[HN Gopher] Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Is Redrawing the Geopol...
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       Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Is Redrawing the Geopolitics of Space
       - ISS
        
       Author : News-Dog
       Score  : 54 points
       Date   : 2022-03-12 15:58 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | hdivider wrote:
       | Extreme scifi-level scenario: could the Russians commandeer the
       | ISS and use it as an impactor weapon on US or Allied soil? My
       | guess not; super hard to do, and impact doesn't release that much
       | energy anyway. Any space expert opinion?
        
         | spaetzleesser wrote:
         | That would probably have the worst cost/impact ratio of any
         | weapon ever. They might as well build catapults that launch
         | bricks of gold at the enemy.
        
         | spywaregorilla wrote:
         | Not really. If that were to happen we'd be at the point of
         | nukes anyway.
        
         | gamegoblin wrote:
         | ISS has many components with different drag ratios and would
         | break up unpredictably upon entering the atmosphere, making it
         | impossible to aim reliably.
         | 
         | This is a big part of the difficulty in decommission planning
         | for the ISS in general.
        
       | hirako2000 wrote:
       | Even Science can't resist to publish about politics.
        
         | krzyk wrote:
         | War is not politics. Politics is argument in parliament.
        
         | rsfern wrote:
         | This is Nature...
         | 
         | But seriously, what science to fund is political, and I hardly
         | think this topic is out of scope for an editorial in a venue
         | where science policy matters so much to the audience
        
       | dannywarner wrote:
       | Good reasons the future of space should be private companies. We
       | need more SpaceXes and not more state-sponsored.
        
         | tgv wrote:
         | You mean: the state pouring more money in private companies?
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
        
       | 99_00 wrote:
       | The next super power will be whoever dominates space.
       | 
       | It's too bad the west a d Russia can't combine tech and expo to
       | ensure that China doesn't dominant space. At least the harder
       | road is still an option if we choose to take it.
        
         | jdrc wrote:
         | > whoever dominates space
         | 
         | Because?
        
       | modzu wrote:
       | the politics of this is very sad. there isn't a single country on
       | earth whose politics are "correct". but cooperation is always,
       | always better than division. turning off instruments because they
       | were made in another country? its insane. what does that
       | accomplish? science, and in particular all the sciences related
       | to space, must transcend that. i mean, these countries blowing
       | each other up, they sell each other the weapons.. but we cant
       | share a telescope? :(
        
         | bitcharmer wrote:
         | Opinions like yours always baffled me. You probably think that
         | taking away McDonald's from an average Russian is somehow
         | unfair and accomplishes nothing, right?
         | 
         | The whole point of this huge exercise in global isolation of an
         | aggressor country is to change that whole country's behaviour
         | and deter others from doing the same. And before you say it's
         | Putin - no, it's not. It's him and the millions who
         | wholeheartedly support him.
         | 
         | Since we can't invade Russia to stop the aggression this is the
         | next best thing we got.
         | 
         | I can't put it in words any simpler than this.
        
         | gameswithgo wrote:
         | It isn't a question of political nuance, Russia is murdering an
         | entire nation. With no cooperative option currently existing to
         | end it. I am heartened that the world is resisting on as many
         | non violent fronts as possible.
        
           | whatshisface wrote:
           | > _It isn 't a question of political nuance,_
           | 
           | Here is what the crew of the international space station was
           | doing one day after US ground forces entered Iraq:
           | 
           | https://www.nasa.gov/centers/johnson/news/station/2003/iss03.
           | ..
        
       | jdrc wrote:
       | Maybe it should be retired early
        
       | dmosley wrote:
       | Post-Installation Disabling. It's like John Deere for space
       | parts...
       | 
       | "And a German astronomy team, led by the Max Planck Institute for
       | Extraterrestrial Physics in Garching, switched off a German-built
       | instrument on the Russian astronomical observatory Spektr-RG
       | halfway through its planned observations."
       | 
       | Does anyone else find this rather concerning, and in some ways
       | quite petty? I realize people are taking hard lines on these
       | events. So don't sell them any more, but switching off post-
       | install? Perhaps they do some sort of processing for the data? I
       | have no idea. The article is quite vague.
        
