tagged by race (even inadvertently through names
           | or addresses), you end up permanently encoding untrue
           | information like  "black people are more likely to commit
           | crimes."
           | 
           | an example from a particular class of crimes:
           | 
           |  _Study: Whites More Likely to Abuse Drugs Than Blacks_
           | 
           | https://healthland.time.com/2011/11/07/study-whites-more-
           | lik...
           | 
           |  _Black and white Americans use drugs at similar rates. One
           | group is punished more for it._
           | 
           | https://www.vox.com/2015/3/17/8227569/war-on-drugs-racism
        
             | skrbjc wrote:
             | For the first article: "The study, which was published
             | Monday in the Archives of General Psychiatry, controlled
             | for variables like socioeconomic status because rates of
             | severe drug problems tend to be greater amongst the poor.
             | Despite this, Native American youth fared worst, with 15%
             | having a substance use disorder, compared to 9.2% for
             | people of mixed racial heritage, 9.0% for whites, 7.7% for
             | Hispanics, 5% for African Americans and 3.5% for Asians and
             | Pacific Islanders."
             | 
             | You can get into a debate about the merits of controlling
             | for factors, but the title is somewhat misleading. They are
             | suggesting that whites have higher rates of drug use when
             | you control for factors like socioeconomic status, not that
             | the hard numbers show that whites use more drugs than
             | blacks.
             | 
             | The second article is literally two paragraphs with no
             | actual data other than an infographic. I think you need
             | some better sources if you want to make the claims you are
             | trying to make.
        
         | puszczyk wrote:
         | What I don't understand looking at the article is how
         | 
         | > "signals" of potential fraud
         | 
         | turned into 100k EUR fines. Shouldn't the "signal" only flag
         | suspect transfers and start in-person investigation?
         | 
         | Or did they just slap the fines without any human due-process?
         | 
         | I guess this is only possible because it's an administrative
         | fine, and not a criminal case, right?
        
         | photochemsyn wrote:
         | People across the government-corporate spectrum are now fully
         | aware that if they train 'self-learning algorithms' on biased
         | data sets then those algorithms will adopt those biases. Such
         | people seem to believe they can then get away with blaming the
         | algorithm for the outcome while avoiding any legal
         | responsibility themselves.
         | 
         | On the positive side more and more people are generally aware
         | of how this works. Criminal investigators need to look at the
         | people who selected the datasets that were used to train the
         | algorithms, they're the ones who bear responsibilty.
        
           | masklinn wrote:
           | > People across the government-corporate spectrum are now
           | fully aware that if they train 'self-learning algorithms' on
           | biased data sets then those algorithms will adopt those
           | biases.
           | 
           | "Bias laundering" is how it's usually called. Take biased
           | training data, put it in "the algorithm", and presto it's all
           | legal because it comes from "the algorithm".
        
         | ClumsyPilot wrote:
         | No fly lists too, no algorythms involved
        
           | droopyEyelids wrote:
           | The only reason it isn't an "algorithm" is because no one
           | thought to use that language when it was created.
           | 
           | All "algorithm" means is "a process or set of rules to be
           | followed in calculations"- computers don't need to be
           | involved, nor does "AI".
           | 
           | The no-fly list is a process of looking up people in a list
           | of names when calculating whether they can fly. That fits the
           | definition as much as anything else the media calls an
           | algorithm.
        
             | samhw wrote:
             | Honestly, as someone most of whose life is spent writing
             | algorithms, when I hear any non-technical person say the
             | word "algorithm" that's my cue to tune out. "Algorithms"
             | seems to have a meaning that's approximately "super-
             | intelligent runaway AI robots ... oh, and they're also
             | racist".
             | 
             | Meanwhile, neural nets are accomplishing the great,
             | hitherto-unreachable task of _[checks notes]_ grade school
             | math:
             | https://www.tensorflow.org/datasets/catalog/math_dataset
        
             | raxxorraxor wrote:
             | Very true that this just obscures the issue with processing
             | personal data. That of course happens already on large
             | scales for years.
        
         | neaden wrote:
         | Yeah based on the article I think the racism was a feature, not
         | a bug.
        
       | fallingknife wrote:
       | > Authorities penalized families over a mere suspicion of fraud
       | based on the system's risk indicators
       | 
       | This is the real story here. The algorithm is incidental.
        
         | Sharlin wrote:
         | Not sure about that in the real world. The temptation of
         | "algorithms" is in reducing human workload which,
         | realistically, means saving on salary costs by having fewer
         | humans in the loop. The attraction of cost savings - and the
         | externalization of repercussions - biases decisionmakers into
         | believing that algorithms are a great solution. Yes, the real
         | problem is _abuse_ of algorithmic decisionmaking, and a lack of
         | oversight, but in the real world you can 't separate a
         | technology from the people who use it.
        
         | orangepurple wrote:
         | The families were guilty of breaking the community guidelines
         | /s
        
         | cool_dude85 wrote:
         | Can't agree with this. Even if it was just feeding a list to
         | human investigators, who fairly investigated each case, there's
         | still the significant issue of how the list is determined.
         | 
         | For example, the tax authority in your country right now
         | catches a small portion of overall fraud. I give them a list of
         | "hot leads" of fraudsters that's really just a list of all the
         | ethnic minorities I hate. Obviously, even if they fairly
         | investigate everyone, and nobody who's not defrauding loses
         | out, this practice would be deeply racist and
         | disproportionately punish the minority.
         | 
         | In short, we can't human-wash this problem at the end. Even if
         | everyone punished was a fraudster, strong bias in the initial
         | list is still clearly an issue.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Whilst you are right in general that biased algorithms are
           | bad even when people using them are good, the problem in
           | _this_ scandal was the the people using the algorithm were
           | trigger-happy, and partially so in a biased way.
        
             | cool_dude85 wrote:
             | I only have as much information as is included in the
             | original article, but this seems like a big issue to me:
             | 
             | >Having dual nationality was marked as a big risk
             | indicator, as was a low income.
             | 
             | Again, even if these cases were all impartially
             | investigated, you're still explicitly targeting low-income
             | people and dual-nationals, probably significantly more
             | likely to be an ethnic minority. I think the algorithm is a
             | worthwhile story, not just the trigger-happy authorities.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | That is indeed a big problem. I wouldn't be surprised if
               | this marking as a risk factor wasn't even backed by data.
               | (Note that even if it was backed by data, it would still
               | be wrong).
        
