[HN Gopher] Google is building a new augmented reality device an...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Google is building a new augmented reality device and operating
       system
        
       Author : rbanffy
       Score  : 127 points
       Date   : 2021-12-15 14:23 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (arstechnica.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (arstechnica.com)
        
       | lgleason wrote:
       | Google was an investor in Magic Heap(Leap). One of the early
       | developers for Google was an angel investor in it and those
       | connections lead to the Google investment, among others. Magic
       | Leap just has a down round where they raised 500 million at a 2
       | billion valuation, roughly the same valuation they had when they
       | raised ~500 million a few years ago. So they are also competing
       | with themselves on a project that has mostly generated losses.
       | (edited for clarity)
        
       | laserlight wrote:
       | Take it slow Google. You'll have to redo it anyways once Apple
       | announces theirs.
        
         | dekervin wrote:
         | This is so mean ! Yet it's probably the game plan, to be in the
         | best position to adapt to whatever Apple we'll do.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | Just look at the first Android concepts.
        
       | TigeriusKirk wrote:
       | But it's Google, so the program will be canceled after a
       | disappointing beta.
        
         | jacquesm wrote:
         | And appropriating a bunch of search terms.
        
         | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
         | Reserve a plot in their graveyard.
        
       | dqpb wrote:
       | I have Google announcement fatigue. It's just so pointless to get
       | excited about anything they say they're working on. I wonder how
       | employees feel after spending years working on a new product only
       | to see it tossed aside and forgotten. Years of their life wasted,
       | discarded like they never mattered in the first place. It makes
       | me shudder to imagine that as a possible trajectory my life could
       | have taken. I mourn for any of the multiverse versions of me that
       | lived that experience.
        
         | jsnell wrote:
         | There has been no announcement. This is Ars reporting on a blog
         | post on somebody reporting on a job posting.
        
       | ryatkins wrote:
       | December 2023 - Google has canceled augmented reality device and
       | operating system.
        
       | bastardoperator wrote:
       | No thank you! They already harvest enough personal data and I'm
       | not giving them direct access to my eyeballs.
        
       | 1cvmask wrote:
       | It seems that Google Glass was not ready for prime time when it
       | launched. Now, as in the next couple of years, seems to be the
       | inflection point for the whole ecosystem. Apple is also
       | supposedly preparing for a launch of their glasses.
       | 
       | I see tremendous use cases for these glasses in all sorts of
       | workplaces from surgery, dermatology, hair stylists, factory
       | assembly, horticulturists to potentially nefarious uses cases
       | like the police and military.
       | 
       | Welcome to the brave new meta world.
        
         | Grakel wrote:
         | Yep, and Google will fail to foresee practical needs and cancel
         | the project in less than five years.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | It'll stop investing on it the very moment they cease to
           | perceive it as an existential threat. That's more or less
           | what Google does.
        
         | dingosity wrote:
         | You mean the brave new meta walled garden?
        
         | moksly wrote:
         | Those glasses have been used in elderly care here in Denmark
         | for quite a while. Nurses who treat wounds use a set of glasses
         | to document the process so they don't have to switch in and out
         | of gloves a million times.
         | 
         | I wouldn't too much about the big American advertisement
         | companies getting a lead on it, considering how little they are
         | trusted outside the US in anything related to enterprise.
         | 
         | Those glasses I mentioned are actually Google glass if I recall
         | correctly, but with some completely different software because
         | naturally you can't use Google software to document patient
         | data in the EU.
        
           | dmitriid wrote:
           | > I wouldn't too much about the big American advertisement
           | companies getting a lead on it, considering how little they
           | are trusted outside the US
           | 
           | Given how much Apple is leaning on healthcare, they might
           | actually be able to break into this market if they ever
           | release their own glasses.
        
             | moksly wrote:
             | Are they breaking into healthcare in Europe?
        
               | dmitriid wrote:
               | I don't know how spread it is, but it has some presence
               | in the UK it seems
        
       | mysterydip wrote:
       | It seems glasses like these will be inevitable at some point,
       | whether from Google or someone else.
       | 
       | How will we have any privacy at all in a future where anyone
       | could be recording you and uploding that data to some cloud? All
       | it takes is one person with them at a party, or restaurant, or
       | busy city street.
        
         | vineyardmike wrote:
         | I'm hoping that Apple releases theirs using LIDAR instead, and
         | that sets the tone for the rest of industry.
        
         | ryandrake wrote:
         | That ship has sailed a long time ago. There is a good chance
         | that everything you do outside of your home is being recorded
         | by someone or something and stored somewhere. Including your
         | neighbors' Ring cameras, traffic cameras, shop cameras, and
         | workplace surveillance. The only saving grace so far is that
         | it's not getting automatically uploaded to YouTube yet, but
         | _somebody_ has access to it.
        
       | willob33 wrote:
       | Yeah let me know when the designer drugs that build the cognitive
       | awareness of AR, without all the dumb gadgets, are available.
       | 
       | I'm sure we could simulate experience through detailed
       | hallucinations, methods that leave behind the neural structures,
       | reinforcing belief through social story telling. That's how
       | religion worked.
       | 
       | Everyone is obsessed with making experience happen through
       | technology as if it's more real to our memory down the road, when
       | it never happened for anyone who wasn't there.
        
       | 3maj wrote:
       | We're going to get to a point where instead of advertisers paying
       | per click they'll pay per look since the glasses will be able to
       | track eyeballs. Hell, there might be a premium that pays "x" per
       | every millisecond spent looking at the ad.
        
         | jarpschop wrote:
         | That doesn't sound dystopian at all. Got to love capitalism!
        
           | postsantum wrote:
           | This, but unironically. Under alternative systems you aren't
           | going to choose what to look at
        
             | nynx wrote:
             | Could you expand on this? There are many economic/political
             | systems in which people have more freedom than in
             | capitalism.
        
               | Enginerrrd wrote:
               | Incredible claims require incredible proof.
               | 
               | In this case, I'd probably settle for even a single real-
               | world example.
               | 
               | You can't use hypothetical systems here because the
               | implied power structures created will be utilized by
               | actual humans.
        
