[HN Gopher] Royal Society cautions against censorship of scienti...
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       Royal Society cautions against censorship of scientific
       misinformation online
        
       Author : steelstraw
       Score  : 37 points
       Date   : 2022-01-30 21:47 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (royalsociety.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (royalsociety.org)
        
       | throwaway22032 wrote:
       | The issue that plagues us is a lack of trust in long-standing
       | societal authorities.
       | 
       | We can't follow the entire scientific proof chain for every piece
       | of information we encounter, because we don't have time.
       | 
       | So we rely on authority to some extent, whether that be peer
       | review, government, independent bodies, etc.
       | 
       | We need to be able to trust that these bodies are telling us the
       | truth and aren't seeking to mislead us. Because when we start to
       | doubt them, we then inevitably elect alternative bodies, simply
       | due to limited thinking capacity/time - as explained above it's
       | impossible to do otherwise, no-one derives from first principles
       | every opinion they hold.
       | 
       | The best way, _overall_, to convince someone to do something, is
       | by clearly explaining to them the positives and negatives and
       | letting them come to their own conclusion.
       | 
       | It doesn't always work, and there are specific situations (e.g.
       | someone is holding a gun to your face) in which the cost/benefit
       | analysis is very different - in such a situation, the short term
       | is all that exists, the long term effect of misplaced trust is
       | irrelevant - you simply have to neutralize them.
       | 
       | But in general, I'm absolutely sure that education over coercion
       | is the correct approach for society.
       | 
       | Because if you force them, sure, you've got a short term win, at
       | the long term cost of trust. What is the long term cost of lost
       | trust?
        
         | shadowgovt wrote:
         | What do you do while education lags where it needs to be?
         | Because enough education to understand, say, climate change
         | takes about a decade.
         | 
         | (... And that's assuming it can be provided without being shut
         | down as "indoctrination").
        
       | ozfive wrote:
       | Can we get an idea of the bias of this mathematician concerning
       | vaccinations? Specifically the Covid-19 vaccines. If question of
       | authority should be respected then indeed transparency swings
       | both ways. It's been proven that the scientific community has
       | been compromised by individuals who may not have the best
       | interests of society which is evident with Nurses and some
       | doctors taking up the position against vaccination. Be vigilant
       | in finding out what the background and intentions are of people
       | making claims such as these. There is a healthy dose of
       | scepticism and then there are the paranoids that spend a huge
       | amount of their time and resources to circumvent positive movings
       | of our global society. Those individuals have infiltrated
       | positions of power and authority themselves to the detriment of
       | society.
       | 
       | When hundreds of millions of people have received a vaccination
       | with minimal outcomes of death there is no longer an excuse to
       | argue against it. The benefit has outweighed the cost long ago.
       | Any disinformation now is a danger to society and ignorance that
       | is easily swayed by any opinion.
        
         | maskil wrote:
         | "excuse to argue against it" is a very slippery slope.
         | 
         | There should be no excuses required to exercise free speech and
         | free inquiry.
         | 
         | All you've attempted to do here is impugn the motives of those
         | holding a position contrary to your own without addressing
         | their arguments.
        
         | limecat wrote:
         | You're taking an experimental prophylactic against a disease
         | with a 99.9% survival rate. Probably higher if you're under 50.
         | And we still don't really know how safe it is, because the
         | 'gold standard' data (double blind testing) is absent, save for
         | 2 months' of Pfizer data. Your benefit has apparently
         | outweighed your cost. Fine. Mine hasn't. I like to read any and
         | all opinions, regardless of 'bias'. We all have biases, whether
         | we realise or not. I'm intelligent enough to figure them out. I
         | don't need 'we' getting 'an idea' of 'the bias'. I'll probably
         | get flagged/banned/cancelled for my opinion, but such is life.
        