               | samhw wrote:
               | > Note that even if it was backed by data, it would still
               | be wrong.
               | 
               | Is it? This is the big question, as far as I can see. If
               | my country has green people and blue people, and green
               | people are overwhelmingly more likely to commit fraud, is
               | it wrong to require additional fraud checks on the basis
               | of being green?
               | 
               | Note that this isn't a conviction. It's accepted that the
               | standard is not so exacting that no one innocent must be
               | subject to investigation - that would be impossible under
               | realistic circumstances. (Hell, even convictions don't
               | meet that standard.)
               | 
               | On the other hand, I do accept the argument that you
               | would have to be _very, very cautious_ that you don 't
               | end up with a feedback loop if you did this - in other
               | words, a system where you keep convicting green people
               | because you investigate them, and the data therefore keep
               | suggesting that green people have a greater propensity
               | for crime, and so forth. That's undoubtedly happening in
               | many countries, I'm sure.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | This is getting off-topic. But it still is.
               | 
               | I'll stipulate that in this scenario the data themselves
               | are not actually biased. Whilst in reality these data
               | often are biased by things like disproportionate policing
               | and heavy punishhment.
               | 
               | Even then, discriminating by government based on race is
               | bad even when a statistical basis for such discrimination
               | exists. What makes "race" problematic to discriminate on
               | is how easy it is to see "race". Or rather, how easily
               | most people classify and distinguish between ethnicities
               | based on how they look.
               | 
               | For an example, lets start with a small difference
               | between blue and green people. blue people are twice as
               | likely to commit crime as green people, with a
               | criminality rate of 0.2% vs 0.1%. If this starts being
               | how you police, if this 2x difference starts guiding
               | decisions, then a lot of innocent people start being
               | disadvantaged. The extra problem is that it is very easy
               | to see if someone is blue or green. So it becomes really
               | easy for a lot of people to start acting based on this 2x
               | difference. This harms all blue people which is
               | disproportionate. It then becomes a lot easier to get to
               | the feedback loop you talked about.
        
               | samhw wrote:
               | Yeah, I agree. That's fair. I've thought about this
               | before - I worked at a bank a couple of years ago, and
               | our CCO (Chief Credit Officer in this instance) wanted to
               | implement a rule, in our credit decisioning models, to
               | decline people whose surnames had 5 or more vowels. It
               | was a naked (and admitted) proxy for Africans, and
               | probably some other 'ethnic' people too[0].
               | 
               | And it made me think: I suspect lots of our ML/NN models
               | function like that. They pick race, or they pick a proxy
               | for race. In situations where the 'ground truth' metric
               | _genuinely is_ racially skewed, it can be hard to tell,
               | and it 's just not realistic to demand that people make
               | their models inaccurate for the sake of racial equity.
               | 
               | But it highlights, for me, the unavoidable danger of
               | black-box models. I don't mean some logistic regression
               | or decision tree, because those - while not literally
               | explaining themselves - can be figured out if you have
               | some domain knowledge of the parameters. But the
               | overfitting machines that we call neural nets, well, I
               | suspect this is happening everywhere, at a cost in both
               | equity and also accuracy/reliability. (The probably-
               | apocryphal story of the computer vision model for
               | estimating density of people in a train station, but
               | which ended up just looking at the clock on the wall,
               | comes to mind.)
               | 
               | [0] I remember it exactly because it also would have
               | captured me, incidentally, with my plummy double-
               | barrelled surname - though that's beside the point here.
        
           | fallingknife wrote:
           | OK but are poor people and minorities more likely to commit
           | benefits fraud? Because if so, I think that's fair game as an
           | input, (obviously not if it's the only input).
        
           | Spooky23 wrote:
           | Usually there is more nuance than that. It sounds high and
           | mighty to take the principled position, but reality is that
           | major offenders of this type of fraud are often ethnic gangs,
           | and ignoring that signal is dumb.
           | 
           | Many companies do things like black hole traffic from Russia,
           | Nigeria, China, etc, or make interactions higher friction
           | (require MFA always, etc). Those tactics work and minimally
           | impact real customers.
        
       | einpoklum wrote:
       | I don't understand the article.
       | 
       | Suppose they had an algorithm for computing a risk score. Ok, so
       | someone is determined to have a "high risk score". That doesn't
       | mean that they've done anything wrong; at most, it means
       | prioritizing them for closer scrutiny. That could still be
       | discriminatory (e.g. focus on Turkish/Moroccan immigrants), but
       | in itself - it's not supposed to lose anyone their benefits.
       | 
       | Also, the article says:
       | 
       | > Citizens had no way of ... defending themselves.
       | 
       | Why could they not sue the tax authorities in court, asking the
       | court to order the tax authorities to withdraw their payment
       | demands? If there was no evidence of them having evaded taxes, I
       | mean.
        
         | mtts wrote:
         | High risk score means you're under scrutiny. Once you're under
         | scrutiny every minor thing that goes wrong or is unclear is by
         | default assumed to be fraud and you get slapped with (often
         | outrageously high) fines, payable immediately. You can only
         | appeal after the fact, so you're drowning in debt even before
         | the first judge looks at your case.
         | 
         | That is assuming a judge gets anywhere near your case. This
         | often didn't happen because access to the law is made extremely
         | difficult in the Netherlands (on purpose). The people this
         | affected mostly did not have the skills to find their way in
         | the Dutch legal system so they were ruined.
         | 
         | All of this is by design, by the way: the system assumes ill
         | will by default, spends an inordinate amount of resources on
         | detecting it and punishes it severely all because being tough
         | on fraud polls well.
        
       | raxxorraxor wrote:
       | > That's not good enough, argues Renske Leijten, a Socialist
       | member of the Dutch parliament
       | 
       | Exactly, and especially in the public sector on the EU level this
       | could be even vastly more damaging. The warning were loud enough
       | and people didn't listen or care, so it is probably necessary
       | that many will have to feel it before anything will change. This
       | is probably too small scale, even if thousands are affected.
        
       | liftm wrote:
       | > risks of using algorithms
       | 
       | Bubblesort so dangerous. Not exactly the best headline, is it?
        
         | rocqua wrote:
         | Presuming a sorted list gives an 'objective view' which you can
         | act on directly, without needing to check context,
         | interpretation, bias in your input, and unintended consequences
         | of treating this sorted list as truth, is quite dangerous.
         | 
         | Whether that is done with bubblesort or not indeed does not
         | matter. But thinking that acting based purely on data and data
         | processing is a good idea, that sure as shit matters. In fact,
         | it is a big mistake.
        
       | smcl wrote:
       | Nadine Dorries (UK Secretary of State for Digital, Culture, Media
       | and Sport) was right, we should simply get rid of algorithms.
       | They are clearly harmful /s
       | 
       | [0] - https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/nadine-dorries-
       | micros...
        
       | BlueTemplar wrote:
       | Around here we have a law where any decision taken by the public
       | sector with the help of a computer program must (upon request) be
       | explained in plain language, the calculations detailed step by
       | step.
       | 
       | Of course, this indirectly prohibits the use of the kind of
       | programs that seem to have been used in this case, since instead
       | of an algorithm, they use a neural network which is a black box
       | even to his trainer (or architect).
       | 
       | Sadly, I hear that our own tax authorities have started to use
       | them _anyway_ , but then they have long had this tendency of
       | consider themselves "special", and that laws didn't apply as much
       | to them...
        
