[HN Gopher] Rainy years can't make up for California's groundwat...
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       Rainy years can't make up for California's groundwater use
        
       Author : LinuxBender
       Score  : 73 points
       Date   : 2021-12-26 17:00 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arstechnica.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arstechnica.com)
        
       | R0b0t1 wrote:
       | It was posted on an older thread, but there's a quote by a
       | surveyor and geologist in the 1800s as they were defining water
       | rights. He mentioned there is no way to sustain an agricultural
       | population in these areas despite the aquifers.
        
         | kickout wrote:
         | So the US abandons agriculture production and Brazil slurps it
         | up by chopping down Amazon rainforests? Global effects, not so
         | simple.
        
         | AlotOfReading wrote:
         | Old timey academics often had no idea what they were talking
         | about. I don't know the full quote, but that's _obviously_
         | untrue because indigenous peoples already lived here.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | R0b0t1 wrote:
           | They weren't intensively farming the area. What he (and I)
           | meant was "sustain an agricultural population." They were
           | divvying up water rights but it was recognizable very early
           | on that even modest farming could deplete the aquifer faster
           | than it regenerates.
           | 
           | I've edited it for clarity, but this is one of those times to
           | refer to the site guidelines. You're supposed to look for the
           | most charitable interpretation of a comment's phrasing --
           | what are the odds I somehow didn't know Indians exist?
        
             | AlotOfReading wrote:
             | I presumed you knew about native Americans, but that
             | doesn't mean the geologist considered them.
             | 
             | Anyway, it's still relevant since many populations in the
             | Sonoran and Mojave had highly intensive traditional
             | agriculture. I assume those are the areas that were being
             | discussed?
             | 
             | The lack of what we'd traditionally call intensive
             | agriculture in places like central valley is mainly just a
             | historical semantic distinction. They cultivated and
             | intensively shaped their local environments to maximize
             | food production, but they weren't herding or clearing
             | fields so it doesn't count.
        
               | redis_mlc wrote:
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | Why can't farmers extract water from the air like they do in Star
       | Wars? Or maybe from all the fog in San franscisco?
        
         | waffle_maniac wrote:
         | It's being trialed in Galapagos.
         | 
         | https://www.darwinfoundation.org/en/blog-articles/743-update...
        
         | throwawaysea wrote:
         | This is actually possible today but the newest technology
         | hasn't quite matured and scaled up. See this article:
         | https://news.mit.edu/2020/solar-extracts-drinkable-water-101...
         | 
         | > Existing AWH approaches include fog harvesting and dew
         | harvesting, but both have significant limitations. Fog
         | harvesting only works with 100 percent relative humidity, and
         | is currently used only in a few coastal deserts, while dew
         | harvesting requires energy-intensive refrigeration to provide
         | cold surfaces for moisture to condense on -- and still requires
         | humidity of at least 50 percent, depending on the ambient
         | temperature.
         | 
         | > By contrast, the new system can work at humidity levels as
         | low as 20 percent and requires no energy input other than
         | sunlight or any other available source of low-grade heat.
        
           | trompetenaccoun wrote:
           | Water we take out of the air can't go into clouds and rivers
           | upstream anymore.
           | 
           | Maybe, and this might sound crazy but hear me out, we should
           | stop consuming that much water in regions where it's scarce.
           | It's not sustainable and lowering the ground water table is
           | only going to work for so long.
        
       | ryan93 wrote:
       | California would have enough water to almost double population by
       | just ceasing alfafa production/
        
       | mwattsun wrote:
       | I've been hearing about water issues my entire life living in
       | California but I don't worry about it because one of these days
       | people will come to their senses and realize clean water is a
       | precious resource that is priced too cheaply. Once we pay for it
       | what it's worth, it will no longer be economical to grow water
       | intensive crops [1] and it will become economical desalinate
       | Pacific Ocean water like San Diego [2] powered by the falling
       | price of renewable energy [3] (one day with plentiful fusion
       | energy maybe) or pumping water from Oregon to California through
       | an undersea pipeline [4] and more far out plans like pumping
       | water from Alaska using 6 nuclear powered pumping stations and
       | atomic bombs to dig trenches will be unnecessary [6] [7]
       | 
       | [1]
       | https://www.pressdemocrat.com/article/specialsections/these-...
       | 
       | [2] https://www.sdcwa.org/your-water/local-water-
       | supplies/seawat...
       | 
       | [3] https://www.statista.com/chart/26085/price-per-megawatt-
       | hour...
       | 
       | [5]
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposed_interstate_water_pipe...
       | 
       | [6]
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_Water_and_Power...
       | 
       | [7] https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/nijhuis/pipe-dreams-
       | the...
       | 
       | edit: For example, people are fine with paying $2 for a bottle of
       | clean water but farmers get mad if you suggest paying more than
       | $70 an acre foot for similar quality water. An acre foot is
       | 325,851 gallons of good clean water suitable for growing the high
       | quality crops California is known for
        
