[HN Gopher] Subsea Cable to Connect Asia, Europe, and North Amer...
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       Subsea Cable to Connect Asia, Europe, and North America Through the
       Arctic
        
       Author : Sami_Lehtinen
       Score  : 128 points
       Date   : 2021-12-24 10:33 UTC (12 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.cinia.fi)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.cinia.fi)
        
       | Overtonwindow wrote:
       | I've never quite been able to understand from a technical
       | perspective, but from a Geo political perspective, is why we
       | can't cut China off from western Internet? A better diplomatic
       | sanction would be to block all Chinese internet traffic.
        
         | FridayoLeary wrote:
         | First of all, nobody will ever introduce any meaningful
         | sanctions against China ever. There are a whole variety of
         | practical and political reasons why not. Also, from what i
         | understand, China is already extremely busy cutting their
         | citizens off from the rest of the internet. (i know this isn't
         | exactly what you meant, but still...)
        
       | throwbigdata wrote:
       | One decision a lot of people did a few years ago was every
       | network link outside of the data center must be encrypted. Not
       | sure I'd be comfortable putting something on Chinese fiber
       | anyway, but I believe that for them to unencrypt they would need
       | tailored operations or significantly better decryption technology
       | that I am familiar with.
        
         | jsmith99 wrote:
         | Cinia is not based in China. It seems to be owned by the
         | Finnish government.
        
       | pchristensen wrote:
       | If this Is at all interesting to you, you'll love Neal
       | Stephenson'a classic Wired piece Mother Earth, Motherboard -
       | https://www.wired.com/1996/12/ffglass/
        
       | throw0101a wrote:
       | See also the Quintillion cable:
       | 
       | > _Phase 2: Extends from Washington State to Japan. Connects
       | Alaska to Washington State._
       | 
       | > _Phase 3: Connects Alaska to Canada. Extends through the
       | Canadian Arctic to London, with landing stations at Thule AFB and
       | Iceland.
       | 
       | * https://www.quintillionglobal.com/system/out-asia-europe/_
        
       | hit8run wrote:
       | I wonder how many parties will be going to tap that wire.
        
         | webdoodle wrote:
         | Tapping undersea cables is one of the most critical missions
         | modern day submarines conduct. So in short: every country that
         | can get a sub that far north.
        
           | ec109685 wrote:
           | What entities of strategic importance are still sending
           | unencrypted data over third party fiber?
        
       | jvmiert wrote:
       | For anyone curious, there's an image of the route in this
       | article: https://www.aroged.com/2021/12/24/far-north-digital-and-
       | cini...
        
         | dustintrex wrote:
         | Interesting. I naively expected it to take the shortest/great
         | circle route from Europe straight across northern Russia to
         | Japan, but no, it actually loops the other way around the pole
         | via Iceland and Canada.
        
           | fennecfoxen wrote:
           | Looks like there would be fewer opportunities to stop and
           | connect to existing networks if you went that way.
        
         | BitAstronaut wrote:
         | Does scrolling up break that site for anyone else?
        
           | bluenose69 wrote:
           | It breaks for me, too.
        
         | edoceo wrote:
         | That article has the same ad like a dozen times in a row, and
         | also what is clearly JavaScript leaking out around them. Cool
         | visual but what a sloppy site.
        
           | mike_d wrote:
           | I suspect this site is taking a news feed from VK and
           | blending it with content from other sites and rewording
           | things to produce search engine spam. This particular article
           | it looks like ate some JavaScript for breakfast and threw it
           | up all over.
        
         | erezT wrote:
         | seems like someone logged some JS right into the DOM there
        
       | ksec wrote:
       | Is this Cable specifically for connection to go from EUR to JAP
       | without going through China?
       | 
       | I am wondering if this is made possible only because of the
       | melting ice cap, where the "possibility" of travelling through
       | the arctic is now a low cost issue. I am also assuming once the
       | cable are laid, it doesn't make much of a difference whether the
       | surface is Artic or Pacific? I am assuming the sea floor is
       | roughly all the same.
       | 
       | And why aren't Greenland better connected? The only immediate
       | upside I see is the Iceland Connection. Considering they have
       | possibly the Greenest Datacenter on the planet. ( I do wonder how
       | do they protect against Earthquake ? )
        
         | 3np wrote:
         | > Is this Cable specifically for connection to go from EUR to
         | JAP without going through China?
         | 
         | ...Is there really any meaningful amount of EU>JP traffic going
         | through China? No matter what I try to increase by bandwidth
         | between the two (from residential as well as cloud) it always
         | gets routed through US. Usually Phoenix. Never been able to get
         | north of ~15Mbps IIRC. I'm sure there are providers that can
         | provide better through private backbone and premium peering
         | agreements, but I haven't figured that out yet. If anyone has
         | any tips or strategies on how to approach it would be very
         | grateful. Even 50Mbps on a budget would be a game-changer.
         | 
         | My guess would be more about resilience. If a couple of key
         | points get knocked out or saturated I imagine things could
         | break pretty fast.
        
