[HN Gopher] Cryptocurrency scams cost owners $7.7B in 2021, driv...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Cryptocurrency scams cost owners $7.7B in 2021, driven by DeFi-
       based "rug pulls"
        
       Author : marban
       Score  : 290 points
       Date   : 2021-12-16 15:47 UTC (7 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (blog.chainalysis.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (blog.chainalysis.com)
        
       | AlexandrB wrote:
       | In related news, Tether has minted $3B USDT in the last month:
       | https://beincrypto.com/tether-mints-three-billion-usdt-past-...
        
         | cdiddy2 wrote:
         | Its also being used as the currency for now ousted Myanmar govt
         | https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2021/12/14/myanmar-shadow-...
        
         | shiftpgdn wrote:
         | Hang on, minting and circulating are different things. The USDT
         | circulating supply is currently approximately 76 billion.
        
           | vmception wrote:
           | Literally nobody claimed otherwise.
        
           | fastball wrote:
           | Right, they minted $3B, taking the circulating supply from
           | $73B to $76B.
        
             | nightski wrote:
             | Do you have any evidence of that other than the parent link
             | which looks kind of scammy? Everywhere else I have read
             | that the minted $3B is not circulating yet, it's waiting
             | for new purchasers of Tether. Not saying you are wrong by
             | any means, I'm genuinely curious.
        
               | jstx1 wrote:
               | What does "minted" but not circulating Tether even look
               | like?
        
               | bidirectional wrote:
               | Tether minting coins and holding them until someone comes
               | along and exchanges dollars for them.
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | Tether mints the tokens upon deposit of fiat on Bitfinex
               | exchange OR when the Tether peg increases above $1 too
               | far. Users are incentivized to do this as well (deposit
               | dollars onto bitfinex, get new tether for that 1:1, sell
               | new tethers above the peg on the open market, pushing the
               | peg down)
               | 
               | Circle/Coinbase use the exact same mechanism.
               | 
               | These kinds of stablecoins are destroyed only upon
               | explicit redemption. Not when sold to someone else on the
               | open market.
               | 
               | It's not that different from a brokerage account's
               | deposits. People don't actually withdraw that much
               | because they don't need that much cash. They keep their
               | cash in those ecosystems waiting for other trading
               | opportunities and add more from other sources into the
               | exchange.
               | 
               | I know it's absurd to assume tether functions as
               | described, 99% of the time for 99% of the value. But the
               | market is showing the same thing with stablecoins that
               | are better governed.
               | 
               | For the decentralized/permissionless/uncensorable minded
               | people, The best bet is for other kinds of stablecoins to
               | grow faster
        
         | TacticalCoder wrote:
         | Yes, and although likely a scam, here's another datapoint:
         | 
         | Coinbase, an Y combinator unicorn, is behind Centre/Circle and
         | the USDC stable coin. And there are now $41.5 bn USDC
         | circulating.
         | 
         | At one point it was billion of USDT circulating and USDC didn't
         | exist yet.
         | 
         | Then USDC began to took off and there were, out of memory, $5
         | bn USDC and $23 bn USDT.
         | 
         | But, overall, the trajectory is clear: USDC is growing faster
         | than USDT.
         | 
         | It's $41.5 bn vs $76 bn today.
         | 
         | Maybe in a few months USDC shall catch up, then maybe even
         | surpass USDT.
         | 
         | Do we all believe Coinbase and its Centre/USDC stable coin is a
         | scam? It's an american company, with real people behind it.
         | It's not some scammy thing in the Bahamas.
         | 
         | Now here's an intriguing question: if we believe Coinbase isn't
         | a scam and that these $41.5 bn USDC are really mostly or all
         | backed, does tether's $76 bn really look that unthinkable?
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | yrral wrote:
           | Another datapoint: USDC minted 7b in the last 30 days. Does
           | 3b tether in the same time period seem unreasonable?
        
             | ivalm wrote:
             | The problem with tether is not the amount minted/in
             | circulation. The problem is that they definitely lied
             | previously about their backing and are probably lying now.
             | If you claim to be one of the worlds largest commercial
             | paper holders yet no one knows whose commercial paper you
             | are holding then that is suspicious. It's unimaginable that
             | a new large player entered the market and nobody noticed.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | dmitriid wrote:
           | > It's an american company, with real people behind it. It's
           | not some scammy thing in the Bahamas.
           | 
           | All scammers are real companies with real people behind them.
           | Until they aren't. Location of a company doesn't matter.
           | 
           | "Ponzi Scheme" literally comes from a man who was scamming
           | his victims in the US and Canada.
        
           | mdoms wrote:
           | > It's an american company, with real people behind it. It's
           | not some scammy thing in the Bahamas.
           | 
           | Oh yes I forgot Americans can't be scammers.
        
             | criddell wrote:
             | That's a pretty uncharitable interpretation.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | rfw300 wrote:
             | Americans who are under the watchful eye of a hostile SEC
             | and face serious prison time if they get caught are _much
             | less likely_ to be scammers than some anonymous group from
             | the Bahamas.
        
           | gitfan86 wrote:
           | Issuing stablecoins isn't a scam by itself. The whole crypto
           | ecosystem cashflow is the real scam. There is no liquidity.
           | All it takes is a few people that panic and the whole thing
           | falls apart, UNLESS there is someone ready to print money and
           | prop up the market when panic sets in. That is why people
           | need to understand what is going on with Tether. Bernie
           | Madoff got shutdown because a whistle blower got the SEC to
           | look at his books. If tether gets shutdown and no one is
           | propibg up the market, it will crash hard.
        
             | dsco wrote:
             | China has banned Bitcoin several times, there's been hacks,
             | there's been central banks going after crypto - yet it's
             | still here. Why do you believe the whole thing might fall
             | apart?
             | 
             | What you're missing is that whenever there's panic selling
             | there's always someone on the other side finding a great
             | discount.
        
               | gitfan86 wrote:
               | That is what they said about housing in 2007. I'm not
               | saying that crypto is going to go away and never exist.
               | I'm saying it could go down by 80% during a liquidity
               | crisis induced panic.
        
               | BlueTemplar wrote:
               | Yeah, also bitcoin isn't a stablecoin, there were never
               | any guarantees.
        
           | manishsharan wrote:
           | > It's an american company, with real people behind it. It's
           | not some scammy thing in the Bahamas.
           | 
           | Enron would like a word!
        
       | DomainGuard wrote:
       | We've been identifying and reporting on a ton of crypto fraud.
       | Any popular site that uses a "wallet connection" is ideal for
       | scamming, and unfortunately, these scams are widely successful.
       | The scam asks users to enter their wallet secrets to connect
       | their wallets. The general crypto community consensus is that if
       | you fall for these scams, you deserve it. There are a lot of
       | newcomers to crypto, and unfortunately, many people are falling
       | for these scams. These phishing sites are combined with other
       | avenues that make the scam more successful.
       | 
       | Right now, there's an active google ads phishing campaign
       | targeting the "Biswap" crypto exchange, so if you google
       | "Biswap," there's a good chance you'll see fake Google ads. If
       | the very first thing you see on Google is what you're looking
       | for, and it leads you to a site that looks just like the site you
       | expect to be on - why would you think twice?
       | 
       | We've also seen cases where scammers create fake support accounts
       | to impersonate legitimate organizations, such as Opensea, and use
       | Twitter to trick victims onto counterfeit sites. The sites may
       | seem obvious on their own, but when you combine these additional
       | steps scammers take, it's clear to see why the scammers are
       | having so much success.
       | 
       | Here's our Twitter feed where we post some of what we find on our
       | day-to-day. https://twitter.com/GuardYourDomain
        
       | Mvandenbergh wrote:
       | Maybe I'm missing something, but there's something that I don't
       | get about DeFi.
       | 
       | My understanding of the idea is this:
       | 
       | 1) Using distributed code, the operation of which is assured by
       | code on a blockchain based system like Ethereum, lending and
       | investment can happen without the intermediation of banks and
       | capital markets gate keepers. The savings from cutting these
       | layers out can be shared between the supply and demand side of
       | capital.
       | 
       | 2) On a temporary basis only, some element of the rewards of
       | contributing external capital, computational power, or other
       | resources to a particular pool of capital are "extra" on top of
       | the core capital allocation function of the pool. These can be
       | structured in various ways but essentially the idea is to
       | bootstrap money into the pools through a reward system that
       | declines over time.
       | 
       | 3) If the core proposition, that there is gain to be had from the
       | disintermediation, is true, then at some point pools reach a sort
       | of "ignition" point where the pool exists for _that_ purpose only
       | and the temporary bonuses are no longer required. This would mean
       | that despite structural similarities, these are not Ponzi schemes
       | since there is an _eventual_ state reached were a real function
       | is being performed. Some people will stop contributing to a pool
       | as the rewards taper, but that won 't matter because most of the
       | money is now in there to be lent out for profit.
       | 
       | 4) If that core proposition is not true, then they are Ponzi
       | schemes because all the growth is coming from the rewards.
       | 
       | My problem with (1) is that these are already relatively low
       | margin activities so how can there be enough disintermediation to
       | go at once you account for the default and scam risk on the side
       | of the borrower? It isn't the case that capital is expensive
       | right now, tech investors are giving it away like its going out
       | of fashion, headline borrowing rates are incredibly low, PE is
       | going crazy buying everything. It's also striking to me that the
       | promoters of these DeFi schemes spend so much time on bringing in
       | new lenders but very little seems to be done on the borrower
       | side. Surely if you're building a sustainable capital allocation
       | business, you need a pool of borrowers? Ideally one in a business
       | where they can provide substantial collateral for their loan,
       | support high returns, but somehow can't access other forms of
       | finance (but not because their business is illegal). That would
       | seem to be a rare commodity so I'm surprised not to see pools
       | fighting over access to these borrowers.
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | > business where they can provide substantial collateral for
         | their loan, support high returns, but somehow can't access
         | other forms of finance
         | 
         | Apparently the answer is "crypto margin trading".
        
           | Mvandenbergh wrote:
           | So it seems. That does mean that there is a non-scam
           | explanation from where genuine returns come from but doesn't
           | solve the bigger problem since the consequences of a major
           | disruption to the traded assets could cause massive losses.
           | Is this just a pennies in front of steamrollers type trade
           | like other basis trades?
        
         | Joeri wrote:
         | What is missing in that explanation for me is the increase in
         | value from perceived artificial scarcity.
         | 
         | Like paint on paper costs almost nothing until it has the right
         | artificially scarce provenance and becomes a work of art, some
         | cryptocurrencies can become valuable to hold and trade in and
         | of themselves thanks to perceived scarcity.
        
         | lottin wrote:
         | DeFi is not well-suited to do finance, i.e. lending and
         | borrowing, because enforcing financial contracts typically
         | requires the ability to exert coercive power, which DeFi can't
         | do. As a result, DeFi can only implement a small subset of not
         | super-useful financial operations. It cannot replace
         | conventional finance by any stretch of the imagination.
        
           | Mvandenbergh wrote:
           | Yeah. It would have to be a business where the assets of the
           | operating business were themselves somehow subject to the
           | blockchain logic but I can't see how that would work.
        
       | BlueTemplar wrote:
       | Am I reading this right ?
       | 
       | $2M scammed by a rug pull named... "WarOnRugs" ?!
        
       | amitkgupta84 wrote:
       | > The most important takeaway is to avoid new tokens that haven't
       | undergone a code audit. Code audits are a process by which a
       | third-party firm analyzes the code of the smart contract behind a
       | new token or other DeFi project, and publicly confirms that the
       | contract's governance rules are iron clad and contain no
       | mechanisms that would allow for the developers to make off with
       | investors' funds.
       | 
       | But how do you know which third party auditors to trust?
       | 
       | What DeFi projects are laying bare is that it's an absolute
       | marvel that we have functional societies at the scale we do today
       | (USA, EU). Most people can live their lives intuitively knowing
       | which instructions to trust (financial, groceries, restaurants,
       | medical, you name it). All of it is ultimately backed by laws,
       | systems, real people who can be held accountable, and government
       | monopoly of force. Furthermore we rarely have to see that stuff
       | for the system to work and that monopoly on force is rarely
       | abused.
       | 
       | It could be a meaningful technological shift if a lot of the
       | financial infrastructure goes decentralized,
       | digitized/programmatic, and open source. But I'm dubious the
       | mainstream person's day to day experience will change much, the
       | stability and peace of mind afforded by the structures of our
       | current society are pretty amazing and I don't see them being
       | replicated in a purely digital and decentralized form.
        
         | tenebrisalietum wrote:
         | In the US:
         | 
         | financial -> 2008 subprime loan crisis, recent inflation
         | 
         | groceries -> couldn't buy toilet paper at the start of the
         | pandemic, still some lingering supply issues, prices going up
         | 
         | restaurants -> many not open reliable hours anymore, many
         | closing
         | 
         | medical -> costs way too high and continue to rise, hospitals
         | oversaturated with patients from time to time, nurses quitting
         | 
         | All of it is ultimately backed by laws, systems, real people
         | who can be held accountable -> maybe if you are rich
         | 
         | I can't fault the average-income (or slightly higher/lower)
         | person for having the point of view that these are starting to
         | fall apart and aspects of DeFi becoming attractive, even though
         | the practicalities have a long way to go before they would
         | become anywhere near as foundational.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | What aspects of DeFi look attractive exactly? Yield of some
           | digital coin which only has value relative to a fiat
           | currency?
           | 
           | Your local bank at least complies with regulations that cap
           | transaction fees for your chequing account. Meanwhile, ETH
           | gas fees are completely unpredictable, and can easily be
           | higher than the amount you're transferring.
        
         | wizzwizz4 wrote:
         | > _It could be a meaningful technological shift if a lot of the
         | financial infrastructure goes decentralized_
         | 
         | It's important to note that "DeFi" is more centralised than our
         | existing financial infrastructure. (Also, our existing
         | infrastructure mostly uses open, public, well-known standards
         | with many implementations; most DeFi stuff... documents how it
         | currently works, I guess? Though it's hard to find that
         | documentation.)
        
           | spinny wrote:
           | have you tried google?
        
             | NationalPark wrote:
             | Seems super unlikely that somebody with a HN account is
             | unfamiliar with search engines, doesn't it?
        
