[HN Gopher] An asteroid killed dinosaurs in spring, which might ...
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       An asteroid killed dinosaurs in spring, which might explain why
       mammals survived
        
       Author : thedday
       Score  : 110 points
       Date   : 2022-02-24 15:36 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arstechnica.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arstechnica.com)
        
       | jedberg wrote:
       | > Three-dimensional rendering of the partial paddlefish fossil,
       | _with googly eyes added for reference_.
       | 
       | I'm glad to see even serious scientists can have fun sometimes.
        
       | imwillofficial wrote:
       | Another wildly speculative claim that they will contradict in a
       | few months. Headlines like this are effectively worthless
       | clickbait.
        
         | ghaff wrote:
         | It is speculative but it is also a paper in Nature. It's hardly
         | some random blog.
        
           | imwillofficial wrote:
           | Exactly, I hold them to a higher standard.
        
         | feoren wrote:
         | That's standard pop-sci title inflation. The article is about
         | how evidence from analyzing fish buried in debris tsunamis
         | indicates that the impact happened in Spring (in the Northern
         | Hemisphere). That _is_ a genuine contribution to understanding
         | what happened. You 're right that the hibernation thing is
         | pretty speculative -- but it's also a falsifiable hypothesis
         | that other evidence could shed light on later, so it's not like
         | we shouldn't talk about it.
        
       | Flatcircle wrote:
       | One thing that isn't talked about as much as it should be,
       | there's a possibility that 65 million years ago during the time
       | of the dinosaurs, the earth's atmosphere was very thick.
       | 
       | All these Dinosaurs with their extremely long necks and bodies
       | couldn't support their own weight if wandering around the earth
       | today.
       | 
       | The mass extinction event may have occurred simply because the
       | atmosphere changed and these giant beasts used to this exotic
       | thick atmosphere could no longer support their own weight.
        
         | caymanjim wrote:
         | The cretaceous atmosphere had a higher oxygen concentration
         | (roughly 50% more oxygen than today). It was denser, but the
         | idea that it provided structural support for large animals is
         | ridiculous. Part of the reason animals could be larger then
         | (from "giant" insects to genuinely-giant dinosaurs) is that the
         | extra oxygen meant smaller lungs (or better absorption for non-
         | lung-havers) required to support higher energy use. It isn't
         | because the atmosphere literally stopped them from falling
         | down. It's still a gas, and gravity hasn't changed.
        
           | londons_explore wrote:
           | But at say 10 bar of pressure, flight would be much easier...
           | 
           | Is there any evidence for or against the surface pressure of
           | earth being higher in the past?
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Hah, while that could help a bird (if ACTUALLY 10 bar,
             | which is insanely high - 145 psi, compared to 14ish now),
             | it wouldn't help as much as you would think. At STP, air is
             | 1.3kg per cubic meter, and at 10 bar, it's still only 11kg
             | per cubic meter. Water is 1000kg/cubic meter.
             | 
             | So yeah you could get some bigger birds, but t-Rex or
             | brontosaurus weren't meaningfully supported by the
             | atmosphere in such a scenario even if they had some kind of
             | lifting bladder, which no one has seen any fossil evidence
             | of anyway.
             | 
             | The amount of additional mass required to have a 100 bar
             | atmosphere instead of 1 bar is rather incredible, and there
             | is so far no plausible method known for such mass to
             | disappear.
             | 
             | If it was somehow subducted, then hey maybe. But we also
             | don't know of any way for that to occur right now.
        
               | 988747 wrote:
               | >> The amount of additional mass required to have a 100
               | bar atmosphere instead of 1 bar is rather incredible, and
               | there is so far no plausible method known for such mass
               | to disappear.
               | 
               | Earth's atmosphere is constantly being blown away by
               | solar wind[1]. I guess after 65 millions years this would
               | add up. But I'm still not convinced if it's possible to
               | loose enough air this way to lower pressure 100 times.
               | 
               | [1] https://www.sciencealert.com/earth-loses-hundreds-of-
               | tons-at...
        