         | Kye wrote:
         | >> _" I am also assuming once the cable are laid, it doesn't
         | make much of a difference whether the surface is Artic or
         | Pacific? I am assuming the sea floor is roughly all the same."_
         | 
         | The ocean is incredibly difficult to explore under the best
         | circumstances. We barely know what's down there in places with
         | lots of traffic and a need for regular, slow, imprecise
         | mapping. More than nothing is known about the floor there, but
         | it's likely less precise and more out of date than places that
         | were easier to reach. The Arctic Ocean wasn't even discovered--
         | in the Age of Exploration sense, not in the "nobody knew about
         | it" sense--until the 1800s. Exploration didn't properly begin
         | until the 1950s.
         | 
         | https://www.britannica.com/place/Arctic-Ocean/Topography-of-...
        
       | nnx wrote:
       | By how much will it improve latency between EU and Asia? or US
       | and Asia?
        
         | xiii1408 wrote:
         | Unfortunately probably none, unless you live pretty far north.
         | We're pretty close to the speed of light limit* when it comes
         | to latency between the US and Asia, which makes sense as a
         | straight line is over the Pacific anyway. (e.g., I get ~1.1x
         | the theoretical min latency pinging Tokyo from my Fiber
         | connection in the SF Bay Area)
         | 
         | Where it seems like we're pretty far from the theoretical min
         | is connections within the continental US. Latency is pretty bad
         | (e.g. I get like 1.5x - 4x the theoretical min latency from my
         | Fiber connection in the SF Bay Area, depending on endpoint). I
         | assume part of this is indirect connections (you don't have a
         | direct fiber connection between every pair of cities, because
         | that would be dumb) and some of it is routing overhead (a
         | connection to Asia goes a long distance, but often has way
         | fewer hops).
         | 
         |  _Note that this is theoretical min latency based on the speed
         | of light_ through fiber*, which is a bit higher than (about
         | 5/3x) the speed of light through air. New fiber optic tech
         | might help this at some point.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | ComputerGuru wrote:
           | In the USA, DOCSIS latency adds a huge chunk for much of the
           | residential world.
        
         | zinekeller wrote:
         | US to Asia will be literally a backup routing, since that the
         | best routes between Japan and western US coast are already
         | continuously constructed and maintained. EU and Japan would be
         | godsend, the best direct link would be through China, which is
         | politically and practically (even with the best of diplomatic
         | relations, terrestrial cable linking is much more complicated
         | due to mountains, rivers and other obstacles) impossible.
         | Although there's an EU-Hong Kong terrestrial link operated by
         | RETN, it's a relatively low-bandwidth link compared to the
         | aggregate of all Japan-Singapore-Marseille links, so if this a
         | high-bandwidth link it'll be a boon.
        
         | bertil wrote:
         | It could make Northern parts of America, EU and Asia closer but
         | not the Southern parts.
        
         | fulafel wrote:
         | It's landing in Alaska, I wonder what the existing submarine
         | cables from there to east land.
        
       | virtuallynathan wrote:
       | Arctic routes have been proposed for a long time, I hope this
       | finally happens.
       | 
       | 2014: https://spectrum.ieee.org/arctic-fibre-project-to-link-
       | japan...
        
       | thirdlamp wrote:
       | How does that compete with starlink? I suppose the bandwidth of a
       | subsea cable is much higher, but latency is worse?
        
         | midasuni wrote:
         | Starlink as designed or the current system?
         | 
         | As designed oceanic latencies will be lower than direct fibre,
         | only microwave would be faster.
         | 
         | As currently deployed, starlink latency isn't much to write
         | home about as you only get a few hindered km to the ground
         | station and then you're on fibre.
        
         | PeterisP wrote:
         | There's no reason for a subsea cable latency to be worse than
         | starlink, both don't go in the straightest line possible but
         | close to that.
        
           | mhandley wrote:
           | Starlink gets the speed of light in a vaccuum, which is
           | roughly 50% faster than the speed of light in glass.
        
             | jsjohnst wrote:
             | Fiber gets closer to the speed of light, even when
             | accounting for retransmission delays, than just 50%. The
             | index of refraction for glass is commonly quoted as 1.5.
             | That makes it 33%. Also, Starlink isn't vacuum speeds
             | either (unless you are talking about the inter satellite
             | laser links and not the downlink to CPE, which even they
             | I'm not sure operate at full "speed of light in a vacuum").
        
               | troymc wrote:
               | The refractive index of air is _very_ close to that of
               | vacuum (which is 1), so most Starlink transmissions
               | between nodes (ground-satellite, and satellite-satellite)
               | will travel at near light speed.
        
               | jsjohnst wrote:
               | > The refractive index of air is very close to that of
               | vacuum
               | 
               | Yeah, 1.0003 vs 1.0. Very close, but not the same was my
               | point.
        
               | zamadatix wrote:
               | The refractive index is only one part of the story, light
               | does not follow a straight path through fiber it bounces
               | around. I'd assume this to be about the newer inter-
               | sattelite links as comparing fiber to fiber plus some
               | seems obvious.
        
