[HN Gopher] Solar-driven water splitting at 13.8% solar-to-hydro...
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       Solar-driven water splitting at 13.8% solar-to-hydrogen efficiency
        
       Author : Breadmaker
       Score  : 112 points
       Date   : 2021-11-18 19:50 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (pubs.acs.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (pubs.acs.org)
        
       | eatbitseveryday wrote:
       | We see the value in fuels like diesel being highly energy-dense.
       | If we used the sun to create fuel like hydrogen or electricity,
       | what is against simply creating (purified in some sense) man-made
       | diesel and continue to use combustion engines?
       | 
       | We would not be contributing to the overall contribution of
       | greehouse gases. Some arguments are diesel and friends are safer
       | in storage and transportation than hydrogen.
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | Probably makes more sense to do compressed or liquid methane
         | for ground vehicles. Easier to synthesize and cleaner burning.
        
       | tomas789 wrote:
       | I did not investigate it properly but at first glance the
       | efficiency is obtained via low current density of the
       | electrolyser. That means high efficiency but low volume. That
       | translates to more hardware needed to produce a unit of power.
       | 
       | State of the art electrolyzers are run at 1000x current
       | densities. That roughly means 1000x installation cost.
        
       | fuddle wrote:
       | Can someone please ELI5?
        
         | jhgb wrote:
         | Some people didn't like that you could combine bog-standard 20%
         | efficient photovoltaic panels with bog-standard 75% efficient
         | electrolyzers to reach 15% efficiency of conversion of sunlight
         | to hydrogen, and came up with a specialized single-step
         | device...that is only 14% efficient. ;)
        
         | dragontamer wrote:
         | The abstract looks simple enough? They played with some
         | chemicals / catalysts, and have demonstrated a prototype where
         | they made a "Solar Panel" that turns water (H2O) into 2H2 +
         | O2... aka Hydrogen + Oxygen. The measured efficiency was 13.8%,
         | less efficient than an electric solar panel (20% to 25%
         | efficiency), but possibly the most efficient solar -> hydrogen
         | design discussed so far.
         | 
         | Consider a 25% efficient solar panel -> 50% electrical
         | efficiency to convert H2O into H2 + O2 == 12.5% total
         | efficiency (and a 25% efficient solar panel is a high-end
         | panel). So this design discussed is probably better than the
         | status quo.
         | 
         | -------------
         | 
         | There are internet flame wars over the future of energy and
         | energy storage.
         | 
         | Lithium Ion batteries are one form. Hydrogen is being proposed
         | as a fuel of the future (with Japan showing off Hydrogen
         | torches all over the Olympics earlier this year, as a lot of
         | Japanese companies are pushing Hydrogen as a future fuel)
        
           | fuddle wrote:
           | Thanks, that was a great explanation.
        
       | bhewes wrote:
       | Cool on the way to sustainable liquid fuels.
        
       | api wrote:
       | Solves the energy storage problem. Just add tanks.
        
         | NoblePublius wrote:
         | $2 trillion of tanks and $1 trillion of pipelines, just for
         | North America. Meanwhile, electrical grids already exist.
        
           | unchocked wrote:
           | Great! That's cheap for what you get. As soon as we've built
           | out a few $trillion in battery storage, we can get going on
           | long-term hydrogen storage and distribution!
        
           | cjensen wrote:
           | $1 trillion of pipelines? Why?
           | 
           | This is about splitting water using electricity. You can
           | create and use the fuel at the same site. Just need a water
           | pipe and a connection to the grid. Splitting off hydrogen at
           | a separate site is just wastefull.
        
             | sp332 wrote:
             | Same reason that we put solar and wind power where land is
             | cheap and transport the electricity to where we need it.
        
           | new_realist wrote:
           | Electrical grids don't store energy. If you wanted to store
           | just 10% of the U.S. electrical generation from summer to
           | winter using lithium-ion batteries, it would cost roughly $42
           | trillion dollars. Yes, trillion. Storing 10% of the U.S.
           | daily needs for less time (say, one day) is a better story
           | for batteries: only $115 billion.
           | 
           | That's how un-scalable long-term battery storage is. Hydrogen
           | is more so: you can store hydrogen in vast quantities in salt
           | caverns, and move it around. Pumped hydro is best, but sites
           | are limited. Compressed air is another solid contender.
        
             | esturk wrote:
             | Storage like all the cars we're planning to build anyway?
             | Sorry, but there's something arbitrary about "summer to
             | winter" that you're quoting to fit your narrative here.
             | First of all, Li-ion battery wasn't made to storage energy
             | that long. Second, there are flow batteries for that which
             | will be far better than Hydrogen.
        
             | cure wrote:
             | > Electrical grids don't store energy. If you wanted to
             | store just 10% of the U.S. electrical generation from
             | summer to winter using lithium-ion batteries, it would cost
             | roughly $42 trillion dollars. Yes, trillion.
             | 
             | Do you mean 10% of the generation on a typical summer day?
             | Or 10% of the generation of an entire summer?
             | 
             | The problem with this kind of calculation is that battery
             | technology (and cost) is very much a moving target.
             | 
             | LFP would probably be the better choice today. It's
             | cheaper, safer, and can handle far more load cycles. That
             | comes at a cost of a lower energy density, but that hardly
             | matters for utility scale batteries. Tesla's megapacks use
             | LFP already - https://cleantechnica.com/2021/05/11/tesla-
             | transitions-to-lf....
             | 
             | Like you say, there are many other energy storage options
             | like pumped hydro, compressed air, etc. My personal
             | favorite is the train full of concrete that goes up and
             | down a hill (https://interestingengineering.com/concrete-
             | gravity-trains-m...).
        
