[HN Gopher] Tesla Model S Goes 752 Miles with a Startup's Protot...
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       Tesla Model S Goes 752 Miles with a Startup's Prototype Battery
        
       Author : elorant
       Score  : 63 points
       Date   : 2022-01-10 20:12 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.caranddriver.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.caranddriver.com)
        
       | rad_gruchalski wrote:
       | How long does it take to charge this thing?
        
         | Aaargh20318 wrote:
         | Does it really matter if it has a range of 1200 kilometers ? I
         | would have to charge this car once every 3-4 years or so.
        
           | dempseye wrote:
           | I would have to charge it every 3 weeks.
        
           | imstil3earning wrote:
           | sounds like you dont need a car
        
             | Aaargh20318 wrote:
             | It'a convenient to have when I need it. I have a tiny car
             | that cost me very little in taxes and insurance. Slightly
             | more than a car sharing subscription would cost but
             | available whenever I want without having to reserve it in
             | advance.
        
           | djrogers wrote:
           | If you drive 300Km _per year_ , you probably shouldn't own a
           | car.
        
         | masklinn wrote:
         | Twice the capacity, twice the charge time (more or less).
        
         | mbauman wrote:
         | ~700 miles is the magic point at which charging times can be
         | significantly extended to simply be overnight.
        
           | masklinn wrote:
           | Problem's without fast charging many EVs are already there,
           | even in europe.
           | 
           | A standard plug is 3.6kW, overnight that's under 30kWh
           | (probably significantly so as charging slows down a lot above
           | 80%). To charge a model s 100 overnight you need a 22kW
           | charger (3-phase 400V 32A). In europe that's the biggest you
           | can get in a residential setting I think.
           | 
           | For double that you'd need a fast DC charger, I don't think
           | that'a available for residential use.
        
         | whatever1 wrote:
         | How much does it take to cool this thing is my question
        
         | olyjohn wrote:
         | Probably twice as long as the battery it replaced (assuming
         | twice the range). You can still stop and recharge every 300
         | miles if you want to. Ultimately you're gonna spend the same
         | amount of time charging to get the same distance. This just
         | means you could go out 300 miles and back without stopping for
         | a charge at all. The advantage of this though is that you can
         | at least start with 600 miles of range from your home. You'd
         | probably only ever have to charge it overnight, because that's
         | a solid 12 hours of driving. So long as your hotel has a
         | charger you can use, you're basically never stopping to fuel up
         | on a road trip as a single driver.
        
         | etaioinshrdlu wrote:
         | Charge current can be scaled with battery capacity, so it
         | should be the same as any battery of the same chemistry if you
         | have a powerful enough charger.
        
       | RcouF1uZ4gsC wrote:
       | With twice the energy density, what would its performance be like
       | in a crash?
       | 
       | Did they actually do tests to validate that the battery would be
       | safe in the event of a minor crash, before driving it on public
       | roads?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | reportingsjr wrote:
         | This battery probably doesn't have much in the way of safety.
         | It's a one off prototype meant for PR, not for production.
        
         | vkou wrote:
         | As a limited set of tests, I don't think this is a huge issue.
         | After all, there are hundreds of thousands of trucks full of
         | petrol (Or other highly hazardous materials) driving around on
         | highways and city streets (and occasionally getting into
         | crashes) on a daily basis.
         | 
         | It's more of a consideration when you put the car into the
         | hands of consumers.
        
