[HN Gopher] Defund the Police meets the crime wave
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Defund the Police meets the crime wave
        
       Author : hncurious
       Score  : 125 points
       Date   : 2021-12-09 21:19 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (bariweiss.substack.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (bariweiss.substack.com)
        
       | nverno wrote:
       | Defunding the police, along with every other policy, applies well
       | in some areas and poorly in others. When I was a kid, our town
       | decided to defund the police, cutting the force from 3 to 1
       | officers IIRC. It made sense because there was no crime, and the
       | townspeople didn't want to waste the money on police. All useful
       | politics are local.
        
       | fatcat500 wrote:
       | The people who support defunding the police have never felt
       | genuine fear from being victimized by crime.
       | 
       | It's only after the crime, when you're thinking about how someone
       | else had the hubris to threaten your life, thinking about how you
       | could have died, or worse, if your loved ones had been with you,
       | that they could have died, that you begin to wade yourself into a
       | deep and abiding anger.
       | 
       | I used to feel sympathy for criminals. Especially seeing how many
       | of them have led rough lives, having been raised by bad parents,
       | in horrible environments, having been led by others to
       | delinquency as youth, then into crime as adults.
       | 
       | However, once you have been victimized, this sympathy vanishes.
       | It does not matter how bad you've had it -- violence is never
       | justified. Any person who resorts to violence instantly loses all
       | justification.
       | 
       | It is only the rich who can afford to stroke their moral ego in
       | such an egregious manner. It is the poor and the middle class who
       | pay with their lives for this sanctimony.
        
         | reanimus wrote:
         | I dunno man, both me and my mom have been mugged before and the
         | police didn't help. Same with when my car was broken into and
         | someone tried to break my front door lock.
         | 
         | People make this argument all the time but I fail to see how
         | the police have helped any time _I 've_ experienced any actual
         | crime, not to mention so many others. That's not even getting
         | into the politics of who can call the police and how the police
         | react differently to situations, either.
        
         | throwawaygh wrote:
         | I've been a victim of both violent crime and property theft.
         | Police did nothing. It was pulling teeth just to get them to
         | write up reports so that I could file insurance claims.
         | 
         | Police don't prevent crime. Hell, they barely even respond to
         | crime.
         | 
         | And cops in our city have criminally generous pensions -- when
         | you count the pension, lots of these high school grads making
         | 100K+/yr. To say nothing of the absurd capital expenditures.
         | So, I'm super okay with shifting resources from PDs to
         | basically any other program. Value per dollar spent is just
         | super low. Probably lower than literally every other item on
         | the budget sheet.
         | 
         | Doesn't have to be a political thing. Hell, prior to 2019,
         | right-leaning libertarians were the only ones who I could find
         | who agreed with me on this. PDs are just a shit use of tax
         | dollars until we figure out how to bust up the unions and reign
         | in the excessive toy purchases.
        
         | setpatchaddress wrote:
         | > Any person who resorts to violence instantly loses all
         | justification
         | 
         | This is an argument for defunding the police.
         | 
         | Police reform is sorely needed. "Defund the police" as a slogan
         | was insane political malpractice.
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | > The people who support defunding the police have never felt
         | genuine fear from being victimized by crime.
         | 
         | A lot of them felt more than once genuine fear from being
         | victimized by crime committed by the police. Which, of course,
         | is almost never reported as a crime.
        
       | Bostonian wrote:
       | The Democrats run the cities where this is happening. What are
       | they going to do about it? Quoting the article:
       | 
       | 'I recently finished reading "San Fransicko," by Michael
       | Shellenberger. I recommend it. The subtitle is provocative: "Why
       | Progressives Ruin Cities." But, as Shellenberger explains, he
       | does not mean to imply that progressives always ruin the cities
       | they govern. He's just interested in the specific phenomenon of
       | when progressives do ruin cities, and explaining why that
       | happens.
       | 
       | And progressives--I count myself as one of them--do ruin cities.
       | Or, at least, they put in place policies that cause profound harm
       | to the people living in them.'
        
         | noduerme wrote:
         | I think we should start differentiating between Democrats and
         | progressives. At least here in Portland, the differentiation is
         | already complete. Basically everyone is a Democrat and most
         | residents would like to have our police force back and see
         | people prosecuted for property crimes. The city leadership is
         | beholden to a radical fringe who aren't really even liberals so
         | much as anarcho-communists.
        