             | mgfist wrote:
             | You don't need to store that much energy. It's much more
             | cost-efficient to over-provision energy sources. In a few
             | decades we will see solar over-provisioned to 2-3x normal
             | consumption and some battery and that will provide 100%
             | uptime.
        
               | oblio wrote:
               | You're overprovisioning at the wrong time with solar,
               | though. What good is 2-3x the power output during the day
               | when you're at 0 during the night? You'd still need 12h
               | of storage or more realistically a mixed energy
               | production setup.
        
               | u320 wrote:
               | Maybe in Arizona. In places where clouds is a thing you
               | are looking at _weeks_ of storage. And some of that
               | stored energy would need to be collected months ahead of
               | time. This is simply not doable with batteries, hydrogen
               | storage is absolutely essential.
        
               | oblio wrote:
               | I think we're in agreement, maybe my phrasing was unclear
               | :-)
               | 
               | My opinion is that we need a mix of energy sources and we
               | need a mix of energy storage solutions.
        
               | u320 wrote:
               | The most cost-effective way is a combination of over-
               | provisioning, batteries and hydrogen storage. The exact
               | mix is determined by consumption patterns and local
               | wind/solar conditions. Generally though it's extremely
               | expensive to rely on over-provisioning+batteries alone in
               | places with unreliable weather patterns.
               | 
               | Falling battery prices helps of course but we are very
               | far from a point where we can eliminate the need for
               | hydrogen.
        
             | sdenton4 wrote:
             | Another contender I noticed the other day: build transport
             | cables eight time zones long...
        
             | Weryj wrote:
             | How's the gravity storage going, it looked really promising
             | and simple.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | If you count pumped hydro, gravity storage is the #1
               | storage of the USA.
               | 
               | Turns out that pumping water up-hill and running
               | generators when the water flows backwards is a very
               | efficient energy storage mechanism.
        
               | thinkcontext wrote:
               | Aside from pumped hydro I'm only aware of tiny, one-off
               | pilot projects.
        
           | nautilius wrote:
           | How does a grid solve a storage problem?
        
       | tuetnsuppe wrote:
       | Before people get too excited they might want consider the life
       | time of the cell as indicated over a 10 hour test window.
        
       | solarkraft wrote:
       | Congratulations on the advancement, but wow, that's still pretty
       | bad. The only way this would become popular would be through
       | being super cheap.
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | Why is it still pretty bad?
        
         | prox wrote:
         | Thing is, this durable energy, and your limit is time here. As
         | long as it is the sun doing the work here.
        
       | r00fus wrote:
       | I assume there are also costs to store and deliver hydrogen fuel?
       | I'd like to see an EROEI comparison of electric vs. hydrogen.
        
         | meepmorp wrote:
         | Make ammonia out of it, easier to store and transport.
        
           | toomuchtodo wrote:
           | The closer you can get to both steel mills and pipelines, the
           | better. Steel mills can use the hydrogen to replace
           | metallurgical/coking coal, and the pipeline can accept
           | ammonia for transport. Hydrogen is very hard on pipeline
           | infra, unless mixed at low concentrations with a carrier gas.
        
             | jsonne wrote:
             | It also is how they power refrigeration in meat processing
             | to keep the freezers cold. Seems like if you put it next to
             | those manufacturing facilities to power the freezer trucks
             | and facility itself you could save a significant amount of
             | energy and reduce greenhouse gasses.
        
               | jhloa2 wrote:
               | Probably not as much as you'd think. Ammonia is used as a
               | refrigerant in a closed-loop system. You'll eventually
               | have some leaks and have to recharge the system, but the
               | ammonia isn't a consumable item in this process.
        
         | hannob wrote:
         | This is the wrong question to ask.
         | 
         | Hydrogen is not for use cases where there is an electric
         | alternative. Electric almost always wins. But there are use
         | cases where there is no electric alternative or none that is
         | available any time soon, most notably chemicals and steel.
        
           | aunty_helen wrote:
           | It's the wrong question to ask but it sure as shit is what
           | it's being promoted as.
           | 
           | Look at the wayward Toyota, they seem to think they can
           | navigate around chemisty to sell their EVs with a hydrogen
           | fuel cell attached.
        
             | zamalek wrote:
             | They made a bet on hydrogen, hydrogen cars failed, and they
             | are now sinking in more costs. They are a financial and
             | executive failure, not a scientific one.
             | 
             | There is still use for hydrogen outside of vehicles (and
             | possibly some highly specific scenarios involving
             | vehicles).
        
               | Diggsey wrote:
               | Most of the problems with hydrogen for cars comes from
               | how you produce that hydrogen.
               | 
               | Obviously, producing hydrogen from methane to power cars
               | is a stupid idea if your goal is to reduce greenhouse
               | gases.
               | 
               | However, pure electric cars are only successful in some
               | niches, and larger vehicles like buses and lorries just
               | aren't practical yet, whilst hydrogen buses are already a
               | thing. Battery technology has come a long way, but the
               | energy density is still absolute garbage when you compare
               | it to the energy density in any fuel.
               | 
               | If you can produce hydrogen directly from solar power,
               | then the overall efficiency may be less important: the
               | advantages of greatly increased power density, and ease
               | of refueling may make it more appealing.
               | 
               | For battery-powered cars to be the long-term solution,
               | and not just a stop-gap measure, there will need to be a
               | massive breakthrough, to the point that energy densities
               | can be compared with other fuelds.
               | 
               | As petrol/diesel cars are phased out, there will be an
               | increasing number of customers whose needs cannot be met
               | by the current state of electric vehicles, and there will
               | need to exist another option. At that point, maybe
               | hydrogen won't look like such a bad bet...
        
