[HN Gopher] Understanding science funding in tech, 2011-2021
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       Understanding science funding in tech, 2011-2021
        
       Author : luu
       Score  : 27 points
       Date   : 2022-03-04 17:43 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (nadia.xyz)
 (TXT) w3m dump (nadia.xyz)
        
       | ninesnines wrote:
       | As someone involved in a lot of neuroscience initiatives, I think
       | the integration of science funding in technology is really just
       | so exciting. I cannot wait to see what the field brings in the
       | next 50 years (if we all make it that long ;-) )
        
       | brilee wrote:
       | Great read! Another phenomenon that's not explicitly mentioned,
       | but is also important: the industry lab. DeepMind, Google Brain,
       | FAIR, IBM Research, MSR all have big industry labs that mostly
       | focus on CS/ML research, but the small percentage of that overall
       | effort that spills over into the sciences is still significant.
       | AlphaFold is well-known but there are many other contributions
       | being made.
        
         | lmeyerov wrote:
         | Agreed. DeepMind's AlphaFold (graph neural nets that solved
         | protein folding according to the community's own definition) is
         | amazing...
         | 
         | ...But as a former academic, it also a huge warning bell on the
         | current effective capability gap between academia and the big
         | ~5 tech co's. The field is lucky Google liked the problem, but
         | there isn't a satisfying reason academics didn't do it first
         | and aren't now ahead. I keep coming to problems at the
         | structural layers like low $ vs tech (brain drain), localized
         | ownership incentives (small efforts), broken granting
         | treadmill, etc.
         | 
         | The US gov spends so much here, and can do more, but the core
         | seems broken. The crypto discussion in the article is fun, but
         | the crypto aspect felt a bit of a headfake: it showed more that
         | many scientists want a rethink, and while DAO isnt necessarily
         | a good idea long-term (and giving little money today), it is
         | air cover for such a rethink.
        
           | derbOac wrote:
           | Speaking as someone who's done the whole tenure thing etc,
           | the gap between what has happened in the nonacademic and
           | academic sector in the last decade or so has been mind-
           | boggling to me at times, at least in my field. It's not even
           | the big 5 tech corporations. Trends in tech that are
           | completely and overwhelmingly obvious, even normal to daily
           | life, get treated like some kind of bleeding edge
           | "newfangled" thing. As a result those in the academic field
           | end up looking like luddites, even though it should be the
           | other way around. Years after you suggest something normal,
           | after something is well-established, someone gets a grant for
           | something that should have been done years earlier, and it's
           | praised as being cutting edge or something.
           | 
           | I have so much to say about this. Rigor is absolutely
           | essential but something is seriously broken about incentives
           | in publicly funded research.
        
             | lmeyerov wrote:
             | Yes!
             | 
             | To your point, I've been watching the slow uptake of basic
             | ideas in science departments. In this case, neural networks
             | are _still_ largely looked at either with suspicion (wrong
             | principles) or as magic (too difficult) by top non-CS
             | departments at top institutions. There are exceptions, but
             | they 're the ones that prove the rule.
             | 
             | The big ~5 (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Facebook, maybe
             | Amazon), and then an even bigger universe of Chinese
             | companies + consulting companies, are interesting to me
             | because they solve scaling these ideas. They've been
             | putting money into projects that academic teams largely
             | aren't, collecting global-scale data that these teams
             | aren't, and doing global-scale real-world experiments that
             | academics aren't.
             | 
             | Ex: For something like healthcare, there isn't a good
             | reason for Flatiron Health to be a leader while, to almost
             | a rounding error, most real-world clinical data researchers
             | are data-poor & AI-poor. While scientists are squabbling
             | around open access for _papers_ , imagine if the
             | NIH+HHS+CDC+... required all publicly-funded genomic +
             | health _data_ be unified into a national database and the
             | DOE provided AI compute infra for working with it. Instead,
             | we have an area PI at every research university getting
             | grants to make believe that their regional hospital network
             | 's tiny genome/ehr database will be the one that becomes
             | that.
        
               | t_serpico wrote:
               | Unifying clinical and biological data is an incredibly
               | challenging task for a variety of reasons. Private sector
               | is much more well suited to tackle such problems because
               | of the engineering and coordination required.
        