               | rbanffy wrote:
               | That's all subjective. What is freedom to you? Which one
               | is freer: choosing and working to buy a house or having
               | the absolute certainty you'll always have a house? Which
               | one is more liberating? If you had that certainty, would
               | you abandon your current job and write poetry?
        
               | typon wrote:
               | No need to expand on religious beliefs. All it takes is
               | faith.
        
             | jeabays wrote:
             | Yes, it's so important for me to choose between 16
             | different brands of the same thing, all owned by two
             | massive monopoly megacorporations. Get bent.
        
               | gjvc wrote:
               | Washing powder is the canonical example of this.
        
               | harpersealtako wrote:
               | If an overabundance of detergent brands are the
               | "canonical example" of the future-present dystopia, I
               | think we're gonna be fine.
        
         | cwkoss wrote:
         | Click farms are going to be soooo creepy. Bunch of disembodied
         | heads on a shelf with the eyes flicking back and forth
        
       | skohan wrote:
       | So it seems like the tech giants may be in a race towards
       | creating the "metaverse", or "metaverses". As a kid this would
       | have been an incredibly exciting idea, but instead this kind of
       | news creates a weird feeling in the bottom of my stomach. That's
       | mostly for two reasons:
       | 
       | 1. It seems like efforts so far towards creating the metaverse
       | are heavily focused on reproducing the inequalities and status
       | heirarchies we have in this reality. What's the point of escaping
       | into a virtual world if it's just another place to get on a
       | status treadmill?
       | 
       | 2. Is there any chance that this is going to be an open,
       | standards-based system like the current internet? It seems like
       | this will almost certainly be a walled garden, or a set of walled
       | gardens tightly controlled by a few powerful corporations. Will
       | the open web be "legacy" which is gradually fazed out?
       | 
       | Even Niel Stephenson's metaverse in Snow Crash was not this
       | dystopian.
        
         | lukebuehler wrote:
         | It's not gonna be like we image it now: virtual places where
         | people gather. It's going to be the twitter feed equivalent of
         | an online world: tailored to you and your preferences to
         | maximize engagement.
        
           | notreallyserio wrote:
           | It definitely won't be like Second Life, even though that is
           | exactly what it should be (for better or worse).
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | With the sky filled with ads.
        
       | feraligators wrote:
       | Next stop for Fuschia?
        
         | thebeardisred wrote:
         | Surprised to see this is the only comment (yet) mentioning
         | Fuschia.
         | 
         | While I'm not hopeful for it being a community OS, I'm
         | nonetheless interested in seeing the direction it moves in
         | putting pressure on libre operating systems.
        
       | MichaelRazum wrote:
       | Isn't it all similar to Microsoft's efforts in mobile devices? I
       | mean gates tried really hard to create a windows on a mobile
       | device. Nokia and co tried by the way as well. Then came apple
       | from nowhere with the first iphone.
       | 
       | I bet something like this happens again, so I don't think it will
       | be facebook, google, or apple. Ok maybe apple. But I would rather
       | bet a good working device will come unexpected and will make a
       | huge impact - like the iphone did.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | mwattsun wrote:
       | People laughed when Steve Balmer went on stage and started
       | dancing around like a crazy man singing "Developers, developers,
       | developers!" but that's what Microsoft gets right and Google gets
       | wrong. As a developer, I have no confidence that Google will
       | stick with anything. With Microsoft, I can still create a Windows
       | Forms program. Heck, I could write a DOS program and it will
       | still work in Windows 11. I'm currently learning Microsoft's
       | Blazor because I have no confidence that Google will keeping
       | putting resources into Flutter and Dart (once their internal
       | needs are met, they tend to stop is how I perceive it.)
        
         | echelon wrote:
         | Microsoft bought Github and improved it. In addition to Visual
         | Studio and C#, Microsoft developed VSCode and TypeScript.
         | Microsoft pours a lot of love into Azure, WSL, and PowerShell.
         | We know where they're going with things.
         | 
         | Google considers us a stretch goal and will deprioritize and
         | defund if developer revenue metrics aren't reached. Google
         | developed Go (mixed feelings) and Dart (meh). GCP was once
         | considered expendable. At the heart of it, they're still an ads
         | company.
         | 
         | Microsoft gets it. Google doesn't.
        
           | DantesKite wrote:
           | I find Google is really good at taking projects that work and
           | building the infrastructure around it to keep it working.
           | 
           | They suck at innovation though.
        
       | cardosof wrote:
       | I'll believe it when I see it - they may shut it down at any time
       | to funnel more investments into tracking, ads, lobbying and PR.
        
       | kgwxd wrote:
       | r/nottheonion
        
       | otabdeveloper4 wrote:
       | Again?
        
       | n8cpdx wrote:
       | Similar to other commenters, I came here in anger. Google has
       | fucked it's users, it's developers, and the broader ecosystem
       | with its handling of AR. Google's engineers should be
       | embarrassed, and the executive teams who suddenly are pretending
       | to 'get it' should be embarrassed.
       | 
       | ARKit (iOS) works. It works well. They've built the groundwork by
       | pushing out LiDAR. They've continued to advance the SDK. Key
       | capabilities, like map-based geolocation are SDK-level features,
       | rather than being reserved as Google Maps exclusives. They've
       | made sure their phones and tablets have high quality cameras,
       | compasses, and GNSS receivers, so the experience works better.
       | They've made sure their devices have the horsepower to run AR
       | experiences at 60fps, even with overhead from recording and
       | streaming and multitasking. Edit: how did I forget about spatial
       | audio? Spatial audio is a key capability of the iOS ecosystem
       | (AirPods) that Google probably doesn't have the imagination or
       | coordination to execute on.
       | 
       | Google. Google has:
       | 
       | - made a list of the devices supporting ARCore, because they
       | can't manage their device ecosystem
       | 
       | - kills key APIs and SDKs (SceneForm) after heavily promoting
       | them. Doesn't update its doc and deprecates API with not guidance
       | on replacements. "Just copy and paste hundreds of lines of OpenGL
       | code from the samples" they say. ffs
       | 
       | - they still continue to push out devices that can't keep up. Is
       | it Qualcomm'a fault? Maybe. Somehow Apple doesn't have that
       | problem. Mysterious. Maybe a large near-monopolist like Google
       | could get their shit together and use their market dominance for
       | good. But no, Android users get shitty overheating phones that
       | can barely run AR at 30fps, if the apps run at all because all
       | the underlying tech is no longer maintained.
       | 
       | - they keep key innovations to themselves. They beat Apple to AR
       | navigation, but fuck developers who want that.
       | 
       | Oh, and btw, for people who want to do cross-platform work,
       | Google massively fucking up AR has held everyone back. iOS is
       | ready for top-notch AR years ago, but it's a tough pill for
       | people to swallow when you have to drop support for all android.
       | Google is holding the industry back.
       | 
       | I hope Google gets fucked as bad as they've been fucking their
       | users and developer partners.
        