         | Someone wrote:
         | The fear is that there's an analogue to Keynes' _"Markets can
         | stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent"_ along the
         | lines of _"Markets can stay irrational until irreparable damage
         | is done"_.
         | 
         | Some will say that hasn't ever happened yet, so it won't happen
         | this time, either, but typically, those will also believe
         | _"Past performance is no guarantee of future results"_ , so
         | that's no guarantee it will never happen.
         | 
         | In the end, this is a matter of belief.
         | 
         | Also, even if we get to the "desalination plants and
         | solar/nuclear fusion saved California", we may end up with a
         | different California, where "big water" has the power. Some
         | will think that's not an outcome we should aim for.
        
           | mwattsun wrote:
           | > "Markets can stay irrational until irreparable damage is
           | done"
           | 
           | If we don't address this in regards to climate change then we
           | have bigger problems, but thank goodness California is more
           | forward thinking than most other states.
        
         | beej71 wrote:
         | I did the math a while ago and figured California would need a
         | desal plant on every couple miles of coastline to meet its
         | total water needs, including ag, assuming no other water
         | sources. Something else has to give even with the current rain
         | and snow levels.
         | 
         | And I fear as a central Oregonian that we're going to have our
         | own water problems. Planning to ship our water to California is
         | a political third rail here, just like in the Owens River
         | Valley.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _California would need a desal plant on every couple miles
           | of coastline to meet its total water needs_
           | 
           | "Water needs" are price dependent. People will come up with
           | unlimited ways to waste water at the prices California
           | charges for it.
        
         | lettergram wrote:
         | You'd think so, but that's already happening -- taxes will be
         | used and already are used, to subsidize water. Everyone is
         | already paying more, but it's not a direct correlation. This is
         | part of the issues related to subsidizing resources.
         | 
         | Further, only a few companies and families control the water
         | rights. Many of those farmers purchased the water rights and
         | water once used returns to the soil in many cases (plus
         | evaporation, but that's being reduced constantly with improved
         | irrigation)
        
         | b3morales wrote:
         | > pumping water from Oregon to California
         | 
         | Oregon does not have a magical surplus supply of fresh water
         | ready and willing to ship off to California.
         | 
         | (Your link for that one is missing, by the way.)
        
         | e40 wrote:
         | You are forgetting about aquifer depletion.
        
         | kevin_b_er wrote:
         | The farmers can use pretty much as much as they want from the
         | aquifers and they pay that $70 for 325 _thousand_ gallons of
         | water. That 's how individual water conservation pales in
         | comparison to a farmer paying for $20 more in water. Or a new
         | chip fab plant that uses millions of gallons of water per day.
        
           | throwawaysea wrote:
           | For what it's worth, chip fabs mostly recycle water. Intel is
           | also funding water restoration projects to achieve net
           | positive water use. See https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/04/why-
           | intel-tsmc-are-building-...
           | 
           | > Glenn O'Donnell, vice president and research director at
           | analyst firm Forrester, told CNBC that chip fabrication
           | plants "recycle water religiously," adding that it's a bit
           | like a swimming pool in an enclosed building.
           | 
           | > "You need a lot to fill it, but you don't have to add much
           | to keep it going," he said. "Also, being in an enclosed
           | space, a lot of the water that evaporates can be captured
           | with a dehumidifier and returned to the pool. The fabs will
           | do similar things with their own water usage."
           | 
           | > Intel notes on its website that it is striving to achieve
           | "net positive water use" in Arizona and that it has funded 15
           | water restoration projects that aim to benefit the state.
           | "Once fully implemented, these projects will restore an
           | estimated 937 million gallons each year," the company says.
        
