[HN Gopher] Cryptonomicon: Among the Bitcoin maximalists
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Cryptonomicon: Among the Bitcoin maximalists
        
       Author : softwarebeware
       Score  : 68 points
       Date   : 2022-02-25 15:57 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (harpers.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (harpers.org)
        
       | neonate wrote:
       | http://web.archive.org/web/20220225160516/https://harpers.or...
       | 
       | https://archive.is/QD1uO
        
       | seibelj wrote:
       | > _In The Bitcoin Standard, Ammous blamed the Fed for the modern
       | "breakdown of the family," and for "perhaps most damagingly, the
       | depletion of the soil of its nutrients, leading to ever-lower
       | levels of nutrients in food." He compared the art of the
       | Renaissance, Classical, and Romantic periods, all financed
       | properly with sound money, to the decadent culture of the twenty-
       | first century, with its "animalistic noises'' and "immediate
       | sensory pleasures.'' "It was hard money that financed Bach's
       | Brandenburg Concertos," he wrote, "while easy money financed
       | Miley Cyrus's twerks." It was, moreover, "no coincidence that the
       | era of central bank-controlled money was inaugurated with the
       | first world war in human history." Here was a theory of
       | everything, a moral case for Bitcoin that encompassed art and war
       | and even the nutrients in our soil. (Ammous disdains what he
       | calls "fiat food," claiming his diet consists of "approximately
       | 95% red meat, 5% other meats, and approximately zero plant
       | matter.")_
       | 
       | I un-ironically believe all of this, but when put in this way, it
       | sounds crazy. But I believe it.
       | 
       | Is it not curious that true fiat currency is a relatively recent
       | phenomena, perhaps 100 years old in reality and 50 years
       | officially, yet amazing discoveries, inventions, buildings,
       | factories, art, etc. were all made before fiat currency? Fiat
       | isn't a requirement nor an inevitability - it is a human
       | invention, and one I personally see as a mistake.
        
         | uoaei wrote:
         | Ah, so Bitcoin is just Goldbug-ism for the Age of Information.
        
         | Melio wrote:
         | It's not just 100 years old.
         | 
         | It's over 1000 years old and it evolved from nothing to what we
         | have.
         | 
         | It's very weird that you ignore history like this.
         | 
         | You should read up on Spain, silver, gold, china and tons of
         | other history regarding tender.
         | 
         | What we have with fiat is your very well working monolith fine
         | tuned over centuries while everyone who wants to make money of
         | of you tells you why their Nanoservice with security holes and
         | no features is so much better.
        
           | Hendrikto wrote:
           | Gold and silver coins are not fiat though.
        
             | majormajor wrote:
             | How much actual gold has to be in your gold coin before it
             | crosses from "gold" to "fiat"? You had "debased" coinage in
             | Roman times, if not earlier.
        
         | lapetitejort wrote:
         | You know what amazing discovery was made after fiat currency?
         | Bitcoin. I think the human race still has something going for
         | it.
        
         | fullshark wrote:
         | The conversion of US society from an agricultural one to an
         | industrial one to an information/services one probably the
         | larger trend driving results here, especially if the quality of
         | produce/soil is something you're thinking about. The role fiat
         | currency played in that is debatable I'll grant.
         | 
         | RE: terrible art, the rise of that is the rise of art for lower
         | classes in terms of more of it being produced and seen, which
         | is a good thing I'd argue, as well as comparing art made in a
         | 10 year period say with all of the best art western
         | civilization has produced in the past 500 years.
        
         | frankbreetz wrote:
         | The 50-100 years the has been an explosion of new discoveries.
         | The model T was still being produced 100 years ago. To claim
         | anyone has a worse life then 100 years(or whenever fiat was
         | started) ago is a bit of a stretch.
        
         | perardi wrote:
         | There are just...I can't even start with the sheer inanity of
         | that quote.
         | 
         | First off, the First World War happened _on the gold standard_.
         | Most currencies, notably the British Pound, didn't become
         | decoupled from gold until _after_ WW1.
         | 
         | And those World Wars were enabled by _technology_ , not _fiat
         | currency_. Mass production of weaponry, rapid advancements in
         | said weaponry, trains, fertilizer to grow more food to supply
         | those front line...technology was far more of a driver than
         | fractional reserve banking.
         | 
         | And decadence? Decadence! The Sun King would like to have a
         | word with you about "decadence".
        