           | redis_mlc wrote:
           | > I think we should start differentiating between Democrats
           | and progressives.
           | 
           | Most US institutions are Marxist today, so stop lying about
           | Democrats not being progressives (Marxists.)
           | 
           | The only 2 institutions that are not yet Marxist are local
           | police and the US Supreme Court. Note how both are under
           | relentless attack by Marxists.
           | 
           | What will happen in 2022 is that government at the Federal
           | and state level will become Republican (ie. American)
           | majority, but you're stuck with Marxists at the local level.
           | So vote accordingly.
           | 
           | Note that half of cnn's anchors (2/4) are under investigation
           | this week for fake news, so that should tell you how corrupt
           | the left has made the MSM. They've retracted (or worse, not
           | yet retracted) every major story they aired since early 2020.
           | One of their investors just said, "Maybe we should go back to
           | reporting instead of opinion." Because their ratings are down
           | 80% since the Nov. 2020 election.
        
           | commandlinefan wrote:
           | > differentiating between Democrats and progressives...a
           | radical fringe
           | 
           | Well, I don't see the moderate democrat leadership denouncing
           | the radical fringe, either.
        
         | redis_mlc wrote:
         | > And progressives--I count myself as one of them--do ruin
         | cities
         | 
         | The word progessive can be translated as Marxist - shame on
         | you.
         | 
         | And if you're hoping for "racial justice", I'm from the Detroit
         | area. Blacks think liberal SJW's are dupes, and without stable
         | families and educational success, there is nothing to be done.
         | Racism is the least of their problems, as any honest black
         | leader will tell you.
         | 
         | In the case of Detroit, it was not rebuilt after the 1969 riots
         | - that's over 50 years ago. I expect the same of most of the
         | cities the 2020 Marxist riots burned.
         | 
         | Those looters you see in security camera videos - that's all
         | they know how to do, until they're back inside prison.
         | 
         | > they put in place policies that cause profound harm to the
         | people living in them.
         | 
         | So stop doing it. As the Black leader Frederick Douglas said,
         | "Leave us alone." He meant stop the do-good white liberal SJW
         | policies that destroyed the Black family with welfare programs.
         | 
         | US Blacks used to have a higher marriage rate than whites, but
         | now only 20% of Black women get married. That means almost all
         | Black children grow up in a single-parent household, without a
         | male authority to teach discipline and boundaries. Hence the
         | looting.
        
         | dang wrote:
         | Please don't take HN threads straight into partisan flamewar.
         | This is a site for intellectually curious conversation. Those
         | are opposite things.
         | 
         | This is especially important when a thread is fresh, because
         | threads are so sensitive to initial conditions. If someone
         | shows up with a low-information provocation like this one,
         | that's extremely likely to leave a negative imprint. Please
         | don't do that.
         | 
         | If you wouldn't mind reviewing
         | https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html and taking the
         | intended spirit of the site more to heart, we'd be grateful.
        
       | endymi0n wrote:
       | The knee-jerk reaction of "defund the police" to the power abuses
       | of police officers struck me as deeply weird from the beginning.
       | 
       | It made me wonder whether the right NOR the left had any clue
       | left as what the role of a police force in a democracy was
       | actually supposed to be -- or whether that battle cry _really_
       | originated from the same forces trying to split the US society:
       | https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/oct/14/russia-us-po...
       | 
       | Like, there would have been lots of great claims: "Train police",
       | "Restructure Police", "Rebuild Police"... but what's a single
       | good argument to "Defund Police" other than wanting to go back to
       | anarchy?
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | > there would have been lots of great claims: "Train police",
         | "Restructure Police", "Rebuild Police"... but what's a single
         | good argument do Defund Police other than going back to
         | anarchy?
         | 
         | I believe it's a reaction to police forces now having military
         | gear when it should be totally unnecessary. In many places
         | police officers don't even need guns.
         | 
         | Maybe spending less money in militaria and more in training
         | would be a consequence of not having to fund military
         | equipment, supplies, and maintenance. It'd, at least, limit the
         | violent options police has when they are going to engage a
         | suspect.
        