               | bryanlarsen wrote:
               | Hydrogen has good energy/kg, but it has really poor
               | energy/l. Buses are mostly empty space so they more
               | volume limited than weight limited. Battery powered buses
               | are already far more common than Hydrogen buses and the
               | trend will accelerate quickly.
               | 
               | In Europe, battery powered trucks can carry a heavier
               | load than diesel trucks. The weight disadvantage of a
               | battery powered truck is about a tonne. The batteries
               | weigh a lot more than a tonne, but so does the engine,
               | transmission and fuel in a diesel truck. The difference
               | is about a tonne. In Europe, they allow battery trucks to
               | weigh two tonnes more than diesel trucks, so... In
               | America battery powered trucks have a 1000 pound weight
               | limit increase.
               | 
               | Green hydrogen is always going to cost about 10x as much
               | as electricity. Using electricity to electrolyze water,
               | compress the hydrogen, transport the hydrogen, strip off
               | the electrons in a fuel cell, charge a battery and then
               | drive a motor is necessarily a lot less efficient than
               | using than skipping 4 of those steps to charge a battery
               | directly.
               | 
               | And truckers don't care about fuel density, they care
               | about costs.
        
               | Diggsey wrote:
               | > it has really poor energy/l
               | 
               | Compared to fuel yes. Compared to batteries, even at
               | relatively low pressures, I think hydrogen still wins
               | even by volume, and at higher pressures it's an order of
               | magnitude difference.
               | 
               | > In Europe, battery powered trucks can carry a heavier
               | load than diesel trucks.
               | 
               | You mean legally? If we're discussing which option is
               | technologically superior long term, then it doesn't
               | really make sense to argue based on arbitrary laws today.
               | Is there a particular retionale behind the law that would
               | make sense for electric trucks but not hydrogen ones?
               | 
               | > Green hydrogen is always going to cost about 10x as
               | much as electricity.
               | 
               | Possibly, but as more renewable energy sources come
               | online, the problem is going to change from "can we
               | produce enough energy?" to "is the energy available at
               | the right time and place?". Electrical energy is very
               | difficult to store and transport in any significant
               | quantity. We already have to turn off renewables
               | sometimes because they're simply producing too much power
               | when we don't need it. That power may as well go to
               | creating hydrogen than doing nothing.
               | 
               | I don't know that hydrogen specficially will be the long
               | term solution either (after all, something better could
               | always materialize) but current battery technology is
               | definitely not a panacea.
               | 
               | > ... is necessarily a lot less efficient than using than
               | skipping 4 of those steps to charge a battery directly.
               | 
               | High battery/payload weight ratio means you need more
               | energy to get where you're going, which is not typically
               | considered when comparing the efficiency of batteries to
               | hydrogen. Batteries also take a lot of energy to
               | manufacture in the first place, and have a limited
               | lifespan, which is also rarely considered. I think that
               | with some minor efficiency improvements to a couple of
               | steps, and a lowering cost of electricity at "off-peak"
               | times, that the overall equation will shift.
               | 
               | > And truckers don't care about fuel density, they care
               | about costs.
               | 
               | Costs come from a lot of places. Trucks sitting around
               | charging instead of delivering goods are a cost. Reduced
               | range means increased costs. Expensive batteries that
               | have to be replaced every X years are a cost.
        
             | jacquesm wrote:
             | Toyota bet on the wrong horse, they just haven't publicly
             | admitted yet and for now the marketing engine is still
             | running on (hydrogen) vapors.
             | 
             | There is also Hyzon, a fuel cell manufacturer that hopes to
             | massively convert trucks to Hydrogen.
        
       | tombert wrote:
       | I am speaking completely out of ignorance on this, so someone
       | with a bit more familiarity with both physics and chemistry might
       | be able to clarify.
       | 
       | ------
       | 
       | From what I understand, one of the biggest issues with trying to
       | replace commercial cross-country jets [1] with electric
       | alternatives is due to the fact that there isn't enough energy
       | density in a battery to make that possible, and as a result,
       | airplanes are a huge polluter towards climate change.
       | 
       | Would it make more sense to try and make hydrogen jets, at least
       | if we can make the hydrogen relatively efficiently?
       | 
       | [1] I know jets really only make sense with fuel, replace "jet"
       | with "big airplane"
        
         | Smoosh wrote:
         | Not my area of expertise either, but I gather that hydrogen is
         | difficult to store in quantity, requiring large heavy pressure
         | vessels, and it has relatively low energy density. Both of
         | which count against using it for commercial flight.
        
         | flatiron wrote:
         | Jet engines can burn hydrogen.
        
           | tombert wrote:
           | Then would it make sense for Delta or United or KLM or
           | something to start investing in retrofitting their planes to
           | hydrogen? I would think that governments could give tax
           | incentives to do so, and as a result make planes
           | substantially less horrible for the environment.
        
             | flatiron wrote:
             | Interesting idea. Supply chain issues aside I don't know if
             | the current gas tanks could be retrofitted for hydrogen.
             | Maybe fuel cells would be easier. Could just shoot water
             | out of its little plane tush as its flying.
             | 
             | Is there enough O2 at plane levels for fuel cells?
        
         | xxpor wrote:
         | >airplanes are a huge polluter towards climate change.
         | 
         | This is true on a relative basis: flying across the US puts out
         | a lot of CO2 for a single person.
         | 
         | But on an absolute scale, it's pretty tiny: 2% of total CO2,
         | 12% of transportation CO2.
        