       | TaylorAlexander wrote:
       | I'm trying to decide if this is anything special or just sleight
       | of hand.
       | 
       | I really do NOT know the figures, but I thought Tesla's only
       | charged the cells to 80% and discharged to 20% to save battery
       | life. If you are doing a one off test, you could go from 100%-0%
       | to get 40% more battery life. And the article talks about fancy
       | chemistries, but then says:
       | 
       | "As a proof of concept, however, the prototype pack used in the
       | demonstration was powered by different cells. The capacity of
       | more than 200 kilowatt-hours was provided by high-energy cobalt-
       | nickel cells, while those intended for the Gemini line are still
       | under development."
       | 
       | So they used what might be normal high capacity cells. Maybe
       | their battery has fewer structural components so they can fit
       | more cells in. Maybe Tesla uses a different chemistry for longer
       | pack life.
       | 
       | It seems like anyone could get maybe 40% more range doing nothing
       | at all by simply fully charging and fully depleting the cells,
       | and if you took the highest possible energy density cells and
       | shoved them in to the same space with less structural members,
       | maybe you could get the rest of the range they claimed. In fact
       | it seems like that's what they did.
       | 
       | But that's not an innovation if the pack will wear out in a year,
       | or weaken the structure of the car.
       | 
       | Like I said I am just speculating here and I don't really know,
       | but so far this doesn't actually seem like the company has
       | anything special. I have a feeling that if Tesla wanted to, they
       | could do the same thing for a single demo, but that they have
       | competing engineering requirements that mean they don't do this
       | in production.
        
         | robbiep wrote:
         | Well the article says that the battery capacity has gone from
         | ~100kWh to ~200kWh... so I think they're actually talking real
         | increased battery capacity?
        
           | TaylorAlexander wrote:
           | I am wondering if, when Tesla sells a car as "100kWh", that
           | is the available capacity (80%-20%) or if the total pack
           | capacity. There would be reasons why they would want to go
           | either way.
           | 
           | But I think the biggest difference is probably that there are
           | known high capacity chemistries with shorter longevity, which
           | can be safely ignored for a one off test to drum up press for
           | investors.
        
         | NotSammyHagar wrote:
         | You can set the charge amount, it's not just that percentage
         | change. This isn't so hard to imagine. When I go on a long trip
         | in my s85d car from 2015, I set it to charge to 100%. It hasn't
         | hurt my battery life, model s that is 7 years old and 65k
         | miles. I get ~5 miles less than original battery range at full.
         | My day to day is 90%.
         | 
         | You are exactly right that it's not an innovation if the
         | battery can't last similar to almost 10 year's ago lithium
         | batteries with heating and cooling of the battery packs.
         | 
         | I think this is achievable today, just by doubling the battery
         | pack (which would take some more space, so maybe these folks
         | have something). Tesla's plan for the ever delayed new roadster
         | was basically put two levels of their battery pack (double it)
         | to get more energy to go faster, but all that energy made it go
         | much further - not double range because of the added weight but
         | a lot farther than a single battery pack.
        
           | saas_sam wrote:
           | Only 5 miles less? That's wild. I have a Model 3 and I get
           | like... 30 miles less than the original 300 at 100%.
        
       | vmception wrote:
       | The key points:
       | 
       | tests were averaging 55 mph
       | 
       | the battery pack has twice the capacity and is twice as dense,
       | allowing it to fit in the same space as the stock battery, and
       | delivers the same performance
       | 
       | so it is impressive and useful, not really much scifi here which
       | is good, its just a double capacity battery in the same space
       | that delivers the same performance
       | 
       | definitely has now reached the range I'm looking for. make it
       | happen, and somebody please just make classic car shells have
       | these batteries in them. I don't understand why its just tesla, a
       | couple of other luxury car brands that cost twice or thrice as
       | much for worse charging service, or luxury car brands that
       | decided to make a fugly tron-esque version of their car instead
       | of just doing the same thing they're known for with a battery
       | under the hood. intentionally ignoring the cheaper vehicles
       | because they're not in the running either.
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | It's also much heavier and much more expensive. This really
         | isn't a breakthrough more than it is a special case
         | optimization. Any new design could easily have accommodated a
         | similar capacity battery with traditional construction just by
         | making the car 2cm taller or whatever.
         | 
         | I mean, lithium batteries are already pretty space-efficient.
         | This kind of optimization surely has a home in some application
         | (to be clear: it already does in consumer electronics!). I'm
         | just not sure cars are where it's best applied.
        