         | vineyardmike wrote:
         | > They've built the groundwork by pushing out LiDAR.
         | 
         | I'm convinced the LiDAR on phones is apple's big beta test of
         | lidar on AR Glasses - to potentially avoid adding a camera and
         | the related controversy associated with it.
        
         | pjmlp wrote:
         | > "Just copy and paste hundreds of lines of OpenGL code from
         | the samples" they say. ffs
         | 
         | For example, the Metal frameworks versus copying Vulkan samples
         | from a random Google GitHub repo.
         | 
         | The last migration guide from Renderscript into Vulkan compute
         | is a sour joke.
        
       | candyman wrote:
       | Google doesn't really build things or have product management.
       | They need to acquire. So I expect them to do that if/when things
       | get serious and they realize how far behind they are. There will
       | probably be money to be made if we can identify the best fit
       | names for them.
        
       | truthwhisperer wrote:
       | what could go wrong if we don't have the framework to test and
       | verify these algorithms behind.
       | 
       | If google detects you are looking at men it may bias its
       | algorithms without even having the control on it so you get a lot
       | of gay content.
        
       | whoisjuan wrote:
       | Google had the head start here with Glass, and then in classic
       | Google fashion they let it die.
       | 
       | I'm always baffled how bad is Google at playing long term games.
       | Their biggest mistake with Glass was trying to productize it too
       | fast and stopping when they saw it didn't have good consumer fit.
       | 
       | They could have instead go more incremental by releasing
       | developer hardware and learning from that. They could have kept
       | that program small and nimble, but instead they pivoted into some
       | bizarre enterprise program that has always gave me the impression
       | of a "save face" move. Weird company.
        
         | duderific wrote:
         | As long as Ads keeps bringing in billions, there is little
         | incentive to think long term.
        
         | pjmlp wrote:
         | Android Things was a great example how bad they are.
         | 
         | 1 - Remove Java layer from AOSP
         | 
         | 2 - Add C++ frameworks as replacement
         | 
         | 3 - Call it Brillo and show it at Linux Plummers
         | 
         | 4 - Bring Android layer back with restrictions, call it Android
         | Things
         | 
         | 5 - Add back the capability to write drivers with NDK (lost in
         | Brillo - Things transition).
         | 
         | 6 - Let it stagnate for around one year
         | 
         | 7 - Kill the project.
        
         | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
         | People start with the assumption that Google folks are very
         | wise. Why? This assumption just makes it more difficult to
         | explain their bad decisions.
        
           | rbanffy wrote:
           | I'd say they are all very smart. Wisdom is orthogonal to
           | that.
        
         | fossuser wrote:
         | Even Google Wave could be another example of this.
         | 
         | They killed it almost instantly? This was before Slack,
         | discord, etc.
        
           | notreallyserio wrote:
           | An invite only collaboration tool? How could it have failed!
        
           | nomel wrote:
           | It couldn't even scale up to 200 messages, because it was all
           | so incredibly unoptimized. It's like one guy worked on it,
           | then it was immediately abandoned.
        
             | c0balt wrote:
             | Someone at Google couldn't count that low. /s
        
       | funshed wrote:
       | Will that be Google's 68th Operating System or 69th I forget how
       | many they are up to now. /s
        
         | xt00 wrote:
         | God.. why another OS.. jeez... it feels like even google isn't
         | immune to chesterton's fence..
        
         | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
         | I sure hope they create a new programming language for it too!
        
           | whymauri wrote:
           | Well, _someone_ has to get promoted!
        
         | adjkant wrote:
         | > But, rest assured, this will be the sixth time we have
         | destroyed it, and we have become exceedingly efficient at it.
         | 
         | https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0234215/characters/nm0048127
        
         | mandeepj wrote:
         | > Google's 68th Operating System or 69th
         | 
         | Maybe those are iterations for them
        
       | lgleason wrote:
       | As an Android developer and early Glass explorer it pains me to
       | say that I agree with a lot of the comments here.
       | 
       | I was having a conversation with someone connected to the upper
       | execs there one time who explained this to me. They said that
       | Google could generate the same amount of profit with a small
       | fraction of the staff it currently has. The thing is though, the
       | stock price would not be nearly as high and they have to keep the
       | buzz going, by pushing out a lot of bets to pump up the stock.
       | All that they need is enough perception of innovation to make
       | wall street happy. So that is what they have done, and as a bonus
       | a large part of salaries are paid with stock which allows them to
       | keep the ponzi (my term not, theirs) scheme going.
       | 
       | Up until a few years ago most developers loved Google, but they
       | have systematically done a lot of things to piss off a large
       | number of them and you don't see nearly as much Google love these
       | days. The big question is will that negative sentiment eventually
       | affect the stock price? I know that I would personally like to
       | see more competition in the search space (which is their bread
       | and butter) and have less Google lobbyists in Washington DC.
       | Also, great companies eventually do falter. The question is, will
       | Google's fall be as fast as it's rise? Time will tell.
        
         | azeirah wrote:
         | I think we're getting closer to a time where smaller players
         | can start competing in the search engine space.
         | 
         | Recently here on HN someone launched a search editor for small,
         | niche, seo-free, old, content/text-heavy websites. It's useful
         | because it serves a specific purpose, and can give you very
         | different but useful results due to how it presents its
         | results.
         | 
         | Storage is getting cheap, scaling is a solved-ish problem, ML
         | and AI make simple to empjoy intelligent search easier than
         | ever.
         | 
         | Of course, the solution is not to come up with a slightly
         | tweaked google clone (like bing, duckduckgo, ...) but something
         | that's more in the realm of reimagining what search means and
         | does. I don't think it's wise to fight Google at its own game.
        