               | spinny wrote:
               | Seems super unlikely that somebody with a HN account
               | can't find docs for defi projects that in most cases have
               | github accounts with available contracts and api docs,
               | doesn't it?
               | 
               | Maybe it's just deceptive
        
               | erulabs wrote:
               | And not to mention that by definition, those DeFi
               | contracts are readable. The actual code, itself. Sure,
               | there might be (and probably are) bugs, and we need
               | auditing tools, the list goes on, but at least it's not a
               | black box.
        
             | wizzwizz4 wrote:
             | If you know where the documentation for the most _popular_
             | DeFi system, Bitcoin, is, then by all means share it.
             | 
             | * What does the peer-to-peer network protocol look like?
             | 
             | * How do I make a transaction / mine a block?
             | 
             | I know how to do this using end-user wallet applications,
             | but the _open protocols_ are so _very_ well documented that
             | I 'm _sure_ you can find this information easily.
             | 
             | The pages that show up in search results[0][1] don't really
             | have this information. It gives me a high-level overview,
             | tells me that it uses TCP and which port it uses, and gives
             | the structure of the TCP packets (with _some_ examples),
             | but there 's a whole load of stuff that's just never
             | defined. To actually understand what's going on, I then
             | have to read the source code.
             | 
             | And... making a transaction?[3] Mining a block?[2] No
             | chance. I know it's "double SHA256" and that's about it. (I
             | can look at the source code to find out, sure... but an
             | open standard? Open secret, more like. The flaming
             | whitepaper[4] is more useful than these docs.)
             | 
             | This is Bitcoin, the best-known, most-popular, (presumably)
             | best-documented DeFi system on the 'net. Ethereum has... a
             | blog post, an onlinelibrary.wiley.com book and an academic
             | article. I don't even want to _know_ what other stuff has.
             | Most DeFi garbage barely has a whitepaper.
             | 
             | [0]:
             | https://developer.bitcoin.org/devguide/p2p_network.html
             | 
             | [1]:
             | https://developer.bitcoin.org/reference/p2p_networking.html
             | 
             | [2]: https://developer.bitcoin.org/reference/block_chain.ht
             | ml#ser...
             | 
             | [3]:
             | https://developer.bitcoin.org/reference/transactions.html
             | 
             | [4]: https://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf (which has apparently
             | been taken down...?) https://web.archive.org/web/2014032013
             | 5003if_/https://bitcoi...
        
               | spinny wrote:
               | "How do I make a transaction / mine a block?" that's a
               | "how does it works ?" kind of question, you need to know
               | how all the small parts work to explain the
               | functionality.
               | 
               | Yes, some aspects you need to look at the code, others
               | you will find documented
               | 
               | i would recommend https://learnmeabitcoin.com/ which has
               | very in-depth resources but it seems to be down at the
               | moment
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | > _you need to know how all the small parts work to
               | explain the functionality._
               | 
               | I _know_ how all the small parts work. It 's not new
               | technology. I just don't know how Bitcoin does it! To
               | mine a block, you:
               | 
               | * collect a load of transactions (somehow)
               | 
               | * validate them (the obvious stuff, plus the special
               | transaction type requirements, plus unspecified
               | "consensus" magic I can't find anywhere)
               | 
               | * put them in a block (somehow) along with the hash of
               | the most recent block
               | 
               | * keep changing a certain bit of the block until
               | SHA256(f(SHA256(block))) is low enough (with some f:
               | digest - bitstring)
               | 
               | But I can't fill in the gaps.
        
               | spinny wrote:
               | collect a load of transactions (somehow): by this you
               | mean the mempool. the implementation is client dependent,
               | it uses the p2p network to receive new txs, thats what
               | you need to look at to know how to "get txs from the
               | network". some implementations have better documentation.
               | if you need to look at code i would recommend the go
               | implementation https://github.com/btcsuite just because
               | it looks cleaner to me.
               | 
               | validate them: your best resource for this is code. your
               | client needs to keep old consensus code around and use it
               | to verify block under the older rules (your client will
               | do a full sync at some point)
               | 
               | rules for formatting a transactions and blocks (and a
               | byte by byte explanation) can be found on
               | https://learnmeabitcoin.com/ as mentioned (probably will
               | be up soon)
               | 
               | keep changing a certain bit of the block until
               | SHA256(f(SHA256(block))) is low enough (with some f:
               | digest - bitstring): yes. you set the block nonce to
               | mine. finding a block means that the hash256() operation
               | (sha256(sha256(block))) returns an hash with at least D
               | (either left or right most, can't recall right now) bits
               | set to 0, where D is the current difficult, which is
               | adjusted by the network to make the 10min/block average
               | time
        
               | erulabs wrote:
               | Calling Bitcoin defi slightly stretches the definition.
               | Typically defi relates to smart contracts - of which
               | there is plenty of documentation, and which is vastly
               | -not- built on Bitcoin. Saying "Bitcoin is defi and look,
               | no defi docs!" is ignorant and best and aggressively
               | disingenuous at worst. Yes BTC is decentralized finance,
               | but it's not the same as "DeFi" strictly speaking.
               | 
               | If you want to read some "DeFi docs", there are PLENTY -
               | you can start here:
               | https://docs.soliditylang.org/en/v0.8.10/
        
               | wizzwizz4 wrote:
               | Bitcoin _does_ have smart contracts; it has its own
               | bytecode language. What about it _isn 't_ "DeFi"?
        
         | lupire wrote:
         | people say "oh Bitcoin is mature it's 10 years old".
         | 
         | Meanwhile the world is amazed that the United States is so
         | stable at only 200 years old.
         | 
         | And these shitcoins are _weeks_ old. and these aren 't new
         | products. Each one is, by design, a new governance structure.
         | 
         | Would you take a vacation or move your life to a country that
         | was invented last week.... by anonymous people?
        
         | theogravity wrote:
         | A lot of DeFi scams claim that an auditing company has audited
         | their code. There's also scam auditing companies too that work
         | with these DeFi scams to add to the false legitimacy.
        
           | drsnow wrote:
           | Can you provide a source or two for these claims?
        
           | iszomer wrote:
           | I've seen projects go as far to claim to have their code
           | audited by simply hosting it on a public github repo.
        
           | dcist wrote:
           | What are the scam auditing companies?
        
       | vmception wrote:
       | I think "rug pulls" is not defined well.
       | 
       | One example of a "rug pull" is that the team provided liquidity
       | to the AMM liquidity pool, and then removed it, leaving people
       | with no where to trade the token. Its honestly hard for me to
       | call that a scam, although I understand the community expectation
       | being undermined.
       | 
       | First: the SEC exacerbates this reality. Tokens that don't want
       | to be considered a security have to consider NOT providing an
       | expectation of liquidity. The team has to avoid expectations of
       | providing secondary market liquidity just to stay out of the
       | crosshairs of the SEC. And even in SEC registered land, If you
       | look at the "risk factors" section of public equities, they
       | frequently say "there may be no market for these securities, a
       | secondary market may never form, there is no guarantee that it
       | will always be there", which is true in all markets!
       | 
       | Second: with the advent of AMMs, ANYONE can provide assets into
       | the liquidity pool. (even the acronym of AMM don't tell you much
       | about what this is, its just a different model of exchange that
       | is very popular). So even if token traders had been relying on
       | the team under an unspoken symbiosis of the team providing
       | liquidity, the token traders now can do it themselves. This is
       | also very common. The token traders typically follow incentives
       | to actually do it, but they CAN without those incentives.
       | 
       | Third: Token traders are the community and can take over any
       | project to try to make their investment more profitable, it just
       | requires more risk. It happens, but the times it doesn't happen
       | the token traders just stop engaging with the project as well.
       | 
       | How can this be distinguished from other "rug pulls"? I don't
       | think it is possible.
        
         | PragmaticPulp wrote:
         | > One example of a "rug pull" is that the team provided
         | liquidity to the AMM liquidity pool, and then removed it,
         | leaving people with no where to trade the token. Its honestly
         | hard for me to call that a scam
         | 
         | If the team went through all of these steps with the intention
         | of pumping the value of the coin, hyping others into buying it,
         | and then extracting as much money from them as possible with no
         | intentions of helping the coin succeed long-term, that seems
         | like a scam to me.
         | 
         | The victim-blaming mentality runs deep in the cryptocurrency
         | world. It's fascinating how many people in the cryptocurrency
         | space are reluctant to call a spade a spade only because the
         | underlying blockchain or algorithmic rules weren't violated.
        
           | vmception wrote:
           | And you think thats what I just did here? Describing why the
           | categorization is wrong to you is a symptom of victim
           | blaming?
           | 
           | My point stands that the community can do what the team did
           | but fail to take further risk or organize. They disperse just
           | like the issuer did, when in fact they do all have agency and
           | can fill the vacuum. _unless_ the token was backdoored, then
           | we can call it a scam.
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | If the original team made promises with no intention of
             | fulfilling them, and didn't, it's a scam. If on the other
             | hand the community could do the same thing .. why did they
             | need to pay the organizers (and their premine) in the first
             | place?
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | team allocations aren't always the case. if chainanalysis
               | is looking at the rug pulls that I'm talking about, then
               | much of the time there was no upfront capital to the team
               | with a separate premined allocation. many issuers are
               | currently putting all the tokens created directly into a
               | liquidity pool paired against capital they already had,
               | bots and individuals buy into the liquidity pool and
               | receive the new token, pushing up the price in the
               | process, and then the issuer unbundles the liquidity
               | pool, leaving no pool, (while acquiring the liquid
               | capital added to the pool by purchases. AMMs function by
               | then having less of the issuer's tokens and more of the
               | tokens that were used to purchase the issuer's token)
               | 
               | these are colloquially called rug pulls, because the
               | liquidity pool was the rug. these happen _so_ fast these
               | days. These things can play out completely within 20
               | minutes, as bots and individuals are scanning the
               | blockchain mempool for erc20 token creation transactions
               | and liquidity pool creation transactions, just to get
               | into a potential big project before anyone else.
               | 
               | here, the traders are at no disadvantage to the issuer,
               | from a community perspective, to continue the project and
               | attempt making their investment valuable, specifically by
               | adding to a liquidity pool themselves.
               | 
               | again, my main point is that things that are very common
               | are not being distinguished from whatever you or others
               | want to argue about. its an article about this year, not
               | 2017, not 2018, or some other year dominated by an
               | antiquated style of ICOs.
               | 
               | there is _something_ to debate, but the vocabulary itself
               | doesn 't allow it, perpetuated by an organization that
               | gets no benefit from distinguishing as all they want is
               | technology contracts from governments.
        
             | mraudiobook_com wrote:
             | How do you reply to a comment so fast. Is there a way to
             | get notified if your comment gets replied to?
        
         | Animats wrote:
         | (OK, who went and made Hacker News text uncopyable?)
         | 
         |  _I think "rug pulls" is not defined well._
         | 
         | It's a standard type of investment scam, "take the money and
         | run". The SEC even has a video for the clueless.[1] And a web
         | site on ICOs.[2]
         | 
         | This scam long predates cryptocurrency, or the Internet.
         | Newspapers made mass-marketing a scam possible. That started
         | about two centuries ago. Most scam types, like this one, are
         | old. They just keep coming around in shiny new wrapping paper.
         | This isn't innovation.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FSBMSSnZ4Ro
         | 
         | [2] https://www.howeycoins.com/index.html
        
           | DennisP wrote:
           | I just copied text out of your comment and pasted it here:
           | 
           | > It's a standard type of investment scam
        
           | vmception wrote:
           | The "innovation" here would be the ease in which communities
           | can take over projects if they coordinate.
           | 
           | But upon a second reading, I don't think you get my point
           | that there are categories of things called "rug pulls" and
           | the chainanalysis article does not distinguish well. I also
           | think distinguishing is not possible to reach consensus,
           | right now, but attempts should be made.
        
         | kristintynski wrote:
         | Dogebonk is a good example of a community taking over a token,
         | renouncing contract, locking liq etc. fascinating to see a true
         | community meme engine revving up.
        
           | vmception wrote:
           | Great, yeah, a lot of people aren't inspired enough to
           | consider doing that, and others don't know it happens. The
           | more examples the better. People really aren't as helpless in
           | the crypto space as they act, or prompt onlookers to think.
        
       | deafnun wrote:
       | Honestly, it's up to the buyer to take the responsibility read
       | through the contracts on these tokens, run them through tools
       | like token sniffer, look at the holder distribution, see if
       | contracts are renounced, see if there were air drops to pre-sales
       | to friends and token creators, do their research and see how the
       | community is interacting, and making sure that all the boxes tick
       | before throwing their own hard earned money at it. If you lose,
       | that's the risk you took for the gains you wanted. Sucks to suck,
       | but you're responsible for homework that you do before buying
       | into a token and you're responsible for the money that you win or
       | lose.
        
       | salmonet wrote:
       | How much have cryptocurrency non-scams earned owners in 2021?
        
       | marban wrote:
       | I found https://moonarch.app/ > top gainers, to be a good
       | starting point to watch from the sidelines.
        
       | literallyWTF wrote:
       | Yeah but like, it's going to revolutionize fiat currency via
       | blockchain fundamentals and decentralized, high fidelity, p2p
       | transactions!
       | 
       | Also, I accidentally sent money to the wrong address, is there a
       | support number I can call to reverse that?
        
         | askonomm wrote:
         | I also lost the access to my wallet. Is there an office I can
         | show up at with my identification and get a new one?
        
       | somewhereoutth wrote:
       | Arguably, _all_ crypto currencies are a scam. The only difference
       | is the timescale - even Bitcoin will  'rug-pull' eventually.
       | 
       | The do not have value in any sense - even sending money overseas
       | is cheaper, more convenient, and more secure by traditional
       | methods.
       | 
       | Money going out + money spent on mining = money coming in.
       | 
       | Crypto evangelists are always keen for punters to put in regular
       | amounts - presumably because then someone can take _out_ regular
       | amounts, and so avoid actually having to work for their living.
        
       | Kiro wrote:
       | Cryptocurrencies would be so boring without the scams and
       | shenanigans. I love the wild west.
        
         | lottin wrote:
         | Maybe because without the scams and shenanigans all that
         | remains is some imaginary tokens that literally do nothing and
         | serve no purpose other than "hodling" them?
        
       | tjungblut wrote:
       | Especially the automated scam on ETH is really interesting, I
       | also fell for one the other day.
       | 
       | Somebody creates a new smart contract (token) with a funny brand
       | or meme name, puts liquidity into a DEX like Uniswap and sends
       | the token around to named wallets. Some people hop on the train
       | and swap the token for ETH. The clue and actual scam is that you
       | can't ever sell it. If you decompile the smart contract, only the
       | creator address can ever transfer the token.
       | 
       | The whole play takes 10-14 days, they pull the rug in their
       | liquidity pool and move the money to another wallet to start with
       | a new token. The token I got scammed with ended up making 10 ETH
       | profit, after all transaction costs mind you.
        