         | Manuel_D wrote:
         | Short answer: yes, hydrogen jets are probably the future.
         | Electrochemical batteries fundamentally lack the required mass
         | to energy ratio necessary for air travel. But there's a lot of
         | challenges to actually powering an aircraft via hydrogen, and
         | it's probably not going to happen for a while.
         | 
         | The long answer:
         | 
         | * The question is moot until we have widespread decarbonization
         | of the energy grid. Currently, our hydrogen mostly comes from
         | steam reformation - splitting methane, CH4, into 2H2 + CO -
         | which emits carbon dioxide. Once our electrical production is
         | carbon-free, then we can think of producing hydrogen and
         | powering vehicles with that. Electrolysis can serve as a
         | carbon-free source of hydrogen, if the electricity is produced
         | from a carbon-free source. There are more efficient forms of
         | hydrogen production, like thermochemical hydrogen production
         | with heat provided by nuclear reactors.
         | 
         | * Once carbon-free hydrogen production becomes available, then
         | there's the question of building hydrogen powered vehicles.
         | Hydrogen is the most energy dense fuel by unit of mass, except
         | for nuclear fuels, but it's about half the energy density by
         | unit of volume compared to hydrocarbons. Substituting fossil
         | fuels with hydrogen is probably more feasible in container
         | ships than aircraft. Hydrogen containment, be it pressurized or
         | liquid-cryogenic, scales better at higher capacities as there
         | is a better volume to surface-area ratio. Aircraft wings (long
         | and skinny) are basically the worst shape for hydrogen
         | containment. Past examples of hydrogen powered aircraft stored
         | it in the fuselage [1], which would sacrifice cargo and
         | passenger space.
         | 
         | * Lastly, for aircraft there's also the question of making
         | engines that don't produce greenhouse gases. High-temperature
         | hydrogen gas turbines will also produce nitrous oxides, which
         | are greenhouse gases. This can be mitigated by running turbines
         | at lower temperatures, but that reduces efficiency. There's
         | also the idea of using hydrogen fuel cells to produce
         | electricity to run turbines, but fuel cells and electrical
         | motors don't have as good power to weight ratios as combustion
         | turbines.
         | 
         | I'm much more optimistic about converting maritime transport to
         | hydrogen fuels than aircraft. That said, the military is very
         | interested in hydrogen planes. One of the limiting factors in
         | modern naval warfare is fuel to fly planes. With hydrogen
         | powered planes, a carrier could produce hydrogen with its
         | nuclear reactors giving carriers an effectively unlimited
         | source of aviation fuel. If they figure it out, hopefully the
         | tech propagates to civil air transport.
         | 
         | 1. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-155
        
         | zardo wrote:
         | Airbus has dangled the hydrogen jet concept, but hydrogen
         | presents a lot of problems (low density, cryogenic, leaks
         | through solid metal causing embrittlement).
         | 
         | It probably makes more sense to just synthesize longer
         | hydrocarbons.
        
           | tombert wrote:
           | > It probably makes more sense to just synthesize longer
           | hydrocarbons.
           | 
           | Sorry, ignorance on my end is showing again; wouldn't a
           | longer hydrocarbon still emit CO2 as a by-product since
           | carbons are part of its makeup? Or does a longer hydrocarbon
           | mean that there's a higher hydrogen-to-carbon ratio and
           | therefore the pollution is less horrible?
        
             | zardo wrote:
             | It would mean adding carbon. In order to be carbon neutral
             | that carbon would need to extracted from the carbon cycle.
        
         | divbzero wrote:
         | > I know jets really only make sense with fuel, replace "jet"
         | with "big airplane"
         | 
         | 'Jets' could make sense even without fuel if you consider that
         | jet propulsion [2] is the generation of thrust using a fast-
         | moving stream of fluid. Today's jet engines are already
         | turbofans [3] where only part of the propelled air passes
         | through the fuel combustion chamber.
         | 
         | [2]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jet_propulsion
         | 
         | [3]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turbofan
        
         | ampdepolymerase wrote:
         | Elemental hydrogen has this problem: it is hard to store. You
         | need low temperatures, high pressure, and corrosion resistant
         | containers. But there is one weird trick: if you bind hydrogen
         | to carbon atoms, then you get best of both worlds. The fuel
         | remains energetic and yet is relatively unreactive outside of
         | combustion and is easy to store. Perfect for aviation.
        
           | worker767424 wrote:
           | I wonder what efficiencies look like for making hydrocarbons
           | from atmospheric CO2 and water.
        
             | lazide wrote:
             | Not great, not terrible [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fisc
             | her%E2%80%93Tropsch_proces...]
             | 
             | Not price competitive with fossil fuels, but then not much
             | is - hard to beat 'mega joules for free*' as it were.
        
         | rdedev wrote:
         | Came across this recently:
         | 
         | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Powerpaste
         | 
         | It might pan out and reduce issues with hydrogen leakage
        
       | Animats wrote:
       | Lithium iron phosphate batteries have about 95% round trip
       | efficiency. Some manufacturers say 98%. AC-DC-AC conversion is
       | around 98%-99% efficiency now. So batteries are way ahead on
       | efficiency.
       | 
       | Tesla is switching from lithium-ion to lithium iron phosphate for
       | fixed battery installations.[1] The energy per unit weight is
       | somewhat lower, but that doesn't matter much for fixed
       | installations. The safety is better, too - lithium iron phosphate
       | batteries don't have the thermal runaway problem. BYD, which is
       | the biggest producer of batteries in the world, sells shipping
       | container sized lithium iron phosphate sized battery packs for
       | large scale solar backup.
       | 
       | [1] https://www.utilitydive.com/news/tesla-shifts-battery-
       | chemis...
        
