[HN Gopher] Israel rolls out laser defense system
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Israel rolls out laser defense system
        
       Author : Anonymous4272
       Score  : 78 points
       Date   : 2022-02-01 18:50 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.reuters.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.reuters.com)
        
       | hirundo wrote:
       | "If we can intercept a missile or rocket with an electrical pulse
       | that costs a few dollars, we will essentially neutralize the ring
       | of fire that Iran has set up"
       | 
       | This sets up a steampunk scenario where the missile must be
       | controlled by a mechanical gyroscopic guidance system, immune
       | from electrical pulses.
        
         | fuzzy2 wrote:
         | This system isn't an EMP system. It heats the target until it
         | disintegrates.
         | 
         | I think the rockets it has to defend against are already as
         | low-tech as possible, too.
        
       | snidane wrote:
       | Will they start shooting rockets when it gets foggy ouside now?
        
         | ocschwar wrote:
         | Historically they've not done that because they know the IDF's
         | response is proportional to the civilian casualties on the
         | Israeli side. Better to wait for clear weather when iron dome
         | is maximally effective.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | golergka wrote:
           | This doesn't make any sense. The whole point is to get a
           | bigger IDF response, bloodier palestinian casualties, louder
           | western media coverage and larger help packages to pocket.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | 323 wrote:
       | Could you make the missile really really shiny so that it
       | reflects the laser away?
        
       | alfalfasprout wrote:
       | With rockets I'm guessing that thermal signatures are used to
       | home in on the projectile being destroyed. But I'm wondering
       | what's being used here to keep the laser locked onto the target
       | projectile. It's definitely an impressive technological feat.
        
         | LegitShady wrote:
         | The arrow missile system uses the Israeli green pine radar for
         | acquisition and tracking while the arrow interceptor has both
         | passive ir and active radar tracking.
        
         | datameta wrote:
         | My (completely unsubstantiated) guess is that a targeting IR
         | laser is used for the required granularity of target
         | correction.
        
         | WJW wrote:
         | Typically you'd use radar to detect incoming projectiles, using
         | multiple detections over time to determine the trajectory of an
         | incoming missile (they are usually unguided and will thus
         | follow a predictable ballistic trajectory).
        
           | manishsharan wrote:
           | But would it not be possible to build missiles that can
           | intelligently alter route upon detecting detection ? I recall
           | once working on a auto guided industrial machine based on
           | Motorola 68000 microprocessor that could figure out how to
           | route itself to its destination. So unless you can detect and
           | eliminate the missile almost simultaneously, an intelligent
           | missile could throttle it's velocity etc. to avoid
           | predictable trajectory.
           | 
           | Edit: some typos
        
             | RegnisGnaw wrote:
             | This is again a money play here, after all everything is a
             | money play.
             | 
             | Iron Beam (this system) is designed to intercept simple
             | rockets, artillery, and etc for cheap. The total cost per
             | shot is estimated at 2000USD overall (including life cycle
             | of the parts, laser, etc) compared to 100000USD for Iron
             | Dome missile alone. It is even more for more advanced stuff
             | like Arrow 2, Arrow 3, or David's Sling (all, including
             | Irom Dome, of which have greater range and capability than
             | the Iron Beam).
             | 
             | The issue with your system is cost.
             | 
             | The rockets that Iran is supplying are unguided ballistic
             | rockets. Artillery is also unguided and ballistic. These
             | are super cheap so its easy and economical to fire a lot of
             | them. This is why Israel wants Iron Beam cause its much
             | cheaper then Iron Dome.
             | 
             | Now lets focus on your solution. The missiles now will need
             | advanced guidance system, maneuvering capabilities (mid
             | course correction, path adjustment), radar and IR warning
             | receivers, and other advanced electronics. None of which
             | are cheap. These components also add weight to the missile,
             | which means bigger missile and more fuel, which adds to the
             | cost of the missile. The need to carry fuel for mid flight
             | adjustment also means heavier missile, which means bigger
             | missile, which means more expensive missile. So your cost
             | per missiles goes up hell of a lot. So now you are limited
             | to the number you can field against Israel. Now its worth
             | it to throw up an Iron Dome against you or possibly an
             | Arrow 2, both which are guided missiles interceptors.
             | 
             | EDIT: Example of the rockets that the Iron Beam is designed
             | to intercept: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fajr-5
        
               | newsclues wrote:
               | Automated counter-battery in addition to AD would be an
               | interesting extra layer of deterrence.
        
