[HN Gopher] Plans to shift aviation from magnetic navigation to ...
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       Plans to shift aviation from magnetic navigation to true navigation
        
       Author : tankenmate
       Score  : 250 points
       Date   : 2021-10-25 08:44 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.flightglobal.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.flightglobal.com)
        
       | defenestration wrote:
       | The article mentions that the magnetic field of the earth is
       | changing more rapidly. Why is that?
        
         | BurningFrog wrote:
         | No one knows. We just observe it happening.
        
         | phkahler wrote:
         | >> The article mentions that the magnetic field of the earth is
         | changing more rapidly. Why is that?
         | 
         | It is heading toward Russia. Putin is a super villain and he's
         | stealing the north pole.
        
         | tankenmate wrote:
         | It goes through cycles naturally and from time to time the
         | magnetic poles flip (it happens every few hundred thousand
         | years). The magnetic field is largely created by the movement
         | of molten iron and nickel in the earth's outer core. Wikipedia
         | has a pretty good article on it.[0]
         | 
         | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth's_magnetic_field
        
           | jcims wrote:
           | Whoa it looks like we're estimating it takes ~7000 years for
           | it to complete the flip.
           | 
           | https://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=100358
           | 
           | Biology appears to survive it but I'm curious what happens to
           | our digital ecosystem when we lose a portion of our
           | protection against charged particles.
        
       | tzs wrote:
       | OT: looking at the maps on FlightAware, Flightradar24, and
       | similar sites and seeing the vast number of planes crisscrossing
       | the US at any one time I wonder if it would be possible to do a
       | peer to peer navigation system?
       | 
       | A plane at 30k feet should have line of sight to any other plane
       | within about 200 miles, and even farther the higher up the other
       | plane is. If the other plane is at 30k feet, it should be in line
       | of sight at about 400 miles.
       | 
       | Have a way for planes to exchange information with other planes
       | that are in of sight about where they are heading and how
       | confident they are that they are on the right heading.
       | 
       | So let us say you've got a plane flying from Los Angeles to New
       | York. You see what other planes you can see. That should include
       | others that are going to New York but are ahead of yours. Find
       | out from those who confident they are that they are on course,
       | and use that to figure out a good course for you to follow and an
       | estimate of how confident you are in that course.
       | 
       | You in turn provide your course information to other planes
       | heading to New York that are behind you.
       | 
       | I think you could probably make a viable system with
       | omnidirectional transmitters on planes for broadcasting course
       | and confidence information, and directional receivers for
       | receiving those broadcasts.
       | 
       | I've sometimes wondered if some whales use a system like this. I
       | remember reading once about some species of whale (I totally have
       | forgotten which species and even where they lived) that had a
       | long annual migration. Researchers had attached GPS trackers to
       | several of the whales and recorded their routes.
       | 
       | The researchers were surprised by how direct the routes were. The
       | various ways they had hypothesized that the whales might navigate
       | would have enough uncertainty that they expect the routes to have
       | a lot more deviation from the direct route.
       | 
       | The number of whales they attached trackers to was only a small
       | fraction of the number of whales in the migration, and from what
       | I read the migration doesn't start all at once. As the weather
       | turns more and more whales start the migration.
       | 
       | Suppose the whales navigate like I suggested above for planes.
       | The whales that leave early or using the imprecise methods that
       | the researchers hypothesized. They go in the right general
       | direction using clues like sun position, but can get quite a ways
       | to the side of the straight route, such as when they lose sight
       | of the sun.
       | 
       | The whales that leave a little latter would do the same thing.
       | But the ones behind would also be able to hear the calls of the
       | ones ahead. If they can tell what direction those are coming
       | from, they can use that as a navigation input. If there are
       | several ahead going toward the average position of the leaders
       | should put the follows on a more direct route.
       | 
       | Even if there is only one ahead that you are following, as long
       | as that one is on average going in the right direction you should
       | end up on a more direct route. That's because if the leader is
       | drifting side to side and you are going toward them which causes
       | you to also drift side to side your drifts should have a smaller
       | amplitude.
       | 
       | Those farther back following you will have even smaller drifts.
       | The ones following your followers will be doing even better, and
       | so on.
       | 
       | If the whales the researchers attached trackers to where all far
       | enough back in the migration, the above mechanism might explain
       | what the researchers saw.
        
       | literallyaduck wrote:
       | I wonder if someone got intel that we are about to have a pole
       | reversal or it might stop working completely.
        
       | phkahler wrote:
       | Awe man, they just moved the runways at my local airport a couple
       | years ago to align with the newer magnetic north. It used to be
       | 18/36 and 9/27. After the move it's 1/19 and 10/28.
        
