[HN Gopher] Microcentury (2020)
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       Microcentury (2020)
        
       Author : susam
       Score  : 75 points
       Date   : 2021-11-03 11:36 UTC (11 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (susam.in)
 (TXT) w3m dump (susam.in)
        
       | bellyfullofbac wrote:
       | To critique the writing, the section on why Wiktionary is wrong
       | is so tediously verbose. It could've been shortened to say "This
       | is based on a century (100 years) of 365 days each, without leap
       | years.". All the numbers of millions of seconds, etc, is just so
       | useless and repetitive .
        
       | Joker_vD wrote:
       | So the author saw the Wikipedia definition of "a time period of a
       | millionth of a century, equal to 52 minutes and 34 seconds", made
       | a more precise calculation and got 52 minutes 35.7 instead.
       | Almost 2 seconds of a difference! About 0.6%0 in relative terms!
       | That Wikipedia thing is unacceptably sloppy, isn't it?
        
         | javajosh wrote:
         | Pedantry is its own reward.
        
         | wizzwizz4 wrote:
         | That Wikipedia thing is perfectly fine. It merely assumes we
         | abolish leap years within the next few decades.
        
       | abeppu wrote:
       | > After fifty minutes (one microcentury as von Neumann used to
       | say) everybody's attention will turn elsewhere even if we are
       | trying to prove the Riemann hypothesis.
       | 
       | I hear lots of people remark that the way we use tech has
       | shortened our attention spans. Most often I hear this about
       | reading, and ability to stay with a text. Has our ability to stay
       | with a lecture also decreased over the decades, or is
       | watching/listening to a speaker easier on our attention system
       | somehow? Is a guideline from von Neumann still good, or are we
       | now mostly twitchy and checking our phones at 30 min?
        
         | wizzwizz4 wrote:
         | Attention spans depend heavily on the environment. They're
         | something you _do_ (a habit thing) more than something you
         | _have_. (Many people are incapable of paying attention for an
         | extended period of time, but this is more of an upper bound to
         | the attention span; their actual attention span in a given
         | situation could easily be less, just like the rest of us.)
        
           | datameta wrote:
           | How much focused attention one will tend to give a prolonged
           | activity that doesn't normally involve their input, feedback,
           | or control (on top of the fact that learning is
           | evolutionarily not an easy thing to do) is certainly relative
           | to the activities one would alternatively have available to
           | them. That is to say, before we had the ability to read about
           | anything, talk to anyone, or play any game at any time or
           | location I imagine it was somewhat easier to not feel the
           | need to distract ourselves. I think it comes down to
           | regulating our dopamine system's objective function to not
           | require frequent consistent reward and allow ourselves the
           | delayed gratification of something like learning from a
           | lecture.
           | 
           | I believe that is one of the reasons learning by doing is
           | highly effective and essentially unavoidable if one is to
           | truly understand something. This applies to purely
           | theoretical disciplines as well, in the form of practicing
           | calculation and thinking about the implications.
        
             | wizzwizz4 wrote:
             | > _How much focused attention one will tend to give a
             | prolonged activity that doesn 't normally involve their
             | input, feedback, or control (on top of the fact that
             | learning is evolutionarily not an easy thing to do) is
             | certainly relative to the activities one would
             | alternatively have available to them._
             | 
             | This is true. My thesis is that "alternatively" is relative
             | to the context.
             | 
             | But we can science this! This is the kind of thing that
             | anyone with access to people can discover the answer to;
             | it's not even fraught with ethical hazards! You just need
             | to be really, really, really, really boring.
        
       | eCa wrote:
       | Since the OP is the definition of pedantry, I'm annoyed by the
       | author not taking a stand regarding if a century year (*00)
       | starts or ends a century.
       | 
       | Since there is no year 0[1] in the calendar used, it can only end
       | a century.
       | 
       | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Year_zero
        
       | wodenokoto wrote:
       | I sincerely hope the author also took their time to update
       | wiktionary.
        
         | iso1631 wrote:
         | It would be the obvious thing to do rather than waffle on like
         | an 8th grader
        
       | codeflo wrote:
       | While this is nice, I don't like the idea that lecture times
       | should vary depending on the century I find myself in. Clearly,
       | we need to take the average, which is 52 minutes and 35.6952
       | seconds if I calculated correctly.
        