               | WJW wrote:
               | And a PR nightmare. Shoot a missile from a school or a
               | hospital, then afterwards the newspaper articles write
               | themselves when the automated system retaliates. Radar
               | data showing it was a missile launch site will always
               | lose to pictures of mothers holding dead children.
               | 
               | Counter battery is also of questionable effectiveness
               | when most launch sites are used only once.
        
               | wahern wrote:
               | > And a PR nightmare. Shoot a missile from a school or a
               | hospital, then afterwards the newspaper articles write
               | themselves when the automated system retaliates.
               | 
               | There's nothing new about Hamas firing rockets from
               | schools and hospitals and Israel responding. It's
               | difficult to exaggerate how dirty the conflict is, and in
               | many respects always has been. It's a positive feedback
               | look because these activities only further dehumanize one
               | from the other's perspective, and it's compounded by
               | people on both sides who capitalize on this dynamic for
               | their own gain.
               | 
               | I have a neighbor who grew up in Israel in the 50s and
               | 60s. If you even mention the words "Arab" or
               | "Palestinian" she'll get visibly angry and bitter. I'm
               | sure the feeling is mutual for many on the other side.
        
             | yehoshuapw wrote:
             | while missiles can be built to have irregular routes, this
             | is more important for missile-based defense. there, with
             | the distances and speeds involved it will cause the
             | interceptor to need to counter the irregularities, which
             | will make it need to also be much more advanced. small
             | changes in thrust however (at a later time - and thus
             | higher speed) can cause only so much of a change.
             | 
             | but more importantly - light-based interception can be re-
             | pointed much faster then a missile can change it's own
             | course.
        
               | manishsharan wrote:
               | A missile design may evolve to have the original missile
               | to intelligently decompose,upon detection, into multiple
               | smaller missiles each with a randomized target and path.
               | The parent missile could focus on reaching as close as
               | possible to target rich area with stealth and upon
               | inevitable detection, unleash smaller missiles with
               | randomized paths. If the cost of missiles keep going
               | down, I can see aggressors firing several of these to
               | maximize their probability of a successful hit.
        
               | cronix wrote:
               | That's been around for quite a long time, at least the
               | late 1960's.
               | 
               | > A multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle
               | (MIRV) is an exoatmospheric ballistic missile payload
               | containing several warheads, each capable of being aimed
               | to hit a different target. The concept is almost
               | invariably associated with intercontinental ballistic
               | missiles carrying thermonuclear warheads, even if not
               | strictly being limited to them.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_independently_targ
               | eta...
        
               | samus wrote:
               | These are more expensive to build though. At some point,
               | more far-ranging and guided systems can be used to snipe
               | it before it is anywhere close from splitting apart. And
               | Iron Beam will still be cheaper to deal with any warheads
               | that manage to split off.
        
       | hadlock wrote:
       | I'm curious where the tipping point is, where the military
       | response exceeds the financial cost of a political response. It's
       | one thing to have tensions simmering on both sides of a border,
       | it's another that one side feels wronged and is lobbing bombs
       | over the fence.
       | 
       | The fact that they're having to develop a laser defense system to
       | defend against lobbed bombs seems like it's time to reevaluate
       | political solutions.
        
         | SuoDuanDao wrote:
         | There are really only three solutions. One, Israel annexes
         | Palestine in its current form, and ceases to be a Jewish state.
         | Two, Israel annexes Palestine after removing its current
         | inhabitants. Three, Israel stays in a state of low-grade
         | warfare while carving out the most desireable bits of Palestine
         | for its settlers as its population grows.
         | 
         | One is untenable for obvious reasons. Two is untenable until
         | memories of the holocaust cease being a formative experience
         | for Israel, so essentially untenable for the rest of our
         | natural lives. Three is not only the only option available,
         | it's actually not that bad a situation while Israel can
         | maintain its military dominance.
         | 
         | I think a big mistake we in the west make when thinking about
         | 'solutions' to the conflict is assuming both sides want peace.
         | That's not been my impression on hearing anyone from either
         | side talk, peace activists from the region but unconnected to
         | the ruling structure notwithstanding.
        