             | jcranmer wrote:
             | Note that most municipal water is recycled in similar
             | fashion (something like 90% of tap water ends up in the
             | sewers directly, and that's low-balling it)--which means
             | you can get great mileage out of municipal systems just by
             | sticking your water treatment intake downstream of your
             | wastewater treatment effluent, although people are somewhat
             | squeamish to discover that this happens.
             | 
             | Agricultural use is pretty much the most effective way to
             | export water out of the watershed--the water that is used
             | in the crops is more likely to be lost due to
             | envirotranspiration or simply literally part of the weight
             | of the crop that is exported (especially for leafy crops
             | like lettuce).
        
         | isoskeles wrote:
         | Wouldn't this also drive up prices of those crops? Not that
         | it's a bad thing, I'd rather we pay a fair price than something
         | cheaper because the water is effectively subsidized. I'm
         | curious what effect would occur on the prices of CA crops.
        
       | 01100011 wrote:
       | It's time for a national water
       | grid(https://www.osti.gov/biblio/963122-national-smart-water-
       | grid):
       | 
       | > The National Smart Water Grid{trademark} will pay for itself in
       | a single major flood event.
       | 
       | Weather patterns will likely change dramatically and violently.
       | We cannot relocate our farmland fast enough. We need a system
       | capable of absorbing extreme precipitation and reclaiming it for
       | food.
       | 
       | This isn't about stealing water from the Great Lakes(that's a
       | common worry). Yes, pumping water takes energy, but it also
       | provides an infrastructure for gravitational storage of solar
       | energy for night time use.
       | 
       | We need to think big, and we need to think fast.
        
         | jcranmer wrote:
         | > The National Smart Water Grid{trademark} will pay for itself
         | in a single major flood event.
         | 
         | That claim seemed... inflated to me. Digging into the report,
         | the project is estimated to cost $82 billion (in 2009 dollars).
         | That's... not a single major flood event. The worst flood in
         | recent US history only managed ~$30 billion in ~2011 dollars,
         | and many of the more pedestrian "major flood events" are
         | managing to cost somewhere around $1-10 billion. (And that
         | presumes it's not something like Hurricane Harvey, that would
         | drench a metropolitan area downstream of any intakes to the
         | west coast, so it wouldn't actually mitigate those events.)
        
           | gravypod wrote:
           | > That's... not a single major flood event. The worst flood
           | in recent US history only managed ~$30 billion in ~2011
           | dollars, and many of the more pedestrian "major flood events"
           | are managing to cost somewhere around $1-10 billion.
           | 
           | This is only half of the equation. There are large areas of
           | the US with water shortages. If you could, hypothetically,
           | completely remove the effects of the flooding you would
           | "save" $30 billion in damages and then sell that water for
           | profit to areas with droughts. For example, from 2010 to 2017
           | water bills for some families jumped 71% [0]. A quote from
           | the same article:
           | 
           | "Bills increased from $86.31 to $195.86 a month for a
           | household of four using 150 gallons per person a day"
           | 
           | So ~0.10 $/gallons. I'm not going to attempt to calculate the
           | amount of water that recent floods have had but statements
           | like "peak flow of 213,000 [ft^3/s]" are used I think we
           | could see how it would be possible to make this math balance
           | out. I'm not saying it does but the napink math leads me to
           | believe that it could be possible if construction and
           | maintenance was cheap enough. It would also improve economic
           | prosperity in the regions (Vegas, etc).
           | 
           | [0] - https://www.kqed.org/science/1920428/californians-are-
           | strugg...
           | 
           | [1] - https://www.weather.gov/lix/ms_flood_history
        
         | CursedUrn wrote:
         | How do you stop a bad actor (e.g. CA) using up the entire
         | country's water supply?
        
           | zeroonetwothree wrote:
           | Pricing
        
           | gumby wrote:
           | I think CA often gets a bad rap from jealous people but your
           | message is a case that is 100% right on. California's
           | agricultural practices are unsustainable and exploitative.
        
             | syki wrote:
             | There are certainly some bad practices but overall don't we
             | need the agricultural capabilities of California? It's not
             | like all those crops can be grown elsewhere in the country
             | more efficiently, right?
        
