[HN Gopher] New solar sail may travel to Alpha Centauri
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       New solar sail may travel to Alpha Centauri
        
       Author : Brajeshwar
       Score  : 82 points
       Date   : 2022-03-13 15:37 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (earthsky.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (earthsky.org)
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | I'm really excited about this idea and if we prove it out we
       | could gradually power larger and larger craft this way.
       | 
       | Eventually we could build lasers in the Centauri system to let us
       | also slow down as we approach.
        
       | ck2 wrote:
       | btw a fun read:
       | 
       | [PDF]
       | https://web.archive.org/web/20160318223348/http://ccrg.rit.e...
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alcubierre_drive
       | 
       | (ala Futurama "The engines don't move the ship at all. The ship
       | stays where it is and the engines move the universe around it.")
        
       | mmaunder wrote:
       | Another fundamental challenge is how to receive telemetry and
       | data from the probe once it gets there. The DSN can communicate
       | receive from Voyager 2 - in fact it is right now.
       | https://eyes.nasa.gov/dsn/dsn.html
       | 
       | But our closest star is much further away and it's an interesting
       | challenge to send a powerful enough transmitter that far - power
       | being the main problem- and have an antenna on Earth or locally
       | in space that can receive the data.
       | 
       | There's also a question of bandwidth. Voyagers downlink is 160
       | bits per second. Webb is about 25Mbps. What bandwidth is
       | achievable at that range?
       | 
       | It's doubtful the probe would be able to receive because you
       | wouldn't want to send a massive antenna that far out.
       | 
       | There's propagation delay which would be 4.2 years in one
       | direction in the case of our closest star Proxima Centauri.
       | 
       | If we take a long view - as in, the original team would be long
       | dead when the mission completes - I suspect this is achievable.
       | 
       | Check out the Lucy mission which is impressive in its orbital
       | complexity and long time horizon if you're into this stuff.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucy_(spacecraft)
        
         | mrfusion wrote:
         | So these are tiny and cheap so you stagger the launches so they
         | can relay their data back to earth. Each one could be within a
         | few 1000km of the next one.
        
           | danparsonson wrote:
           | That would require on the order of 10^10 probes...
        
             | mrfusion wrote:
             | Thanks for checking my math. Looks like we'd need to
             | stagger them by about 100 million km to be somewhat
             | reasonable.
             | 
             | It's still 400,000 times less distance to transmit a signal
             | so it would help.
        
         | simonebrunozzi wrote:
         | > power being the main problem
         | 
         | nuclear power perhaps? Not now, but maybe in 15-20 years?
        
       | badrabbit wrote:
       | Nuclear fission isn't being used because it can't genenrate
       | enough acceleration for a large spacecraft? I don't me to take
       | off from earth but once in space, to reach relativistic speeds.
       | 
       | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Longshot
        
         | ericbarrett wrote:
         | I think if we built a nuclear-propulsion probe it would use
         | something like NERVA, which was a working prototype. Nuclear
         | _pulse_ propulsion is far more speculative and too close to a
         | weapon to be practical in the next few centuries.
        
       | lmilcin wrote:
       | I am more interested in how they are planning to fit in all the
       | apparatus in a probe that small and especially how they plan to
       | send a usable signal back to Earth.
        
       | xwdv wrote:
       | When I was younger I would look at technology like this and
       | wonder in amazement at all the things humanity could do in space
       | and expand our reach beyond the Earth.
       | 
       | Nowadays, I think what's the point. Life in the universe may be
       | extremely rare but we are going about the process of spreading it
       | all wrong. Rather than sending humans to far off worlds we should
       | focus on a simpler task of inseminating worlds with microbial
       | multi-cellular organisms that can survive and evolve over the
       | course of millions of years into full first class citizens that
       | can thrive on these worlds and their environments. Humanity may
       | die off soon but if we kick off a process on several worlds that
       | triggers new forms of life to grow and reach sentience, then
       | perhaps we will have done our part in the universe, and all of
       | the human race could rest in peace knowing we have passed on the
       | most precious resource the universe has to offer.
        