         | jlawson wrote:
         | The "political response" is to be "pushed into the sea" and
         | utterly conquered. The Palestinians and their leadership have
         | made it clear across many explicit statements and policy
         | documents for many years that this is their goal and they won't
         | stop short of it.
         | 
         | There is no "financial cost" to that; it is simply the end of
         | existence. So there is no financial calculation to be made.
         | Either you can afford the defenses you need to exist, or you
         | can't and you stop existing.
        
           | skinnymuch wrote:
           | The Palestinians? They have not made it clear at all. TMany
           | people living in Gaza, one of the poorest, unsafe, strips of
           | land with the least amount of autonomy or basic human respect
           | given, don't have time and energy to focus on a goal of
           | utterly conquering and pushing Israel to the sea. I assume
           | this implies killing all Israelis too?
           | 
           | Quite a statement to make about the vast majority of Gaza
           | citizens that can barely survive.
           | 
           | --
           | 
           | > Either you can afford the defenses you need to exist, or
           | you can't and you stop existing.
           | 
           | In no world could Palestine ever stop Israel from existing
           | either. Like: - Kurds or Armenians can't wipe out Turkey. -
           | Yemenese rebels (Houthi) can't wipe out Saudi Arabia. -
           | Uyghur's or Tibet or Hong Kong or Taiwan can't wipe out
           | China. - Ukraine or Georgia or Bosnia or Crimea can't wipe
           | out Russia. - Kosovo can't wipe out Serbia. - Pakistan can't
           | wipe out India. - IRA or Ireland can't wipe out Britain.
           | 
           | ---
           | 
           | Israel is a beautiful place. I enjoyed Tel Aviv quite a bit.
           | I certainly don't want Israel going anywhere :)
        
             | golergka wrote:
             | > I assume this implies killing all Israelis too?
             | 
             | Yes.
             | 
             | > Quite a statement to make about the vast majority of Gaza
             | citizens that can barely survive.
             | 
             | Talk to them. Personally, I think that the reason this
             | conflict is so misunderstood in the West is that you guys
             | are just too distant from the cultural norms of the region,
             | and literally can't believe that millions of people could
             | openly and unapologetically be pro-genocide.
        
               | skinnymuch wrote:
               | I have talked to some.
               | 
               | You didn't respond to any other parts of my post.
               | Especially the main point I made of the listing of states
               | in conflict where it is similarly not possible for the
               | smaller side to wipe out the nicer one. The point of that
               | is to show how unreasonable expecting any of those
               | smaller states or people to ever be able to do a serious
               | amount of damage to the stronger power.
               | 
               | It is a stretch to say "millions" for Gaza. The
               | population is under 2 million. Technically that is
               | millions. Just want to clarify it means under 2M.
               | 
               | It's also hard to talk to them when I don't live close by
               | and The 1.8M people in Gaza use the energy equivalent to
               | a town of under 25K people in the US.*
               | 
               | * https://www.bing.com/fd/ls/GLinkPing.aspx?IG=1780314647
               | 4C42E...
        
           | ahthat wrote:
           | This
        
       | towe12301923 wrote:
       | > "If we can intercept a missile or rocket with an electrical
       | pulse that costs a few dollars, we will essentially neutralize
       | the ring of fire that Iran has set up ... This new generation of
       | air defence can also serve our friends in the region, who are
       | also exposed to grave threats from Iran and its proxies.
       | 
       | This is admirable. Instead of playing the typical offense-first
       | arms race, they are in a defense-first technology race. Its non-
       | violent and the technology and skills will benefit the entire
       | country. I hope they eventually win the war just by building a
       | far better country that people want to immigrate into instead of
       | attack.
        
         | skinnymuch wrote:
         | I don't think people want to immigrate to the Gaza Strip. Under
         | any conditions.
         | 
         | Or if Gaza is not Israel to you. I think many people in Gaza
         | would love to immigrate to Israel.
        