           | asdff wrote:
           | Oftentimes they are given this military gear for pretty much
           | free. When is the last time you've even seen SWAT deployed
           | that made you think "I wish they didn't deploy SWAT?"
        
             | r00fus wrote:
             | TANSTAAFL - who's paying for that gear? How'd it get in the
             | police department's hands "for free"?
             | 
             | I don't want to be SWATTED (for script kiddie's Lulz) just
             | because the police have the equipment and need to justify
             | usage of it.
        
               | pixelgeek wrote:
               | Well the US taxpayer is paying for it. It is military
               | equipment that is transferred to police departments
               | 
               | https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2020/06/24/pros-j24.html
        
           | endymi0n wrote:
           | "Unfortunately, as a reaction to our budget cuts, the
           | department has decided today to drop all unneccessary
           | training, public relations, proactive policing and vehicle
           | maintenance. We hope there won't be more cuts in the future
           | so we can afford maintaining the urban tanks and full battle
           | gear our officers so direly need in these dangerous times."
           | 
           | Duh. Who could possibly have foreseen that defunding would
           | not change their attitude?
        
           | pixelgeek wrote:
           | It isn't a recent issue. Progressives in the US were warning
           | about this trend in the 1980s
        
           | nostrademons wrote:
           | Also to police forces closing ranks around their own
           | misbehaving officers, such that it's not possible to effect
           | change _within_ the system short of tearing down the whole
           | system and replacing it with something else.
           | 
           | I think that 2020s protests might've gone very differently
           | if, after the previous 18 complaints against Chauvin for
           | racially-motivated excessive use of force, his department had
           | said "Yes, this is a problem. He is no longer with the force"
           | rather than continuing to employ him until somebody died.
           | _Most_ police officers I know have been decent people, with
           | some bad apples. But unfortunately the bad apples are
           | protected and ruin the trust in the police force for
           | everyone.
        
         | analog31 wrote:
         | Since I had kids in school, I talked with people who expressed
         | "defund the police" at the time. My observation is that it was
         | a hasty reaction to things that people were acutely observing,
         | such as the school police "resource" exclusively engaging with
         | black students, sometimes violently, in one case lethally.
         | 
         | And in fact, they had no clue what a police force or a
         | democracy were supposed to look like.
        
       | r00fus wrote:
       | Bari Weiss is hardly a neutral (or reasonable) voice. Flagged.
        
         | MonadIsPronad wrote:
         | In fairness, the article isn't written by Weiss.
        
           | pixelgeek wrote:
           | She thought it was good enough to host it.
        
           | terminatornet wrote:
           | it's hosted on her substack, so I think we can assume it's
           | probably an opinion endorsed by her
        
         | _dain_ wrote:
         | this isn't wikipedia
        
       | Abroszka wrote:
       | I thought violence is up almost everywhere in the US compared to
       | previous years. It would be interesting to see whether this
       | increase correlates with police funding or not. My bet would be
       | no.
        
         | mattnewton wrote:
         | Police funding is also not significantly reduced basically
         | anywhere in the US afaict - in fact, it increased in Oakland,
         | though not by as much as police chiefs had hoped and as a
         | slightly smaller percentage of the overall city budget due to
         | increases elsewhere.
         | https://oaklandside.org/2021/06/25/oakland-2021-2023-budget-...
         | 
         | Separately, the article links to this source[0] when talking
         | about how progressives are "ruining cities", arguing that
         | progressives have successfully pushed for decreases police
         | budgets despite violent crime increases. But the article linked
         | shows increases in police budgets by percentage of the overall
         | budget. There are real instances of yoy "cuts" but they seem to
         | occur with disproportionately larger cuts elsewhere across the
         | budget, which does not support the hypothesis that progressives
         | are defending the police; it shows that when cutting budgets we
         | still prioritize policing. [0]
         | https://bariweiss.substack.com/p/when-the-crime-wave-hits-yo...
         | 
         | Obviously crime is Oakland is too high, what happened to the
         | author shouldn't happen anywhere. But it doesn't follow to me
         | that the issue was caused by lower police budgets.
        