       | thorum wrote:
       | How big of a concern is collision with dust at these speeds? At
       | .3 light speed would this material survive hitting a micrometeor?
        
       | dmitrygr wrote:
       | A similar idea to what was used for travel in the hard sci Fi
       | novel series "Rocheworld" (highly recommended)
        
         | mpreda wrote:
         | Also in "The Mote in God's Eye" by Pournelle & Niven (1974).
        
       | aurizon wrote:
       | These goofs have zero comprehension of beam divergence at
       | anything near that distance. Anything but a perfectly parallel
       | beam can propagate to anything near that distance. The optical
       | cavity is a box with reflective ends, one 100% and the other ~99%
       | of a lasing medium that goes back and forth while pumped and 1%
       | escapes one end - this is amplified - but the beam divergence is
       | preserved. Takes an impractically large box = impossible du to
       | time of flight. The other path to parallelism is a long self
       | focussing amplifying tiny fiber that is pumped to the energy
       | needed to make the most parallel beam and this is amplified. To
       | get something that would project a 20 light year powerful beam
       | without divergence is beyond doable or theoretical physics.
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | They aren't aiming for a 20 light year focus, they're aiming
         | for a 20 year flight duration after (a currently unachievable
         | but much less difficult) ~ _10 light second_ acceleration path.
         | 
         | They have a better grasp of how many unsolved problems they
         | face than you or I have:
         | https://breakthroughinitiatives.org/challenges/3
        
           | aurizon wrote:
           | That is partly true, there is no way a chip based laser can
           | achieve the divergence even for a 1,860 million mile path.
           | Chip geometry is intrinsically too divergent. A pumped self
           | collimating fiber 1/1000 light second long = 186 miles,
           | coiled in a large loop might not do it. I would have to look
           | up the limits of self collimation? That said, we do not
           | progress with leaps in thought and technique.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Why do you even want self collimation? Can't it just focus
             | the laser light with a (very) big mirror on the sending
             | side?
             | 
             | (Genuine question; my physics isn't at that level).
        
               | aurizon wrote:
               | This is commonly used in fibers, a gradual gradient in
               | the refractive index from the center to the edge
               | automatically steers the beam to the core path. Focus has
               | limits, you can focus the sun to an image but not to a
               | zero dimension point, although you can not focus stars to
               | an image, they are so far away they are essentially
               | parallel = many many light years so they appear to be a
               | point and for most uses they are..
        
       | jzer0cool wrote:
       | 20 years?! -- A nearest star in a lifetime. I hope to see this
       | project launch soon.
        
         | account-5 wrote:
         | I'm left wondering if that 20 years was from earth of the probe
         | seeing as we're talking about relativistic times.
         | 
         | If it's 20 years on earth how much time would have passed for
         | the probe, and visa versa?
        
           | lmilcin wrote:
           | Lorentz factor at that speed is very small.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lorentz_factor
        
           | pklausler wrote:
           | This is nowhere near "relativistic" in velocity.
        
             | prpl wrote:
             | We generally regard things above .1c to be relativistically
             | significant, but maybe not all that interesting for thought
             | experiments
        
             | Stevvo wrote:
             | Actually it is, but not dramatically; for 20 years at 0.1c
             | an extra 5 weeks will have passed for the probe.
        
               | thaumasiotes wrote:
               | > an extra 5 weeks will have passed for the probe.
               | 
               | What does this mean? The only quantity I can see with an
               | obvious meaning is that the probe will arrive somewhere
               | after experiencing a certain amount of time since leaving
               | Earth. But the time of the probe's arrival is not easily
               | matched to _any_ time on Earth.
               | 
               | Suppose the probe arrives and dispatches a message which
               | travels back to Earth at the speed of light. For
               | simplicity, the distance is exactly 4 light years.
               | 
               | - How much time did the probe experience between leaving
               | Earth and sending the "I made it" message?
               | 
               | - How much time did Earth experience between the probe
               | leaving and the "I made it" message arriving?
               | 
               | It's kind of unsatisfying that these two questions don't
               | share both their endpoints, but at least they both have
               | well-defined answers.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | The Lorenz factor is 1.021, which sounds like it's just
             | enough to make it engineering the mirror to not instantly
             | vaporise _even harder_ without being enough to help with
             | anything.
        
