[HN Gopher] Investors Are Buying Mobile Home Parks. Residents Ar...
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       Investors Are Buying Mobile Home Parks. Residents Are Paying a
       Price
        
       Author : ctoth
       Score  : 31 points
       Date   : 2022-03-27 18:40 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nytimes.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nytimes.com)
        
       | client4 wrote:
       | https://archive.ph/GVWJZ
        
       | ctoth wrote:
       | They're buying up all the affordable rental houses and increasing
       | the rent, they're buying up the mobile home parks that are some
       | of the "few remaining sources of affordable housing," and pretty
       | soon here it seems they'll be buying themselves a trip to the
       | guillotine. I'm honestly not sure how else this goes and hope I'm
       | wrong but this is surely unsustainable. Stein's law says if
       | something cannot continue forever it will stop.
        
         | dzhiurgis wrote:
         | IMO all depends if they are buying with cash or with mortgage.
         | Investment mortgages should only go towards new housing, not
         | compete with existing.
         | 
         | Arguable all housing investment should go into new housing, not
         | competing.
        
         | paskozdilar wrote:
         | Either that, or the world will converge into a dystopia where a
         | ruling class owns everything and working class rents and lives
         | day to day.
        
           | throwntoday wrote:
           | You _will_ own nothing and you _will_ be happy
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | helge9210 wrote:
           | I think the proper term here would be feudalism.
        
             | solarmist wrote:
             | Yeah, return to.
        
           | black_13 wrote:
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | Sounds like there is not enough competition in the space. A
         | result of government zoning law no doubt.
        
           | ctoth wrote:
           | Hoping my sarcasm detector is misfiring here, I still want to
           | engage with this comment. Can you explain to me how zoning
           | law does anything to change the reality that poor people are
           | being outbid by large corporations when attempting to buy
           | their homes? If the land were zoned for anything, how would
           | this change the fundamental truth that a large corporation
           | with access to capital can outbid poor people whose largest
           | assets are the homes that are being taken away from them? If
           | there were more competition in the mobile home market, okay
           | cool, now the people trying to buy their land are fighting
           | against even more corporations? Really hoping this was
           | supposed to be a funny and I'm not getting it.
        
             | missedthecue wrote:
             | When the supply of houses is limited, but the number of
             | bidders is increasing, the price can only do one thing;
             | rapidly increase to meet the new equilibrium.
             | 
             | I am not talking about more competition in the buyers side,
             | I am talking about more competition in the building and
             | selling side. If supply increases to match or outstrip the
             | new demand, the prices of homes, mobile and otherwise, will
             | fall.
             | 
             | Clearly, selling homes is profitable because home prices
             | are so high. So why are new homes not being built? The
             | answer is because zoning laws in our current vetocracy
             | explicitly prevent the construction of new housing under a
             | variety of pretexts. We have been under-building for 10
             | years now and it's time to pay the piper.
        
               | joshcryer wrote:
               | Permits are the highest they've been in the past 5 years.
               | This is almost certainly supply chain and labor effects
               | and we will feel them for years to come. Here's a link to
               | the Census Building Permits survey:
               | https://www.census.gov/construction/bps/
               | 
               | You can read a brief info graphic here: https://www.censu
               | s.gov/construction/nrc/pdf/newresconst.pdf
               | 
               | Note that "starts" of new buildings is close to permits,
               | but completions are flat. There either isn't enough
               | materials to finish these projects or there's a labor
               | shortage to complete these projects.
               | 
               | edit: not agreeing with your supply and demand argument
               | tho there's lots of reasons people can't build in certain
               | areas (where people want to live), but house prices are
               | going up across the board, there really is an effort by
               | the owner class to buy everything up and flip it to
               | rental.
        
               | missedthecue wrote:
               | Highest in the 5 years is still ridiculously low.
               | 
               | With a much smaller population, we used to frequently see
               | 2m+ monthly starts. We haven't been _close_ in coming up
               | on 20 years. Yet the US population is higher than it has
               | ever been.
               | 
               | (image of graph)
               | 
               | https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-zYvA49j3pFA/XxGa4SdGiOI/AAAAAA
               | AA1...
        