           | youarethebest wrote:
        
         | jrm4 wrote:
         | Anyone who is very serious about strong lines between "fancy"
         | art and "low-class" art can be safely dismissed as an idiot. It
         | takes only the _tiniest_ bit of historical knowledge to
         | understand that these things frequently, and frequently-rapidly
         | evolve, usually from  "low-class" to "fancy." See e.g. theatre,
         | jazz, etc.
        
         | jandrese wrote:
         | "Wow, when you say it out loud it sounds crazy", followed by
         | zero introspection.
        
         | oh_sigh wrote:
         | If our crops don't have any nutrients, how exactly would our
         | animal products have nutrients in them? I doubt he is eating
         | wild caught animals for a majority of his nutrition -
         | presumably just eating factory raised pigs and cows which are
         | fed the same crops that he believes has no nutrients.
         | 
         | I'll also bet that Ammous ends up with diverticulitis within 10
         | years if his description of his diet is correct.
        
           | youarethebest wrote:
           | Grass-fed animals unaffected.
           | 
           | Easy to get if you actually look and are willing to support
           | regenerative farms in order to obtain the best nutrition
           | possible.
           | 
           | I suggest researching into how animals turn grass into
           | nutrients and the difference between crops for human
           | consumption and grass.
        
             | oh_sigh wrote:
             | Does the guy in OPs statement only eat grass-fed animals?
             | Isn't the source of the grass important? If it is grown in
             | a wild field, maybe it will have all its natural nutrients.
             | But if it is grown as a crop, or on a field under repeated
             | heavy grazing, isn't that just as bad as what is happening
             | to the human crops?
             | 
             | Also, if the guy is going out of his way to only eat the
             | best, most expensive beef, because corn-fed beef is
             | actually bad, why doesn't he do the same thing for fruits
             | and vegetables? You can get "wild grown" vegetables just
             | like you can get wild grazed beef. It just costs more.
        
         | shralpmeister wrote:
         | Is it just me or does that read like a far-right, Christian,
         | white supremacist screed?
        
           | burnoutgal wrote:
           | Yup, classic fascist rhetoric. It's not surprising they point
           | to a woman being independent and expressing her sexuality as
           | the example of "degenerate culture". The "other" (people of
           | colour, women, queers) are producing art that represents our
           | own experiences, which is a threat to their desired white
           | hetero-patriarchal order.
           | 
           | Never mind that Mozart wrote a ton of filthy shit. People
           | have been obsessed with sex forever
        
             | seibelj wrote:
             | I think the comment about the music is ridiculous, but the
             | broader point about free money causing the gradual
             | degradation of food, housing, standard of living, etc. is
             | not without merit.
        
               | UncleMeat wrote:
               | Degradation of food? Housing? Do you know what people ate
               | when Bach was alive? Or in what conditions most people
               | lived?
        
               | cdiddy2 wrote:
               | Well we are approaching half of americans having a
               | chronic disease and a large part of that is from what we
               | eat along with lack of exercise. it does seem like we
               | have a degradation of the nutrients in our food supply as
               | well.
               | 
               | https://www.fightchronicdisease.org/sites/default/files/d
               | ocs...
               | 
               | https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/vanishi
               | ng-...
        
               | UncleMeat wrote:
               | There has never been a time in human history where a
               | smaller percentage of the population faced starvation.
               | Actual wars were fought over access to spices I can buy
               | for three dollars at the supermarket.
               | 
               | Small changes in per-unit micronutrient quantities are
               | not the cause of modern obesity. If you do want to make
               | some claim that worldwide nutrition was better at some
               | point in the past, that point was _definitely_ not when
               | Bach was alive.
        
               | majormajor wrote:
               | "Times were better when we didn't have enough to eat,
               | curse this surplus and our lack of self control!"
               | 
               | Strange to see such paternalism about people making
               | unhealthy dietary choices from a crowd I mostly associate
               | with libertarian thinking.
        
               | cdiddy2 wrote:
               | I don't think libertarians believe that government
               | subsidy leading to monocropping is inline with their way
               | of thinking.
        
               | cuteboy19 wrote:
               | It doesn't matter. Facts don't matter if you have spent
               | significant amount of your life savings into magic
               | internet money. Any news is contructed into 'this is good
               | for bitcoin'. Even history itself is malleable,
               | everything can be blamed on fiat (even though Bitcoin
               | itself is fiat).
        
