[HN Gopher] KGB defector Yuri Bezmenov's warning to America (1984)
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       KGB defector Yuri Bezmenov's warning to America (1984)
        
       Author : cs702
       Score  : 145 points
       Date   : 2022-02-25 19:03 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.youtube.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.youtube.com)
        
       | baal80spam wrote:
       | I've submitted this in the past but it was mercilessly downvoted
       | within minutes. Hopefully it sticks this time!
        
         | rglover wrote:
         | Likewise.
        
         | giantg2 wrote:
         | This pops up every so often. I've seen this upvoted on here one
         | or twice before.
        
       | myth_drannon wrote:
       | Wow, it's really similar in essence to Naomi Klein's Shock
       | Doctrine. I wonder if she listened to him when writing the book.
        
       | thriftwy wrote:
       | What kind of concentration camps is he talking about, in 1984?
        
         | donatj wrote:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gulag
        
           | thriftwy wrote:
           | In 1984?
        
             | donatj wrote:
             | > Political prisoners continued to be kept in one of the
             | most famous camps Perm-36 until 1987 when it was closed
        
       | savant_penguin wrote:
       | It's bizarre how accurate this is
        
         | alsaaro wrote:
         | How do you figure?
         | 
         | This person thought in the 1980's that American left wing
         | propaganda will subvert and eventually destabilize the United
         | States to a point were they lose a hot war with the Soviet
         | Union, and that the American left wing propagandist will be
         | summarily executed by the Soviet occupiers, rather than be
         | allowed to rule.
         | 
         | Assuming you aren't from a parallel dimension, Bezmenov's
         | predictions proved false.
         | 
         | Did you watch the video?
        
           | avgcorrection wrote:
           | Russia launching a full-scale invasion against a neighboring
           | country surely is the complete opposite of the specter of
           | some cunning Soviet/Russian intelligence officer who deftly
           | turns a whole nation against itself.
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | It's not really the opposite; what the defector describes
             | is the strategy used in the prep work that went into the
             | invasion and which made Putin think that the West would
             | crumble in the face of it.
             | 
             | It _did_ weaken Western countries internally, and the
             | relations between them, but not (at least, I think from
             | evidence so far) as much as Putin needed.
        
       | ripvanwinkle wrote:
       | What jumped out for me is the soft underbelly of free market
       | liberal democracies esp like the US today.
       | 
       | We seem to have little continuity in big picture thinking in the
       | Govt and most things are on a 2 year cycle of trying to get
       | majorities in congress and/or the presidency.
       | 
       | Meanwhile a totalitarian state can plot patiently over two or
       | three decades by which time it might almost be too late for the
       | other side to make a difference.
       | 
       | The situations around Ukraine and Taiwan seem like good examples.
        
         | denormalized wrote:
         | I don't think is true when it comes to foreign policy
         | objectives, especially those centered around energy
         | infrastructure (oil reserves, pipelines, etc).
         | 
         | Consider policies around strategic alliances (Saudi Arabia,
         | Israel) and regime change (Iraq, Syria, Iran, among others)
         | from at least the 90s through the present day.
        
         | 8note wrote:
         | A totalitarian state is prone to falling apart - the USSR is a
         | prime example.
         | 
         | Long term, american bureaucrats stay in the government pushing
         | for the same stuff for the length of their career. Even once
         | they've retired, people like Robert Muller come back to put in
         | bits of work.
        
           | tablespoon wrote:
           | > A totalitarian state is prone to falling apart - the USSR
           | is a prime example.
           | 
           | That's taken as an article of faith, but I'm not sure how
           | true it actually is. Sure some totalitarian have fallen apart
           | (the Soviet Union), but others have not (China), and Western
           | liberal democracies aren't looking so stable nowadays.
        
       | poxwole wrote:
       | Oh look an ex soviet grifter who was a low level employee in
       | India and can not speak with any authority on the matters of
       | "cultural Leninism"
        
         | zackees wrote:
        