               | zamfi wrote:
               | California is a great place to grow what is grown there,
               | but it is not efficient in terms of water use, in part
               | because the incentives are screwed up.
               | 
               | The end result of the existing water rights systems is
               | that for some farms in very arid regions, water is
               | basically free, so they use a ton of it growing e.g.,
               | Almonds and Pomegranates, highly water-intensive crops
               | which should probably be grown in less-arid parts of the
               | state.
               | 
               | If water cost effectively reflected water scarcity within
               | the central valley, I suspect things would be quite
               | different. But this is hard to change, because politics
               | (in California but also everywhere) favors incumbents who
               | have a lot to lose, over newcomers who could have a lot
               | to gain, or over a large population that stands to gain a
               | little bit but not enough to vote over it. (See:
               | occupational licensing, Prop. 13, etc.)
        
               | syki wrote:
               | This is my understanding too. That the types of crops
               | being grown in a given place (like almonds) is a problem
               | and water use could be much less than it is but we do
               | absolutely need California to grow things because it's an
               | important agricultural contributor. Other states wouldn't
               | be able to pick up the slack in California's absence.
               | Such is my understanding.
        
               | stevehawk wrote:
               | doesn't seem like they're being grown efficiently in
               | California, either, though?
        
               | syki wrote:
               | Efficiently in that with enough water it's the best place
               | to grow things. The soil, weather, etc. are really good.
               | Water needs to be better allocated but my understanding
               | is that it's not feasible to just say that California
               | should have much less farmland since there isn't
               | elsewhere in the country that can have its output.
        
               | gumby wrote:
               | I'm talking about the Central Valley, which is basically
               | an unsustainable extractive factory. Agriculture in
               | coastal areas is largely lower value row crops and
               | vegetables.
               | 
               | Water is discussed the most, as there are essentially no
               | pricing signals to moderate use. High water crops like
               | rice are grown in the desert. Water has been pulled
               | without limit from a 20 Ky old aquifer; the land has
               | subsequently settled meaning it won't ever refill even if
               | you could wait long enough. It's not just water though;
               | topsoil practices are equally short-term oriented,
               | leading to a rise in topsoil prices (old topsoil is
               | trucked out and replaced by new) though not water rates.
               | 
               | I've done projects out there; visiting a farm or farm
               | town is more reminiscent of a chemical factory than the
               | bucolic pictures on the packages in the supermarket.
               | 
               | Agriculture is responsible for about 80% of water
               | extraction yet the burden of rationing is placed on
               | consumers who collectively use about 10% of the State's
               | water directly. So 80% of the water goes to 2% of the
               | gross state product, a lot of which is exported.
               | Literally exporting the thing for which there is a
               | shortage.
               | 
               | It would be cheaper, simpler, and ecologically superior
               | for the tech and aerospace sectors to simply pay the
               | farmers to stay home and watch TV.
               | 
               | It's hard not to notice that the Central Valley was
               | settled by refugees from Oklahoma who had unsustainably
               | farmed their area until it literally blew away (read, for
               | example, The Grapes of Wrath) and just restarted those
               | practices in their new home. But they had nothing to do
               | with the unsustainable fishing practices that destroyed
               | the industry described by Steinbeck in Cannery Row et al.
        
         | bell-cot wrote:
         | At least from skimming the Abstract, the "National Water Grid"
         | on that OSTI.gov page would be nothing resembling a "national
         | grid". It could only move water from the Mississippi R. to the
         | upper Colorado R. Ignoring the pumps...just the aqueduct that
         | you'd need to build - ~1,400 miles long, with the capacity of a
         | _major_ river - would have zero political chance of being
         | approved  & funded.
         | 
         | And for a water grid that could absorb extreme events - upgrade
         | the sizes of all the aqueducts and pumps by an order of
         | magnitude or two. And then you've got to extend it to every
         | spot you want to protect from extreme weather...
        
           | jcranmer wrote:
           | > just the aqueduct that you'd need to build - ~1,400 miles
           | long, with the capacity of a major river
           | 
           | The heart of the proposal is 4 x 8' diameter pipes from the
           | Ohio/Mississippi River junction to Lake Powell, and having
           | worked in a water treatment plant, that amount of flow might
           | quench the thirst of a few million people, but it won't
           | divert even a river the size of the Potomac River, let alone
           | the Missouri, Upper Mississippi, or Ohio Rivers.
        
         | dghughes wrote:
         | > This isn't about stealing water from the Great Lakes(that's a
         | common worry)
         | 
         | Yes and the people who worry we Canadians because we border
         | four of five lakes with the USA. It's often been said if the
         | USA ever attacks us it will be for water not oil or land. Or at
         | the very least force us via some obscure trade agreement clause
         | to sell or allow the sale of water to the USA.
        