         | jillesvangurp wrote:
         | It would be another 20 years before we hear back from it. If at
         | all.
        
       | stewbrew wrote:
       | No article about solar sails should miss out on mentioning that
       | this idea like ... 100 years old? The laser is new, though.
        
         | malfist wrote:
         | Laser powered solar sails have been around a while, see:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_propulsion
         | 
         | > Use of a laser-pushed lightsail was proposed initially by
         | Marx in 1966, as a method of interstellar travel that would
         | avoid extremely high mass ratios by not carrying fuel, and
         | analyzed in detail by physicist Robert L. Forward in 1989
        
         | DennisP wrote:
         | The concept is old, but there's new engineering for a specific
         | practical design.
        
       | denton-scratch wrote:
       | This article is rather thin on detail.
       | 
       | It says the probe itself is the size of a microchip. Let's be
       | generous and suppose it's the size of a modern Intel x86
       | processor. How does it communicate with Earth? There has to be
       | some kind of antenna dish; so OK, maybe the sail can serve dual
       | functions. How does it do attitude adjustment?
       | 
       | Presumably some of this chip-sized probe is a sensor of some
       | kind; perhaps a camera. Without a sensor, it's hard to see how
       | one could think of it as a "probe" at all. Does this camera have
       | a lens? How big? A lens the size of an Intel processor won't
       | capture much light, and I'm not sure the bandwidth from Alpha
       | Centauri is going to be good enough for digital imagery.
       | 
       | How is the probe's transmitter to be powered? A battery no larger
       | than a microchip seems a little inadequate for communicating
       | between Alpha Centauri and Earth.
       | 
       | OK, so the probe doesn't start transmitting until it can harvest
       | energy from Alpha Centauri itself. But now it needs a solar
       | panel! A solar panel up to the job simply can't be made the size
       | of a microchip.
       | 
       | Maybe it's not supposed to send any data back at all; maybe it's
       | just meant as a proof of concept. But even our best telescopes
       | can't detect something 3m wide, in the region of Alpha Centauri.
       | So the only concept this could ever prove is that you can
       | accellerate something to c/5; there's no point in aiming it Alpha
       | Centauri.
       | 
       | The article doesn't say how long these lasers are supposed to
       | keep running; it seems unlikely they'll stay focused on the sail
       | much past the orbit of Jupiter. I haven't tried to do the maths,
       | but to accellerate something the size of an x86 to c/5, I imagine
       | the lasers will have to run continuously for over a year; how
       | much is _that_ going to cost, for a probe that can 't send back
       | data?
       | 
       | Hmm - the article is bylined "Deborah Byrd". So I click on the
       | byline, and get a photo and bio of astronomer Theresa Wiegert.
       | Who is Deborah Byrd?
       | 
       | I've never heard of earthsky.org before, but my confidence in
       | this publication is immediately diminished on my very first
       | visit.
        
         | Helloyello wrote:
        
         | stephenhuey wrote:
         | This topic was discussed at length 6 years ago:
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=11480840
        
         | molticrystal wrote:
         | Would a solution be to send them off like train cars, perhaps a
         | few months apart or sooner for redundancy in case one of the
         | "cars derail" and aligning their paths up as they leave earth
         | so they can act as relays and improving their designs as time
         | go on?
        
         | JPLeRouzic wrote:
         | > Who is Deborah Byrd?
         | 
         | > I've never heard of earthsky.org before
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_%26_Sky
        
           | denton-scratch wrote:
           | Ah, so Deborah Byrd runs the site; I still don' know who the
           | article is attributable to.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | >This article is rather thin on detail.
         | 
         | You think? It's at the level of coming from someone's head
         | written down on a napkin told at a cocktail party. Only, now,
         | they've added a friggin' laser.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | cesaref wrote:
       | Doesn't sound like they're planning to stop when they get there.
        