       | motohagiography wrote:
       | Having seen this video before, I'm not sure dismissing it because
       | of who has taken it seriously is sufficient as an intellectual
       | response. It's a useful modern articulation of the totalitarian
       | strategy. However, when I think of friends who would never watch
       | it because from their perspective, it's just right-wing
       | propaganda, here are the arguments I think they make against it:
       | 
       | - even if it was relevant at the time back in the 80s, applying
       | it to today is not an accurate comparison
       | 
       | - sovietism wasn't real socialism
       | 
       | - whether what he is saying is true or not it arms ideological
       | enemies and undermines the progressive cause, and is therefore
       | misinformation
       | 
       | - his whole structure is decorating an underlying set of
       | deceptions with facts that make it seem true, but it's not.
       | 
       | - if the soviet agenda is that subtle and complex as he says it
       | could have produced him as an equally false disinformation
       | source.
       | 
       | - governments need to do and hide things to manage people and the
       | economy for the greater good so he's saying normal government
       | techniques are evil to make you paranoid
       | 
       | - if you are educated you know this is how politics really work
       | anyway and being responsible sometimes means compromising for the
       | greater good, etc.
       | 
       | - people use this video to justify their existing racism,
       | homophobia, anti-semitism, misogyny, etc.
       | 
       | These have some truth, but I don't think they persuasively
       | discredit the systemic process of attacking a culture with the
       | predictive power that he describes. They're separate things.
       | There is a lot of prior art on the tactics and strategies of
       | totalitarian movements, most of it in the form of american cold
       | war anti-communist propaganda, which though campy, when you view
       | it again from the present perspective of the US having lost it's
       | surprisingly prescient stuff. The soviet goal was to destabilize
       | and dissolve cultures in the space of a couple of generations,
       | and that's what it does.
       | 
       | Sometimes I think the fall of the iron curtain wasn't the end of
       | soviet totalitarianism, but rather, its liberation from being
       | confined to mere nation states, only to spend the 90's and 00's
       | infiltrating western institutions, and we're seeing the fruit of
       | that today. Most of our current leadership went to university in
       | the 90s and were introduced to a wave of critical theory virus
       | then (last one was the 70s), and we are seeing it in the
       | milennials now.
        
         | dev_by_day wrote:
         | > - sovietism wasn't real socialism
         | 
         | This is one of those funny and illogical arguments that come up
         | often and uses a rather common (and ironic) propaganda trick of
         | just denying a massive failure ever existed.
         | 
         | This is the equivalent of stating Nazism wasn't "real national
         | socialism" or Mussolini wasn't using "real fascism".
         | 
         | You can't just pretend away bad outcomes from a terrible system
         | when it doesn't go your way. They deployed socialism and
         | communism and the outcomes were exactly what those systems
         | always bring.
         | 
         | Where has this mythical "real socialism" been tried and
         | succeeded? Venezuela? Its also a disaster. Was that not "real"
         | socialism either?
         | 
         | The reality is Socialism has been most effective while being
         | integrated in a hybrid manner with other systems (Social
         | Democracy). Socialism on its own is a disaster that hands over
         | far too much power to the state and doesn't work economically.
        
           | hdjjhhvvhga wrote:
           | > Where has this mythical "real socialism" been tried and
           | succeeded?
           | 
           | The only place it really worked were small communes like
           | Longo Mai. Why? Because they are made by people who want it
           | and everybody shares the common spirit. This is only possible
           | on a small scale, never on a state scale when it's pushed
           | down your throat and often you can't leave.
        
         | avgcorrection wrote:
         | If you want to learn about propaganda and indoctrination then
         | look no further than Edward Bernays and other PR pioneers.
         | People like him came up with a blueprint to manage liberal
         | democracies because nominal freedom requires (according to him)
         | the management of thought in order to make people _make the
         | right choices_ (we are all free to pick between Pepsi and
         | Coke).
         | 
         | Propaganda and indoctrination makes less sense in a
         | totalitarian society. It's in the name: a totalitarian society
         | needs no consent or illusion of choice because the choices have
         | been made for you. The same applies to merely authoritarian
         | societies to a lesser degree.
         | 
         | Putin had his whole narrative of the Russian Empire becoming a
         | thing again. So that was definitely meant to motivate the
         | average Russian. But on the other hand it is not crucial that
         | Russians buy it; Russians were directly told that people who
         | protest the invasion will get arrested.
         | 
         | There is too much fascination with the Orwellian "thought
         | crime" type of propaganda and indoctrination. Try to have a
         | more pscyhoanalytical approach to it. Like Bernays.
        
       | notalongtimer wrote:
       | The documentary Hypernormalisation talks about the strategies
       | Bezmenov lines out the four basic stages from a slightly
       | different angle. Worth a watch. Things have gotten even more
       | frightening since this warning. Bezmenov talks as if it's only
       | the left that's targeted by ideological subversion, and maybe
       | that was the primary strategy at the time, but it sure seems like
       | both sides are are in play now.
       | 
       | https://www.filmsforaction.org/watch/hypernormalisation-2016...
        
         | raidicy wrote:
         | I wish there were literature or media on the subjects that
         | Curtis covers. I find Adam Curtis is more focused on making
         | entertaining docus than explicitly informative. On occasion in
         | other docs he's made some claims of fact on topics that have
         | more nuance than "yes" or "no".
        
           | propagandist wrote:
           | Simulation and Simulacra is probably where hypernormalisation
           | got its inspiration.
        