       | Grustaf wrote:
       | What is the advantage though? True North is of course easier to
       | understand and use when navigating manually, but what's the
       | benefit in a commercial airliner?
        
         | dan_hawkins wrote:
         | First Air Flight 6560 crash [0]
         | 
         | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Air_Flight_6560
        
         | redis_mlc wrote:
         | > What is the advantage though?
         | 
         | Canada needs to move off magnetic north because the magnetic
         | north pole is located in Canada, and it's changing rapidly.
         | 
         | But that doesn't apply to the US. Sounds like a terrible idea
         | for the training aircraft fleet to force them to buy INS
         | systems when they all have magnetic compasses.
        
         | KineticLensman wrote:
         | TFA doesn't precisely enumerate them but two I saw were:
         | 
         | * removes the ongoing process / cost of updating mag tracks as
         | the Earth's magnetic field shifts
         | 
         | * avoids errors that occur when the true/mag difference is
         | correctly specified
        
         | maxerickson wrote:
         | It removes the need to maintain the lookup tables that are used
         | to compute magnetic north from the true north determined by the
         | navigation system.
         | 
         | I don't know anything about them, but looking it up, apparently
         | inertial navigation systems can determine true north by sensing
         | the spin axis of the planet! So it isn't just a 'gps is easier'
         | kind of thing.
        
         | andylynch wrote:
         | There are two main ones 1. modern navigation systems often work
         | in true North already but have to map to magnetic for display &
         | to match charts. 2. magnetic north moves! This greatly
         | complicates how you deal with the first point.
         | 
         | I don't envy the Canadian pilots they were talking about who
         | tested some of this current stuff, and found their plane's idea
         | of the runway direction way very different from where it lay.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _What is the advantage_
         | 
         | From the article:
         | 
         | "The migration of the geographic magnetic poles has accelerated
         | in recent years, adding to the relentless task of updating
         | systems and distributing the associated flight information.
         | 
         | The AHRTAG points out that updating aircraft declination look-
         | up tables is a specialist and expensive maintenance activity
         | that has no effect on the way an aircraft derives its
         | directional information. It merely ensures the result is
         | displayed as a magnetic value that is normally less accurate
         | than the originally determined True heading.
         | 
         | And, if a future variation shift is sufficient to affect
         | airport assets - like runway and taxiway signage and markings,
         | plus instrument procedures, landing aids documentation, and FMS
         | coding - at a major hub, the cost can top $20-30 million."
         | 
         | https://www.flightglobal.com/flight-international/why-aviati...
        
           | Grustaf wrote:
           | That last paragraph makes sense, changing taxi markings etc
           | is inherently expensive. The lookup tables part is harder to
           | understand, but perhaps the airplane software is very badly
           | written.
        
         | rkangel wrote:
         | It's a fundamental principle thing, that has some knock-on
         | practical effects. Navigation is fundamentally getting from
         | point A to point B. To do that, you steer a course between the
         | two. Do you want to describe the angle of that course in
         | reference to
         | 
         | (a) A fixed line that never moves, such that the angle
         | ('bearing') of that course is always the same
         | 
         | (b) A line that moves around, seemingly randomly, particularly
         | if you are near one of the poles of our planet
         | 
         | Obviously from first principles, you'd pick the first. Due to
         | historical navigation technology it was more convenient to use
         | the second though. We had an instrument (magnetic compass) that
         | would directly give us reference for (b), and so we described
         | everything in those terms, and maintained tables of offsets so
         | that we could calculate (a).
         | 
         | Using (b) - magnetic North - causes some problems and because
         | very few aircraft, and no commercial ones, rely on magnetic
         | bearings as a primary source of navigation those problems are
         | not worth it. One of the problems comes when you start
         | labelling things that are fixed relative to (a), because
         | they're attached to the ground but you label them using (b).
         | After a few years the labelling is wrong and they need
         | relabelling. This requires everything from pointing of radio
         | beacons to repainting runways. It's all needed for effectively
         | historical reasons.
         | 
         | There are two Norths:
         | 
         | The one that points in a constant direction on the Earth's
         | surface. Getting from point A to point B on the Earth is
         | fundamentally what navigation is and so having a fixed
         | reference for that is good (modulo continental drift).
         | 
         | The direction that a magnetic compass points. This is at an
         | arbitrary _and changing_ offset to any direction on the Earth
         | 's surface.
         | 
         | Why
        
           | Grustaf wrote:
           | I'm aware of all this, it's the same in sailing and it's a
           | mess. But since aircraft are already set up to use magnetic
           | north, and are basically flying computers, it shouldn't
           | matter what crazy navigation scheme they are using.
           | 
           | But a sibling comment already pointed out, what you also
           | mention, that it also affects physical markings etc, and that
           | makes much more sense.
        