         | rjmunro wrote:
         | Where is "around here"?
        
           | BlueTemplar wrote:
           | A EU country.
        
       | jacquesm wrote:
       | This scandal and the issues at the dutch tax office runs much
       | deeper than just this one set of issues, they also maintained
       | illegal lists of 'potential fraudulent people' on which 100's of
       | thousands of people that had done nothing wrong, such as having
       | the 'wrong' surname.
       | 
       | It's rotten to the core and to date there have been zero
       | consequences for the perps and the damage continues to pile up.
       | Our government has fallen over this and - surprise - the exact
       | same players were re-elected without taking any responsibility
       | for any of this.
        
         | vanderZwan wrote:
         | > _This scandal and the issues at the dutch tax office runs
         | much deeper than just this one set of issues_
         | 
         | The article doesn't even list all of the issues. For example,
         | on top of the things you rightfully pointed out, this article
         | also fails to mention is that (at least) 1115 children were
         | taken away from their parents as a result of this, and despite
         | this being known for more than half a year, not a single child
         | has been returned to their parents[0]. There just seems to be
         | zero interest by the authorities to help the people who went
         | through life-destroying tragedies as a result of all this.
         | 
         | To paraphrase one comedian from the Dutch version of _Have I
         | Got News For You_ [1], "if one child would go missing tomorrow
         | the entire country would be upside down, there would be search
         | parties, the media would go crazy with the story. And yet at
         | least 1115 children have been wrongfully taken from their
         | families, we've known this for half a year, and nothing seems
         | to happen."
         | 
         | [0] https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2021/10/over-1100-children-
         | of-...
         | 
         | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5JIejxvgjz0
        
         | StreamBright wrote:
         | It seems like bodies of government without accountability have
         | something in common: corruption.
        
           | Freak_NL wrote:
           | This was not a case of corruption. Incompetence,
           | discrimination, and lack of accountability, but not
           | corruption. Most civil servants involved believed they were
           | doing the right thing (despite ruining many lives in
           | reality), and none profited personally, provided favours, or
           | pocketed money.
        
             | StreamBright wrote:
             | "Corruption is a form of dishonesty or a criminal offense
             | which is undertaken by a person or an organization which is
             | entrusted with a position of authority, in order to acquire
             | illicit benefits or abuse power for one's personal gain."
             | 
             | I use corruption in the dictionary definition sense. I
             | guess you think that corruption only means bribery.
        
               | evandijk70 wrote:
               | GP used the same definition - employees of the tax-office
               | received no illicit benefits or personal gain.
        
               | Freak_NL wrote:
               | > [...] in order to acquire illicit benefits or abuse
               | power for one's personal gain.
               | 
               | There was no personal gain nor illicit benefits gained by
               | the civil servants responsible. For something to be
               | corruption, the perpetrator has to gain something.
        
               | edejong wrote:
               | Would a promotion (or not losing your job) count as a
               | gain?
        
               | zambal wrote:
               | It might be a gain, but that doesn't make it corruption.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | I'd say no to keeping your job, and yes to a promotion
               | only if it is accelerated.
        
               | StreamBright wrote:
               | You think that they did this because they are purely
               | evil? I think they had to gain something. Maybe the gain
               | was less work.
        
         | yunohn wrote:
         | Meanwhile, the irony amidst all this is that the Netherlands is
         | the largest tax haven for companies globally. Literally every
         | brand/company you can think of is legally headquartered in NL
         | for tax purposes.
         | 
         | Eg: FAANG, Disney, IKEA, Uber, Mars Chocolate, etc etc
        
           | Deukhoofd wrote:
           | There's a tax change that will tackle it, that should become
           | active relatively soon.
           | 
           | https://www.rijksoverheid.nl/actueel/nieuws/2021/03/25/wetsv.
           | ..
        
           | chekibreki wrote:
           | Are you sure you're not mixing up the Netherlands with
           | Ireland?
        
             | janandonly wrote:
             | Both.
             | 
             | https://www.oxfam.org/en/research/netherlands-tax-haven
        
             | Freak_NL wrote:
             | Both are tax havens.
        
             | yunohn wrote:
             | No, I'm not. Most of these companies also have incorporated
             | in Ireland alongside the Netherlands to exploit this
             | loophole:
             | 
             | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dutch_Sandwich
             | 
             | > Ireland has the BEPS tools to enable US IP-heavy
             | multinationals to reroute global profits into Ireland, tax-
             | free. The Netherlands then enables these Irish profits to
             | get to a classical tax haven (e.g. the Cayman Islands or
             | Jersey) without incurring EU withholding tax.
             | 
             | I empathise with your the confusion - corruption has
             | enabled these companies to construct confusing and
             | elaborate ways of avoiding their fair share of taxes.
        
               | disgruntledphd2 wrote:
               | > corruption has enabled these companies to construct
               | confusing and elaborate ways of avoiding their fair share
               | of taxes.
               | 
               | I'm not sure one can consider it corruption, per se,
               | rather it's tax competition on the part of smaller EU
               | states.
               | 
               | To my mind, it's not that the countries are being bribed
               | by companies, rather that the laws attract a (far too
               | small proportion of) global/EU revenue to be taxed in
               | their country.
        
               | yunohn wrote:
               | I mean, you're free to blindly dismiss obvious corruption
               | - but it's quite obvious that these loopholes were
               | designed, and often illegal.
               | 
               | Eg, https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ireland_v_Commission
        
               | NoboruWataya wrote:
               | The article you posted states that Apple won their appeal
               | against the finding of illegality in the ECJ.
               | 
               | Taxation is not an EU competence so in general it is not
               | within the power of the EU to declare a member state's
               | tax policy to be illegal. Vestager has been trying to use
               | state aid as a vehicle to circumvent that restriction but
               | the ECJ rebuffed her attempt to do that in Ireland. A big
               | part of the problem is that the state aid findings rely
               | on the assertion that tax authorities applied special
               | rules to one particular company, which is typically not
               | the case.
        
               | jeltz wrote:
               | The Dutch allow companies to negotiate individual rates
               | which are kept secret. No, this is not competition, it is
               | corruption.
        
               | Dracophoenix wrote:
               | Economic agency is not corruption. It's no different from
               | negotiating tax breaks with local governments here in the
               | United States.
        
               | account42 wrote:
               | You're right, it's no different: both are corruption.
        
               | Dracophoenix wrote:
               | Can you prove how it's corruption?
        
         | eesmith wrote:
         | It's shocking to read, and reminds me of the British Post
         | Office scandal.
         | 
         | A EUR3.7 million + EUR2.75 million fines are a slap-on-the
         | wrist for what happened. Even EUR30,000/case seems a pittance
         | compared to its effects on people.
         | 
         | It mentions there were "secret blacklists of people for two
         | decades" and that "authorities [were] hiding information or
         | misleading the parliament about the facts".
         | 
         | I don't see how regulating algorithms and AI could affect those
         | institutional injustices.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | Yes, and besides it is the one government institution fining
           | another, so there is really no consequence for any of this.
        