           | analog31 wrote:
           | Not just Canadians. The US states that border the great lakes
           | are also very strong supporters of the treaty with Canada.
        
         | kodah wrote:
         | Instrumenting water usage I think is the more important task
         | that would fall under a national water grid. California uses an
         | incredible amount of water that can be blamed on maintaining
         | habitats, scenic views, and landscapes as well as agriculture
         | respectively [1]. When states can't get enough water from the
         | ground, they focus on redirecting rivers [2] which destroys
         | other habitats and extracts value out of other states.
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.ppic.org/publication/water-use-in-california/
         | 
         | [2]: https://disappearingwest.org/rivers.html
        
           | 01100011 wrote:
           | Is it a problem if CA uses an incredible amount of water if
           | that water can be provided cheaply and in an environmentally
           | sound manner? Sure, the current situation is unsustainable,
           | but we don't have to focus on conservation and usage
           | restrictions if we have a way to supply CA's water wants
           | while reducing flood damage outside of CA.
           | 
           | What do you think is more likely:
           | 
           | - People voluntarily accepting a reduced quality of life by
           | cutting back on water usage and forgoing water intensive
           | produce.
           | 
           | - Using excess water from flooding in other parts of the
           | country to replenish CA aquifers and support historical usage
           | patterns while helping to reduce flood damage outside CA.
        
             | rootusrootus wrote:
             | > People voluntarily accepting a reduced quality of life by
             | cutting back on water usage and forgoing water intensive
             | produce.
             | 
             | IMO this is what people need to understand. If we need
             | conservation, it won't be the people of California cutting
             | back on their showers. That has very little to do with
             | consumption. It will be _everyone_ in the country who
             | benefits from all the farming in California who will have
             | to learn to do without some of their favorite water-
             | intensive produce.
        
               | kodah wrote:
               | Farming is indeed a big user of water, but I was
               | surprised to see maintaining scenic views and habitat
               | conservation being nearly equal to farming. That's
               | effectively drawing water from other states and
               | destroying other habitats in the name of conservation in
               | California.
        
               | demadog wrote:
               | What are some specific examples? The main I could think
               | of would be green belts and parks in the suburbs, not
               | watering state park forests.
        
             | saagarjha wrote:
             | Moving a lot of water is very expensive. Perhaps not
             | impractically so, but it's getting there.
        
             | jshen wrote:
             | There are very basic things CA can do to improve things
             | before your hypothetical. For example, we can filter and
             | re-use water rather than letting it drain into the ocean.
             | However, everyone a politician proposes this, their
             | opponents brand it "toilet-to-tap" and it never passes
             | because who wants to drink toilet water.
        
           | zamfi wrote:
           | > California uses an incredible amount of water that can be
           | blamed on maintaining habitats
           | 
           | Wait, am I reading this right? Are you saying California is
           | to be "blamed" for letting water run through rivers it
           | normally (i.e., without human intervention) would have run
           | through, so that the natural habitats of the state continue
           | to serve as habitats? Your second point is even about how bad
           | destroying habitats is. I'm confused about what you're trying
           | to say.
           | 
           | As I understand it, about 50% of CA's water use goes to
           | maintaining rivers, things like making sure fresh water
           | always flows _out_ the golden gate, rather than letting
           | seawater flow into the Sacramento delta (which would be an
           | ecological catastrophe).
           | 
           | You can "instrument" (measure?) all the water you want, but
           | in California you will always need a ton of water flowing out
           | through the Bay unless you want to destroy huge areas of
           | wetlands.
           | 
           | The amount that goes towards environmental needs won't
           | decrease just because you measure it.
           | 
           | But overall I completely agree with you: we should measure
           | and users should be charge appropriately for water in
           | agriculture, as they are for any other use -- the water
           | rights system means that water use is not allocated
           | efficiently in the economic sense, but rather by seniority
           | and incumbency (as is typical with other scarce resources in
           | the state: zoning, Prop 13, rent control, etc).
        
             | luckylion wrote:
             | > Are you saying California is to be "blamed" for letting
             | water run through rivers it normally
             | 
             | Don't you think there's a valid argument to not just
             | interfere in one particular area ("pumping up water") and
             | then throw your hands up when it comes to others that could
             | help offset the first interference? If you have e.g. flood
             | events and you don't capture that water, you're essentially
             | wasting it. Instead, draining wetlands and channeling
             | rivers makes sure that you get rid of the water as soon as
             | possible and dump it into the ocean instead of giving it a
             | chance to permeate into the ground.
        