         | dragontamer wrote:
         | Electricity-to-electricity efficiency should not be compared
         | with solar-to-electricity efficiency.
         | 
         | The typical solar panel is maybe 25% efficient or less. The
         | typical steam engine is maybe 50% efficient. Once things are in
         | the form of electricity, we have a large variety of options for
         | efficient transport and storage.
         | 
         | But sometimes electricity isn't useful. Li-Ion will never be
         | light enough for a serious airplane for example, while hydrogen
         | _IS_ light enough for an airplane. (But maybe too volumetric,
         | as every practical H2 airplane engine relies upon high-pressure
         | storage or even cryogenics to keep H2 at a small enough
         | volume).
         | 
         | EDIT: If we think of it as chemistry... perhaps we can make
         | liquid fuels out of H2 like coal liquefaction turns one fuel
         | source into another. After all, classical fuels are nothing
         | more than carbon + hydrogen + energy... and H2 is a very
         | efficient form of storing energy for that reaction. Or maybe we
         | learn to just use H2 directly? There are fuel cells and engines
         | running on H2 today, but I'm always worried about the volume of
         | H2 (requiring either compression or cyrogenics before you reach
         | practicality).
        
           | Someone wrote:
           | > Li-Ion will never be light enough for a serious airplane
           | 
           | Not everybody agrees with that. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki
           | /Electric_aircraft#Commercial_p... says over a hundred
           | electric designs are in development.
           | 
           | I think some of them can be called serious airplanes.
        
           | JulianMorrison wrote:
           | It's already happening, see
           | https://www.gov.uk/government/news/world-record-raf-
           | flight-p...
        
           | aunty_helen wrote:
           | Great thing about Jet A, it's actually pretty hard to get
           | burning.
           | 
           | Hydrogen: See Hindenburg.
           | 
           | I would rather not fly in a bomb. I just don't see it being
           | viable for planes.
           | 
           | We're starting to see short distance small planes electrify
           | and then long haul will probably go synthetic fuels over the
           | next 10 years.
        
             | oblio wrote:
             | > I would rather not fly in a bomb. I just don't see it
             | being viable for planes.
             | 
             | As opposed to the kerosene fueled bombs we're flying in
             | right now?
             | 
             | I'm not sure comparing things to close-to-wartime tech from
             | 90 years ago is a valid approach.
        
               | dragontamer wrote:
               | > I'm not sure comparing things to close-to-wartime tech
               | from 90 years ago is a valid approach.
               | 
               | You might be surprised how good WW2-era scientists were
               | at chemistry and science.
               | 
               | The earlier poster has a point. Gasoline, Diesel, and
               | Kerosene have all been studied extensively (especially in
               | the 1930s and 1940s BECAUSE of preparations for WW2). The
               | safety of soldiers was paramount even to the Nazis.
               | 
               | War machines: be they airplanes, tanks, or battleships,
               | were all going to be exposed to enemy fire and
               | explosions. These fuels (Kerosene and Diesel in
               | particular) were chosen because they're extremely safe:
               | high flash points and even higher auto-ignition points.
               | 
               | That means that kerosene __literally__ can't catch on
               | fire at room temperature. You need to warm up kerosene
               | before its appropriate to burn (Of course, once its
               | burning it will warm up the rest of the kerosene and keep
               | burning. But this isn't some super-explosive volatile
               | chemical we're talking about here)
               | 
               | Gasoline is still safe, but not as safe as the other two
               | (-40C Flash Point). Gasoline was safer than a lot of the
               | other petroleum products that were investigated back
               | then, and was still chosen as a fuel for war machines.
               | 
               | ---------
               | 
               | The same is not necessarily true for H2. H2 will explode
               | at any temperature (even near absolute zero).
        
               | oblio wrote:
               | > You might be surprised how good WW2-era scientists were
               | at chemistry and science.
               | 
               | I'm well aware of chemical prowess in that period,
               | especially on the German part. They had a bunch of Nobel
               | prize winners.
               | 
               | However, that's why I said "close-to-wartime". First of
               | all, in case you weren't aware, the Hindenburg was
               | supposed to use helium but due to a lack of helium in
               | Germany (I think it was primarily due to American export
               | restrictions), they had to use hydrogen.
               | 
               | I don't know of other limitations for the Hindenburg, per
               | se, but knowing the overall German shortages of the
               | period, I wouldn't be surprised if they had other
               | structural issues with the Hindenburg itself, especially
               | since it wasn't designed to be used with hydrogen.
               | 
               | On top of this, the Hindenburg design was from the late
               | 20s, 1929, I believe.
               | 
               | If materials science, modeling, etc haven't advanced
               | since 1929, I'll eat a shoe. If we're somehow worse at
               | managing hydrogen after almost 100 years, I'll eat the
               | other shoe.
        
             | dragontamer wrote:
             | Even if H2 isn't used directly, there are likely chemical
             | processes that can convert it into some form that is more
             | useful.
             | 
             | EDIT: That's what its called. H2 is a component of Syngas
             | (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Syngas). Syngas can then be
             | further processed into kerosene, gasoline, or other fuels
             | we use.
        
             | lemmsjid wrote:
             | This has some interesting comparisons between hydrogen and
             | gasoline as fuel, in terms of historical experimentation as
             | to the effects of rupturing or destroying tanks holding one
             | or the other: https://hydrogen.wsu.edu/2017/03/17/so-just-
             | how-dangerous-is.... Not my field so I'd be interested in
             | if this more or less reflective of current knowledge on the
             | subject.
        