           | joe-collins wrote:
           | Numbers:
           | 
           | Tesla Model S: 4600 lbs (Original battery: 1323 lbs)
           | https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-model-s-weight/
           | 
           | Gemini Battery: additional 730 lbs
           | https://www.carhp.com/news/one-s-prototype-battery-
           | registers...
        
             | thedrbrian wrote:
             | >1323 & 730 lb
             | 
             | Jeeez. That's almost the curb weight of my Miata.
        
             | iramiller wrote:
             | Curious if they bothered to comply with the GVWR for the
             | vehicle.
             | 
             | An extra 730lbs is most of the typical payload capacity for
             | a typical car.
             | 
             | The model S has a GVWR of 5600lbs and weighs about 4600lbs
             | meaning you can only put about 1000lbs of stuff in/on it
             | safely.
             | 
             | With this extra battery weight there isn't enough capacity
             | left to carry more that two typical adults let alone any
             | luggage.
        
               | serverholic wrote:
               | It's almost like Tesla has to optimize for more than just
               | raw battery performance.
        
           | vmception wrote:
           | does the weight impact anything consequential? I guess
           | _perhaps_ acceleration and handling? But I 'm not sure the
           | article went into that
           | 
           | I just want a car that does what is described, ideally
           | without other tradeoffs. I would consider paying a premium
           | for that, to an extent. I mean Tesla has been teasing
           | Roadsters w/ 600 miles per charge at $250,000 for 5 years
           | now. So someone just do the thing and make the option.
        
             | fragmede wrote:
             | Is range consequential to you? The battery pack's already
             | quite heavy (>1,200 lbs) and it takes both power and energy
             | to move that much weight around. The bigger the pack, the
             | more of both it takes to move it. The 100 kWh battery
             | already gets 400 miles per charge. Doubling the battery
             | pack with existing technology isn't going to get double the
             | range. At some point there are diminishing returns where
             | adding more batteries _reduces_ the range due to the added
             | weight.
             | 
             | Also keep in mind that with an electric car, most users
             | will use a home charger and start each day at full charge
             | (even the slow charger can manage this if you're getting
             | enough sleep). At the article's state 55 mph to get their
             | range, it would take just over 7 hours of driving to go 400
             | miles. That's _plenty_ for daily, non-fleet use.
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | I don't want double, I want 20-25% more. That will cover
               | all my edge cases.
        
             | serf wrote:
             | weight impacts everything; acceleration, handling, braking
             | performance, brake wear , tire wear, road wear, generally
             | increased NVH if the weight gain isn't part of the
             | superstructure, drive train loads, consumable suspension
             | (bushings/wear items) wear ..
             | 
             | the list goes on, but you get the point.
             | 
             | it's all a cost/benefit ratio between
             | duration/range/cost/marketability/reliability ; you can
             | take care of the technical issues behind weight gain, but
             | is there still a market there once you do and the cost to
             | produce skyrockets?
        
           | ksec wrote:
           | Thx. I guess they were only interested in cars and not
           | battery. Hence the article was rather poor. I was thinking
           | where are you getting these data from as the article doesn't
           | include much information. Some reply below showed added 700Lb
           | to the car.
        
         | deelowe wrote:
         | Tesla designed the entire chassis around the battery pack (as
         | in, it's structural component). Traditional car companies are
         | going to have to do a lot of very expensive retooling to
         | something similar.
        
           | tw04 wrote:
           | Traditional car companies moved to "platform" based vehicles
           | 20 years ago and they refresh the entire platform every 5-ish
           | years. This isn't really a big deal for any of them as
           | evidenced by both Ford and GM already rolling out EV
           | platforms.
           | 
           | "There's no way GM can build a sub-$100k mid engine Corvette"
           | was a common refrain too. They didn't get to that size by
           | being bad at designing cars.
        
