[HN Gopher] Plan Ahead for Phase Out of 3G Cellular Networks and...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Plan Ahead for Phase Out of 3G Cellular Networks and Service
        
       Author : speedcoder
       Score  : 65 points
       Date   : 2021-12-10 12:43 UTC (10 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.fcc.gov)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.fcc.gov)
        
       | speedcoder wrote:
       | Is there any way to fix my old 3G phone to continue to work under
       | 5G?
        
         | jlarocco wrote:
         | I wish.
         | 
         | My iPhone is affected by this (or so Sprint tells me) and I'm
         | holding off as long as I can. I'm seriously considering one of
         | these: https://www.sprint.com/en/shop/cell-phones/sonim-
         | xp3-plus-no...
         | 
         | I won't buy an Android because I don't trust Google, and I'm
         | just tired of Apple's poor quality lately.
        
           | slaw wrote:
           | The last iPhone without 4G was iPhone 4s released in 2011. If
           | you have newer, but still very old phone it may not support
           | T-Mobile bands.
        
         | reaperducer wrote:
         | _Is there any way to fix my old 3G phone to continue to work
         | under 5G?_
         | 
         | If you only use it around the house, you can get a picocell.
         | 
         | I once lived in a building that was too tall for cell service
         | to reach the upper floor residences, and the carriers (mine was
         | AT&T) would send the residents picocells to relay the signals
         | from their cell phones to the internet.
        
         | nousermane wrote:
         | Depending on your operator/locality, and whether you're okay
         | with being limited to voice and barely a 100 kbit/s of data, it
         | might "just work", no need to do anything special. Your 3G
         | phone will happily fall back to 2G/2.75G (a.k.a.
         | GSM/GPRS/EDGE), where such network is available.
         | 
         | For example, in the Netherlands, KPN, the last operator to
         | switch off 3G, is planning to do so at the end of this month.
         | 
         | 2G, on the other hand, is still in the air, with commitments to
         | keep it alive until 2025, possibly longer.
         | 
         | Source (in Dutch): https://www.kpn.com/zakelijk/blog/de-
         | toekomst-van-iot-vraagt...
        
         | dathinab wrote:
         | unlikely as long as you can't switch out the modem and antenna.
         | 
         | So you would need:
         | 
         | - a new antenna
         | 
         | - a new modem
         | 
         | - a driver working with your CPU/OS, which is likely to not be
         | the case
         | 
         | - a way to replace the parts
         | 
         | Sometimes the modem is part of the CPU package, making it
         | impossible.
         | 
         | Driver limitations make it often even impossible to produce
         | "the same phone but with just another modem", not even speaking
         | about upgrading.
         | 
         | The best chance to update to 5G is in laptops where the modem
         | is on a separate Bord, but even then you have the problem of
         | firmware lock-down and interface incompatibilities.
        
           | all2 wrote:
           | A single board computer could get you close to these
           | requirements, as long as there are USB dongles for everything
           | [0]. That takes care of 1, 2, and 4. As for drivers, I'm not
           | sure if you can pipe voice calls across these (VOIP, yes, but
           | cellular calls? I have no clue how that works).
           | 
           | [0] https://www.amazon.com/4g-usb-modem/s?k=4g+usb+modem
        
             | richardwhiuk wrote:
             | with SIP ATA you can probably get it to work with enough
             | work. I don't know whether any actually support enough of
             | TS 24.229 to actually work with a VoLTE network.
        
         | kingcharles wrote:
         | The WiFi will still work for a long time to come. That's the
         | best you can do. There are plenty of apps to call through WiFi.
         | I use Skype for most of my calling. I only use the cell network
         | when I'm outside the home.
        
       | alvarlagerlof wrote:
       | Interesting. VoLTE is not at all standard or on all phones over
       | here due to the carriers only enabling it for the phones that
       | they sell with their plans.
        
       | londons_explore wrote:
       | It's shameful that 3G wasn't designed to be supported forever,
       | and be backwards compatible with 4G, 5G, 6G, etc.
       | 
       | Just like WiFi standards are (mostly) backwards compatible
       | forever.
       | 
       | From a design perspective, all that's needed is a way to
       | timeslice or frequency slice the new and old signals. Then the
       | cost of supporting old 3G devices drops as fewer and fewer of
       | them exist, and dynamic time and frequency allocation can give
       | more and more to 4G/5G/etc.
       | 
       | The infrastructure cost of 3G is large, but that needn't be the
       | case - there are opensource projects that can run all the
       | computation for a whole 3G network, auth, encryption, etc. on a
       | single PC.
        