               | 8note wrote:
               | The factors leading to the dust bowl in the 1930s
               | happened under the gold standard.
               | 
               | The government is prioritizing the wrong things, which is
               | leading to today's degradation of food, but lack of
               | government intervention also results in the degradation
               | of food.
               | 
               | Housing quality and standard of living are at their best
               | ever - if free money is causing that, thats not a
               | terrible outcome
        
               | batrachos wrote:
               | > free money causing the gradual degradation of food,
               | housing, standard of living, etc. is not without merit.
               | 
               | First, you have to establish that degradation has taken
               | place. Considering that for most of civilizational
               | history, the vast majority of people were wearing rags
               | and eating grain porridge without spice or much salt and
               | living in hovels, that doesn't seem obvious to me.
               | Second, even if you do establish that, you have to
               | specifically tie it to "fiat" currency and not some other
               | factor. Those both seem like a tall order.
        
               | AniseAbyss wrote:
               | My grandfather was born in a shack and he had to share
               | clothes with his brother. The past wasn't a fairytale.
        
               | davidgerard wrote:
               | This is ridiculously, hilariously false. If you don't
               | think so, please detail the precise degradations, with
               | numbers.
        
               | uoaei wrote:
               | History does not have origin in French parlors, mon ami.
        
           | mistrial9 wrote:
           | no it must be far-left, Shinto, yellow supremacist. Wait!
           | look in your closet, there is one now! quick! get them and
           | post about it
        
           | invalidOrTaken wrote:
           | To those of us who are far-right, Christian, and have noticed
           | the lack of distinction that seems to be applied between say,
           | David Duke, and Chris Rufo, this is not the takedown-by-
           | association you seem to think it is.
        
             | shralpmeister wrote:
             | It was not intended as a take down. Thanks for clarifying.
             | 
             | It's becoming clearer that Bitcoin is the "currency" of the
             | far right. For those of us who consider this ideology
             | abhorrent and counter to the ideals of a free and
             | democratic society it's good to have that out on the table
             | and on full display.
        
               | rvz wrote:
               | > It's becoming clearer that Bitcoin is the "currency" of
               | the far right.
               | 
               | Does this extend to all cryptocurrencies or is it just
               | Bitcoin?
               | 
               | A Ukrainian organization called 'Come back Alive' who
               | have just been de-platformed by Patreon [0] are now
               | turning to Bitcoin donations [1]. Does that make them far
               | right?
               | 
               | Or maybe the starving Afghans who are under sanctions due
               | to the Taliban are trying to survive by using Bitcoin and
               | other cryptocurrencies managed and accepted by NGOs
               | helping them survive [2]. Perhaps they are all far-right
               | too?
               | 
               | [0] https://blog.patreon.com/on-the-removal-of-come-back-
               | alive
               | 
               | [1] https://decrypt.co/93810/patreon-suspends-ukrainian-
               | ngo-come...
               | 
               | [2] https://theintercept.com/2022/01/19/crypto-
               | afghanistan-sanct...
        
           | rvz wrote:
           | Maybe if you have been chasing or watching imaginary nazis in
           | computer games, movies and on the 'news' in the last four
           | years perhaps?
           | 
           | If a claim is without any evidence and has no substance, it
           | can be easily dismissed and ignored.
           | 
           | Not every silly, baseless conspiracy theory has an immediate
           | association with the 'far-right' or with 'Christian, white
           | supremacists' and especially not this one.
           | 
           | As long as they have zero evidence and they are unable to
           | substantiate it, who cares? We already know bitcoin has
           | failed being a peer-to-peer electronic cash system and it is
           | still useless as a currency.
        
             | skulk wrote:
             | This quote:
             | 
             | > He compared the art of the Renaissance, Classical, and
             | Romantic periods, all financed properly with sound money,
             | to the decadent culture of the twenty-first century, with
             | its "animalistic noises'' and "immediate sensory
             | pleasures.''
             | 
             | Does seem a lot like this:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Degenerate_art
        