           | dgs_sgd wrote:
           | I think this is the one you're talking about?
           | https://search.marginalia.nu/
        
             | azeirah wrote:
             | Yep, marginalia for sure! It's great. I will bookmark it
             | this time :x
        
       | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
       | They could call it StARdia!
        
         | thinkingemote wrote:
         | Good joke but perhaps offloading some of the video to the
         | network could be a good move
        
       | TheOtherHobbes wrote:
       | Google - churn and obsolescence as a service.
        
       | gardaani wrote:
       | It seems that Google is hiring engineers so that they will be
       | ready when Apple launches the AR/VR device.
       | 
       | Within one year after the Apple launch, Google has copied and
       | launched their own version. It won't run as smoothly, but it's
       | cheaper. So, anyone who can't afford to buy the Apple product
       | will buy the Google product.
       | 
       | And this is how the duopoly will live forever..
        
         | rirze wrote:
         | free market system at its best...
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | Overly optimistic. Google can't even copy successful products
         | anymore. See smartwatches.
        
           | Clampower wrote:
           | Or Pixel phones. It's ridiculous that they still can't
           | distribute them globally. I live in the Netherlands and can't
           | purchase one anywhere without crossing the border. And if it
           | breaks (which pixels often do) no warranty support.
           | 
           | How can this be company like Google ?
        
       | zmmmmm wrote:
       | > We're still likely a decade or more away from mass consumer
       | adoption of AR devices
       | 
       | Both Ars and Google seem a little behind the eight ball here (or
       | a lot?). Do they realise that there are completely functional AR
       | apps today on the Meta Quest store? Real apps where you can
       | interact with virtual 3d objects in your own living room. I set
       | up my own dojo with japanese decorations on all my office walls
       | so that when I'm fighting my virtual opponent it has the right
       | vibe. This is real, on a device in the low hundreds of dollars
       | and owned already by millions.
       | 
       | I really think the media bought it's own hype 5 years ago when it
       | went in hard on the "VR is dead" meme. All the while Facebook was
       | changing the fundamentals of the game with a low cost portable
       | device that all the enthusiasts snobbishly dismissed but regular
       | consumers love.
        
       | mbf wrote:
       | No it isn't. Google is playing. Just like Microsoft in the early
       | 2000's with prototypes that others look at, copy, and release.
        
       | newaccount2021 wrote:
       | stARdia
        
       | KingOfCoders wrote:
       | Can they fix Android first? Since years I don't have LTE internet
       | when Android connected to a Wifi but I haven't signed in.
        
         | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
         | Are you kidding? How is that going to get me a promotion to L7?
        
       | jlarocco wrote:
       | Augmented reality from an advertiser? No thanks. Sounds like
       | something straight out of a dystpoian sci-fi story.
        
         | standardUser wrote:
         | As Fry once said, "Only on TV and radio. And in magazines and
         | movies and at ball games, on buses and milk cartons and
         | T-shirts and bananas and written on the sky. But not in dreams.
         | No, sir-ee!"
        
         | lancesells wrote:
         | I totally agree but VR from an advertiser that's about as moral
         | as a cigarette company seems to be doing ok and a market
         | leader.
        
           | valine wrote:
           | Facebook didn't make oculus, they bought it. So far their
           | main contributions have been to require a Facebook account,
           | and halt development on the next generation flagship PC
           | headset in favor of budget android based VR.
           | 
           | IMO racing to the bottom on price when the products still
           | have FOV issues and low frame rates is a huge misstep. It
           | doesn't matter how compelling Facebook's metaverse platform
           | is if the hardware sucks.
        
             | jaegerpicker wrote:
             | Quest hardware doesn't suck though. The future of VR/AR is
             | absolutely wireless and absolutely NOT PC based. PC VR is a
             | niche market and always will be. I have a Rift and rarely
             | use because who wants to be tied to a wired device that you
             | can't see? Facebook has made a ton of mistakes and I'm
             | really not fan but working on the Quest that was not one of
             | them.
        
             | vineyardmike wrote:
             | > in favor of budget android based VR.
             | 
             | But it can still work with a host PC and it has a higher
             | res screen so whats wrong with it?
        
             | MikusR wrote:
             | Go and Quest the standalone headsets that don't require a
             | PC were developed after getting bought by Facebook. Quest 2
             | is 120hz screen same as Index. And due to slightly smaller
             | FOV a higher resolution than Index.
        
             | dwallin wrote:
             | Creating a minimum viable product at a lower price point
             | was the the whole magic behind the first Oculus. There had
             | been better quality virtual reality headsets before that,
             | but bringing the price all the way into the consumer range
             | changed the game. You may prefer higher performing, top-of-
             | the-line-computer-requiring, headsets at a higher price
             | point but consumer VR is a new and fast growing market
             | segment. Any company spending their effort on such a
             | headset is likely to find a vanishing market, as the
             | quality of cheaper wireless devices will improve much
             | faster than high end ones.
             | 
             | Don't forget, the low end always eats the high end.
        
       | kurthr wrote:
       | Although likely a fast follower of Apple and FB, I think Google
       | will be able to monetize their eye-tracking attention models of
       | VR/MR users more effectively than Apple using their current
       | advertising knowledge and user trust. FB will probably be more
       | aggressive, but has lost a lot of trust so may not capture the
       | younger more valuable users.
       | 
       | https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/intl/en-154/marketing-strate...
       | 
       | Your ability to not click to avoid future advertising will no
       | longer be effective. They will learn exactly what distracts the
       | most of your (visual) attention to ads and will target you with
       | the most effective ads for your attention model. Then they will
       | sell that model to their advertisers to develop more effective
       | ads for your cohort based on value. Your visual saccades (the
       | order, time, return rate) are not really consciously
       | controllable, while they provide huge insight into both your past
       | exposure and future interest images and ideas.
        
       | Fordec wrote:
       | I have about as much faith in this as a Twitter API.
        