         | propagandist wrote:
         | It's a great watch for that reason and for laying out just how
         | much of our political systems are pure theatre. Fantastic
         | production to boot.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | afrcnc wrote:
       | so accurate with what's happening in the US right now
        
       | cs702 wrote:
       | The more shocking/interesting aspect of this interview, for me,
       | is to hear how the KGB (and its successor organization(s) in
       | Russia, I imagine) would work _over multiple decades_ to
       | "subvert" the people of a country, in four stages --
       | demoralization, destabilization, crisis, and normalization:
       | 
       | 1) demoralize the people of a country over a period of "at least
       | 15 to 20 years;"
       | 
       | 2) destabilize the country's institutions over a period of "2 to
       | 5 years;"
       | 
       | 3) precipitate a crisis that would normally unfold over a period
       | of "up to 6 weeks;" and
       | 
       | 4) normalize the new state of affairs.
       | 
       | Whether the KGB and its successor organization(s) could have or
       | might have been successful is of course _debatable_ , but no one
       | can deny this kind of persistent effort to subvert another
       | country's people over such a long horizon is... audacious (words
       | fail me).
       | 
       | In particular, I find the idea of a long-term government-
       | sponsored program whose goal is to "demoralize" people a bit
       | upsetting: It stands directly against the _let 's-roll-up-our-
       | sleeves, we-can-do-it optimism_ for which US entrepreneurs have
       | long been known around the world.
        
         | tremon wrote:
         | Why specifically _government-sponsored program_? I see
         | parallels with how the free press (i.e. not government) of
         | England undermined the EU over a period of 25 years with
         | misinformation, and then capitalized on the destabilization of
         | the Euro (the Greece bailout) to precipitate a referendum.
        
         | augstein wrote:
         | With all the right wing support Putin is getting lately, I
         | can't help but wonder if they were at least partially
         | successful in subverting our society.
        
           | anonymouse008 wrote:
           | If you want to know who is secretly aligned with who, pay
           | attention to language. Whoever's vocabulary is shared is an
           | implicit alliance -
           | 
           | Putin has been recently using rhetoric that he must remove
           | "neo-nazis" in an effort to "demilitarize" the rightful
           | Ukrainian people.
        
           | mardifoufs wrote:
           | Funnily enough, if you watch the entirety of the videos from
           | this guy he is pretty clearly talking about leftist
           | subversion. Without taking any side here or agreeing with
           | him, just listen to when he talks about subversive education
           | (for example he talks about a push for more social sciences
           | and other "unsubstantial" education ) or to what he refers to
           | as demoralization (which is according to his definition is
           | saying stuff like america was never great, we shouldn't feel
           | proud of our past, and just in general a constant push for
           | victimization).
           | 
           | It's funny how I guess both sides ended up thinking he is
           | referring to the other side though.
        
             | panzagl wrote:
             | Well, to divide a country you need two sides...
        
             | noobermin wrote:
             | Bezmenov is ideologically a conservative and pushed
             | conservative ideology once he was in America, so it
             | warrants taking this with a grain of salt. That said, today
             | it feels like Russian misinfo targets anti-establishment
             | groups on both sides, both far-right and far-left types.
        
               | mardifoufs wrote:
               | Oh I completely agree that he doesn't have a lot of
               | credibility but I guess his message is still
               | theoretically interesting even if it's potentially only
               | fiction.
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | This is also from 1984. Things have changed quite a bit
               | from then.
               | 
               | Back then, organizations like Campaign for Nuclear
               | Disarmament were Soviet-influenced.
        
             | 8note wrote:
             | Is it demoralizing to say that the US was never great? It
             | wasn't, but it was always getting better, and it still is.
             | 
             | To me it seems more demoralizing to look back and think
             | things have gotten worse
        
               | mardifoufs wrote:
               | Yes but a lot of people actually are starting to think
               | that things have actually gotten worse (especially since
               | 2020, and they are obviously totally wrong imo)
               | 
               | And yes of course it's demoralizing, his theory was that
               | if you think your country is evil or based on evil and
               | not much better than anything else why would you ever
               | fight for it? Especially when faced with an enemy who
               | actually believes that he is dying for a great cause, and
               | the best system.
               | 
               | From a cold war perspective, if the other side doesn't
               | believe his system to be superior anymore that could've
               | been decisive to win a war. Just look at the vietnam war
               | and how it (thankfully) ended.
        
             | csomar wrote:
             | So it looks like they are subverting both sides now.
             | America is screwed.
        
             | csee wrote:
             | Well they clearly changed tactics, didn't they. RT is
             | right-leaning propaganda and all his most dangerous stooges
             | (Tucker Carlson, Bannon) are too.
        
               | mardifoufs wrote:
               | I guess bannon has a pretty subversive aim but I don't
               | see how Tucker Carlson, no matter how controversial he
               | is, is subversive when he mostly supports traditional
               | power structures. He's basically pushing a bog standard
               | anti war populist narrative,which he has done
               | consistently in the past 4 years regardless of it
               | involved russia.
               | 
               | What I'm essentially saying is that he doesn't really fit
               | into the "demoralize/destabilize/subvert/normalize"
               | framework. But that's not to say he doesn't fit very well
               | in others ;)
        
               | csee wrote:
               | Tucker clips are being broadcasted right now inside
               | Russia as part of their state sponsored propaganda. His
               | description of Ukraine as a US client state and other
               | pro-Putin propaganda is harming Ukrainians.
        