             | caymanjim wrote:
             | A thicker atmosphere would provide more static lift, but
             | flapping wings in thicker atmosphere would require larger
             | muscles and use more energy. There are scholarly writings
             | out there on this topic, but I'm not familiar enough with
             | any of them to have an opinion. I know there's a school
             | that argues pterosaurs couldn't fly today solely due to
             | lower atmospheric density, and a school that argues they
             | could. I think the lower oxygen levels would still be the
             | primary barrier due to energy requirements.
        
           | Flatcircle wrote:
           | No it's not ridiculous at all, pressurized gas can act like a
           | liquid. And at sea level, thick atmosphere would certainly be
           | pressurized.
           | 
           | smaller lungs aren't relevant to the issue that comes up
           | regarding extremely large dinosaurs.
           | 
           | Because it's not an issue of lung capacity, or oxygen supply
           | per liter of blood.
           | 
           | We're not talking about animals that are comparable to modern
           | day elephants.
           | 
           | Have you seen the size comparisons of dreadnoughtus to blue
           | whales? They are enormous. The physics start to come into
           | question. Just the sheer weight of skin and muscle hanging on
           | bone. Even if the bones are hallow and even if the muscle is
           | somehow more efficient due to increased oxygen in the blood.
           | 
           | Like a whale plopped on dry land, they'd collapse under their
           | own weight standing up. Much less, hunting, mating, and
           | fighting.
           | 
           | furthermore the thick atmosphere theory helps solve another
           | tricky mystery which is the, Mesozoic Paleoclimate Paradox
           | 
           | During the Mesozoic era a remarkably homogeneous flora of
           | tropical and temperate plant species covered the Earth.
           | Plants such as ferns, laurels, palm trees, and Magnolia that
           | could not withstand freezing, thrived at 70 degrees north and
           | south latitude. Many of the same plants that existed near the
           | equator were also thriving at the Polar Regions of the Earth.
           | 
           | For decades paleoclimatologists have tried to explain the
           | Mesozoic paleoclimate paradox. If they matched the vegetation
           | of the lower and middle latitudes then their climate models
           | were too cold at the higher latitudes. If they matched the
           | warm temperatures of the Polar Regions then their models
           | projected an unrealistic hot sauna for the rest of the planet
           | that again conflicts with the geological evidence.
           | 
           | The reason their climate software models fail to match the
           | Mesozoic climate is because perhaps the paleoclimatologists
           | make the incorrect assumption that the Mesozoic atmosphere
           | was the same thickness as the present. As stated earlier, the
           | variation of temperatures around a planet whether it is day
           | or night or according to latitude, is a function of the
           | thickness of a planet's atmosphere. Planets or moons with no
           | atmosphere will have the most extreme difference in
           | temperatures, planets such as the present day Earth and Mars
           | that have relatively thin atmosphere will still have these
           | differenced in temperatures but much less extreme, while
           | extreme thick atmosphere planets such as Venus and the
           | Mesozoic Earth show almost no temperature difference at all
           | according to latitude.
        
         | feoren wrote:
         | I've heard that oxygen levels are lower now than they have been
         | in the past (this seems to change a lot on geological
         | timescales), and that high oxygen levels may help allow
         | megafauna's existence. I wouldn't think it's so much the
         | buoyancy as it is about all the other biological machinery that
         | can operate more efficiently at higher oxygen levels. Oxygen
         | levels are largely driven by algae and plant levels, which of
         | course could have been dramatically affected by the impact.
         | 
         | It's also possible you'd be better received espousing an
         | alternative to conventional science if your handle didn't sound
         | like a reference to Flat Earth Theory.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | Flatcircle wrote:
         | Can't believe the downvoting. There's several major issues with
         | the current dinosaur theory RN.
         | 
         | Four areas of scientific incongruities regarding these animals'
         | large size are 1) insufficient muscle strength, 2) insufficient
         | bone strength, 3) unacceptably high blood pressure within the
         | tallest dinosaurs, and 4) the paradox of pterosaurs having
         | grossly insufficient power to fly in atmospheric conditions
         | similar to the present
         | 
         | Today there are no reptiles capable of generating the power
         | needed to fly, and yet during the Mesozoic era reptiles grew to
         | be the largest flying animals that ever existed. The largest of
         | these pterosaurs was the Quetzalcoatlus. It had a chest size as
         | large as a horse and stood as tall as a giraffe ... [Y]et some
         | paleontologists continue to insist that there is no scientific
         | paradox regarding how the pterosaurs could have flown ...
         | [P]terosaurs could not have flown in today's atmospheric
         | environment. The application of aerodynamic equations show
         | pterosaurs falling far short of meeting the requirements for
         | obtaining flight in today's atmosphere, and the experimental
         | efforts using RC models provide physical evidence confirming
         | these conclusions. It should be alarming to all scientists and
         | science educators that some paleontologists continue to claim
         | that they understand how pterosaurs flew when the evidence is
         | so overwhelming in refuting their claim ...
        