         | nmhancoc wrote:
         | I think the phenomenon you're observing is that the quote
         | observes a true correlation, coincidence, or relation, but
         | "sounds crazy" because the implication it draws is _very_
         | strong relative to what can probably be evidenced.
         | 
         | In other words, it _is_ the case that Renaissance works were
         | financed with harder money than works today. That's a
         | historical matter of fact. It _is_ the case that families are
         | breaking down or that nutrient levels in produce (per unit
         | size) have decreased. It's also the case that those events were
         | coincident with a change of greater adoption of fiat currency
         | vs hard currency (and I'd put it on a spectrum because of
         | fractional reserve banking and other items which made the Gold
         | standard dollars not _really_ redeemable in Gold and etc).
         | 
         | With all that said, the "sounds crazy" comes in because it's
         | totally unsubstantiated in the quote (and probably otherwise)
         | that just because these things occurred together the change in
         | the status of money is the primary driver behind the other
         | changes.
         | 
         | Edit: For example, if the change in money is the primary
         | driver, then it is the case that the massive technology shifts
         | we've seen aren't the primary driver. Nitrogen based
         | fertilizers aren't the primary driver. Various civil rights
         | movements aren't the primary driver. The presence of global
         | travel, the formation of a global village, the new ability to
         | communicate, none of these are the primary drivers.
         | 
         | And the more you lean on fiat money being the explainer, the
         | less you allow all these other things to contribute to the
         | explanation. That case becomes harder and harder to support, I
         | think.
        
           | uoaei wrote:
           | This is the classic conspiracy treadmill and subsequent dive:
           | 
           | See correlations that are unsettling or suggestive;
           | 
           | imagine causal forces which are fundamentally out of reach
           | epistemologically, but explain the causation for the
           | correlation which is apparent;
           | 
           | institutionalize the theory into a worldview;
           | 
           | attach your identity to it and obey in-group/out-group social
           | maxims;
           | 
           | find home in only the in-group because only they tolerate
           | your assertions with no challenge;
           | 
           | cement the worldview in your mind as a quasi-religious
           | totalizing narrative because of the lack of challenges.
        
       | MR4D wrote:
       | This is interesting...
       | 
       | The linked article is titled "Cryptonomicon", and written by
       | _Will_ Stephenson, and a book with the same title was written by
       | _Neal_ Stephenson.
       | 
       | Yet, no mention of Neal or his book in the article. So I wonder
       | where he got the word for his title?
        
         | oriolid wrote:
         | With all recent Metaverse stuff, it seems that Neal Stephenson
         | is public domain now. So many things on the Internet are based
         | on Snow Crash and Diamond Age that maybe it's time to move to
         | different book now.
        
         | danielvaughn wrote:
         | Right? I went in thinking it was about the book because it's
         | been on my to-read list for a while.
        
           | SilasX wrote:
           | Hah, yeah, I was going to say, if this went to court, it
           | would feel like a slam dunk case of trademark infringement or
           | IP of some kind, due to consumer[1] confusion.
           | 
           | [1] term of art in this context, not what I'd prefer they
           | use.
        
             | wrycoder wrote:
             | I don't believe you can copyright titles.
        
         | webmaven wrote:
         | _> The linked article is titled  "Cryptonomicon", and written
         | by Will Stephenson, and a book with the same title was written
         | by Neal Stephenson._
         | 
         |  _> Yet, no mention of Neal or his book in the article. So I
         | wonder where he got the word for his title?_
         | 
         | Usually when I run across this sort of questionable title it
         | turns out the editor was responsible, rather than the author.
        
         | inasio wrote:
         | Definitely felt like bait, the word Cryptonomicon does not even
         | show up in the (long) article even once. I was waiting for the
         | reveal that his dad was Neal (worried when he said his dad was
         | into Ayn Rand...), or that he himself was Neal.
        
         | tedunangst wrote:
         | Probably the same place the other Stephenson got it. Crypto +
         | /necro/nomicon = cryptonomicon.
        
           | lupire wrote:
           | no "necro" here. "nomicon" means "tome".
        
       | gxqoz wrote:
       | There was an FT long read recently that covered similar ground
       | that I thought was a bit better. HN thread and archive link here:
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30213690
        
       | Hendrikto wrote:
       | > All I had wanted was a get-rich-quick scheme that actually
       | worked
       | 
       | And now you are disappointed. I get it. That does not discount
       | the value of the underlying technology though.
        