             | huntertwo wrote:
             | I read something that says Hindenburg was more about the
             | mix of the gas and the material of the blimp. Properly
             | mixed H2 doesn't burn (it explodes quickly, which is what
             | powers an ICE).
             | 
             | I agree though, planes and H2 probably don't mix. Jet fuel
             | should not be a priority to replace with H2. Priority
             | should be given to static applications before trying to
             | apply it to moving vehicles.
        
               | R0b0t1 wrote:
               | You are right. The issue with the Hindenberg was not the
               | hydrogen. It was the coating.
               | 
               | The main concern for hydrogen as a fuel now is the high
               | pressures. If the pressure vessel is damaged it explodes
               | due to mechanical forces. This is not impossible to work
               | around. Consider, for example, that gas tanks can already
               | be punctured and lead to fires; it takes a fair
               | accounting of the risks to really rule out hydrogen as a
               | fuel.
        
               | huntertwo wrote:
               | Those gas tanks are more risky when you have constraints
               | on weight and material of the tank, like in moving
               | vehicles. I agree though, people unfairly disqualify
               | hydrogen on this risk only.
        
               | lizknope wrote:
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindenburg_disaster#Incendi
               | ary...
               | 
               | They tested the incendiary paint hypothesis on the TV
               | show Mythbusters.
               | 
               | The MythBusters concluded that the paint may have
               | contributed to the disaster, but that it was not the sole
               | reason for such rapid combustion.
        
               | jjoonathan wrote:
               | Right, but consider a punctured gas tank vs... well, have
               | you played "spot the COPVs in the SpaceX explosion"? They
               | spit fire and zoom around like party balloons. Good fun
               | from a distance, but if I had to pick one to ride with
               | every day, it's an easy choice in favor of the gas tank.
        
               | R0b0t1 wrote:
               | Do you know what the fuel is? Rockets are unique in that
               | they carry a significant amount of oxidizer with them. A
               | hydrogen container is unlikely to zoom around spitting
               | fire, there's too much fuel for how much oxygen there is
               | and it rises very quickly.
               | 
               | There are still dangers, but practically I'm not sure
               | they are that much worse than a gasoline fire. There are
               | also systems that reduce the pressures needed, like
               | activated carbon beds. Research on them stalled mostly
               | because there was no good way to generate H2.
        
               | mywittyname wrote:
               | I thought the fact that H2 burns invisibly combined with
               | the fact that it goes boom once the burning mixture is
               | stoichiometric is the big risk with H2 over typical
               | hydro-carbon-based fuels, which burn a bright orange and
               | are surprisingly hard to blow up.
        
               | R0b0t1 wrote:
               | The Mythbusters did a show on this exact thing with
               | spraypaint, hairspray, and propane canisters. They didn't
               | explode even when wrapped with flaming rags, but
               | sometimes the released material would combust. In some
               | cases the gas rushing out actually extinguished the
               | flame.
               | 
               | You rarely by accident get a stoichiometric mix. With a
               | slow leak into an enclosed container is usually how it
               | happens. Otherwise there is too much fuel to O2 in the
               | atmosphere.
               | 
               | People really need to stop trying to sound smart by
               | thinking of imagined dangers. That is what stopped
               | nuclear power, it's what's stopping hydrogen as a fuel,
               | it's what's stopping gene therapy research, etc. Get over
               | yourself.
        
           | dv_dt wrote:
           | The 25% panel efficiency isn't a particularly relevant
           | metric, and doesn't play in storage. A cost or area metric is
           | more relevant economically.
        
           | JumpCrisscross wrote:
           | > _perhaps we can make liquid fuels out of H2_
           | 
           | You're describing hydrocarbons.
           | 
           | The most-common element in the universe married to the most-
           | common four-bonding element. Using solar panels to synthesize
           | Jet A is probably a better path forward than redesigning
           | every plane in the world to trawl a balloon or carry a
           | pressure vessel.
           | 
           | There's a reason pretty much all of Earth's biology uses
           | hydrocarbons as its fuel of choice.
        
             | Blammar wrote:
             | Yes, exactly! Or any other hydrocarbon. This is a carbon-
             | neutral process also, as the carbon will come from CO2 in
             | the atmosphere. And we get the bonus of extra oxygen in the
             | air...
        
               | dahfizz wrote:
               | Wouldn't the extra oxygen get burned up as you burn the
               | fuel? It would be a carbon neutral and oxygen neutral
               | process.
        
               | xvedejas wrote:
               | I think you're right, the oxygen would be sourced from
               | water and water is also one major product of hydrocarbon
               | combustion, which can be easy to forget.
        
             | dragontamer wrote:
             | > You're describing hydrocarbons.
             | 
             | Well yes. But I'm also aware that H2 is a component in the
             | synthetic production of those hydrocarbons. Using the H2
             | directly could prove beneficial. But if not, then we can
             | always convert it into some combination of C and H and burn
             | that instead.
             | 
             | Either way: producing H2 from clean sources (like this
             | weird chemical solar panel thingy) is a good thing.
        
         | elihu wrote:
         | Apparently there are also some major patents that have expired
         | or are expiring soon, which I hope means that costs will drop
         | and we'll start seeing more LiFePO4 battery manufacturers
         | outside of China where the vast majority are made now.
        
         | p1necone wrote:
         | Talking about efficiency with solar seems purely academic to
         | me. Considering it's just _there_ , it doesn't really matter
         | what percentage of the potential energy you're capturing, just
         | the absolute cost per watt of extraction.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | There is another dimension at play here: solar is about
           | 1KW/sq meter so efficiency directly translates into less area
           | for the same output.
        
