[HN Gopher] GE to split into three separate companies
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       GE to split into three separate companies
        
       Author : JumpCrisscross
       Score  : 125 points
       Date   : 2021-11-09 14:49 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.ft.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.ft.com)
        
       | lbsnake7 wrote:
       | Is the clusterfuck that GE went through the last 10 years purely
       | because they over extended their financing arm? I genuinely ask
       | because their products are still in demand and they have huge
       | market shares in the divisions they are in. On paper this
       | conglomerate should've stayed together but it seems their
       | financing division fucked them up?
        
         | headShrinker wrote:
         | The problem started in the 80s when Jack welsh was CEO. He
         | thought it would be fun to invest in all sorts of specialized
         | debt. At the time it made GE's balance sheets look great. Then
         | the debt obligations started to show up, that's when things got
         | bad. But not before Jack Welch retired with one of the biggest
         | golden parachutes of all time.
         | 
         | https://moneyinc.com/largest-golden-parachutes-ever/
         | 
         | (skip to number 10)
        
           | elliekelly wrote:
           | Immelt shares quite a lot of the blame, too.
        
           | wombat-man wrote:
           | Wow that's insane, and sad for GE.
        
           | markus_zhang wrote:
           | A lot of people praised Welch back in the day. I don't
           | understand all these but maybe he was not that shiny after
           | all. So the trick to be a successful and loved CEO (or
           | anything) is to take ownership of something, beautify the
           | balance sheet and get out before it explodes.
           | 
           | This also applies for software engineering. Try to start a
           | new project in some company, and you get the privilege of:
           | 
           | 1. No need to maintain other shit mountain;
           | 
           | 2. Get to start your own shit mountain;
           | 
           | 3. Can come back as consult and win big bucks
           | 
           | 4. Can speak at conferences about "How X is implemented in
           | company Y"
        
             | version_five wrote:
             | This is an almost universal problem in any endeavor.
             | Everyone loves heros and visionaries, few give any respect
             | to diligent maintainers, so we have a world of shiny,
             | fragile new things on top of crumbling older ones that
             | haven't kept up. Whether its software, infrastructure,
             | equipment or corporate structure or whatever, incentives
             | make it always like this.
        
               | markus_zhang wrote:
               | Yeah I believe it's just human nature. Can't do much with
               | it except that in my career I'll pay more respect to the
               | maintenance people and others who are sweating for
               | someone else's glory. The glorious guys already get glory
               | and big buck so they don't need anything else.
        
           | ethagknight wrote:
           | It's really amazing that these companies can afford these
           | kinds of compensation commitments and still make payroll and
           | remain competitive in the marketplace. Wild how much of a
           | competitive moat that size is.
        
         | sct202 wrote:
         | They made some strategic errors beyond that like how they lost
         | $8 billion on their merger/investment with Baker Hughes in the
         | oil and gas sector.
        
           | seren wrote:
           | The $15 billion merge with Alstom Power for turbines was also
           | likely a net loss as well.
        
             | Iwan-Zotow wrote:
             | Maybe not, EdF wants to buy Alstom back
        
         | danielmarkbruce wrote:
         | There is a book titled "lights out" about the downfall of GE.
         | It's an interesting read.
        
         | csours wrote:
         | My impression is that there was a drive for 'growth' that lead
         | to a bunch of 'creative accounting' aka juicing and in some
         | cases lying. This worked for a while, but came crashing down as
         | it always will... eventually. You can hide the rot for a
         | season.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | mathattack wrote:
         | Maybe it's 15+ years of cluster? Combination of overextended
         | finance arm, too much diversification and complexity, and a
         | history of doing any accounting tricks needed to meet the next
         | quarterly number. None of those involved meeting customer
         | needs. You can only go so far on financial engineering. That's
         | better for dismantling the company rather than growing it.
        
         | greenail wrote:
         | One of the problems I observed working with GE was they had
         | pockets of a few smart folks who knew what they were doing and
         | armies of people managing outsourcing without really having
         | retained the industry specialization knowledge. It seemed like
         | they barely knew their own business at times, they didn't
         | understand the technology and they were highly specialized in
         | dealing with external vendors. This would lay blame on execs
         | like Gary Reiner who pushed outsourcing everywhere. They did
         | try to turn that around and it is probably worthy of a book to
         | review what they tried to bounce back from over-outsourcing,
         | what worked, and what didn't.
        