       | bitxbitxbitcoin wrote:
       | An actual Bitcoin Maximalist conference is happening March 3-6 in
       | Las Vegas. It is called the Unconfiscatable Bitcoin "not
       | Blockchain" Conference.[0]
       | 
       | In contrast, BTC Miami was where Ethereum was first announced.
       | 
       | [0] https://unconfiscatable.com/
        
         | paulpauper wrote:
         | Bitcoin is unconfiscatable , but the catch is you must spend it
         | in space
        
         | vlorch wrote:
         | i'll be there
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | That's a great read.
       | 
       | What's striking, in his description of the conference, is the
       | total lack of any connection to real world activity. None of
       | these people seem to be trying to get enough Bitcoin together to
       | build a steel mill or a wafer fab or a smartphone factory or,
       | indeed, any kind of startup that _does_ something. Bitcoin is
       | expected to somehow generate wealth without actually doing
       | anything that generates revenue. All it can really do is move
       | money from one group to another.
       | 
       | The world changed this week. Things just got real. Russia is
       | taking over a big chunk of eastern Europe by force. That's what
       | real authoritarianism looks like. Not mask mandates. Over the
       | next few months, the tolerance for bullshit, especially in
       | politics, will go way down.
        
         | CodeMage wrote:
         | > _Over the next few months, the tolerance for bullshit,
         | especially in politics, will go way down._
         | 
         | Maybe I'm too cynical, but I think it's way more likely that
         | the next few months will allow those politicians who relied on
         | that bullshit in order to push their agenda, to instead push
         | that agenda quietly and with little or no opposition.
         | 
         | For example, you don't see a lot of outrage on Twitter over
         | Greg Abbott's persecution of trans children anymore, because
         | Twitter is abuzz with what's going on in Ukraine. This is a
         | thing that is just as "real" as Ukraine, but the collective
         | attention gets focused on one thing at a time, which is why
         | "bullshit in politics" is usually needed.
        
         | ypeterholmes wrote:
         | Counterpoint- this was yet another tired critique of Bitcoin.
         | How many of these smug, superficial boomer oriented rants must
         | we endure?
         | 
         | It's easy to attend conferences and mock people. Meanwhile BTC
         | is playing a meaningful role in the realpolitik you mention,
         | and quickly integrating into the entire banking system. You say
         | BTC has no connection to the real world, as if the Canadian
         | truckers didn't just get their accounts frozen, and cutting
         | Russia off from SWIFT wasn't being discussed. How do you
         | maintain that view in the face of such events?
        
           | AniseAbyss wrote:
           | How many rants from young people do we have to endure? You're
           | not going to start the revolution you will become a boring
           | boomer like all the generations before you.
           | 
           | The crux is that you are cashing out your bitcoin for PSEUR$
           | to buy things in a store.
        
         | waffle_maniac wrote:
         | "Bitcoin Donations To Ukrainian Army Surpass $4 Million"
         | 
         | https://archive.is/9YTVe
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | kragen wrote:
         | As it turns out, moving money from one group to another+ is
         | pretty useful in modern society. It's really all that _money_
         | is good for, after all.
         | 
         | Some of my comments from the last week and a half about what
         | Bitcoin is good for:
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30469595 when your
         | country's central bank suspends electronic cash transfers,
         | suspends the foreign exchange market, limits cash withdrawals,
         | and prohibits the issuance of foreign currency from retail bank
         | accounts; or when you want to fund a militia in a war zone
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30435990 when your bank
         | account gets frozen because your family member supported a
         | political protest in Canada
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30446703 in case the
         | government of the current global hegemon imposes economic
         | sanctions against your company or your country; right now
         | that's the US, but probably ten years from now it will be the
         | People's Republic of China
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30408611 as an alternative
         | to a bank when "whistleblowers" send the bank history of 30,000
         | "legitimate clients who had done nothing wrong" to journalists
         | so they can comb through them looking for something to pin on
         | the accountholders
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30375671 when five
         | Canadian banks mysteriously have an hours-long outage at the
         | same time
         | 
         | I also wrote a bit last year about my observations of how
         | Bitcoin gets used in practice today, outside the world of
         | hoity-toity speculative finance the Harpers article is about:
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27448744
         | 
         | ______
         | 
         | + Or preventing it from being moved without its owner's
         | consent, which is the value proposition both of safe deposit
         | boxes and the Bitcoin guarantee of a limited money supply.
        
           | r00fus wrote:
           | Money is the flow of utility (1st derivative). Flow of money
           | is 2nd derivative.
           | 
           | The uses you indicate are probably 10% of the use case, the
           | remaining 90% is money laundering.
        
             | reset-password wrote:
             | Why do you think that it is a 10-90 split like that? I
             | think it's 90-10 the other way. I have no proof but it
             | sounds like you don't either.
        