             | deelowe wrote:
             | They don't retool the factory every 5 years... I think
             | you're underestimating things a bit.
             | 
             | Did ford integrate the battery pack into the chassis?
        
               | GiorgioG wrote:
               | They're constantly retooling their factories. My dad
               | worked at several GM factories for nearly 40 years. I
               | feel like every year or two GM would announce a huge
               | spend per factory to retool/upgrade/etc.
        
               | gameswithgo wrote:
               | There are a lot of different things one can mean by that.
               | that "structural pack" that elon has been talking about
               | doesn't go live until the new Model Y chassis starts
               | being built, which is maybe today?
               | 
               | The current level of tesla's battery/chassis integration
               | is not any more sophisticated than everyone else that I
               | can see.
        
               | tw04 wrote:
               | >They don't retool the factory every 5 years... I think
               | you're underestimating things a bit.
               | 
               | I think you don't know what you're talking about.
               | 
               | https://www.popularmechanics.com/cars/trucks/a15539/rebui
               | ldi...
               | 
               | https://www.f150gen14.com/forum/threads/ford-prepares-to-
               | ret...
               | 
               | >Did ford integrate the battery pack into the chassis?
               | 
               | Yes, they did integrate the battery pack into the chassis
               | on both the mach-e and the lightning.
               | 
               | https://s3-prod.rubbernews.com/s3fs-
               | public/styles/width_792/...
        
         | tw04 wrote:
         | I'm curious how they cool it under heavy performance load. I'm
         | assuming they're making a significant performance compromise to
         | extend range by limiting discharge speed/heat production.
        
         | hawski wrote:
         | There is Opel Corsa-e, its brother Peugeot e-208, there is VW
         | e-Golf, Renault Zoe (a bestseller). The problem is they are
         | much too expensive for their segment. So manufacturers try to
         | make those fancy cars, because the price is easier to swallow.
         | It will change, but cars in general will get more expensive.
         | Maybe within 10 years it will get to some sensible
         | stabilization.
        
         | ww520 wrote:
         | Are the safety parameters the same? Would it overheat more
         | easily?
        
       | tomohawk wrote:
       | It's good to see some progress in this area, but
       | 
       | Can it do that after 5 years of use? At 5 degrees F? Can it
       | charge in 5 minutes? Even the cheapest gas powered cars can do
       | this.
       | 
       | This sort of performance may not matter to you if you only
       | commute to work and back, but its the kind of performance that
       | many people need on a day-to-day basis.
        
       | kss238 wrote:
       | Curious to see what a more realistic 75mph highway driving test
       | would show. Guessing around 600 miles which is very impressive.
       | Seems like a nobrainer for Tesla to acquire them if their claims
       | pan out.
        
         | ajross wrote:
         | I found a chart once where someone measured efficiency of some
         | EV or another. And the rule of thumb was that the cars hit peak
         | energy/distance efficiency at 40-45mph and drop to about half
         | that at 90mph.
         | 
         | Which would amusingly put your 600 mile guess just about dead
         | on.
        
           | bell-cot wrote:
           | I'd expect the Speed vs. MPG graphs for many conventional
           | (gasoline or diesel engine) cars to be similar. Air
           | resistance (of a given vehicle) is roughly proportional to
           | the _square_ of the velocity. And air resistance (or drag, to
           | be more technical) doesn 't care whether the car's wheels are
           | being powered by batteries, burning fuel, or a wound-up giant
           | spring.
        
             | masklinn wrote:
             | Air resistance starts very low though, until fairly high
             | speeds other factors (e.g. rolling resistance) matter more.
             | Weight is also relevant for climbing hills (more so for ICE
             | which don't reclaim any energy on the other side), ...
        
         | pbreit wrote:
         | Founder came from A123 which Tesla indeed acquired. I wonder if
         | Tesla already has the tech/know-how in-house?
        
           | Philip-J-Fry wrote:
           | I can't find any articles suggesting Tesla acquired A123.
        