           | onychomys wrote:
           | This is HN, please cite your sources. For example, the
           | sentence starting "Today there are no reptiles..." comes from
           | this website [0], which is run by somebody who freely admits
           | that he's not a paleontologist and who sure seems to have
           | some fairly...unusual views on biology.
           | 
           | [0] https://dinosaurtheory.com/flight.html
        
           | swagasaurus-rex wrote:
           | People forget there were mammals compare to or were bigger
           | elephants in our recent past.
           | 
           | The giant ground sloth -
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Megatherium
           | 
           | Mastodons - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mastodon
           | 
           | Wandering Albatross - https://www.thehindu.com/sci-
           | tech/energy-and-environment/ant...
           | 
           | Giant armadillos - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glyptodon
           | 
           | They aren't around because humans hunted them out. Except the
           | albatross, those died out long ago.
        
             | Flatcircle wrote:
             | The examples you listed, the giant Sloth, the Mastodon, and
             | the giant Armadillo are all actually smaller than a modern
             | elephant so you're not really making your point with those
             | links.
             | 
             | The giant sauropods are thought to have been 10 times
             | heavier than an Elephant.
             | 
             | Ten times heavier! That's enormous.
             | 
             | And the wandering albatross you linked to is said to have
             | existed 50 million years ago in the article.
        
             | lapetitejort wrote:
             | Similarly, people may not realize that the largest animal
             | to have ever lived is alive right now:
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_whale
        
           | marcosdumay wrote:
           | Most of those incongruities were solved as soon as people
           | stopped trying to model dinosaurs after lizards. The
           | pterosaurs one was solved when they stopped modeling them
           | after birds.
           | 
           | I'm not sure the blood pressure one was solved, but given we
           | have current animals with features that could solve their
           | problem, it's not too much to expect that it's not a
           | fundamental problem and we will find how it was solved when
           | we get a detailed enough picture of their necks.
        
         | margalabargala wrote:
         | Are you suggesting that this is the cause of the extinction
         | event, rather than an extraterrestrial impact? Or something
         | more like the impact may have caused a significant change in
         | atmospheric composition?
         | 
         | This would not explain the myriad other, much smaller species
         | that also perished, not to mention all of the marine animals.
        
         | zardo wrote:
         | I would love to see a scientific paper on the bouyant dinosaur
         | theory.
        
           | Flatcircle wrote:
           | lol, why the downvoting? I didn't say it was a fact, I said
           | it was a possibility.
           | 
           | https://dl.icdst.org/pdfs/files2/abe347ca228406be4720d5554a6.
           | ..
        
           | Flatcircle wrote:
           | https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26553081_Atmospheri.
           | ..
        
             | feoren wrote:
             | I'm not great at evaluating the quality of Journals
             | (Chemical Industry and Chemical Engineering Quarterly is at
             | least peer reviewed), but that article has been cited 0
             | times, and its abstract reads like a YouTube video trying
             | to convince me Bush did 9/11.
             | 
             | > how can a giant dinosaur such as an apatosaur pump blood
             | up to its brain (more than 13 m above its heart) when
             | animal energetics and physics say that in no way can it do
             | it. Do we have to change the laws of physics and biology? I
             | don't think so.
             | 
             | The "Science says it's impossible! Either we have to change
             | the laws of science, or <my one pet alternative theory out
             | of 10 million other alternatives> must be true!" is just
             | really characteristic of that style.
        