       | romanovcode wrote:
       | Google cannot do anything except search and ads. Every other
       | project they did was a failure. I have absolutely zero trust in
       | any new product they release.
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | Recently moved from more than a decade on Android to iPhone.
         | Once the Stockholm syndrome wore off I realized how
         | pathetically behind they are on mobile.
        
         | cwkoss wrote:
         | I'd add email. But your overall point stands.
        
       | Andrex wrote:
       | Whenever I transpose my comments to HN, I usually do some light
       | editing. The following comment is unedited because this headline
       | kinda fired me up.
       | 
       | Considering how Google's treated AR and VR in the last 10 years,
       | hyping people up then quietly pulling back support and finally
       | cancellation after just 2-3 years, I don't see this going well.
       | 
       | They had a toehold 6-10 years ago which they could have easily
       | kept iterating on and making small marketshare gains, but I guess
       | that wasn't good enough. Now instead of entering 2022 with 10-20%
       | marketshare, a mature platform, and developer/user mindshare,
       | they're starting the new year with none of that and the idea "Hey
       | maybe we should try AR/VR stuff again."
       | 
       | Get bent Google. You shouldn't have cancelled Daydream and killed
       | the small amount of goodwill you were starting to cultivate.
       | Lenovo got burned, developers got burned, users got burned. And
       | they still want to try again?
       | 
       | Instead of taking your Google Glass ball and running home with it
       | after everyone was mean about the idea, maybe listen to the
       | feedback and change the product? But no, despite Glass being
       | introduced almost purely around consumer-targeted ideas and
       | concepts, it's now an "Enterprise" product out of reach of us
       | mere mortals.
       | 
       | ARCore, with its many naming and branding changes, has also
       | failed to catch on like Google hyped.
       | 
       | Google, you're charging into battle with Apple and Zuck and you
       | got a dildo made of American cheese. Good luck.
       | 
       | https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DkXnLUpXgAEz6Yg.jpg (via HBO's
       | Succession)
        
         | pjmlp wrote:
         | Add SceneForm to it, announced with fanfare at IO and slowly
         | forgotten.
        
           | n8cpdx wrote:
           | Not just forgotten, deprecated with no notice after my team
           | built our product with a dependency on it.
           | 
           | You might say, "why would you be so stupid to build your AR
           | product on top of Google's primary, supported, promoted,
           | first-class way of doing AR?" And I would say Apple hasn't
           | fucked me over like this. In fact, Apple has continued
           | investing in their AR offering and now makes Google's ARCore
           | and SceneForm look like a fucking joke.
           | 
           | Google Maps AR - oh yeah, that's an API feature of ARKit now.
           | Want to have high precision location with Google ARCore? Go
           | fuck yourself. (I'm directly quoting Google here, don't @ me
           | for the language; when you're getting gaped by Google day
           | after day, I guess some blue language slips in)
        
             | [deleted]
        
         | rvz wrote:
         | Except they are trying again, but this time with the
         | acquisition of North. [0]
         | 
         | We'll see how this goes against what Meta and Apple has to
         | offer for AR glassess.
         | 
         | [0] https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/30/google-acquires-north-
         | augmen...
        
         | pavel_lishin wrote:
         | > _Considering how Google's treated AR and VR in the last 10
         | years_
         | 
         | You mean how they've treated a large proportion of their
         | customer-facing products?
        
           | alfiedotwtf wrote:
           | i read the title, and thought of Google Reader, then came for
           | the comments.
        
         | rl3 wrote:
         | > _Google, you're charging into battle with Apple and Zuck and
         | you got a dildo made of American cheese. Good luck._
         | 
         | Zuck's vision is trash to the point I question whether the
         | man's had an original idea in his life, so I'm not completely
         | discounting the American cheese monstrosity as somehow
         | prevailing.
         | 
         | I don't really care for Apple either, but I suspect they're
         | going to "win" by virtue of focus and culture alone.
         | 
         | Of course, if any of these three entities win, it is the world
         | that loses. Rather, continues to lose--depending on how you
         | look at it.
        
         | jaegerpicker wrote:
         | 100% I was a massive Google VR/AR adopter. Usually I'm a big
         | iOS fan but I switched for a while because of Google's work
         | there. I believe strongly that AR is the next major platform
         | but I HIGHLY doubt Google will have a place in that market.
         | They ignored Daydream and then killed it. ARCore is terrible to
         | work with and pretty far behind ARKit and even Unity/Unreal's
         | AR lib's. I'll never trust Google again given how terrible they
         | have been to AR/VR.
        
         | dwighttk wrote:
         | Glass was not AR. It was a tiny screen you had to shift your
         | focus to.
         | 
         | I should change my usernames to glasswasnotar because I feel
         | like I am always saying that when people talk about glass and
         | ar
        
           | dougmwne wrote:
           | I disagree. It was and is an AR product.
           | 
           | Re-watch this early promo video:
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ErpNpR3XYUw
           | 
           | There are several clear AR features displayed. There's a
           | location based notification about the subway service upon
           | getting close to the entrance. There's overlaid compass based
           | walking directions. There's GPS based location identification
           | and check-in. AR is more than just computer vision driven
           | overlays. Though that tech wasn't available to be put in a
           | HMD at the time, these GPS driven features absolutely were AR
           | features and the original Glass should rightfully be
           | considered the first AR consumer product.
           | 
           | Furthermore, the product still exists as the Enterprise
           | Edition 2 and this current version supports computer vison
           | and object identification applications, further strengthening
           | its AR use cases.
        
             | dwighttk wrote:
             | Sure if the experience of using it had been anything like
             | that video it would have been AR, but it was not like that.
             | I'm sure they wanted AR glasses but instead they built a
             | tiny screen you could look at when you weren't looking at
             | what was around you... kinda like a phone that you didn't
             | have to hold.
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | zucked wrote:
           | How is a tiny screen overlaid in an accessible field of
           | vision, not totally obscuring your perception of reality, NOT
           | "augmenting reality"? I agree it barely meets the threshold,
           | but I don't write it off as not AR full stop.
        
             | jayd16 wrote:
             | It wasn't an overlay and wasn't powerful enough to do much
             | with the camera in any realtime way. It was closer to a low
             | powered smart watch that's mostly always in view.
        
