[HN Gopher] IMF warns El Salvador: "Bitcoin should not be used a...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       IMF warns El Salvador: "Bitcoin should not be used as a legal
       tender"
        
       Author : giuliomagnifico
       Score  : 55 points
       Date   : 2021-11-23 20:12 UTC (2 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.imf.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.imf.org)
        
       | cs702 wrote:
       | The editorialized title is linkbait, but the actual IMF page is
       | an interesting read.
       | 
       | Only one small section of the page, Section 13, actually contains
       | the sentence "Bitcoin should not be used as legal tender," but
       | the sentence is conditioned on the country properly addressing
       | the various risks to financial stability mentioned elsewhere in
       | the page. It's unfair to quote only that one sentence, without
       | providing any context.
       | 
       | Section 13 is in fact titled "Efforts to improve financial
       | inclusion and raise growth are welcome, but risks arising from
       | Bitcoin as a legal tender, the new payments ecosystem and trading
       | in Bitcoin should be addressed."
       | 
       | --
       | 
       | To the moderators: Please consider changing the editorialized
       | title.
        
         | tmaly wrote:
         | the title is taken verbatim from the article.
        
           | fabianhjr wrote:
           | > El Salvador: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2021 Article
           | IV Mission
           | 
           | That is the original title from the article.
        
       | hyuuu wrote:
       | of course they'd say that, why would they want to lose the
       | ability in destroying countries' financial stabilities?
        
         | BoorishBears wrote:
         | Yeah... because being played by random whales and pump and
         | dumps has totally different outcomes.
         | 
         | If Bitcoin was actually some country's currency, that country
         | would have imploded by now. Hyperdeflation is just as deadly to
         | an economy as hyperinflation
         | 
         | -
         | 
         | To the replies about other things affected by those factors:
         | You're kind of making my point. We have countries that built
         | their economies entirely on oil... the ones that diversified
         | seem to be doing just a tad better.
         | 
         | BTC is not saving any economies. It might save some individuals
         | which is not nothing, but please let's not pretend the IMF has
         | some kind of conspiracy against BTC to maintain their
         | control...
        
           | gogopuppygogo wrote:
           | Don't use logic and reason in an emotional argument. Bitcoin
           | is clearly only going up in value and will be the global
           | currency.
           | 
           | If you believe this I have tulips to sell you.
        
           | sMarsIntruder wrote:
           | And the pigs are flying
        
           | 0des wrote:
           | > being played by random whales
           | 
           | Definitely don't do Forex, or oil, or any commodities trading
           | really.
        
             | xxpor wrote:
             | Hmm, it's almost like there's a reason why fiat currencies
             | took off, and the BTC folks are rediscovering that.
             | 
             | WRT forex trading, has there been a "random whale" event in
             | say, a top 15 economy, since Black Wednesday?
        
             | lolinder wrote:
             | There's a difference between trading commodities and using
             | a currency whose value behaves like that of a commodity. In
             | the former case you've willingly taken on risk of price
             | fluctuations. In the latter, you're saddled with the risk
             | while trying to conduct normal transactions.
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | The IMF tends to have influence in a country only after that
         | country has managed to destroy its own stabilities.
         | 
         | (That's not to say that their help doesn't tend to have adverse
         | side effects, just that the IMF isn't generally doing anything
         | to your economy if you have stability around to destroy.)
        
           | aqme28 wrote:
           | I don't know what point you're trying to make.
           | 
           | "They're not so bad. They only exploit the desperate."
        
             | dragonwriter wrote:
             | > I don't know what point you're trying to make.
             | 
             | That the description of them destroying stability has a
             | false premise. I mean, how much more explicit could be?
             | 
             | If you are looking for a secret ulterior motive, the
             | difficulty is because there isn't one.
        
             | yongjik wrote:
             | Are you talking about IMF or Bitcoin?
             | 
             | More seriously, that's not what GP meant at all. GP's point
             | is that IMF usually steps in only after a country managed
             | to paint itself into a financial corner - at this point
             | there's no "nice" solution any more, and you're guaranteed
             | to deal with mass unemployment, people losing their life
             | savings, inflation, and so on.
             | 
             | Of course the debate is ongoing whether IMF's proposed
             | solutions are actually in the best interest of the
             | countries on the receiving end, but you know, if they don't
             | like the deal these countries can always refuse it.
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | 0des wrote:
       | It is hard not to interpret this as posturing to head off any
       | wise ideas by the only country in a dire enough situation to be
       | swayed by it. Normalizing BTC or other cryptoassets as a
       | transactional currency rather than an asset reframes the way it
       | is treated tax-wise, another interpretation is that it threatens
       | their power structure, which one could imagine challenges the
       | IMF's business model as they're a cooperative of entities
       | focusing on guiding how money is used, distributed, managed, and
       | created. Those controls become hard to enforce on Bitcoin or
       | other cryptoassets when it goes from asset class to transactional
       | class.
        