       | einpoklum wrote:
       | Note Israeli PM Bennet is currently facing a lot of media and
       | public attention to large price hikes of different consumer
       | goods, electricity and gasoline. Just saying.
       | 
       | (PS - Also, scrutiny about Israeli soldiers having bound and
       | gagged an 80-yro Palestinian man, leaving him on the floor in
       | some abandoned building after having stopped him in an illegal
       | roadblock, with him eventually dying. Israelis wouldn't need a
       | distraction from that kind of stuff happening, though; we/they
       | are already trained to filter that out.)
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | Footkerchief wrote:
       | The use of the present tense is factually wrong. TFA says "Within
       | a year already the IDF (Israel Defence Forces) will bring into
       | action ..."
        
       | james-redwood wrote:
       | The space lasers were real /s
       | 
       | (in reference to the Republican congresswoman who blamed the
       | California wildfires on Jewish space lasers:
       | https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/marjorie-taylor-gree...)
        
         | m0llusk wrote:
         | It really surprises me that so many people who have seen UFO
         | reports all their lives cite this as nothing but humorous
         | stupidity from a politician. People who follow satellite data
         | in order to understand global patterns of earthquakes and
         | weather saw what looks like beams from unknown sources hitting
         | areas that then caught fire. As with anything else this is very
         | likely to be some kind of sensor or transmission glitch that
         | simply needs to be analyzed in detail to find some mundane
         | explanation, but it is worth acknowledging that the whole
         | business emerged not from the political foolishness that got
         | attached to it later but from hobbyists trying to explain
         | genuinely peculiar data. Even when people talk about UFOs or
         | space lasers it is worth taking in and trying to explain the
         | actual data.
        
           | doodlebugging wrote:
           | > People who follow satellite data in order to understand
           | global patterns of earthquakes and weather saw what looks
           | like beams from unknown sources hitting areas that then
           | caught fire.
           | 
           | What? Is there a link to any of this or is it just standard
           | internet BS?
           | 
           | I've heard of earthquake lights and there may be something to
           | that. Never heard of anything focused on places that later
           | caught fire. The fires that I am aware of were mostly blamed
           | on poor maintenance of electrical utility infrastructure or
           | on arsonists or fools doing stupid stuff like "gender
           | reveals".
           | 
           | Enlighten me, but not _with_ one of them space lasers, just
           | _about_ them.
        
       | doodlebugging wrote:
       | >This new generation of air defence can also serve our friends in
       | the region, who are also exposed to grave threats from Iran and
       | its proxies.
       | 
       | Interestingly enough this system will be available to all those
       | neighborly enough to join Israel against all the Iranian-backed
       | adversaries. It sounds like sales of technology from the NSO
       | group was a real foot-in-the-door for Israel for forging of new,
       | previously unlikely alliances.
       | 
       | Once you get all these rich petro-states hooked on the products
       | that you can peddle then maybe the overall security situation in
       | that region changes dramatically. For one, it becomes more likely
       | that one of these operators could act unilaterally and thus could
       | kick off a war that no one else wanted when other options were
       | still on the table.
       | 
       | Interesting development overall.
        
         | nickff wrote:
         | > _" It sounds like sales of technology from the NSO group was
         | a real foot-in-the-door for Israel for forging of new,
         | previously unlikely alliances."_
         | 
         | Israel has had 'secret' alliances with some supposedly
         | 'antagonistic' states for a long time. These are all just
         | extensions of those previously hidden relationships.
        
       | guerrilla wrote:
       | Lots of news about Israel today. Amnesty International just
       | released a new report condemning Israel as an apartheid state.[1]
       | 
       | 1.
       | https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/campaigns/2022/02/israels-...
        
         | nsxwolf wrote:
         | This harms the credibility of Amnesty International. There are
         | many criticisms you can lay against Israel regarding the
         | Israeli-Palestinian conflict, but "apartheid" doesn't pass the
         | laugh test.
        
         | yuvalr1 wrote:
         | What a great way to start an off topic flame war...
         | 
         | By the way, you could have shown Israel's response to this
         | report as well:
         | 
         | https://www.timesofisrael.com/lapid-attacks-delusional-amnes...
        
       | dexwiz wrote:
       | This tech will be the end of MAD and the start of WW3. The only
       | thing holding back current super powers from direct confrontation
       | are ICBMs and MAD. Once they can be reliably shot down via
       | lasers, then full scale war is much more likely. I understand the
       | current tech is for much slower, much lower rockets and cruise
       | missiles. But the tech will evolve and get better. Israel is the
       | current test bed for high tech defense, so expect further
       | improvements over the next decade. We have seen a century of
       | relative peace, enjoy it while it lasts.
        