           | ryandrake wrote:
           | > (a) A fixed line that never moves, such that the angle
           | ('bearing') of that course is always the same
           | 
           | Just to nit-pick your otherwise great comment: This may be
           | true for short, general aviation navigation, but long haul
           | airliners typically navigate via great circle routes, which
           | do change true course throughout the route.
        
             | rkangel wrote:
             | Yes, there's lots of reasons why you don't fly in a
             | straight line from airfield A to airfield B. Whether that's
             | a great circle or just a multi segment line to avoid an
             | airspace restriction I suppose what I was really talking
             | about was "your bearing at any given moment on your
             | course".
        
           | flavius29663 wrote:
           | Now I get it, using the magnetic north is akin to the
           | daylight saving time kerfuffle, on steroids - you basically
           | have to account for variations even during the same flight if
           | you fly near the poles.
        
             | Grustaf wrote:
             | The magnetic north is even affected by local phenomena, at
             | least when you're on the ground, so it's worse than that.
        
       | pridkett wrote:
       | This is really fascinating, but probably something that is
       | needed. If nothing else it means airports will stop needing to
       | re-paint their runways periodically. Tampa had to repaint runways
       | in 2011, Stansted had to do it in 2009 and thinks they'll need to
       | do it again in 2055 [0].
       | 
       | Of course, to get there we'll have to repaint a lot of runways
       | and replace a lot of signage for runways that currently
       | correspond to magnetic north.
       | 
       | [0]: https://phys.org/news/2011-01-tampa-airport-runways-
       | renumber...
        
         | closewith wrote:
         | > If nothing else it means airports will stop needing to re-
         | paint their runways periodically.
         | 
         | Airports have to repaint their runways far more frequently than
         | the multi-decade timespan it takes to shift 10 degrees due to
         | wear-and-tear, weather, resurfacing, etc.
        
           | jgtrosh wrote:
           | I'd wager that maintenance repaint (in place) is less costly
           | than repainting at a different location, which requires
           | additional expertise
        
             | p_l wrote:
             | you do not repaint in different place, you change the
             | numbers at most, because unless you rebuild the runway
             | you're not going to change its axis to which paint marks
             | locations are referenced.
        
               | d1str0 wrote:
               | You can't just arbitrarily change numbers though. Lots of
               | documentation needs to be updated with a number change.
        
               | p_l wrote:
               | True. But I'd say not as much as people might think,
               | assuming (oops) that people check NOTAMs
        
           | UseStrict wrote:
           | It changes regularly, and by significant amounts. Magnetic
           | north can drift 45km to 55km per year, and in the article it
           | was talking about a major airport in Canada, the Calgary
           | airport, where even slightly out of date maps were off by as
           | much as 7deg. Source:
           | https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/tracking-changes-earth-
           | magnet...
           | 
           | Will it require repainting? Probably not, but the further
           | north you go, the more noticeable even minor drift or
           | fluctuations will be.
        
       | captainredbeard wrote:
       | Just more money for the avionics shops
        
       | kumarharsh wrote:
       | Kinda funny that the aviation industry cannot implement the more
       | accurate inertial navigation systems (INS) right now because:
       | 
       | "The biggest single problem in trying to implement this change
       | worldwide would be inertia"
       | 
       | XD
        
         | dogma1138 wrote:
         | Outside of military uses when GNSS can be jammed INS is
         | pointless when GNSS is available.
         | 
         | INS that is accurate is very expensive to build and maintain.
         | INS that isn't reliant on external inputs including from a
         | magnetic compass for calibration is even more so.
        
           | rjsw wrote:
           | Operation Black Buck [1] was done using INS [2] as GNSS was
           | not yet available.
           | 
           | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Black_Buck [2]
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delco_Carousel
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | And even top-grade military INS does external checkpoints
           | where possible (although it's probably pretty accurate in any
           | case).
        
             | mr_overalls wrote:
             | Not saying you're wrong, but. . . who actually knows what
             | actual top-grade INS is doing these days? Those kinds of
             | capabilities would probably be Top Secret or SCI.
        
           | cm2187 wrote:
           | The SR71 was using stars to navigate!
        
             | HPsquared wrote:
             | That worked in the SR71's case because, flying high as it
             | did, the sky above is black and you can see stars during
             | the day.
        
             | PaulHoule wrote:
             | They were teaching cadets at the Air Force Academy
             | celestial navigation in the 1980s.
             | 
             | This guy
             | 
             | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guy_Murchie
             | 
             | taught celestial navigation to navigators flying across the
             | Atlantic in WWII.
        