         | credit_guy wrote:
         | It's not only the range that matters though. These batteries
         | have a lot of cobalt, and Tesla is moving away from that.
         | Moreover, we don't know how fast they charge, how many cycles
         | they can be used, if they can be used in cold climates, how
         | fire-prone they are, and maybe 10 other things that Tesla needs
         | to consider for their production batteries.
         | 
         | But yes, if all those other things are decent enough, Tesla
         | obviously has the money to acquire this startup.
        
           | danans wrote:
           | > These batteries have a lot of cobalt
           | 
           | Not according to the article:
           | 
           | "In practice, that means lithium iron-phosphate (LFP)
           | chemistry, which historically has energy density 30 percent
           | lower than cobalt- or nickel-based chemistries (and,
           | unfortunately, reportedly cold-weather issues). Its first
           | product, Aries, will go into production late this year. It's
           | a battery using prismatic LFP cells in a structural cell-to-
           | pack architecture without separate modules, packing more
           | cells into the pack to lower the energy disadvantage against
           | cobalt cells."
        
             | reportingsjr wrote:
             | That statement is about the other battery mentioned on
             | their website, the "aries". The "gemini" which is what is
             | in the linked article is a combination LFP and NMC. NMC
             | batteries are the ones with large amounts of cobalt.
        
               | danans wrote:
               | Now I see it:
               | 
               | > "The cathode will be made of a proprietary material
               | rich in manganese that ONE says can be sustainably
               | sourced at low cost. (The company has so far applied for
               | 14 patents related to the Gemini pack.) The LFP cells
               | cover 99 percent of the vehicle's duty cycle, Ijaz told
               | C/D, and the range extender is used for just 1 percent.
               | 
               | > As a proof of concept, however, the prototype pack used
               | in the demonstration was powered by different cells. The
               | capacity of more than 200 kilowatt-hours was provided by
               | high-energy cobalt-nickel cells, while those intended for
               | the Gemini line are still under development."
               | 
               | So this was just an energy density demonstration. It does
               | sound like they plan to use LFP cells, not cobalt-nickel,
               | for the production batteries.
        
               | notjulianjaynes wrote:
               | As I understand it, LFP cells have a lower energy density
               | compared to cobalt. Is this company claiming they can
               | build a 200kwh LFP battery that takes up the same amount
               | of space as a stock model S battery?
        
               | danans wrote:
               | That's their goal as I understand from this paragraph:
               | 
               | > "The company dubs its prototype a proof of concept. The
               | point is to show that real-world ranges far longer than
               | an average driver's endurance (pit stops, ahem) can be
               | achieved in the near future. The next step is for it to
               | evolve into a new battery called Gemini, intended to go
               | into production after 2023."
               | 
               | They don't say whether it is LFP based though.
        
           | tssva wrote:
           | They just completed a significant distance test in Michigan
           | during December so I'm guessing they operate ok in cold
           | weather.
        
       | travisporter wrote:
       | The website didn't load for me for some reason
       | https://outline.com/pdWGMH
        
       | jjk166 wrote:
       | Super high capacity batteries are just a poor solution to the
       | range problem. How often are you going to drive 750 miles without
       | stopping? Maybe a few times a year tops, likely less. The
       | overwhelming majority of driving is over dramatically shorter
       | distances - the average American motorist drives a little under
       | 30 miles per day, and typically they're driving less than half
       | that between long periods of being parked. It doesn't make sense
       | to pay for 20 times more battery than you need just to use it <1%
       | of the time. Further, batteries are low energy density, and
       | you're just lugging all that excess weight around everywhere. And
       | remember, battery production produces CO2: producing an extra 100
       | kwh of battery is equivalent to about 27,000 miles of driving on
       | gasoline.
       | 
       | Plug in hybrids let you drive around emission free for the
       | overwhelming majority of situations at a fraction of the cost,
       | but without the range anxiety. You only burn gas on long trips,
       | and you can go as far as you want with easy refueling. Combustion
       | fuels have immensely greater energy density than batteries, so
       | carrying a few hundred miles of extra range around, either in
       | your main tank or in a jerrycan, doesn't have a serious impact on
       | weight, and ICEs are not nearly as temperature sensitive as
       | batteries so you don't get screwed over in the winter. And for
       | series hybrids like the chevy Volt, you get both the handling and
       | efficiency of an electric vehicle even when on gasoline power.
       | With federal tax credits plug in hybrid versions of many cars are
       | actually cheaper than gasoline-only versions of the same models.
       | 
       | There may be a serious argument for people who don't need long
       | range (for example those buying a second car) to forego the
       | engine altogether and just get an electric vehicle with a little
       | longer range, but if ~200 miles isn't enough range for you then
       | just go with the hybrid.
        