         | erichocean wrote:
         | How much liquidity did it take to pull off this scam?
        
           | tjungblut wrote:
           | In my case they had 100ETH, so quite a lot.
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Scams that will collapse in 2022:
       | 
       | * Axie Infinity. That's a Ponzi in the collapse phase. Their
       | Smooth Love Potion token is down 90% and in a screaming dive, and
       | their Axie token is down 37% from peak. That one is going to hurt
       | a lot of poor people in the Philippines. Many quit their jobs to
       | play Axie's play-to-earn game. All the money comes from later
       | entrants, so it's a Ponzi by definition.
       | 
       | * OpenSea. The NFT market is in worse shape than it looks. People
       | are minting crap art like crazy, and people are buying it at
       | inflated prices, hoping to flip it to a greater fool. If you look
       | at actual resales on OpenSea, they're not happening much. The
       | supply of greater fools is running out. As I've pointed out
       | before, this works just like Beanie Babies on eBay. Asking prices
       | around US$5000, actual sales around $50, most items show zero
       | bids. NFT markets don't visibly crash, they just quietly stall.
       | Most NFT markets don't show statistics which expose that.
        
         | lupire wrote:
         | > NFT markets don't visibly crash,
         | 
         | That's a really good point. When a meme stock crashes, it
         | crashes down to raw asset value minus transaction costs.
         | 
         | When the raw asset value is less than transaction costs, the
         | price doesn't drop, the liquidity just vanishes, since there is
         | no "negative price" support like there is for assets that are
         | expensive to hold, like oil.
        
         | dvt wrote:
         | > All the money comes from later entrants, so it's a Ponzi by
         | definition.
         | 
         | Axie is not a Ponzi scheme, but is definitely a pyramid scheme
         | (via their scholarships).
        
           | jazzyjackson wrote:
           | Pyramid is money flows up a hierarchy, Ponzi is money flows
           | from new participants to old participants, in practice there
           | is barely a distinction.
           | 
           | The price of the Axie coin is only supported by new buyers
           | (by definition) and coins being sold are nothing more than
           | early adopters cashing out. Any crypto "going to the moon"
           | has this dynamic, coins being sold at 10,000% ROI is ponzi,
           | early adopter paid by a late adopter, the person who bought
           | at the top has already lost their money.
           | 
           | I guess Axie may be both, since there is also a multi-level
           | dynamic.
        
           | danbolt wrote:
           | Watching the gameplay trailer, I was flabbergasted when they
           | were straight-up said "you can rent out your ingame items to
           | make money!" meanwhile barely expressing the hook for the
           | gameplay. People talk about power fantasies in games, but I
           | never thought that would extend to being a landlord.
        
         | JohnJamesRambo wrote:
         | How could Smooth Love Potion have failed us?
         | 
         | Which brings up my other point, that people know the risks they
         | are taking. Casinos are still legal. Someone that yolos their
         | life savings into Smooth Love Potion was going to lose it some
         | other way. If you don't know your 100% apy isn't sustainable in
         | a DeFi ponzi, that's on you.
        
           | rchaud wrote:
           | Well there's always SafeMoon, a name you can trust.
        
           | dvt wrote:
           | > Casinos are still legal.
           | 
           | Casinos are not pyramid schemes, Axie is.
        
           | mdoms wrote:
           | > Casinos are still legal.
           | 
           | Depends where you are in the world...
        
           | tbabb wrote:
           | Victim-blaming comments like this make me see red.
           | 
           | "The fact that I am able to exploit these people means that I
           | am entitled to" is everything wrong with Silicon Valley.
        
         | whatshisface wrote:
         | Sometime around 2018, not having a clue about popular culture
         | shifted from making you seem lame at parties to insulating you
         | from pyramid schemes.
        
         | darkwizard42 wrote:
         | Agreed on Axie. Disagree on NFT.
         | 
         | NFT is art (VERY LOOSE COMPARISON). If you believe that then of
         | course there is TONS of art that not only has zero bids but
         | also never gets sold. I think NFTs are overhyped now but there
         | is clearly a market for them. Speculating on them is similar to
         | art collecting, all speculative. So I don't see anything
         | inherently wrong with it (something being puffed up isn't
         | illegal)
        
           | realce wrote:
           | It's not "NFT" as a tech, it's the ability for the OpenSea
           | ecosystem to maintain real value throughout time. That's very
           | dubious, it's a house of cards balancing an elephant on top
           | imho.
           | 
           | Natural entropy and new novelty will erode the foundation of
           | that specific ecosystem for something that provides a wider
           | opportunity for more new users to create/retain value.
        
             | kristintynski wrote:
             | Memecoins can at least be tracked in value, the dynamics of
             | these UGC meme driven communities, especially ones like
             | doge, shiba uni, and now dogebonk, the exponential
             | community growth effects are what matter most.
        
       | janmo wrote:
       | And there are many ponzis out there. Celsius Network ($25billion)
       | being the biggest one. Read more:
       | https://rorodi.substack.com/p/the-biggest-crypto-lending-com...
        
         | pabl8k wrote:
         | There are definitely ponzi schemes in defi, but I'm not sure
         | celsius is one just because they pay what seem on face to be
         | impossible rates. Gemini, which is regulated and based out of
         | NYC, offers 8% on GUSD, their USD stablecoin. My understanding
         | is returns on this come from a huge demand for crypto lending
         | from institutions participating in the "basis trade", and a
         | limited supply of USD lending available to them for it due to
         | custodianship and regulator issues with cryptocurrencies.
         | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-27/crypto-sh...
        
           | reducesuffering wrote:
           | My understanding is that the bond market is highly efficient
           | and there is no free lunch. An interest bearing security
           | yielding 8% is a junk bond in today's territory because risk
           | free rate is 0%, and stable corp bonds like Apples are like
           | 1%. 8% is like the price of Argentinian bonds, meaning there
           | is a relatively high chance of default to incentivize capital
           | there compared to the safe 0-1%.
           | 
           | Default meaning, the Gemini coin will be worthless when you
           | try to withdraw. You could try to ride 8% junk bonds for 3-24
           | months too.
        
             | pabl8k wrote:
             | Yes definitely it could be because of risk. There is also a
             | risk that the GUSD isn't returned (with Gemini it's not
             | actually defi, there is no smart contract mandating its
             | return, there is counterparty risk). I'm not saying it's 8%
             | risk free when the risk free rate is 0%. But the article
             | indicates that there is an actual inefficiency here due to
             | institutional restrictions on cryptocurrencies and an
             | institutional demand for products that approximate them.
        
       | timdaub wrote:
       | My project's goal is to increase the safety in the DeFi space
       | (actually just a small subspace for now): We're monitoring token
       | pools for "rug pulls" and giving them a "safety" rating:
       | https://rugpullindex.com
       | 
       | I also wrote a blog post about the safety crisis in smart
       | contract development:
       | https://timdaub.github.io/2021/12/08/illuminating-the-dark-f...
        
       | zozin wrote:
       | The DotCom Bubble/scam led to investor losses in excess of $5
       | trillion.
        
         | dumbfounder wrote:
         | So it seems like you are saying DotComs were a scam? Which is
         | obviously insane. I believe we are seeing something similar in
         | crypto. Yes to bubble, and yes there are scams, but wow it
         | seems like there are a lot of people here that think the entire
         | thing is a scam. There are a lot of insanely smart people
         | working on this that are obviously not doing scams, maybe you
         | should take a deeper look?
        
           | can16358p wrote:
           | Agreed. Super-smart people made these systems possible. Sad
           | to see many people associate crypto with scams and illegal
           | stuff. Well, I've bought a tshirt with Ether and VPN
           | subscription to access Wikipedia and YouTube, from a country
           | that blocks many common VPNs. Super, illegal.
           | 
           | Let them keep saying crypto is scam, people who believe in it
           | will win in the long run anyway.
        
         | bananabernhard wrote:
         | yeah, but the 7.7B is only the scam part - I'd suspect the
         | bubble part of cryptocurrencies and NFTs will be much higher
        
         | pjc50 wrote:
         | I guess that's from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-
         | com_bubble ?
         | 
         | That's reported as a drop from the peak. But it doesn't
         | necessarily reflect the real losses, in terms of initial
         | investment. It's a number larger than the total amount of
         | "real" M0 money in 2000, for example! Feels more like "an
         | unrealized gain that never materialized" than "loss".
         | 
         | I remember that time, it was just after I graduated. There was
         | a lot of business craziness on a scale that defi is yet to
         | reach, although it's already hit some of my peak markers like
         | "rename a stadium".
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | djohnston wrote:
       | How much is lost to fraud globally each year? 8B doesn't sound
       | that large tbh.
        
       | isoprophlex wrote:
       | The optimal level of fraud in society is not 0, as combating
       | fraud costs money.
       | 
       | I'm not sure if the current level of crypto-enabled pump and dump
       | is the optimal level though ;)
        
       | cheeseomlit wrote:
       | If you put money into an obvious scam you deserve to lose it.
       | Hopefully they learned something from the experience, but I doubt
       | it
        
       | anm89 wrote:
       | It's hard to understand what to do about this without making some
       | sort of congressional committee to decide which cryptos are good
       | ones and which aren't (and that will obviously never happen and
       | shouldn't)
       | 
       | People have a right to spend their money on things. If the choose
       | to spend their money on nonsense that has no contractual
       | obligation to return their funds to them that seems like a legal
       | transaction when the funds don't get returned.
       | 
       | I do feel for some of the people who thought they could have a
       | better life by 10xing or 100xing their networth on scam coins but
       | the reality is they didn't do their research and willingly walked
       | into this.
        
         | CincinnatiMan wrote:
         | To a certain extent there's value in stopping individuals from
         | giving away their entire networth though, whether they lose it
         | through insecure crypto or to fraudsters calling about "an
         | amazing investment opportunity". People whose lives are wiped
         | out don't simply cease to exist, they very well can become a
         | burden on other members of society.
         | 
         | A lot of decisions we make in the modern day have guardrails
         | set up to protect the individual to a varying extent (which is
         | often a topic of politics), so it may be we eventually get
         | guardrails in the crypto space as well.
        
       | JumpCrisscross wrote:
       | The "I have no sympathy for the victims" comments are crass. But
       | there is a legitimate question of how much law enforcement these
       | crimes deserve.
       | 
       | Arizona has a stupid motorists law [1]. If a car "becomes
       | stranded after driving around barricades to enter a flooded
       | stretch of roadway," the driver "may be charged for the cost of
       | their rescue." A similar concept for crypto may be necessary. Law
       | enforcement will pursue. But if they catch the crooks, the cost
       | of enforcement is deducted from the proceeds and flows straight
       | to the Treasury.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stupid_motorist_law
        
         | throwaway6734 wrote:
         | Any funds allocated to crypto law enforcement should be
         | allocated to punishing tax cheats first
        
           | bilbo0s wrote:
           | Make it a business decision.
           | 
           | Find out how much money we can get policing crypto. We can
           | even charge a greater percentage of potential funds recovered
           | to extract an amount that would make it worth our while. At
           | any rate, with that data we could determine if the money is
           | better spent policing tax cheats.
           | 
           | In short if we're going to get paid well, we should help. If
           | not? Well, sorry crypto bros. Sucks to be you.
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | I mean, why not both? There's an entertaining subgenre of
             | police blotter reports where people report their illegal
             | drugs stolen. If people report crypto assets stolen (which
             | they very rarely do), maybe have a look at how they
             | acquired them and whether it was reported to the revenue
             | first.
        
               | throwaway6734 wrote:
               | What's the incentive to spending tax money to help
               | protect a system who's focus is to undermine the state's
               | control over its currency?
        
         | Mvandenbergh wrote:
         | The flipside of that is that the effective capital markets we
         | have depend on a level of trust which could easily be eroded.
         | There were weeks this year where I saw advertisements all over
         | London for DeFi products and cryptocurrency trading portals. I
         | don't think the majority of people putting money in there had
         | any idea whatsoever what they were doing.
        
           | tata71 wrote:
           | Darwin called for you.
        
           | ajross wrote:
           | That's a bit circular though. I mean, to be clear I don't
           | agree with the upthread point that we should deemphasize
           | crypto crimes. But that said... the trust in the DeFi economy
           | is being eroded _right now_ , and for some very rational
           | reasons.
           | 
           | It's certainly not the government's job to jump in and prop
           | up financial systems in which it's not involved. Its interest
           | is in protecting its own citizens from criminality, not in
           | the level of "trust" in "DeFi".
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | pjc50 wrote:
             | > trust in the DeFi economy
             | 
             | I thought the whole point was to be trustless?
        
               | Sharlin wrote:
               | Having trust in a system is different from trusting
               | individual actors. You have to trust _something_ ,
               | there's no way around it.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | It may be technically different, but it's no different at
               | all for the average consumer who hasn't done a threat
               | analysis.
        
               | selestify wrote:
               | In general, one shouldn't "invest" in things one doesn't
               | understand very well.
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | A fairly meaningless statement in reality, since it's not
               | how most people behave.
        
               | selestify wrote:
               | Well, what is there to do about it? A fool and their
               | money are soon parted. Must we coddle them at the expense
               | of everyone else?
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | Just like with any kind of criminal, stopping deceptive
               | crypto scammers isn't 'coddling' people at the expense of
               | everyone else.
               | 
               | Society relies on trust. The crypto dream that it can be
               | trustless is just a way to cheat people.
        
               | selestify wrote:
               | > Just like with any kind of criminal, stopping deceptive
               | crypto scammers isn't 'coddling' people at the expense of
               | everyone else.
               | 
               | It is if you're trying to stop these scams by putting
               | greater constraints on, say, the fiat on- and off-ramps.
               | 
               | I mean, how exactly are you going to stop the average
               | investor in doing something dumb like dumping their money
               | into a shady project, without placing additional hurdles
               | on everyone else? The whole point is that you're allowed
               | to move, manage, and spend your assets as you see fit,
               | without any government's ability to freeze your assets or
               | block you from accessing financial services via sanctions
               | -- for better or for worse, of course. And yes, the
               | freedom to manage your assets as you see fit includes the
               | freedom to make stupid financial decisions -- as you see
               | fit.
        