             | ampdepolymerase wrote:
             | You need clear view of the sky and big lenses (you can
             | always use more compact metamaterial lenses and infrared
             | imaging for cloudy days but they are as expensive if not
             | more than INS). Star charts also drift over the years and
             | you will have the same problem as magnetic true north where
             | the database needs to be updated regularly. Fine for
             | airliners, not so great for skyhawks.
        
               | adolph wrote:
               | _An automatic celestial navigation system for navigating
               | both night and day by observation of K-band or H-band
               | infrared light from multiple stars._
               | 
               | https://patents.google.com/patent/US7349803B2/en
               | 
               |  _In this celestial map, the bodies of the solar system
               | are placed so exactly that those versed in astronomy
               | could calculate the precession (progressively earlier
               | occurrence) of the Pole Star for approximately the next
               | 14,000 years. Conversely, future generations could look
               | upon this monument and determine, if no other means were
               | available, the exact date on which Hoover Dam was
               | dedicated._
               | 
               | https://www.usbr.gov/lc/hooverdam/history/essays/artwork.
               | htm...
        
               | JKCalhoun wrote:
               | I'm imagining a navigation system by trying to pattern-
               | match the earth terrain with a downward-facing camera
               | from the plane.
               | 
               | A suitably large database of satellite photos covering
               | various conditions, day, night might work for all cases
               | but cloudy (when the plane is above/in the clouds).
        
               | maxden wrote:
               | They've used that landing on Mars as well, Terrain
               | Relative Navigation.
        
               | fbanon wrote:
               | Already exists: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TERCOM
               | Since the 1950s!
        
               | JKCalhoun wrote:
               | Oh yeah, contour-matching. I remember this being touted
               | with regard to U.S. cruise missiles in the 80's, 90's.
               | 
               | Guess radar + countour is more reliable than camera +
               | imagery.
               | 
               | (I'll crawl back to the 1800's now.)
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | cm2187 wrote:
               | Yeah I guess that wouldn't work during takeoff and
               | landing. But for the most common airliners (a320 to a380
               | and boeing equivalent): are there clouds above their
               | cruising altitude? By day I presume you could use the
               | sun.
        
               | p_l wrote:
               | Some early jetliners had special cupola for star
               | navigation, but it soon fell out of use because NDB, VOR,
               | DME and other radio systems were easier and better.
        
             | adolph wrote:
             | Exactly what I was thinking about:
             | 
             | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-
             | zone/17207/sr-71s-r2-d2-cou...
             | 
             | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/41287/r2-d2-spotted-
             | on...
        
           | roenxi wrote:
           | If something unforeseen happens an the GNSS systems go down
           | for whatever reason we might be set up for a terrifying few
           | months of disruption. Coronavirus was bad enough, and most of
           | the disruptions were voluntary to some extent.
        
             | scoopertrooper wrote:
             | If all the various GNSS constellations went down
             | simultaneously we'd definitely be in the shit. Not just
             | because we lost GNSS, but we'd also probably be fighting a
             | war or Kessler syndrome would be in effect. Either way,
             | losing GNSS would be just one of many problems!
        
             | p_l wrote:
             | We still have VOR network and other legacy systems. Some
             | are no longer integrated into parts of the avionics but you
             | can still plan routes and use them to fly. Plus Primary
             | Surveillance Radar will see you anyway.
        
               | bronco21016 wrote:
               | I wonder how long it will take to get the VOR network
               | serviceable. Many of them are no longer maintained.
        
               | p_l wrote:
               | some dropped off maintenance, but not all. NDB is pretty
               | much dead outside of few rare spots, though, and not
               | everywhere had DME even at best time. But nav points used
               | with GPS still often are based on VOR locations.
        
         | p_l wrote:
         | INS that doesn't drift pretty much immediately is expensive and
         | needs periodic fixups, and the moment GPS became available it
         | pretty much dropped off anyones purchase plans (as it can't be
         | used as backup for GPS unlike VOR/DME)
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | I think they may have been joking since INS - is inertial
           | navigation.
        
           | uuidgen wrote:
           | While INS is not simple, it's also not that difficult to
           | implement. As even the cheapest drones that can hover show
           | new MEMS sensors are accurate enough to work with a proper
           | filtering.
           | 
           | I did some prototype INS system as my master's thesis 10
           | years ago, the code was quick and dirty and even then the
           | accuracy was like 30 meters after an hour of walking around
           | with the device.
        