               | wallacoloo wrote:
               | > light does not follow a straight path through fiber it
               | bounces around.
               | 
               | this is only relevant for multimode fiber, right? in
               | singlemode fiber the light must propagate parallel with
               | the fiber. even in multimode fiber, _some_ light is
               | parallel, so it doesn't necessarily limit latency -- it
               | creates dispersion.
        
               | zamadatix wrote:
               | Singlemode is designed to minimized modal dispersion but
               | it still occurs, especially over the longer distances
               | including from stresses in the core rather than
               | traditional bouncing. First photon isn't as important,
               | it's the signal peak that matters as the receiver will
               | try to decode from that. Typically this latency is hidden
               | by needing repeaters every ~60km anyways due to both
               | dispersion and loss. I'm not sure how far apart Starlink
               | inter-satellite can repeat and if they can "skip"
               | satellites as long as there is a clear direct path to
               | another farther along the path, I haven't been in contact
               | with their engineering folks since I changed jobs last
               | year and am no longer a corporate customer.
        
             | dghughes wrote:
             | From what I understand Starlink satellites do not
             | communicate between each other yet, maybe that's outdated
             | info. I know there will be inter-sat comm eventually. But
             | they are 500km in altitude and the atmosphere is 100km so
             | they only have about 400km of vacuum from obit to Earth
             | stations. So it's a 1,000km round trip and then through
             | ground stations, fibre cabling.
        
               | jsjohnst wrote:
               | > From what I understand Starlink satellites do not
               | communicate between each other yet, maybe that's outdated
               | info.
               | 
               | It's always been wrong. By design the Starlink satellites
               | communicated with each other. Too cost prohibitive and
               | infeasible in other ways to have a ground station
               | covering every satellite.
        
               | PeterisP wrote:
               | While the long term plan was for Starlink satellites to
               | communicate with each other, only the last four batches
               | of v1.5 satellites have the actual hardware to do so, and
               | the vast majority of Starlink satellites in orbit right
               | now are only able to talk with ground stations and do not
               | have the inter-satellite laser links.
        
               | dghughes wrote:
               | Yes but I think the plan is to have any satellite that is
               | over a ground station to be the relay for others. Send up
               | to a sat then sat to sat via laser and then down to the
               | ground.
               | 
               | I'm curious how far each satellite is from the other, do
               | they need line-of-sight. And how much it adds to latency
               | since signals received and sent have to go through
               | networking equipment within each satellite.
        
       | asimpletune wrote:
       | I wonder if melting ice is making this easier to do or more
       | economically feasible than it has been in the past?
        
         | grecy wrote:
         | Yes, Absolutely. A handful of years ago sailing through the
         | North West Passage (around Alaska then across above Canada) was
         | unheard of. Now it's quite routine, lots of people do it for
         | fun every summer.
        
         | tupac_speedrap wrote:
         | Probably, Russia are also building the "Polar Express" subsea
         | cable from Murmansk to Vladivostok around Siberia so I guess is
         | it viable now.
        
         | tiernano wrote:
         | I vaguely remember reading that there were shipping routes that
         | would be half the time and distance if the ice was melted...
         | And some ships run during the summer months... Mostly from
         | Russia to Europe... Iirc...
        
           | dragonelite wrote:
           | The route will become more popular, it's not a route the US
           | can in anyway block. If i'm not mistaken Russia can now ship
           | 8~10 months of the year via the artic route, they want/are
           | planning to create more nuclear ice breakers i'm sure the
           | Chinese are more then willing to make sure the Artic route
           | stays open the whole year.
        
           | zerovar wrote:
           | Wendover Productions had a video on this
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=msjuRoZ0Vu8
        
         | asimpletune wrote:
         | Also - totally unrealistic - but what if the ice freezed again,
         | making the cables impermeable to spying and ushering in some
         | kind of golden era of diplomacy and trust. I remember reading
         | that in times when technology favored defense there were
         | widespread moments of peace throughout Europe, like in the
         | Middle Ages, so this could be something like that.
        
           | throw0101a wrote:
           | > _but what if the ice freezed again, making the cables
           | impermeable to spying and ushering in some kind of golden era
           | of diplomacy and trust._
           | 
           | It would make no difference: subsea cables are accessed via
           | submarine, which don't care about ice (or no ice).
           | 
           | * https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2013/07/t
           | h...
           | 
           | * https://www.lawfareblog.com/evaluating-russian-threat-
           | unders...
           | 
           | * https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/we-now-have-
           | details-u...
           | 
           | * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/USS_Jimmy_Carter
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Spying by tapping into unencrypted traffic on undersea cables
           | was done briefly during the Cold War. Now governments encrypt
           | all their traffic so you won't get anything useful.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Ivy_Bells?wprov=sfla.
           | ..
        
             | wyck wrote:
             | There still a lot of tapping going on, there are modern
             | subs build specifically for this.
        
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       (page generated 2021-12-24 23:01 UTC)