           | nsriv wrote:
           | Exactly this, I've seen so much made of local budgets giving
           | less to PD's in percentage terms, which is disingenuous in
           | the era of increased municipal spending during COVID.
        
       | Trias11 wrote:
       | To solve violent crime we just need to give citizens ability to
       | protect themselves.
       | 
       | Try to rob me or hurt my family - be carried away in a body bag.
       | 
       | Yet that goes against some politicians narrative.
        
         | rbanffy wrote:
         | > Try to rob me or hurt my family - be carried away in a body
         | bag.
         | 
         | If the criminal expects you to be armed, they'll just shoot
         | first, before you even have the chance to reach your weapons.
         | Remember they have the surprise on their side. This expectation
         | should by itself increase violent crime and turn violent crimes
         | that wouldn't be.
        
           | Trias11 wrote:
           | That's what conceal weapons permits are for. Criminals won't
           | know and every attempt to do stupid thing might mean the end
           | of them.
           | 
           | If wanabe robbers expect citizens to be armed and legally
           | able to protect themselves and their loved ones - they will
           | think twice if it worth dying for $100.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | le_epic_throw wrote:
         | How many lives is your flatscreen worth?
        
           | Trias11 wrote:
           | My life and well being of my family worth more than the
           | worthless lowlives who going around robbing, shooting and
           | hurting people.
        
       | plorkyeran wrote:
       | This is one of many articles which are trying to suggest that we
       | cut police budgets and then crime went up, but the first half of
       | that never actually happened. Oakland's police budget is the
       | highest it's ever been and was not cut in 2020. The article it
       | links to as a source for police budgets being cut has the
       | headline "Cities Say They Want to Defund the Police. Their
       | Budgets Say Otherwise.", and shows that police budgets as a
       | percentage of major city budgets slightly _increased_.
        
       | felistoria wrote:
       | The police departments can get 100 billion a year and it won't
       | matter when the DA just lets criminals walk after they are
       | arrested. I think that is one of the main factors in the rise of
       | crime and violence. The Waukesha tragedy is a good example of
       | this.
        
         | rboes wrote:
         | That's the problem here in the Seattle area. First the DA won't
         | charge for many crimes and if they do the judges often don't
         | sentence appropriately
        
       | le_epic_throw wrote:
       | Sorry, but I haven't seen any evidence for a "crime wave" in
       | 2020-2021. FBI stats show a slight uptick in violent crimes.
       | These rates haven't been seen since... _gasp_ ... 2017.
       | 
       | If police-civilian interactions really decreased 80% (as quoted
       | in the article), and in exchange violent crime only raised 5.6%
       | [0], personally that shows even dramatic reductions in police
       | presence don't lead to complete "anarchy".
       | 
       | I fear, given the increasing discussion around this crime
       | """wave""", that some disastrous "tough on crime" policies are
       | going to be (re)introduced in the coming years.
       | 
       | [0]https://crime-data-
       | explorer.app.cloud.gov/pages/explorer/cri...
        
       | unethical_ban wrote:
       | This should probably be flagged, but I've thought about creating
       | an HN clone where people could put some kind of code in their
       | profile to validate their identity, to have these kinds of
       | conversations with the same handle they use here, while keeping
       | HN clean and tech friendly.
        
       | mysecretaccount wrote:
       | > Defund advocates often claim that police don't actually prevent
       | crimes, that they only bust the perpetrators after the fact. But
       | that's untrue. Police presence deters crime[citation provided].
       | Arresting career criminals takes them out of circulation. And,
       | most important, effective policing bolsters a community's faith
       | in government-administered justice.
       | 
       | Regardless of whether defunding is good/bad for crime, this is
       | the core justification for existing funding in this article and
       | it is quite thin.
       | 
       | Edit: I am unclear on why this is getting downvoted. Almost
       | nothing in that paragraph is adequately substantiated anywhere in
       | the article. I am not married to any particular perspective on
       | this topic, but remain unconvinced of the author's conclusion.
        
         | JamesBarney wrote:
         | Why is it thin? There are several studies showing how policing
         | reduces crime through a couple of measures.
         | 
         | Intuitively it would make sense that locking up criminals would
         | reduce crime (making them unable to commit more crime), that
         | increasing the chance of a criminal getting locked up would
         | reduce crime (via incentives), and just seeing more police
         | officers around would reduce crime.
         | 
         | I would be really surprised if for the past 1000 years,
         | civilization was tricked into believing in a criminal justice
         | system was necessary when in reality it wasn't.
         | 
         | Are there any studies where they dramatically reduced police
         | presence and crime wasn't affected?
        