       | zozin wrote:
       | Increased energy density is great, but what's the point of
       | carrying an extra 600-1,000lb of batteries around when for the
       | vast majority of people the extra range is only used in a handful
       | of cases per year, if that.
       | 
       | Lots of consumers seem to be waiting on the sidelines until some
       | magic range number is achieved (500? 1,000?), when in practice
       | that range is unneeded on a daily basis. It's like demanding a
       | all-day battery from a laptop, only to leave it plugged in all
       | day long anyway.
        
         | andrewia wrote:
         | Increased density could help with packaging. You can already
         | see this with the Lucid Air, which has a very deep frunk and
         | trunk, as well as deep footwells. The Air also has full-size
         | interior volume but with the vehicle length of a mid-size car.
         | Better packaging enables sedan-shaped EVs, and also can enable
         | crossover EVs with better ride height (since their skateboard
         | can be thinner).
         | 
         | This could also enable removable battery modules. I could
         | envision an EV with 150-200 mile range for everyday driving,
         | with additional batteries kept at home connected to energy
         | storage (like a Tesla Powerwall). When you want to go on a road
         | trip, you just disconnect the modules and install them in the
         | lower part of the frunk and trunk. The packs could also have
         | other uses - you could load one into an electric motorcycle
         | (much like the Zero Motorcycle already can). If you're
         | desperate for a charge but don't have a plug near a parking
         | spot, you can lug a module to a wall outlet. And we've seen how
         | additional batteries enables additional current (and therefore
         | performance), so EV sports cars could be lower-horsepower
         | "daily drivers" until you install the batteries for a weekend
         | drive.
        
         | wizzwizz4 wrote:
         | If you're using a car for everyday _short_ trips then, unless
         | you have some kind of mobility impediment, you 're doing it
         | wrong.
        
           | renewiltord wrote:
           | Haha I drive my car to my San Francisco office for a quick 10
           | min ride. It isn't that I can't bike there (I have a carbon
           | fiber aero bike with zipps and dura-ace throughout). I often
           | take my motorcycle there because it cuts the commute to 6
           | min.
           | 
           | It's just that I'm eager to not spend time not on the prime
           | activity.
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | Or, you perception is only specific to your limited
           | experience.
           | 
           | My "every day" short trips (I claim that's < 100 miles total)
           | are, going to work (70 miles round trip), going out on the
           | weekends (almost always < 60 miles, to get to the beach)
           | going to the grocery store (5 miles, with ~40lbs of
           | groceries, with steep hills).
           | 
           | Maybe this is a US thing, but I definitely can't do _any_ of
           | these things with my feet, in a reasonable amount of time. I
           | also can 't afford to live anywhere closer to work (getting
           | within biking distance means a few million dollars, for a
           | home, or my three bedroom mortgage for a single bedroom
           | apartment), or next to a grocery store (there's no housing
           | available there).
           | 
           | But, I can easily do all of this within the range of my 100
           | mile electric car, that I purchased for $8k.
           | 
           | Is it affordable to live close to work, in other countries?
           | In the US, if you're in tech, you're paying a significant
           | portion of your income to be within biking distance.
        