               | chipotle_coyote wrote:
               | It is, and I've had a nagging suspicion for a while now
               | that this is the flaw at the heart of cryptocurrency and
               | related phenomena. It's all built on the premise that the
               | answer to "we can't trust existing institutions" is to
               | try and design systems that don't require us to have
               | trust in any actor, but as Sharlin noted, it's difficult
               | to impossible to do anything transactional that doesn't
               | require _some_ level of trust. Perhaps  "trust no one" is
               | not actually the right solution to the problem.
        
               | TimJRobinson wrote:
               | It's the same as open source software, most people don't
               | personally look at the source code of the Linux Kernel,
               | but they trust it more than Windows because they know
               | many thousands of others have looked at it and haven't
               | found issues.
               | 
               | Open systems lead to less trust required, because anyone
               | can verify and report issues. Open finance leads to less
               | trust required because anyone can verify and report
               | issues with the smart contracts.
        
               | tata71 wrote:
               | > haven't found issues
               | 
               | No, they have.
               | 
               | https://www.cvedetails.com/vulnerability-
               | list.php?vendor_id=...
               | 
               | That's just less important than running free software to
               | some people. For better or worse.
        
               | pjc50 wrote:
               | > anyone can verify and report issues with the smart
               | contracts.
               | 
               | .. anyone who finds an issue in a smart contract can just
               | steal it. Potentially all of it. Pseudonymously.
        
               | AnthonyMouse wrote:
               | The real problem is that if you don't trust the existing
               | system, the normal solution is to patronize a different
               | one. Go trust a bank in Japan or Switzerland or India or
               | Brazil, which has a decent enough reputation but does
               | things differently.
               | 
               | But the existing system latches onto any point of
               | centralization in any kind of alternative and uses it to
               | impose the same problematic constraints of the existing
               | system that the alternative was intended to redress.
               | Hence the desire for decentralization. The lack of those
               | pressure points.
               | 
               | It would work well enough if we would just have multiple
               | banking systems and let them compete with each other
               | without international pressure to conform to a uniform
               | set of defects, but that isn't what we have. So how do we
               | fix that, if not with this?
        
               | astoor wrote:
               | > _I thought the whole point was to be trustless?_
               | 
               | No, it is not trustless, it simply shifts trust from
               | central authorities to more nebulous entities such as
               | anonymous developers, shady mining cartels, unregulated
               | exchanges, and even yourself to not lose your private
               | keys. Which you consider to be better is essentially a
               | political decision.
        
               | AnthonyMouse wrote:
               | The obvious solution is to have both and then make sure
               | that people understand what they're getting into.
               | 
               | Traditional banks should exist and be regulated and
               | insured etc. People with a low risk tolerance should be
               | encouraged to use them.
               | 
               | People with a higher risk tolerance or who are trying to
               | do something innovative or disruptive should have a
               | system that works for them too. People with a low risk
               | tolerance are not required to use it. People with a high
               | risk tolerance will be exposed to a high risk, as
               | requested.
        
               | tata71 wrote:
               | This is a really gloomy look on "distributed".
        
               | ajross wrote:
               | That's the core semantic confusion at the heart of this
               | issue. Cryptocurrency protocols eliminated the need for
               | trust _for cryptocurrency transactions_. So you can
               | exchange BTC or ETH all day and night and always know who
               | you 're paying and no one can get in the middle and mess
               | that up.
               | 
               | But it does nothing for transactions outside of that
               | world. The core idea behind the "DeFi economy" is making
               | things happen _in the real world_ (by financing business
               | ideas, buying 230 year old documents, etc...). And that
               | part requires that the crypto resources be given to some
               | kind of real actor in the real world who 's going to do
               | something real with them.
               | 
               | And those actors are people, and they cheat. Hence the
               | new term of art "rugging". You can cheat people in the
               | crypto world, in some sense, more easily than you can
               | regular consumers precisely because they got fooled into
               | thinking they didn't need to trust you.
        
         | mdoms wrote:
         | > The "I have no sympathy for the victims" comments are crass.
         | 
         | No, they're not. They're entirely reasonable. Stop trying to
         | shame people for expressing a common, reasonable and fair
         | opinion that you don't like.
        
           | jakeva wrote:
           | But shaming victims is acceptable?
        
             | this_user wrote:
             | They are only victims of their own greed and ignorance.
             | It's like ending up in the hospital because you chose not
             | to get vaccinated against COVID: People have been trying to
             | warn you for years, but you wouldn't listen, and now you
             | are paying the price.
        
           | damidekronik wrote:
           | Since when scamming is something we should be ok with?
        
             | mdoms wrote:
             | 100% of Crypto "investors" are speculators looking for a
             | quick buck by investing in a system that is pumping
             | needlessly huge amount of carbon into the atmosphere.
             | They're not well-meaning victims who stumbled into the bad
             | part of town, they are greedy thoughtless people in search
             | of free money.
        
               | tromp wrote:
               | These rug-pull scams rely on the developers having tons
               | of tokens to sell to investors, which is mostly confined
               | to use of Proof of Stake.
               | 
               | So your environmental criticism of Proof of Work is not
               | applicable here. A PoW coin with no premine doesn't allow
               | for a rug pull.
        
               | optimalsolver wrote:
               | What are some notable proof-of-work tokens that didn't
               | have a premine?
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | zepto wrote:
               | I think that's unfair.
               | 
               | They may be in search of outsized returns, but I think
               | people can absolutely be victims of the 'have fun staying
               | poor' meme. The implication is that if you don't buy into
               | crypto your assets will be decimated by inflation. I
               | think it's reasonable to consider that it's not 'greed'
               | but rather fear of being left behind that is driving many
               | victims.
        
           | mraudiobook_com wrote:
           | It's not common at all. I lost $10k in crypto to downloaded
           | malware. I filed a police report and tell the story all the
           | time. Very few people are psychopathic enough to blame the
           | victim of a robbery.
        
           | ziddoap wrote:
           | > _Stop trying to shame people for expressing a common,
           | reasonable and fair opinion that you don 't like._
           | 
           | I realize the dangers of posting something remotely pro-
           | crypto on HN, but I have to say this is a pretty rich
           | comment. Shame is all that is doled out to the many people
           | who have reasonable and fair opinions about cryptocurrency
           | that you don't like (such as thinking some cryptocurrencies
           | are reasonable or worth speculating over).
        
             | bena wrote:
             | Really? I see a lot of pro-crypto statements on here as
             | well.
             | 
             | If anything, I'd say the corner is turning and the
             | previously pro-crypto HN is just now becoming more anti-
             | crypto.
        
           | donkarma wrote:
           | yes i'll be sure to have no sympathy for your grandmother the
           | next time she gets robbed by scammers
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _They 're entirely reasonable_
           | 
           | I agree. They are not unreasonable. They are crass. If a
           | child is told not to touch a stove and then burns herself, I
           | may consider them stupid, but I can still have sympathy for
           | the pain they are experiencing.
        
         | hobolobo wrote:
         | That would likely create a perverse incentive.
        
         | _fat_santa wrote:
         | These sorts of rug-pulls blur the line between legal and
         | illegal though. Take the "Save the Kids" token [1]. In this
         | case, they hyped up this token, their audience bought into it
         | thus jacking up the liquidity, and right around the top all the
         | folks that were hyping the token sell off and everyone is left
         | with a token that's basically worthless.
         | 
         | When we talk about law enforcement stepping in, I struggle to
         | see what they could possibly help with in scenarios like this.
         | TBH the FTC or SEC needs to step in and investigate these
         | instances.
         | 
         | [1]: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Xw9rWmTQfc
        
         | CalChris wrote:
         | This is a form of _asset forfeiture_ which would be absolutely
         | ripe for abuse. It is truly an awful idea.
        
         | Jerrrry wrote:
         | Technical hacks against the protocol and implementations are
         | fair game, and is the implicit incentive that balances the
         | market.
         | 
         | Social engineering and financial hacks are not fair game, and
         | are "illicit" in the sense that crypto is obviously an
         | international martial zone.
         | 
         | Exhaustively brute forcing a keyspace is valid, making your
         | username an XSS to steal funds from an insecure page/downstream
         | app is not valid.
         | 
         | Finding and leveraging an exploit in a contract is valid, both
         | a paper/legal contract and a literal codified Eutherem
         | contract. Flashing incorrect token prices on CoinMarketCap.com
         | to take advantage of (unauthorized? grey) downstream
         | screenscrapers and rugpulling affected tokens is NOT valid,
         | but, admittedly murkier.
        
           | opportune wrote:
           | Fair game and valid according to whom? You cannot legally rob
           | a bank just because they left it unlocked and unmanned. It
           | might be possible to take crypto due to a bug in a protocol,
           | and arguably justifiable, but that doesn't mean it would hold
           | up in court if you were identified as the one using the
           | exploit.
        
             | JumpCrisscross wrote:
             | > _You cannot legally rob a bank just because they left it
             | unlocked and unmanned_
             | 
             | Nobody suggested making crypto crimes legal. Just metering
             | the degree to which law enforcement, a public good, is put
             | to use pursuing it. Why should a law-abiding saver bail out
             | what in many cases looks like a gambler's foray?
        
               | rchaud wrote:
               | > Why should a law-abiding saver bail out what in many
               | cases looks like a gambler's foray?
               | 
               | Because having an idea about how these frauds are
               | committed are helpful for society as a whole. Law
               | enforcement investigating such crimes is the first step
               | towards meaningful laws and regulations.
               | 
               | Acting as though these crimes never happened because
               | they're not enshrined somewhere in the criminal code is
               | cutting off one's nose to spite the face. The negative
               | externalities will still be there, and they will land
               | squarely at society's doorstep. We will all have to foot
               | the bill one way or another.
               | 
               | Everyone's a rugged individualist until they get
               | rugpulled.
        
               | opportune wrote:
               | I am not sure what you mean by "bail out". When something
               | gets stolen from you, the government doesn't repay you
               | for the actual amount. They do pay to litigate/make
               | litigation possible. That is part of the societal
               | contract - if you own something and someone takes it from
               | you, the court system exists so you have legal means of
               | restitution. I don't really care about whether that's
               | good or not to apply to crypto, I am merely pointing out
               | that it does.
        
             | spinny wrote:
             | It's a bit unfair to make that comparison. Most technical
             | hacks are always present until somebody abuses it, to make
             | a fair comparison the bank would have to _always_ be left
             | unlocked and unmanned
             | 
             | The guarantee that a bank gives is not the same guarantee
             | that a smart contract gives you. the bank guarantees the
             | safety of your money, the smart contract guarantees that it
             | will as stated in the code.
             | 
             | It's on the the contract dev to write the correct thing and
             | on the contract user to determine if the does what is "says
             | on the thin"
        
             | Jerrrry wrote:
             | Socially acceptable. Because I am not going to acknowledge
             | or respect a Turkish summons. Although I would expect a
             | Turkish hit squad.
             | 
             | >You cannot legally rob a bank just because they left it
             | unlocked and unmanned.
             | 
             | Exactly - because it isn't a bank, it is a bunch of cash on
             | the street, if it was unlocked and unmanned.
             | 
             | And even if there was a clear Sticky Note with foreboding
             | text, you would be in the clear to pocket a stack of cash
             | sitting on the sidewalk, left unattended, guarded only with
             | a sticky note.
             | 
             | The steelman and strawman are nearly identical - a bugged
             | contract or implementation isn't a bank, it is a bunch of
             | cash on the street. It stopped being a bank once a bug was
             | found.
        
               | crucialfelix wrote:
               | In New York in the 90s I picked up $150 in small bills
               | off the street. Just strewn around in the middle of the
               | day.
               | 
               | It still gives me delight to remember that. I needed the
               | money, but the continuing pleasure in recalling has been
               | worth far more.
        
               | meheleventyone wrote:
               | I found someone's car keys in the street this morning.
               | I'm pretty sure that didn't entitle me to their car.
        
               | Jerrrry wrote:
               | No, because keys for a car and keys for a wallet are
               | wholly different, and even then, picking a lock
               | (bruteforcing a keyspace) isn't comparable, because the
               | value, intent, and purpose of a car is not in its
               | properties of being able to be transferred, transmitted,
               | and it's future value increasing (although that last one
               | is true incidentally), but it is primarily used to get
               | from A to B.
               | 
               | If you found a gift card with the PIN in the street, it
               | would entitle you to a moral inhibition. If you went
               | through a stack of discarded gift cards and found ones
               | with change, you would be less morally wrong, but just as
               | legally right.
               | 
               | Finding a debit card in the street with the PIN is akin
               | to finding someone's wallet.dat file on their github.
               | That is stealing, so no comparison.
        
               | shakna wrote:
               | > And even if there was a clear Sticky Note with
               | foreboding text, you would be in the clear to pocket a
               | stack of cash sitting on the sidewalk, left unattended,
               | guarded only with a sticky note.
               | 
               | That's not true, and not true globally. Unattended
               | valuables being taken is still theft. Though prosecution
               | is rare, it still happens [0].
               | 
               | [0] https://www.macaupostdaily.com/article12506.html
        
               | AnthonyMouse wrote:
               | It's not a matter of whether it's theft. Of course it is.
               | 
               | But if you leave your valuables in the street unattended
               | and then come back shocked to discover that they aren't
               | where you left them, this is not a problem that requires
               | new legislation to solve. The solution to preventing this
               | from happening to you in the future is quite obvious and
               | doesn't involve the government.
               | 
               | And if the government manages to catch the thieves,
               | great. But if they don't, c'est la vie.
        
               | bagels wrote:
               | I suspect that your belief about found things is at odds
               | with the law.
        
               | Jerrrry wrote:
               | Theft-by-taking has a wholly different level of legal
               | magnitude gravitas than robbing a bank, tho.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | You obviously don't understand basic contract law. US Civil
           | courts routinely apply the principle of equity when
           | interpreting written contracts. Loopholes and errors are
           | disregarded when they violate the clear intent of the
           | agreement.
        
             | Jerrrry wrote:
             | >routinely
             | 
             | And they routinely admit that some cases are not clear cut.
             | But crypto has no grey zones, by design - you either have
             | the keys, or you don't. And that is the explicit agreement
             | code-contract signers agree to when they go out of their
             | way to DeFi their agreements.
             | 
             | Obviously legal precedents and statutes are not fitted for
             | this purpose yet, because they are reactive, not proactive.
        
