[HN Gopher] Article by Vladimir Putin "On the Historical Unity o...
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       Article by Vladimir Putin "On the Historical Unity of Russians and
       Ukrainians"
        
       Author : jrcplus
       Score  : 39 points
       Date   : 2022-02-20 18:14 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (en.kremlin.ru)
 (TXT) w3m dump (en.kremlin.ru)
        
       | throwaway5486nv wrote:
       | I was shocked to learn recently how diverse various parts of
       | Russia is. There's hardly anything common uniting Russia
       | including language. Russia is so huge simply because they did not
       | had mountains to protect from marching invaders and the kings
       | solution was to keep marching until they found mountains to
       | define the boundaries. Along the way they made treaties with all
       | sorts of culture and it became Russia.
        
       | layer8 wrote:
       | > And what Ukraine will be - it is up to its citizens to decide.
       | 
       | Given the current situation, that sounds like a threat.
        
         | pydry wrote:
         | It is. Putin's strategy appears to be to encourage it to either
         | be neutral, a puppet of Russia or failing that to break it -
         | drive to to become a failed state.
         | 
         | It somewhat parallels the US's approach to Cuba.
         | 
         | The US's approach to Ukraine is that much like Georgia it's a
         | cheap way to stir up trouble for Russia and sap its military
         | strength but actually protecting its citizens isnt considered
         | worthwhile, although this seems to have escaped the notice of
         | at least half the citizens and its President.
         | 
         | Zelenskyy is kind of getting played by both powers and Ukraine
         | is slowly getting torn to pieces as a result.
        
       | darthrupert wrote:
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Could you please stop posting unsubstantive comments to Hacker
         | News? You've been doing it a lot, unfortunately. It's not what
         | this site is for.
         | 
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
           | oegrj5 wrote:
        
       | NicoJuicy wrote:
       | This doesn't seem a sign of strength, it's weird that it's
       | translated to English though.
       | 
       | Russia greatly missed their approach to Ukraine. Because of gray
       | zone tactics, Russian approval rate within east-Ukraine dropped
       | from 54% to 14% and Ukraine got ( over the years) more efficient
       | resisting those tactics.
       | 
       | This is a propaganda piece, because Ukrainians and Russians have
       | a reasonable amount of relatives on both sides as far as I know.
       | The risk he's taking is considerable, not only from externally
       | but also internally.
       | 
       | As a reference, Ukraine has a population of 44 million and Russia
       | of 144 million. The independence referendum ( with 92% in favor)
       | was in 1991, which isn't even 1 generation ago. That's a big
       | variable to take into account.
       | 
       | Not only could fleeing Russians that they migrated become anti-
       | Russia ( they received 10 k. Roebels =114$ to move from their
       | home, which almost seems as a bad joke).
       | 
       | They could be cut off from any sort of trade happening to them,
       | which would decimate their economy with unforeseen consequences.
       | 
       | Be aware that Russia has roughly the GDP of Spain and a huge area
       | to maintain. They spend 6% to military and their GDP is declining
       | + Europe ( and the world) is slowly abandoning natural resources.
       | 
       | But they currently have money reserves from record prices the
       | last years.
       | 
       | Additionally, the last year there have been uprisings in Belarus
       | and Kazakhstan, one of the few remaining partners of Russia that
       | originated from the USSR.
       | 
       | There is serious unrest within Russia too, Navalny is currently
       | in jail after the poisoning attack failed and they were able to
       | document every step of the Russian agents in detail.
       | 
       | I think the mishandling of the vaccine ( the entire world wants
       | Pfizer and Sputnik had a lot of production issues + bribes
       | associated with it) didn't increase any influence, much to their
       | dislike ( they were very quick to claim "dibs" without sufficient
       | clinical trials ).
       | 
       | Additionally, the very low vaccination rate is "proof" to me that
       | there is great distrust in the government and that the propaganda
       | isn't working as well as many belief.
       | 
       | Putin is highly disturbed by this all and I think he wants to set
       | an example to reduce problems. But I think he will just make it
       | worse.
       | 
       | Important note: One of the main root causes of this entire
       | situation is that Ukraine could render Russia's entire naval
       | fleet useless, since it's highly dependent on the Black Sea that
       | is overlapping, almost completely, with Ukraine. Which was the
       | main goal of the "gray zone war", occupying East-Ukraine.
       | 
       | He's definitely been planning this for a long time:
       | 
       | - increasing propaganda
       | 
       | - increasing cyber attacks
       | 
       | - military experience over different countries ( Afghanistan,
       | Syria, ... )
       | 
       | - decoupling of the west
       | 
       | - closer ties to china
       | 
       | - testing internet isolation ( similar to the great firewall)
       | 
       | - testing war responses in countries of Europe over the years.
       | 
       | - ...
       | 
       | I believe they prefer to act now, now that Europe is still
       | sufficiently dependent on Russia. Since we ( Europe) are 35% of
       | their GDP because of gas imports.
       | 
       | They are also frustrated with Nordstream 2 that hasn't been
       | completed. .
       | 
       | But I think, all in all, this is a position of weakness and not
       | of strength and he's trying to change something while he can.
       | 
       | I don't know if they really want to invade Ukraine though.
       | 
       | Some part of me thought that they were bluffing and wanted to
       | weaken US influence by calling them out and in the end that they
       | would not attack. But the military presence and shelling are
       | severely countering that opinion.
       | 
       | Just my 2 cents. I'd be glad to hear where I'm wrong or other
       | opinions.
        
