[HN Gopher] After 600 hours 64 workers at Ukraine's Chernobyl nu...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       After 600 hours 64 workers at Ukraine's Chernobyl nuclear plant
       finally relieved
        
       Author : MilnerRoute
       Score  : 88 points
       Date   : 2022-03-20 19:44 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (tech.slashdot.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (tech.slashdot.org)
        
       | acidburnNSA wrote:
       | Note that, despite the headlines, the final units at the
       | Chernobyl nuclear plant stopped generating power in 2000. These
       | aren't like the Zaporizhzhia units which are still providing
       | power to the area. Once a nuclear chain reaction stops, the
       | afterglow heat reduces exponentially. By now it is exceedingly
       | low, and can be fully cooled passively.
       | 
       | Best info on this whole situation comes from the UN's "nuclear
       | watchdog" (the IAEA), who now has 27 individual updates from this
       | overall event.
       | 
       | https://www.iaea.org/nuclear-safety-and-security-in-ukraine
       | 
       | Not to say people shouldn't be allowed to rotate shifts, of
       | course. But don't let the word Chernobyl freak you out too much
       | is all.
        
       | ttul wrote:
       | I can think of no good strategic reason to take over Chernobyl. I
       | think Putin did it just to create terror. Knowing that the actual
       | risk of a catastrophe is small, it's a low risk way to make
       | everyone else terrified of what Russia might do. Low cost, high
       | yield - if you are a despot.
        
         | adventured wrote:
         | > I can think of no good strategic reason to take over
         | Chernobyl.
         | 
         | If you're going to try to annex Ukraine, you're going to take
         | Chernobyl. Of course there are very good strategic reasons
         | (including the location issue, as mentioned by another comment)
         | to take over all nuclear facilities and electricity production
         | in the nation you're trying to annex.
         | 
         | What kind of annexation is it if you don't take the electricity
         | production facilities and all the nuclear plants? If you do,
         | what, leave all the nuclear power plants under the control of
         | the Ukrainian Government and its proxies? It would be wildly
         | irrational in terms of strategy.
         | 
         | One of the first things you'd want to accomplish, if you can,
         | is to seize utilities and be able to control their function
         | (for all manner of reasons), as well as controlling anything
         | nuclear related.
        
         | jcranmer wrote:
         | Chernobyl is along one of the very few roads into Kyiv from the
         | north west of the Dnieper. If you're trying to surround Kyiv,
         | you'd be very hardpressed to avoid going by Chernobyl.
        
         | politician wrote:
         | It's a great prize. They can blackmail the West for funds to
         | maintain it forever now, then use the funds for other things
         | like yachts.
        
         | shrubble wrote:
         | The Russians have access to the main rail line that goes into
         | Kyiv from Chernobyl.
         | 
         | And, they can't be attacked in that area with anything other
         | than small-arms fire - anything explosive will be too great a
         | risk to send radioactive dust into the air.
        
         | trhway wrote:
         | >I can think of no good strategic reason to take over
         | Chernobyl.
         | 
         | that speaks good of you :) For Russia that allowed for one of
         | the pillars of the current Russian propaganda - (the link below
         | in Russian) "It has been discovered that Ukraine was making
         | nuclear weapons in Chernobyl"
         | 
         | https://news.ru/world/ukraina-rabotala-v-chernobyle-nad-sozd...
         | 
         | "Existing high radiations levels allowed to hide that work"
         | 
         | Granted that stupidity doesn't work outside of Russia.
         | Unfortunately inside Russia it is a hit (together with "Ukraine
         | making biological and chemical weapons to attack Russia")
        
       | kingkawn wrote:
       | Most of the arguments in favor of the renewed development of
       | nuclear power rely on faith in engineering culture to prevent
       | catastrophic failures and avoid large-scale loss of habitability
       | of areas around these plants. This faith does not account for
       | conflict and significant social disruption. We are fortunate that
       | so far the nuclear assets in Ukraine have not been critically
       | disrupted. I hope this is not where and when we learn this
       | lesson.
        
         | AngryData wrote:
         | It isn't like you have to blow up the reactor itself to disable
         | a foreign nuclear plant. I see no reason why anybody would ever
         | target a reactor core. There is a HUGE amount of electrical
         | substation infrastructure outside of these plants which would
         | take like 1/1000 the effort to damage or blow up as the reactor
         | core itself and would shut the whole thing down. The only
         | reason you would target a reactor core itself is to spread
         | nuclear debri on purpose, which is still probably more effort
         | than it would take to just make a dirty bomb and far less
         | effective than a dirty bomb. Also you destroy all value in
         | taking that territory, piss off every other country in the
         | world likely prompting them to join the war against you, and
         | likely spread the poison back into your own territory.
        
         | acidburnNSA wrote:
         | With the fossil and biofuel status quo powering more than 80%
         | of the world causing climate change and air pollution on the
         | scale of 8 million deaths per year [1], I don't find this
         | argument particularly compelling. Sure there are hazards with
         | nuclear, but even in wild hypothesized scenarios the damage
         | from not doing nuclear is worse. For perspective, fossil +
         | biofuel kill a full Chernobyl's worth of people (short term
         | plus long term deaths) every 7 hours, and counting.
         | 
         | And as for loss of habitability, the dose rates around
         | Chernobyl are elevated but not incompatible with life. Around
         | Fukushima, I'd join Elon Musk in eating any locally grown food.
         | Better to avoid airplanes if you're concerned about those
         | levels of radiation, below the threshold known to cause the
         | smallest measurable increase in cancer (100 mSv acute, 300 mSv
         | annual). Good read here: [2]
         | 
         | [1] https://www.who.int/health-topics/air-pollution#tab=tab_1
         | 
         | [2] https://thoughtscapism.com/2019/05/08/what-about-
         | radioactive...
        
           | throwaway6532 wrote:
           | I'm not as worried about global warming as I used to be after
           | taking a look at world demographics and learning a bunch of
           | stuff about global supply chains and agricultural practices
           | as a result of this conflict breaking out.
           | 
           | World population is likely to steeply decline, and
           | globalization plus high living standards will most probably
           | go away. We just won't consume as much energy or make and
           | trade as much stuff in the future.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | jdkee wrote:
         | Western democracies, Japan and South Korea are politically
         | stable so power plant disruptions due to armed conflict on
         | their territories are likely a relatively low risk.
        
           | simulate-me wrote:
        
           | danhor wrote:
           | If prosperous (as that's usually a match for a low chance of
           | armed conflicht) nations mostly expand to non-fossil energy
           | sources that aren't available/viable for developing/poorer
           | nations, this is an issue since their power system won't
           | profit from a large amount of research & investments on how
           | to run a non-fossil fuel based system.
           | 
           | With the energy usage of non-western countries exploding
           | quickly this could be a major hinderance to stopping climate
           | change if all prosperous nations go all-in on nuclear and
           | discourage other countries from doing so because of the risk.
           | 
           | A non realistic scenario tbh, it's very unlikely that e.g.
           | germany will construct new nuclear power plants and a lot of
           | not-very-stable countries already use nuclear power as we're
           | seeing right now.
        
           | throwaway6532 wrote:
           | What about Russia? What if famine strikes and the nuclear
           | engineers at a given power plant starve to death?
        
           | pasquinelli wrote:
           | politically stable for now. how long is the average period of
           | political stability?
        
       | adventured wrote:
       | The problem is that many of those workers won't be willing to
       | return. Chernobyl is facing a disaster unless Russia drafts its
       | own people in to operate it.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2022-03-20 23:00 UTC)