             | javajosh wrote:
             | Nothing annoys me more than arrogant ignorance. It's like,
             | pick one! You speak as if these are handled as federal
             | matters, and they are not. Contract disputes are handed as
             | local matters, usually in a local district court.
             | 
             | Furthermore, when you talk about the court you're talking
             | about a Judge. The Judge gets final say and they can take
             | their sweet time, regard or disregard anything they want.
             | In local matters, Judge's act without restraint. Appellate
             | court, the state bar, the judicial qualification board,
             | federal court, all gets involved so rarely they can be
             | ignored. Additionally, these Judges are no stars of the
             | legal profession: cohorts of lawyers will often rig
             | elections and appointments to favor a well-connected but
             | bad lawyer, because being a judge is actually really easy.
             | 
             | So, yeah, it mostly depends on who the judge likes better,
             | and whether society is better or worse if this dispute is
             | decided this way or the other way. I can't stress enough
             | the arbitrariness, and supreme unaccountably, of a local
             | judge's decisions.
        
               | Jerrrry wrote:
               | > I can't stress enough the arbitrariness, and supreme,
               | unaccountably, of a local judge's decisions.
               | 
               | Exactly. Code-contract signers hate this, and go out of
               | their way to avoid the possibility of this interference.
               | 
               | Judges should tell crypto cases to get rightfully fucked.
               | 
               | If I appear and sue a drug dealer for giving me fake
               | 100's, I'd get laughed at.
               | 
               | Considering crypto is just an massive abstraction layer
               | to hide the online drug trade, the courts should
               | similarly laugh at these _technical_ exploits, in the
               | context of Euth-shit code. Because it's sole explicit
               | purpose of existence is to conduct business without
               | arbitration.
        
               | notch656a wrote:
               | Fine, make crypto outside the legal system. Gains can't
               | be taxed and failure to apply AML/KYC can't be
               | prosecuted, but you get no protection from the courts for
               | theft. I'd take that bargain.
        
               | arcticfox wrote:
               | > If I appear and sue a drug dealer for giving me fake
               | 100's, I'd get laughed at.
               | 
               | Is that actually true? On the criminal side, I served on
               | a grand jury, and a lot of the cases we saw were
               | criminal-on-criminal crime. I guess the idea driving the
               | crime was that criminals make easier targets as they're
               | less likely to go to the police. But some did.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | No that's not how it works. The same basic rules of
               | contract law apply in federal, state, and local courts
               | with only minor variations.
        
               | javajosh wrote:
               | It is how it works. The rules don't matter; the attorneys
               | know what words to say to give a judge reasons to either
               | admit or reject application of any rule. The coin that
               | remains in a case is _likeability_ and _making the judge
               | 's life easier_.
               | 
               | The net result is a system where attorneys are falling
               | over themselves to prove who is more obsequious to all
               | the judges. If you become a problem in one case, you will
               | suffer in your other cases, too, so individuals with
               | legit complaints against the court can and will be
               | ignored.
               | 
               | The net result is a court that ignores all but the most
               | mechanical rules (and loves to stall on those when it
               | can, because it approximates the appearance of "work"),
               | and has no mechanism for correction. I'm sorry, but the
               | rules don't really matter, to anyone.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | That comment is just deranged. I assume you had a bad
               | experience with legal system at some point but you
               | clearly don't understand how it actually operates,
               | especially at the appeals levels.
        
               | jcranberry wrote:
               | You'll have to back this up with evidence. You can file
               | complaints about local judges to judiciary committees,
               | administrative judges, you can appeal their decisions,
               | and if you actually go to trial you get a jury unless you
               | specifically waive it (along with all other parties).
               | 
               | I don't see how they're unaccountable, or how contract
               | disputes mostly depend on a judges disposition.
        
               | jeremyjh wrote:
               | If that were true, it would not be possible to run a
               | sustainable business in any industry. Legal systems need
               | to generate consistent results with respect to contract
               | law in order for commerce to be successful and efficient.
        
               | javajosh wrote:
               | Cite? No, the way it works is that you pay lawyers who
               | know enough to play it out in their heads and determine
               | who has to pay whom to make it go away. If one side is
               | stubborn and ignorant, then they pull the trigger and the
               | years-long, extremely expensive lottery play has begun.
               | 
               | Your assumptions about the law, about judges, and about
               | rationality, rhetoric, and the justice system in general
               | are about to be destroyed. The lawyers know the high
               | variance of court and generally want to avoid court like
               | the plague.
               | 
               | (The justice system is badly broken, obviously. The core
               | issue is that it takes far too long to judge a case, and
               | a big reason for that is a) the rules are too complicated
               | and b) not adopting better tech. We should have trials
               | that start a week after filing, with online juries,
               | online judges, and real-time access to data. The
               | attorneys can finally earn their ridiculous wages by
               | learning how to fly through information and present it in
               | a compelling way.)
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | The median lawyer salary is $122K. Whether that's
               | ridiculous is a matter of opinion, but it's only a little
               | higher than software developers. And the average lawyer
               | has more education.
               | 
               | Some civil court hearings are already conducted online.
        
         | arcticbull wrote:
         | It's easy not to have sympathy because these folks are the ones
         | railing against the banks and the government and the
         | establishment and police - confident they don't need them
         | because they're all in on a system the vast majority doesn't
         | understand the first thing about. But they'll demean and
         | criticize anyone who suggests their magic free money machine
         | might not be all it's cracked up to be. They've been warned so
         | many times. Like the anti-vaxxers turning to ivermectin. It's
         | honestly just an episode of r/WinStupidPrizes.
         | 
         | Even now they're rationalizing - US banks offer 0% interest and
         | took $12B in overdraft! See how much worse that is? Well except
         | the $12B is out of $18T in assets so DeFi hacks cost 1400X as
         | much per user.
         | 
         | In fact 10% of all TVL in DeFi was stolen this year. That means
         | if you're not making a 7% return for inflation and a 10% return
         | for risk loss, you're losing money in real risk adjusted dollar
         | terms invested in DeFi. 17% APR in DeFi is equal to 0% in real
         | dollar terms.
        
           | chrisweekly wrote:
           | I like your take on it. But 7% inflation? Got a source you
           | could cite?
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | I do believe the medium-term inflation goal of 2% will be
             | reached, and that this is simply a function of supply chain
             | disruptions. I was using the most recent CPI data. You can
             | also get a 7% yield on treasury Series I bonds. [1]
             | 
             | [1] https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/products/prod_ibon
             | ds_gl...
        
             | ineptech wrote:
             | The exact value of inflation this year is controversial and
             | depends a lot on how you measure it, but you can replace it
             | with 6 or 8 or whatever you think the correct value is
             | without altering their point.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | The current annualized US consumer price inflation rate is
             | 6.8%.
             | 
             | https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/10/consumer-price-index-
             | novembe...
        
           | babyshake wrote:
           | Is that really a fact, that 10% of the value locked into DeFi
           | was stolen this year? I would think that most of the TVL
           | would accrue to the more blue chip protocols (Aave, Uniswap,
           | Compound, etc.) and to my knowledge these haven't been
           | affected much by these big hacks.
        
             | arcticbull wrote:
             | DeFi Pulse says there's just under $100B in TVL. [1] About
             | $10B was lost and stolen this past year depending on where
             | you look - $7.7B according to this article, but I saw $10B
             | circulating too.
             | 
             | [1] https://defipulse.com/
        
               | sk55 wrote:
               | I don't think DefiPulse has everything. Here's a few more
               | off the top of my head, though I'm sure there is more: -
               | $5.5 billion (TVL on Eth L2s via L2Beat) - $4 billion
               | (ETH 2.0 staking contract) - $17 billion (Polkadot
               | staking) - $16.5 billion (Cardano staking) - $36 billion
               | (Solana staking)
        
               | pcthrowaway wrote:
               | The article's figures include the centralized Turkish
               | exchange which made off with ~2.6B , so I don't think
               | it's fair to consider it the same kind of thing.
        
               | superfad wrote:
               | Yeah I agree.
               | 
               | > Rug pulls have emerged as the go-to scam of the DeFi
               | ecosystem, accounting for 37% of all cryptocurrency scam
               | revenue in 2021
               | 
               | So 37% of $7.7 billion is $2.849 billion.
               | 
               | > All in all, rug pulls took in more than $2.8 billion
               | worth of cryptocurrency from victims in 2021.
               | 
               | > It's important to remember that not all rug pulls start
               | as DeFi projects. In fact, the biggest rug pull of the
               | year centered on Thodex... In all, users lost over $2
               | billion worth of cryptocurrency, which represents nearly
               | 90% of all value stolen in rug pulls. However, all the
               | other rug pulls in 2021 began as DeFi projects.
               | 
               | The graph shows $2.6 billion was lost with Thodex. So
               | that leaves $0.249 billion that was lost in projects that
               | were rug pulls that began as DeFi projects.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | Jerrrry wrote:
           | "have fun staying poor," he said, clicking on the coin
           | roulette, eyes never leaving his plugged in android tablet,
           | physically hot to the touch from the max CPU load.
           | 
           | "i am going to retire in 5 years. have you heard of prove-
           | your-steaks? its gonna change crypto. you can get 20% back,
           | just lock up your starving kids Earned Income Tax Credit for
           | a year, and you'll make $500!"
           | 
           | "have you heard of this new shitcoin? probably not - i know
           | you retired from crypto! haha...anyway, it exposes you to
           | upside leveraged of @PISSCOIN and is tethered to the stable-
           | genius coin. its basically free Unisex-swapped tokens."
           | 
           | "hey. some guy on discord was helping me install a chrome
           | plugin to manage my coins and now my $400 in life savings is
           | gone...are you still good with computers?"
        
             | dvt wrote:
             | "Hey I just invested $2000 in options a few days ago,
             | what's a margin call?"
             | 
             | "Turns out my pension fund was investing in BBB- CDOs, now
             | they've gone BBBust"
             | 
             | The argument that you can't (or don't) get burned in non-
             | crypto markets is made in bad faith.
        
               | Jerrrry wrote:
               | You cannot get margin called on a cash account, because
               | you cannot make positions that are not 100% collateral
               | covered, unless you have 25k. Then you can do that, and
               | trade more than 3 times a week (and don't have to wait
               | til settlement)
               | 
               | Pension funds don't deserve to go bust, but shouldn't be
               | bailed out if they fail to diversify their portfolio.
               | 
               | There are a lot more safe-gaurds in investing, because
               | all these games have been played before.
               | 
               | But those require consent too - with crypto, someone can,
               | and will, irrevocably steal your funds without possible
               | recourse.
        
               | DanHulton wrote:
               | That wasn't the argument being made, like at all. Your
               | argument is actually the one being made in bad faith.
        
               | pjc50 wrote:
               | .. and indeed the UK and other countries have banned the
               | OTC sale of particularly bad ones, such as binary
               | options. There is some effort to prevent people selling
               | overly fraudulent or risky products to the general
               | public, even if it's leaky.
        
         | nathanvanfleet wrote:
         | Yes let's keep making weird incentives for law enforcement like
         | asset forfeiture. I want police to be like an American
         | ambulance and run my credit card before saving my life.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _let 's keep making weird incentives for law enforcement
           | like asset forfeiture_
           | 
           | I hate civil forfeiture. That's why I specifically suggested
           | the proceeds flow to the Treasury. Not the law enforcer's
           | budget.
           | 
           | There is also a world of difference between taking something
           | you legally possess, and taking a cut of things returned to
           | you at the expense of the public purse.
        
             | zepto wrote:
             | The shouldn't flow to the treasury. They should go directly
             | back to the public.
        
             | dcist wrote:
             | Where do you think the budget comes from?
        
           | Joker_vD wrote:
           | Probably even "instead" instead of "before": dead people
           | don't complain (their relatives might though)
        
         | dmitriid wrote:
         | > The "I have no sympathy for the victims" comments are crass.
         | 
         | There are exactly two types of people in the crypto space:
         | 
         | - scammers, who know exactly what they are doing
         | 
         | - fools, who have very little understanding of how the world
         | works
         | 
         | And yes. Fool and his money are easily parted.
         | 
         | So, are the comments crass? No. Not in the least.
        
         | spinny wrote:
         | If you loose you crypto in a dex hack you have my sympathy, if
         | you got rugged with a "double your crypto" kind of scheme or
         | some mooncoin, there is no sympathy for you. The same applies
         | for fiat. This does not make you a victim, it make you a greedy
         | target.
         | 
         | a large majority of those people fall into the greedy category
         | not the victim
        
       | kristintynski wrote:
       | Somehow managed to avoid like 5 of these memecoin rugpulls last
       | year. Memecoins are a clown casino, but the memetic dynamics
       | fascinate me.
       | 
       | The right core meme can be a catalyst for compounding user
       | generated content growth. Look for memecoins with community
       | growth metrics that look exponential, make sure the tokenomics
       | are safe, and hold on for dear life.
       | 
       | For me, DogeBonk and perhaps one or two other memecoins have the
       | community growth and memetic qualities to be exponential. So long
       | as there's no rug.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | rwaksmunski wrote:
       | I really hate to say it, but I have little sympathy for the
       | victims here. They wanted a moon shot, wild west, libertarian
       | paradise and got ... robbed with no recourse. Many more than
       | once.
        
         | jdhn wrote:
         | Completely agree. You want the libertarian paradise, then you
         | should accept the risks that come along with it. Personally,
         | I'm fine with having it being the wild west, and I only invest
         | money I can afford to lose.
        
           | oakfr wrote:
           | > I only invest money I can afford to lose.
           | 
           | You mean "speculate" here, not invest.
           | 
           | People definitely want (and must be able) to invest money
           | that they cannot afford to lose, at least not all in a split
           | second.
        
         | bachmeier wrote:
         | That's the easy thing to say, but unfortunately a lot of well-
         | intentioned people are losing money, like they did with
         | GameStop. That's not to say I'm shedding tears for everyone
         | losing money, but the ones that should lose it are typically
         | not the ones it's happening to.
        
           | spiderice wrote:
           | How are people buying in to GameStop _after_ it has gone up
           | by 20 times in price not  "the ones that should lost it"?
           | They're obviously just trying to get rich quick, and
           | knowingly taking a risk to do it. Who "should" lose the money
           | in a case like GameStop? I can't think of any scenario where
           | it's not the people jumping in late to try to make a quick
           | buck.
           | 
           | edit: Initially I vastly underestimated how much GameStop
           | stock went up
        
           | surfingdino wrote:
           | Well-intentioned or just greedy? I'm not saying they deserved
           | to get scammed, but let's be clear about their motives... it
           | was greed.
        