             | a4isms wrote:
             | AR is colloquially understood to mean overlaying your field
             | of vision with graphics that interact with reality in your
             | field of vision.
             | 
             | By way of a real-world example, military pilots have heads-
             | up displays that overlay IDs of aircraft on the aircraft as
             | they appear to the pilot. That's AR.
             | 
             | My volvo has a heads-up display that show me my speed, the
             | current speed limit, warnings, lane guidance... But none of
             | that points to anything in my field of vision. Not AR.
             | 
             | Mercedes also have heads-up displays, and while I don't own
             | one, I saw a demonstration where when you are using
             | adaptive cruise control, it highlights the car it is
             | following. That's AR.
             | 
             | The above is my lay understanding. If you buy this
             | distinction between "heads up display" as a general term,
             | and "AR" as a specific use of a heads up display, then
             | Glass was not AR. It was just a heads-up display.
        
             | dwighttk wrote:
             | Glass had no overlay.
             | 
             | You don't see reality and the screen at the same time. It
             | is reality or the screen. (Just like a phone that isn't
             | running an AR app)
             | 
             | Looking at the screen does obscure your perception of
             | reality because your eye has to change focus. The little
             | prism was transparent but it may as well have been
             | translucent because you couldn't focus on the screen and
             | the world at the same time.
        
               | panzagl wrote:
               | Sounds like it was just shitty AR
        
               | dwighttk wrote:
               | Wasn't even that.
        
         | ksec wrote:
         | >Google, you're charging into battle with Apple and Zuck and
         | you got a dildo made of American cheese. Good luck.
         | 
         | This is rare on HN. But true. Google's new CEO still have a lot
         | to prove. The problem with Google was they were not found upon
         | a product DNA. They have very little if any product
         | sensibility.
         | 
         | At this rate, Google search may be first to be disrupted before
         | Facebook. Apple has its cracks but still far too minor.
         | 
         | It is also interesting this is finally the mainstream view, at
         | least the top HN comment. Prior to 2016, people still believe
         | AMP in good faith, Firefox compatibility was not Google's
         | fault, ads by Google were Ok.
        
           | eitland wrote:
           | > At this rate, Google search may be first to be disrupted
           | before Facebook. Apple has its cracks but still far too
           | minor.
           | 
           | After a few years of using DDG which is equally bad as Google
           | but has less and less annoying ads I tried out Kagi last
           | week.
           | 
           | The difference is so big I don't care to verify with neither
           | DDG nor Google: I know based on long experience how bad their
           | results are.
           | 
           | Kagi has so far been a breath of fresh air, a taste of how
           | search used to work when Google actually found the things I
           | asked for, not the thing an insanely annoying AI think I
           | want.
        
             | ksec wrote:
             | Yes. And I forgot to mention in my original post, I only
             | just realise very recently, in a lot of cases _every_
             | single results in the first page are now Ads. Every single
             | one. I have to scroll down to below the fold to get the
             | result I wanted.
             | 
             | I dont think any one at Google cares about UX anymore.
        
         | N1H1L wrote:
         | This is because in Google, you are promoted/feted based on
         | products you create, not what you maintain unless that's
         | bringing in so much ad revenue that you can be spun off into a
         | separate division.
        
         | potatolicious wrote:
         | The moment I saw the headline I was itching to express this
         | exact sentiment.
         | 
         | Google seems unable to plan long-term - they had some of the
         | most interesting VR and AR tech early-on but completely
         | squandered the early lead by lacking any institutional
         | commitment to the field.
         | 
         | Google was among the first to put specialized sensors on
         | devices to gain a structural understanding of your surrounding
         | physical environment. They canned it.
         | 
         | Google was among the first to ship accessible, affordable VR
         | devices via Daydream. They canned that, too.
         | 
         | Google's SLAM implementation was best-in-class for a while, and
         | has basically failed to turn that into anything while FB caught
         | up.
         | 
         | The company as a whole seems to have no concept of long-term
         | strategy. Every endeavor is dipped into with the most tepid of
         | toes, and abandoned at the first sign of difficulty (see:
         | Stadia, Allo, oh boy I can continue). A _ton_ of fantastic
         | research and work goes into products that the company _should_
         | continue investing losses in for long-term strategic advantage,
         | but the company ends up pursuing the worst of both worlds:
         | paying for the R &D and then changing strategies on a whim.
         | 
         | I know the messaging thing is a dead horse but it deserves to
         | be beaten some more: Google should be fielding an iMessage
         | competitor by now, if only to complete the platform narrative,
         | even if it will always lose to WhatsApp. But instead it has no
         | iMessage competitor and has rebooted its messaging strategy 10x
         | for no discernible results. The _minimum_ of what they needed
         | to do was just to field a competent, stable messaging app that
         | serves as a usable baseline for Android users... and they
         | failed even that.
         | 
         | And having been inside the sausage factory myself there's one
         | _huge_ lever that can be pulled here: Google upper management
         | needs to get _way_ more obsessive about products and long-term
         | roadmaps.
         | 
         | The reason why these projects die so easily is because they
         | tend to be owned by mid-level managers and junior execs, a tier
         | of the company where there is _intense_ turnover. Projects die
         | when their patrons leave the company, get promoted, move orgs,
         | or just generally lose interest. There is frequently no
         | champion for the project besides whichever manager /junior exec
         | owns it. If the company hopes to invest in a field long enough
         | for it to actually bear fruit, the commitments need to come
         | directly from the top.
         | 
         | A lot of this is the hangover of Google+, whose shadow every
         | project (even non-social media ones) lives under. The company
         | seems desperately afraid of making multi-year commitments to
         | things unless they are bearing immediate fruit, out of fear
         | that they'll pull another G+, where failing ideas continued to
         | get disproportionate investment via dictat. I don't know what
         | the right solution to that is, but it certainly isn't what
         | they're doing right now.
        
         | bsanr2 wrote:
         | Tango did, 7 years ago, everything ARKit does today. All they
         | had to do was loss-lead on a showstopper of a phone with one
         | killer app. They basically stripped down Tango to create
         | ARCore, and lost the SLAM space to Apple and Niantic. No one
         | realizes it yet, but this is about as bad as Microsoft losing
         | the web to Google.
        