               | lmeyerov wrote:
               | I'd have agreed with you 5-10 years ago.
               | 
               | - I'm interacting with and hearing a bunch of regional
               | tech companies, hospital networks, and worse, consultant
               | shops, doing what you're saying. For the most part,
               | they're not that special. There are variants with unique
               | twists (edge compute/ai/crypto/reselling/graph/..), but
               | ultimately, not that many, and generally prioritize the
               | same obvious data sources (epic, ..). Genome data isn't
               | as standardized/centralized as top EHRs afaict, but even
               | there, we're see common data formats crop up & getting
               | popular. Likewise, every hospital network IT group is
               | independently having to reinvent the wheel on things like
               | access for their researchers.
               | 
               | - I'm not advocating they do all the things. Industry has
               | value. (Ex: Imagine trifacta for everyone!). But this is
               | a commons issue, and when industry owns it, that's a
               | problem (ex: HHS groups ensnared by Palantir, or today's
               | balkanized approach to real-world data). But for meat and
               | potatoes of EHRs/labs/genomes, as part of the continued
               | digital transform these systems are doing, targeting
               | baseline standards & timely data submission isn't that
               | crazy. Likewise, VA and other ~federated national groups
               | already do have (bad) centralized database + compute
               | facilities. I hear about their problems every ~night ;-)
               | But as a baseline, a lot of what is a scramble today
               | would become easy.
               | 
               | Getting back to the main point. The top 5 tech co's are
               | quite used to working at nation/global scale for data
               | stuff, including for PII & AI, so there's technical
               | precedent. Smaller nations actually already do centralize
               | this stuff - so it's not even without precedent in terms
               | of government. The US gov is intentionally spending much
               | more money on doing it much tinier & weaker.
        
       | derbOac wrote:
       | I was happy to see this but it was difficult to discern what the
       | underlying arguments were, and I think the author maybe
       | overreaches a bit. It took me reading through a lot of what they
       | wrote to understand they seem to be arguing for more researcher-
       | based (as opposed to project-based funding). I although I
       | completely agree, I think a lot of what's cited is a little
       | misleading or one-sided. I also think in general, focusing too
       | much on any single funding mechanism could backfire.
       | 
       | In one of the pieces, for example, they discuss the frequently
       | cited Dutch (?) study showing that people just above and below
       | the cutoff in grant scores (presumably the same in actual
       | proposal quality) end up differing in subsequent funding and
       | probability of attaining full professorship. They argue that
       | citation rates don't differ, though, claiming this is a more
       | important metric, and using it as an example of again, how the
       | individual researcher is paramount.
       | 
       | However, doesn't that pattern just sort of point out problems
       | with the funding effects? That is, it seems to be saying that
       | those with slightly lower scores were more likely to give up
       | trying at all, and were less likely to obtain material resources
       | and recognition, _even though_ they were just as impactful
       | scientifically speaking, at least as far as citations are
       | concerned. It 's also the case that this grant funding mechanism
       | is just one way in which structural factors can affect the career
       | trajectories of talented scientists -- there are many others.
       | 
       | I've grown very suspicious of many of the sorts of studies the
       | author cites, mostly because most of the problems I've seen in
       | biomedical academics game the system so subtly but pervasively.
       | That is, many of the hypothetical patterns they point to could
       | just as easily be explained by any number of causal explanations
       | once you start to include corruption and deceit in your models.
       | The models they discuss are largely predicated on different
       | hypotheses about talent, and ignore manipulation of the system
       | metrics dishonestly.
       | 
       | The whole "funding of individual investigators" model seems
       | promising but also should be setting off alarm bells everywhere.
       | Isn't this the point of tenure? If we are talking about funding
       | models like this seriously, what does that say about the actual
       | state of tenured positions and what's going on? It has this
       | comical quality, like "if only there were some system of funding
       | people without strings attached so they could pursue their own
       | intellectual interests..."
       | 
       | You could make the argument that there aren't enough tenured
       | positions, which is fair. But what about how those tenured
       | positions are funded? They are seen now as largely dependent on
       | obtaining funding through typical means, which then means you're
       | selecting based on ability to bring in income through traditional
       | grant projects. But then why not just do that?
       | 
       | It's obvious something is broken.
        
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