       | giantg2 wrote:
       | Walking and spraying multiple houses... I was surprise there was
       | no return fire, then I saw it was CA.
        
         | gcheong wrote:
         | Unless you have your gun on you at all times in your house what
         | are the chances you're going to move fast enough to return fire
         | on people cruising through a neighborhood randomly shooting at
         | houses?
        
           | giantg2 wrote:
           | My understanding was they weren't cruising, but on foot. A
           | drive by would be different.
        
         | pengaru wrote:
         | > I was surprise there was no return fire, then I saw it was
         | CA.
         | 
         | I'm in CA and am surrounded by neighbors with guns, for better
         | or worse. If you think CA is devoid of gun owners you're sorely
         | mistaken.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | MonadIsPronad wrote:
       | Good article. Nice calm tone, interesting points. Seems like a
       | good addition to the conversation.
        
       | mercy_dude wrote:
       | Bari doesn't sound to me a genuine person. I have seen her first
       | podcast with Joe Rogan where she sounded like a layperson with
       | typical 21yr old understanding of sociology-political affair.
       | Then she suddenly became pro free speech and anti establishment
       | media. This is a person who has worked for NYT for gods sake.
        
         | blast wrote:
         | Leighton Woodhouse wrote the article.
        
         | throwawaygh wrote:
         | Just another entertainer grasping desperately for an audience
         | large enough to justify an upper-middle class income's worth of
         | ad revenue.
        
       | aejnsn wrote:
       | You get what you pay for.
        
         | mejari wrote:
         | Except they're still paying for it and the police weren't
         | defunded
         | 
         | https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-didnt-cut-any-money-from-t...
        
           | nerdponx wrote:
           | I can't speak for Oakland specifically. But when I see police
           | departments with lots of fancy combat gear, but with minimal
           | fitness standards and minimal training in things like unarmed
           | combat, I can't help but feel like the people are not getting
           | their tax money's worth.
        
       | the_cat_kittles wrote:
       | this article has no content. just show some contextualized
       | statistics of how police funding correlates with crime. in
       | seattle, it really hasnt from what ive seen. but if you have
       | compelling numbers, go ahead
        
         | WalterBright wrote:
         | Seattle crime statistics are misleading. It's been reported
         | many times that since the police no longer even show up for
         | shoplifting crimes, business owners no longer bother to report
         | it.
         | 
         | Nobody knows what the crime rate actually is as a result. But
         | the accountants at the retail stores know, and they're raising
         | prices, installing armored doors, or simply leaving the city.
         | 
         | The local bank branch I patronize now sports an armed guard
         | wearing body armor standing outside the door. It's only a block
         | from the police station. Pretty sad.
        
           | throwawaygh wrote:
           | _> The local bank branch I patronize now sports an armed
           | guard wearing body armor standing outside the door. It 's
           | only a block from the police station. Pretty sad._
           | 
           | Well that's certainly a vote of confidence for the
           | professionalism and effectiveness for the police.
        
       | terminatornet wrote:
       | > I have seen the unraveling over the past year in my own
       | neighborhood. In October, about three blocks from my house, a
       | neighbor was shot and killed in a home invasion. About a mile
       | south in the same month, a 15-year-old girl was shot to death in
       | an act of road rage. And just a few weeks ago, a little more than
       | a half-mile west of me, another teenager was fatally shot.
       | 
       | What exactly would police have done in any of these situations to
       | prevent them from happening?
       | 
       | > They claim that, by taking money from police and putting it
       | toward social programs, they can eliminate the need for heavy-
       | handed policing in the first place. But the social programs are
       | an afterthought. What matters most to these activists is tearing
       | down the cops, not building up the tattered neighborhoods those
       | cops are charged with protecting.
       | 
       | Progressives in the US want an increased federal minimum wage and
       | guaranteed healthcare for everyone. Studies seemed to show mixed
       | results on whether or not this will result in a decrease in
       | overall crime, but now seems like the time to try.
        
