[HN Gopher] Few willing to change lifestyle to save the planet, ...
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       Few willing to change lifestyle to save the planet, climate survey
       finds
        
       Author : perfunctory
       Score  : 20 points
       Date   : 2021-11-07 19:30 UTC (3 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.theguardian.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.theguardian.com)
        
       | throwaway55421 wrote:
       | The current divide on coronavirus measures seems fairly similar
       | to me, just with the speed dial turned up.
       | 
       | Current climate chat is about social distancing and lockdowns. We
       | need it to be about antivirals, vaccines, immunity etc.
       | 
       | Basically, how do we fix this, not what do we do to hide from it
       | for a bit.
       | 
       | It is unsustainable to suggest that everyone just restricts their
       | lifestyle forever in an endless loop.
        
       | CM30 wrote:
       | I'm not surprised. Trying to rely on people to voluntarily change
       | their behaviour while leaving companies to seemingly do whatever
       | they want without consequences is a terrible idea. Why should
       | people sacrifice their lifestyle while large corporations
       | continue to make cheap, disposable goods and waste resources
       | anyway? What's the incentive to consume less and change our
       | lifestyles if leaders/celebrities/billionaires just fly to
       | conferences in private jets at a whim, and waste such resources
       | at an immense scale anyway?
       | 
       | Plus... saying things is easy. Actually doing things differently
       | are not.
        
         | bamboozled wrote:
         | Couldn't agree more.It's like asking individuals not to eat
         | meat to stop climate change...
         | 
         | What about stopping companies fracking, mining coal, selling
         | combustion engines first ?
        
         | dane-pgp wrote:
         | Yeah, it's the wrong question, and thus a distraction from
         | getting the problem solved. Instead they should have asked "Do
         | you support a tax on the top 1% of polluters, which is paid as
         | a dividend to the bottom 99%?"
         | 
         | I suppose that might have the unintended consequence / cobra
         | effect of making people want the top 1% to pollute more, so
         | they get a bigger dividend payment, but, on the other hand, I
         | don't think that the top 1% care about what the rest of us
         | want, so their only incentive will be to reduce their tax
         | burden.
        
           | AtlasBarfed wrote:
           | It's an interesting idea, but the rich and powerful run the
           | world and basically don't pay taxes. You don't need
           | environmental dress-up, you just need the rich to pay their
           | taxes.
           | 
           | Wow, the world is pumping 40 gigatons per year excess CO2,
           | which (at 100$/ton, god I hope we find a cheap way to remove
           | carbon) is 4 trillion per year.
           | 
           | There are historically about 2 teratons of excess carbon in
           | the air. Christ that's 200 trillion dollars.
           | 
           | Wow are we in trouble. Even if we only tried to get half of
           | it out and get neutral, that is a massive amount of money.
           | 
           | But the thing is, globally, there does exist probably 10
           | trillion dollars we can devote to fixing the problem (4 to
           | stop the current bleeding, 6 to start drawing down the
           | existing "debt"). Hopefully we find something cheaper.
        
             | dane-pgp wrote:
             | > 4 trillion per year.
             | 
             | For comparison, the Gross World Product[0] of 2019 was
             | estimated to be 88 trillion, so a 5% global tax devoted to
             | carbon removal would be sufficient.
             | 
             | Countries could even be given a quota, and they would get a
             | rebate for every ton they came in under that quota, such
             | that they would pay net zero tax if they were net zero on
             | carbon emissions.
             | 
             | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gross_world_product
        
           | PeterisP wrote:
           | Pollution doesn't happen because some "top 1%" want it, it
           | happens because it is a byproduct of goods and services
           | consumed by all of us.
           | 
           | A small tax won't change behavior, but a large tax will
           | impact consumer prices of the relevant goods. Who do you
           | think the "top 1% of polluters" are with respect to
           | greenhouse gases? If USA adds a heavy tax to imports from
           | Saudi Aramco and other oil companies, gas prices will jump
           | and that will be the "unwilling change to lifestyle" that
           | voters will complain about. If Coal India, the world's
           | largest manufacturer of coal, gets heavily taxed then
           | people's electricity costs will rise significantly and they
           | will riot. If you tax producers of carbon-heavy commodities
           | like concrete and steel, the tax will directly be passed on
           | to those using concrete and steel, that's how commodities
           | work. The same applies for all other industries relying on
           | carbon emissions - to significantly reduce usage, the taxes
           | need to be so high that people actually can't afford these
           | "carbon-heavy" services any more and start using them much
           | less.
           | 
           | It's not just about the willingness to voluntarily
           | unilaterally change your own lifestyle, it's about the
           | willingness to tolerate your government implementing measures
           | that de facto force you (and others in your country) to
           | change your lifestyles. While, as the article states, "Most
           | (76%) of those surveyed across the 10 countries said they
           | would accept stricter environmental rules and regulations", I
           | believe that this is said with an implicit assumption that
           | these stricter environmental rules and regulations will
           | mostly affect "someone else" i.e. "top 1% polluters" without
           | requiring any noticeable change in the goods and services
           | they use.
        
             | dane-pgp wrote:
             | As a reasonable starting point, the "top 1%" wouldn't be
             | the companies that sell products that most people need
             | (like cars and electricity), it would be the consumers that
             | use vastly more resources than the average consumer.
             | 
             | So, for example, if the average person flies N miles per
             | year, then add an extra tax to the people who fly 10xN
             | miles. If the average person uses N joules of gas to heat
             | their home, then add an extra tax to the people who use
             | 10xN joules.
             | 
             | However, there are going to be cases where it makes sense
             | to tax cheap-but-polluting products to give a dividend to
             | help people buy more-expensive but less-polluting products,
             | even if that means that prices go up slightly. That's just
             | capturing the externalities of the polluting products,
             | though.
        