             | p_l wrote:
             | Thing is, it has to work over atlantic/pacific/cross north
             | pole routes, etc. We're talking multiple hours and long
             | distance, possibly with a lot of turbulence (even for GA,
             | which actually gets less steady flight so...).
             | 
             | And then it needs to provide guarantees about said
             | navigation, guarantees that those drones _do not need_.
        
             | FabHK wrote:
             | That is surprising, you must have had an extremely accurate
             | accelerometer and gyro, or employed tricks [1]. There are
             | two problems with determining position from acceleration
             | measurements:
             | 
             | 1. You're integrating twice (acceleration to obtain
             | velocity, then velocity to obtain position). So if you have
             | any noise or error, you're integrating that, and integrate
             | that again. Hello, parabola.
             | 
             | 2. Gravity. It's strong. So you have to subtract it (as it
             | induces an apparent acceleration upwards).
             | 
             | If the difference between actual down and where your model
             | thinks is down is just a fraction of a degree, you'll be
             | totally off within minutes.
             | 
             | See eg here:
             | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7JQ7Rpwn2k&t=1401s
             | 
             | Or here: https://www.cl.cam.ac.uk//techreports/UCAM-CL-
             | TR-696.pdf
             | 
             | > As a concrete example consider a tilt error of just 0.05
             | [degrees]. This error will cause a component of the
             | acceleration due to gravity with magnitude 0.0086 m/s2 to
             | be projected onto the horizontal axes. This residual bias
             | causes an error in the horizontal position which grows
             | quadratically to 7.7 m after only 30 seconds [and thus to
             | 770 m after 5 minutes, unless I'm mistaken, and 110 km
             | after an hour]
             | 
             | Or here: https://liqul.github.io/blog/assets/rotation.pdf
             | (search for "Accuracy of Velocity and Position Estimates").
             | 
             | [1] such as assuming that your foot has velocity zero while
             | on the ground, which does not hold when you're in an
             | elevator, for example, and which you can't use in a drone
             | without some serious sensor fusion.
        
           | sheepybloke wrote:
           | This also depends on the plane. For larger commercial
           | applications, you need to have INS. You want to use a
           | combination of sources ideally, since INS is accurate for a
           | shorter period and GNSS/GPS for longer periods(often GPS/GNSS
           | is only updated every second). Plus a lot of newer units have
           | a much smaller drift. This FOG has a drift of 0.1 deg per
           | hour, which is quite good
           | (https://www.advancednavigation.com/solutions/spatial-fog-
           | dua...).
        
       | throw0101a wrote:
       | There are a lot of old Cessna-type planes out there in the US
       | (and to a certain extent Canada) that act as the backbone of the
       | pilot training pipeline: what will it take to update all of
       | those? (And a whole bunch are owned 'for fun'.)
       | 
       | I guess after people had to pay to meet the FAA's ADS-B mandate,
       | this is another equipment update that will need to dealt with.
        
         | sleepysysadmin wrote:
         | >I guess after people had to pay to meet the FAA's ADS-B
         | mandate, this is another equipment update that will need to
         | dealt with.
         | 
         | Have us Canucks even done ADS-B? The USA is way ahead of us on
         | that one.
        
           | _n_b_ wrote:
           | "Meanwhile, the ADS-B mandate in Canada has been under an
           | indefinite suspension since November 2019. It was originally
           | slated to begin in February 2021 but was placed on hold in
           | response to stakeholder feedback."
           | 
           | https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/business-
           | aviation/20...
        
             | sleepysysadmin wrote:
             | Thanks, couldn't find anything. I knew that happened years
             | ago and didn't hear much.
        
             | throw0101a wrote:
             | IIRC a major sticking point was "antenna diversity": in
             | addition to having something point down, Nav Canada wanted
             | antennas pointing up for space-based ADS-B (NavCanada was
             | an initial investor in Aireon).
             | 
             | But the extra antenna is still a bit pricey, but given
             | Canada's vastness, satellites were the only way to get good
             | overage outside of major urban areas.
             | 
             | NavCanada/Aireon would also be using 1090ES and not the UAT
             | that the US allows for lower-flying GA planes as well.
             | 
             | However, if you're near the US border, your transponder can
             | (IIRC) broadcast that you have an UAT receiver on-board
             | (even if you have an 1090 transmitter), and the FAA's gear
             | may send out UAT data (e.g., weather, UAT planes).
             | 
             | * https://skiesmag.com/features/diversity-matters-canadas-
             | perf...
        
         | ChicagoBoy11 wrote:
         | A lot of those are also being retrofitted with newer gauges...
         | Garmin has a whole series of products that is basically "take
         | your six-pack and make it digital!" sort of stuff. I think your
         | ADS-B analogy is spot on -- I'd imagine this go somewhere in
         | the same way as that.
        