               | cma wrote:
               | He had on a neofeudalist/neoreactionary/hbd guy just to
               | banter with him (Moldbug).
        
             | tablespoon wrote:
             | > Funnily enough, if you watch the entirety of the videos
             | from this guy he is pretty clearly talking about leftist
             | subversion.
             | 
             | Wouldn't subversion be opportunistic, though? Maybe during
             | Cold War, their tactics had more success on the left, but
             | more recently they've had more success on the right. If
             | your goal is to subvert the whole, it's six of one, half a
             | dozen of the other.
        
               | mardifoufs wrote:
               | From what I understood from his speeches, I think he's
               | saying that some leftist ideology is inherently
               | subversive.
               | 
               | I guess it makes sense and it doesn't have to be
               | pejorative: conservatives are usually more attached to
               | traditional structures while historically leftist groups
               | push for a transformative change. Subversion is a good
               | way to transform a structure.
               | 
               | A good example would be the 1619 projet that, whether you
               | agreed with its message or not, explicitly aimed at
               | undermining the current mainstream narrative on the
               | history of the USA. I can't think of any right wing
               | equivalent
        
               | kaitai wrote:
               | There is no right wing equivalent because of the
               | structurally different ways in which the right and left
               | position their narratives. The appeal to the right wing
               | in the US is via Christian nationalism and distrust of
               | authority (from scientists to lamestream media to the US
               | gov't). The right wing in the US buttresses its
               | legitimacy by claiming that Christian nationalism is the
               | historically correct point of view and is the
               | "traditional structure". This is in fact false, but the
               | whole point is that the right wing (as you point out)
               | couches its message in terms of "this is the truth and
               | the way it's always been" while the left wing appeals for
               | transformative change. A wholesale move to Christian
               | nationalism would be in fact a transformative change for
               | the US, but you gotta be cognizant of how you sell it,
               | right? The new right-wing distrust for the US military
               | and US intelligence and support for Russia is pretty
               | transformative. It's just good sales.
        
               | baybal2 wrote:
               | > Wouldn't subversion be opportunistic, though? Maybe
               | during Cold War, their tactics had more success on the
               | left, but more recently they've had more success on the
               | right. If your goal is to subvert the whole, it's six of
               | one, half a dozen of the other.
               | 
               | Read what I wrote in another comment. It doesn't matter
               | if it's left, or right for as long as disturbing random
               | discourse keeps your mind jammed, and prevents you from
               | seeing things for what they are.
        
           | partiallypro wrote:
           | The far Right and far Left (tankies) are both being fairly
           | pro-Putin. The Right just has someone like Tucker Carlson
           | with a big mega phone.
           | 
           | But if you listen to the video, he is talking about using the
           | Left's idealogy as subversion.
        
           | nobleach wrote:
           | I keep hearing this on places like Reddit. I see memes
           | parroting this. But with all the right-wing folks I know,
           | I've yet to hear ONE say they actually think this invasion is
           | a good idea, or that Putin is a good guy. I even visited
           | Townhall.com for the first time in like a decade just to see
           | what "the right wing" had to say. And... it's not there. No
           | one other than Donald Trump has actually taken Putin's side.
           | I just now went to check Newmax as I was certain THEY would
           | be lending this support. But no... it simply isn't there.
        
             | belltaco wrote:
             | "A congressman from New Jersey has disclosed that he is
             | receiving calls from viewers of Tucker Carlson's primetime
             | Fox News show, expressing distress at the Biden
             | administration's backing of Ukraine in the tense military
             | stand-off with Russia."
             | 
             | https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/25/tucker-
             | carlson...
             | 
             | >But with all the right-wing folks I know, I've yet to hear
             | ONE say they actually think this invasion is a good idea,
             | or that Putin is a good guy.
             | 
             | How many right wing folks do you know?
             | 
             | Edit: Here's Candace Owens with 3M followers implying that
             | the first air strikes in Kyiv were the work of NATO because
             | Putin said he's only attacking the eastern parts.
             | 
             | https://twitter.com/RealCandaceO/status/1496699449535602696
        