       | benlivengood wrote:
       | This is about 0.1% of fraud/scams overall[0], for comparison.
       | 
       | [0] https://www.crowe.com/global/news/fraud-costs-the-global-
       | eco...
        
       | jedberg wrote:
       | I'm glad that people are starting to see the consequences of a
       | decentralized network that is outside the law means there is also
       | no recourse for those who have been wronged.
       | 
       | This has always been my concern about crypto: fiat currency is
       | backed by judges, and if you don't do what the judge says, it is
       | backed up by the violence of an enforcer with a weapon and the
       | ability to put you in a cage.
       | 
       | Crypto doesn't have that. If someone steals it from you there is
       | really no recourse, unless we "recentralize" the network to give
       | certain entities more power than others like we have with fiat
       | currency.
        
         | dcist wrote:
         | Ross Ulbricht would like a word
        
       | alex_young wrote:
       | The $7.7B part is a bit hyperbolic right?
       | 
       | A lot of value of crypto is based on a small volume of
       | transactions to cash which give a number to the entire asset.
       | 
       | If I create 1B secret numbers, sell one for $1, and someone
       | steals the rest, is anyone really out a billion dollars?
        
         | vmception wrote:
         | lol sure if that helps you sleep at night about the decisions
         | you've made in your life thus far.
         | 
         | it's not hyperbolic, there is a lot of liquidity in this multi
         | trillion dollar market.
         | 
         | although if you're asking this question, the next point might
         | dilute my prior point to you, but a reality is that many people
         | aren't seeking fiat. They don't want dollars. They want more
         | crypto. For physical goods and services there are also enough
         | closed loops to acquire whatever is desired without touching
         | dollars. For digital goods and services they can already be
         | acquired for crypto.
         | 
         | But outside of that, charities accept crypto donations. Private
         | equity firms accept crypto in-kind investments as the third
         | party fund administrators have also updated their technology.
         | Politicians accept crypto.
         | 
         | No different than any of these entities accepting stocks or
         | bonds, and considering to liquidate some eventually. Except the
         | crypto is more easily exchanged for goods, services, donations,
         | investment.
         | 
         | it shouldn't sound absurd, but if it does, just remember that
         | they can _also_ get as much cash as they want whenever they
         | want.
        
           | annexrichmond wrote:
           | > lol sure if that helps you sleep at night about the
           | decisions you've made in your life thus far.
           | 
           | Why was this necessary to say at all?
        
             | vmception wrote:
             | because it requires introspection, its intentionally a dig
             | at people that rationalize why someone's windfall is "not
             | actually a windfall"
             | 
             | like the people who say
             | 
             | "$X is not that much these days" (it is and they want it)
             | 
             | "That billionaire doesn't _really_ have that much money "
             | (billionaire then sells 10% of their holdings in 3 days for
             | billions of USD)
             | 
             | "What about after taxes?" (pay for an accountant, you'll
             | see its better than you think)
             | 
             | and the reality is that liquidity changes faster than the
             | culture. especially across all markets over the last 2
             | years. so its time to force that introspection.
        
               | danaris wrote:
               | > its intentionally a dig at people
               | 
               | So you're intentionally being insulting, then. And you
               | see that as _necessary_?
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | It moves the needle. the predictable alternative is that
               | I get into an argument about liquidity with someone that
               | doesn't know this market. the predictable thing is to
               | pull up an article from 5 years ago about the thinness of
               | the crypto market, because google tells you what you want
               | to see. the predictable thing is to not know about large
               | OTC trades done specifically to show the depth of the
               | market, or not know about the dark pools at all. the
               | predictable thing is to then demand a source, which is
               | not possible due to the very nature of dark pools, and
               | then act like that validates their incorrect reality.
               | 
               | my dig is about introspection, how many other times have
               | they made an excuse to miss _all_ the alpha? are they
               | actually comfortable with the decisions they 've made,
               | maybe they are. it just gives them an out to believe
               | whatever they want. sentiment in the crypto space has
               | generally gone this direction right now. everyone is
               | aware of all the arguments against being in the space
               | from traditional finance minded folks, and simply check
               | their stocks and their crypto on two separate screens
               | daily anyway.
        
               | erichocean wrote:
               | If you're kicking ass at crypto, why TF are you
               | commenting on HN?
               | 
               | Something doesn't add up.
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | How are these related or conflicting things, in your own
               | words?
        
       | pjc50 wrote:
       | So, the question is, what's the scalability of this like?
       | 
       | - is there exponential growth still to go, so that we might
       | expect $70bn lost in 2022?
       | 
       | - or is there a finite amount of victims to be scammed, after
       | they've lost all their money the rate of scam will decline?
       | 
       | - or is it more likely that there will be some kind of
       | intervention?
        
         | SQueeeeeL wrote:
         | There is always a finite amount of victims to be scammed, that
         | is the fallacy of ponzi schemes over genuine investment
         | strategies
        
           | captn3m0 wrote:
           | Crypto went global while facing zero regulations - that is
           | what let it become the longest running ponzi (?)
        
           | meowface wrote:
           | Indeed, but I don't think we're anywhere near the limit yet.
           | I don't know about exponential growth, but I would predict at
           | least double or triple the amount lost to scams in 2022.
           | 
           | (Barring some massive SEC/DoJ crackdown, or something. And
           | even then, that'd only put a dent in it and would just scare
           | away some US scammers. Most of the big ones are outside the
           | US's reach.)
        
         | MBCook wrote:
         | It's not a problem. Once we switch to using sidechains for most
         | of the book keeping we expect to be able to handle 1000x more
         | scams without affecting the main scam.
         | 
         | We're also looking at theft-of-stake instead of theft-of-work
         | to reduce energy usage, allowing scammers to be much more
         | efficient and green.
         | 
         | To the moon!
        
       | psychlops wrote:
       | Unless something changes dramatically, DeFi will remain a haven
       | for scams. It tries to mimic an actual economy which has loans to
       | businesses to pay returns (etc), but DeFi actually is a giant
       | circular digital economy which doesn't create real world wealth.
        
         | headmelted wrote:
         | > but DeFi actually is a giant circular digital economy which
         | doesn't create real world wealth.
         | 
         | Isn't this true of the entire cryptocurrency cult though?
        
           | mszcz wrote:
           | I've used DeFi and haven't been scammed. Fees being what they
           | are now aside, I liked the experience.
           | 
           | As not being scammed goes, I just avoided everything that was
           | super new (like a project 3 days old that already has $3b in
           | TVL), avoided things that sounded super scammy (Most recent
           | one coming to mind being SQUID token. I mean, come on),
           | avoided things that had no real reason to be, avoided things
           | that I didn't really understand despite research.
           | 
           | My most successful investments are those made in crypto
           | winters, during "see? crypto's over".
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | > Isn't this true of the entire cryptocurrency cult though?
           | 
           | In the real world, "crypto holdings" are IOUs with a dynamic
           | value of how much is being owed. This absolutely can create
           | (and especially _transfer_ ) real world wealth.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | Spooky23 wrote:
           | The problem is that the advocates think crypto is cash, it's
           | really more like silver - highly volatile, highly attractive
           | to scammers.
        
       | woodruffw wrote:
       | It would be as (if not more) fascinating to see an estimate of
       | the _true_ costs here, corrected for wash trading and market
       | manipulation.
       | 
       | My outsider's perspective is that the entire thing seems like a
       | shyster's market: scammers scamming scammers, with yet other
       | scammers deciding how much each scammer has gained or lost with
       | only loose ties to ingoing or outgoing money.
        
       | BoppreH wrote:
       | This is my biggest complaint against cryptocurrencies in general.
       | 
       | I'm happy with my bank's fraud protection. How can crypto users
       | protect themselves without recreating traditional banking?
       | 
       | Bitcoin was released ~13 years ago, and wallet/transaction
       | security has been one of the most important requirements since
       | then (along with scalability, but let's not go there). If
       | trillion dollar market caps and god-knows-how-many billions of
       | investment couldn't figure out how to protect consumers after 13
       | years...
        
         | kyruzic wrote:
         | Use a trusted exchange if you are worried about that. Holding
         | crypto in a wallet is the equivalent of keeping cash in your
         | wallet.
         | 
         | No bank in the world will care if someone steals your wallet.
        
           | acdha wrote:
           | > Use a trusted exchange if you are worried about that.
           | 
           | This doesn't protect against your credentials being
           | compromised, and it's not useful advice unless you can
           | explain your criteria for declaring an exchange trustworthy
           | and how that would have excluded all of the exchanges which
           | have lost their customers' money.
           | 
           | > No bank in the world will care if someone steals your
           | wallet.
           | 
           | Yes, this is why most people use regulated banks which have
           | the fraud handling and reversal processes which
           | cryptocurrencies lack. It's not just that you don't have to
           | carry it with you, it's that there are things like
           | verification and reversal processes which mean that
           | individual people are both less likely to lose money in the
           | first place and more likely to get it back. If you've ever
           | bought a house, the process of verifying a large amount of
           | money being transferred is very different from writing a
           | small check whereas all you need is a typo to lose
           | cryptocurrencies without recourse.
        
           | bananabernhard wrote:
           | yeah, but then you recreated traditional banking, just as
           | they said. It's almost like there are reasons, as to why
           | things are like they are right now.
        
             | kyruzic wrote:
             | No. The person I replied to wanted a traditional bank in
             | the crypto space. I told them how to replicate it.
             | 
             | If you didn't notice the total crypto market cap is 2
             | trillion dollars. People are happy with the way crypto
             | works, most don't want it to be like a bank, but for those
             | that do there is ways to make it so.
        
           | arthur6667 wrote:
           | Right. I did that. And got scammed. I had my BTC in a trusted
           | exchange at the time. Then they dissappeared on me. Then I
           | was told it was my own fault for using an exchange. You just
           | can't win this game can you..
        
             | beardog wrote:
             | ding ding! If you keep it in exchange and it gets stolen,
             | it's your fault for daring to trust your fellow human. If
             | you keep it yourself and it gets stolen, it's your fault
             | for not having a multisignature hardware wallet stored in 5
             | different countries with armed guards.
             | 
             | Ok i'm exaggerating of course, it just seems like some
             | people are not willing to admit that cryptocurrency does
             | not address certain things that people want out of a
             | money/payments system.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | _Everyone_ should be worried about that, and if your
           | suggestion is to use exchanges, that just makes them de-facto
           | banks. Now you have a traditional banking system on top of a
           | slow and expensive settlement layer.
        
             | sroussey wrote:
             | Slow and expensive is relative... try transferring money
             | internationally.
        
               | YetAnotherNick wrote:
               | Have you heard of Paypal?
        
               | BoppreH wrote:
               | I do, regularly, and it takes a few dollars and a few
               | days to arrive. That sucks. But this comes from following
               | regulations, and fees for the useful service (e.g.
               | protection).
               | 
               | Right now international cryptocurrency transfers are a
               | legally gray area, and have the aforementioned lack of
               | protections. So the expensive and slow, but legal and
               | safe, international transfers are a service that
               | cryptocurrencies don't offer at all. No reason to think
               | it'll be faster and cheaper when it's offered.
        
               | antognini wrote:
               | Even within the US, ACH settlement times are 3 business
               | days. The settlement period for stock trades is 2
               | business days and there's a big push to reduce it to 1.
               | Relative to that, bitcoin's 10 minute settlement time
               | isn't so long.
        
               | jcrawfordor wrote:
               | Is that really that true any more? From my podunk credit
               | union I have used SWIFT to send overseas and it took
               | under a minute and cost me $20. That's both faster and
               | cheaper than Ethereum transactions. It's costlier than
               | Bitcoin but not that much, and still faster. And that's
               | wire transfer, the expensive bank to bank option...
               | Western Union has been faster than Bitcoin for decades
               | and cheaper for probably a decade now.
               | 
               | The huge popularity of crypto is really eroding the tx
               | capacity advantage.
               | 
               | And even in the backwards US, ACH can now settle later
               | same day and it's free. That makes BTC a lot less
               | attractive.
        
               | surfingdino wrote:
               | Try transferring money to a legitimate business in
               | another country (in the EU) that got blacklisted by the
               | payment operators. Such as a regulated crypto exchange.
               | They are regulated, you have money you paid tax on, but
               | your bank decides whether or not you are allowed that
               | payment and will not give you legal reasons for
               | stopping/reverting payment. May even choose to close your
               | account if you argue with them. With crypto, all you need
               | is funds in your wallet and the recipient's address. Can
               | you see the difference now?
        
               | kyruzic wrote:
               | An ethereum transaction takes under a minute and costs a
               | few dollars.
               | 
               | Transferring funds uses an extremely small amount of gas.
               | You clearly have never used the chain so stop making
               | things up.
               | 
               | Here I sent 11K USD to another wallet for a fee of $10.
               | It was confirmed within 5 minutes. There is no other
               | service outside of crypto that is that fast and that
               | cheap. https://etherscan.io/tx/0x3edc74a15742f65d166dfc9d
               | db567afabf...
        
               | jcrawfordor wrote:
               | I'm definitely not that familiar with Ethereum, my thesis
               | research was on Bitcoin but I have been fairly tuned out
               | since then.
               | 
               | But wouldn't confirmations take, as you said, five
               | minutes on a good day? I see people saying 5-20 minutes
               | typical for Ethereum to reach 30 confirmations. And sure
               | you can accept fewer but 30 seems a pretty widely
               | accepted convention. That's still slower than wire
               | transfers which are functionally instantaneous (in
               | practice of course it takes a minute or so). And right
               | when I looked now the base TX fee is $19.10, which is a
               | few dollars lower than I thought, but I see that it
               | fluctuates by a few dollars pretty quickly so it would
               | depend on the moment. I don't know the Ethereum situation
               | with regards to EIP-1559 in very much depth so if I
               | misunderstand how fees currently work please correct me.
               | 
               | This seems to put Ethereum basically right on par with
               | what my credit union charges for wire transfers. Now $20
               | is on the lower end for wire transfers on a consumer
               | account (I think $25 is common), but you can also get
               | lower on commercial accounts. It just seems like they're
               | fairly on par with each other from a fee perspective, and
               | Ethereum is at least a few minutes slower.
        
           | sroussey wrote:
           | True, but you can't hold a billion dollars in the wallet in
           | your back pocket.
        
           | lern_too_spel wrote:
           | What "trusted exchange" will make you whole if their wallet
           | gets emptied? There is nothing like FDIC or SIPC covering
           | your assets.
        