       | scrollbar wrote:
       | I read most of the article, in which the author implies that
       | defunding the police increases crime, and blames the people in
       | charge of Oakland with this crime.
       | 
       | Yet I recalled hearing that police budgets in Oakland were steady
       | to up this year, despite the protests.
       | 
       | A quick search seems to confirm this:
       | https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-didnt-cut-any-money-from-t...
       | 
       | >Despite claims to the contrary, the Oakland City Council did not
       | make any cuts to the police budget at all this year. In fact,
       | Oakland police were allotted about $39 million more than in the
       | previous two years, according to a KTVU analysis of city records.
       | 
       | What did I miss?
        
         | codenesium wrote:
         | Not much. It's an opinion piece. Probably doesn't belong on HN.
        
           | mitigating wrote:
           | Would it be similar to if I wrote an article saying I'm 10ft
           | tall?
        
           | lalaland1125 wrote:
           | There is a difference between opinion pieces that are at
           | least backed by reality and ones that are mostly hot air
        
             | omegaworks wrote:
             | This one is mostly hot air.
        
         | Invictus0 wrote:
         | It's more than an implication, it's a direct statement:
         | 
         | > As the surge in violence has become less theoretical to
         | white, middle class residents, Oakland's mayor has been
         | afforded the political space to push to restore the funds that
         | were cut from the police budget.
        
         | deeg wrote:
         | Crime is going up in cities all over the country, including
         | those in red states that never had a sniff of "Defund the
         | Police". I'm unconvinced that it's a direct contributor.
        
           | omegaworks wrote:
           | >Crime is going up in cities all over the country
           | 
           | False
        
             | pixelgeek wrote:
             | And your link to supporting data is where?
        
           | treeman79 wrote:
           | Going after a bad guy is now very risky.
           | 
           | If someone puts a gun to your head and says they will kill
           | you and you protect yourself. Well you will be made an
           | example.
        
           | m-p-3 wrote:
           | My guess is that the root cause is a mix of increasing
           | inequalities (perceived or real), low wages and polarizations
           | in the media.
        
           | zzzbra wrote:
           | Some added data to back up what you're saying:
           | https://abcnews.go.com/US/12-major-us-cities-top-annual-
           | homi...
           | 
           | Increases in Arizona, Texas, Louisiana, Minnesota, and
           | Kentucky would indicate to me a lack of correlation for
           | various partisan policies driving this.
        
         | ybessyehs654 wrote:
         | The article you posted is dated July 1st. The author's citation
         | for the "defunding" bill was approved on June 24 [1], in which
         | funds were redirected from the police to "violence prevention
         | programs." Obviously both articles are talking about different
         | things.
         | 
         | [1] https://abc7news.com/oakland-police-funding-city-council-
         | cut...
        
           | scrollbar wrote:
           | Thank you for sharing this.
           | 
           | If I read this article correctly then the author's point is
           | that simply the passage of a bill to be enacted in the future
           | is the cause of increased crime in the present, which seems
           | like a shaky argument to me.
           | 
           | Also I'm noticing that the ABC7News article says
           | 
           | >More than $17 million will be diverted from the police to
           | violence prevention and other services not involving police.
           | Another $3.6 million will be put into the new MACRO program
           | which will basically be a civilian crisis response program
           | within the Oakland Fire Department addressing those in mental
           | health crises.
           | 
           | This means that even assuming this is a net decrease of $20.6
           | million to budget, this is still giving back only ~half the
           | net increase from this year's budget. So we should still be
           | up $16 million or so vs. 2020
        
         | Waterluvian wrote:
         | I wouldn't put it past upset American cops to simply not do
         | their job properly as a form of protest.
        
           | user982 wrote:
           | _The police in essence said: "If you challenge us, if you
           | insult us, we will no longer protect you."_ -
           | https://jacobinmag.com/2020/06/nypd-police-slowdown-
           | defund-d...
           | 
           | Police are intentionally allowing crimes specifically to
           | boost the narrative of posts like this.
        