           | paleotrope wrote:
           | I don't think that's specific to GE.
           | 
           | I am coming around to thinking that all good things are
           | driven by small teams of less than 10 people maybe even less
           | than 5, who all have a shared vision and drive to accomplish
           | something. Everyone else is just along for the ride.
        
       | kazinator wrote:
       | GE to split into four companies:
       | 
       | - 500 hour LED bulbs.
       | 
       | - Silicone-based kitchen and bath miracle mildew growth formula.
       | 
       | - Uninspiring appliances.
       | 
       | - Other.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | jpmattia wrote:
       | Relevant: Bill Gates posted (back in June) a book review about
       | GE:
       | 
       | Lights Out, What happened to GE? The fall of one of America's
       | great companies.
       | 
       | https://www.gatesnotes.com/Books/Lights-Out
        
       | dayofthedaleks wrote:
       | Because the FT's paywall is particularly onerous:
       | 
       | https://archive.md/Mmj55
        
       | protomyth wrote:
       | I didn't realize that GE appliances was a separate company with
       | separate ownership (Haier & KKR). Its amazing how many of the old
       | prestige brand names are now just licensing or separate
       | companies.
        
         | lordnacho wrote:
         | Which should alarm people more than it does. The signalling
         | value of a brand is greatly diminished when it's just a label
         | that can be moved around, created or hollowed out at will.
         | 
         | It's a kind of obfuscation in many cases. How many people know
         | that P&G or Unilever are behind a huge number of supermarket
         | goods?
        
           | dmix wrote:
           | Saab turned into a Chinese car company then a defence
           | contractor bought it then it kinda just died on the shelf.
        
           | klelatti wrote:
           | Not sure why the cases you cite are alarming. I actually
           | think there are two levels of signalling in these cases 1.
           | what the brand promises - and the corporate owner will
           | usually want to protect that and 2. The reputation of a P&G
           | or Unilever.
           | 
           | I think problems often happen when the big corporate owners
           | sell to private equity who are more often interested in
           | boosting short term earnings.
        
             | lordnacho wrote:
             | 1) Multiple brands for one producer: something bad happens,
             | we cut the brand loose, move the staff who caused the
             | problem elsewhere, or replace them, nobody knows. If it's
             | really bad the mother co has enough money to place
             | everything on the brand, with PR. The financial news will
             | know it's P&G or Nestle or whatever, people on the street
             | will see "Something Crunch is unhealthy and is
             | discontinued".
             | 
             | 2) Unknown holding company: yes, people can have general
             | knowledge and to a degree it's their own fault for not
             | knowing. But it also isn't, nobody has time to read about
             | what thousands of brands are out there.
             | 
             | > I think problems often happen when the big corporate
             | owners sell to private equity who are more often interested
             | in boosting short term earnings.
             | 
             | Absolutely. I remember going to Ed's Diner here in the UK.
             | They made a great burger in SoHo before I left the country
             | for a few years. When I came back, they'd expanded across
             | the country, which was a bit surprising to me, but I went
             | in to eat there because of my previous experience. I took
             | one bite, it was terrible, and I immediately told my wife
             | "this tastes like private equity". I go on google, guess
             | what, it was indeed bought by PE and they'd totally changed
             | the burger. This is a form of lying to people that should
             | not be tolerated but of course is a grey zone because it
             | not easy to define when you've changed the burger so much
             | that you can't call it the same thing.
        
               | klelatti wrote:
               | I remember Ed's Diner in Soho going downhill! One of the
               | great malaises of the UK high street is that almost every
               | mid range restaurant chain is owned by PE. They buy an
               | upcoming chain, expand massively using debt, try to sell
               | at the top and if not when recession comes they cut costs
               | to make the experience awful and then go bust.
               | 
               | I think we probably mostly agree on the whole brands
               | thing. My point was really that P&G / Unilever are
               | probably better than most in practice at being decent
               | stewards of the brands they own.
        