       | speedcoder wrote:
       | What is your favorite thing that was built to last? This is,
       | perhaps, a cheesy country song that speaks to the idea
       | https://youtu.be/E4i2fC1U38s . Is "built to last" an obsolete
       | notion?
        
         | notinty wrote:
         | This probably would have been more appropriate as an Ask HN.
         | 
         | Editorializing the headline like that is a no-go.
        
           | speedcoder wrote:
           | Good idea. Please reply here:
           | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29510819 .
        
           | speedcoder wrote:
           | Understood. Fixed headline.
        
         | micromacrofoot wrote:
         | Were things actually "built to last" or really "built to be
         | maintained"?
        
       | can16358p wrote:
       | "T-Mobile announced that it will finish shutting down Sprint's 3G
       | CDMA network by March 31, 2022 and Sprint's 4G LTE network by
       | June 30, 2022."
       | 
       | Isn't it a bit early to shut down 4G LTE? Does everyone and
       | everywhere have that access to 5G now?
        
         | nradov wrote:
         | T-Mobile is keeping their own 4G LTE network for now. They're
         | only decommissioning the acquired Sprint network which has
         | mostly redundant coverage.
        
       | Shadonototra wrote:
       | they finally woke up after realizing china is ahead already with
       | 6G in the works
       | 
       | https://techwireasia.com/2021/09/huawei-is-charged-to-have-c...
        
         | [deleted]
        
           | Shadonototra wrote:
           | it is linked, you just refuse to admit it
           | 
           | this is common in the west, you try to find excuses to what
           | ever agenda your government has
           | 
           | as a result you fall behind on many fields, including
           | education
           | 
           | it's no wonder 5G still isn't the standard, and yet you try
           | to find excuses
           | 
           | that's what happen when old people rule your country and
           | economy, they made decisions because they don't want to risk
           | what they have for the few years they have left on this
           | planet
           | 
           | now ask yourself, why
           | 
           | what's blocking from having 5G everywhere? despise being the
           | "richest?" country on the planet
           | 
           | what's preventing it?
           | 
           | why are they trying to push 5G only just now?
           | 
           | they didn't have the tech "until now"
           | 
           | they didn't want to rely on china because they were the one
           | with the tech?
           | 
           | or it simply was just they didn't want to invest because it
           | would cost too much, so they focus on selected tiny areas
           | only and forget about country side because "they don't need
           | it"?
           | 
           | > debates = "flamebait that detracts from the discusion"?
           | 
           | how come? that's because you chose to be blind that we stuck
           | with 2G-3G in 2021
        
       | OldHand2018 wrote:
       | A lot of people in car forums are super upset about this and
       | angry with their specific automaker. But of course, it is
       | happening to all of them that haven't moved off of 3G.
       | 
       | https://www.toyota.com/audio-multimedia/support/3g-faq/
       | 
       | https://lexus2.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/10537/~/...
       | 
       | https://www.subaru.com/3g-network-retirement.html?SIE=9ad00c...
       | 
       | Etc. https://autobala.com/how-3g-shutdown-in-2022-will-ruin-
       | your-...
       | 
       | Amazing that Honda have _current_ cars affected.
        
         | officeplant wrote:
         | This reminds me of all the 90s luxury cars with analog cellular
         | phones integrated into the center consoles quickly becoming
         | useless in the 2000s. Except worse considering how much these
         | systems are integrated into some cars.
        
           | Snitch-Thursday wrote:
           | Not to be dumb - but I don't want my car to have cellular
           | connectivity, so this opens up more car purchase options for
           | me once 3G goes dark. Granted, that's a tiny influx of new
           | customers, but still, there's at least 1 new customer as
           | result of their decision to still use 3G.
        
             | bellyfullofbac wrote:
             | In the EU new cars now are mandated to have an automatic
             | way to call the emergency services after a crash, I wonder
             | if the governments have a clause about what would happen if
             | 3G is turned off (I guess they're not planning to do that
             | for a while yet).
             | 
             | If I were in power and I genuinely cared about saving the
             | planet, I'd figure out how to make cars without this auto-
             | emergency-dial system more expensive to insure; that way,
             | people would look at newer cars more favorabily, and I'd
             | incentivize electric cars as well. But hey, luckily the car
             | lobby is still pretty strong in the France and Germany!
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | jtbayly wrote:
               | Why use such an indirect and backwards method? If you
               | were in power, you could just tax non-green cars, rather
               | than promote cars that become useless in 5 years when
               | technology moves on.
        