       | milesward wrote:
       | That's a lot of hand-wringing for 1.7 seconds.
        
       | StevePerkins wrote:
       | I usually don't like it when people sidestep the content of a
       | link, to go on some tangent about its typography or aesthetics.
       | But DAMN. This is a gorgeous looking blog, for using only default
       | fonts and minimal CSS.
       | 
       | Apparently he wrote his own static site builder in Common Lisp,
       | but it's SO minimal that the content itself is still written in
       | raw HTML. It feels silly, but this just takes me back to happier
       | days... pre-WordPress and pre-social media... and makes me wonder
       | why we lost our way. I dearly miss the feeling of making sites
       | like this (but uglier!) back in the 1990's. Applause.
        
       | javajosh wrote:
       | One sidereal period of the earth is 365.25 days; 100 of them is
       | 36525 days. One millionth of that amount is 0.036525 days. Since
       | a day is defined to be (24hr * 60min/hr) 1440 minutes long, the
       | number of minutes in a microcentry is 0.036525 * 1440 = 52.596
       | minutes. The .596min still needs conversion to seconds (.596 min
       | * 60 s/min), 35.76s.
       | 
       | A microcentury is 52 min 35.76 sec long. However I wasn't keeping
       | track of significant digits very carefully (it varied between 5
       | and 6) so I'd take the "6" with a grain of salt pending further
       | analysis.
        
       | MichaelZuo wrote:
       | Von Neumann as wise as always!
        
       | tome wrote:
       | > Running overtime is the one unforgivable error a lecturer can
       | make.
       | 
       | This is tangential to the content of the article, but ... I'm
       | continually astonished by the number of speakers who seem to be
       | comfortable (largely at conferences) running over time cutting
       | into their question time, the time of the next speaker, or even
       | worse, lunch! Presumably it's not just me and Rota who feel this
       | way, but it seems like there must be a large contingent of people
       | who are very easygoing about it and quite happy to overrun or
       | listen to overrunning speakers. I would be interested to know the
       | thoughts of other HN readers.
        
         | FemmeAndroid wrote:
         | At most conferences, the people speaking are not professional
         | speakers, and as such I don't mind them running over.
         | 
         | In my experience, it's hard to time a talk correctly, even with
         | multiple run throughs ahead of time. Standing up in front of a
         | big crowd, even if I've got a stop watch running I can end up
         | going far too quick, or far too slowly, and end up with tunnel
         | vision where I fail to identify and correct the mistake.
         | 
         | Are _some_ of the speakers doing it intentionally? Probably.
         | Did some just fail to prepare? Almost certainly. But things
         | come up, and in the most charitable case, they just stood in
         | front of a bunch of people and communicated something they
         | thought was important. I applaud them for that, and move on.
        
           | musingsole wrote:
           | Correctly timing a talk is one thing. Blowing past time
           | limits as if they don't exist is another one altogether.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | Uehreka wrote:
           | So true! I always rehearse my talks several times with the
           | stopwatch on my phone sitting on a nearby desk, but I feel
           | like that's not an obvious thing to people who are getting
           | started and don't have theatre or public speaking experience.
           | 
           | It's a lot like that (probably misattributed) Hemingway quote
           | "If I had more time I would've written a shorter letter."
        
         | tedmiston wrote:
         | If your talk is the last one before lunch, wrapping up a little
         | early, say 10 minutes, is almost mandatory. You're not going to
         | have the attention of hungry people if you take those last few
         | minutes to talk anyway. Just my 2C/ from in-person conference
         | experiences.
        
         | ketanmaheshwari wrote:
         | In almost all the talks I have physically attended, running
         | overtime I observed is closely correlated to how visibly the
         | audience start showing signs of tiredness no matter what the
         | topic is.
         | 
         | I feel like it is not about 52.x minutes, it is more about
         | expectations. If the talk is 20 minutes the audience expects it
         | to be over by 20 minutes.
        
         | pfortuny wrote:
         | Speakers like to listen to themselves. As a lecturer, I am
         | aware and bring this to each class:
         | 
         | https://www.amazon.com/-/es/Temporizador-temporizador-magnet...
        
           | mhalle wrote:
           | Be aware that following this link to a nice electronic timer
           | may change your global Amazon language preference to Spanish.
        