               | mardifoufs wrote:
               | If I bring up 2 examples of leftists being as pro putin
               | as the 2 examples you have linked does that make both
               | sides ( ;) ) pro putin? Because finding anti-Nato
               | leftists isn't that hard at all.
               | 
               | Seriously, from everything I have been seeing going from
               | meme accounts to trump aligned figure heads, there has
               | been an overwhelming support for ukraine (while
               | criticizing biden of course but that's still not being
               | pro putin). Yes there are some on right who are but thats
               | because the right isn't a monolith. Imo it's just
               | unhelpful and it reeks of terminal partisanship mentality
               | when even a pretty bad situation like this is used to
               | score points against the other side using cherry picked
               | examples even if it's so easily disproven. Inevitably it
               | also turns into a "the other side is not as willing to go
               | to war as we are so they are against us"
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | There are plenty of American leftists taken in by Russian
               | propaganda because it plays to their biases, but the
               | difference from the right-wingers who have been in that
               | the leftists are marginalized politically, whereas a
               | number of the right-wingers are influential, several in
               | major media, some federal elected office-holders, and
               | some people discussed seriously as Presidential
               | candidates for 2024.
               | 
               | Now, part of this is the asymmetry of American politics
               | where leftists, qua leftists, are generally marginalized,
               | but it goes beyond that.
        
               | nobleach wrote:
               | So we have a guy saying that he's receiving calls against
               | Biden's support of Ukraine. Certainly we have something
               | more verifiable than that, right? That insane tweet by
               | Candace Owens, yep. That is the type of thing I'm looking
               | for. What I'm not seeing is some overall support from
               | "the right".
               | 
               | If this were some big Russian support smear campaign by
               | the right, certainly we should see it in all their normal
               | channels, right? I really do not feel like visiting any
               | more right wing sites to prove my point. The simple fact
               | is, we read comments like the grandparent, and we're
               | supposed to believe that Russian support is wide-spread.
               | The truth is, aside from a couple of nut-cases, both
               | sides of the aisle seem to overwhelmingly condemn this
               | invasion.
        
           | kelseyfrog wrote:
           | He's actually a genius. Why? Because it's all couched in
           | another layer that the audience doesn't have access to. He
           | describes the approach being like judo. Rather than meet your
           | opponent head on, use their momentum against them. That is a
           | tacit admission that the US has momentum in its real
           | weaknesses. This is clear to anyone who has dabbled in US
           | history. There are consistent historical divisions based on
           | class, geography, race, religion, federalism, &c. that defy
           | attempts to be mended. A subverter need not create new
           | divisions, but rather amplify already existing divisions.
           | 
           | That's why so many of his examples are relatable today - we
           | haven't actually fixed anything. And that's why it's unclear
           | if the subversion was successful or not, these divisions
           | already had momentum. They were already going to happen, the
           | subversion, if present, only served to accelerate their
           | unwinding.
           | 
           | This part is the most fun. Peeling back the curtain on these
           | subversions doesn't do anything to make the subversion less
           | effective! He has a reactionary perspective, certainly, but
           | it could just as well be framed through the lens of leftism.
           | It just happens that this particular framing leverages the
           | fears of his audience to a decay of a glorious past whereas
           | the leftist version would be the denial of a glorious future.
           | That's why I like him so much. He's cementing his audience's
           | stance in a way that makes them feel more resolute in their
           | defiance to subversion which amplifies the division. It's
           | like finding a perfectly crafted puzzle. Pure genius.
        
         | foobarian wrote:
         | I am skeptical because of how small the sample size is. This
         | could well be a case of, a bunch of "spy architecture"
         | astronauts in the KGB come up with this brainy scheme, a bunch
         | of years go by, they find one place where it worked, and go "A
         | ha! Our thing works!"
        
         | denormalized wrote:
         | > It stands directly against the let's-roll-up-our-sleeves, we-
         | can-do-it optimism for which US entrepreneurs have long been
         | known around the world.
         | 
         | This is an interesting choice of contrast between the KGB and
         | US entrepreneurs.
         | 
         | How about when compared to US intelligence agencies?
         | 
         | Do you think they are more similar or different in their
         | methodologies?
        
           | jka wrote:
           | Here's a thought exercise: next time you're reading a press
           | release by the U.S. Department of Defense, try replacing
           | "China" or "Russia" with "the CIA", and see whether the
           | contents of the announcement continue to make sense.
           | 
           | As with any country, different organizations have different
           | missions and philosophies -- and so do the people within
           | them.
        
           | baybal2 wrote:
           | > How about when compared to US intelligence agencies?
           | 
           | Read my another comment below, by having a whoping 23
           | intelligence agencies, USA condemned its leadership to a
           | shower of opinions out of which no correct one can be
           | synthesized.
           | 
           | Only the size of antenna maters, not how powerful is the
           | receive amplifier, or the number of them.
           | 
           | If you link up 23 pre-amps in a row, you will not get a 23
           | times clearer signal, but 23 times more noise.
        