             | justin_oaks wrote:
             | It kills me when government institutions get fined as a
             | punishment. It's just the tax payers that are being
             | punished.
             | 
             | We as a society need to do better to incentivize good
             | behavior for those in trusted government positions, and
             | hold the individuals responsible when they betray that
             | trust.
        
           | cool_dude85 wrote:
           | Do two wrong things, when the regulators come down on one of
           | them, point to the other and say "I don't see how this
           | regulation could affect the real cause, over there." Good
           | trick if you can pull it off.
        
           | Cthulhu_ wrote:
           | On top of these fines they have to compensate and pay damages
           | to everyone involved though, they've reserved EUR1.3 billion
           | for that. The issue affected 30.000 parents, 70.000 children;
           | there were 8000 divorces.
           | 
           | https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toeslagenaffaire has a lot of
           | information, but it's in Dutch; the English version of this
           | article isn't as fleshed out.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | Quite a lot of the damage is irreparable through monetary
             | compensation. Children placed in institutions or with
             | adoptive families because their parents ended up being
             | destitute for instance. Suicides.
        
         | sAbakumoff wrote:
         | D66 who I would argue was the true winner of the election does
         | not consist of "exact same players".
         | 
         | The next election, given that we don't have the new pandemic or
         | war in Europe, will be the last one for Rutte, I believe.
        
         | Kaotique wrote:
         | On the other hand one of the main triggers for this whole
         | operation was the mass fraud by people from Bulgaria who netted
         | a lot of benefits by gaming the system. They traveled to the
         | Netherlands, applied for benefits and then went back to
         | Bulgaria and used Dutch bank accounts and debit cards to get
         | the cash. The tax office never wanted that to happen again and
         | started this program to find fraudsters but ended up
         | classifying a lot of people wrongly. To make it it even more
         | Kafkaesque some of the Bulgarian fraudsters ALSO received the
         | 30k compensation!
         | 
         | One of the recommendations is to stop pumping around so much
         | money. If you let less money circulate the system trough taxes
         | and benefits less can go wrong. Why do people need to receive
         | hundreds of thousands of Euros for children daycare? It makes
         | no sense whatsoever. Let the people keep the money, pay less
         | taxes and pay the daycare centers from the government directly
         | for each child. The bureaucracy is the real problem here.
         | 
         | When parents requested their paperwork they received hundreds
         | of papers with all the real information blacked out. Imagine
         | completely black papers. It was absolutely disgusting and the
         | Dutch government even stepped down because of the whole affair.
         | Amazingly the same political parties got elected again and are
         | now in office in the same coalition as before...
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | This has been trotted out many times before in defense of the
           | tax office's behavior but it doesn't hold water: far more
           | people were affected than Bulgarian fraudsters and besides
           | that compared to the fraud committed by the well-off portion
           | of NL the fraud committed by the poorer part is negligible.
           | But guess who is better at defending themselves against
           | unfair behavior by the authorities.
        
             | rocqua wrote:
             | This is not a defense of the tax office, but it is the
             | cause.
             | 
             | The 'bulgaren-fraude' was the cause for the government to
             | change policy (and I believe law) to be much stricter on
             | fraud and be much more vigilant when trying to detect
             | fraud. The current scandal is one of the end results here.
             | An interesting intermediary result is that the culture at
             | the tax-office changed to be much more about 'getting the
             | fraudsters' and much less about 'helping people'. Throw on
             | a bit of "bureaucrats trying to cover their own and their
             | bosses' ass" when people accidentally get marked for fraud,
             | and you start getting the results we have here.
             | 
             | I fear that this culture (both the citizen as adversary
             | 'getting fraudsters' culture and the ass covering) is still
             | in place, and much more widespread throughout the
             | government. Similar things seem to be happening at the
             | National Mining Institute trying to discredit earthquake
             | damage in Groningen for one example.
             | 
             | <sarcasm> luckily when the government stepped down because
             | of the last scandal, the new government was a big change
             | and a big step towards fixing these attitudes </sarcasm>
        
               | fransje26 wrote:
               | The tax office has a long history of (privacy) abuse, law
               | breaking, and going after after the "little" people with
               | no way to defend themselves.
               | 
               | Some of the not-so-savory/unlawful recent abuses I
               | recall: - Going after "all" the rent allowance fraudsters
               | that were, according to them, undermining and abusing the
               | system.. Result: recovery effort dropped after it turned
               | out the cost of running the fraud task force was an order
               | of magnitude higher than what was recovered from the
               | people defrauding the system.. - Illegally storing and
               | going through millions of traffic camera images to go
               | after fraudsters driving a few kilometres more than they
               | declared. Result: stopped by the supreme court, on ground
               | of unlawful privacy abuse. - Cross governmental agencies
               | checks & cross database checks of different expenditures
               | (heating, rent, telephone bills, online shopping etc) to
               | make sure that some low-income families were not earning
               | more than declared. Also declared unlawful.
               | 
               | The theme is recurrent: an abuse of power, and a
               | propensity to break the law to extort money from lower
               | class incomes mostly, as they are the least capable of
               | pushing back.
               | 
               | The motives are unclear, but, fundamentally, the problem
               | originates in a political will and ingrained mentality of
               | distrust of their fellow citizens -especially the poor-
               | and blaming them for not contributing to the taxation
               | effort. Very ironic coming from a fiscal paradise. Even
               | more ironic when you know that, until recently, Shell
               | could write-off world-wide expenses as local loses, and
               | thereby not pay taxes in the Netherlands. Well, Shell
               | left for London, so at least that problem is solved.
        
               | berkes wrote:
               | > The 'bulgaren-fraude' was the cause
               | 
               | No. It wasn't a _cause_ , it was an _excuse_.
               | 
               | Even back then, politicians warned that by cranking down
               | on the relative few "frauding Bulgarians" a lot of
               | collatoral damage was imminent. A politician even refused
               | to implement it because of this and resigned.
               | 
               | It was predicted to have this collatoral damage. I was
               | publicly known that such fraud would be hard to fight at
               | all, even if collatoral damage was accepted. And still,
               | government wanted to appear tough so proceeded anyway.
               | 
               | It was a choice. Not a force of hand.
        
               | yunohn wrote:
               | > The 'bulgaren-fraude' was the cause for the government
               | to change policy (and I believe law) to be much stricter
               | on fraud and be much more vigilant when trying to detect
               | fraud.
               | 
               | Whatever the stated reason was, they failed horribly at
               | execution - by unfairly stereotyping and discriminating
               | against innocent people.
               | 
               | There lots of other ways to combat tax fraud.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | Fully agreed.
               | 
               | But the stated reason is still relevant, if only to check
               | what the history and reasoning of the original plan was.
               | Here it informs us how the tax office came to see
               | citizens as adversaries, when that was not (or less so)
               | their stance before 2016.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | https://www.vpro.nl/argos/lees/onderwerpen/artikelen/2021
               | /bu...
        