               | robbedpeter wrote:
               | We don't have soft tissue or a specific understanding of
               | internal organs. Maybe they had multiple hearts with
               | multiple vascular systems, or maybe the rate of blood
               | flow and chemistry of energy production differed from
               | animals we do understand. All we know for sure is that
               | the brontosaurus was way too big for its biology to be
               | understood by similarity to any extant creatures.
               | 
               | Maybe we'll be able to simulate dna, protein, and
               | evolution at some point such that we can sample huge
               | spaces to see if we can reconstruct creatures with
               | similar features.
        
             | zardo wrote:
             | Just skimming for what I was interested in, I don't see
             | anything to suggest that a thicker atmosphere would provide
             | support for a large land animal.
             | 
             | That would require structures in the animal kept at below
             | ambient pressure. e.g. heated air sacs
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | Also basic density calculations doesn't favor the theory.
               | 
               | Even at 100bar, even with some weird composition
               | difference (but not completely bizarre like sulphur
               | hexaflouride) the atmosphere is on the order of
               | 10-20kg/m^3.
               | 
               | Even with the most implausible 'what a dinosaur is made
               | of' theories I can come up with, unless the larger
               | dinosaurs were born carrying around 100+ m^3 balloons
               | full of helium, it doesn't seem doable. There literally
               | isn't enough space in them to have enough sacs of lighter
               | than air gas for that to make sense.
        
       | egberts1 wrote:
       | Only half of the Earth would be destroyed in that manner due to
       | Earth Northern hemisphere and Southern hemisphere having opposite
       | seasons.
       | 
       | Go back to the drawing board.
        
       | dlandau wrote:
       | Springtime for T-Rex and dinosaurs
        
         | digisign wrote:
         | Don't see many Producers references on HN, bravo.
        
           | illwrks wrote:
           | Seconded! It gave me a good laugh. I need to watch that film
           | again.
        
         | iamthepieman wrote:
         | I think it would be
         | 
         | Springtime for mammals and marsupials Winter for dinos and fish
         | Springtime for mammals and marsupials Come on humans, you've
         | got your wish
        
         | hinkley wrote:
         | Winter for gerbils and plants.
        
       | odyssey7 wrote:
       | It's incredible to me that fossils can be linked to the specific
       | day or so of the impact.
        
       | BurningFrog wrote:
       | It's pretty wild that all of humanity only exist because of that
       | completely random spring surprise!
        
         | throw_m239339 wrote:
         | > Some 66 million years ago, a catastrophic event wiped out
         | three-quarters of all plant and animal species on Earth, most
         | notably taking down the dinosaurs. The puzzle of why so many
         | species perished while others survived has long intrigued
         | scientists.
         | 
         | More importantly, it means that even if we annihilate our
         | specie because of our stupidity, life has great chances going
         | on and in millions of years perhaps, the earth might be
         | governed by another intelligent specie.
         | 
         | https://www.sciencefocus.com/planet-earth/when-will-earth-be...
         | 
         | > Simple computer models initially suggested this disaster
         | could render our planet inhospitable in as little as 150
         | million years from now. But late last year the journal Nature
         | published a much more sophisticated simulation by a team from
         | the Laboratory for Dynamic Meteorology in Paris, and this
         | suggests we have got at least a billion years before this
         | apocalypse.
        
           | hvs wrote:
           | If we wipe ourselves out within 100,000 years, I'm not sure
           | "intelligence" is a particularly advantageous trait,
           | evolutionarily-speaking.
        