             | Aicy wrote:
             | crap how do I fix this
             | 
             | edit: ok closing and reopening amazon did the trick :)
        
       | crhutchins wrote:
       | Based on the article, a microcentury doesn't even last an hour.
        
       | nabla9 wrote:
       | Microlifetime = (average lifespan)/ 10e6
       | 
       | In the west microlifetime is about 42 min.
       | 
       | Lectures typically last longer than microlifetime.
        
       | iso1631 wrote:
       | If you're going to be so pedantic, why are you discounting
       | Julian/Georgian switch, and Leap seconds, and not even mentioning
       | the different ways of measuring a year, the precession of the
       | equinoxes, etc.
       | 
       | 1 Sideral Century would be about 3155815000 seconds at the
       | current time, so 1 microcentury would be 3155.815 seconds, or 52m
       | 35.81s
       | 
       | 1 Tropical Century would be about 3155692545 seconds, or 52m
       | 35.69s
       | 
       | 1 Anomalistic Century would be about 3155843255 seconds, or 52m
       | 35.84s
        
         | kqr wrote:
         | I agree. My rule of thumb for this situation ("how long is a
         | year") is just 365.2425 days, which is an accurate enough
         | statistical expectation for the most part, and doesn't depend
         | on any information about which year is being discussed.
         | 
         | (Why 365.2425? It's 365 + 1/4 - 1/100 + 1/400, corresponding to
         | how often leap years are supposed to occur.)
         | 
         | Edit: useful derived numbers:
         | 
         | - A month is 365.2425/12 = 30.436875 days, which in my head I
         | have stored rounded off to 30.44 days.
         | 
         | - A month with no holidays contains 30.44*5/7 = 21.74 weekdays.
         | (Though I'm actually not sure about this being true in practise
         | - I know there are some weird phase synchronisations between
         | the weekly, monthly, and yearly cycles that I haven't explored
         | fully.)
        
           | prepend wrote:
           | What's with the fractions at the end? I get the 1/4, but not
           | sure about the 1/100 and 1/400. It seems like to with the
           | century year only being leap if mod 400, but I don't
           | understand the 100 part.
        
             | ajmurmann wrote:
             | If it's divisible by 100 but not 400 it's not a leap year.
        
             | messe wrote:
             | 1. Leap year every 4 years (+1/4)
             | 
             | 2. But not if it's divisible by 100 (-1/100)
             | 
             | 3. Unless it's divisible by 400 (+1/400)
        
             | icoder wrote:
             | Leap years occur every 4 years, except we skip one every
             | 100 years, HOWEVER we skip that skip every 400 years.
             | 
             | 2000 was the perfect example: /4 so leap year? well /100 so
             | no leap year? well also /400 so no no = yes leap year.
             | 
             | Basically that one time in our lives we could have
             | witnessed the /100 exception, it actually wasn't, so
             | business (= leap year) as usual.
        
               | debesyla wrote:
               | I wonder what we will use in 400 years - I think it's
               | possible that this kind of skip is the last one we had...
               | Maybe.
        
               | modulusshift wrote:
               | Don't fix what ain't broke. the year 2000 was the second
               | skipped skip after 1600. If the Gregorian calendar could
               | make it through _those_ four centuries, with the
               | increasing rate of political and social upheaval, it 's
               | not going to change much now. We've got almost 3 more
               | millennia before we've lost a full day compared to the
               | tropical year.
        
       | OscarCunningham wrote:
       | I've seen the same idea phrased as 'a nanocentury is
       | approximately pi seconds'.
        
         | hduncfj wrote:
         | That's due to Tom Duff. It's definitely _not_ "the same idea"
         | though.
        
       | zokier wrote:
       | > In other words, a century has either 3 155 673 600 seconds or 3
       | 155 760 000 seconds.
       | 
       | Obviously microcentury should be 3155695200 seconds
        
       | habibur wrote:
       | Relevant : 10/20/30 rule for Powerpoint presentation. Which says
       | to take only 20 minutes for your presentation.
       | 
       | https://www.pier8group.com/the-10-20-30-rule-of-powerpoint/
       | 
       | On youtube I find any video over 8 minutes as boringly long.
       | Needs skipped in the mid.
        
       | [deleted]
        
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