         | throwaway894345 wrote:
         | > The only thing holding back current super powers from direct
         | confrontation are ICBMs and MAD.
         | 
         | "Trade interests"
        
         | elsonrodriguez wrote:
         | As long as EMPs are viable MAD is still in effect.
        
           | gremlinsinc wrote:
           | An emp would knock out electrical grids.... sure...
           | 
           | But that isn't annihilation...
           | 
           | Say russia installed this in major cities (rural is
           | acceptable loss), then manufactured super sonic nukes that
           | could deliver a strike in under 5 mins... or even a minute...
           | they could strike many of our nuke sites (not all because of
           | subs) but our major military operation bases, then we strike
           | back from subs, but these take them all out, there's some
           | fallout from atmospheric explosions which may be as bad, but
           | maybe they hoist huge fans to blow it south to the Ukraine or
           | another enemy state...
           | 
           | I don't think EMP's really would deter this sort of
           | outcome... MAD is becoming less and less a thing, super-sonic
           | weapons are the real clencher, because with those it's simply
           | whoever strikes first - if they strike hard enough can
           | disable just about any enemy... so the trick will be not
           | getting to the point of first strike... which...I don't think
           | we can really prevent, not w/ water wars/climate resources
           | diminishing, etc....
           | 
           | The worst war ever will come, we thought globalization could
           | keep people sane but threats to supply chains, and resources,
           | and the existence of the earth itself turn people into
           | desperate people. Desperate people don't always do what's
           | considered 'sane'.
           | 
           | What we'd deem an evil dictator might try and nuke 80% of the
           | population to save the climate, and it probably would succeed
           | but most sane people would say the cost is too great for that
           | ...and they'd be right too.... I mean Thanos had good
           | intentions but horrible means towards them...
           | 
           | A madman who gets elected or inherits the button to the
           | nations military arsenal could decide to burn it all down
           | like Nero...
        
             | selimthegrim wrote:
             | >there's some fallout from atmospheric explosions which may
             | be as bad, but maybe they hoist huge fans to blow it south
             | to the Ukraine or another enemy state...
             | 
             | This was in fact precisely Vladimir Zhirinovsky's idea in
             | 1991 to stop the Baltics from seceding
        
             | josefresco wrote:
             | Nerd Alert: Thanos's motivations in the comics were
             | definitely not "good". However, in the softened MCU version
             | his motivations while hilariously dumb, could be considered
             | "good".
        
             | foobarian wrote:
             | Even with somewhat assured first strike outcomes I still
             | don't see a rational reason for a nuclear power to go ahead
             | with it. What are they going to do afterwards, conquer
             | territory? It's not going to work because nuclear strikes
             | won't magically disappear the (now really angry)
             | population. So what would be the point? And now you lose
             | all the fruits of trade and punish your own people.
             | 
             | Re: an insane leader ordering a strike just for fun, I have
             | faith I guess in the staff who would be actually pushing
             | the buttons. It has happened before.
        
             | HWR_14 wrote:
             | > Say russia installed this in major cities (rural is
             | acceptable loss)
             | 
             | You mean like the Russian's existing system is designed?
             | [0]
             | 
             | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A-135_anti-
             | ballistic_missile_s...
        
         | fuzzy2 wrote:
         | I very much doubt this is effective against ICBMs. It'll be a
         | ground-based system. ICBMs are just too far away, too much air
         | in between. It's not a question of technology. It simply cannot
         | be done from the ground.
        
         | systemvoltage wrote:
         | No system, even THAAD is 100% reliable. And nothing ever has
         | been tested in the battlefield. Statistical significance of
         | extreme levels is needed to eliminate MAD. Also, we shouldn't
         | be too reliant on MAD theory to avoid developing defense tech.
         | If we don't, it's a guaranteed SAD (Self-assured destruction
         | :-) ).
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | Shooting down a rocket going Mach 3 is different from an ICBM
         | going Mach 25.
         | 
         | ICBM research seems to be further along in the US, Russia and
         | India than in Israel. Israel has a fairly accurate, but
         | expensive, missile defense system already.
        
         | gruez wrote:
         | >This tech will be the end of MAD and the start of WW3.
         | 
         | AFAIK shooting down warheads will always be harder than
         | launching them. Unless your system is _really_ reliable, it can
         | be bypassed by simply launching more missiles.
        