               | treesknees wrote:
               | 3G has been mainstream in the US since the mid 2000s.
               | Granted it depends on when you purchase your car, but
               | getting almost 20 years out of the technology is pretty
               | good. Most cars will be scrap after that long. I'm not
               | sure where you came up with 5 years.
        
               | throwaway0a5e wrote:
               | It's a balance between doing what you want and screwing
               | people hard enough to get voted out or violently deposed
               | (transition mechanism depends on the system of government
               | in question).
        
               | jtbayly wrote:
               | Sure, but second point is that it's dumb to assume
               | "smart" or "connected" cars are more green. If they are
               | being obsoleted much faster than "dumb" cars, then
               | whether or not they are electric makes little difference
               | in the grand scheme of things.
        
         | sircastor wrote:
         | A few years back I got a handful of letters about getting my
         | Nissan LEAF's radio updated from 2g to 3g. They wanted to
         | charge me $200 USD for it. I didn't bother and it's ended up
         | resulting in very little change for me - Mostly features I
         | didn't really use.
         | 
         | It's nice to know what just a few years later I'd be facing the
         | same problem again.
        
           | OldHand2018 wrote:
           | I've been told that on my Subaru, if I subscribe to the
           | services that need it, they will do the upgrade for free. But
           | if I don't subscribe, they won't do it at all. I'm fine with
           | that, I am unreasonably against subscriptions, lol.
        
             | jtbayly wrote:
             | I'm unreasonably against both subscriptions and cars having
             | modems.
        
               | enos_feedler wrote:
               | I suppose thats fine if your car isn't doing any of the
               | driving. Otherwise I might want my car talking to the
               | outside world.
        
           | btgeekboy wrote:
           | Hey, look at the upside - "unplugging" your car from the
           | Internet may make it more secure.
        
             | wlesieutre wrote:
             | In the Leaf's case, anyone with your VIN (ie anyone who can
             | walk up to you car and look through the windshield) could
             | turn on your car's AC over the internet and run the battery
             | down. Whoops.
             | 
             | https://arstechnica.com/cars/2016/02/nissans-connected-
             | car-a...
        
         | throwaway0a5e wrote:
         | The 3g phaseout arguably makes all those cars more secure.
        
           | [deleted]
        
       | rubylark wrote:
       | I worked very very briefly in the wireless service industry on
       | UAPs and large scale cell antenna receivers. To me, this doesn't
       | seem as much a conspiracy to obsolete old phones as a practical
       | stance to not need to have two copies of antennas on every tower.
       | The old antennas used in 3G don't go up to the frequencies needed
       | by true 5G, so they need new ones. If they're developing new
       | ones, they don't want to have to keep supporting old standards as
       | well, so they don't code for it (and possibly don't even support
       | it in the hardware). So now there are no more 3G receivers on any
       | towers and therefore your 3G phone stops working. As a side
       | effect, anyone still using a 3G device needs to buy a new one,
       | but I don't think that is the main driver for the move.
        
         | dathinab wrote:
         | I think it's also about:
         | 
         | - later recycling frequencies
         | 
         | - reducing maintenance burden (by not maintaining 3G)
         | 
         | - as far as I remember 3G as serious security vulnerabilities
         | 
         | Also most smart phones only a lifetime of 3-5 years at most,
         | and even then people tend to replace them early due to braking
         | them and for vanity.
         | 
         | So there are probably not too many smart phones around which do
         | not support 4G and which are not a security liability. Through
         | probably a bunch of fallback feature phones or other "less
         | common" (then smartphones) kinds of phones.
         | 
         | Also it differs by country.
        
           | CountSessine wrote:
           | _later recycling frequencies_
           | 
           | Yeah this is what I would think. My understanding is that in
           | North America a lot of plum 800MHz bands are currently
           | occupied by 3G umts.
           | 
           | edit - yes, both Verizon and AT&T are dedicating a single
           | band of 850MHz spectrum for umts. So this would let them move
           | that to 4G or 5G.
        
         | anthomtb wrote:
         | Something here doesn't make sense to me.
         | 
         | The retired 3G spectrum will be used for 4G and 5G (per the FCC
         | article) so the antennas could be reused as the carrier
         | frequency will not change. For a concrete example, if you're
         | running 3G at 900 MHz, why would running 5G at 900 MHz require
         | a different antenna?
         | 
         | On that note, saying the antennas don't go up to true 5G
         | frequencies is a bit...misleading? Because while the frequency
         | goes up, the wavelength goes down so the antenna should shrink.
        