         | RobertRoberts wrote:
         | That is insane, but the "why" is subtle.
         | 
         | What is to stop this system from stealing water off to
         | California when there is a drought everywhere?
         | 
         | Let California use the water it has. And when it's wrecked it's
         | resources, then industry has to face reality.
         | 
         | California's water resources has been managed badly and
         | industry has run rampant there.
        
           | jshen wrote:
           | Look up "California water rights", it's a fascinating
           | history.
        
       | chiefalchemist wrote:
       | If you factor out usage for agriculture (which serves others out
       | of state) does CA per capita use more or less water? That is, how
       | much of this problem is strictly CA and how much is it a national
       | food system issue? Mind you, I realize there are crops that grow
       | best in CA (and not elsewhere in the US) but that doesn't nean we
       | have to grow them if they weaken other aspects of the broader
       | system.
        
       | aaron695 wrote:
        
       | kerneloftruth wrote:
       | California could easily build reservoirs, but they don't -- which
       | makes the constant water fear mongering annoying. Reservoirs
       | would capture much of the rainfall which isn't absorbed into
       | ground water, and currently flows to the sea. The reservoirs
       | would create new habitat for wildlife.... the downsides are few,
       | if any.
        
         | varelse wrote:
         | Don't know why you're getting downvoted for this and it's
         | absolutely true. Cue the pedants nitpicking every word of the
         | story below. We could do so much better here but we choose
         | otherwise despite the highest state income taxes in the
         | country.
         | 
         | https://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-rainwater-lost-wet...
        
           | throwawaysea wrote:
           | That really baffles me about CA. The quality of services and
           | amenities doesn't seem any higher there - in fact in many
           | cases it seems lower than low tax burden states. Where does
           | it all go? Is it too simplistic to say the government is
           | mismanaged and has unqualified workers spending massive
           | budgets? Or is it that public workers are lazy/coasting?
           | Something else?
        
             | throwaway6734 wrote:
             | One possible cause is that municipal workers (cops,
             | teachers, firefighters) require much higher salaries due to
             | the higher CoL
        
               | varelse wrote:
               | If it's to be believed, 40% of our budget is spent on
               | education, 25% on health and human services, and 7% on
               | prisons...
               | 
               | https://www.ebudget.ca.gov/2008-09-EN/BudgetSummary/SUM/1
               | 249...
               | 
               | But also, people are really triggered by rain reclamation
               | for some reason. They're not saying why though which is
               | weird.
        
         | proggy wrote:
         | The major downside is total inundation of all of the valleys
         | filled in by the reservoir. The 20th century is littered with
         | dams whose headwaters have completely destroyed unique natural
         | environments, eg Hetch Hetchy [1]. They are technically "easy"
         | to build if only speaking to their constructibility, but dams
         | are incredibly charged from an environmental perspective.
         | 
         | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hetch_Hetchy
        
           | noah_buddy wrote:
           | Imagine if instead of every building having parking spaces,
           | we required a mandatory water store and used that non-potable
           | water for watering green spaces, flushing toilets, etc.
           | Doesn't remove the impact of agriculture but it does make
           | residential areas more resilient in times of draught. But
           | that would require public transit and California is rather
           | lacking in that regard. Even LAs plan for metro expansion is
           | going to take 30-40 years.
        
             | jeffbee wrote:
             | This is a phenomenally poor idea which effectively outlaws
             | cities.
        
         | jefflinwood wrote:
         | Which reservoir sites could be built that aren't?
         | 
         | Most of the good sites for building reservoirs in California
         | are already taken. You could dam the Smith River, but that
         | isn't going to be popular.
         | 
         | Same thing goes for the Los Angeles River - replacing the
         | channelized aqueduct with a meandering set of flood plains that
         | recharges an aquifer would require removing large chunks of
         | residential, commercial, or industrial land.
        
       | capybara_2020 wrote:
       | Just making an observation. As someone living in Asia, pre-
       | pandemic our apartment association had to buy 3-6 times the water
       | we normally did, during this time of the year. We had people
       | visiting from outside the country mostly from the US. So
       | basically for an additional 10% population at the very least we
       | had to get 3 times more water.
       | 
       | A personal observation with relatives, they tend to use toilet
       | paper. Maybe it is our plumbing. But they flushed like 5-7
       | times(yes I counted a few times). Flushes take a ton of water,
       | not sure if toilet paper actually makes you use more water even
       | in the west.
        