           | secondcoming wrote:
           | Genuine question... is 'people from Bulgaria' a euphemism for
           | Roma gyspies?
        
             | Kaotique wrote:
             | No.
        
           | Cthulhu_ wrote:
           | I'm sure this happened, but this is where the checks and
           | balances come in; there were apparently no checks to see if
           | the people actually lived and worked in NL. And there was no
           | recourse to get the money back, which is a failing of
           | European law and the fraudster's country of origin's legal
           | branches.
           | 
           | And the fix was to cast too wide a net; instead of handling
           | the individual cases, they instead tried to apply logic and
           | rules to it; if (country == bulgaria) fraudPotential += 100
           | kinda thing.
        
           | raxxorraxor wrote:
           | You will never get bureaucracy out of Europe anymore, it is a
           | done deal. Worse, surveillance will be extremely expanded
           | with the AI act and police forces will be consolidated. Of
           | course that won't help against criminal cases like this at
           | all. It is truly the old continent by now. Taxes must be so
           | high because the system will leech all that money, such
           | schemes will be just a side note.
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | > Why do people need to receive hundreds of thousands of
           | Euros for children daycare?
           | 
           | It's not about "daycare", it is about assisting families in
           | the (massive) expenses that raising a child incurs. Why?
           | Because unlike the American pension system which is mostly
           | backed by the stock market, European pension systems depend
           | on young and healthy workers to pay the pensions of the
           | current pensioner generation.
           | 
           | Obviously this has the advantage that stock market crashes
           | won't wipe out a whole generation's pensions and that the
           | stock markets are not inflated artificially by enormous
           | amounts of "dumb money" being loaded into anything that
           | promises a profit (which is partially what caused the 2008ff
           | crisis), but it has the disadvantage that society has to
           | really take care of not falling into demographic traps.
        
             | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
             | _> Why? Because unlike the American pension system which is
             | mostly backed by the stock market, European pension systems
             | depend on young and healthy workers to pay the pensions of
             | the current pensioner generation._
             | 
             | Which IMHO the European pension system is massively flawed
             | as it's basically a Ponzi scheme that requires more and
             | more people to keep the system going, more people that will
             | consume more resources and need more real estate to live
             | in, real-este which governments and banks have turned into
             | a speculation vehicle making them unaffordable for the new
             | generation of young people who are supposed to be many and
             | pay into the system.
        
               | BlueTemplar wrote:
               | Sure, but using this logic civilizations themselves are
               | also basically Ponzi schemes.
        
               | BlargMcLarg wrote:
               | The real problem is everyone wants to rely on the current
               | working population, especially the middle class, despite
               | it being evident the middle class is doing progressively
               | worse. You don't need to pump the population numbers year
               | after year if retirees can accept they'll be a little
               | worse off relative to the younger generation compared to
               | their ancestors, for example. Instead, many retirees
               | expect the younger generations to carry the full burden
               | and figure it out on their own.
               | 
               | Add to that several other problems in NL in particular,
               | and you have a recipe for disaster. One of the main
               | reasons people with a median income have huge trouble
               | finding a decent place to live.
        
               | rocqua wrote:
               | In my current pension plan. If Right now everyone stopped
               | participating, the pension is setup to be able to pay-out
               | all currently outstanding pensions in full. There is of-
               | course some variance in the interest rates attained, and
               | the actuarial factors (how long people live) which mean
               | that in reality this might not be the case. But the Dutch
               | pension system is very much setup to _not_ be a Ponzi
               | scheme. Money I put in is earmarked for me. The only
               | 'collective' situation is that if there is a shortfall
               | some of the money earmarked for me can be used for
               | others. But such shortfalls are rare. Especially because
               | there is 'slack' in the system to catch a shortfall not
               | by touching my money, but by not (fully) compensating
               | inflation.
        
               | peoplefromibiza wrote:
               | > Which IMHO the European pension system is massively
               | flawed as it's basically a Ponzi scheme
               | 
               | flawed, maybe, it is actually been good for people that
               | strted working in the 50s-60s, but a Ponzi scheme?
               | 
               | I don't see the connection.
               | 
               | Most pension systems in Europe are in balance and have no
               | problem paying the pensions, the only _real_ problem is
               | that the population is growing older but people get their
               | first job much later in life and the age of retirement is
               | not advancing at the same rate of the aging of the
               | population.
               | 
               | Many pensions in my country are contributing to the
               | economy of the family, so they are not going into the
               | pockets of some old grumpy grandparent that lives on the
               | shoulders of the younger generations and spend 9
               | months/year cruising the Mediterranean sea, having
               | breakfast in Venice, lunch in Split and dinner in Crete.
               | 
               | > real-este which governments and banks have turned into
               | a speculation vehicle
               | 
               | real-estate is mostly a cost in Europe, unless you have a
               | shitload of money.
        
             | iggldiggl wrote:
             | > but it has the disadvantage that society has to really
             | take care of not falling into demographic traps.
             | 
             | Does it? Or is it just that the demographic issues are more
             | readily apparent?
             | 
             | You can't eat the stock market, so you can accumulate as
             | much wealth as you want in stock market-backed pensions
             | plans or otherwise - if by the time you want to retire
             | there aren't enough working-age people left around willing
             | to provide you goods and services, your pension scheme is
             | worth zilch.
        
             | Cthulhu_ wrote:
             | In theory, the Dutch pension system is ALSO backed by the
             | stock market, which is why they will cut down on payments
             | if the stock market isn't doing very well (according to
             | their own calculations). The more I hear about things like
             | that, the more I'm inclined to just handle my own pension
             | fund. But that's where things get tricky, because an
             | employer's pension contributions are tax-free, if they were
             | to be paid out, income tax would be charged on it.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | The way I deal with this: make a good profit, pay myself
               | a decent salary and the remainder as dividends, invest
               | those in very low risk asset classes myself. It isn't
               | quite as tax efficient as a pension scheme would be but
               | the chance that the money will be there when I need it is
               | about 100%.
        
             | djbebs wrote:
             | Its about gathering power to the institutions and
             | bureaucrats that work in them.
             | 
             | Anything else is just an excuse to get higher budgets and
             | grift.
        
             | Kaotique wrote:
             | I think you misunderstood me. I am not saying they don't
             | deserve support. I am saying that the government can
             | support people in a way that is not so bureaucratic. Pay
             | the institutions like schools, daycare, etc directly and
             | don't burden the parents with requesting benefits and
             | sending around enormous amounts of money. The institutions
             | can apply for government money for each child they have to
             | take care of. And the parents can just go to work and not
             | move around swats of money.
             | 
             | On of the examples in a mother with 3 children who had to
             | pay back a hundred thousand Euro that were classified as
             | wrongly received benefits. That means she received tens of
             | thousands of Euros per year! What an insane burden to put
             | on mother.
             | 
             | If something goes wrong the consequences are gigantic. Just
             | like it happened in this scandal.
        