         | gameswithgo wrote:
        
           | deepsun wrote:
           | I am from autocratic country Belarus, and over years I
           | actually came up with, maybe unpopular, opinion that it is
           | good to forcefully impose democracy on other countries.
           | Please do it on my native country.
           | 
           | Because after some point, autocratic government goes against
           | people's will, and can even resemble occupation of its own
           | nation. Like literally 3% of the population repress the other
           | 97%. All means of overturning the government and are
           | violently suppressed at their roots.
        
             | 5e92cb50239222b wrote:
             | Has forcefully imposing democracy ever worked anywhere? I
             | can't think of single example that turned out okay.
        
               | dkyc wrote:
               | Germany? I'm very grateful for that operation.
        
               | digisign wrote:
               | Germany and Japan after WWII, can't think of any others
               | since however.
        
             | whatshisface wrote:
             | The problem is they can't invade your government, which is
             | an idea, they can only invade your neighborhood, a place.
             | Look what is happening to Ukraine or what happened in Iraq,
             | that is what war is like there's nothing democratic about
             | it.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | The problem with this is democracy is hard. The history of
             | it succeeding amidst a people who didn't fight for it is
             | poor.
        
             | FpUser wrote:
             | >"Please do it on my native country."
             | 
             | And what would you say if your family gets blown to bits in
             | the process? They already "saved" for example Iraq with
             | hundreds of thousands dead, unknown amount of maimed /
             | starved / displaced / otherwise ruined and with not much
             | different state of affairs for the average folk in the end.
             | You think that barely surviving farmer gives a shit whether
             | they allowed to scream "our president is a dick" on central
             | square?
        
               | krzyk wrote:
               | Cool, have you ever lived under despotic regime?
               | 
               | It is nice to say that if you live in a country where you
               | have freedom.
        
               | FpUser wrote:
               | I was born in USSR and lived and worked there until I've
               | moved to Canada in 1992. While I and many others hated
               | various restrictions on freedoms I know from the
               | experience that the majority of the population was mostly
               | concerned about living standard.
        
               | cute_boi wrote:
               | I have lived under autocracy as well as democracy. There
               | is no difference. I realized democracy is not black magic
               | that solves all the problems. Many people think autocracy
               | just converted to corrupt bureaucracy. And, the
               | corruption has increased and spread more rapidly.
               | 
               | Democracy is better due to freedom. But, there is no such
               | big influence on poor man's life, unless there is a
               | radical change like we see in South Korea.
        
               | krzyk wrote:
               | OK.
               | 
               | I have lived also under a somehow despotic regime (a
               | "light" version, Eastern Europe) and as a child it was
               | quite strange for me that adults said differerent things
               | in "kitchen" and in the open.
               | 
               | Also fun fact, each citizen was allowed to buy only
               | limited amount of certain "things". E.g. one coffee per
               | person (I was standing in a queue as a child to have one
               | more coffee bag for my family) - meat was given not for
               | money but for a piece of paper (rest of the meat was
               | sold/gifted to our big brother Russia).
               | 
               | In democracy I can complaint about prices of food (which
               | I can buy for money, not some allowance) and can complain
               | about current rulers. I can complain about Russia - this
               | was not allowed earlier.
               | 
               | And I can learn English in school (if would be born a
               | year earlier the only option was Russian).
               | 
               | In my country there was a radical change in poor man's
               | life when switching to democracy. (of course there were
               | complainers - basically those that were subsidies by the
               | previous regime, mostly farmers I presume)
        
               | laurent92 wrote:
               | Almost everyone would choose freedom over anything else,
               | even if it costs their death. Ukrainians do.
        
               | throttledagain2 wrote:
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > Almost everyone would choose freedom over anything
               | else, even if it costs their death.
               | 
               | The history of tyrannical governments suggests that not
               | "almost everyone" would choose that. Franklin's famous
               | quote wouldn't be noteworthy if trading essential liberty
               | for even temporary safety wasn't the common choice of
               | most people through most of history.
        
               | cute_boi wrote:
               | This is a false statement. People value quality life and
               | happy life. If your statement was true, there would be no
               | autocracy.
               | 
               | Ukrainians do because they got support from the EU, as
               | well as the US. If they stopped supporting, you know ....
               | And, it is good that the EU and US are supporting
               | Ukrainians. And, I hope the EU will support other
               | countries, that are victims of the US.
        