           | wrycoder wrote:
           | But, isn't standard Bitcoin completely traceable, once you
           | move funds out of your wallet to fiat? Can't they track you
           | down retroactively after you make that one transaction?
        
             | kragen wrote:
             | Tracking you down retroactively is very different from
             | freezing your bank account so you miss your rent payment.
             | Also, generally, no, fiat-currency cash transactions are
             | not completely traceable, and in practice there doesn't
             | seem to be a Bitcoin-oriented equivalent of
             | https://cdn.occrp.org/projects/suisse-secrets-interactive/,
             | at any rate not yet.
        
           | horsawlarway wrote:
           | I find you utterly un-compelling.
           | 
           | And I say that as someone who has literally spent hundreds of
           | bitcoin at one of the ONLY points in bitcoin's history when
           | it was primarily used as a genuine medium of exchange (silk
           | road).
           | 
           | Simple example - show me a method of handling reconciliation
           | of fraud/contract dispute for bitcoin that doesn't fall back
           | on the legal systems of those government systems you're so
           | happy to rail against. (hint - there is NONE).
           | 
           | You know what those governments absolutely won't do? Incur
           | costs upon themselves to mediate exchanges in a foreign
           | currency. They will either ban it (china) or add back all
           | those things you seem to think bitcoin will solve (funds
           | freezing, required intermediaries, identity & reporting,
           | sanctions) that make those costs predictable and acceptable
           | (us).
        
             | mardifoufs wrote:
             | What do you mean only point in it's history? I agree that
             | bitcoin is mostly good for drugs but it's still being used
             | for that as we speak. Some markets are starting to only
             | take Monero, sure, but you can still get around with just
             | BTC. Silk road wasn't the last dn market or even the best,
             | not even close.
        
               | horsawlarway wrote:
               | The primary use is now speculation - full stop.
        
               | ephbit wrote:
               | The distinction between store of value and speculation is
               | rather fuzzy IMO.
               | 
               | Is putting money into gold for savings (because an actual
               | savings bank account currently not only loses money in
               | real but even in nominal terms) speculation as well?
        
               | invaliduser wrote:
               | Speculation: "investment in stocks, property, etc. in the
               | hope of gain but with the risk of loss." Buying bitcoins
               | seems to match the definition.
               | 
               | You can buy gold as an inflationary hedge, but I don't
               | think people would do that with bitcoin.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | But can you do it without going to jail when sanctions or
           | similar are in place against you? Technically, you can, but
           | you face the same consequences if you were able to get a wire
           | or SEPA transaction through. That's the point. The tech
           | doesn't change the policy or the law. You still go to jail or
           | your country gets shelled. Miners get chased out of
           | countries.
           | 
           | Russia is reportedly exploring crypto for transfers if they
           | get knocked off of SWIFT. That does not bode well for crypto
           | when it becomes a weapon of a an enemy combatant state.
           | 
           | (obligatory xkcd about getting beaten with a wrench for your
           | private key here)
        
             | kragen wrote:
             | Generally when "[economic] sanctions or similar are in
             | place against you" it's because the people who imposed the
             | sanctions are physically unable to jail you. Or beat you
             | with a wrench.
             | 
             | The tech doesn't change the policy or the law, but it does
             | change their consequences in the real world. Fortunately it
             | is not yet the case that the US shells every country whose
             | citizens do business with entities it imposes sanctions on,
             | although the US does shell a lot of countries, and it can
             | be challenging to identify even which country a Bitcoin
             | transaction originates from.
             | 
             | What's your source for "Russia is exploring crypto for
             | transfers if they get knocked off of SWIFT"? I assume you
             | mean cryptocurrencies of some kind, because obviously
             | SWIFT, SPFS, and CIPS all use cryptography, so that would
             | be too obvious to mention. Right now I think Bitcoin is the
             | only cryptocurrency with enough trading volume to handle
             | Russia's foreign exchange needs; I don't think that's
             | likely to happen in the next two years, though, if it ever
             | happens at all.
             | 
             | If it did happen, though, it would put an end to the
             | concerns that Bitcoin could collapse at any moment like a
             | Ponzi scheme.
        