         | bencoder wrote:
         | The direction indicator is gyro based rather than magnetic so
         | for most GA it would probably be enough to just learn the
         | offset for the area you are flying and add that when you
         | set/check the DI.
         | 
         | For VFR flying it hardly matters anyway
        
           | lxgr wrote:
           | The direction indicator is not a gyrocompass, though - it
           | will eventually drift unless it's periodically adjusted.
        
             | bencoder wrote:
             | Sure but in small GA planes you're not likely to be
             | travelling so far that the magnetic declination is
             | significantly different so just keep it in mind each time
             | you reset the DI. Or if you are travelling long distance
             | you could make a note of it along your planned route, or
             | your GPS app could let you know.
             | 
             | My point was that this shouldn't require any instrument
             | upgrades to the GA fleet
        
         | perilunar wrote:
         | > this is another equipment update that will need to dealt
         | with.
         | 
         | Even in planes with only 'steam' gauges the changes are minor
         | -- you won't need any new equipment.
         | 
         | Currently: direction indicator is set to magnetic. When
         | planning a flight you take true headings from charts and have
         | to convert them all to magnetic. You then fly magnetic
         | headings.
         | 
         | After the changeover: direction indicator is set to true. No
         | need to convert headings when planning a flight. You fly true
         | headings, and the only conversion you need to make is when
         | setting the DI from the compass.
         | 
         | (If you don't have a DI you can still pre-convert all your
         | headings to magnetic and fly those. You'll need to mentally
         | convert runways headings etc. though.)
        
           | barbazoo wrote:
           | It drifts considerably over time so you'd have to set it to
           | true periodically which on the ground during start up is fine
           | but not in the air, having to determine magnetic variation at
           | your current location.
        
             | jcrawfordor wrote:
             | magnetic variation doesn't change all that quickly at 100
             | knots, and charts provide the variation. I don't really see
             | it being a much bigger workload, and I imagine that if this
             | change does occur chart plotters like Foreflight will start
             | displaying the current variation very prominently for
             | convenience (it's already pretty easy to pull up). I can
             | also imagine people starting to sell retrofit bug rings for
             | heading indicators that let you set the variation in for
             | convenient setting.
             | 
             | But in general most pilots of slow aircraft probably
             | already know the approx. variation around their area by
             | memory, most pilots of fast aircraft will have instruments
             | that do it for them.
        
         | NikolaNovak wrote:
         | I don't have a pilot license, but from what I recall of limited
         | training, don't you do most of your training based on Heading
         | Indicator? You adjust it at beginning, which can easily be
         | switched to whatever heading/offset of the runway is (true or
         | magnetic); then reset it to compass as needed on level flight -
         | which is rare during short training flights, and could be
         | adjusted to appropriate offset.
         | 
         | So I don't think _training_ itself will be a problem.
         | 
         | Once you have actual flights in those aircraft though, I
         | imagine it'll be a bigger kerfuffle for pilots.
        
           | p_l wrote:
           | a lot of smaller planes have only magnetic compass, no gyro-
           | based heading indicator
        
             | RNCTX wrote:
             | Not true, even the lowly rental C172 with 3 shades of paint
             | and carpet at any raggedy flight school will have a gyro
             | based indicator.
             | 
             | Magnetic course calculation is only taught at the initial
             | license level and to instructors. Anyone else is flying by
             | GPS or radio-based nav.
        
               | NovemberWhiskey wrote:
               | OK but the vacuum gyro in said raggedy-ass 172 needs
               | setting against something as part of the checklist (and
               | quite possibly in flight), which today is the magnetic
               | compass.
        
               | RNCTX wrote:
               | Yeah, but this is really only applicable to VFR-only
               | airplanes (mostly trainers). I doubt there are many
               | people really traveling in airplanes without any sort of
               | precision nav equipment.
               | 
               | Practically, it doesn't matter which direction the gyro
               | points as long as you are receiving a VOR signal or GPS
               | signal on a VFR flight.
               | 
               | And yeah, a _lot_ in flight. By definition those gyros
               | are gonna be old, and they cost more to overhaul than
               | they 're worth so people who are too cheap to go buy an
               | electronic replacement replace used for used off of eBay
               | or the local radio shop's junk shelf. They're not gonna
               | be reliable, at all.
               | 
               | But, for VFR purposes it doesn't matter and for IFR
               | purposes you shouldn't be flying such an airplane with
               | such equipment IFR anyway, so...
        