       | cybert00th wrote:
       | There's no way I'm changing my lifestyle so a bunch of PH.Ds and
       | tenured Profs can retire on the Costa del Sol.
        
       | gremloni wrote:
       | This is good. This particular change has to be top down. The
       | ability to put pressure on government and industry should be
       | grass roots, not behavioral changes themselves.
        
         | ergot_vacation wrote:
         | Bingo. Fuck this gaslighting. The vast majority of pollution in
         | general, and CO2 in particular, comes from industry, not
         | individuals. Tossing trash everywhere and running gas through
         | your bus-like SUV like a maniac is an asshole move, and your
         | neighbors don't appreciate it, but it doesn't move the needle
         | much on actual environmental issues. Big companies and big
         | foreign nations are where the CO2 is coming from. They have a
         | stranglehold on congress thanks to their money, so good luck
         | forcing change. But in the meantime let's stop wringing our
         | hands over "lifestyle changes". They don't matter.
        
       | LorenPechtel wrote:
       | There's the perennial problem with such polls in that people have
       | serious doubts about whether incurring costs for environmental
       | reasons will actually accomplish the objective.
       | 
       | An awful lot of environmental rules simply export the problem but
       | do nothing to stop it.
        
       | exabrial wrote:
       | ... most importantly, all of the "world leaders" at the "climate
       | summits".
        
       | sien wrote:
       | 68% of Americans say they wouldn't pay $10 a month in higher
       | electricity bills to combat Climate Change:
       | 
       | https://www.cato.org/blog/68-americans-wouldnt-pay-10-month-...
       | 
       | What politicians say they want to do about global warming is
       | very, very different to what people say they will pay for.
        
         | telesilla wrote:
         | That's what's so damn infuriating. Taxpayers are paying that
         | now in subsidies for non-renewables because of lobbying and
         | corruption. Make it a fair playing field and renewables will
         | get the investment instead without any noticeable rise in user
         | fees.
        
         | PeterisP wrote:
         | IMHO politicians are quite well aware of that, so they say that
         | what they want to about global warming is to express concern,
         | make plans and perhaps subsidize some local industries which
         | they might have subsidized just purely as an economic stimulus
         | - because if they would actually require significant transfer
         | of wealth for these issues or significant mandates (either
         | direct or as hefty tax incentives) to change lifestyles, then
         | the voters would simply vote them out.
        
           | sien wrote:
           | France has ~1/3 the per capita greenhouse gas emissions of
           | the US and is a rich country so it's certainly possible.
           | 
           | France uses nuclear for 70% of their electricity generation
           | and petrol is ~$7 / gallon ( $1.9/litre ).
           | 
           | Politicians just need to be honest about the costs and people
           | just have to want it.
        
             | PeterisP wrote:
             | Well, you don't get to say what people "have to want", they
             | have their own free will, and for the majority USA to
             | transition to e.g. transportation habits of France would be
             | a major lifestyle change, which they quite explicitly do
             | not want - so if politicians are honest about the costs,
             | that makes it certain that the policies won't be adopted,
             | because there is not a willingness to pay them.
             | 
             | I mean, $7/gallon is approximately double the current
             | price, and if we made a poll across the USA asking "Would
             | you be willing to double the gas prices in order to ...."
             | then the vast majority would not even read past the
             | beginning, they are certain that nothing that they have
             | ever thought about climate change would justify _that_
             | amount of change right now.
        
       | pauldenton wrote:
       | What you mean the rich and famous won't stop owning a dozen cars
       | and a private plane, because of climate change? Not surprising.
       | We hear stories all the time about airports being full of private
       | planes at climate conferences. People didn't exactly carpool to
       | g20
        
       | PicassoCTs wrote:
       | What do we need to change this?
       | 
       | Education?
       | 
       | Behavioral Hacking?
       | 
       | More discussion ejection seat buzzwords?
       | 
       | Surplus Resources produced by cornucopia machinery?
       | 
       | Governments that are resistant to bribery and clan-think(aka
       | human nature)?
       | 
       | Or a virus that drastically reduces economic dynamics and
       | individual exertions? Can in a dysfunctional society and system,
       | a virus be considered a valid policy, to prevent far greater
       | dangers through suicidal economic policies?
       | 
       | Does the need of the many yet to come outweigh the need of those
       | present?
       | 
       | Just doing the devils advocate here. In the longterm im guessing
       | it needs cornucopia to kick the can of worms further down the
       | road.
       | 
       | To change humanity, fix all the hardcoded brain-bugs and de-
       | faulty heuristics, alot more has to happen. Just some dopamine-
       | milk machine in the cellphone will not change moohmanity.
        
         | PeterisP wrote:
         | The thing that would change this would be clear, certain,
         | imminent and obvious impact to local welfare, combined with
         | trustworthy assurances that the desired actions will change
         | that. If we look at e.g. the IPCC reports, then we see
         | statements which effectively say "there will be a much higher
         | probability of various bad events in the far future, most of
         | them somewhere else, that are likely to have various
         | unspecified very bad consequences to people in general, most of
         | them in other communities; and by the way the changes are
         | already irreversible", which fails all those criteria.
         | 
         | People will not be willing to make sacrifices as long as it's
         | not clear (from sources you trust - experts may not suffice, as
         | covid shows) what exact very harmful near-term consequences
         | _you_ and your community will face; how exactly the proposed
         | sacrifice will change that; and how the coordination problem
         | will be solved so that other large countries including those on
         | the other side of the world also take that sacrifice, which is
         | a key part of showing that the sacrifice will have an effect.
        
         | lazyeye wrote:
         | We need the technology.
        
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       (page generated 2021-11-07 23:02 UTC)