         | throwaway6532 wrote:
         | >Putin is highly disturbed by this all and I think he wants to
         | set an example to reduce problems. But I think he will just
         | make it worse.
         | 
         | In the Netflix series "How to Become a Tyrant" there's
         | literally a scene where the narrator says something like
         | "Things not going well at home for you? start a war overseas!"
        
         | zyemuzu wrote:
         | I don't know if you're right or wrong, but I do appreciate you
         | taking the time to share your thoughts!
        
       | Distilitron wrote:
        
       | martythemaniak wrote:
       | "I am confident that true sovereignty of Ukraine is possible only
       | in partnership with Russia."
       | 
       | Indeed. Under Russia's warm brotherly embrace, Ukraine will have
       | full sovereignty, as long as Russia approves. And seeing the
       | marvel of human civilization that Russia is today, who would say
       | no to such a deal? High incomes, long peaceful happy lives, a
       | representative government... The list goes on. Clearly all anti-
       | Russia sentiment is a product of western deviousness.
        
         | wussboy wrote:
         | I heard a joke when I was in Ukraine in 1996: A Russian and a
         | Ukrainian find $100. The Russian says, "come, brother, let's
         | split this like family."
         | 
         | The Ukrainian says, "no, let's split it 50-50."
         | 
         | I think both sides are fully aware of what Russia's "warm
         | brotherly embrace" will be like.
        
         | mint2 wrote:
         | I'm assuming sarcasm but it's hard to tell because RT sources
         | would say the exact same thing
        
       | grzm wrote:
       | (2021)
        
       | ipnon wrote:
       | Article by ipnon "On the Historical Unity of Americans and
       | Russians"
       | 
       | "Russians, Ukrainians, and Americans are all descendants of
       | Ancient Sahelanthropus ... We all come from the same Hominid
       | species out of Africa"
       | 
       | See that was easy? Oh wait, I don't have thousands of nuclear
       | weapons and an army of millions.
       | 
       | We are sadly seeing the return of might equals right, and history
       | is written by the victors. But the difference this time is that
       | the strong have the option of ending everything for everyone if
       | they so choose. Assuming Putin is crazy like Hitler, then who
       | knows if this is what he will decide to do.
       | 
       | The military options available to great powers today gives the
       | most leverage to the most deranged. Americans and the West have
       | lost their appetites for war and imperialism. The costs are too
       | great and the benefits are marginal. The depravity of the Russian
       | ideology-state doesn't have these limitations.
       | 
       | MAD means Russia wins as long the conflict is a military one. The
       | only way out of this now turning Ukraine into Russia's
       | Iraq/Afghanistan. An endless insurgency that grinds down
       | resources and public opinion. It's a hybrid war of plausible
       | deniability, disinformation, and cyber warfare. Europe is in this
       | situation because the West is fighting fire with water guns.
       | 
       | The Bear will stalk eastwards until we play the same game.
        
         | pydry wrote:
         | >We are sadly seeing the return of might equals right
         | 
         | Seeing its return? It never went away.
        