         | pasabagi wrote:
         | MAD was a dumb idea in the first place. Everybody has known,
         | since the first world war, that a major power confrontation is
         | very likely to end your nation, _even if you win_. The French
         | were so demographically destroyed they literally could not
         | raise an army to fight in the second world war. The British
         | were so broke their empire collapsed. The Russian empire, the
         | Austrian empire, the Ottoman empires all collapsed into
         | splinters.
         | 
         | Rational people would not want to be on either side of such a
         | conflict. Except, international relations is fraught with
         | pathological incentives, so peer conflicts happen nonetheless,
         | and less than twenty years after the first world war ended,
         | everybody was gearing up for a second.
         | 
         | The cold war didn't go hot because we were lucky, not because
         | MAD changed the basic dynamics of total war.
        
           | dexwiz wrote:
           | Rational people aren't the ones who start wars. People who
           | grab and claw for power and climbed their way into leadership
           | start wars. I wish the world was lead by rational people, but
           | I don't think it is.
        
           | hanoz wrote:
           | The difference being that with _nuclear_ mutually assured
           | destruction, the actual leaders are assured of their own
           | personal destruction.
        
             | quickthrower2 wrote:
             | Are they? Who has the best bunkers? Who has dedicated
             | aircraft you can live in permanently?
        
           | Miraste wrote:
           | > he French were so demographically destroyed they literally
           | could not raise an army to fight in the second world war.
           | 
           | This isn't true at all. The French army at the start of WWII
           | was over 5 million men, one of the largest in the world. It
           | suffered from bad luck and being led by morons, but it
           | certainly existed.
           | 
           | Per your other point, WWII made the US and the USSR global
           | superpowers for half a century, and the US especially
           | sacrificed far less than anyone else to get it. War is sadly
           | not always a losing proposition, even total war.
        
             | morelish wrote:
             | I don't know about the demographic claim but definitely the
             | French could not imagine _fighting_ another war and so
             | their preparations were poor. They built the Maginot Line
             | as a way of avoiding having to fight again. And I believe
             | the political culture in the country and army all rotated
             | around the idea that they never wanted to fight Germany
             | again. This also extended to the Treat of Versailles were
             | they tried to cripple Germany's ability to raise an army
             | again. I don't know about the demographic claim, but he is
             | sort of right that WW1 wrecked Frances fighting spirit.
        
             | morelish wrote:
             | Oh, I actually totally disagree with the original
             | commenter's statement "The cold war didn't go hot because
             | we were lucky, not because MAD changed the basic dynamics
             | of total war." Erm. No. MAD definitely did change the basic
             | dynamics.
        
             | pasabagi wrote:
             | I was exaggerating, but the demographic slump that happened
             | as a result of WW1 was a problem for french military
             | planners, which is why a large portion of their army were
             | reservists or badly trained.
             | 
             | Per your other point, you're shifting the terrain of the
             | discussion. WW1 was almost a pure losers war, and yet, most
             | of the same states engaged in WW2. That's the crazy
             | decision. WW2, on the other hand, had relative winners
             | (although I think the US would have done well regardless,
             | and the USSR got to be a global superpower (which it was
             | already) at an appalling cost).
             | 
             | Another thing that bothers me about the whole 'MAD
             | prevented the cold war from going hot' is that none of the
             | generals at the time thought like that. People didn't
             | really start thinking about nuclear weapons as anything
             | other than just big bombs until well into the cold war.
             | That's why MacArthur advocated their use in China.
        
       | sandworm101 wrote:
       | I will believe it when I see it. Focusing that much light on a
       | small moving object, through layered and moving air, with an
       | intensity to burn through metal would be an achievement. Burning
       | through enough of that metal to degrade a _falling_ rocket (as
       | opposed to during boost phase of flight) is even harder. For all
       | the talk about cost reduction, have a look at what realworld
       | laser armor costs. Painting the nosecone of a rocket white, or
       | coating it with reflective foil costs next to nothing but is
       | remarkably effective.
       | 
       | Better question: What would this do to a manned aircraft? There
       | is a reason there are treaties against blinding weapons.
        