             | elahieh wrote:
             | If there's 23 times more noise, but the opinions are
             | uncorrelated, that's where the random forest approach comes
             | into its own for a decision tree based on classification or
             | regression. Like time series forecasting, and you can
             | choose the weights based on how well the agencies performed
             | in similar situations in the past.
             | 
             | "In the multitude of counsellors there is safety" -- Prov
             | 11:14
        
         | mantas wrote:
         | Democratically elected governments have a very short shelf
         | life. 4, 8 years if lucky. Meanwhile authoritarian governments
         | have much much more time. And since authoritarian governments
         | tend to have nepotistic tendencies, the play can even span
         | generations.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Elected governments come and go, but the "deep state"
           | bureaucracy and associated private think tanks serve to
           | maintain some level of policy continuity. Very few autocratic
           | governments in the modern era have successfully managed a
           | transition to the next generation.
        
         | jostmey wrote:
         | I don't disagree with the sequence of events, just the cause
         | and effect. I don't think these historical events are
         | orchestrat- _able_ or controlled by governments; rather, these
         | events evolve over time when problems in society are not
         | addressed.
        
         | pvg wrote:
         | The GRU is an intelligence service that's existed in parallel
         | with other ones and is not a 'successor to the KGB'. Perhaps
         | you're thinking of the FSB.
        
           | cs702 wrote:
           | Thanks. You're right. I meant both. I edited the comment to
           | reflect as much.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | Putin was in power for around 23 years, during which he
         | completely dulled Western sense of danger by constantly blowing
         | hot, and cold.
         | 
         | What Russians call "blowing fuflo" was certainly in use by the
         | time the second flare up of second Chechnya war - 2003.
         | 
         | They funded a gazillion of cheap academicians, for-profit
         | journalists, and think tanks with no apparent goal besides just
         | keeping the buzz about it going, no matter what the actual
         | argument was.
         | 
         | Basically they reduced the signal-to-noise ratio of sensible
         | political discourse to near none, which then swayed the West
         | into making bad decisions, and assured no high quality
         | leadership can emerge, being outshouted by that cacophonic
         | chorus of random opinion leaders.
         | 
         | The inability to take things for what they are, "analysis
         | paralysis," politicians, and business leaders not being able to
         | put a single coherent paragraph without an army of advisers --
         | this is what it is.
         | 
         | They don't care what people keep arguing about for as long as
         | they keep talking, and doing nothing.
        
         | tablespoon wrote:
         | > Whether the KGB (and its successor, the GRU) could have or
         | might have been successful is of course debatable, but no one
         | can deny this kind of persistent effort to subvert another
         | country's people over such a long horizon is... audacious
         | (words fail me).
         | 
         | > In particular, I find the idea of a long-term government-
         | sponsored program whose goal is to "demoralize" people a bit
         | upsetting: It stands directly against the let's-roll-up-our-
         | sleeves, we-can-do-it optimism for which US entrepreneurs have
         | long been known around the world.
         | 
         | Though, IIRC, their subversion projects use a similar strategy
         | to VCs: throw a bunch of efforts at the wall, and see which
         | ones stick. For a lot of it, I don't think they had a big
         | master plan, but tasked agents with coming up and implementing
         | ideas for subversion and disinformation.
        
       | gideonite wrote:
       | Sounds like the Soviet form of Edward Bernays.
        
       | avgcorrection wrote:
       | This is completely ridiculous.
       | 
       | Consider for one the soft power that the US has.[1] You can just
       | limit this to the seemingly frivilous "everyone wants to wear
       | jeans" point. It is nowhere near anything that the Soviet Union
       | and now Russia could dream of. And the point is even stronger if
       | we just consider the West. To propose that the Soviet Union and
       | now Russia could psychologically undermine _America itself_ is
       | completely outlandish.
       | 
       | Now consider that Russia wasn't even able to psychologically
       | subvert their "brother people" the Ukranians. A smaller country
       | (although still large) right next to them with a fair amount of
       | Russian speakers. Let's just for a moment pretend for the sake of
       | the argument that the separatist movements were just
       | indoctrinated by Russia. That was still a failure since the
       | majority of Ukranians ended up being pro-Western.
       | 
       | [1] And I do mean _soft_ and not the "we'll persuade you to open
       | yourself up to penetration by our corporations" kind of
       | _influence_.
        
         | pdonis wrote:
         | _> To propose that the Soviet Union and now Russia could
         | psychologically undermine America itself is completely
         | outlandish._
         | 
         | It's not outlandish at all. Many of the things he describes
         | have actually happened.
        
         | commandlinefan wrote:
         | > wasn't even able to psychologically subvert the Ukranians
         | 
         | Well, not all of them, but the there were enough separatists in
         | Crimea and Donetsk, etc. to destabilize those regions. Were
         | those separatists psychologically subverted, or did they just
         | happen to want to re-join Russia?
         | 
         | They don't have to subvert all of America, just enough of a
         | subvertable multitude to destabilize things.
        
