[HN Gopher] Show the case against
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       Show the case against
        
       Author : shbhrsaha
       Score  : 32 points
       Date   : 2022-01-30 18:34 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.shubhro.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.shubhro.com)
        
       | brutusborn wrote:
       | I think the reason this isn't done more often is that most
       | decisions making is political in nature. Explicitly stating
       | downsides provides opponents of "the plan" a greater opportunity
       | to continue arguing for their side in bad-faith.
       | 
       | Presenting only the upside gives enough context to helps the team
       | execute the plan.
       | 
       | Another aspect is management trying to hide the distasteful
       | aspects of decision making (e.g. choosing an "inferior"
       | technology because it requires the company to invest more in
       | training its staff)
       | 
       | I wish this wasn't the case and I dream of being part of an org
       | where upsides/downsides are always explicitly stated but I am yet
       | to find one (outside of very small teams within larger orgs)
       | where complex politics doesn't have an oversized influence on
       | decision making.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | Hokusai wrote:
         | Trust is necessarily to work in groups.
         | 
         | I see too often companies giving individual bonuses on
         | productivity, that creates a "if you fail I win" mentality.
         | Punishing people for mistakes is also quite common. You end
         | with colleagues that can't trust anybody, everything is a
         | competition against the guy sitting at your side.
         | 
         | Punishment and reward systems make "office politics" toxic and
         | a game for opportunists instead of a forum to get to the best
         | decisions.
        
           | Lammy wrote:
           | Experiencing this in a FAANG microcosm is what made me
           | realize the same thing of the economy as a whole. When
           | government (Latin for "control of the mind") controls the
           | incentives it never has to get its hands dirty accomplishing
           | its goals. The economic reward means someone else will
           | inevitably do it for them, even when that reward is something
           | that's literally worthless[0] except as an idea which much be
           | mutually agreed upon. The very existence of billionaires is
           | the exact same kind of individual bonus, but on a global
           | scale.
           | 
           | [0] RE: https://www.treasury.gov/resource-
           | center/faqs/Currency/Pages... "Federal Reserve notes are not
           | redeemable in gold, silver or any other commodity, and
           | receive no backing by anything. This has been the case since
           | 1933. The notes have no value for themselves, but for what
           | they will buy. In another sense, because they are legal
           | tender, Federal Reserve notes are "backed" by all the goods
           | and services in the economy."
        
         | lupire wrote:
         | If you don't present the downside, you are betting your career
         | that your coworkers don't know the downside or aren't willing
         | to present it in order to take you down. There is a great story
         | about this in In The Plex book, about an exec who sabotaged
         | another by encouraging him to propose a project and then
         | embarrassing him in the meeting with the founders.
        
         | soferio wrote:
         | And you might find the following interesting:
         | 
         | - Wikipedia entry for "groupthink" and the ways of preventing
         | it.
         | 
         | - The Israeli "10th man doctrine" and "Ipha mistabra", as one
         | technique (perhaps this is real, and not just a feature of the
         | plot of world War Z).
        
           | yonixw wrote:
           | Sources for your 2nd point since I was intrested:
           | 
           | https://www.quora.com/World-War-Z-2013-movie/World-
           | War-Z-201...
           | 
           | https://jel.jewish-languages.org/words/1719
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | throwaway22032 wrote:
       | Within companies, this seems inherently challenging because most
       | employees of companies aren't privy to enough information to
       | enumerate the case against, and also it's (theoretically) a
       | collectivist decision.
       | 
       | For example - in one's personal life, one can choose to learn
       | woodworking. We'll ignore the case for for the sake of brevity.
       | 
       | The case against is primarily made of opportunity cost, both of
       | time and money. What could I have done with that time instead of
       | woodworking? What could I have bought?
       | 
       | It's all about your own choice. You know a lot about these
       | things, and you're able to use that information to approach the
       | best course of action.
       | 
       | But if you're an employee of a company that sort of thing is
       | either impossible due to a lack of information, or might just run
       | counter to the company's aims.
       | 
       | You might say "instead of doing this 6 month software project, we
       | should just fire the developers and take a punt on the S&P500
       | with the savings".
       | 
       | Or "we should focus on other project A". But "other project A"
       | might mean that you end up on a shrinking team and eventually get
       | fired, so you're not going to suggest that.
       | 
       | Or maybe there's some internal project you don't even know exists
       | that could do with some more dev time and would be more
       | profitable. You probably don't even know that exists, though.
        
       | vacillator wrote:
       | Why _shouldn't_ we show the case against?
        
         | lupire wrote:
         | Because it kills momentum for the project that will win you
         | glory.
         | 
         | That's why the US has an adversarial court system, to align
         | incentives.
        
       | LeroyRaz wrote:
       | I appreciate this. What are peoples thoughts?
       | 
       | Arguing against certainly takes more work. Do you feel that, if
       | someone did the arguing against, as suggested in the article and
       | presented the steel man argument against a proposal, and then
       | refuted the arguement against, that their work and effort would
       | be dismissed? Or worse, might others might think less of the
       | proposal?
       | 
       | My preliminary feelings are that it would still be appreciated
       | and recognized, just not perhaps proportionally to the effort.
        
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       (page generated 2022-01-30 23:01 UTC)