           | rubylark wrote:
           | That's fair. Unfortunately I don't know the specifics of the
           | hardware involved, and I wasn't there long enough to get a
           | good understanding. I hope someone with more knowledge or
           | industry experience can chime in. All I know that the company
           | I worked for sold a completely new antenna assembly that
           | supported 5G and that our customers were moving to using
           | those antennas.
           | 
           | As far as the size, all of the units we sold have been
           | approximately the same size for quite a while. E.g. all the
           | chasses varied by maybe 6-10" max between the old assemblies
           | and the new. The new ones were larger (maybe more room for
           | power electronics?) I don't know if there was any effort on
           | our part to support 5G transition without replacing our
           | antennas.
           | 
           | Edit: I believe we were pushing new hardware because the
           | services wanted to utilize the high frequency band of FR2
           | 24-56Gz [1] (what I meant by "true 5G") that our old antenna
           | assemblies couldn't support. I assume they couldn't support
           | it because they weren't optimized for those bands at a high
           | enough fidelity for good data transmission.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/5G#Frequency_range_2_(24%E2
           | %80...
        
         | KronisLV wrote:
         | > As a side effect, anyone still using a 3G device needs to buy
         | a new one, but I don't think that is the main driver for the
         | move.
         | 
         | Despite the positives, this feels kind of sad.
         | 
         | If you look at software, many of the older browsers out there
         | can't even open simple modern webpages. After years, i grow
         | weary of the churn, i've gone from Windows 98 to Windows 10
         | now, through numerous versions of Debian/Ubuntu and
         | CentOS/Fedora, From Android 2.1 all the way to 10 currently. I
         | have had software and even hardware be ripped out of my hands
         | every few years, because someone decided to change something
         | and deprecate the older stuff.
         | 
         | But what is the alternative? Use old and sadly insecure
         | hardware/software? Or keep up with everything and partake in
         | more consumerism than i should?
         | 
         | Just some musings on the topic, because watching Bryan Lunduke
         | talk about old computers from another time when not everything
         | old was considered "vulnerable" and "a risk" (due to not having
         | much network capability at all) was interesting and enjoyable.
         | I wonder what i'll be working with in 20 years and whether the
         | older Debian and Windows XP versions will still hold a place in
         | my heart.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | Cell phones and mobile devices in general have always been
           | disposable items with limited expected lifespans. Instead of
           | worrying about keeping obsolete devices working we should
           | focus on clean disposal and recycling that minimizes waste
           | and pollution.
        
             | usrbin wrote:
             | > Cell phones and mobile devices in general have always
             | been disposable items with limited expected lifespans.
             | 
             | I agree with your second point, but I want to push back on
             | this first point a bit. While it seems like manufacturers
             | benefit from devices being disposable, I don't see a strong
             | reason why they should be.
             | 
             | The reality is that extending the lifespan of devices is
             | one of the best ways to lower consumption. When it comes to
             | changes like retiring 3G, we also have to weigh that
             | against the environmental cost of maintaining the 3G
             | network. Given the maintenance impact, it may end up being
             | a net positive to retire these devices, but it's still an
             | important cost to consider.
             | 
             | To be clear, we should also improve disposal and recycling,
             | but that shouldn't be to the exclusion of reducing and
             | reusing.
        
               | xwdv wrote:
               | I see a very strong reason. It's not lifespan that
               | matters, it's attention span.
               | 
               | You could build a device with a 1000 year lifespan, but
               | it's a waste of effort if the consumer wants a new one
               | after 5 years. It's optimal to build a device with a
               | lifespan that will only be as long as a consumer's
               | interest in it.
        
             | treesknees wrote:
             | Keep in mind, the thread you've replied in is related to 3G
             | modems on fire alarm panels. Critical safety infrastructure
             | isn't the same as the latest smart gadget. As we've moved
             | to putting modems on more infrastructure, it's something to
             | keep in mind.
             | 
             | I'm sure we'll see more of this post-5G. There's such a
             | huge push to get 5G-connected IoT devices into every corner
             | of society, we'll have to seriously reconsider how limited
             | the lifespans of these technologies should be.
        
             | reaperducer wrote:
             | _Cell phones and mobile devices in general have always been
             | disposable items_
             | 
             | Only if you define "always" as post-2010.
             | 
             | Cell phones were for a very long time considered long-term
             | purchases, along the lines of washing machines and
             | refrigerators. It was only when they became fashion
             | accessories and certain companies started relying on
             | pushing out new models every year for no reason other than
             | to boost the balance sheet that they became "disposable."
             | 
             | You're right about the recycling, though. We need more
             | places to recycle e-waste.
             | 
             | I was surprised a couple of years ago when I wanted to
             | recycle an old PowerBook. I assumed that every Apple Store
             | would take used gear. But it turned out that none of the
             | Apple Stores near me would take it. I'd have to drive it
             | four hours away to another city in order for it to be
             | recycled.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | That's simply wrong. In the US at least, prior to 2010
               | cell phones were typically replaced about every 3 years.
               | The Motorola Razr flip phone was absolutely a fashion
               | accessory in 2004; watch some music videos from that era.
               | Motorola and other brands did push out new models every
               | year.
        