         | giantg2 wrote:
         | There are toilets that use approximately 1 gpf that can flush
         | toilet paper well. It depends on the design of the toilet.
        
         | MarcoZavala wrote:
        
         | rootusrootus wrote:
         | Just need to upgrade the hardware to something more modern. Any
         | mid-grade or better low-flow toilet made in the past 10 years
         | or so can flush a lot of TP without any difficulty. Some of the
         | early low-flow toilets weren't particularly good at it, and the
         | high-flow toilets from the 70s were amusingly bad given the
         | sheer quantity of water they use.
         | 
         | Also, encourage people to use bidets. Those are the best.
        
         | jeltz wrote:
         | This is mostly irrelevant since almost all of the water use in
         | California comes from agriculture.
        
       | pkaye wrote:
       | Don't forget about the Ogallala reservoir in the mid west.
       | 
       | http://duwaterlawreview.com/crisis-on-the-high-plains-the-lo...
        
         | throwawaysea wrote:
         | I think the Ogallala is an indication that industrial farming
         | cannot work long term. The immense increase in yields from
         | advanced machinery and GMO crops effectively means that rich
         | farmlands are basically shipping out vast quantities of water
         | and disrupting the local balance. The underground aquifers
         | don't have much more left, so we will have to confront this at
         | some point. Maybe that means a new advance in farming
         | technology and reduced consumption, but I also wonder if we
         | just need fewer people and a lot of other problems go away
         | without needing to roll the dice on the possibility of new
         | advancements.
        
           | kickout wrote:
           | The problem is we try and grow crops in places like Kansas,
           | Texas, and Oklahoma (corn, soybeans) that have no business
           | being grown there. There production could disappear overnight
           | and no one would notice. Problem is what are you replacing
           | the economic activity with? Ideally it would be pasture fed
           | cattle, but again that's 'inefficient' compared to other
           | production tactics.
           | 
           | I'd rather people in Nebraska/high Plains use the Ogallala
           | aquifer than California residents.
        
           | CameronNemo wrote:
           | Something that Desert really drove home was that _the
           | universe doesn 't owe you a solution_. Just because we back
           | ourselves into a corner does not mean we will be able to
           | innovate our way up and out.
        
       | DoreenMichele wrote:
       | People in California who are interested in actually improving
       | things should read up on what Fresno county does and see what
       | lessons they can borrow.
       | 
       | Fresno county is where a lot of California water law was hashed
       | out more than a hundred years ago. It was basically a desert with
       | a river (or rivers) running through it and they built a series of
       | irrigation canals. The history of those canals is one of the most
       | fascinating books I have ever read. Fresno county then turned
       | lush and green. It is a modern Hanging Gardens of Babylon and I
       | never hear about that. I only know because I spent a couple of
       | years there while homeless and read some local history.
       | 
       | Following the creation of the canals, they began having problems
       | with low lying areas turning into ponds and they began creating
       | recharge ponds. In some years, they have actually raised the
       | water table.
       | 
       | In addition to the history of the canals, there's a book called
       | _Salt Dreams_ that I highly recommend that is about the history
       | of water stuff in Southern California, basically.
       | 
       | The Salton Sea is both kind of a manmade accident kept alive by
       | agricultural runoff and a recurring periodic feature of the
       | region historically. It would turn into a body of water for some
       | reason and then slowly dry up over a period of years or decades
       | because it wasn't getting recharged. The current version was
       | predicted to dry up but hasn't because of recharge from
       | agriculture.
       | 
       | If you are actually interested in understanding water issues in
       | the state, I recommend those two books. I don't think this is
       | hopeless.
       | 
       | Edit: _Water for a thirsty land_ is the history of Fresno water
       | development
       | 
       | https://www.worldcat.org/title/water-for-a-thirsty-land-the-...
       | 
       | .
        
         | jcranmer wrote:
         | > It was basically a desert with a river (or rivers) running
         | through it and they built a series of irrigation canals.
         | 
         | My understanding is that much of the Central Valley was
         | actually a (seasonal?) marshland/grasslands ecosystem, not a
         | desert environment. The irrigation and diversion to Southern
         | California caused many large, shallow lakes (e.g., Tulare Lake)
         | in the region to dry up entirely.
        
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