               | FabHK wrote:
               | Right. And then you'd have to apply a correction (which
               | might change a tiny bit over several hundreds of miles
               | flown, or over the years).
               | 
               | But no need to change anything in the aircraft, as far as
               | I can tell. Just planning and procedures.
        
               | p_l wrote:
               | Great, C172 counts as "more expensive" option here,
               | training will go on raggedy ass C150 recovered from a
               | crash, be happy if you get turn indicator.
        
               | 535188B17C93743 wrote:
               | They just said "a lot of". There are a lot of pre-1950
               | planes out there flying without a 6 pack to be heard of.
               | Good ole stick and rudder flying. No gyro instruments
               | needed... just altimeter, airspeed, tach, fuel, and the
               | horizon.
        
               | adolph wrote:
               | NBC: Harrison Ford Lands On Taxiway
               | 
               | https://www.avweb.com/news/nbc-harrison-ford-lands-on-
               | taxiwa...
        
             | repiret wrote:
             | While it's legal under part 91 to have only a magnetic
             | compass, a vaccine powered gyro DI (or solid state
             | equivalent) can be found in the majority of the GA fleet.
             | The aircraft without a DI are typically ones with bush
             | flying or acrobatic missions, where pilots don't spend much
             | time looking at their instruments for navigation anyway.
        
               | jsight wrote:
               | It took me a while to realize that you meant vacuum
               | powered. :)
        
               | AdamN wrote:
               | Q up there made a Freudian slip :-)
        
               | AdrianB1 wrote:
               | In my country (Romania) all of the small planes I flied
               | (about a dozen) had just 2 or 3 magnetic compasses. These
               | planes are allowed to fly only on visual orientation
               | conditions (weird local laws), so navigation is not a
               | real concern.
        
               | p_l wrote:
               | I think any requirement to have gyroscope-based
               | instruments only comes in with IFR (at the very least you
               | need turn indicator due to lack of horizon reference).
               | 
               | It's not any weird local laws, it's common aviation laws
               | :) though navigation is a big thing even in VFR ;)
        
         | endymi0n wrote:
         | ...a Raspberry PI, some COTS sensors, a USB power bank and an
         | old iPad:
         | 
         | http://stratux.me/
         | 
         | (or: less than the cost of a usual 100h overhaul ;-)
         | 
         | source: PPL applicant and fellow hacker
        
           | mysterydip wrote:
           | Doesn't that need to be FAA certified to be relied upon in an
           | aircraft? That's generally what adds all the expense between
           | "homebrew" and "commercial", isn't it?
        
             | rlpb wrote:
             | It's classed as "pilot carry-on" equipment and doesn't need
             | to be certified. Only stuff permanently installed gets that
             | treatment.
             | 
             | Just as I don't have to have my pen and pad (or indeed my
             | iPad) certified either :)
        
               | Scoundreller wrote:
               | I wonder how many aviate with a big-ass "portable"
               | lithium ion battery to power it all instead of paying
               | $100 for a flight-certified cigarette lighter receptacle:
               | 
               | https://www.aircraftspruce.com/catalog/elpages/cigrecept.
               | php
        
               | btgeekboy wrote:
               | I have a pair of 13aH Anker batteries I use, rather than
               | dealing with the lighter plug. The electrical isolation
               | is a feature.
        
             | repiret wrote:
             | It needs to be certified to be permanently installed in a
             | non-experimental aircraft, or to be relied upon for IFR
             | use, but for VFR use powered from a cigarette lighter and
             | suction cuped to the window, you can do whatever you want.
        
           | ubermonkey wrote:
           | uh, no.
           | 
           | Homebrew hacking is one thing on your dining room table, or
           | for basic home automation, or whatever.
           | 
           | Homebrew hacking in an airplane sounds like an awful idea.
        
             | rrss wrote:
             | why?
        
               | adgjlsfhk1 wrote:
               | homebrew solutions generally don't have the excessive
               | redundancy that keeps planes from crashing.
        
               | samus wrote:
               | Not all systems are safety-critical though. Most hackers
               | probably wouldn't mess with control surfaces, engine
               | control, and instruments, and would err on the side of
               | safety too. But planes don't immediately drop from the
               | sky just because their radio is off or their navigation
               | systems have a hickup.
        
               | bityard wrote:
               | You mainly see "excessive redundancy" in larger cargo,
               | passenger, and military aircraft. Small general aviation
               | airplanes don't have as many redundant systems as you'd
               | think. There is neither the space or weight budget. For
               | safety, they mainly rely on well engineered systems,
               | frequent inspections, required maintenance and updates,
               | and failsafe design, such as the ability to pilot the
               | plane as a glider if the engine cuts out.
        