               | reaperducer wrote:
               | I'm not "simply wrong." I just has a cell phone long
               | before you did.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | So you're describing your own behavior, not the typical
               | consumer. I'm on my 10th cell phone since 1996. Most
               | other consumers are about the same.
        
           | reaperducer wrote:
           | _Use old and sadly insecure hardware /software?_
           | 
           | I think "security" is used as a crutch and an excuse too
           | much.
           | 
           | As a retro hardware enthusiast, very often the hardware isn't
           | insecure. It's just that someone somewhere got lazy or greedy
           | or both and decided to do something that makes the hardware
           | not work right anymore. Things like billion-dollar game
           | companies that shut down servers that cost them all of $5,000
           | a year to run. It's less than is spent on a single coffee
           | maker, but the company decides to cut off all of its existing
           | customers because they only number in the hundreds, not the
           | millions.
           | 
           | As to "security" -- Keeping financial records on a 1982
           | TRS-80 is far more secure than keeping them on any modern
           | laptop.
        
             | usrbin wrote:
             | > $5,000 a year
             | 
             | > It's less than is spent on a single coffee maker
             | 
             | I really want to try this coffee maker.
        
           | mdasen wrote:
           | > someone decided to change something and deprecate the older
           | stuff
           | 
           | I definitely understand the pain. In some cases, it's stupid
           | moves. In other cases, it's about reclaiming the resources
           | for something better. With wireless, should a small number of
           | people who want to use old devices mean that we can't use
           | those wireless frequencies for newer high-speed data? Maybe
           | carriers should start pricing based no how much bandwidth
           | you're using in terms of frequencies. Well, you're using a
           | device that is 1/10th as efficient as a modern device so
           | we're charging you many times more than what we charge
           | customers with modern devices.
           | 
           | Sometimes there's inefficient stuff that impacts whether
           | others can enjoy what they want.
           | 
           | > But what is the alternative?
           | 
           | The alternative is that we decide that new stuff (possibly
           | progress) isn't something we want. I say possibly progress
           | because some stuff is questionably progress. Do we need
           | YouTube, TikTok, online games, etc? No, but they can surely
           | be nice. We could certainly go back to the days of 2GB
           | wireless plans and live like that. Heck, we lived without
           | wireless data for a long time.
           | 
           | With some of the software churn, it just becomes hard to
           | support so many different configurations and people
           | concentrate on the ones that are commonly used.
           | 
           | > keep up with everything and partake in more consumerism
           | than I should
           | 
           | Some of it is consumerism. Some of it is progress. I think
           | you're slightly unfairly conflating it all as consumerism.
           | The ability to offer unlimited data plans and faster data
           | speeds is progress over slow, limited data plans. The problem
           | you're facing is that everyone else changes and you don't see
           | the point of it. Imagine everyone started speaking
           | NewEnglish. You might see nothing wrong with English and it's
           | not like English no longer works, but given that everyone
           | else has changed, it no longer works for what you want -
           | communicating with others around you.
           | 
           | Realistically, this is part of living in a civilization. You
           | have to go along with what the civilization is doing and what
           | will interface with them. This isn't even a modern phenomena
           | in some ways. You talk about having an old computer that you
           | want to be able to interface with others safely (view modern
           | web pages, keep running software, etc). I'm now thinking of
           | the Reformation where literally if you didn't adopt the new
           | religion you might be killed. That's an extreme example, but
           | there's a lot that people must do to be a part of our
           | civilization.
           | 
           | Humans are social beings and our technology is no less
           | social. It's why people have fights over things like
           | programming languages. If PHP is a "dead language" it means
           | that the next generation of engineers won't learn it and it
           | will become less useful over time because fewer people will
           | be improving it, writing libraries for it, and fewer systems
           | will support it well. If a lot of people leave Android for
           | iOS, there will be fewer apps for Android, fewer device
           | options, etc. It's why people have fights over which next-gen
           | console will win - because if they pick the losing device,
           | they might not get a lot of games. I mean, if you bought a
           | Dreamcast, you ended up buying something that never realized
           | its potential because of the social context where game devs
           | didn't make enough games for it.
           | 
           | Our technology is social. If you're not going along with that
           | social context, you're going to miss out on things. In a
           | certain way, you want everyone to support what you like even
           | if it doesn't make sense for them (in terms of time and
           | money).
           | 
           | Again, I understand the pain and there is a lot of
           | consumerism. However, there's also progress in the mix as
           | well. As the social context of the tech changes, you have to
           | keep up with it to an extent. Companies don't want to keep
           | supporting a 20-year-old OS because a few people don't see
           | the need for the new features introduced in newer versions.
           | Should you pay for a support contract for the old OS you want
           | updates for? How expensive should that be given how few
           | people will be paying for the engineering time to make that
           | happen? Likewise, if 3G users want to keep their network
           | around, how much should they pay for their plans to
           | compensate for the fact that they're using a much greater
           | share of a scarce resource (wireless spectrum)? $500/mo
           | rather than $50/mo? It kinda gets to the point that it's
           | realistically impossible since someone isn't going to pay
           | $500/mo instead of upgrading their phone. Likewise, you
           | aren't going to pay thousands per year for a support contract
           | on an obsolete OS.
        