           | whatshisface wrote:
           | Even if you're wrong, I think it's interesting that the only
           | lever they think they have to change your mind is "force
           | you." The idea of having a serious dialogue is so far from
           | their minds (maybe because of decades of training in PR
           | disaster scenarios - chemical spills, manufacturing
           | accidents, drugs that kill - where the establishment is
           | unambiguously in the wrong?) that even when they're right,
           | they act like they're wrong.
           | 
           | If the CEO of CNN wanted to convince their toddler to go to
           | the bathroom, they'd start by compiling dossiers to discredit
           | anyone with large bladders.
           | 
           | ('They', in this, refers to the media/corporate PR/press
           | release system that is used to determine public opinion.)
        
             | tempnow987 wrote:
             | Yep, this is the real indicator.
             | 
             | What I'm a bit confused about is why they put so much focus
             | on lecturing folks, demanding things, and so little focus
             | on things that would help.
             | 
             | I wore a mask before anyone except folks in Chinatown where
             | I am. I was told not to believe "misinformation" way back
             | then. This was when they were telling us masks did nothing,
             | only wear if you are symptomatic etc.
        
           | shadowgovt wrote:
           | > I'm intelligent enough to figure them out.
           | 
           | That's the epistemological problem with misinformation.
           | 
           | How does one _know_ one is intelligent enough if one is
           | trying to evaluate from misinformation? Shouldn 't the
           | premise "garbage in, garbage out" apply?
        
         | choward wrote:
         | > Can we get an idea of the bias of this mathematician
         | concerning vaccinations? Specifically the Covid-19 vaccines.
         | 
         | > Be vigilant in finding out what the background and intentions
         | are of people making claims such as these.
         | 
         | I swear every time anyone says anything interpreted as "anti
         | vax" the very first thing people do is an ad hominem character
         | attacks. Do you say this about the people pushing mandates
         | hard?
         | 
         | > When hundreds of millions of people have received a
         | vaccination with minimal outcomes of death there is no longer
         | an excuse to argue against it
         | 
         | That's just like your opinion. Even if that's the case people
         | should still be free to choose. There are plenty of people who
         | trust the data and are vaccinated and are against mandates.
         | This will come of as rude but a don't care: people like you are
         | a far bigger danger to society than people who don't believe in
         | vaccine mandates.
        
         | zosima wrote:
         | A healthy society must have a diversity of opinion, and that
         | includes being allowed to be against vaccination and expressing
         | that viewpoint.
         | 
         | The overton window is getting ridiculously narrow right now and
         | it's definitely not for the benefit of society, truth nor
         | probably even for the general health.
         | 
         | The evidence for the benefits of vaccines can speak for itself,
         | so there is really no point in maligning anyone.
         | 
         | But there is definitely a lot of valid debate on who should be
         | vaccinated and how much, and minimizing the overton window will
         | stifle that debate.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | prox wrote:
         | I agree, and I like to add there is a difference between
         | censorship of information and stopping propaganda. Some groups
         | make a claim (say against vaccination) which is fine by itself,
         | but when people run with it, amplify it to influence others,
         | then it goes into propaganda territory.
         | 
         | Healthy debates need a good context and a platform that allows
         | for that. I don't know of many platforms except here in HN and
         | perhaps the debates I had in IRC channels.
        
           | enchiridion wrote:
           | There is no difference. Just label anything you want to
           | censor as propaganda.
        
             | prox wrote:
             | That is a unsubstantive statement in my view. Who is
             | labeling here, why and what context?
        
               | enchiridion wrote:
               | In any context. If someone thinks or knows something is
               | propaganda they should exercise their free speech to
               | point that out.
               | 
               | Not even propaganda should be censored.
               | 
               | Then again propaganda often implies it's coming from a
               | government. In that case the people and their
               | representatives should have the power to prevent or
               | retract statements if needed.
        