         | MengerSponge wrote:
         | We've seen oppressive regimes shut down cryptocurrencies when
         | threatened by them. The remaining argument in favor of crypto
         | boils down to "the problem with traditional currencies is that
         | people who aren't me have too much of them"
        
         | wsc981 wrote:
         | Well, in Germany perhaps soon some banks will hold cryptos for
         | their clients [0]. I would imagine these banks would offer some
         | kind of fraud protection for the crypto assets they will hold,
         | likely at some cost.
         | 
         | I believe in the USA there was already some legislation passed
         | some time ago that would allow banks to be custodians of
         | crypto-currencies?
         | 
         | ---
         | 
         | [0]: https://bitcoinethereumnews.com/crypto/two-german-banks-
         | comm...
        
           | PeterisP wrote:
           | This probably is the solution - as cryptocurrency advocates
           | like to say, "not your keys, not your coins", but for certain
           | people an IOU from a bank saying that the bank owes them some
           | coins is preferable to having the actual coins and the
           | benefits+risks associated with that.
           | 
           | It's similar to stocks and bonds - you _could_ own them
           | yourself, but for not-huge private investment it 's often
           | simpler to have a financial institution hold them on your
           | behalf.
        
         | spyder wrote:
         | If someone uses your credit card or other account info to
         | withdraw cash then the bank cannot reverse that, similarly to
         | crypto transactions. The protection is having an insurance fund
         | to reimburse affected clients. Crypto projects can do the same
         | thing but they rarely do it yet. There are projects like
         | nexusmutual.io where you can get covered against smart contract
         | failure & exchange hacks. But even if you would be more
         | protected against frauds in crypto, it has a lot to improve to
         | get closer to it's promises because it's still far from it.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | That's a really cool project with its democratic claim
           | assessment, and I admire their transparency. But as with
           | everything related to safety in crypto, today it's still
           | based on optimism.
           | 
           | For example, today the 5-member Advisory Board has unilateral
           | power to change the contract as they see fit[1], and only the
           | smart contracts have been audited, not the organization
           | itself[2].
           | 
           | The only information about this all-powerful Advisory Board
           | is on the home page, and I'm forced to take that at face
           | value. What happens if I put my money there, the board runs
           | away with it, and I try to sue them only to find out that
           | these five people don't exist, or are not related to the
           | project? This is far from the basic security level of any
           | traditional financial institution.
           | 
           | Again, I have major respect for this team. The service is
           | useful, and the documentation is honest and comprehensive.
           | But a blockchain plus this insurance does not make a safe
           | consumer space.
           | 
           | [1] https://nexusmutual.gitbook.io/docs/users/understanding-
           | nexu... [2]
           | https://nexusmutual.gitbook.io/docs/welcome/audits-and-
           | secur...
        
         | 88913527 wrote:
         | There's plenty of situations where traditional banking system
         | does nothing. A social engineering scam led to a 6-figure USD
         | theft, it was a down payment meant to be wired as part of a
         | real estate transaction. The money was already out of the
         | country; they got nothing back. There was a local news article
         | about it.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | > 6-figure USD theft
           | 
           | Traditional banking is not perfect by any means, but if
           | 6-figure frauds are making the news, it means they are
           | uncommon. Meanwhile, cryptocurrencies regularly have scams
           | and hacks in the hundred-million dollar range.
        
         | mbesto wrote:
         | This is my favorite story about crypto fraud protection:
         | 
         |  _The Winklevosses came up with an elaborate system to store
         | and secure their own private keys. They cut up printouts of
         | their private keys into pieces and then distributed them in
         | envelopes to safe deposit boxes around the country, so if one
         | envelope were stolen the thief would not have the entire key._
         | 
         | https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/19/technology/bitcoin-winkle...
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | elliotec wrote:
           | This key storage system is a now very common and (ostensibly)
           | very secure model that has been iterated on and is in wide
           | use, especially for hardware wallets like Trezor. The model
           | they use is called the "Shamir Backup," here's more info:
           | https://wiki.trezor.io/Shamir_backup
        
             | BoppreH wrote:
             | A cool feature of Shamir Secret Sharing Scheme is that it
             | has information-theoretic security[1], just like one-time
             | pads.
             | 
             | In a exaggerated 100-out-of-1000 scheme, even if you steal
             | 99 out of the 100 required shares, you still have zero
             | information. You are better off trying to brute force the
             | value from scratch than trying to use the 99 shares you
             | have.
             | 
             | It's also very simple to implement, making it my favorite
             | algorithm.
             | 
             | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Information-
             | theoretic_security
        
           | TacticalCoder wrote:
           | It's quite crazy to think that these guys not only were
           | basically behind FB (they won the lawsuits, with an 's',
           | proving it) but also saw Bitcoin early on. They bought at
           | less than ten and were billionaires when it hit $10 K.
           | 
           | So these dudes both "saw" FB and cryptocurrencies.
           | 
           | Hate as much as you want on FB and cryptocurrencies, it's
           | still quite a feat to have foreseen both.
           | 
           | Regarding storing parts of the secret here and there: it's
           | basically and _" m out of n"_ scheme AFAICT. There are many
           | variations of this but the overall idea is that you can
           | afford to lose (n - m) parts and yet you'll be able to
           | recover the secret. And if a thief were to steal parts, he'd
           | need _m_ parts to be able to recover the secret.
        
             | thinkmassive wrote:
             | > Regarding storing parts of the secret here and there:
             | it's basically and "m out of n" scheme AFAICT. There are
             | many variations of this but the overall idea is that you
             | can afford to lose (n - m) parts and yet you'll be able to
             | recover the secret. And if a thief were to steal parts,
             | he'd need m parts to be able to recover the secret.
             | 
             | The difference between a Shamir scheme and a true multi-
             | signature scheme is that the former requires combining the
             | m-of-n pieces to reveal the single private key to sign a
             | transaction, which is a huge vulnerability and single point
             | of failure.
             | 
             | Bitcoin script allows the m-of-n signatures to remain
             | geographically dispersed, each signing the transaction with
             | only their own key, so no single party ever needs to
             | possess the full private key.
        
         | matheusmoreira wrote:
         | Just don't play the shitcoin casino.
        
         | TimJRobinson wrote:
         | DeFi is 2 years old at most. Still very early days and lots of
         | newbies that get exploited.
        
           | BlueTemplar wrote:
           | Wait, Ethereum tokens don't count as DeFi ? Those are older
           | than that...
        
         | SubiculumCode wrote:
         | Okay, invest in a top 40 crypto. Defi scams usually involve
         | outrageous APR and reward claims from a sketchy Telegram
         | channel actively trying to recruit ignorant or vulnerable
         | individuals. Same as every other scammer, but with the new and
         | improved hype words
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | I don't want to speculate in cryptocurrencies, I want to use
           | them for their intended purpose, financial transactions. The
           | problem is that I can't do that at anywhere near the safety
           | of my traditional banking institution.
        
             | SubiculumCode wrote:
             | Of course, a lot of cryptocurrencies aren't really meant to
             | be used as currencies. So here is that. Also there are
             | companies that offer insurance on your crypto.
        
         | evergrande wrote:
         | Granted, but every new technology goes through this and the
         | tools and best practices are improving. The code is open source
         | too. I don't know why people, technologists especially, aren't
         | recognizing this.
         | 
         | It's also worth examining the current system. How happy are you
         | with your bank's 0.01% interest rate? Which is actually
         | negative when you factor in inflation that's eroding the value
         | of our dollars faster than ever, and increasingly transferring
         | wealth to the top 1%? How happy are you about bank CEO
         | compensation and bailouts? No one in crypto is asking for a
         | bailout, even when it crashes 80%. And what about the fact that
         | bank's charge poor people the most or flat out deny service? Or
         | the fact that it's all closed source and behind closed doors.
        
         | vmception wrote:
         | your bank fraud protection doesn't prevent the bank from losing
         | money. banks lose a lot of money to fraud and nobody is
         | prosecuted.
         | 
         | from my perspective, you are comparing a user experience that
         | has nothing to do with the technology.
         | 
         | a bank is a third party service providing custody to bearer
         | instruments.
         | 
         | a future financial institution will be a third party service
         | providing custody or other protections to your crypto bearer
         | instruments.
         | 
         | > If trillion dollar market caps and god-knows-how-many
         | billions of investment couldn't figure out how to protect
         | consumers after 13 years...
         | 
         | there are DeFi insurance protocols, many people get paid back
         | after being scammed, rug pulled, exploited. Look at the source,
         | it is convenient for this to not be mentioned as all
         | chainanalysis does is sell fear to governments to land
         | contracts.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | > banks lose a lot of money to fraud and nobody is
           | prosecuted.
           | 
           | That's true some times, but then it works like an insurance
           | policy to me. I like insurance, especially when it's about my
           | life savings.
           | 
           | > a future financial institution will be a third party
           | service providing custody or other protections to your crypto
           | bearer instruments.
           | 
           | As you mentioned, that's a bank. There's no reason to believe
           | that crypto-based banks will be any better than traditional
           | ones, especially if you compare to newer fintechs.
           | 
           | > many people get paid back after being scammed, rug pulled,
           | exploited
           | 
           | I was not aware of that, thank you. But it's still too few
           | compare to the whole.
        
             | bidder33 wrote:
             | There is also defi insurance. And wallets like Argent are
             | working on fraud detection layers within L2 account
             | abstraction (as well as social recovery and ditching seed
             | phrases).
             | 
             | Many people think it will be Fintech in the front, DeFi in
             | the back version of crypto that services mass adoption. The
             | big difference is there is global, permissionless
             | infrastructure for anyone to build tools/apps/services on.
             | No more walled financial system, some kid in India can make
             | a new banking app and it can be as useful as hsbc. They can
             | use the same lending protocols, currency conversion,
             | insurance protocols, and then choose what services they
             | want on top. Maybe someone wants their banking app to be
             | hentai death metal themed and all their moeny to be in
             | picutres of dogs(rather than pictures of the queen or a
             | president). Those who want self ownership and to code their
             | own things, or arent liked by the banks (e.g. sex workers,
             | immigrants, travellers) have just as much access to the
             | system. To me it will be kinda like how lots of people are
             | happy with Windows, but a smaller group like the freedom of
             | Linux.
        
             | vmception wrote:
             | > There's no reason to believe that crypto-based banks will
             | be any better than traditional ones
             | 
             | That wasn't the supposition. Who cares? Wait I know people
             | that do care, you thought I was one of those? I view
             | blockchains as a platform to launch projects, and crypto as
             | the necessary fuel to use those platforms, I like the
             | censorship resistance but I don't care about the
             | ideologies, I would like to seamlessly move unlimited sums
             | in and out of them and thats that. I care about fulfilling
             | market needs and niches, I don't care about the accuracy of
             | those needs.
             | 
             | Regarding Defi insurance protocols, there is a lot of
             | education necessary and some ease of use improvements
             | necessary.
        
         | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
         | Normal individual transactions are secure. I can send money to
         | Bob without worry that someone is going to somehow use the data
         | in that transaction to steal my entire wallet.
         | 
         | The "rug pulls" you see are from contracts written maliciously.
         | DeFi is a ponzi scheme written into a Smart Contract, but some
         | of them have an extra function that allows the creator to
         | instantly steal all the money out of it.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | > Normal individual transactions are secure.
           | 
           | For a very narrow definition. You still need a way to get
           | Bob's wallet address, and to secure your own wallet. Just
           | look around and you'll see plenty of experts failing to do
           | that correctly.
           | 
           | > The "rug pulls" you see are from contracts written
           | maliciously.
           | 
           | And the contracts, being from DeFi land, are immune from
           | chargebacks or legal prosecution. Regular old fraud, made
           | exponentially more damaging because of cryptocurrencies.
        
             | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
             | > For a very narrow definition. You still need a way to get
             | Bob's wallet address, and to secure your own wallet. Just
             | look around and you'll see plenty of experts failing to do
             | that correctly.
             | 
             | Fair enough. A transaction is secure, but the wallets might
             | not be. If you rely on a 3rd party to host your wallet (ie,
             | Coinbase), then you risk your money being stolen when they
             | get hacked. If you host it yourself, then you risk losing
             | the keys unless you make a backup, and the backup could get
             | lost, or if you store it in cloud storage, it could get
             | stolen there.
             | 
             | Credit cards are harder to secure than wallets IMO, but at
             | least with CCs, you have recourse in the case of fraud.
        
         | friendzis wrote:
         | Cryptocoins are deliberately based on the concept of money
         | reduced to "cash". There is no banking, there is no fraud
         | protection. It is supposed to work that way.
         | 
         | The whole at least somewhat civilized world has moved to a more
         | advanced versions of money, but cryptocoins are a step
         | backwards and it is entirely intentional.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | No, cryptocurrencies are reduced to "mailing cash to an
           | anonymous postbox", which has a lot fewer guarantees. I'm
           | happy giving cold hard cash to buy something from a brick-
           | and-mortar store to be delivered in the future.
           | 
           | I'd never mail cash for that purpose.
        
             | deltree7 wrote:
             | Bingo!
             | 
             | There are <0.0001% of the population who understand
             | transaction risk.
             | 
             | If I pay $Cash for Goods, In a trustless network, both side
             | of the exchange have to be instantaneous. I can never pay
             | cryptocurrency for any item that are not verifiable by the
             | network itself, unless there is another trusted 3rd party
             | (cough cough, Credit Card Processors/Banks).
        
         | idiotsecant wrote:
         | I think the way you protect yourself is the same way people
         | protected themselves before credit cards were widely used. By
         | not spending your cash on things that are scams. Somehow people
         | managed to survive before banks offered their rent seeking /
         | fraud protection and I think they'd be OK without them if push
         | came to shove.
        
           | danaris wrote:
           | > By not spending your cash on things that are scams.
           | 
           | So...by staying out of cryptocurrencies entirely, then?
           | 
           | Sounds good to me.
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | Commercial banking is four centuries old. https://en.wikipedi
           | a.org/wiki/Banca_Monte_dei_Paschi_di_Sien... ; the modern
           | world is built around banking as much as it is around the
           | limited liability corporation. The basic borrow short/lend
           | long business of a bank is not going anywhere.
           | 
           | Mind you, it's worth noting that MPS had four centuries of
           | independence before listing itself on the stockmarket and
           | losing its independence comparatively shortly afterwards in
           | the 2008 crisis.
        