               | Beldin wrote:
               | > _That means she received tens of thousands of Euros per
               | year!_
               | 
               | I'm writing this from memory, so it may be wrong, but as
               | I remember it: parents would receive "modest" support; a
               | much larger part would go directly to the daycare,
               | outside of the parents' view. Now if the daycare was
               | deemed to be illegal/fraud/..., the parents would be on
               | the hook for both the money they received as well as the
               | money the daycare received.
               | 
               | Again, I may be misremembering - but this is definitely
               | one way to put a mom into 100s of thousands of debt that
               | she'd never seen.
        
               | orwin wrote:
               | This is why I really dislike social solutions that
               | involves money. I understand that you have no choice but
               | to use money in a developed economy (because if you just
               | give services, it doesn't count toward GDP), but this is
               | peak 'indicator became the target' dumbassery.
        
               | BlueTemplar wrote:
               | > (because if you just give services, it doesn't count
               | toward GDP)
               | 
               | And considering GDP as the most important metric isn't
               | peak dumbassery ?
        
               | harvey9 wrote:
               | Who would give the services if there is no payment? Are
               | you talking about a barter society?
        
               | em500 wrote:
               | There are a few more reasons that I don't have time to
               | delve into right now. But the main practical reason is
               | that government assistance for daycare is very income
               | dependent, so government paying directly to the daycare
               | would require giving them parental income information,
               | which is a big privacy no-no.
        
               | mrep wrote:
               | I'm guessing he means have the government pay for all
               | daycare for everyone fully and just pay for it from tax
               | revenue generated by a progressive income tax.
        
               | pessimizer wrote:
               | > the main practical reason is that government assistance
               | for daycare is very income dependent
               | 
               | They should stop doing that. The wealthy pay more taxes,
               | so refund them as free childcare. If you think the
               | wealthy are getting away with something under a universal
               | entitlement, raise their taxes.
        
               | VBprogrammer wrote:
               | The British "tax free childcare" system seems to be setup
               | specifically to make it as hard to deal with as possible.
               | My partner mostly deals with it but essentially you setup
               | a weird bank account through which your childcare
               | provider collects their payment.
        
             | nullc wrote:
             | > Why? Because unlike the American pension system which is
             | mostly backed by the stock market, European pension systems
             | depend on young and healthy workers to pay the pensions of
             | the current pensioner generation.
             | 
             | Using investment returns to pay for retirement is no less
             | dependent on young and healthy workers. Us retirees own the
             | companies, working people work for them, and we skim the
             | returns. It accomplishes the same thing but with less
             | central planning. It's still vulnerable to demographic
             | traps.
        
           | styluss wrote:
           | > mass fraud by people from Bulgaria
           | 
           | turned out that in the period 2007-2013, 805 Bulgarians
           | 
           | From https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bulgarenfraude
        
             | Kaotique wrote:
             | Thank you for pointing that out. I guess I should not have
             | used the mass adjective.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | The Bulgarians were very visible, but not the main
               | reason:
               | 
               | https://www.vpro.nl/argos/lees/onderwerpen/artikelen/2021
               | /bu...
        
           | falcolas wrote:
           | Ironically, this is one of the reasons I like the idea of UBI
           | - you can't defraud the government when they're giving money
           | to everyone. Most of the budget required to detect and
           | enforce fraud vanishes. Secondary effects (and their costs),
           | such as the one presented in this story, go away.
           | 
           | It's not that simple, I know. But spending so much on
           | bureaucratic red tape and fraud prevention is something that
           | feels really silly with our current systems.
        
             | cjrp wrote:
             | Why would the required budget vanish? People are greedy.
             | Why claim UBI for just you when you could claim for your
             | fictitious family of 6?
        
               | falcolas wrote:
               | At least here in the US, even children have tax IDs. I
               | don't think it would vanish completely, but it makes it a
               | much smaller issue when all you have look for double-
               | submitted tax IDs instead of running heuristics.
        
               | tluyben2 wrote:
               | I think the unique ID system should be fixed (without
               | damaging privacy); we have the technology to fix IDs to
               | identify people and let them ID themselves or do KYC
               | without the current fraude prone and error prone setup. I
               | understand this is a big undertaking, at the start, but
               | in the end, it will be easier for most people, harder or
               | impossible for fraudsters and easier for the government.
               | Indeed having a unique UUID assigned at birth or when
               | moving into the country is a first step and trivial to
               | check for even if it is, in essence, anonymous.
        
               | Cederfjard wrote:
               | Systems similar to this exist. They're not (all?)
               | anonymous, however.
               | 
               | Every Swedish citizen and resident has a unique and
               | dedicated number (date of birth followed by four digits),
               | and you can use it in tandem with for example BankID
               | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BankID) to authenticate
               | yourself almost everywhere.
               | 
               | It would be extraordinarily hard to make up UBI claims
               | for non-existing family members and receive payouts in
               | Sweden. You would first have to convince the tax agency
               | to register the fake person in order to get a new
               | personal number, either as a newborn or immigrant, which
               | either way is obviously subject to controls. You'd then
               | have to keep this up through various mandatory
               | interactions with government agencies without getting
               | found out. It would probably be much more effort (not to
               | mention stress) than just working for the same money.
        
               | Jensson wrote:
               | How would you manage to register 5 fake family members
               | with the government? Governments already track its
               | citizens in basically every country, it is really hard to
               | trick them into thinking more people than that exists.
        
               | Arrath wrote:
               | Its more like not registering the departures of family
               | members from this mortal coil, and is a persistent (if
               | relatively small scale) problem with Social Security
               | payments in the States.
               | 
               | Which, one again, circles to the point that the money,
               | time, and effort spent on fighting such low level
               | individual fraud typically vastly out-spends the actual
               | fraud they're trying to combat.
        
               | anamax wrote:
               | It's actually pretty easy in the US.
               | 
               | There are special protections for illegal immigrants so
               | it's reasonably easy to invent a family of them to
               | collect benefits.
               | 
               | In addition, various US govts or even agencies within the
               | same govt, often don't talk to one another.
               | 
               | So, when an old person dies, friends/family can keep
               | collecting benefits.
               | 
               | See https://www.theguardian.com/money/2015/mar/16/social-
               | securit...
               | 
               | "Social Security records show that 6.5 million people in
               | the US have reached the ripe old age of 112. In reality,
               | only few could possibly be alive. As of last fall, there
               | were only 42 people known to be that old in the entire
               | world."
               | 
               | It's not just dead people.
               | 
               | "One Social Security number was used 613 times. An
               | additional 194 numbers were used at least 50 times each."
        
           | Beldin wrote:
           | > _If you let less money circulate the system trough taxes
           | and benefits less can go wrong._
           | 
           | Bonus: less can go wrong administratively too. Case in point:
           | ever since the Dutch tax office had to also give out these
           | kinds of wellfare/assistance funds, things have been a wreck
           | at the tax office. It's been over a decade and it's no longer
           | even their most important thing to fix...
        