             | bee_rider wrote:
             | An interesting bit about the original paper linked -- from
             | the abstract:
             | 
             | > The trimetallic NiFeMo electrocatalyst takes the shape of
             | nanometer-sized flakes anchored to a fully carbon-based
             | current collector comprising a nitrogen-doped carbon
             | nanotube network, which in turn is grown on a carbon fiber
             | paper support. This catalyst electrode contains solely
             | Earth-abundant materials, and the carbon fiber support
             | renders it effective despite a low metal content.
             | 
             | I don't know anything about chemistry so I'll have to take
             | their word on the fact that the elements they use are
             | abundant.
             | 
             | The two concerns for area are:
             | 
             | 1) The cost of panels to cover the area
             | 
             | 2) The cost of the area itself, and the availability of a
             | ton of empty space in a convenient location
             | 
             | If they are using abundant materials, the first is not as
             | much of a concern, compared to photovoltaics. Since they
             | are producing some sort of fuel rather than directly
             | producing electricity, transmission efficiency is not
             | really a concern*. So maybe we could plop a bunch of these
             | things down in some sunny middle-of-nowhere desert.
             | 
             | * I guess is we consider vehicles to transport fuel, which
             | must themselves burn fuel, to in some sort of abstract
             | sense be part of the transmission efficiency, this
             | computation could be pretty complicated.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | To answer your question regarding commonality/ready
               | availability -
               | 
               | Carbon, Nitrogen, and Iron are cheap and easy (you're
               | likely within body length of a large quantity right now).
               | 32% of the earths mass is estimated to be Iron. $1/lb or
               | less in massive quantities.
               | 
               | Nickel and Molybdenum are slightly harder to find, but
               | not by much - nickel makes up 1.8% of the earth by mass
               | and is a reasonably common metal in everyday
               | manufacturing. It's currently at $3.97/lb spot price at
               | tonne quantities. Moly is in everything from greases to
               | steels, and while typically not used in large bulk
               | quantities alone, is available for such
               | [https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/molybden] at
               | looks like $23/lb give or take.
               | 
               | So all commonly available elements, albeit (nanotubes)
               | not necessarily in the form desired just yet.
        
             | dv_dt wrote:
             | Area isn't a particularly limiting factor for most
             | applications.
        
               | lazide wrote:
               | It is one of the most limiting factors for solar, when
               | everything is accounted for.
               | 
               | You either put it really far away (increasing
               | transmission losses and right of way issues for the much
               | longer lines), or you put it closer and then have to deal
               | with expensive land or difficult environmental reviews.
               | 
               | It is not AS BIG of an issue as it could be - for
               | instance 30% efficient cells vs 23% efficient cells, the
               | lower efficiency's cost vs space usually favors the lower
               | efficiency, but it's still very strong overall.
        
               | jacquesm wrote:
               | That's opposite of my knowledge about this but I'm a
               | decade+ out of date, so possibly this isn't as much a
               | factor as it used to be, but the cost of the ground was a
               | substantial factor in solar installations in days past.
        
             | caoilte wrote:
             | I think cost of installation / maintenance per sq meter is
             | the real kicker. There's actually a lot of still available
             | space for solar panels (reservoirs being the favourite one
             | I just discovered).
        
         | apendleton wrote:
         | Other people have responded about circumstances where hydrogen-
         | as-fuel (or fuel component) might still make sense; without
         | commenting on that, it's important to also note that hydrogen
         | is an important industrial feedstock, independent of its
         | potential energy applications (it's critical to producing
         | fertilizer, among other things), and industrial hydrogen pretty
         | much all comes from natural gas at present. Given that we need
         | at least some hydrogen anyway, figuring out better ways to
         | produce it is worthwhile.
         | 
         | In that scenario, total levelized cost is the more important
         | criterion that efficiency -- if these things convert solar
         | energy less efficiently, but the contraption is cheaper than
         | solar panels plus conventional electrolyzers because it's
         | simpler or uses cheaper materials or whatever, it might still
         | be the more economical bet.
        
         | fghorow wrote:
         | And where exactly does the energy stored in a battery come
         | from, do you imagine?
         | 
         | This is PV powered production of hydrogen. Yes, the PV
         | electricity _could_ go directly to a battery, granted. But the
         | PV cell is only about 20% efficient in that conversion. (Lab
         | results are up to 30%.)
         | 
         | There are use cases where rather than an electrical
         | transmission line needing to span an ocean, energy _could_ be
         | stored chemically (e.g. in hydrogen, or hydrocarbons produced
         | from them) and transported like LNG across an ocean.
         | 
         | The claim of 95% round trip efficiency is basically relevant if
         | the the energy is to be consumed (or placed on a grid) near the
         | point of production. Otherwise 65% (13%/20%) efficiency for
         | chemical energy that can be physically transported is not too
         | bad.
         | 
         | Hydrogen _is_ a battery from the perspective of a renewable
         | energy system. If it is produced as a byproduct of a fossil
         | fuel (as is commonly done) IMHO, it is not a renewable resource
         | at all. Producing it from solar PV is a completely different
         | kettle of fish.
        
         | HWR_14 wrote:
         | You left out the solar to electric efficiency. If that's 30%
         | (which is an upper limit if you produce the best solar cells
         | you can) batteries have twice as efficient a round trip loop
         | from the sun. In return, they are far less mobile and heavier
         | to ship once loaded. Meanwhile, we can talk about moving around
         | H2 via pipelines. Or simply higher energy storage for big uses.
         | (Less energy spent dragging around batteries). Plus, the
         | batteries do require lithium, which is pretty nasty stuff to
         | get.
        
