[HN Gopher] Tree cover loss - 2001-2020
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       Tree cover loss - 2001-2020
        
       Author : itstaken
       Score  : 114 points
       Date   : 2022-03-15 15:53 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.globalforestwatch.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.globalforestwatch.org)
        
       | hbarka wrote:
       | I've lived in newer suburban neighborhoods where some of the
       | homeowners would cut their developer-planted trees down to
       | branchless stubs, just as the trees were about to grow. I wonder
       | what would explain the aversion to a tree. I suppose they don't
       | want to clean leaves during fall. The beauty of nature be damned,
       | if even one is aware of it in this instance.
       | 
       | I've also lived in the city of San Francisco. The Department of
       | Public Works has a tree database of all the tagged city trees.
       | Now and then there would be a 311 call about a tree getting
       | destroyed. If you try to plant a tree seedling it too would get
       | pulled. Some of the reasons are that trees are equated with
       | gentrification and raising the values of that block, thus raised
       | rents. The beauty of nature be damned, because blight is much
       | better.
       | 
       | Have you ever driven through neighborhoods with trees and ones
       | without and think of the difference?
       | 
       |  _Trees - Joyce Kilmer
       | 
       | I think that I shall never see A poem lovely as a tree.
       | 
       | A tree whose hungry mouth is prest Against the sweet earth's
       | flowing breast;
       | 
       | A tree that looks at God all day, And lifts her leafy arms to
       | pray;
       | 
       | A tree that may in summer wear A nest of robins in her hair;
       | 
       | Upon whose bosom snow has lain; Who intimately lives with rain.
       | 
       | Poems are made by fools like me, But only God can make a tree._
        
         | clairity wrote:
         | in LA, it's that time of the year where they butcher all the
         | street trees for no discernable reason (the stated reasons like
         | safety make no real sense). it's infuriating. we need more
         | cover, not less, in this drying desert area.
        
         | causi wrote:
         | _Some of the reasons are that trees are equated with
         | gentrification and raising the values of that block, thus
         | raised rents._
         | 
         | That's abominable. Does that really happen?
        
         | riotnrrd wrote:
         | Those suburbanites were probably doing some variation of
         | coppicing their trees, to keep them stunted and bushy for
         | aesthetics.
         | 
         | I lived in San Francisco, too, and helped to plant dozens of
         | trees with FUF (https://www.fuf.net/). You can't just randomly
         | plant a tree along a sidewalk; some trees do badly in cities,
         | attract pests, or drop inedible fruit that attracts vermin.
        
       | UncleOxidant wrote:
       | I guess I'm surprised that Finland & Sweden lost so much tree
       | cover. Is that due to Ikea?
        
         | drivers99 wrote:
         | If you zoom in you see a patchwork of blue and pink, so it
         | seems like just cycling through different areas for cutting and
         | regrowth.
        
         | abbe98 wrote:
         | The vast majority of Swedish and Finish forests are managed for
         | logging. All of the tree cover loss on this map in my
         | area(except for some very recent that has just been
         | logged/replanted) is today young forest which will be logged
         | again in a few decades...
        
       | smcl wrote:
       | So just to add some extra regional colour to this, it's not _all_
       | down to deforestation for the purposes of farming or logging[0].
       | There 's some pretty gruesome losses in the South Bohemia region
       | of Czech Republic (around Telc and Dacice) which have an
       | interesting backstory. Trying to recall an information board I
       | read, so it may be a little bit spotty. But there was a big
       | movement about planting spruce forests last century, which has
       | now turned out to be a fairly vulnerable tree to a particular
       | bark beetle (referred to as "kurovec" iirc) and ultimately wasn't
       | very suitable in many of the areas it was planted anyway as
       | tended to die and rot in the warmer climate of South Bohemia.
       | This means that vast swathes of forest that previously appeared
       | to be ok are now under threat and basically need to be felled.
       | 
       | So what you see when you go through there are pretty substantial
       | areas of felled trees. We went a few years in a row to somewhere
       | near a little village called "Zvule") and the difference was
       | shocking for the years 2019 and 2020. If you look both sides of
       | the road here you get an idea of what I mean -
       | https://www.google.com/maps/@49.0877897,15.2336907,3a,90y,61...
       | Notice that basically all of the remaining trees have been
       | marked, so they'll have been felled too.
       | 
       | [0] - I'm sure in this case they put the wood to good use, but I
       | think they would have preferred to keep the forest as-is
       | 
       | edit: found the area I'm talking about on the map:
       | https://www.globalforestwatch.org/map/?map=eyJjZW50ZXIiOnsib...
       | 
       | I imagine much of the green remaining there is just waiting for
       | someone to come cut it down.
        