               | diveandfight wrote:
               | > 1) Multiple brands for one producer
               | 
               | Was literally in a conversation just a couple months ago
               | where I was expressing that I had finished deleting
               | facebook for privacy-related reasons.
               | 
               | They chimed in with, "I know right! That's why I only use
               | Instagram..."
               | 
               | I think the me of a few years ago would have discounted
               | point 1). Today, I think it's a fairly salient point,
               | with regards to actual market effects. Albeit, I'm not
               | advocating for any action(s) to be taken with regards to
               | it.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Westinghouse. RCA. Magnavox. Once they were great American
           | companies. They're now just shells that do licensing of the
           | name.
        
         | reaperducer wrote:
         | Packard Bell. Lenovo. Magnavox. Crosley. Gold Bond. Radio Shack
         | (It's a little messy). Circuit City. And a hundred more you see
         | on late night TV commercials.
         | 
         | Sometimes when a company goes bankrupt, the most valuable asset
         | sold is the brand name and the goodwill that goes with it.
         | 
         | As for GE Appliances, I had them in every apartment I lived in
         | for about ten years. Never thought much about it until I moved
         | to a place that had Maytag appliances. They were ten years old,
         | but still better than the new GE ones in my previous place.
         | 
         | Now my apartment is all KitchenAid in the kitchen and Maytag
         | elsewhere. It's was like stepping into time capsule to the
         | future.
        
           | nunez wrote:
           | Appliances is kind-of an incestuous industry. All of the
           | high-end brands are owned by "low-end" bigger brands.
           | 
           | Example: KitchenAid is a subsidiary of Whirlpool, a huge
           | competitor against Haier/GE Appliances.
           | 
           | Viking, who makes perceivably high-end ranges and
           | refrigerators, is owned by Amana, who makes all of the cheap
           | appliances you see at Costco.
           | 
           | See here for more:
           | http://www.appliance411.com/purchase/make.shtml
           | 
           | As for me: I absolutely love my GE appliances. Have their
           | washer and dryer set as well as one of their newer french
           | door refrigerators; love them all.
        
             | The-Bus wrote:
             | Amana is owned by Whirlpool. Viking is owned by Middleby.
        
             | hinkley wrote:
             | It's the same model as automotive. A luxury brand where
             | they try out new tech, then spread it to the cheaper models
             | once they've amortized the R&D far enough.
             | 
             | Or you have the manufacturing ladder, where you start out
             | making low end goods until you've built up QA and
             | engineering practices that let you go up-market. Sony was
             | once cheap electronics only, and eventually LG took over
             | that crown before rebranding and moving to high end too.
             | 
             | Kia seems to have taken the latter approach, introducing
             | the Genisis name for luxury goods only recently.
        
             | belval wrote:
             | Consumer reports had a page explaining that they rated most
             | fridges in the low 6 because they all had high compressor
             | failure rate. Turns out that every major manufacturer was
             | using the same subsidiary for their compressor and
             | consequently everyone was stuck with low-quality parts.
             | 
             | So even across the "big" brands it's mostly the same thing.
        
             | m0llusk wrote:
             | There are lots of interesting issues with how designs and
             | production concepts are handled. MagicChef introduced
             | electric ignition stoves and ovens and did quite well with
             | that at first, but the more mature brands like Maytag knew
             | how to sell and eventually squeezed MagicChef and bought
             | them out. The remains of the company then got passed
             | around. As a result most stove and oven designs are
             | extremely similar to each other and to the later MagicChef
             | designs which were superior in efficiency of construction,
             | use, and maintenance but not so much in marketing and
             | sales.
        
           | Animats wrote:
           | Maytag is just a brand of Whirlpool now. And the appliances
           | are not as good.
        
             | reaperducer wrote:
             | Sad to hear. The ones i had were from 1996. Even though it
             | was 2017, they still ran very well. Was that before the
             | Whirlpool acquisition?
        