               | salawat wrote:
               | How about the fact home prices are inflated to the point
               | where you must take out a loan?
               | 
               | The ubiquity of the mortgage seems like it's more an
               | enabler of corporatized property buying by turning homes
               | into a financial vehicle.
               | 
               | You can blame zoning all you want, but really all zoning
               | is is trying to ensure you don't end up with something
               | massively disruptive to the surrounding area popping up
               | without getting due attention paid to it. Furthermore,
               | the big push for "high density housing" doesn't do squat
               | to make ownable housing more accessible.
               | 
               | Face it. It's the incestuous relationship with the
               | financial sector. Cut that, and you're at least not
               | continuing to do the same thing over and over again, but
               | expecting a different result.
        
               | missedthecue wrote:
               | The last time people normally bought houses without
               | mortgages was what? Pre 1920? The housing market has been
               | functional since then.
        
             | meetingthrower wrote:
             | Mobile home zoning is also now almost impossible to get, so
             | supply is constrained which jacks up the price of the
             | existing parks. There is basically zero chance of being
             | able to buy land and start a park from scratch.
        
           | paskozdilar wrote:
           | Shelter should be a public utility, just like water and
           | electricity.
        
             | dzhiurgis wrote:
             | Kinda. Social housing should strive to compete with private
             | housing. Gov has long term investment incentive plus they
             | control the demand (interest rates) AND supply (permits).
        
             | missedthecue wrote:
             | Calling something a "right" or "public utility" doesn't
             | magically conjure up fresh supply.
        
               | paskozdilar wrote:
               | No, but _making_ it a  "right" or "public utility" forces
               | the government (which _can_ , albeit non-magically,
               | conjure up fresh supply) to conjure up fresh supply.
        
         | imapeopleperson wrote:
         | > I'm honestly not sure how else this goes
         | 
         | An entrepreneur will develop new mobile home parks and offer
         | them for less. God bless capitalism
        
           | netsharc wrote:
           | Feels like the "gotta keep the wheels of capitalism turning"
           | has lead to this. Maybe this is yet another kooky theory like
           | the others I see here, but: government "printing" money to
           | keep the economy running means corporations have so much cash
           | but nowhere to invest, as well as lack of regulations ("Hey
           | Senator, how's your reelection campaign going? Oh you need a
           | few million dollars to give to the media companies to buy
           | campaign ads? Let's go for a game of golf and we can talk, my
           | private plane will pick you up.") that they've gone
           | predatory...
        
           | technofiend wrote:
           | That only works up to a point. You can't live 50 miles from
           | work if there's no public transportation and you can't afford
           | a reliable car.
        
             | shukantpal wrote:
             | 37% of jobs in US can be remote. That's easing a lot of
             | that pressure. God bless capitalism.
        
               | paskozdilar wrote:
               | I believe that many jobs in the would could cease to
               | exist, and the world would still function the same, if
               | not better.
               | 
               | An example that comes to mind are the "rent brokers" in
               | my city - all they do is post rent ads to a local ebay-
               | like website, answer the phones and write contracts (of
               | questionable legal authority). Other than that, they are
               | completely useless - they provide no useful information,
               | and often lie just to get you to sign. And they take the
               | first rent as payment.
               | 
               | I still have no idea why so many people choose to work
               | with them.
        
           | dzhiurgis wrote:
           | And state says "NEIN" to your new mobile home park.
        
       | Damogran6 wrote:
       | Who are all these investors, and is there a limit to the umber of
       | people that can afford their product? I hear they buy real
       | estate, then don't use it because it's 'just a place to stash
       | money', or 'they'll make money on the appreciation'
       | 
       | and it just seems like there's a limited group of people buying
       | things that can no longer be used as things because they're 'held
       | money'. They won't be worth quite so much if there's nobody that
       | can afford them. Then what will the investors spend their money
       | on?
        
       | livueta wrote:
       | I thought it was interesting/unfortunate that the role of Fannie
       | Mae and Freddie Mac in this dynamic was limited to a single
       | sentence at the bottom of the article.
       | 
       | A lot of this is self-inflicted (or, depending on your
       | perspective, working as intended):
       | https://www.npr.org/2021/12/18/1034784494/how-the-government...
        
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       (page generated 2022-03-27 23:02 UTC)