       | lmilcin wrote:
       | I looked at the data from some places I knew very well for over 3
       | decades (like around where I grew up and are still visiting
       | parents regularly) and it looks noisy and mostly incorrect,
       | nothing like real tree cover change.
        
       | Rexxar wrote:
       | I have have big doubts on the methodology used to generate this
       | maps. The map seems completely wrong for France, there is a big
       | red mark on the biggest forest of France (Landes) but I can
       | assure you that the forest is still there and will be there for a
       | long time.
        
       | at_a_remove wrote:
       | Part of my job involves satellite imagery (when I can get it),
       | and I have occasion to compare the current year with imagery
       | from, say, 2018 or so. It's a little depressing at times.
        
       | Ensorceled wrote:
       | Some property I bought after it was clear cut around 2003 shows
       | up on this map quite clearly ... including the increase in cover
       | in the time since. So looks accurate for my single data point.
        
       | hirundo wrote:
       | How is this reconciled with the NASA 2016 report that the "Change
       | in Leaf Area" was largely positive from 1982-2015?
       | 
       | https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2436/co2-is-making-earth-green...
        
       | tomrod wrote:
       | That pink/blue distinction is really hard to visually nail down.
       | Is the Southeast US gaining or losing coverage?
        
         | pwr-electronics wrote:
         | Click a place name > "analyze" pop-up button > bottom analysis
         | tab.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | I know it's not really difficult, but just reading it spelled
           | out like that makes it sound very non-intuitively difficult.
           | Tech writing is hard!
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | derbOac wrote:
         | You can decrease the opacity of the purple/loss. It seems like
         | a lot of the loss areas is the same areas where there's gain.
         | It would be nice if there was some estimate of "unreplaced
         | loss" or "predicted net loss"; the purple on top of the blue is
         | visually difficult to discriminate.
        
         | greenie_beans wrote:
         | i zoomed into some land that i'm intimately familiar with in
         | mississippi. it got the tree loss right (when some logging took
         | place), but doesn't show the later reforesting.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | Looking in the area of the map East Texas and eastward toward
           | the east coast, there is a definite blue tinge showing
           | indicating gains in that area. Using the slider to narrow the
           | range makes it even more clear.
           | 
           | I wonder if this is gains from natural regrowth or
           | reforestation efforts like you describe. I was pleasantly
           | surprised to see any positive direction on the map as I have
           | a seeminly pessimistic view on the situation.
        
           | colonelxc wrote:
           | It has a tooltip on the loss section that mentions that the
           | young trees need to get big enough to 'achieve canopy
           | closure'
        
         | roter wrote:
         | It helps if you remove the Green layer and zoom in (otherwise
         | it just looks purple).
        
         | chroma wrote:
         | There's no way to compare them because the data sets are for
         | different time periods. The losses are for 2001-2020 but the
         | gains are only for 2001-2012.
         | 
         | I don't know about specific regions, but forests worldwide are
         | doing fine. In 1990, the world had 4.13 billion hectares of
         | forest. In 2017 that number was 4 billion hectares.[1] That's
         | not bad considering world population increased 40% in that
         | time.
         | 
         | 1. https://ourworldindata.org/forest-area#primary-vs-planted-
         | fo...
        
           | emn13 wrote:
           | I'd be careful drawing too many conclusions from that
           | dataset. Many if not most forests are managed and logged; not
           | all of that logging is necessarily on the public books nor
           | does it imply complete deforestation; Legal logging typically
           | requires a certain amount of regrowth to satisfy regulations
           | (whether national or to satisfy carbon offsets). However, a
           | sapling is not equivalent to a centuries old giant. Some
           | afforestation targets permit a very, very low tree cover to
           | be considered wooded. And if trees are being replanted; how
           | is biodiversity doing? People have a tendency to pick cheap
           | solutions (which is perfectly reasonable!), but that also
           | means we should be careful we don't misinterpret simplistic
           | coverage metrics as saying more than they do.
           | 
           | I looked (quickly, and therefore poorly, I'm sure), but I
           | couldn't see anything in the ourworldindata sources that
           | tries to distinguish the quality of forest left. I'm likely
           | missing something, admittedly; I'll keep looking, if I find a
           | link to their methodology I'll post an update.
           | 
           | They seem to be gather data from the UN FAO forestry project,
           | and also other sources. I still haven't found any in those
           | sources that account for the size of the trees; but
           | ourworldindata does indirectly include some evidence that
           | size may have reduced - the UN FAO source estimates forest
           | coverage has dropped by almost exactly a third; but the tree
           | number (where tree is defined as being 10cm in diamater at
           | breast height) has fallen by almost half. However, since the
           | sources use wildly different methodologies, I'm sure there
           | might be other causes for the discrepancy, but in any case -
           | it still highlights that interpreting these numbers isn't
           | entirely trivial.
           | 
           | (Incidently, the same caveats likely hold for the
           | globalforestwatch.org site; there too it's not obvious what
           | they're actually measuring, nor how well they can do that,
           | nor how close whatever metric they've got aligns with
           | whatever you actually care about.)
        