       | Gravityloss wrote:
       | https://www.ge.com/news/reports/ge-announces-plans-to-form-t...
       | 
       | > We'll pursue a tax-free spin-off of GE Healthcare, creating a
       | pure-play company at the center of precision health. We'll
       | combine GE Renewable Energy, GE Power, and GE Digital into one
       | business, positioned to lead the energy transition. GE intends to
       | execute the spin-off of Healthcare in early 2023 and the spin-off
       | of the Renewable Energy and Power business in early 2024.
       | Following these transactions, GE will be an aviation-focused
       | company, shaping the future of flight.
       | 
       | So to paraphrase, GE Energy, GE Healthcare and GE aviation.
        
         | baybal2 wrote:
         | I wonder, will this preclude GE Energy getting hands on new GE
         | turbines?
         | 
         | Most turbines GE Energy sells are aeroderived.
        
         | metalliqaz wrote:
         | GE Aviation's main competitor in the US is Pratt & Whitney, and
         | PW's parent United Technologies did this same kind of maneuver
         | in 2020. Two companies were spun off and the resulting company
         | focused on aerospace. Then, quickly thereafter, UTX merged with
         | Raytheon. So I expect GE Aviation will begin either a merger or
         | go on an acquisition spree to expand their power in the defense
         | contracting space. They are competing with other huge
         | conglomerates like Boeing, Lockheed, Northrup, and General
         | Dynamics. I wonder if they will try to merge with Honeywell
         | (again). I'll bet they will at least examine it.
        
         | greenail wrote:
         | GE aviation is the most organically grown part of GE from my
         | experience. I think they only ever did 2 major
         | acquisition/mergers. GE Energy was packed with lots of
         | acquisitions, not so sure about Power but I would guess it is
         | also a hodge podge based on reorganizations. Digital is pretty
         | new with very rapid growth. Healthcare kinda did their own
         | thing from what I saw. I wonder how organic growth vs
         | acquisition growth impacted the choices for how this split
         | evolved. I also wonder how acquisitions vs organic growth
         | impacts the long term survivability of giant corporations.
        
           | Gravityloss wrote:
           | I worked in a company that GE Healthcare acquired. It was
           | "interesting" to see the change in company culture. The
           | original company felt like the most important thing was
           | trust. GE was more about competition.
        
           | dmix wrote:
           | That would explain why Aviation is the one keeping the GE
           | brand.
        
       | mercy_dude wrote:
       | Does that mean they will have three tickers too? If so would the
       | renewable side of the business a buy?
        
         | fullstop wrote:
         | I have a handful of GE shares, so this will be interesting.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | dehrmann wrote:
         | > If so would the renewable side of the business a buy?
         | 
         | It looks like power is power, so it includes renewables, but
         | also things like natural gas. It makes sense from an
         | engineering perspective because they're all turbines and
         | generators, but I can see why investors might want the pure
         | renewable play.
        
         | Naga wrote:
         | Yes. FTA:
         | 
         | > GE Healthcare will be spun off in 2023, with GE retaining a
         | 19.9 per cent stake in the unit. GE Renewable Energy, GE Power
         | and GE Digital will be combined into one energy-focused company
         | that will be spun off in 2024. Once these transactions are
         | completed, the original GE will focus on aviation.
         | 
         | So there will be a GE Healthcare (20% owned by GE, the rest
         | owned by individual shareholders), GE Energy starting in 2024
         | (probably similar ownership structure) and GE. Shareholders of
         | GE will be receiving shares of the other two, but the details
         | of that aren't clear yet I think.
        
           | skinnymuch wrote:
           | Why is GE aviation keeping some ownership of the other two?
           | Vs any other mechanism or ownership structure.
        
             | intuitionist wrote:
             | Probably Aviation is retaining a lot of GE's debt and plans
             | to use its retained ownership interest in the others to
             | generate cash to pay it down.
        
         | tantalor wrote:
         | The quote says "three... public companies"
        
         | oblio wrote:
         | It depends, will they get US subsidies?
        
           | jeffbee wrote:
           | Probably not anywhere near as much as Westinghouse collects
           | for failing to build fission reactors.
        
       | rickspencer3 wrote:
       | So, now they will be Specific Electric?
        
         | csours wrote:
         | Specialist Electric.
        