       | ckdarby wrote:
       | Can someone with expertise or background chime in why the IMF is
       | even making this statement?
        
         | josh_today wrote:
         | IMF is the closest thing we have to a global entity responsible
         | for managing currency supply and distribution.
         | 
         | Bitcoin undermines their existence.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | 0des wrote:
           | Hello, just a heads up, your account is shadow banned, and
           | unless someone who sees it 'vouches' for your comments, they
           | wont be seen by normal users.
        
             | grzm wrote:
             | They are not shadow banned. They were explicitly banned.
             | 
             | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29091010
             | 
             | If there's something in the comment you want to respond to,
             | great: then add your comment.
        
               | AnimalMuppet wrote:
               | So, um, what does "banned" mean if they can continue to
               | post?
        
               | grzm wrote:
               | As typically used, the term "shadow banned" is a ban
               | without alerting the user that they are banned. That's
               | not the case here. On HN, "banning" means to to have your
               | posts be dead by default. And "banned" is the language
               | 'dang himself used in the message to the user.
        
               | 0des wrote:
               | There are also numerous bans with no notice at all, just
               | a sudden stream of gray comments that are 0 minutes old.
        
               | grzm wrote:
               | Yes, there is also autobanning and filtering software.
               | But that is not what happened here.
        
             | betwixthewires wrote:
             | Is mine?
        
               | Vecr wrote:
               | No.
        
             | rudian wrote:
             | I'm a normal user and I can see their message. Has it been
             | vouched for in the past 4 minutes? My settings are still
             | the HN defaults.
        
               | 0des wrote:
               | I vouched for it so that I could reply.
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | elliekelly wrote:
         | Bitcoin is very volatile and offers no consumer protection
         | whatsoever. If a developing nation encourages citizens to buy
         | into Bitcoin for use as legal tender and then Bitcoin crashes
         | (leaving the citizens who bought it with nothing) the result
         | would be an international financial crisis and the IMF would
         | step in to help resolve the matter.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | chucktingle wrote:
         | Bukele is shorting the dollar by issuing dollar bonds and
         | buying Bitcoin. Of course, the IMF is not happy.
        
         | dragonwriter wrote:
         | > Can someone with expertise or background chime in why the IMF
         | is even making this statement?
         | 
         | Because the IMF is right now deeply involved in "stabilizing"
         | Costa Rica's economy, notionally for effects of the pandemic,
         | at the government's request.
        
       | elliekelly wrote:
       | The relevant bit:
       | 
       | > 13. Efforts to improve financial inclusion and raise growth are
       | welcome, but risks arising from Bitcoin as a legal tender, the
       | new payments ecosystem and trading in Bitcoin should be
       | addressed. Crypto-technologies and digital payment systems like
       | Chivo have the potential to make payments more efficient, thereby
       | enhancing financial inclusion and supporting growth. Given
       | Bitcoin's high price volatility, its use as a legal tender
       | entails significant risks to consumer protection, financial
       | integrity, and financial stability. Its use also gives rise to
       | fiscal contingent liabilities. Because of those risks, Bitcoin
       | should not be used as a legal tender. Staff recommends narrowing
       | the scope of the Bitcoin law and urges strengthening the
       | regulation and supervision of the new payment ecosystem. Like for
       | other e-wallets, Chivo should be required to fully safeguard
       | customers' funds, both in U.S. dollars and Bitcoin, by
       | segregating and ring-fencing reserve assets. Stronger regulation
       | and oversight of the new payment ecosystem should be immediately
       | implemented for consumer protection, anti-money laundering and
       | counter financing of terrorism (AML/CFT), and risk management.
       | Banking regulation should incorporate prudential safeguards such
       | as conservative capital and liquidity requirements related to
       | Bitcoin exposure. Measures to limit fiscal contingent
       | liabilities, such as winding down the trust fund or withdrawing
       | public subsidies to Chivo, should also be promptly considered.
       | Recently announced plans to use the proceeds of new sovereign
       | bond issuances to invest in Bitcoin, and the implications of
       | trading more broadly in Bitcoin, will require a very careful
       | analysis of implications for, and potential risks to, financial
       | stability.
        
       | thirdplace_ wrote:
       | It surprises me why bitcoin isn't banned yet. It is a credible
       | threat to internal revenue services all over the world.
        