             | loganbyers wrote:
             | I agree context and intricacies are everything. On your
             | point about GFW, I know the team is very conscious and
             | attentive to communicating what the data means.
             | 
             | This link might be helpful:
             | https://www.globalforestwatch.org/help/map/faqs/
        
           | loganbyers wrote:
           | I don't have the ability to give a highly researched and
           | informed response to this currently, but I disagree with the
           | claim that 'forests worldwide are doing fine'. I don't think
           | you can make a well-educated argument from looking at global
           | aggregated numbers of land classification for a ~25 year time
           | period. Biodiversity, ecosystem connectivity, indigenous
           | rights, agricultural competition, surface water quality, and
           | legal regulations are all important framings to consider as
           | well. Also, while 1990 is a while ago in human terms, it is
           | hyper recent if you think about the destruction of forests
           | over the past 12-thousand years of human-induced landscape
           | disturbance.
           | 
           | I agree that limiting forest loss has been one of the more
           | prominent victories in the environmental space, along with
           | halting ozone depletion. Happy to pat some colleagues on the
           | back for that success...
           | 
           | Dropping this resource from WRI:
           | https://research.wri.org/gfr/global-forest-review
        
       | destitude wrote:
       | Will there be later years of data incorporated? The tree cover
       | gain appears to only go to 2012 whereas the loss goes to 2020
       | which would underrepresent any gains.
        
       | loganbyers wrote:
       | Cool to see this on HN - this is a product from the World
       | Resources Institute[0] (my employer). I can potentially relay
       | some knowledge from that team or try to direct someone here for
       | questions and comments. The important thing to know for these
       | maps is that Tree Cover Loss is not directly "deforestation". On
       | a pixel by pixel basis (each covering ~30m x 30m) tree loss can
       | occur without the major ecosystem destruction of deforestation.
       | This is still measureable. That is why the visualization of tree
       | cover loss is parameterized by percentage for greater inspection
       | and nuance.
       | 
       | I will take this opportunity to point out the joy and
       | satisfaction that comes along with making these kind of data for
       | impact products. We get to work on globally critical problems,
       | making real measured impact, solving interesting technical
       | problems, and developing features and tools for real and
       | appreciative users across the world. We have dedicated and
       | talented staff (product and engineering teams, in addition to
       | tons of researchers and engagement staff) who are passionate
       | about their work and our collective mission. It's a great
       | environment to work in each and every day. There are always
       | challenges - project/institutional revenue is driven mainly by
       | grants, our salary can not compete with the cash+equity offers of
       | big SV tech companies and VC backed startups. But when I wake up
       | in the morning and come to work (we are a very distributed/remote
       | organization) I know that the time and effort I spend is directed
       | towards a global good and I can easily say the same for almost
       | all of my colleagues. That is invaluable.
       | 
       | If this kind of work interests you feel free to reach out to me
       | (email in profile). We frequently have job openings[1] for PMs,
       | SWEs, and many technical roles.
       | 
       | Edit: Senior Software Engineer position currently open (and would
       | be working on Global Forest Watch) [2].
       | 
       | [0] https://wri.org
       | 
       | [1] https://jobs.jobvite.com/wri
       | 
       | [2] https://jobs.jobvite.com/wri/job/oeglifwR
        
         | matallo wrote:
         | I immediately recognized the title of the HN post, and it
         | always makes my day when I see GFW in the wild.
         | 
         | Thanks so much for your comment, as someone whose name appears
         | in the list of contributors [0] and was in the presentation of
         | the project when it first launched 8 years ago I feel very
         | grateful being part of it and couldn't have expressed the work
         | better.
         | 
         | [0] https://github.com/Vizzuality/gfw
        
         | austinwm wrote:
         | Thank you for your work at Data Lab! I've been following WRI
         | and GFW for a while and it's important stuff.
         | 
         | Also working in a global public-good project [0] I strongly
         | resemble your challenges - uncertain funding, difficulty
         | competing for top tech talent, and relatively small teams for
         | huge projects. But so much more importantly the amazing
         | benefits of working on something meaningful resonate with me.
         | The outsized positive impact each of my team members can make
         | on the world is a pleasure to be a part of every day, despite
         | the challenges.
         | 
         | Keep up the good work!
         | 
         | [0] https://dhis2.org
        
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       (page generated 2022-03-15 23:01 UTC)