       | LeifCarrotson wrote:
       | I recently read "The Value of Nothing: Capital vs Growth" [1].
       | (Edit, it was here on HN [2] a week ago). It helped me understand
       | the disconnect in the modern economy; the primary goal is to
       | increase the value of assets and returns on capital rather than
       | the underlying performance and economic growth. It's a long read,
       | but here are a few paragraphs that look an awful lot like this
       | split of GE into three separate companies:
       | 
       | > _...A corporate sector dominated by institutional asset
       | managers and executives whose compensation is based on near-term
       | equity returns is highly incentivized to engage in activities
       | intended to expand valuations even if there is no impact, or a
       | negative impact, on earnings. Such strategies include spinoffs
       | that aim to "unlock" value simply by isolating business units
       | expected to trade at higher valuations, or other forms of
       | financial engineering like stock buybacks._ ...
       | 
       | > _Consider, for example, the case of IBM, which plans to spin
       | off its IT infrastructure division this year in order to "focus
       | on high-margin cloud computing." The move is being cheered on
       | Wall Street because it is believed that the two businesses will
       | be worth more as separate entities than as one. In particular,
       | the remaining IBM cloud business should command a higher multiple
       | once freed from lower-margin, slower-growing divisions._
       | 
       | > _IBM has followed this same playbook for years: "We divested
       | networking back in the '90s, we divested PCs back in the 2000s,
       | we divested semiconductors about five years ago . . . ," said
       | IBM's CEO, explaining the spin-off. As a result of this strategy,
       | IBM's revenues and net earnings are lower today than they were in
       | 1998. But its stock price and P /E ratio are higher._
       | 
       | This is a positive outcome for their financing arm - they've
       | generated an increase in the value of their assets without having
       | to risk any capital expenditure. Investors can speculate up the
       | value of GE shares in the energy industry, or healthcare, or
       | defense, without worrying about the other two holding their
       | investment back. Whether the resulting companies is any more
       | productive of actual goods and services than the unified company
       | is irrelevant.
       | 
       | [1]: https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2021/08/the-value-of-
       | noth...
       | 
       | [2]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29053503
        
         | 0xB31B1B wrote:
         | By increasing value like this, they can raise more funding/sell
         | debt to fund growth. The moves themself do not impact the
         | company but the downstream impacts can be great. Most large
         | businesses run on debt, most growth is fueled by debt, and
         | increasing the total amount of money that investors are willing
         | to give to companies by reorganizing organizations to make more
         | attractive debt sales is a nearly costless way to fund growth.
        
         | GDC7 wrote:
         | Stock buybacks are just a tax efficient way to give money back
         | to shareholders in lieu of dividends.
         | 
         | Also this sort of phenomenons are rarely top-bottom. The
         | American consumer is less and less prone to consume and more
         | and more keen to invest.
         | 
         | If you talk to people and look at discussions on the interwebz
         | it seems to me that the goal is not so much making purchases
         | today with the aim of enhancing quality of life, but
         | accumulating potential spending capability in the form of paper
         | net-worth which you have the option (but not the obligation) to
         | spend on quality of life at a later date.
         | 
         | Just look at Tesla, Bitcoin, real estate, interest rates etc.
         | Basically every financial indicator says that people are more
         | and more rejecting the marsh-mallow today, hoping to have
         | multiple marsh-mallows in the future, which they'd also reject
         | in the hope of having hundreds of marsh-mallows, which they'd
         | also reject and on and on and on.
         | 
         | The anticipation of pleasure and quality of life becomes the
         | goal, and the anticipation is fed by people circlejerking over
         | their net-worth number or their gains on their paper gains on
         | the stock market.
         | 
         | When you signal to executives that the company's most
         | successful product is the stock that they sell, then it's not
         | that hard to imagine that executives will be very receptive in
         | treating the stock as a product, that's because they already
         | have incentives as it is, then on top of that you have the
         | populace asking to do exactly that and elevating those who do
         | so as some sort of technoutopian cult leader making them rich
         | (every reference to Lord Musk is incidental)
        
           | ItsMonkk wrote:
           | From 1945 to 1971 the value of assets was increasing faster
           | than the value of gold mined, and dollars were directly
           | connected to gold, so everyone wanted more dollars, so the
           | stock value of companies was low even though they were
           | growing at a much faster rate than companies are today.
           | 
           | From 1971 to today, being off the gold-standrd, the count of
           | dollars is increasing at a rate much faster than the value of
           | assets created, so everyone wants more assets.
           | 
           | If you don't want to encourage rent-seeking behavior, you
           | need to ensure that the count of dollars increases at a rate
           | equal to the value of the assets being created.
        