           | egypturnash wrote:
           | Isn't Niantic something from Google?
           | 
           |  _checkshttps://nianticlabs.com/en/about/_
           | 
           | Keyhole made what got renamed Google Earth when Google ate
           | them, ten years later the core of that team started Niantic
           | Labs inside Google, made Ingress, a few years later Niantic
           | left Google (with funding from Google, Nintendo, and Pokemon)
           | and made Pokemon Go. Niantic has acquihired a few companies
           | working in related spaces.
        
             | bsanr2 wrote:
             | >Google let Niantic go.
             | 
             | Oh, I didn't know that. That's even worse. Niantic is
             | positioning itself to be a competitor to Apple in the
             | global spatial map game.
             | 
             | Explains why Go released on Android first, though. Neat. I
             | hope that doesn't change now that they're running with
             | 6d.ai.
        
           | jayd16 wrote:
           | I think Asus did have Tango phones but it wasn't quite
           | powerful enough. It couldn't compete with sexier flagships of
           | the same year.
        
         | ilamont wrote:
         | _Considering how Google's treated AR and VR in the last 10
         | years, hyping people up then quietly pulling back support and
         | finally cancellation after just 2-3 years, I don't see this
         | going well._
         | 
         | Not just AR/V like Glass. Web and mobile software, hardware,
         | and platforms.
         | 
         | We've seen so many projects launch with incredible hype and die
         | on the vine a few years later or wither to insignificance from
         | lack of customer support, developer resources, or a workable
         | strategy. Nexus. Blogger. Stadia. Music. Plus. Wave.
         | 
         | The lesson is clear: Google can't be trusted.
        
           | clem wrote:
           | Has Stadia died already?
        
             | sciurus wrote:
             | https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2021/10/google-stadias-
             | salva...
        
         | kwertyoowiyop wrote:
         | Now they can call it MetaGlass!
        
         | Zak wrote:
         | It seems to me that Google only iterates on things that are
         | immediately successful. That doesn't work for something like
         | consumer AR that hasn't really been done before; multiple
         | iterations will be required to get it past the toy/demo/beta
         | phase.
        
         | fossuser wrote:
         | Google seems unfocused - AR is an example of this, their
         | messaging platforms and failure to leverage Google voice for
         | 10yrs after the acquisition are too.
         | 
         | I'd bet on Apple, FB, or some new entry (harder without the
         | underlying OS).
         | 
         | DeepMind is the most interesting thing coming out of Google
         | imo.
        
           | hiptobecubic wrote:
           | Google _is_ unfocused. That 's the how the company is
           | designed. It's a federation of VPs, each trying to build a
           | little fiefdom and buy a third bay area house. Sometimes this
           | works well because it fosters competition, but there's a
           | definite lack of coherency.
        
             | ksec wrote:
             | They wanted a letter starting with A to be the parent
             | company of Google. It should have been ADHD and not
             | Alphabet. /s
        
               | azeirah wrote:
               | :(
               | 
               | Adhd people can be very focused
        
             | fizwhiz wrote:
             | > buy a third bay area house
             | 
             | In palo alto / atherton no less.
        
             | selestify wrote:
             | Was that just a random number you threw out? Because it's
             | depressing if even VPs can only afford three Bay Area
             | homes.
        
               | fossuser wrote:
               | I'd guess a VP can afford just one? Median housing price
               | is 3M in Palo Alto.
        
               | TaylorAlexander wrote:
               | I mean a good senior engineer is making $450k+ per year,
               | I don't know what a VP makes but it's gotta be pretty
               | high? Anyone know?
        
               | temporalparts wrote:
               | I'm guessing Google VPs make ~5 mil a year, given that L8
               | engineers make ~1 mil a year [0]
               | 
               | [0] levels.fyi
        
               | sombremesa wrote:
               | There are huge issues with how these salaries are
               | reported. When you include stock compensation especially:
               | what about vesting schedules and taxes? You can leave a
               | job (by choice or otherwise) where you worked for a year
               | and were making "1 million a year" with less than $300k
               | in total compensation.
               | 
               | It feels like a little trick being played on the
               | employees, kind of like unlimited PTO. I'm sure _some_
               | people actually enjoy the full benefits of what they 're
               | promised, but I'd be surprised if that's a majority.
        
               | reaperducer wrote:
               | _It feels like a little trick being played on the
               | employees_
               | 
               | It's a common trick.
               | 
               | In the 1990's Bill Clinton famously categorized people
               | who made $200,000 a year as "millionaires." Why? Because
               | they "should" be able to save a million dollars within
               | five years.
               | 
               | People in power find it easy to play word games with
               | other people's money.
        
               | romanhn wrote:
               | It's all fairly straightforward actually, as long as
               | you're familiar with how compensation works at big
               | companies (salary, stock, bonus, refreshers). Blind and
               | levels.fyi have raised the transparency on comp quite a
               | bit. $1M/year total compensation (that's annual comp, not
               | the total four year vest) is reasonable for a
               | L8/director-level at the tech giants. This is before tax
               | of course, which is how literally everyone talks about
               | compensation.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | akomtu wrote:
               | VPs start at about 2M/year before taxes. That doesn't buy
               | you much in the Bay Area.
        
               | romanhn wrote:
               | That's a very odd take. There are very few homes one
               | wouldn't be able to afford (yes, with a mortgage) at
               | 2M/year.
        
               | jkubicek wrote:
               | I bought a $1MM house in the bay area on a salary 1/10th
               | of that. $2MM/year TC buys you a heck of a lot of house.
        
               | akomtu wrote:
               | You probably meant you were given a loan to buy a house.
        
               | xyzzyz wrote:
               | Yes, that's how people typically buy houses. Deeming a
               | salary low if you can't buy a house with one year of
               | after-taxes, after-expenses income, sounds rather insane
               | to me.
        