               | dmosley wrote:
               | *History has entered the chat
               | 
               | I am officially asking for source material to back your
               | "almost everyone" assertion.
        
           | dmosley wrote:
           | I can't agree enough about invasions being bad. You
           | acknowledge the issue with the US so I'll abstain from Pot-
           | Kettle analogies. Although, I would ask that your awareness
           | of current conflicts the US is engaged in actually become
           | part of your radar. If what you claim you want to happen you
           | truly want to happen, you would acknowledge that those
           | negative repercussions should be happening right now because
           | we have never stopped violently interfering in other
           | countries and their affairs. We're literally dropping bombs
           | as I type this. So check your false pearl-clutching and
           | feigned concessions.
           | 
           | I'm not 'pretending' to be concerned about the telescope. I
           | am absolutely concerned about the progress of things that
           | work to unite us instead of dividing us. Based on your
           | previous comment you should be as well.
           | 
           | Thanks for just avoiding the issue I raised and attacking me
           | though. Functional discourse at it finest here on HackerNews.
        
         | axiosgunnar wrote:
         | I find ambushing another country and killing thousands rather
         | concerning and in some ways quite petty.
        
         | laurent92 wrote:
         | The ISS was built to prove we could collaborate scientifically
         | across nations despite wars.
         | 
         | Today, Germany has proven they can't.
        
           | krzyk wrote:
           | Despite differences, not despite wars.
        
           | user-the-name wrote:
        
           | T-A wrote:
           | It should perhaps be mentioned that Spektr-RG is not on the
           | ISS, it's in a halo orbit around L2 (like Webb):
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spektr-RG
        
         | cygx wrote:
         | It's not as if the Germans just sold the Russians some
         | instruments they then decided to switch off after the fact:
         | 
         | This was an ongoing joint mission where the Max Planck
         | institute was responsible for parts of the ground support - see
         | https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2315138 for some of the details.
        
       | zupa-hu wrote:
       | TL;DR: nothing happened, speculates that things could happen.
       | 
       | What a waste of time to read it.
        
         | lxe wrote:
         | > ESA is looking for a new ride for its ExoMars rover mission,
         | after its launch aboard a Russian rocket this year was
         | cancelled.
         | 
         | Did you read the article?
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | dmosley wrote:
         | Germany turned off instruments being used on a joint project
         | that si currently at Lagrange 2. This in turn resulted in
         | Russia shutting down the project completely.
         | 
         | This is hardly "nothing happened". Perhaps you should have
         | "wasted time" and read it...
         | 
         | more info on the above that was in fact mentioned in the OP
         | article.
         | https://www.spacedaily.com/reports/Russia_stops_deliveries_o...
        
       | hunglee2 wrote:
       | Hard to imagine the Russian space programme recovering from this
       | war.
       | 
       | Collaboration with NASA and the other non-China space agencies
       | was the only way to keep the domestic Russian programme going.
       | Going it alone in a future of North Korea-like economic /
       | technological / political / financial isolation? I guess it is
       | possible but hard to see it right now. Sad end for a country that
       | has done so much for human space exploration
        
         | mateo1 wrote:
         | They don't lack expertise but they will be lacking money and
         | access to some specialised components and assemblies in the
         | future. That said I doubt they're going to abandon their space
         | program. I guess their launch platforms will remain stagnant
         | and focus R&D money on things that are vital for them, like
         | anything related to the new nuclear weapons race.
        
         | justin66 wrote:
         | > Hard to imagine the Russian space programme recovering from
         | this war.
         | 
         | The Russian space program never recovered from the fall of the
         | Soviet Union. The sanctions and international outrage
         | surrounding the Ukraine invasion, combined with the development
         | of less expensive launch options that relieved everyone's
         | reliance on the Soyuz launch platform, mean everyone can stop
         | propping the whole thing up.
        
       | TazeTSchnitzel wrote:
       | > the ISS has generally managed to stay out of Earth-bound
       | politics -- but the Ukraine conflict could change that
       | 
       | I guess it depends on what "generally" means, but the Ukrainian
       | conflict already changed that in 2014 AFAIK:
       | https://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/ukraine-crisis/crimea-catc...
        
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