           | avgcorrection wrote:
           | > Well, not all of them, but the there were enough
           | separatists in Crimea
           | 
           | First of all, us Westerners have already questioned how
           | democratic the supposed cessation from Ukraine was. So let's
           | not get selective now. Russia already had their military
           | stationed their. That could have a chilling effect.
           | 
           | Second of all, plenty of people in Crimea speak Russian. And
           | a lot of the Crimean Tatars were forcefully deported under
           | the Soviet Union. I just bring that up since forceful
           | deportation is not exactly, uh, the tool of a governing party
           | that feels that they can just manipulate their subjects into
           | becoming... whatever the Soviet Union wanted them to become.
           | 
           | > ... and Donetsk, etc. to destabilize those regions.
           | 
           | In your quote you left out the rest of the paragraph where I
           | addressed the separatists. Even if we assume--and this is an
           | insane hypothetical for the sake of this specific argument--
           | that all those separatists were hypnotized by Russia, that's
           | still a very lackluster result considering that the majority
           | of Ukraine is pro-Western right now. I mean they did commit
           | to an _all out war_ with them. So much for subversion.
           | 
           | But let's entertain this point for one more paragraph. The
           | separatist conflict started after the 2014 coup which America
           | supported.[1] So the separatist sentiment was in part caused
           | by America trying to subvert the political process of Ukraine
           | (and kind of openly, too). That's in a way more impressive
           | than Russian subversion considering how far away the US is.
           | 
           | [1] Page 4, https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-
           | content/uploads/2019/06/Why-t...
           | 
           | > Were those separatists psychologically subverted, or did
           | they just happen to want to re-join Russia?
           | 
           | This feels like a rhetorical question where one of the
           | alternatives is the obvious answer. In case it is the former
           | which is "correct": it is quite common for peoples and
           | ethnicities to _not_ live neatly in each of their own little
           | nation state. 25% of Latvia, for example, consists of ethnic
           | Russians. Finland has a Swedish-speaking minority. You have
           | Transnistria in Moldova. So what makes an ethnic /cultural
           | separatist region _at all_ weird or unusual? Especially when
           | a major power is willing to unofficially help them out for
           | eight years...
        
       | jenkstom wrote:
       | Civil rights defenders are there to implement Leninism? What?
       | This probably sounded great in the 80's, but now it just sounds
       | like more disinformation.
        
         | qiskit wrote:
         | > Civil rights defenders are there to implement Leninism? What?
         | This probably sounded great in the 80's, but now it just sounds
         | like more disinformation.
         | 
         | Not the 80s but 60s. Nixon blamed the civil rights movement of
         | the 60s on the soviets/communism. Nixon's ability to pin the
         | civil rights movement on the soviets/communism made him
         | extremely popular. People forget how popular Nixon was.
         | 
         | http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/november/7/...
         | 
         | This guy is all over youtube/social media, but he's just
         | stating standard anti-communist propaganda we've had since
         | mccarthy in the 40s/50s.
        
         | dijonman2 wrote:
         | What about it isn't true today?
        
         | simonh wrote:
         | He's looking at things through a KGB lens. He doesn't have any
         | real clue what civil rights was about because he's not part of
         | western culture, but he was embedded in KGB culture and what he
         | says about that is credible.
        
         | akagusu wrote:
         | Today, everything different from the "common sense" spread
         | through the media is considered misinformation.
         | 
         | Think about this war. Everyone is condemning Russia, making
         | statements supporting Ukraine, applying all kind of sanctions
         | against Russia.
         | 
         | Why did not governments do the same when US invade Iraq or
         | Afghanistan?
        
         | gunfighthacksaw wrote:
         | Leftists today love to parrot the Ukraine are neo-nazi dreck.
         | 
         | Obviously, the USSR is gone but it did manage to demoralize
         | enough people to shill for Russian foreign policy despite Putin
         | being much more fascist adjacent, and enjoying close support
         | from the bellicose Orthodox patriarchs who rail against western
         | politics instead of sticking to droning on about God.
        
           | drewcoo wrote:
           | Strange. I don't know any leftists who argue in favor of the
           | capitalist oligarchs who rule Russia. What cave have your
           | leftists been living in?
        
             | WillPostForFood wrote:
             | That's a strawman - it isn't that leftists "argue in favor
             | of the capitalist oligarchs who rule Russia", but that they
             | make excuses for Putin (blame Nato expansion for causing
             | the crisis), and accuse Ukraine supporters of fomenting
             | war. The anti-war left is a weird (albeit smaller) mirror
             | of the Tucker Carlson right.
             | 
             |  _But we also acknowledge that the Russian government,
             | oligarchic autocracy as it is, is right to say that endless
             | NATO expansion, for which read extended US hegemony, is not
             | the security structure Europe needs. The chance was missed
             | to abolish NATO when the Warsaw Pact went out of business
             | more than thirty years ago; instead we are left with the
             | consequences of broken US promises not to extend the
             | alliance eastwards._
             | 
             |  _So Stop the War aims to provide the opposition that the
             | Labour front bench seemingly won't. The Tories have taken
             | the lead internationally in talking up the crisis,
             | announcing imminent coups, false-flag incidents or
             | invasions almost every day, to the point where even the
             | government in Kiev has asked them to tone it down a bit._
             | 
             |  _More substantively, they have sent fresh arms to Ukraine
             | and deployed more British forces into Eastern Europe--all
             | the very things which Russia has said it finds most
             | menacing. All this pointless provocation seems to speak of
             | a government which would actually quite like a war to break
             | out, for strategic and doubtless domestic political
             | reasons, particularly since it will not involve any British
             | forces fighting._
             | 
             | https://tribunemag.co.uk/2022/02/keir-starmer-guardian-
             | stop-...
        