       | officeplant wrote:
       | I work in the Fire Industry, we've been selling LTE communicators
       | for fire panels like hotcakes these last few years. Mostly due to
       | so many sites not having good enough internet connections for IP-
       | DACTs, or IT refusing to deal with fire alarm panels on their
       | networks like putting us on a VLAN and giving us access to the
       | outside world. I understand their hesitancy, but so many panels
       | have built in IP communication with useful features now.
       | 
       | We're lucky enough that the vast majority of our clients moved
       | off of 3G in this last wave of fire alarm system updates or they
       | went straight from land lines to LTE as the land lines become
       | less commonly used.
       | 
       | The most annoying thing is the sheer volume of spam mail I get
       | from 3G advocates trying to convince us to contact regulators to
       | stop 3G sunsetting. I'm sorry angry emailer, but we've long since
       | moved on just like we always have when a technology gets put to
       | pasture.
        
         | nekoashide wrote:
         | Even if it cost nothing to upgrade you would have industry
         | trade groups shouting from the rooftops on how terrible this is
         | and how bad 4G is. In a previous job that required PCI
         | compliance not even the threat of losing the ability to process
         | credit cards would stop these trade groups.
        
       | FemmeAndroid wrote:
       | From the Hacker News Guidelines [1]:
       | 
       | > Otherwise please use the original title, unless it is
       | misleading or linkbait; don't editorialize.
       | 
       | The title of the article is "Plan Ahead for Phase Out of 3G
       | Cellular Networks and Service", which seems accurate. The current
       | post's title is "5G obsoletes 3G? forced obsolesence [sic] for
       | profit?"
       | 
       | [1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | mikewarot wrote:
       | Wait, the FCC now tells me that ALL 3g is going away, T-Mobile
       | made it seem like only the sprint part of the network was going
       | away. So, now I have to ditch my beloved Built To Last Samsung
       | T-199. 8(
       | 
       | [Edit] Upon re-reading, maybe not?
        
       | OJFord wrote:
       | Related, 'UK to ditch 2G & 3G by 2033':
       | https://eandt.theiet.org/content/articles/2021/12/uk-to-swit...
       | 
       | (I did submit it here, but no discussion to link.)
        
       | cdnsteve wrote:
       | What about all the IoT stuff out in the field that can't be
       | easily upgraded?
        
         | criddell wrote:
         | It will stop working.
        
           | HeyLaughingBoy wrote:
           | Yup. There have been warnings about this from the cell
           | network providers for _years_. Anyone caught with their pants
           | down has certainly been ignoring the problem.
        
       | PaulHoule wrote:
       | Newer phone networks are much more efficient than old ones. For a
       | certain amount of 3G spectrum the carrier can serve more
       | customers at higher data rates with 4G or 5G. From their
       | viewpoint it is expensive to keep serving 3G customers.
        
         | ClumsyPilot wrote:
         | Ironically 2g will still be around forever as a fallback and so
         | much industrisl equipment relies on it
         | 
         | At least thats what uk operators told me
        
           | majjam wrote:
           | Thats good to know thank you. I like to fall back on 2G phone
           | rather than a smartphone from time to time.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | skrause wrote:
           | GSM can easily share a frequency block with LTE/5G, so it's
           | much easier to keep it around. 3G needs a whole 5 MHz
           | frequency block for itself, but could you use the same block
           | and assign 4.5 MHz to LTE or 5G and just 0.5 MHz for a few
           | GSM legacy devices. That's why it makes sense to turn off 3G,
           | but keep GSM for older devices.
        
