[HN Gopher] How to make it easier to build semiconductor factories
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       How to make it easier to build semiconductor factories
        
       Author : steelstraw
       Score  : 55 points
       Date   : 2022-01-21 18:11 UTC (4 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (semiliterate.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (semiliterate.substack.com)
        
       | amelius wrote:
       | Let's not forget about better open source development tools too.
        
       | neilpanchal wrote:
       | I was involved in writing software for a small Fab and there is a
       | big gap in the MES software space. If you want to start a new
       | Fab, you need a manufacturing execution system (MES) to process
       | wafers. This whole MES industry is ripe for innovation. For small
       | Fabs, it's not possible to afford MES-3000 from Applied Materials
       | ~ multi-million $ license fees and it's a beast of a system. I've
       | had to deal with this ancient dog of a MES written in Coldfusion.
       | Had several conversations with coworkers - "Wonder what the
       | market is like for modern SaaS MES". It's a complex problem if
       | you want to auto load recipes and control equipment with
       | SECS/GEM, implement PCS, and run a Fab in the manner like Intel.
       | This is one of the problems with scaling the Fab. Think
       | automotive factory scaling but with expensive precision equipment
       | and garbage software ecosystem.
        
         | uoaei wrote:
         | SaaS is too unstable for semiconductor manufacturers to rely
         | on. They would want a locally-installed, stable X.Y.Z
         | implementation.
        
           | octoberfranklin wrote:
           | This. "Copy Exactly" is not compatible with SaaS:
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Copy_Exactly
        
             | neilpanchal wrote:
             | Well, it would be a typical enterprise installation.
             | Presumably on-prem or some hybrid.
        
               | nwiswell wrote:
               | At that point how is it differentiated from the incumbent
               | product?
               | 
               | If you are running a serious fab you already have AMAT
               | equipment anyway and there's probably good reasons to get
               | the industry standard AMAT MES software.
               | 
               | Realistically, this software will probably continue not
               | to exist because there are not many target customers in
               | this "mini-fab" segment, and they are uniformly poor.
               | That's not a great outlook for sales. If your software is
               | any good, you want to market to the same segment AMAT
               | does and go for the multi-million $ licensing fees.
        
               | uoaei wrote:
               | Then what makes it a service? It would be unwieldy to
               | bring in consultants... unless they can take over for the
               | extant fab techs as soon as they arrive. Any downtime in
               | the fab is millions lost.
        
         | phpnode wrote:
         | curious whether you've seen Oqton? https://www.oqton.com/
        
         | dqpb wrote:
         | Do you have any references where someone could learn more about
         | this?
        
           | nwiswell wrote:
           | You can read the SEMI standards. All of this is thoroughly
           | standardized to allow interoperability between equipment from
           | different suppliers.
           | 
           | SECS (SEMI Equipment Communications Standard) and GEM
           | (Generic Model for Communications and Control of
           | Manufacturing Equipment) will be of particular interest.
           | 
           | https://www.semi.org/en/industry-groups/smart-
           | manufacturing/...
        
           | mjevans wrote:
           | They might not be able to share more given NDAs and such.
        
       | mjevans wrote:
       | Some of the lead time to build fabs in the US is misleading.
       | Offhand I know of at least one site that was 'under construction'
       | for a long time, but intentionally very slow construction. The
       | company wanted a fab there eventually, but wanted to lock in tax
       | rates and other subsidies today. I guess the math came out ahead
       | just making the project take forever to build.
        
       | willyt wrote:
       | 600 days to build a semiconductor plant seems quite quick! In my
       | part of Britain just now it is not uncommon for it to take over
       | 250 days to get permissions in place to build a 3 bedroom house.
        
         | zbrozek wrote:
         | I'm more than 600 days into trying to get permission to ask for
         | permission to edit an existing home.
        
       | destitude wrote:
       | Environmental regulations were sited without clear specification
       | of what exactly the issue is. There is strong precedence on why
       | we need those regulations to prevent issues that the "future"
       | then has to deal with. How many super fund sites are there in the
       | USA today and how many are a result from companies being able to
       | get away with lax environmental regulations at the time? China is
       | already dealing with this by forcing heavily polluting industries
       | to shut down, cut off power, unbreathable air in cities, etc..
       | all because of lax environment regulations to begin with.
        
         | octoberfranklin wrote:
         | I agree, but the US has a very shortsighted attitude here.
         | 
         | If you place regulatory burdens on some undesirable behavior
         | (e.g. pollution) but do not place compensatory tariffs on the
         | import of products resulting from _that exact same behavior_ ,
         | you're not doing anything to reduce the undesirable behavior.
         | You're simply encouraging people to do the undesirable things
         | elsewhere. This not only fails to accomplish the goal, but also
         | significantly weakens the country.
         | 
         | The exact same problem totally undermines labor policy and
         | unions (except those of government employees).
         | 
         | There really ought to be some sort of automatic mechanism for
         | "if X is illegal/taxed/regulated then importing the result of X
         | happening overseas is forbidden/taxed/regulated". The US
         | already has a specific, very efficient court that does this for
         | one specific illegal act (patent infringement); it wouldn't be
         | difficult to expand that scope:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Court_of_Interna...
        
           | fennecfoxen wrote:
           | To be fair, for most types of pollution, moving it
           | "elsewhere" solves your problem.
        
         | AnthonyMouse wrote:
         | The way the regulatory environment works in the US is something
         | like this.
         | 
         | Something bad happens, so new regulations are imposed. The
         | regulators don't always know what they're doing and frequently
         | make poor cost benefit decisions. Meanwhile, the _existing_
         | regulations usually _already_ prohibited whatever the offender
         | did, and the bad thing happened because they were breaking
         | existing law, so they also get sued or prosecuted etc. under
         | existing law anyway.
         | 
         | Despite this being completely nuts, it kind of works to deter
         | pollution. The new regulations are like extra punishment for
         | screwing up. The company, and the entire industry, has to pay
         | more in regulatory compliance forever because they did a bad
         | thing. So they really don't want to do that.
         | 
         | The problem is that the effect is cumulative and doesn't just
         | impact the offender. Every time someone breaks the law in a
         | high profile way, the compliance costs go up. They never go
         | down. The new laws are useless because the bad thing has been
         | prohibited for decades and the actual cause was companies
         | violating existing laws. So the more time passes, the more
         | regulations we get and the less competitive the US becomes.
         | 
         | Somebody who knows what they're doing needs to go through the
         | existing regulations and strip out the ones that are wasteful
         | and redundant while leaving the ones that efficiently prohibit
         | bad acts.
         | 
         | But the political process is terrible at handling details like
         | that. If someone proposes getting rid of an environmental
         | regulation, it doesn't matter what it says. You can predict who
         | will support it and who will oppose it. And it's the same
         | people in support and opposition whether it's an actually
         | necessary regulation with a moderate burden and a very large
         | important reason for existing, or a useless web of red tape
         | which is fully redundant with existing prohibitions but makes
         | everything cost more for no benefit.
        
         | specialist wrote:
         | I'd like full life cycle accounting. Or something to that
         | effect. Basically "you broke it, you bought."
         | 
         | I have _no idea_ how the accounting and finance would work.
         | Bonds, insurance, set asides...
         | 
         | Putting cleanup on the balance sheet would then incentivize
         | both prevention (harm reduction) and investing in new
         | technologies. Like maybe some sci-fi stuff like new microbes to
         | eat toxins, which could then be another biz opportunity.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2022-01-21 23:01 UTC)