         | felistoria wrote:
         | Good
        
       | servytor wrote:
       | I highly recommend anyone who doesn't know anything about how the
       | IMF interacts with poor countries to watch this documentary
       | called "Life and Debt"[0] which is about how the IMF basically
       | destroyed Jamaica's economy.
       | 
       | Basically, long story short, the IMF will immediately tell a
       | country that they cannot bolster their local companies with
       | tariffs or other legal means, meaning that local food industries
       | (in the example of Jamaica) and numerous other sorts of local
       | businesses immediately go bankrupt due to competition, and
       | joblessness soars.
       | 
       | So the IMF will immediately take advantage of a country and kill
       | basically any law that they have to try and bolster their local
       | economy, in the need for the 'greater good'. Gorramn Tau.
       | 
       | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_and_Debt
        
         | dbs wrote:
         | [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_and_Debt
         | 
         | It would be good to find a review (positive or negative) of
         | that movie by economists, not movie critics. Until then, call
         | me a skeptic.
        
         | TaylorAlexander wrote:
         | Here's another one, "War by Other Means" by John Pilger:
         | 
         | https://youtu.be/9Pi1sHbXWXw
        
           | splix wrote:
           | Also "Princes of the Yen", it mentions how IMF took advantage
           | over Asia https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5-IZZxyb1GI
        
             | TaylorAlexander wrote:
             | Great thank you. I am very interested in alternative ways
             | to organize the global economy that are more equitable and
             | fair so I appreciate the link.
             | 
             | I should also mention Naomi Klein's No Logo.
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oeTgLKNb5R0
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | ChrisLomont wrote:
         | Instead of only looking at one side, consider the IMF is mostly
         | a lender of last resort. So when a country needs IMF help, it's
         | IMF or likely even worse outcomes.
         | 
         | If you want a more accurate view, read research papers on
         | google scholar. Here's papers on IMF from 2017 [1].
         | 
         | The short take is the IMF provides lots of help to ailing
         | countries, saves some and loses some. Pop culture doesn't tend
         | to spread news of the winners since spreading lopsided
         | arguments sells more books and blog posts.
         | 
         | Google scholar is a much more balanced and accurate place.
         | 
         | [1]
         | https://scholar.google.com/scholar?as_ylo=2017&q=imf&hl=en&a...
        
       | smoldesu wrote:
       | I'll trust a press release from The Muppets before I take a
       | recommendation from the IMF seriously.
        
         | jascii wrote:
         | The Muppets don't have a big stick to wield in the form of
         | advising their member states to withhold aid, commerce, etc...
        
         | zingplex wrote:
         | While I don't disagree that IMF recommendations should be taken
         | with a grain of salt, they're hardly the only people speaking
         | out to say this is a bad idea. There has been mass protest
         | against the adoption of Bitcoin across the country citing fears
         | around the stability of the cryptocurrency.
         | 
         | https://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-58579415
        
           | leishman wrote:
           | There have not been "mass" protests. They have been quite
           | small. And a large chunk of those protestors are countryside
           | people paid by US funded NGOs. I've been to ES multiple times
           | recently. The fact is most people there are ambivalent about
           | Bitcoin and don't have a strong opinion about it.
        
             | chrononaut wrote:
             | > I've been to ES multiple times recently. The fact is most
             | people there are ambivalent about Bitcoin and don't have a
             | strong opinion about it.
             | 
             | https://www.reuters.com/technology/majority-salvadorans-
             | do-n...
             | 
             | > SAN SALVADOR, Sept 2 (Reuters) - Most Salvadorans
             | disagree with the government's decision to adopt bitcoin as
             | legal tender, with many unaware of how to use the digital
             | currency and distrustful of the project, a poll by the
             | Central American University (UCA) showed on Thursday.
             | 
             | > At least 67.9% of 1,281 people surveyed said they
             | disagree or strongly disagree with the use of bitcoin as a
             | legal tender, said the poll by UCA, a Jesuit university
             | based in El Salvador. Just over 32% of people said they
             | agree on some level.
             | 
             | Seems the majority of people disagree with this action.
             | 
             | > And a large chunk of those protestors are countryside
             | people paid by US funded NGOs.
             | 
             | That's a broad claim, of which I don't find any evidence.
             | Do you have references here?
        
             | rudian wrote:
             | Most people are ignorant about Bitcoin and its risks; The
             | fact that there are no protests should come as a surprise
             | to no one.
             | 
             | What people see is that they get free money from the
             | government and maybe they're lucky to see it go up. They
             | don't know it could be half tomorrow.
        
           | smoldesu wrote:
           | I actually agree with you. I just think that an IMF
           | recommendation against using non-dollar-backed currency is
           | hysterical, because _of course_ they 'd think that's a bad
           | idea. They rely on adjusting inflation to exacerbate their
           | own wealth, and when decentralized currency gets into the
           | mix, it obviously complicates matters.
           | 
           | Cryptocurrency as a primary method of transaction is 31
           | flavors of Baskin-Robin disaster. That doesn't make it any
           | less funny when the IMF is complaining about a loss of
           | control.
        
       ___________________________________________________________________
       (page generated 2021-11-23 23:02 UTC)