               | avgcorrection wrote:
               | By this definition, analyzing history and all its actors
               | is the same as assigning and/or de-assigning blame.
        
               | KerrAvon wrote:
               | I mean, Tulsi Gabbard and Jill Stein makes two, but
               | where's the rest of that version of the left in the US? I
               | think it's basically nonexistent.
        
             | gunfighthacksaw wrote:
             | The cave where they hate the West so much that they shill
             | for its enemies who are much more ghoulish.
             | 
             | My leftists are British and Canadian however. YMMV based on
             | geography.
        
               | SketchySeaBeast wrote:
               | You seem to both know some very extreme individuals and
               | also enjoy painting with extremely broad strokes.
        
         | WillPostForFood wrote:
         | In the Senate investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016
         | election they found that Russia was stoking racial discord and
         | supporting Black Lives Matter.
         | 
         | https://www.vox.com/identities/2018/12/17/18145075/russia-fa...
         | 
         | Anything that divides, causes upset, or is distracting is going
         | to be a good propaganda target, regardless of whether the
         | underlying cause is good or bad.
        
           | rajin444 wrote:
           | > regardless of whether the underlying cause is good or bad.
           | 
           | Yeah, that's the real issue. If we can find a way to be
           | neighborly (literally and figuratively) with those who have
           | opinions (not actions) we abhor we might get somewhere.
           | 
           | But, all somebody has to do is say some opinion threatens
           | their life and that plan is out the window.
        
         | jahewson wrote:
         | Not at all. Pivotal figures in civil rights, such as Du Bois
         | [1] were anti-capitalist and much of contemporary social and
         | legal theory emerged in the 1980s from post-modernism, a direct
         | offshoot of Marxism. The general idea being that if you switch
         | out "class struggle" for "racial struggle" then you get to
         | borrow the rest of Marx's theory about an oppressed proletariat
         | and the need for revolution to overthrow an oppressive elite.
         | 
         | Americans like to use "marxist" as a slur and to use it out of
         | context to attack political enemies but there is no shortage of
         | actual Marxist who label themselves as such, e.g this
         | professor, found randomly by my Googling for 30sec:
         | https://blog.apaonline.org/2020/06/17/black-lives-matter-as-...
         | 
         | Most people have no idea that they're regurgitating Marxist
         | ideology when they repeat the phrases and arguments they hear,
         | and of course would never identify as such - but there's no
         | sense in which making this observation is misinformation.
         | 
         | Personally I lament the fact that people across the political
         | spectrum are digging ideological holes for themselves instead
         | of focusing on how we can all help each other.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/W._E._B._Du_Bois
        
           | VictorPath wrote:
           | > post-modernism, a direct offshoot of Marxism
           | 
           | The communists manifesto says
           | 
           | "Our epoch, the epoch of the bourgeoisie, possesses, however,
           | this distinct feature: it has simplified class antagonisms.
           | Society as a whole is more and more splitting up into two
           | great hostile camps, into two great classes directly facing
           | each other -- Bourgeoisie and Proletariat."
           | 
           | This grand narrative and ideology spoken with objective
           | certainty with regards to binary oppositions, is the complete
           | opposite of postmodernism.
           | 
           | Milton Friedman's works in a similar vein although on the
           | other side are the opposite of postmodernism as well.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | 1shooner wrote:
       | Is there any clear historical evidence that these specific phases
       | were ever successfully executed? My impression is that mid-
       | century soviet intellectualism loved to put together these kind
       | of grand theories of social engineering.
        
       | newacc9 wrote:
       | I see Yuri everywhere, but never Sejna or Golitsyn who reveal the
       | same plan.
       | 
       | https://jrnyquist.blog/2020/03/26/the-sino-soviet-long-range...
        
       | nabla9 wrote:
       | He was not a KGB defector. He was a KGB informant who worked for
       | RIA Novosti.
       | 
       | In the west, he earned his money with anti-communist lecturing
       | and his stories became more sophisticated over time.
        
       | pelasaco wrote:
       | i tried to start a discussion here about it too
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29665487
        
       | [deleted]
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2022-02-25 23:01 UTC)