             | rileymat2 wrote:
             | Does the count need to increase or simply the velocity of
             | those dollars?
        
             | tm-guimaraes wrote:
             | Is it really rent seeking though?
             | 
             | Without a peg like gold, the dollar keeps loosing value.
             | Even if a company stays with the same "real value", with
             | dollar actually being less valuable, it's fairly normally
             | for people to park their savings in company ownership
             | rather tan dollars. Are these people rent seeking? They
             | simple want to keep their capital.
             | 
             | > you need to ensure that the count of dollars increases at
             | a rate equal to the value of the assets being created.
             | 
             | How? You can't predict how business will do. If
             | Apple/Tesla/Amazon/Microsoft will be much more efficient
             | than yesterday or do a bad strategy decision.
             | 
             | Money printing shouldn't be related whatsoever to how you
             | think the big companies will fare. Whoever is trading stock
             | simply must understand that Prices are in dollars, and
             | dollars are deflating, so you can't compare the prices with
             | old prices in a simple way.
        
             | GDC7 wrote:
             | > If you don't want to encourage rent-seeking behavior, you
             | need to ensure that the count of dollars increases at a
             | rate equal to the value of the assets being created.
             | 
             | It's all textbook BS. Everybody is subject to this passion
             | for accumulation vs. spending , hence government actions
             | are baked into it as well.
        
         | H8crilA wrote:
         | I think there's a fundamental misunderstanding as to what
         | capitalism is. Capitalism is a system in which the capital
         | decides what gets done, within limits.
         | 
         | If the market really thinks the company is better off split
         | then that's what you as a company should do - the capital has
         | spoken. If it's a bad idea then maybe next time the capital
         | will take the opposite position.
         | 
         | Same with bankruptcies, they're usually healthy. If your bonds
         | trade at 50c on the dollar with an inverted yield curve you
         | should file for it. Or the opposite - companies enjoying super
         | low cost of capital (prime example - Tesla), if the capital
         | thinks the company is so great the management should be trying
         | to sell more shares and lock in some of that capital that's
         | chasing it, assuming it can deploy additional capital in any
         | meaningful fashion. And (existing or potential) competition
         | should take notice.
         | 
         | In short, the capital tells you what to do. Even the Fed is
         | kind of subject to the market, every time they stay behind or
         | ahead of the curve (like when the yield curve inversion
         | happens) there are usually consequences down the line for such
         | trespasses against the consensus.
        
         | missedthecue wrote:
         | _" the primary goal is to increase the value of assets and
         | returns on capital rather than the underlying performance and
         | economic growth"_
         | 
         | They're the same thing. Getting more productivity out of a
         | given asset is by definition an increase in performance and
         | efficiency.
        
         | markus_zhang wrote:
         | I think Capitalism, from its birth, only cares about
         | "increasing the value of assets and returns on capital". It
         | happened to focus on technological advancement during the last
         | few centuries, simply because technological advancement brought
         | about the biggest returns on investment (capital), and nothing
         | else.
         | 
         | If technological advancement does not satisfy the return of
         | capitals, it simply turns its focus elsewhere, be it making
         | wars, dealing drugs or slaves, or whatever that brings about
         | the biggest return of capital within acceptable risks.
         | 
         | Nothing more, and nothing else. Technological advancement and
         | others are simply by-products.
        
       | baybal2 wrote:
       | I for long had a feeling that GE behaves as if it was a some kind
       | of financial company.
        
       | TomAbel wrote:
       | Relevant: This Week's IoT news posted(4 years ago) a newsletter
       | on GE Digital
       | 
       | GE discovers that industrial IoT doesn't scale
       | https://mailchi.mp/iotpodcast/stacey-on-iot-if-ge-cant-maste...
       | 
       | Also the HN discussion on the newsletter
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15155860 - September 2017
       | (73 comments)
        
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