         | mostertoaster wrote:
         | I think it is that the movement itself has caused crime to
         | increase.
         | 
         | My friend is a police officer and is moving out of my
         | progressive state to a more conservative one. He told me this
         | is happening in nearly every department.
         | 
         | His reasoning was that they use to feel like they were on the
         | side of the community, but in many places it is now the
         | community is opposed to the police. Also they don't risk
         | certain things because they might have to use force and they're
         | worried they'll be charged with a crime f or doing so,
         | (especially if people riot enough and the DA needs to satisfy
         | them).
         | 
         | All that adds up to more crime, even though budgets will
         | probably rise to pay more to try to convince officers to stay.
         | 
         | How do we both protest police brutality when it rears its head,
         | while still treating officers like they're on the side of the
         | good guys (like most, but not all, are).
         | 
         | I have no answer.
        
           | scrollbar wrote:
           | That may or may not be true and is worth exploring more.
           | Although as another poster points out, this is a vastly
           | different argument than saying as the article does:
           | 
           | >As the surge in violence has become less theoretical to
           | white, middle class residents, Oakland's mayor has been
           | afforded the political space to push to restore the funds
           | that were cut from the police budget.
           | 
           | Which seems to be to be a misunderstanding of consensus
           | reality
        
           | heavyset_go wrote:
           | > _All that adds up to more crime_
           | 
           | And yet there is a dearth of evidence for this claim.
        
         | reanimus wrote:
         | You're right on the mark. A lot of articles scare-mongering
         | about defunding the police point to numbers in places that
         | haven't seen any defunding (quite the contrary, many of them
         | have had boosts to their budgets, as usual).
        
         | wobblyasp wrote:
         | You missed the opportunity to push your narrative
        
         | vondur wrote:
         | The main item in certain states is not prosecuting crime. We
         | recently had a smash and grab robbery that made news here in
         | SoCal. The suspects were quickly apprehended, but it turns out
         | they were released on bail almost immediately afterwards. Due
         | to the non-prosecution of criminal acts, these people will
         | probably never do any jail time. People are definitely
         | cognizant of this at this point, and it's eroding peoples trust
         | of the government.
        
         | x1ph0z wrote:
         | > What did I miss
         | 
         | Someone pushing their propaganda
        
         | nerdponx wrote:
         | > What did I miss?
         | 
         | Nothing. There is a narrative being pushed that tries to
         | correlate Black Lives Matter, Defund The Police, etc. activity
         | with increasing crime. That narrative might have some validity
         | in some localized cases, but is clearly not universally causal.
        
         | eckmLJE wrote:
         | Actual instances of police funding being reduced are so rare
         | that the author reaches for incidents of low police-citizen
         | interaction following controversial police-on-citizen violence
         | as evidence of what a straw-man version of "defund the police"
         | advocates for.
         | 
         | "Defund the police" has to be the most poorly conceived
         | political slogan of all time. It sounds more like a pejorative
         | its opponents came up with.
        
           | mitigating wrote:
           | wouldn't that mean the cause of the increased crime is either
           | criminals who are angry at the police so they commit more
           | crimes or the police not working as hard (or a combination)
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Could be, but those aren't exhaustive possibilities. There
             | might also just be more crime e.g. because of the pandemic
             | rather than anger at the police, or there might be the same
             | actual level of crime but more is getting reported.
        
           | tshaddox wrote:
           | I can understand some criticisms of the slogan, but why are
           | you criticizing the slogan in this case when the police were
           | literally not defunded?
        
         | torstenvl wrote:
         | Well, first off, a 1.3% increase in dollar terms in the face of
         | 6.2% inflation is, in point of actual fact, a budget cut.
        
         | vb6sp6 wrote:
         | > What did I miss?
         | 
         | A cultural shift. We now have people getting mad about things
         | that aren't happening and sharing this info as fact to anyone
         | who will listen
        