         | nine_k wrote:
         | AFAIK far enough infrared is not very efficiently reflected by
         | white paint or by metallic foil. If you can lower the
         | efficiency of the cover layer from 99.9% to, say, 80%, this may
         | be enough to degrade the mirror layer, create a dark spot or a
         | cloud of plasma. After that most of the radiant energy will be
         | consumed by that spot, it will overheat and degrade everything
         | around it, while also changing the aerodynamics of the object
         | enough to veer it way off course.
        
         | zokier wrote:
         | This article has a video of similar system from Lockheed Martin
         | in 2013 demonstrating successful destruction of missile
         | https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/iron-beam-iron-dome-and-lase...
         | 
         | The capability for lasers to counter rockets has been
         | demonstrated over and over in the past 20-25 years. The problem
         | has always been making the systems practical, but I guess they
         | are getting there now.
        
         | simplyaccont wrote:
         | >I will believe it when I see it. Focusing that much light on a
         | small moving object, through layered and moving air, with an
         | intensity to burn through metal would be an achievement.
         | Burning through enough of that metal to degrade a falling
         | rocket (as opposed to during boost phase of flight) is even
         | harder.
         | 
         | it's been working 20 years ago. it's just systems were too big.
         | you needed 2-3 tracks to supply energy to laser system, and
         | there were delays between shots.
         | 
         | >For all the talk about cost reduction, have a look at what
         | realworld laser armor costs. Painting the nosecone of a rocket
         | white, or coating it with reflective foil costs next to nothing
         | but is remarkably effective.
         | 
         | doesn't work. nosecone it's small part of rocket, laser will
         | target midsection probably. reflective foil won't help either
         | as it needs to be designed to reflect specific wavelength of
         | laser iirc
        
           | sandworm101 wrote:
           | Any foil will do, just as the JWST's sunshield is effective
           | against all the wavelengths coming off the sun. Gold or
           | silver is best, but aluminum foil from the grocery store is
           | extremely reflective across all wavelengths we would call
           | laser. Just giving the metal rocket a good polish would make
           | a significant difference.
        
             | simplyaccont wrote:
             | there is some difference, but I guess all the companies
             | that sank billions into directed energy weapons missed that
             | aluminum foil from shop can negate all their efforts
        
         | CapitalistCartr wrote:
         | It would need to pack the energy of a stick of dynamite (1 lb
         | explosive weight) into a short burst of light.
        
           | cobookman wrote:
           | Would it? If the laser is able to focus on the rocket for
           | multiple seconds. Then it'd just need to pack a fraction of
           | that energy over a sustained duration. Which sounds
           | reasonable.
        
             | CapitalistCartr wrote:
             | The rocket is moving at perhaps mach 4+. The laser has to
             | strike a singular spot. So holding focus for multuple
             | seconds is an as-yet-unsolved problem. Of course, hitting
             | an incoming missile at all is at the edge of current
             | capability.
        
         | opwieurposiu wrote:
         | At the current power level, this laser is mainly useful against
         | drones.
         | 
         | There is a limit to how much laser power you can shoot through
         | the air. When the threshold for breakdown is exceeded, a high
         | density plasma is produced which is opaque to visible and
         | infrared wavelengths and thus absorbs the laser radiation.
         | 
         | The moon does not have this laser power limit, but moving Tel
         | Aviv to the moon would quite expensive and you would lose the
         | mediterranean climate.
        
           | Miraste wrote:
           | Sounds like that could be gotten around by using multiple
           | lasers.
        
             | sandworm101 wrote:
             | Multiple beams creates a different problem. Say your beam
             | is 1cm across and you are aiming at a 30cm target. All your
             | energy is in that 1cm. You don't much care where in that
             | 30cm it hits so long as it burns through. But with two
             | lasers, to be effective, each beam needs to hit the same
             | sport on the target. Instead of a 30cm target, laser #2 now
             | has to hit the 1cm beam of the first laser.
        
               | omegant wrote:
               | That, or also you get a shotgun effect with different
               | damaged areas in a single target. Increasing the
               | probability of destruction with less powerful lasers.
        
           | mrkstu wrote:
           | Aren't there wavelengths available that wouldn't superheat
           | air, but would be absorbed by a missile?
        