         | dylan604 wrote:
         | Think Oumuamua. You're lucky to just arrive in the targeted
         | solar system. There's no fuel for course correction let alone a
         | deceleration burn to attempt orbit insertion around a rock.
         | Would they even be able to supply enough fuel to insert into a
         | solar orbit at a Neptune/Pluto like distance?
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | If you're very lucky, a local planet will catch you in an
         | orbit.
         | 
         | Or the local "Space Coast Guard" will board the vessel.
        
           | not2b wrote:
           | A local planet will not catch an object going 0.2c, and there
           | isn't a way to slow it down significantly.
        
             | thaumasiotes wrote:
             | > A local planet will not catch an object going 0.2c
             | 
             | Maybe not gravitationally, but there's always the chance
             | the planet will get in the way.
        
               | throwawaybutwhy wrote:
               | Ugh. Are we prepared for relativistic reprisals?
        
         | jcims wrote:
         | There's a bit of precedence for this with NASA missions:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Interstellar_probe
        
         | SideburnsOfDoom wrote:
         | No. The craft is obviously disposable, on a one-way trip.
         | 
         | I wonder if it will even slow down, is there any braking
         | manoeuvre possible, or will it shoot through the target solar
         | system at 0.2c ?
         | 
         | What would be nice, would be if a signal - data, information
         | about the target solar system could be sent back during the
         | fly-by. But I see no sign of that.
         | 
         | I've seen pictures of a barren desert landscape today, taken
         | recently on Mars. It's marvellous, and I don't need the rover
         | to come back for that.
         | 
         | But without even information coming back, what's the point?
        
           | nuccy wrote:
           | From the original starshot project we know that information
           | is exactly the aim. Though at the moment we are not yet on
           | the level of technology to compactify enough the transmition
           | equipment.
           | 
           | There is no manuever which can help with 0.2c velocity drop.
           | Individual gravitational assist manuever usian a planet of
           | the solar system can add/remove hundreds of meters/second
           | (depends on the planet mass and how close to its center we
           | can pass). Plus the vehicle flyies-by the object used for
           | such assist. Since Alpha Centauri is literally the closest
           | star system, there is nothing on the way to be used for such
           | an assist (preferably a star).
        
       | Maursault wrote:
       | The beautiful and famous (at least very popular) image in the
       | article of Alpha Centauri and Beta Centauri is very confusing.
       | It's an image of two separate star systems, with Proxima Centauri
       | circled in red. It is easy to make the mistake (esp. if in
       | passing) to think that this is an image of just the Alpha
       | Centauri system, even with the caption explanation. What looks
       | like a star on the left is Alpha Centauri, a binary system which
       | Proxima Centauri orbits (thus a triple star system) all about
       | 4.3-ish lightyears away. The apparent star on the right is the
       | similarly constructed (binary with another orbiting star) Beta
       | Centauri triple system and is about 400 lightyears away.
        
         | akkartik wrote:
         | Thanks for pointing this out.
         | 
         | I see that https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alpha_Centauri has a
         | much better caption for the same image.
        
       | perihelions wrote:
       | Has anyone analyzed the nuclear pulse propulsion sail mentioned
       | in the _Dark Forest_ trilogy? The 1950 's proposal was to carry
       | nuclear explosives on a manned rocket and throw them out the back
       | one by one. Cixin Liu's variation, for a lightweight, one-way
       | probe, would preposition thousands of nukes throughout the solar
       | system, and launch a thin radiation sail on a trajectory that
       | flies through each detonation in sequence.
       | 
       | I assume there's _some_ fatal flaw to this, but it takes more
       | domain knowledge to identify it than I 'm familiar with.
        
         | thorin1 wrote:
         | Yes, there may be some fatal flaw in taking thousands of nukes
         | to the orbit.
        