       | pixelgeek wrote:
       | > Defund advocates dismiss these arguments--not because they can
       | refute them with evidence, but because they're blinded by
       | ideology.
       | 
       | I don't know how you are supposed to take a writer seriously when
       | they write things like this.
       | 
       | > Even in the absence of a viable alternative, they demand that
       | existing law enforcement structures be torn down.
       | 
       | And this actually just isn't true. The author has time to read
       | academic papers on policing issues but he doesn't seem to have
       | read any of the material that police abolitionists have written.
       | 
       | He also references Michael Shellenberger frequently, a man who
       | has also written "Apocalypse Never: Why Environmental Alarmism
       | Hurts Us All" and "Break Through: Why We Can't Leave Saving the
       | Planet to Environmentalist". I think Shellenberger had to put
       | aside his 'liberal' credentials a long time ago.
       | 
       | > Today, with few exceptions, there is no more involuntary
       | treatment for serious mental disease or drug addiction. But nor
       | is there a humane alternative. There is only jail or the streets.
       | 
       | Maybe this has something to do with public funding for mental
       | health being slashed almost everywhere and also linked to drug
       | laws. So people who are on the streets and self-medicating
       | because they couldn't get treatment can't be placed in the few
       | available options because of their drug intake.
       | 
       | The entire article is a gloss over the issues without any real
       | look at it.
       | 
       | San Fran is indeed a messed up city. So is Oakland. But I really
       | don't have time for white people complaining about a situation
       | that _never_ affects them. He is complaining about his nanny
       | having to move. Not him. His nanny. How does that compare to the
       | police killing your friends and relatives for no reason?
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | adt2bt wrote:
       | > They claim that, by taking money from police and putting it
       | toward social programs, they can eliminate the need for heavy-
       | handed policing in the first place. But the social programs are
       | an afterthought.
       | 
       | This feels like a strawman. I don't think it's surprising that
       | there's a rise in crime when police are defunded, especially when
       | those social programs aren't enacted. I think most reasonable
       | progressives who support defunding the police also recognize the
       | whole point is to shift investment away from punishment (police)
       | into aid (social programs) to deter crime. It takes years for
       | that to happen, and really needs to happen on a societal level to
       | provide opportunities that otherwise 'career criminals' do not
       | have which leads them down that path.
        
         | JamesBarney wrote:
         | Are there any good comparisons on how much a dollar of policing
         | vs a dollar of social programs deter crime?
        
           | schwartzworld wrote:
           | Is there any evidence that current police funding levels help
           | to deter crime in any significant way whatsoever?
        
             | settrans wrote:
             | Is there any evidence that, on net, state welfare programs
             | deter crime in any significant way?
        
       | AnthonyMouse wrote:
       | The problem with "defund the police" is that we never really
       | defined what it was.
       | 
       | Are we talking about the libertarian thing were you literally
       | don't have the police anymore, and then you have a posse of
       | ordinary citizens come together to execute arrest warrants and a
       | high rate of private firearms ownership to deter crime? That
       | would have been a weird thing to hear from progressives, I would
       | think. And did anybody actually do this anywhere?
       | 
       | But if it's not that then the whole thing comes down to the
       | details of what you're actually talking about.
       | 
       | That's kind of the problem with the whole movement. You have some
       | really quite serious problems with the criminal justice system.
       | Police unaccountability, perjury, prosecutorial misconduct,
       | overcharging, the plea bargaining system. Civil asset forfeiture.
       | Traffic fines used for revenue generation, creating adversarial
       | interactions between ordinary people and the police and
       | needlessly increasing the opportunities for things to go very
       | wrong. Over-criminalization of everything, causing the US to have
       | the largest prison population in the world. The War on Drugs.
       | Things that really need to get fixed.
       | 
       | But then we have a video of a white cop killing a black man and a
       | media narrative that says it's all about race, even though the
       | statistics don't bear that out.
       | 
       | If you misidentify the problem then you're going to come up with
       | dumb solutions.
        
       | dang wrote:
       | I took the less baity title from the author's site:
       | https://leightonwoodhouse.substack.com/p/defund-the-police-m....
       | I didn't change the URL because this appears to be a more recent
       | article on the same topic.
        
       | drewwwwww wrote:
       | i think it's worth pointing out giving the still semi-
       | inflammatory nature of the headline, no serious advocate of
       | defunding the police has ever suggested that simply doing that is
       | the goal. the idea is to shift funding from cops walking around
       | with guns killing people to things that actually prevent crime
       | from happening, and as the piece points out, even in the few
       | places that have actually reduced funding to police, that has not
       | occurred in any significant way.
       | 
       | it's a resource allocation argument, not an 'everything would be
       | better if police instantly winked out of existence' argument.
        
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