[HN Gopher] Two stories about tacit knowledge
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       Two stories about tacit knowledge
        
       Author : Wildgoose
       Score  : 65 points
       Date   : 2021-11-01 17:28 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.strangeloopcanon.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.strangeloopcanon.com)
        
       | kldavis4 wrote:
       | I am a big fan of Michael Polanyi's writings on tacit knowledge
       | and I was disappointed to find that the author completely misuses
       | the term.
       | 
       | Explicit knowledge can be codified and easily expressed. Tacit
       | knowledge is not codified and not easily expressed. Given the
       | details of story one (they went to a library and researched a
       | variety of topics), that seems to clearly be referring to
       | explicit knowledge. The second story is lacking crucial details
       | about why it took a decade and $70m to replicate the foam, but we
       | can assume that there was some reproducible process behind the
       | original foam that was lost and required a great deal of effort
       | to reproduce. Again, that would be explicit (not tacit)
       | knowledge. The only way that it would not be is if there were
       | individuals with a technique that was not codified and easily
       | expressed that the original foam depended upon.
        
         | didibus wrote:
         | Well said.
         | 
         | Another way to think about tacit knowledge:
         | Mit chell Jo         Jonathan Mitchell
         | 
         | Why do you know those refer to the same individual or at least
         | highly suspect they do?
         | 
         | Now you can begin to explain the rules and logic underpinning
         | that understanding, but for every explanation you give, a
         | counterexample can be shown where you'll go: Ah yes, but in
         | this case... And you'll add more and more rules, yet you'll
         | find that never do these rules and your own judgement are a 1:1
         | perfect match if you were to test them against yourself, you'll
         | keep finding cases where you concluded differently.
         | 
         | Thus what is this knowledge that you truly leverage to make the
         | decision? It seems that you cannot explain it fully, maybe your
         | explanation isn't even anywhere the true knowledge you
         | leverage, but only an approximation you made up when asked how?
         | That knowledge is thus tacit, because you cannot express it
         | fully to others, you won't be able to document it, or to
         | produce a computer algorithm for it, or to communicate it to
         | anyone else. It seems to become your expert intuition.
         | 
         | It turns out that Machine Learning has made some breakthrough
         | in that realm, in that the computer can similarly learn some
         | tacit understanding, though it may not be the same as yours, it
         | gets closer than what your rules expressed, and it too cannot
         | be explained back, why the computer comes to its decision is
         | also tacit.
        
         | pitspotter2 wrote:
         | I've read _The Tacit Dimension_ but I 'd be interested to know
         | what are your favourite Polanyi links or writings?
        
       | kragen wrote:
       | Freeman Dyson's autobiography tells how in 01956 he joined
       | General Atomics, a nuclear-reactor startup, and his small team
       | designed and built a new kind of nuclear reactor in two years,
       | the TRIGA; Teller was one of the team members. The prototype
       | operated for 39 years, 33 of them were manufactured, some are
       | still in operation, and none of them has ever had a nuclear
       | accident.
       | 
       | A few years after that, when Project Orion was canceled, he
       | stopped working on nuclear reactors. He said it just wasn't fun
       | anymore. And I imagine he's right; since about that time, working
       | on nuclear reactors enmeshes you in the national security state,
       | where promotion depends on political favor as much as technical
       | competence, and rank is measured by headcount and by project
       | classification level. There's a certain kind of person that's fun
       | for, but it's usually not the kind of person who spends his
       | Christmas vacation working problems from a calculus textbook.
       | It's not the kind of person who discovers a lot of new things.
       | Atomic Energy merit badges went out of style.
       | 
       | About 20 years later, at the end of the 01970s, the costs of
       | building new nuclear reactors started to skyrocket, which is
       | another way of saying that our productivity at building nuclear
       | reactors started to collapse.
       | 
       | I just read _Atlas Shrugged_ , which tells a story of a
       | technological society strangled by regulation, unpredictable
       | kleptocracy, and a brain drain ("draining the brains", the book
       | said, 6 years before the Royal Society coined the term "brain
       | drain"). This aspect of the book resonated with me, although many
       | others did not, perhaps in part because I live in Argentina,
       | whose technological development is strangled by regulation,
       | unpredictable kleptocracy, and a brain drain, though the brain
       | drain is to the US and Europe rather than to a secret conspiracy.
       | We had a famous fusion energy program, Project Huemul, which
       | turned out to be a scam.
       | 
       | I wonder if the same thing happened to nuclear engineering? Maybe
       | the potential Tellers and Freeman Dysons born in the 01960s and
       | later never got involved in nuclear physics, except for David
       | Hahn, who ended up with paranoid schizophrenia after his mother
       | committed suicide, and died at 39 of an overdose of opiates.
       | Maybe nuclear engineering had a brain drain to electrical
       | engineering, computer science, and related fields.
        
         | rackjack wrote:
         | _Atlas Shrugged_ actually being applicable to your situation is
         | interesting.
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | Not, I hasten to add, in numerous other ways. I only
           | mentioned the similarities.
        
         | roenxi wrote:
         | It is really noticeable in talk on solar prices that the
         | learning curve for nuclear tech is _negative_. Ie, nuclear
         | plants get more expensive as technology improves.
         | 
         | The odds of that being a natural effect are minuscule.
         | Something is strangling innovation and it is probably some
         | piece of regulation. It is a bit grim but I suppose we're
         | looking to places like India and China for the next big waves
         | of innovation in nuclear energy.
        