         | tempnow987 wrote:
         | I'm very curious about the folks pushing vaccines
         | 
         | 6,000 scientists signed the John Snow Memorandum which states
         | 
         | "there is no evidence for lasting protective immunity to SARS-
         | CoV-2 following natural infection."
         | 
         | https://www.johnsnowmemo.com/john-snow-memo.html
         | 
         | The CDC director is a signer here.
         | 
         | This is so obviously likely totally false it's mind boggling.
         | 
         | We've been told by experts that
         | 
         | a) masks don't work - despite the fact that they've
         | historically worked against other airborne pathogens.
         | 
         | b) that a cloth mask is fine.
         | 
         | ...
         | 
         | and the list goes on.
         | 
         | I ignored this and believed in the "misinformation" of N95 with
         | a vent which dramatically increases comfort and wearability.
         | 
         | Now we are are told that natural immunity from our immune
         | system, which has handled MANY MANY influenzas and diseases of
         | the past, doesn't work against COVID, despite evidence from
         | things like SARS and MERS that the immune system remains pretty
         | darn amazing with longer lasting protection.
         | 
         | You can't actually get hard data on this claim, despite
         | insanely high case rates that should make analysis trivial.
         | 
         | So again a likely lie by the vaccine pushers, that if you've
         | been infected with covid you are are not at reduced risk of re-
         | infection.
         | 
         | I'll give it three months and watch them eat crow again.
         | 
         | Honestly, there is no excuse for this crap from those who
         | insist on lecturing us about "dangers to society". We need
         | honesty, integrity and facts, not lecturing, hectoring and
         | lies.
        
       | toolz wrote:
       | So many "misinformation censorship" proponents seem to have
       | quickly forgotten just how much literally everyone in public
       | health has spread misinformation this pandemic. It's unavoidable
       | being wrong and often the cost of making claims without
       | unimpeachable evidence is higher than the cost of being wrong.
       | Name me a public health official who regularly made
       | recommendations this pandemic and I'll show you misinformation.
       | 
       | The real issue here, in my opinion, is attributing malice so
       | quickly and with extreme prejudice. Tensions are high and it
       | seems to have become commonplace to assign ill-intent to the
       | other tribe way too easily. In my opinion the answer to all of
       | these problems is compassion and statistical thinking. Most
       | people mean well and often times the only way you can get people
       | to go to extremes is to negatively reinforce them into deeply
       | entrenched tribal thinking.
       | 
       | It will always be a safer assumption to assume somebody means
       | well even when they are wrong. Humans did not become the dominant
       | species on this planet without cooperation and pro-social
       | behaviors.
        
         | tempnow987 wrote:
         | The anti mask, anti N95 masks with exhalation valve stuff has
         | been the worst here I think.
         | 
         | If you would let folks wear N95 with exhalation valves (highly
         | comfortable) it just makes it easier for folks to protect
         | themselves (and indirectly others).
         | 
         | And for those who don't care, let's distinguish slightly
         | between making sure those who want to protect themselves as
         | much as possible can, and the need to force people down a path
         | which for the < 29 year olds really doesn't not have hi
         | mortality rates, and for whom vaccination does not eliminate
         | the disease the way it might something like smallpox etc.
         | 
         | My own view is the battle is largely lost already by the health
         | authorities. Locally we have an indoor mask mandate including
         | offices with all staff fully vaxed, and the natural desire to
         | comply with this has gotten lower and lower if you are pretty
         | spread out in large cubicals etc.
        
           | toolz wrote:
           | This is a bit of a tangent, but I don't understand
           | generalized masking. At best they flatten the curve, which I
           | think at this point I believe flattening the curve is
           | dangerous. We have pretty well defined risk demographics and
           | if we could have covid seasons come and go quickly I think it
           | gives the high risk demographics the best chance of applying
           | multi-layered defenses against a shorter season of risk.
           | 
           | There is of course the "overcrowded hospital" issue, but I
           | have a hard time coming to terms with that being a real
           | problem - if it were a real problem why has hospital capacity
           | been in decline this entire pandemic? Is it an unsolvable
           | problem or is it just not a real problem outside of
           | fantastically clickable headlines? I lean heavily towards the
           | latter but I could be convinced otherwise.
        
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       (page generated 2022-01-30 23:00 UTC)