         | KineticLensman wrote:
         | > would preposition thousands of nukes throughout the solar
         | system ...
         | 
         | > I assume there's some fatal flaw to this
         | 
         | It would take massive expenditure of energy to create and
         | preposition all of those nukes.
         | 
         | A direct contact blast (as in Project Orion) would obliterate a
         | thin radiation sail. Radiation effects might impart a
         | propulsive force to a more distant sail, but probably not
         | enough to generate the sustained acceleration required. Pulsed
         | acceleration blasts would dynamically disrupt the
         | ultralightweight sail rigging (compared with a continuous
         | gentle pressure from the sun or a launch laser). EMP effects
         | might fry any electronics on an unshielded probe.
         | 
         | [Edit] However, this idea is perhaps conceptually less
         | completely barking than his strategy for recovering important
         | hard drives from a defended ship passing through the Panama
         | Canal in The Three-Body Problem. Spoiler ... ... you simply cut
         | the ship (and crew) into tiny pieces using a nano-filament wire
         | ambush, then recover the sliced hard drives from the sea bed
         | and reassemble them. I basically stopped reading at that point.
        
       | dylan604 wrote:
       | So will the inhabitants of Alpha Centauri recognize this vessel
       | as something other than Oumuamua?
       | 
       | Given the shape of the solar sail, a new sci-fi story makes this
       | the Veeger where our solar sail collects enough dust due to some
       | unforseen negative ionic charge developing that pulls in galactic
       | dust to make it look like generic rock floating from the
       | Centurian Oort cloud and written off as actual contact from
       | another planet.
        
         | lmilcin wrote:
         | Any civilisation that can detect an object of that size and
         | categorise it as being unnatural in origin would have vastly
         | more advanced technology that would allow them to detect humans
         | on Earth in the first place.
        
           | dylan604 wrote:
           | We dtetected Oumuamua.
        
             | lmilcin wrote:
             | Oumuamua is a bit larger than a blanket on your couch.
             | 
             | Also, a mirror flying through space is very hard to detect.
             | It reflects very well but only in some directions meaning
             | it is basically black when looking at it from any other
             | direction.
        
               | dylan604 wrote:
               | It's also at about the altitude over your head the
               | premise flew by you.
               | 
               | It was a low brow sci-fi premise where the little probe
               | that could collected all sorts of space dust on the 20
               | year journey increasing its size.
        