           | kragen wrote:
           | Other cases where this seems to have happened include
           | pacemakers; hearing aids; supersonic jets; ocean-liner trips;
           | small planes (e.g., Cessnas); mercury; chemistry sets; most
           | vacuum tubes; hovercraft; bubble memory (and more generally
           | SSDs that don't die from read disturb); Gyrojet guns; brass
           | vacuum fittings; ebonite; and old-growth lumber. If you limit
           | yourself to just US production, you can apparently add things
           | like microcontrollers; many kinds of machine tools;
           | ventilators; Nixie tubes; and N95 respirators.
           | 
           | I don't think it's grim at all that India and China are
           | having big waves of nuclear innovation, but I don't think
           | they stand much of a chance against solar except for niche
           | applications until there's a total manufacturing revolution.
        
       | koeng wrote:
       | Biohacking/biotech is an interesting example, since you can scale
       | down to individual biohackers or up to farms (in which those
       | farms very clearly have manufacturing/process that is hard to
       | replicate).
       | 
       | However, biology also has the ability to adapt to its
       | circumstances and replicate itself. Though that ability is
       | usually annoying, it just might enable manufacturing/scale up
       | that _is_ easy to copy, something that is fundamentally different
       | from all other kinds of high-tech manufacturing.
        
       | Nasrudith wrote:
       | The difference between the two tasks is "any solution" vs "a
       | specific fixed piece of a solution". It is kind of fundamental to
       | the physics. The second is a highly specific bit for a solution.
       | 
       | I wouldn't be surprised if the foam was made far harder to
       | reproduce by obstructionism of the actual warheads in question,
       | too because of the pathological secrecy in governments for
       | matters of far lesser stakes.
        
         | mikewarot wrote:
         | My understanding is that there were some impurities in the
         | original sources that made the stuff work. Purer ingredients
         | likely didn't react the same way.
         | 
         | The same behavior was noted when recreating the "spark of life"
         | experiments from the 1950s in non-borosilicate containers. It
         | turned out that the containers themselves played a role.
         | 
         | A similar situation occurs with sonoluminescence, where the
         | trace ingredients of air have to be dissolved in the water to
         | get it to work. (argon and co2)
        
       | rst wrote:
       | The two nuke stories aren't quite equivalent. The nuclear-naive
       | postdocs designed a Nagasaki-style fission weapon. The "Fogbank"
       | material that we forgot how to make is a component of fusion
       | bombs, which are widely reported to be generally a whole lot
       | trickier (you've got a small A-bomb which is supposed to light a
       | much larger fusion bomb -- and not just blow the pieces of it all
       | over creation.)
        
       | chairmanwow1 wrote:
       | I find this writing style really hard to follow.
        
         | gumby wrote:
         | What about it? Seemed pretty straightforward to me.
        
           | tonyarkles wrote:
           | This is possibly me projecting my own biases into the
           | author's writing, but the specific style of "some paragraphs
           | made up of only a single long sentence, some paragraphs made
           | up of a few small sentences" reminds me very much of the ADHD
           | folks I know and their writing style.
        
         | elliekelly wrote:
         | I think the two "stories" were edited down a bit too much and
         | are missing background information that isn't technically
         | relevant to the story but makes it difficult to follow because
         | we have no context.
         | 
         | Once I read the linked stories in points 1. and 2. at the top
         | the rest made a lot more sense. I don't think it's fair to
         | assume readers will click on links and read the linked material
         | in full though. Most readers don't even finish reading the
         | article they're currently reading!
        
         | kldavis4 wrote:
         | I agree. He seems to go off on tangents all over the place
         | without reaching clear conclusions about the original topic.
        
       | lisper wrote:
       | "Lawrence Radiation Laboratory hired three fresh PhDs with little
       | nuclear physics background and asked them to go build a nuke, and
       | they did."
       | 
       | No, they didn't. They _designed_ a nuke. Not the same as actually
       | building one. Designing a nuke is not at all difficult, and
       | indeed the linked article describes how they decided to design a
       | plutonium-based implosion device rather than a uranium-fueled
       | gun-type device specifically in order to make the project more
       | challenging than it otherwise would have been.
        
       | wombatmobile wrote:
       | > It's worthwhile noticing that this propensity to leap ahead,
       | self experiment and generally operate outside established
       | strictures has always been a key feature of science
       | 
       | . . . and art, business, sport, entertainment, politics....
       | 
       | Flocks of seagulls and pigeons do it too. A small percentage
       | feeds on the outside of the flock. Many go hungry. Some die. The
       | few that strike it rich through serendipity prosper. Some form
       | whole new flocks with their generations of offspring.
       | 
       | And so it goes.
        
       | blueyes wrote:
       | Based on the blog post, and without knowledge of the underlying
       | foam that they were trying to replicate, I would say that a
       | crucial distinction here is that the first team was asked to
       | create something new, which meant that many different inventions
       | achieved by different paths were enough to get the job done.
       | 
       | The second team was asked to produce a much more precisely
       | specified thing, which may only have been possible to make with
       | one process.
       | 
       | So the two teams had different tasks, and the difference is not
       | implicit vs process. It's many ways to many things, vs few ways
       | to one thing. The latter problem sounds much harder to me.
        
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       (page generated 2021-11-01 23:01 UTC)