               | toomuchtodo wrote:
               | > What's your source for "Russia is exploring crypto for
               | transfers if they get knocked off of SWIFT"? I assume you
               | mean cryptocurrencies of some kind, because obviously
               | SWIFT, SPFS, and CIPS all use cryptography, so that would
               | be too obvious to mention. Right now I think Bitcoin is
               | the only cryptocurrency with enough trading volume to
               | handle Russia's foreign exchange needs.
               | 
               | EDIT: If you're looking for a press release from the
               | Kremlin, no, I'm unlikely to be able to get something
               | official from Vlad, only public news sources.
               | 
               | https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/23/business/russia-
               | sanctions...
               | 
               | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-24/russia
               | -bi...
               | 
               | https://cointelegraph.com/news/crypto-could-bypass-
               | president...
        
               | kragen wrote:
               | None of these substantiate the claim that "Russia is
               | exploring crypto for transfers"; they just point out, as
               | I did above, that _people outside Russia_ say Russians
               | _could hypothetically_ use cryptocurrencies for transfers
               | despite US sanctions. None of them even propose that the
               | Russian government use cryptocurrencies for its own
               | foreign trade, and none of them claim to have any Russian
               | sources at all, whether officials or leaks or civilians.
               | The Cointelegraph article claims that Maduro proposed
               | doing this in the past (for Venezuela) and that Iranians
               | raising money for flood relief have actually done so.
        
               | DennisP wrote:
               | Russia doesn't need to resort to Bitcoin, when they can
               | easily use their own SWIFT alternative or China's. China
               | is conveniently friendly with Russia these days, is
               | rapidly expanding CIPS, and would likely welcome the
               | chance to expand it even more.
               | 
               | The existence of these alternatives is one reason Russia
               | probably won't be banned from SWIFT in the first place.
               | 
               | Archive from The Economist: https://archive.is/CHiiI
        
           | trinovantes wrote:
           | I doubt Bitcoin will help you when an authoritarian
           | government targets you specifically
           | 
           | https://xkcd.com/538/
        
         | once_inc wrote:
         | There are actually quite a few companies doing things with
         | bitcoin that generate revenue. Bitcoin isn't supposed to make
         | you money; it's supposed to _be_ money. Dollars on their own
         | don 't generate revenue, nor is gold locked in a safe. Bitcoin
         | has qualities that make it better than fiat and better than
         | gold, at the cost of an established history.
         | 
         | Perhaps the author just spoke to the wrong people, didn't get
         | the fundamentals, or didn't ask fundamental questions.
        
           | igorkraw wrote:
           | Show me one company that "does things with bitcoin" that
           | 
           | 1. does things which aren't already solved for cheaper using
           | standard finance (for example, splitwise makes splitting
           | bills easier, there are disposable credit card solutions,
           | within crypto multi-sig accounts for the masses could be one
           | idea) 2. is not just enabling _other_ people to do something
           | with crypto or building out the  "doing something with
           | crypto" capabilities (i.e., the product is used to do what
           | real finance does - facilitate and simplify services and
           | manufacturing of goods. Not trading, not infrastructure for
           | trading, not derivatives, not loans...) 3. Is profitable or
           | generates organic revenue (i.e., has customers actually using
           | their product and paying them for it)
           | 
           | Alternatively, show me one company or freelancer denominating
           | their prices in bitcoin, without tying it to the dollar
           | indirectly.
        
             | ephbit wrote:
             | > 3. Is profitable or generates organic revenue (i.e., has
             | customers actually using their product and paying them for
             | it)
             | 
             | Does an e-mail provider accepting payment in bitcoin count?
        
           | majormajor wrote:
           | "Bitcoin is supposed to be money" isn't the only pro-crypto
           | position out there. A lot of its current value is driven by
           | people holding and purchasing it from a perspective including
           | things like "this will be the new backing infrastructure for
           | every transaction in the world" not just "this is digital
           | gold."
        
           | wmf wrote:
           | Isn't the point of Bitcoin precisely that it naturally
           | becomes more and more valuable? If people want money that
           | doesn't make money they can use stablecoins.
        
             | majormajor wrote:
             | The fixed number of bitcoins doesn't help you if people
             | decide they want ether instead. Or if either are fine. Or
             | something else in the future. That risk is very alive and
             | well.
             | 
             | (I'd argue that the spread of multiple cryptocurrencies has
             | had a major inflationary effect overall in the world
             | economy in the last five years. Lot of people with suddenly
             | fat bank accounts out of nothing.)
        