             | BbzzbB wrote:
             | It's not like life (or species, as that's what evolutionary
             | pressures act on) has (have) any hope of surviving beyond
             | Earth's habitable period without intelligence, which makes
             | it a quite desirable trait as far as I'm concerned, most
             | important one as far as I'm concerned. Isn't it the _only_
             | trait that gives life any hope of existing beyond
             | geological timescales, no matter how high the chance of
             | quick failure is? Without intelligence, it kind of comes
             | back to  "does a tree fall if no one's there to hear it".
             | The universe existing at all sounds pretty bleak affair if
             | all that's gonna happen are local pockets of life that show
             | up on distant planets only to get boiled up in a hurry.
             | 
             | Worst case scenario is this "great hominid experiment"
             | fails, we take out other species with us (perhaps a
             | spectacular amount if we go out with a bang) but life finds
             | a way to cling on as it always has and returns to it's non-
             | civilized state in a geological blink. After that evolution
             | gets to roll the dice for some more million years until
             | life disappears forever and without leaving a trace of it's
             | existence beyond a handful of satellites drifting in the
             | dark for eons. Better luck next time, Darwin.
             | 
             | Best case has been (and is still) explored by sci-fi
             | novelists.
        
             | enlyth wrote:
             | That's an interesting thought, when you think about long
             | term survival of a species, how much does all this
             | technology help? If you think about humans surviving the
             | same asteroid impact that killed the dinosaurs, I think we
             | would have a good chance, some people would stay in
             | underground bunkers and eventually repopulate the Earth,
             | but the majority of the population would probably die, and
             | a lot of technological progress would be lost.
        
               | dividedbyzero wrote:
               | There's also the possibility that knowing early enough we
               | might be able to prevent an impact altogether.
        
             | mstipetic wrote:
             | For long term survival you need to get off your planet, for
             | which you probably need intelligence. Earth has around half
             | a billion years left until it starts feeling serious issues
             | with our sun. If our evolution took something like 10
             | percent longer things would be tricky
        
               | nonameiguess wrote:
               | We could easily seed the rest of the solar system and
               | even a few nearby other solar systems with basic archaea
               | and what not capable of surviving on any large object
               | with water, at least guaranteeing some form of life
               | escapes the death of Earth. It takes intelligence to
               | figure out how to do this, but we have enough
               | intelligence and the means to do it right now, but we
               | aren't since we're largely concerned specifically with
               | human survival, and humans are much harder to keep alive
               | and transport through space.
        
             | marcosdumay wrote:
             | Well, it's more like 300,000 years.
             | 
             | Anyway, even if that always happens, that seems a bit too
             | large a hill for evolution to notice it's not a global peak
             | and route around. Unguided genetic evolution is scarily
             | efficient, but not that much.
             | 
             | (Funny thing that memetic evolution may be able to make
             | that decision, but if you are right, it's the problem by
             | itself, so it couldn't fix it.)
        
       | mc32 wrote:
       | Spring in the Northern Hemisphere; Fall in the Southern
       | Hemisphere.
        
         | osigurdson wrote:
         | The Northern Hemisphere does account for 68% of overall land
         | area.
         | 
         | https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/which-hemisphere-has-the...
        
           | hinkley wrote:
           | Did it at the K-T boundary?
        
         | askvictor wrote:
         | And perpetually tropical in the tropics
        
         | cedricd wrote:
         | I was going to say that the landmasses could have been pretty
         | different back then. But I took a quick look and it looks like
         | they were broadly in the same place with respect to N / S
         | hemispheres.
        
           | CommieBobDole wrote:
           | Yep, 65 million years ago was really not that far from the
           | present, geologically speaking.
           | 
           | https://dinosaurpictures.org/ancient-earth#66
        
             | YaBomm wrote:
        
             | eatsyourtacos wrote:
             | Ugh why does it keep turning on rotation when changing the
             | dropdown!
             | 
             | I'm trying to fix on a single point and move backwards in
             | time to see the change but it keeps rotating the global
             | every time... weird default functionality.
             | 
             | edit: weird, now it seems to work fine. I was disabling the
             | 'rotate global' but it wasn't taking effect before
        
               | krick wrote:
               | Display options -> Rotate globe
        
             | erulabs wrote:
             | Wow India is really headed north in a hurry.
        
               | mcherm wrote:
               | Yes it is! Hence the mountains.
        
               | [deleted]
        
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