       | credit_guy wrote:
       | Here's some numbers to make sense of this.
       | 
       | The kinetic energy formula is mv^2/2. At the speed of 0.2c, the
       | relativistic correction is only about 3%, so you can ignore it.
       | Let's say you want a probe of only 2kg. At a speed of 60000km/s =
       | 60 million m/s, the energy is 3600 x 10^12 joules or watt-
       | seconds, which is the same as 1000 GWh. So, roughly the output of
       | 1000 nuclear power plants for one hour. And this only if by some
       | miracle we achieve 100% efficiency in converting electricity here
       | on Earth in kinetic energy far out in space. We'll get back to
       | this in a moment.
       | 
       | How long does the acceleration phase take? At a gentle 1g
       | acceleration, this would be 60 million m/s divided by 10 m/s2,
       | which is 6 million seconds, or 69 days, so a bit more than 2
       | months. At 1000g (mentioned in the article) it would only take
       | 6000 seconds, or 100 minutes (1h40m). The average speed over this
       | period is 0.1 c, so at the end of the acceleration phase, the
       | spacecraft will be 10 min-light away from us, which is 180 mill
       | km, or a bit more than 1 AU.
       | 
       | Now, lasers don't produce a perfectly collimated beam (i.e.
       | parallel rays). The best one can achieve is the optical
       | diffraction limit, which means an angle of divergence of 2.44 x
       | lambda/pupil diameter. Let's say our laser has a huge diameter of
       | 1.22 meters and we use green light (500 nm wavelength). We end up
       | with an angle of 1 microradian. For such small angles the tangent
       | is equal to the angle, so it's going to be 1e-6. In other words,
       | for each 1 million meters, the beam spreads out by 1m. At 100
       | million kilometers, the beam spreads out by 100 kilometers. Since
       | our spacecraft only has a diameter of 10m, it captures only
       | 10^(-8) of the beam. Let's say you fiddle with the numbers (you
       | use a bigger diameter laser, with a shorter wavelenght), and you
       | reduce the divergence angle by a factor of 100. That means you
       | still capture only 10^(-4) or less of the beam for most of the
       | trip.
       | 
       | So that 1000 nuclear power station just went to 10 million power
       | stations. By the way, you better build them in space, otherwise
       | the poor Earth atmosphere will not be so happy about this whole
       | business.
       | 
       | Ok, but let's now say you overcome all these issues.
       | Congratulations, you just accelerated a spacecraft to 0.2c.
       | What's out there in the vast empty space? Mostly molecules of
       | hydrogen, and from time to time a speck of cosmic dust . Now that
       | speck of dust is not so innocent. It can weigh as much as 100 mg
       | [1]. 1 mg specs of dust are quite abundant. And such a tiny speck
       | of dust is nasty, really nasty. Because it hits you at a speed of
       | 0.2c, i.e. with an energy of mv^2/2 = 10^(-6) x (60 x 10^6)^2/2 =
       | 0.5 x 3600 x 10^6 = 1800 MJ. For comparison, a modern American
       | armor piercing tank shell has a weight of about 9 kg and a
       | velocity of about 1600 m/s, so a total energy of 9 x 1.6 ^2 x
       | 1e6/2 which is about 10 MJ. So one tiny speck of 1mg will hit you
       | with the energy of 180 rounds of M1 Abrams.
       | 
       | You only have to spend 20 years with these little fellows.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmic_dust
        
         | JPLeRouzic wrote:
         | Many thanks for taking the time to calculate and share all of
         | this.
        
       | willcipriano wrote:
       | If the people building this have any humor they will call
       | themselves Morgan Industries.
        
       | RaoulP wrote:
       | There's no mention of instrumentation or relaying information
       | back to earth. If there is none, what would be the point? I
       | wonder what can be achieved in something "about the size of a
       | microchip".
        
         | zabzonk wrote:
         | Yes, I've always wondered about this too - you would need a
         | communication laser and a lot of power.
        
           | taf2 wrote:
           | And 4+ years added to find out what it finds. Also a very
           | high speed camera that can maybe capture something
           | interesting once you get to your destination because I don't
           | think it can arrive and stop... it'll just buzz past at 20%
           | speed of light
        
             | spaetzleesser wrote:
             | "it'll just buzz past at 20% speed of light"
             | 
             | That's why I think it's not a worthy effort right now. You
             | won't be able to aim correctly so you may speed by objects
             | at large distance at an incredible speed with very small
             | cameras. I wonder if the results ill wbe any better than
             | what you can from earth (or will be able to do if you
             | invest some money)
        
             | dheera wrote:
             | ()
        
               | zabzonk wrote:
               | Nice for the inhabitants! And have you heard of non-
               | damaging spectroscopy?
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | pavlov wrote:
         | What if you have a fleet of thousands of these acting as a
         | cluster? All of them would have some limited radio capability
         | to communicate with other nearby probes. Some would carry
         | additional instruments to collect data near the star, and
         | others would have higher-powered radios to send data back to
         | Earth.
         | 
         | It doesn't sound like you could fit this kind of system in the
         | size of a microchip, but what do I know, I'm just a random
         | Internet speculator.
        
           | ck2 wrote:
           | Why stop at thousands?
           | 
           | If simple and small enough, railgun grains-of-rice sized
           | probes at every "near" object in the visible galaxy and
           | create a million node network to relay and repeat back to
           | earth.
           | 
           | Get the cost down to $100 each.
           | 
           | Time the launching to say once a day so they travel behind
           | each other as repeaters.
           | 
           | Then they only need small transmitters/receivers with small
           | power sources.
        
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       (page generated 2022-03-13 23:00 UTC)