           | simplyaccont wrote:
           | THEL was shooting down mortars, shells and rockets at early
           | 2000s
        
           | golergka wrote:
           | > moving Tel Aviv to the moon would quite expensive and you
           | would lose the mediterranean climate
           | 
           | Might make rent just a little bit cheaper though.
        
             | jakedata wrote:
             | Yeah, but there's no "atmosphere" any more...
        
         | propesh wrote:
         | Ill never forget when the Iron Dome was first rolling out, this
         | rocket researcher on the internet said it couldn't be done. He
         | explained it pretty well, and I was convinced. Search google
         | for Iron dome doesn't work (looking back to 2010-14) And yet,
         | it does work (mostly).
         | 
         | So basically what I'm saying, this stuff is hard, and few
         | people in the world can even verify your claim, never mind have
         | access to the tech or AI behind it. But i'd bet with the
         | Israelis.
        
           | propesh wrote:
           | Here is the article:
           | https://www.technologyreview.com/2014/07/15/172055/an-
           | explan...
           | 
           | Again, not sure if this turned out to be correct; but from
           | reading reports on the ground and the lives Israel claimed it
           | saved (and building more of them,) it seems evident he was in
           | fact wrong.
        
       | jimnotgym wrote:
       | ...and then what. What will they do when the rockets get faster,
       | shinier, more erratic in flight...or any of the other things
       | mentioned on this thread? I'm not going to pretend I have the
       | solutions to the Arab Isreali conflict, but this is at best
       | temporary. My best guess is the long term solution (if there is
       | ever one attempted) will be more related to why people are
       | motivated to launch rockets at their neighbours.
        
         | nickff wrote:
         | > _" My best guess is the long term solution (if there is ever
         | one attempted) will be more related to why people are motivated
         | to launch rockets at their neighbours. "_
         | 
         | The problem is that the Palestinians are a heterogeneous group.
         | Even if the Palestinian government makes a 'peace' deal with
         | the Israelis, other Palestinians opposed to the deal can
         | 'break' it by shooting off a few cheap rockets. Further
         | complicating the issue, there are outside parties (such as the
         | Iranians) who have a vested interest in preventing a lasting
         | peace (in order to preserve their influence both in Palestine
         | and in Lebanon).
        
         | 2OEH8eoCRo0 wrote:
         | These rockets are low tech. They only get through because of
         | sheer numbers. Using lasers makes it harder to overwhelm with
         | numbers.
        
         | RegnisGnaw wrote:
         | These "advanced" rockets will be more costly, which means your
         | more limited on how many you can afford to fire. Thus Israel
         | can intercept these "advanced" rockets with other solutions:
         | Iron Dome, Arrow 2, Arrow 3, and David's Sling.
         | 
         | The Iron Beam is the low cost per intercept solution, meant to
         | intercept cheap unguided ballistic rockets.
        
         | m4rtink wrote:
         | IIRC (based on hard SF laser defece discussions) there is no
         | perfect mirror, so pump enough MW/GW into it, even just for a
         | short burst and the thing will start to melt or outright
         | vaporize from the bit that it will always absorb.
         | 
         | Then it won't be so shiny anymore, absorbing even more energy
         | and so on, until it stops being a solid object.
         | 
         | As for erratic flight paths - a physical object can't aim to
         | match the beam steering capabilities of a group based
         | stationary laser, given any realistic currently available
         | propulsion or steering technology. It would need to do crazy
         | high g & high energy manufacturing yet from the PoV of the
         | laser its moving just a couple degrees if at all. As unlike a
         | physical interceptor the laser beam moves at the speed of light
         | and thud the point of aim can more more or less
         | instantaneously.
        
           | RegnisGnaw wrote:
           | Its more a range issue. Irom Beam has a like a 7 km or mile
           | (I forgot) range. Whereas other like Arrow 2, Arrow 3, or
           | David's Sling has like 100km+ range.
           | 
           | Iron Beam is all about cost per interception.
        
         | RobRivera wrote:
         | welcome to the concept of Escalation Dominance in the field of
         | arms tech.
        
         | loceng wrote:
         | The best initial solution I believe is for the world to protect
         | Palestine from the rockets fired from the Israel side - that
         | way any retaliations to the small group of people firing
         | rockets at Israel don't kill civilians or damage their
         | infrastructure; e.g. put an Iron Dome or better system on the
         | Palestinian side.
        
           | golemiprague wrote:
        
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