         | vasac wrote:
         | > Americans and the West have lost their appetites for war and
         | imperialism.
         | 
         | Let's wait for at least 10-20 years without invading other
         | countries before even start talking about end of imperialism.
        
       | Koshkin wrote:
        
       | rixed wrote:
        
       | rixed wrote:
       | Now joke aside, it had been informative to read about the recent
       | developments in the region from both Western and Russian sources.
       | For instance this report (https://tass.com/world/1406503) about a
       | declaration from the EU (!) from Tass was interesting and painted
       | a more nuanced picture of what's happening there. I failed to see
       | this report mentioned in my other regular Western news feed. US,
       | UK or french newspapers all seem to reduce the whole situation
       | into "Russia is willing to start a war, the only problem with
       | recent increase of shelling in Ukraine is that it could be used
       | as an excuse by Russia". Reading so obviously simplistic account
       | about the situation is saddening.
       | 
       | Also, it made me realize that pro-russia nationalists in Ukraine
       | have their own distinct agenda.
       | 
       | Now, disclaimer, I have no horse in this race, I'm just a random
       | westerner, but I've been lied too often and I'm sick of it.
        
         | WastingMyTime89 wrote:
         | French newspapers are a lot more nuanced (some of them at
         | least) because a significant part of the French left is deeply
         | opposed to NATO, distrust and dislike the USA and is
         | sympathetic to the Russian views that NATO eastern extension is
         | a form of aggression and should be stopped.
        
         | lisardo wrote:
        
       | ipnon wrote:
       | If we want to end this we need to stop working on ads and SaaS,
       | and start working on cyber security and disinformation networks.
        
       | adriancr wrote:
       | It's entertaining to think Putin would spend time to write such a
       | long and biased article although it's obvious by its contents
       | that that's not the case. (ex: a person that avoids technology
       | like the plague mentioning using open-source documents)
       | 
       | I'm curious why the need for this sort of attribution is needed.
       | The same sort of thing used to happen in the past in Romania with
       | our glorious leader's wife...
       | 
       | As for contents, it reads like usual propaganda with a clear
       | goal, justify Ukraine/Russia are the same people with a perhaps
       | distorted view of history. Reading it is a little useful exercise
       | in structure and manipulation
        
         | cato_the_elder wrote:
         | I agree that it is propaganda, but ghostwriting is kinda common
         | for politicians. Reagan's famous "Tear done this wall" speech
         | was written by Peter Robinson. [1] Hillary Clinton's book "It
         | Takes a Village" was written by an uncredited ghostwriter named
         | Barbara Feinman. [2] There are many other examples.
         | 
         | [1]:
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Robinson_(speechwriter...
         | 
         | [2]: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/It_Takes_a_Village
        
         | aaaaaaaaata wrote:
         | If you've watched him speak for 30min regarding geopolitics,
         | such writing doesn't seem too farfetched...
         | 
         | Hate him for whatever, he's not uneducated, unintelligible etc.
        
           | adriancr wrote:
           | I don't doubt that he is capable of writing this considering
           | his background and achievements. I doubt that he wrote it
           | considering the time investment needed and him being busy
           | with invasion preparations...
           | 
           | I was curious as to reasons why do this, why such a long
           | article, why under his name.
           | 
           | His target is likely the average russian, he is cultivating
           | his image as a unifier of people?, is that also justification
           | for war?
           | 
           | If he had written it, perhaps it would have shed some light
           | in his way of thought. Without that assumption it's just
           | another propaganda piece.
        
             | mongol wrote:
             | It certainly is propaganda. But it is not that different
             | from any longer piece from a political leader. We should
             | assume that given that it is signed by him, he has been
             | influencial in what it says, even if it is mostly ghost-
             | written, it reflects his views and opinions. Someone like
             | Putin can dictate an article while getting a bath or
             | travelling in his airplane. He does not need to type it
             | into a computer.
             | 
             | I respect it for what it is, something with his name above
             | it published on a Kremlin site. Propaganda is worse when it
             | is hidden or disguised or pretends to be something it is
             | not.
        
             | secondcoming wrote:
             | It was written on July 12, 2021.
        
         | Jtsummers wrote:
         | Open-source documents aren't about technology. It is a term of
         | art in intelligence.
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open-source_intelligence
        
       | jdu4 wrote:
        
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       (page generated 2022-02-20 23:01 UTC)