         | huntertwo wrote:
         | Batteries have much lower capacity, lower cost efficiency of
         | storage, and lower weight efficiency of storage. They're also
         | slower to charge and slower to discharge.
         | 
         | Batteries are great for storing electricity efficiently as you
         | say, but that only matters when electricity is marginally
         | expensive (sourced from fossil fuels for example). However, if
         | you have a cheap enough marginal cost of electricity, hydrogen
         | is a better option because of the much cheaper fixed cost of
         | hydrogen storage per kWH.
         | 
         | A good way to see this: what option would you choose for
         | storage if electricity on demand was free but only during
         | certain parts of the day? A hydrogen tank or batteries? A
         | hydrogen tank is cheaper. And clean energy is essentially free
         | besides the fixed cost of the windmill/solar panel.
        
           | Someone wrote:
           | > Batteries are great for storing electricity efficiently
           | 
           | In some cases not even that. Modern Lithium-ion batteries are
           | quite good, but self-discharge still is 2-3%/month. So, if
           | you want to store for months (say charging a battery using
           | the summer sun to heat a house in winter), you easily lose
           | 10% to self-discharge, in addition to what you lose between
           | charging and discharging.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-discharge#Typical_self-
           | di... says NiMH batteries even lose 30% per month.
        
           | jacquesm wrote:
           | > They're also slower to charge and slower to discharge.
           | 
           | Yes, but this is changing and there are a number of very
           | interesting options.
           | 
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lithium-titanate_battery
        
             | huntertwo wrote:
             | Very cool, there are definitely use cases where batteries
             | are necessary (like moving vehicles) and it's great to see
             | advancement in battery tech.
             | 
             | EDIT: These batteries seem to be even less energy dense
             | than Li-ion which is one of the weaknesses of batteries in
             | comparison to hydrogen.
        
         | rektide wrote:
         | > _The safety is better, too - lithium iron phosphate batteries
         | don 't have the thermal runaway problem._
         | 
         | Relatedly, LFP are just rugged as heck batteries. They tend to
         | have double or more the life-cycle count. 5000 cycle count
         | before getting down to 80% capacity? In many cases yes. That's
         | pretty impressive, and a _great_ boon to overall lifecycle
         | /long-term costs. Even if you're getting less energy-density,
         | or even less energy-store/$, that battery is going to live _at
         | least_ 2x the effective lifespan (barring accidents, major
         | defects,  &c).
         | 
         | In general, anything built for high current tends but lower
         | energy density tends to have much more ruggedness. Sanyo's
         | UR18650E is Li(NiMnCo)O2, for example, but in one paper shows
         | 4X the lifecycle count of the extremely well regarded O.G. of
         | LFP, the A123 ANR26650M1-A[1]. Even though it's considered a
         | "lithium ion". And uses some of the rarer/more expensive
         | materials. (Edit: re-reading the paper more closely, I'm less
         | willing to embrace this conclusion. The A123 remains around
         | 2000 cycle count regardless of depth of discharge pattern,
         | while the li-ion drops to 1000 around 50% DoD.)
         | 
         | Not that phosphorous (The P in LFP) is projected to remain
         | cheap/available forever. 2 days ago, talking more about
         | phosphor's availability specifically with regard to agriculture
         | (and rather alarmistly), "Phosphorus is essential to life and
         | the world is running out of it"[2].
         | 
         | [1] http://www.jocet.org/vol7/511-C0056.pdf
         | 
         | [2] https://medium.com/climate-conscious/peak-phosphorus-may-
         | be-... https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29244529 (2 days
         | ago, 2 comments)
        
         | superjan wrote:
         | For renewable energy, low efficiency is not a problem per se:
         | you can make as much as you want. The article also mentions
         | that they don't need rare materials for the electrolyser, which
         | means it will be cheaper. Lithium, that modern batteries
         | require, is quite rare.
        
         | thinkcontext wrote:
         | There is plenty of demand for millions of tons of hydrogen for
         | uses that batteries are not useful for, notably, nitrogen
         | fertilizer. Thus, advances in hydrogen production are
         | interesting irrespective of ones views of hydrogen vs
         | batteries.
        
         | exyi wrote:
         | yea, but batteries are still quite expensive (I mean on a grid
         | scale) and the cost does not get better with scale. Storing H2
         | is much cheaper and will also probably scale sublinearly
         | (simplified: you pay for the wall of the tank and the wall is
         | only volume^(3/2)). Also, h2 can be transported, traded, ...
         | whatever, batteries are impractical for this and cables also
         | have limitations.
         | 
         | However, I see one big down to hydrogen. You can't tell how it
         | was made, you rely on a promise that it's green, while it may
         | actually be from methane... maybe with carbon storage, but you
         | never know when that is gonna leak out. This might be a big
         | loophole for fossil fuel corps / states
        
       | zz865 wrote:
       | One big electricity storage problem is seasonal - eg cold sunless
       | winters. Eg batteries are great for daytime charging your car -
       | but they aren't great for storing up a whole summer's worth of
       | energy to burn in the winter. Hydrogen could do that.
        
         | bryanlarsen wrote:
         | A 3x overbuild of solar+wind in an optimal mix, along with a
         | continental grid and 3 hours worth of batteries is all you need
         | for 99.99% reliability over an entire year.
         | 
         | https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-26355-z
        
       | wiz21c wrote:
       | > high peak solar-to-fuel conversion
       | 
       | does it mean there's a "mean solar-to-fuel conversion" to look
       | for ?
        
       | NoblePublius wrote:
       | this will be used as an excuse to expand production of hydrogen
       | made from carbon fuel on the basis that eventually the carbon
       | will be made sustainably. Don't fall for it.
        
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