             | kragen wrote:
             | I certainly hope not! That's what the article's author was
             | hoping for, but presumably Bitcoin will reach a long-term
             | stable price level at some point. Maybe it already has, or
             | did two years ago when it was at US$8000, or maybe at some
             | point it will rapidly fall to $0 as investors switch to
             | Ether or Grin or ZCash or whatever is popular ten years
             | from now. Its volatility unfortunately appeals to get-rich-
             | quick speculators, but hopefully at some point they'll get
             | burned enough to quit and leave it to serious people.
             | Assuming it doesn't evaporate completely!
             | 
             | The problem with "stablecoins" is that they reintroduce the
             | single point of failure that sunk Digicash and e-gold,
             | which Bitcoin was specifically designed to eliminate.
             | Holding Tether is a bet that neither Bitfinex nor the
             | Federal Reserve will decide to make their money machine go
             | brrr. I don't know how you feel about the Federal Reserve
             | but I wouldn't trust Bitfinex with my lunch money, much
             | less my savings or my country's foreign reserves.
        
               | ephbit wrote:
               | Agree.
               | 
               | Many people critize bitcoin for its current volatility
               | and entirely neglect that it can totally change in the
               | long-term.
               | 
               | It appears reasonable to me to expect the system dynamic
               | along a pathway towards (possibly) wide adoption to go
               | through various changes. Yes there are probably phases of
               | hype and there's the influence of block reward halvings
               | but there can also be effects in the long-term that
               | stabilize: the more widespread and integrated in various
               | parts of finance and the economy and actual day to day
               | transactions or people's savings bitcoin were to become
               | the more it would dampen volatility.
               | 
               | Why that? Because unlike purely speculative financial
               | transactions, day to day transactions are very much
               | restricted and influenced by and thus coupled to rather
               | constant human needs, so a lot less volatile than the
               | former.
               | 
               | Now don't get me wrong. I know bitcoin can't directly be
               | used to replace cash because of settlement time and
               | transaction fees. But that's why protocols on top like
               | Lightning exist.
        
           | lawn wrote:
           | Bitcoin _can 't_ function well as money as it's too clogged
           | up. That's why the narrative switched from money + adoption
           | to digital gold + number goes up.
        
           | astoor wrote:
           | I haven't seen any profitable cryptocurrency companies which
           | do anything genuinely useful for non-crypto people in the
           | real world - all the profitable ones are inward-looking, i.e.
           | engaged in "building out the ecosystem" (or "extending the
           | pyramid scheme" depending on your perspective), e.g. the
           | cryptocurrency exchanges. That's a big difference between the
           | internet and cryptocurrency - the internet can be said to
           | have started benefitting ordinary people within a few years,
           | but there's no sign of cryptocurrency ever doing anything
           | useful for the proverbial "man on the Clapham omnibus" after
           | 13 years. In that sense cryptocurrency is more like the gold
           | rush - some people find gold, most people make money selling
           | the shovels, but the vast majority of the world are so far
           | removed from it all that it doesn't impact them in any way
           | whatsoever (except perhaps for the negative effect it has on
           | their environment).
        
           | uoaei wrote:
           | > Spoke to the wrong people.
           | 
           | So either the conference didn't have the right people, or
           | this journalist is shit at their job. Which implication do
           | you claim?
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Well, let's see what was pitched at that conference. There's
           | a list.[1]
           | 
           | - 24 Exchange Bermuda Ltd. - cryptocurrency exchange
           | 
           | - 5 Day Forecast - can't identify, name too widely used
           | 
           | - Bitex - cryptocurrency exchange in UAE.
           | 
           | - Bitmatrix - "High Risk Merchant Account Solution"
           | 
           | - Citizens of Bitcoin - "Global Mobility Assets for Bitcoin
           | Hodlers"
           | 
           | - D2X Group - "The pan-European digital derivatives
           | exchange."
           | 
           | - DIBA Global Inc - "The future of Digital Art building on
           | #Bitcoin."
           | 
           | - Liquid Ventures - hydroelectric powered Bitcoin mining
           | 
           | - Moon - probably "Moon Bitcoin", a Bitcoin faucet app
           | 
           | - Satoshi's Games - "integrate blockchain-based play-to-earn
           | economies into ... games"
           | 
           | - Sazmining - crypto mining
           | 
           | - Shock Network, Inc. - ambiguious, but possibly "Shock
           | Wallet", a hosted crypto wallet
           | 
           | So, not one of the companies pitched at the conference
           | described in the article operates outside the crypto bubble.
           | 
           | [1] https://b.tc/conference/pitch-day
        
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