           | anttisalmela wrote:
           | That's what happening in Finland too. All operators have
           | announced that 3G will be switched off in 2023.
        
           | mdasen wrote:
           | In the US, that won't be the case. AT&T shut down GSM at the
           | end of 2016. Verizon will be shutting down its 2G/3G CDMA
           | network at the end of 2022. T-Mobile is also slated to shut
           | down its 2G GSM network at the end of 2022.
           | 
           | As others have pointed out, 2G GSM uses less spectrum (not
           | for the same usage, but as a base) with 0.2MHz channels
           | rather than 5MHz channels. There's been some stuff talking
           | about T-Mobile running GSM inside the guard bands of their
           | LTE network (dead space between channels). Still, it seems
           | like they're also going to be shutting it down.
           | 
           | T-Mobile's GSM network is pretty limited with maybe a third
           | of the coverage of their LTE and 5G networks. It doesn't use
           | any low-band spectrum so it performs pretty poorly. They also
           | haven't been expanding it over the past 7 years or so,
           | preferring to put their effort into LTE and now 5G.
           | 
           | They did keep GSM alive a lot longer than AT&T (6 years
           | longer), but it seems like the reasons for keeping it alive
           | are dwindling compared to the cost.
        
           | ksec wrote:
           | That used to be the case, ( ~2018 ) when MNO around the world
           | have a similar stance, have 2G as Fall Back, and switching
           | off 3G. But more and more operators are now thinking of the
           | idea switching off _both_ 2G and 3G within the next 5-10
           | years. So their whole network will be IP based.
           | 
           | I think that greatly depends how much they can continue to
           | milk those 2G / 3G equipment. And the pandemic has speed
           | things up a little bit.
        
           | g_p wrote:
           | The UK has recently agreed with the industry to phase out 2G
           | by 2033, as mentioned in another comment here.
           | 
           | I imagine there will be a fair bit of industrial equipment
           | and smart meters needing replaced as a result!
        
           | yaantc wrote:
           | In many places yes, but still with a much reduced bandwidth
           | allocations.
           | 
           | Newer generations increase the spectral efficiency, so more
           | throughput can be supported on the same spectrum. So the
           | operators tend to move spectrum from old to new generations.
           | 
           | This is not immediate and there are a lot of differences from
           | one operator to the next: in an area with low demand it's
           | more cost efficient to keep using the old hardware as much as
           | possible for example, until at some point using new more
           | efficient hardware is cheaper than maintaining the old one.
           | Then there are contractual obligations: some 2G is kept
           | around to support industrial M2M applications with contracts
           | covering 10 to 15 years of service for example.
           | 
           | Which is why there's quite a lot of differences from operator
           | to operator. Still, the trend is always there. What changes
           | is the transition speed.
        
           | wavesquid wrote:
           | As far as I know, since mid-2018, all 2G networks are offline
           | in Australia. I've seen similar articles for other countries.
        
           | throwaway74737 wrote:
           | I still use GSM daily in the US with a few new and classic
           | phones. The technology is at just the right level with only
           | calls and some texting.
        
         | superkuh wrote:
         | Yes. 4G can stuff 300% more data hertz for hertz bandwidth
         | compared to 3G. But 5G only does about 15-20% more data hertz
         | for hertz than 4G. It really is a very minor increase in speed.
         | All advertisements about 5G speed are really advertising for
         | limited availability 3.5 GHz and mm-wave deployments in new
         | spectrum... but of course the telcos are now realizing this
         | spectrum, even the half gigahertz they stole of C band, doesn't
         | actually propagate well around Earth instead of straight up and
         | down. If speed alone were the desire, upgrading to 5G standard
         | would not be worth it for anyone. What it does offer is vastly
         | improved minimum latency and easier modularity in network
         | backends.
         | 
         | So realistically, this shutting down of 3G should have happened
         | when 4G came in if speed demands for spectrum were what
         | mattered. But of course back then there weren't enough users to
         | really justify it even if the speed argument applied more then
         | than now.
         | 
         | 2G and 3G standards have their place and keeping a 2 MHz
         | channel open for them is not going to get in anyone's way, on
         | the towers, or spectrum-wise.
        