             | throwaway27727 wrote:
             | What electric car in the US costs 8k? I assume that is
             | used, but even then that sounds cheap.
        
               | p_j_w wrote:
               | Maybe not in today's market, but you could probably get a
               | used Leaf for around that a couple of years ago.
        
               | nomel wrote:
               | You can find used Nissan Leaf and used Fiat 500e for
               | pretty cheap. I bought mine midway through this used car
               | price increase (about one year ago). A year before, they
               | were selling for $5k. People don't seem to want the low
               | mileage cars, even though most people would be fine with
               | a low mileage car, as a secondary vehicle.
        
             | wizzwizz4 wrote:
             | > _Is it affordable to live close to work, in other
             | countries?_
             | 
             | Not really. Before COVID, I generally took a 15 minute run
             | to the train station, then took the train for about hour,
             | then took another 20 minute run to get to work. If I had a
             | fold-up bike, it would be a lot quicker, because there are
             | bicycle paths. (In theory, I could've worked remotely, but
             | it was easier to get stuff done with access to a whiteboard
             | and the person in charge of systems architecture. I could
             | also take a regular bike on the train, but if everyone did
             | it that would be a mess, so I don't.)
             | 
             | I do stand by my "doing it wrong" remark - though I'll have
             | to apply it to whoever designed your cities. That situation
             | is awful (though good on you for using an electric car).
        
           | jackson1442 wrote:
           | Are you in the US? Because even if I wanted to walk/bus to
           | the grocery store near me it would take almost 4x longer one-
           | way (46 mins vs 12) and I'd also be subject to the maybe-
           | once-per-hour schedule of the bus.
        
             | wizzwizz4 wrote:
             | I'm not in the US, but I didn't know the US was _quite_
             | that bad. Can 't you cycle?
        
               | noahtallen wrote:
               | Cycling is normally very dangerous in North America
               | (outside of certain urban cores and small towns), due to
               | the road design and zoning laws. This channel is helpful
               | in understanding the problem: https://youtu.be/M8F5hXqS-
               | Ac
        
               | aidenn0 wrote:
               | 99% of the US by land area is that bad; somewhat less so
               | by population since NYC is navigable without a car and
               | that's 8M people alone. There are approximately zero
               | cities outside of New York where public transit is viable
               | competition to cars.
               | 
               | Weather permitting, cycling is doable in some places.
               | Most places however have narrow (or no!) bike lanes with
               | automotive surface traffic moving at least 48kph and
               | drivers having zero clue how to drive around bicycles. In
               | urban areas there are usually cars parked directly next
               | to the bike lane, with drivers opening doors into the
               | bike lane. Many commercial delivery vehicles park in bike
               | lanes as well; in the places where that is forbidden
               | (fewer than you would think) the laws against it are
               | typically unenforced.
               | 
               | [edit]
               | 
               | To give you an idea, I drive my 13y.o. daughter to
               | school. It takes about 10 minutes. This is ridiculous.
               | However the other options are:
               | 
               | - Walk (no place to leave bike near bus stop) a bit over
               | 2km to nearest bus stop, take 45 minute bus ride.
               | 
               | - Bicycle along a road with 72kph speed limit; bike lane
               | is not separated and is as narrow as 20cm(!!) in places
               | with cars that are alternating between going above the
               | speed-limit and stopped (with cars turning across traffic
               | in gaps while stopped; I have personally witnessed 2 car
               | vs car collisions where the two cars couldn't see each
               | other due to stopped lane of traffic between them. A
               | bicyclist would have been killed. Most bicyclists
               | (including me) avoid this road, though enough travel on
               | it for one to get hit by a car roughly annually (only 1
               | fatality in the past 3 years that I can remember though).
               | 
               | - Bicycle an extra 3km (6 vs 9), crossing the above
               | death-trap road, but not cycling along it. This still
               | travels along a road with a 72kph speed limit, but
               | traffic is much lighter and shoulders are much wider.
               | There is one intersection that is a bit nuts, but can be
               | traversed by hopping off the bicycle and using the cross-
               | walks.
        