           | Taylor_OD wrote:
           | It's not impossible to "focus" Google but lets not pretend
           | Google is making these decisions to focus on something or
           | not. It's small groups of people or singular people who make
           | these decisions and those visionaries can easily change their
           | focus or be offered a more compelling role at a start up
           | doing the same thing after they spend 12 months learning how
           | to do it at Google.
           | 
           | I don't love Facebook/Meta but it looks like they put a lot
           | of eggs into the Metaverse bucket. Google has never really
           | done that. They have dabbled and because its Google people
           | assume its going to be big or meaningful. But once people
           | internally make enough progress to get promoted and move
           | around internally its not going to continue to be supported
           | without guidance from the top and the top doesnt care about
           | AR/VR/Metaverse. Or at least they havnt until now.
        
             | potatolicious wrote:
             | The two statements don't really work together:
             | 
             | > It's small groups of people or singular people who make
             | these decisions and those visionaries can easily change
             | their focus or be offered a more compelling role
             | 
             | True! All companies face this problem. Smart, capable
             | people have options and frequently will decide to leave and
             | do something else/go somewhere else.
             | 
             | > but lets not pretend Google is making these decisions to
             | focus on something or not
             | 
             | This is where the disconnect is. As a company you decide
             | what things are priorities, and you build teams to pursue
             | those priorities in a way that is resilient to people
             | leaving - even extremely senior leadership individuals.
             | 
             | If a project withers and dies because a key player leaves,
             | then it never had the company's focus. Part of effectively
             | managing a company is to ensure your most important things
             | don't have a low bus factor (or in Google's case, a bug
             | factor of exactly one).
             | 
             | MS, FB, Apple, etc, all have a record of being able to
             | relentlessly pursue a particular goal despite being subject
             | to the same workforce attrition forces that affect Google.
        
             | fossuser wrote:
             | I'm a little confused by your first sentence because it
             | sounds like we're mostly in agreement?
             | 
             | Google does a bunch of random things kind of haphazardly.
             | Whether this is caused by incentive problems around promo
             | or something else I don't know.
             | 
             | I don't think they compare favorably to Apple, Zuckerberg,
             | or modern Microsoft. I'd guess it comes from the top.
        
           | folkhack wrote:
           | > their messaging platforms and failure to leverage Google
           | voice for 10yrs after the acquisition are too
           | 
           | The Hangouts > Chat transition is exactly this. Objectively,
           | they've made it worse and more buggy on their _own_ Android
           | platform. Ever since the transition I talk to friends less on
           | Google services. Many of us jumped to Discord
           | 
           | Don't even get me going on the Gmail rollout...
           | 
           | Google was once an innovator (search, Gmail, Docs) but I'm
           | not expecting quality from any of their future product
           | rollouts... _especially_ if it 's an existing product.
        
             | aceazzameen wrote:
             | This upsets me, because I genuinely liked GTalk and early
             | Hangouts. The constant rebrands and iterations made me and
             | my friends stop using G's chat products too.
             | 
             | I too don't expect quality from anything Google anymore.
             | It's become an untrustworthy brand.
        
             | fossuser wrote:
             | Yeah - I moved off every Google service during covid
             | (switching all accounts to fastmail was the biggest pain,
             | but once moved has been great).
             | 
             | One nice thing I'll say is Google's data tools and privacy
             | controls are great. It's very easy to export/delete/control
             | your data there from the settings if you dig through them.
             | 
             | The only thing I still use regularly for personal accounts
             | is YouTube premium.
             | 
             | Thankfully no friends use hangouts and I was able to move
             | the stragglers to signal. I personally don't like discord
             | either, but it's harder to get people out of that one (for
             | now).
        
             | dehrmann wrote:
             | > Google was once an innovator (search, Gmail, Docs)
             | 
             | Docs was from an acquisition.
        
               | dvh wrote:
               | I used to use Google docs because it was faster that
               | starting libre office. Now Google docs starts 15s for
               | empty document.
        
               | sciurus wrote:
               | FWIW on multiple browsers on many different computers
               | I've never had Google docs take anywhere close to 15
               | seconds to load.
        
               | simonh wrote:
               | I used to think that mattered, but I'm not so sure any
               | more. After all the people that developed that product
               | became part of Google, and they didn't become any less
               | the innovators of it as a result.
               | 
               | I think what matters with an acquisition is how it's
               | managed and how the technology is developed. I think it's
               | unarguable Google has put significant investment into
               | docs and done a good job developing the product so I have
               | no problem at this point giving them credit for it.
        
           | moritonal wrote:
           | It hurts to see it the accidental implication that DeepMind
           | came out of Google. DeepMind was one of the UK's greater
           | recent creations and it got bought/absorbed for a pittance in
           | exchange for custom TPUs.
           | 
           | I'll agree though that DeepMind would not have been able to
           | exist really without Google's ongoing funding and hardware,
           | so maybe it is Google's creation at this point.
        
             | fossuser wrote:
             | Yeah, I didn't mean to imply that Google created it or
             | anything. For better or worse they are owned and supported
             | by Google now though.
        
         | bsedlm wrote:
         | wasn't Microsoft also in this race with the HoloLens?
        
           | loeg wrote:
           | Not past tense -- HoloLens is a product they charge real
           | money for.
        
             | monkeybutton wrote:
             | And soon to be mass producing. They will be supplying 120k
             | units the US army.
        
             | iamricks wrote:
             | I have a friend who works at a company that uses HoloLens,
             | their use case is so that mechanics working on planes can
             | be remotely guided by a more experienced mechanic (not sure
             | if they're engineers?) on what they have to do to repair
             | the aircraft.
        
           | emptyfile wrote:
           | What Microsoft did with Hololens is a great example of what
           | Google should've done.
           | 
           | But that actually requires management with a vision.
        
         | mikro2nd wrote:
         | Sounds like they read some headlines along the lines of
         | "Meta... metaverse... blah, blah, blah..." and had a bout of
         | tech-envy. Again.
        
         | penjelly wrote:
         | daydream was my intro to vr, now a proud index user. Im also
         | sad they completely dropped support for it, imagine buying a
         | new phone and it losing an awesome feature for seemingly no
         | reason (yes i understand google wouldve had to spend money
         | supporting it)
        
         | abstrakraft wrote:
         | Google projects are like Rule 34: if you can think of it,
         | someone at Google is working on it.
        
       | yosito wrote:
       | The scary thing is, people are actually going to trust Google to
       | augment their reality.
        
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       (page generated 2021-12-15 23:02 UTC)