             | berkes wrote:
             | Or maybe the Tax office isn't equipped to hand out money.
             | 
             | I'm not joking here, but an office that has been focused on
             | extracting money for literally centuries, with a strong
             | emphasis on detecting fraudsters and sticking to laws and
             | rules, doesn't have the culture to handle allowences for
             | people in need.
             | 
             | The latter is a very human function. With lots of
             | interpretations. The former is a very strict and rigid
             | function.
             | 
             | which is why previously the latter was done by local
             | authorities, often they even did it through proxies in the
             | neighborhoods: something done by people, close to the
             | people.
        
           | gedy wrote:
           | > Let the people keep the money, pay less taxes and pay the
           | daycare centers from the government directly for each child.
           | 
           | But what would all the important middle men do for a living
           | then? /s
        
           | sfifs wrote:
           | Perhaps the problem is setting the wrong incentives. The way
           | to deter fraud is not necessarily to make the benefits
           | administration overly strict but to directly dis-incetivize
           | fraud through stiff penalties. For instace if benefits fraud
           | had a penalty of say 10 to 20 years imprisonment if
           | convicted, the number of people trying to commit fraud would
           | very likely go dramatically down.
        
             | short_sells_poo wrote:
             | Are you seriously suggesting a 20 year sentence for
             | benefits fraud?
             | 
             | Ignoring the fact that such a system would be ripe for
             | abuse and retaliatory behavior, just accidentally
             | convicting an innocent person would absolutely ruin their
             | life.
             | 
             | Getting wrongly convicted is already a huge tragedy. Now
             | you'd be handing out life sentences basically.
             | 
             | Let's be real, it's not the rich people who tend to engage
             | in benefits fraud and I'd argue most people who do this are
             | in desperate situations.
        
             | justin_oaks wrote:
             | I would think "higher chance of getting caught" would be
             | better in deterring any particular crime than "stiff
             | penalties".
             | 
             | My first google search "harsh penalty deter crime" had this
             | as the top:
             | 
             | >Increasing the severity of punishment does little to deter
             | crime. Laws and policies designed to deter crime by
             | focusing mainly on increasing the severity of punishment
             | are ineffective partly because criminals know little about
             | the sanctions for specific crimes.
             | 
             | https://www.ojp.gov/pdffiles1/nij/247350.pdf
        
             | BlueTemplar wrote:
             | Law has to be proportional - you can't deal out similar
             | punishment for benefit fraud and for murder !!
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | gsliepen wrote:
       | Another issue that contributed to this scandal is that the rules
       | for benefits (not just social benefits) are often such that you
       | have to request it up front at the beginning of the year, but if
       | at the end of the year it turns out that your situation changed
       | midway and you no longer had the (full) right to the benefit, you
       | have to pay it back along with a fine. It's really easy to not be
       | aware of this.
        
       | kragen wrote:
       | "Risks of using algorithms"? Clearly the Enlightenment has ended,
       | because this is a headline that would only make sense in the age
       | of the Inquisition.
        
       | drno123 wrote:
       | If I calculate correctly, Dutch child care allowance is around
       | $2000 per month, which seems generous. What is the average child
       | care allowance in other EU countries?
        
       | turbo_bean wrote:
       | Born and raised in EU South, I grew up looking up to Northern
       | Europe with regards to their efficiency, values, etc.
       | 
       | This is news I'd expect to hear from a backwater country I'd
       | never heard off. But I'm afraid it is just yet one data point of
       | how wrong I was and how bad things have gone in the heart of EU
       | and maybe the whole western world.
        
       | chekibreki wrote:
       | I hate how the correlation between income/country of origin and
       | fraud probability is discarded as ,,racist" by at least Amnesty
       | International.
       | 
       | Maybe we should first do a correlation and causality analysis and
       | see what it yields instead of closing our eyes because of PC?
        
         | croes wrote:
         | So what could cause a causality between income/country of
         | origin and fraud probability?
         | 
         | Is fraud genetic? I don't think so, so it's only a correlation
         | at most.
        
           | danamit wrote:
           | Income and social mobility might corralled with fraud.
           | 
           | Country of origin might cause low income and low social
           | mobility.
        
           | Jensson wrote:
           | Unintentional fraud is probably way higher among immigrants,
           | it is hard to avoid "fraud" when filling in forms if you
           | don't understand all the rules, even worse if the form isn't
           | even in your native language.
        
             | einpoklum wrote:
             | There is no "Unintentional fraud". If it's unintentional,
             | it's a mistake. See also:
             | 
             | https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/fraud
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | That analysis has been done and the conclusions are devastating
         | for the tax office.
         | 
         | https://www.consultancy.nl/nieuws/39000/pwc-belastingdienst-...
         | (dutch)
        
           | orangepurple wrote:
           | Devastating? I don't see anything _devastating_ in the
           | article you linked. Perhaps you can point it out? The
           | language is very weak.
           | 
           | > PwC considers it _plausible_ that the people who ended up
           | on the blacklist on the basis of appearance or nationality
           | were disadvantaged as a result. Like others on the list, they
           | _presumably_ did not qualify for smooth debt restructuring,
           | debt forgiveness, or a personal payment arrangement. Unlike
           | in the allowance affair, according to PwC, the list played no
           | role in the assessment of income tax returns.
           | 
           |  _aannemelijk_ _vermoedelijk_
           | 
           | They can't point to a single case in which this happened?
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | You could of course start with the first paragraph:
             | 
             | "Bij het inschatten van frauderisico's beoordeelde de
             | Belastingdienst zeker tientallen mensen op hun
             | nationaliteit en uiterlijk, zo blijkt uit onderzoek van
             | PwC. Zo kwamen de mensen terecht op de Fraude
             | Signaleringsvoorziening (FSV), beter bekend als de zwarte
             | lijst."
        
       | logifail wrote:
       | > Having dual nationality was marked as a big risk indicator
       | 
       | Dual nationality indeed has its ups and downs. FWIW, our children
       | have dual nationality, and on top of that, are all bilingual.
       | 
       | On enrolling them in their first school the school insisted on
       | tweaking the enrollment data we'd submitted to list the locally-
       | spoken language second, and so put the non-local language first,
       | as "mother tongue" (and yes, that's exactly how it's described
       | round here <sigh>). This meant the school would get extra money
       | from the government from a pot of money intended to support
       | migrant kids with language issues.
       | 
       | The first time this happened we pushed straight back and asked to
       | get this corrected (all our kids were born locally and speak the
       | local language and dialect like everyone else round here), but
       | the school wasn't having it. They couldn't understand why we
       | didn't want to support the school getting extra money.
       | 
       | What did we learn from this? If the incentives and/or system are
       | broken by design, it can get very hard for anyone wanting to get
       | the system corrected later.
        