               | com2kid wrote:
               | > There are approximately zero cities outside of New York
               | where public transit is viable competition to cars.
               | 
               | Significant swaths of Boston.
               | 
               | But, except for that, completely agree.
               | 
               | :)
               | 
               | A lot of people outside the US don't realize how new all
               | our city layouts are. The majority of American cities
               | were built out after cars came onto the scene. Did the
               | cities exist before cars? Sure, but except for a few east
               | coast cities, only with population numbers that could
               | best be described as laughable.
        
               | p_j_w wrote:
               | >There are approximately zero cities outside of New York
               | where public transit is viable competition to cars.
               | 
               | It's viable in San Francisco proper as well.
        
               | motoxpro wrote:
               | Most places in the US don't have cycling infrastructure.
               | i.e. bike lanes or shoulders.
        
               | travisporter wrote:
               | Oh yea - I actually got yelled by a truck in Houston for
               | biking on a side street on a Saturday morning
        
         | masklinn wrote:
         | > when in practice that range is unneeded on a daily basis
         | 
         | Which is great if you have space for and can afford two cars.
         | 
         | But if you don't and / or can't, you need your one car to
         | handle both your daily driving needs and the odd long range
         | trip.
         | 
         | > It's like demanding a all-day battery from a laptop, only to
         | leave it plugged in all day long anyway.
         | 
         | Which i'm reasonably sure is what's happening to many MBPs, but
         | if you do actually meed the odd all-day battery... then you do
         | need it.
        
         | rcMgD2BwE72F wrote:
         | I understand that most people just wait for their peers to
         | switch to EV first and they'll only make the move when >X
         | persons around them place an order and confirm from experience
         | that EVs are the way to go. They avoid taking risk with what
         | appears to be "unproven" technology that happens to cost a
         | significant % of their household's wealth.
         | 
         | I've never owned (or needed a car) so I can't speak for myself,
         | but my family and friends are 100% convinced that BEV are the
         | future, and they also have the means to buy one now. They just
         | tell themselves that they must wait for their neighbors to buy
         | an EV first and hear first hand that charging is indeed not an
         | issue before making the switch. It's a chicken or the egg
         | problem and in the meantime, they're fine with purchasing
         | plugins (even though they know it's a worse choice and that the
         | plugin will depreciate faster)
         | 
         | Most people are simply risk-averse and they are enough early-
         | adopters queuing for a Tesla delivery. So EV adoption can't go
         | faster than Tesla can build factories and pump out cars. The
         | early majority will follow suit.
        
         | noahtallen wrote:
         | I don't think it's quite that. Gas cars have a typical range
         | near 400mi. From what I can tell, most electric cars are under
         | that, or just very recently getting to that number. (So I guess
         | we can say range is solved now!)
         | 
         | Having recently explored it, electric cars are very nearly but
         | not quite ahead in a few areas:
         | 
         | - Electric or plug-in hybrids are still typically a more
         | expensive option. For example, the RAV4 has a plug-in hybrid
         | option, or just hybrid, but both of those are a fair amount
         | more expensive than competing compact SUVs.
         | 
         | - Infrastructure. Electric cars become practical when you can
         | charge overnight at home. For many people, the cost of getting
         | electric service retrofitted is too expensive, and many others
         | are renters with no way to charge at home. Beyond that,
         | charging on roadtrips is very hit or miss unless you have a
         | Tesla. (And as a side note, with poor charging infra, longer
         | range becomes more important.)
         | 
         | Of course, both of these problems are close to being solved,
         | but they add extra considerations that people don't have to
         | make with gas cars.
         | 
         | Anyways, main point: I think consumers are waiting for other
         | reasons than 500mi range.
        
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