           | mdasen wrote:
           | > 5G only does about 15-20% more data hertz for hertz than 4G
           | 
           | At low-band, it's often quoted as 20%, but when you get to
           | mid-band it's a lot more. That's one of the reasons there's
           | been a mad-dash for mid-band spectrum.
           | 
           | I'd also note that the radio standards are made to evolve.
           | LTE wasn't nearly as efficient as it was when it was
           | introduced which is why, for a time, HSPA+ networks were able
           | to compete with LTE.
           | 
           | > but of course the telcos are now realizing this spectrum,
           | even the half gigahertz they stole of C band, doesn't
           | actually propagate well around Earth instead of straight up
           | and down
           | 
           | The propagation isn't really a surprise and the idea it was
           | stolen is terribly biased. The incumbents on that spectrum
           | were paid huge sums for it and moving expenses.
           | 
           | It does propagate well enough that it will be very
           | meaningful. T-Mobile is seeing amazing gains using the 2.5GHz
           | spectrum that they got through their merger with Sprint. They
           | already cover around 60% of the US population with mid-band
           | 5G. 3.5GHz won't propagate as well, but there are ways to
           | overcome that like having the towers transmit at higher power
           | and then having lower-frequency spectrum handle the uplink
           | from the handset.
           | 
           | The three carriers didn't spend nearly $100B for something
           | worthless and they aren't realizing its propagation as some
           | sort of surprise.
           | 
           | > 2G and 3G standards have their place and keeping a 2 MHz
           | channel open for them is not going to get in anyone's way, on
           | the towers, or spectrum-wise
           | 
           | Running a 3G UMTS network requires 10MHz of spectrum. 10MHz
           | of spectrum can be pretty meaningful. CDMA uses 2.5MHz for
           | voice and 2.5MHz for data and maybe you're thinking of that,
           | but it's still 5MHz to have both voice and data on a CDMA
           | network.
           | 
           | Things can certainly be kept around, but it means less for
           | other stuff.
        
       | karmicthreat wrote:
       | I feel bad for some of my customers that I was shipping 3g
       | routers until mid-2018. Looks like a couple automakers were
       | shipping 3g equipment in 2019. I think several platforms like
       | Tank Links are also going to have a purge when cheap 3g goes
       | dark.
       | 
       | I wish there were some super cheap sparse data plans that worked
       | out in the middle of nowhere USA. Everything out there want 10K
       | units for get good discounts.
        
       | sharikous wrote:
       | What are the technical characteristics of 3G and LTE? Will we
       | lose a very useful fallback?
       | 
       | I ask because I have a very modern device which is basically
       | useless when I put there a SIM of an operator which has LTE only,
       | and works well with a 3G/LTE operator. I am speaking of the
       | countryside and I wonder if the problem is the operator coverage
       | or the technology utilized.
        
         | CountSessine wrote:
         | Disclaimer: I'm not a dark-mage-of-the-smith-chart - I'm just a
         | dude who had to take a course in EM once. Honestly, I'm pretty
         | ignorant and you should take all of this with a grain of salt.
         | 
         | My understanding is that the noise model is very different -
         | that LTE/ofdm are very good at getting around radio noise by-
         | frequency - ie a bunch of interference at a particular
         | frequency. But 3G/umts/cdma was very good at dealing with
         | multi-path distortion because of the whole chip-code-
         | orthogonality property and the fact that the radio would have
         | multiple time-shifted taps on the antenna. That would mean that
         | in theory LTE would be better at dealing with persistent
         | environmental noise, but 3G would be better in a city where the
         | phone is receiving that same signal but reflected against
         | buildings and slightly time-shifted.
         | 
         | I doubt this makes any difference in your case - it's probably
         | just that 3G is typically on 850MHz and that LTE is probably on
         | a higher frequency like 2300MHz which wouldn't propagate as
         | well.
        
       | tomxor wrote:
       | For contrast. In the UK 3G has another 12 years ahead of it [0]
       | 
       | Not everyone uses a smartphone with the constant consumer churn.
       | I've had a good quality Nokia "dumb" phone for 10 years and have
       | no reason to buy a new one, I need a new PS10 battery soon and
       | then it will keep going for another ten years in this country.
       | 
       | https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-59583783
        
         | xnyan wrote:
         | >...3G has another 12 years ahead of it
         | "Assembly Research founder Matthew Howett told BBC News the
         | change would probably come sooner than the government's 2033
         | deadline."
         | 
         | 12 years is the deadline by which it must be done, not how long
         | it will be around. 3G will be shut off in as as little as a
         | year in some cases:                  "BT revealed plans to
         | phase out 3G by 2023, and 2G later in the decade."
        
           | tomxor wrote:
           | Well that sucks.
           | 
           | Also a strange quote from BT since they don't actually have a
           | mobile network.
        
             | markfenton wrote:
             | BT bought EE in 2016
        
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