           | captn3m0 wrote:
           | There are other ways to protect payments than just (rent
           | seeking) CCs. For eg, in India UPI equates to irreversible
           | zero-cost instant bank transfers (and the irreversible part
           | incentivizes scams) - the KYC/AML regulations make getting
           | your money back a possibility (while not impossible, it's
           | usually improbable, and depends on the amount)
        
           | phpnode wrote:
           | "I would simply protect myself by not spending cash on things
           | that are scams"
        
             | mschuster91 wrote:
             | Even professional investors have a hard time telling scams
             | apart from legit operations. Just look at the Madoff
             | scandal.
             | 
             | And when even the _professionals_ fail to see scams, how is
             | the general public supposed to do so?
        
               | phpnode wrote:
               | Apparently I didn't make it clear enough that I
               | wholeheartedly agree
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Bernie Madoff's victims were mostly high net worth
               | individuals (dumb money), not professional investors.
               | While professional investors do occasionally get scammed
               | that's much less common.
        
               | ourmandave wrote:
               | The list of Madoff investors is mostly institutions.
               | 
               | And sadly a lot of charities.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_investors_in_Bernar
               | d_L...
        
           | mschuster91 wrote:
           | > Somehow people managed to survive before banks offered
           | their rent seeking / fraud protection and I think they'd be
           | OK without them if push came to shove.
           | 
           | People routinely fell victim to fraud. Why else would the
           | government have introduced bans for ponzi schemes or
           | regulatory requirements to go public with stocks, if not to
           | reduce the amount of fraud?
           | 
           | Just because an entity uses "crypto" instead of "US dollars"
           | it should not be absolved from the requirements of
           | established players, they were instantiated for damn good
           | reasons.
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | Nope, because cryptocurrencies also removed all other
           | protections.
           | 
           | - The scams are online, so I cannot knock on the scammer's
           | door with an angry mob and ask for our money back.
           | 
           | - Pseudonymous identities means scammers have strong
           | protections against being sued or prosecuted.
           | 
           | - Digital wallets, as opposed to cash in bank vaults, means
           | that you can lose all your savings in one mistake.
           | 
           | - Complete lack of trusted third parties means there's no one
           | to appeal to, or to raise alarms in suspicious cases.
           | 
           | The old protections were already pretty bad (scams and
           | thievery very much did exist), and cryptocurrencies are
           | lacking even those basic protections.
        
             | rauljordan2020 wrote:
             | One could, for example, create a smart contract that has
             | protection mechanisms in place. At the end of the day,
             | smart contracts are programmable, so you could code your
             | own which has appeal mechanisms as consumers are used to.
             | For example, one could create a highly insecure website for
             | payments on the Internet. The problem is not the Internet,
             | it is the insecure website.
        
           | ARandumGuy wrote:
           | In the US, banking scams and crashes were very common before
           | the various reforms enacted in the early 20th century.
           | Wildcat banks in the west printed money with reckless
           | abandon, which quickly became completely worthless. Bank runs
           | were pretty common, due to a low overall confidence in the
           | banking system. And a worker in 19th century America was
           | lucky if they were paid in actual money, instead of a company
           | scrip.
        
             | danlugo92 wrote:
             | Thats not what he was talking about.
        
         | cheeseomlit wrote:
         | >How can crypto users protect themselves without recreating
         | traditional banking?
         | 
         | They could just invest in well-established projects with proven
         | technology instead of obvious scams in hopes of a "moon shot".
         | This has very little to do with Bitcoin and other legitimate
         | projects, which are a far cry from useless fly-by-night ERC-20
         | tokens with stupid animal names
        
           | BoppreH wrote:
           | Bitcoin/Ethereum is what allowed these scams to be executed,
           | not be reverted, and to go unpunished.
           | 
           | If you want to push for those technologies, you have to
           | explain how to give consumers a minimum level of protection.
        
             | surfingdino wrote:
             | There are plenty of ways and tools for the scammers to be
             | tracked on a public blockchain. Tokens are not worth much
             | until they are exchanged for fiat currency. The authorities
             | do not want to chase after them, yet, but anyone engaging
             | in such fraud is leaving plenty of evidence on public,
             | cryptographically protected blockchains to provide evidence
             | that's difficult to repudiate. Sooner of later those
             | responsible will be brought to justice.
             | 
             | I am working with people in the banking industry to add a
             | layer of protection without compromising core values of
             | crypto (permissionless, trustless), but funnily enough they
             | do not want to do anything against the regulators. Retail
             | banks have become very cautious after 2008 and won't do
             | anything unless they are told to do it by the regulators.
             | And the regulators are a bit clueless, tbh.
        
         | nathanyz wrote:
         | Agreed, and where I think is one of the bigger failings of
         | blockchain. We don't actually want a system where mistakes,
         | fraud, or theft are irreversible.
         | 
         | Some will say that you can still prosecute the crimes even if
         | you can't initially reverse the transaction, but you can see
         | how well that is working with hackers from adversary nations.
         | Basically no prosecution and risk free ability to move on to
         | the next victim.
         | 
         | "Friction is a feature with money transfer"
         | 
         | My experience is that moving money between countries where
         | there is a high likelihood of collaborative justice against
         | scams and thefts, ends up being pretty simple. It gets harder
         | to transfer money to places where it is easier for thefts and
         | scammers to get away with it.
         | 
         | I think we want it this way. How many people get taken in by
         | the romance scams[1] where they wire their money to a country
         | with 0 chance of recovery. The money transfer system has been
         | specifically making it more difficult to send money to
         | countries where this is commonplace as that is the only
         | effective way to stop the crime. There is no viable criminal
         | process only friction to make it less profitable and more
         | difficult for the scammers.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.fbi.gov/scams-and-safety/common-scams-and-
         | crimes...
        
       | Trias11 wrote:
       | Education is needed to help people understand the risks.
       | 
       | No education will stop many from going to Casino and blow through
       | their savings. If they wish to engage into recovery effort -
       | there will be rules of this engagement.
        
       | nradov wrote:
       | "A fool and his money are lucky enough to get together in the
       | first place."
       | 
       | -Gordon Gekko
       | 
       | I have zero sympathy for the victims. Stealing from
       | cryptocurrency weenies is almost a public service, like
       | confiscating booze and car keys from teenagers.
        
         | twox2 wrote:
         | Hey, so is stealing from the elderly alzheimer's patients
         | right? They're not going to remember anyway! Dick.
        
           | IMTDb wrote:
           | The _vast_ difference is that Alzheimer 's patients aren't
           | willingly putting their money in dangerous places with the
           | sole purpose of increasing their purchasing power without
           | contributing to society in a meaningful way.
        
         | seoaeu wrote:
         | Taking someone's keys isn't a public service _if you also steal
         | their car._
        
       | duplicited wrote:
       | Crypto is ridden with rugpulls. It's extremely hard to find a
       | diamond in the rough and you're going to lose money doing it.
       | Look for projects that focus on building community rather than
       | pumping and dumping. I've been dabbling in DogeBonk and it's
       | funny how other "bonk" coins keep getting rug pulled around it
       | while DogeBonk keeps on going
        
         | chefandy wrote:
         | Do you have an example of a particularly well-done rug pull
         | that would help this layman understand the scam better?
         | 
         | I totally understand why folks fell for Bernie Madoff's scheme.
         | He had a brick and mortar office, a stellar reputation, and a
         | relatively well-known face. Revealing his scam destroyed his
         | life and he couldn't have easily disappeared into thin air
         | before facing consequences. His clients are no better off, but
         | the consequences alone would keep the vast majority of
         | investment managers from blatant cash grabs.
         | 
         | Conversely, the caveat emptor nature of cryptocurrency and the
         | ubiquity of scammers would stop me investing a cent based
         | solely on a website, PR, and/or social media buzz-- none of
         | which require anything beyond a small amount of initial
         | capital. Do their techniques go beyond that? Were any anchored
         | to well-known people or organizations?
        
           | tjungblut wrote:
           | Checkout what squid (from the squid game series on netflix)
           | did very recently.
        
       | gladinovax wrote:
       | I read a post on a crypto forum yesterday:
       | 
       | "I dont care about your research. Pump my bags, _racial slur_ "
       | 
       | That is the level of thinking of many of these folks, i fear.
        
       | superkuh wrote:
       | These are not cryptocurrency scams. They are financial scams.
       | They take place almost %100 off any blockchain. Since ~2015 there
       | has not been a new cryptocurrency of consequence. They're all
       | just complex financial scams with nothing to do with
       | cryptocurrency except the name (which attracts people to fleece).
       | 
       | No, these scams and the $7.7B are going into the pockets of the
       | normal group of capitalists.
        
       | chrisco255 wrote:
       | DeFi market cap one year ago was probably less than $7B. Now it's
       | over $100B. That is value that has been created.
       | 
       | Crypto is a worldwide, 24/7, permissionless market. It's likened
       | to the wild west. There have been numerous rug pulls, but if you
       | focused all your energy on snake oil salesmen and gangsters in
       | the West, you'd miss the fact that there was real, sustainable
       | value there.
       | 
       | A lot of people left Bitcoin after the Mt. Gox meltdown in 2013.
       | And yet the space continued to evolve and grow.
       | 
       | If you're interacting with DeFi, especially if you're new to
       | crypto, stick with the blue chips like Uniswap, Aave, Compound,
       | and Bancor. They are battle tested.
       | 
       | Look for projects that pay for audits, bug bounties, and do due
       | diligence with regards to security. Don't chase a copycat fork of
       | a popular project on a third rate chain because you feel you
       | missed out.
        
         | ForHackernews wrote:
         | > That is value that has been created.
         | 
         | I have 1000 toenail clippings I've carefully collected over the
         | last few years. Each is unique and carries a genetic signature
         | that is very difficult to replicate. My toenails don't grow
         | very quickly, so the supply is limited.
         | 
         | This morning, I sold one toenail clipping to my wife for
         | $100,000.
         | 
         | My toenail shard pile now has a market cap of $100 million.
         | That is value that has been created.
        
         | Daishiman wrote:
         | What value was grown? The _only_ thing that has been shown to
         | have  "value" is playing around with interests and staking to
         | create unsustainable returns on speculation, nothing else,
         | which I guess if you're into financial speculation can count as
         | such.
         | 
         | Who's actually using these coins to do anything in the real
         | world?
        
         | malermeister wrote:
         | Is it really _value_ that has been created, though? Sure,
         | numbers on computers went up, but is there any value to society
         | in that?
        
       | pjkundert wrote:
       | Like that crazy scam where everyone who held the currency had its
       | value reduced by 10% in one year, after the total units in
       | circulation was increased by 100% the year prior?
       | 
       | Oh, wait...
        
       | foxhop wrote:
       | The price of 2 attack subs in 2012
        
       | wyager wrote:
       | I often wonder to what extent scams like this have positive
       | externalities, insofar as the people who get scammed were perhaps
       | unlikely to allocate capital in socially efficient ways.
        
         | ceejayoz wrote:
         | Are the scammers now in possession of $7.7B likely to "allocate
         | capital in socially efficient ways"?
        
           | wyager wrote:
           | Perhaps more likely than the scammed. For example, the
           | scammers may purchase equities.
        
             | Mvandenbergh wrote:
             | Would be quite funny if the scammers were hard-core
             | Bogleheads dumping everything into ultra-low-fee index
             | funds.
        
             | AlexandrB wrote:
             | In an economy where companies prefer to invest in R&D with
             | credit and buy back stock, purchasing equities seems less
             | beneficial than stimulating demand by just buying stuff.
        
               | wyager wrote:
               | "Stimulating demand" is nonsense - applied Broken Window
               | Fallacy.
               | 
               | The net effect of equity investment is to increase the
               | amount of capital targeted towards the production of
               | capital goods; i.e. deferring consumption makes humanity
               | richer in the long term.
        
           | surfingdino wrote:
           | They now have a public, cryptographically protected record of
           | their activities, available for inspection using automated
           | tools by anyone who's interested, including law enforcement.
        
             | ceejayoz wrote:
             | Sure. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cryptocurrency_tumbler
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | unbanned wrote:
         | Interesting point. Would you rather have few unscrupulous,
         | enterprising individuals have a significant proportion of
         | wealth, or have this distributed between many people who are
         | mentally challenged (easily conned)...
        
           | AlexandrB wrote:
           | > people who are mentally challenged (easily conned)...
           | 
           | I think the biggest predictor for being conned is not low IQ
           | but high greed.
        
             | gokdisjtrdcvv5 wrote:
             | I didn't think of that but you are totally right! I'd say
             | greed has much more to do with it than IQ
        
             | wyager wrote:
             | People who are smart and greedy have much more effective
             | ways of satisfying their greed than investing in fly-by-
             | night crypto schemes. This typically looks like selecting a
             | career path based primarily on its expected return.
        
         | malfist wrote:
         | Yeah, but did you see the dress she was wearing? She wasn't
         | dressed in socially efficient ways, we should look at the
         | positive externalities.
        
         | Geee wrote:
         | From a game theory perspective, I believe that dishonest
         | players are always a net negative for all other players. It
         | might seem that it's good when capital transfers from stupid to
         | smart people, but actually it moves from honest to dishonest
         | people, which results in less efficiency. All this capital is
         | now used to perpetrate more scams, which means that more
         | capital will be allocated to these scammers instead of
         | something honest. And because of these scammers, all honest
         | people have now less capital to work with.
        
           | wyager wrote:
           | A fair point - unless scams tend to be one-shot, it's
           | relatively likely that the capital accumulated from a scam
           | will go towards unproductive ends (other scams). However, I
           | still think it's plausible that the allocation of scam
           | profits is better than the allocation of scamee wealth. The
           | sort of people who buy into NFT monkey rugpulls or whatever
           | might just spend any surplus wealth on a new TV or something.
        
         | tata71 wrote:
         | Eugenics-like slippery slope, there.
        
         | Sohcahtoa82 wrote:
         | Define "socially efficient ways", because that sounds like a
         | dog whistle.
        
           | wyager wrote:
           | Perhaps you have tinnitus.
        
       | mnadkvlb wrote:
       | Well, Melania just launched an NFT. gotta be legit. It even saves
       | the kids, it says so.
       | 
       | Happy times /s
        
         | marban wrote:
         | Powered by Parler.
         | 
         | What can possibly go wrong?
        
           | pjc50 wrote:
           | People demanded uncensorability, they can have all the scams
           | they want.
        
         | surfingdino wrote:
         | She really doesn't care... ;-)
        
       | 1cvmask wrote:
       | I hadn't heard the term rug pulls before. They used to be called
       | exit scams. A rug pull sounds less scammy I suppose.
        
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