         | DavideNL wrote:
         | > but the school wasn't having it
         | 
         | That's rude. I would probably consider getting the school to
         | communicate this in writing, and then report it for fraud at
         | some point; when the kids leave the school, or when I'd be sure
         | it couldn't cause any issues for the kids...
        
           | pessimizer wrote:
           | > I would probably consider getting the school to communicate
           | this in writing
           | 
           | You would only catch the stupidest, most pitiable people with
           | this trap.
        
         | hef19898 wrote:
         | How would they now? By no means those dual nationalities are
         | centrally managed. And therw is no obligation to state a second
         | cotizenship on any papers. Disclaimer: Dual citizenship kids in
         | Europe.
        
           | logifail wrote:
           | > And therw is no obligation to state a second cotizenship on
           | any papers
           | 
           | You're probably right re: citizenship but this is about
           | language, how could one "hide" being bilingual, especially if
           | we're talking about a young child?
           | 
           | (Even in kindergarten all my daughter's friends are 100%
           | aware that she and I speak a language when we're
           | communicating solely with each other that isn't the language
           | my daughter uses the rest of the time in kindergarten.)
        
             | hef19898 wrote:
             | Being bilingual is impossible to hide, that's true. My son
             | had intensified German lessons as well, being bilingual
             | with German as one of those. He was not amused, it was free
             | private German lessons so us as parents didn't complain.
        
       | mint2 wrote:
       | This is utterly bonkers. The discrimination sounds completely
       | blatant and is it actually saying any case flagged by the
       | algorithm was considered and treated as proven fraud rather than
       | just raised for investigation?!? That's absurd.
        
       | kkfx wrote:
       | That's not really an algorithm usage issue but an administrative
       | ones. Really. The issue does not arise from an ineffective/wrong
       | system but for the absence of quick, powerful and effective human
       | backup.
       | 
       | A small example: automated procedures, if well designed tend to
       | be really effective *in means* witch means they are good. BUT
       | they tend to have hard to spot (or even evident, but no one care
       | up front) loopholes and corner cases that makes not them but
       | their use a nightmare. In those case the solution is simple: a
       | human that pick all issues not automatically treated.
       | 
       | The *administrative* issue is this: those who choose automation
       | must know it can fail and so must be prepared for a normal and
       | regular and effective backup.
       | 
       | Personally if a day my country tax agency ask me 100k euros for a
       | clear error I feel no specific scandal, anyone can makes error,
       | but I expect to have a phone number to call where someone pick
       | the call quickly and in little time we can sort out the issue.
       | It's not a life-or-death thing, and it's complex, issues normally
       | happen and that's is. If I can't call because no one answer or
       | they answer but they are powerless or there is no quick solution
       | than it's not the erroneous claim the scandal, but the absence of
       | means to sort it out rapidly.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | > Chermaine Leysner's life changed in 2012, when she received a
       | letter from the Dutch tax authority demanding she pay back her
       | child care allowance going back to 2008. Leysner, then a student
       | studying social work, had three children under the age of 6. The
       | tax bill was over EUR100,000.
       | 
       | A student can get EUR100,000 for child care?
       | 
       | That is amazing.
       | 
       | For me, that is the most surprising thing in the entire article.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | That may well have been including punitive components. They're
         | really good at that.
        
         | Loughla wrote:
         | EUR100,000 = ~$108,000
         | 
         | So if that's the credit for 3 children, for 4 years, that's
         | ~$750/month. I have zero idea about how much it would cost for
         | the Dutch, but in the closest city center to me in the US, the
         | average cost for a licensed daycare center is ~$1300/month.
         | 
         | Not unrealistic, really, unless I missed something.
        
           | pacifika wrote:
           | 210 euro a month for 2 days a week supposedly
           | https://www.xpat.nl/living-netherlands/kids/day-care/
        
         | Freak_NL wrote:
         | She was a student at the time she received the letters claiming
         | 'missing information' that led to the (unjust) claim. This does
         | not mean she didn't have a job before that or some other
         | occupation. She was around 30 at that time, and study was just
         | part of her career path.
         | 
         | If you have several children, the child care allowance adds up
         | -- I receive over EUR1000 a month for one preschool child.
         | Multiply this for more than one child and several years...
         | 
         | It is a system that is increasingly seen as hostile to
         | citizens, because you need to update your registration with
         | every change in income. It's silly too, because the allowance
         | you receive goes to a child day care centre or kindergarten
         | anyway, so you are just shovelling money around which leads to
         | almost all parents being burdened with something completely
         | avoidable. The answer is to just make child day care free for
         | all children and not bother citizens with subsidies to pay it.
         | It's probably cheaper to do it that way (we would be following
         | in the footsteps of other progressive countries).
        
           | secondcoming wrote:
           | How often does income change?
           | 
           | I don't see what's 'hostile' about asking people to fill in a
           | form a couple of times per year (at most) for EUR12k.
        
             | Freak_NL wrote:
             | It changes every time your salary changes and when you take
             | unpaid leave, even if only for a few days. For a dual
             | income household this is already a bother because of the
             | details you have to enter. For households with lower
             | incomes it also doesn't stop with child care subsidies, but
             | also a health care, rent, and an additional child specific
             | subsidy to manage. Now consider that many people in lower
             | income brackets do not have a fixed salary but one
             | dependant on hours worked (think retail staff etc.), and
             | you can almost guarantee that you will receive too much at
             | some point, which will be reclaimed.
             | 
             | Compared with the ten minutes filing taxes takes here (with
             | everything prefilled and rarely a need to change anything)
             | this system is a high-risk travesty that wastes a nation's
             | time.
        
       | ai_ja_nai wrote:
       | > "An audit showed that the tax authorities focused on people
       | with "a non-Western appearance," while having Turkish or Moroccan
       | nationality was a particular focus".
       | 
       | This has nothing to do with algorithms, mates. It had to do with
       | how it wasn't tested and monitored. It appears that it was just
       | rolled out live.
       | 
       | > "Fraud prediction and predictive policing based on profiling
       | should just be banned"
       | 
       | And here are the usual luddists pandering on the confused using
       | wrong arguments. Sigh.
        
         | convexfunction wrote:
         | It should've been (and almost surely was) some specific
         | person's job to sign off on this thing being at least
         | reasonable before deploying it, which they failed to do.
         | Successfully redirecting attention from that specific person's
         | failure to do their job (and their manager who failed to ensure
         | they were doing their job, etc) to the abstract idea of
         | Algorithms is some exceptional accountability judo.
        
           | rocqua wrote:
           | Our prime minister (Rutte) is known as 'teflon Rutte' because
           | no real scandal seems to stick to him. The entire idea of
           | dodging accountability seems to be present from the very top
           | of government.
        
         | raxxorraxor wrote:
        
       | nicgrev103 wrote:
       | Reminds me of this: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56718036
       | 700 Post office franchisees made criminals by faulty accounting
       | software.
        
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       (page generated 2022-04-13 23:02 UTC)