             | bityard wrote:
             | Uh, yes.
             | 
             | There is a whole aviation subculture of experimental
             | aircraft designers, builders, and hobbyist engineers. There
             | are limitations of course (mostly to do with passenger
             | safety) but the FAA grants a surprising amount of leeway
             | once an aircraft is granted the "experimental" label.
        
             | zajio1am wrote:
             | Homebrew hacking of ultralight airplanes (including
             | homebuilt planes) is common here in Czechia, legislation is
             | much less restrictive than for homebrew hacking of cars.
        
             | krisoft wrote:
             | > Homebrew hacking in an airplane sounds like an awful
             | idea.
             | 
             | These are not for commercial aviation. The only area where
             | homebrew can "fly" is experimental airplanes. And in that
             | application it kinda makes sense. Many of those airplanes
             | were made in someones garage themselves, so why stop there
             | and why not make the instruments yourself too?
        
       | AdrianB1 wrote:
       | As a GA pilot, one of the complications of the navigation exams
       | for small planes was navigation and calculation of magnetic
       | versus true and the entire range of derivations. It was mostly
       | useless because of the local legislation demand to fly only in
       | visual conditions (IFR not allowed for small planes), but it made
       | the exams unnecessarily harder. The ever worse part was the
       | demand to be able to calculate a flight path to something like
       | New York, where Earth curvature matters, for planes that cannot
       | fly more than 1000km at low altitude and speed, so they are never
       | allowed to fly over the ocean or on distances big enough to have
       | a significant difference between a straight line on the map and
       | the shortest route. I am happy to see at least one of these going
       | away, even in 9 years.
        
       | aj7 wrote:
       | Bad idea. Wouldn't want to be flying over water in Asia when
       | China decides to invade Taiwan with just GPS.
        
       | MayeulC wrote:
       | I have some training as a VFR pilot (for ultralight aircraft). I
       | was under the impression that true north was always used
       | everywhere (maps mainly), and adjusted with the local (and
       | current) magnetic deviation when preparing the flight plan, to be
       | able to take accurate bearings.
       | 
       | Using magnetic north in maps and databases seems... misguided.
       | Not updating instruments with the latest value too, although it
       | must be a lot more complex to do so over long flights, with non-
       | negligible deviation changes.
       | 
       | Don't lose your bearings! I can imagine it's easy to rely too
       | much on instruments when they're available.
        
       | ls65536 wrote:
       | Related to this topic, here's an interesting NOAA site with more
       | details about Earth's magnetic declination and containing lots of
       | data about how it changes spatially and temporally:
       | https://ngdc.noaa.gov/geomag/declination.shtml
       | 
       | They even have detailed data for predictions about how it is
       | likely to change in the coming years (presently up until the year
       | 2025).
        
         | AshamedCaptain wrote:
         | > They even have detailed data for predictions about how it is
         | likely to change in the coming years (presently up until the
         | year 2025).
         | 
         | They have been publishing the models in 5-year packages for as
         | long as I can remember (e.g. previous one was 2015-2020 model,
         | and so forth). I still have 30 year old devices/PDAs/GPSs that
         | see firmware updates just for the magnetic declination models.
         | 
         | Curious how they do it these days, since all these devices with
         | a compass need these up-to-date models. Likely they just phone
         | home every time. :(
        
           | ls65536 wrote:
           | It probably depends on the specific application, but I would
           | imagine the models/data that various devices in the field are
           | using are probably updated as part of some periodic
           | maintenance schedule. They don't change significantly enough
           | or quickly enough to demand online updates that frequently,
           | but I suppose every device manufacturer/maintainer has their
           | own way of doing it for whatever reasons they might have.
           | 
           | In my own work, I've downloaded the dataset from NOAA and
           | their tools to parse and work with this data to generate my
           | own global 1-degree by 1-degree by 1-year "grid" for magnetic
           | declination [0], along with some code [1] to read this data
           | and be able to give you an estimated value for magnetic
           | declination for any position on the globe for any time
           | instant between 2020 and 2025. Before 2025, I will probably
           | need to download the new data, run the tools again, and
           | update my own dataset (to include values for 2025-2030 or
           | whatever the case may be), but this will definitely be a
           | manual process.
           | 
           | [0] https://github.com/ls4096/sailnavsim-
           | core/blob/master/compas...
           | 
           | [1] https://github.com/ls4096/libproteus/blob/v0.6.2/include/
           | pro...
        
       | temptemptemp111 wrote:
       | Wouldn't want more people realizing the nature of the earth!
        
       | maxcan wrote:
       | Its kind of funny. In our initial training the FAA requires that
       | instructors really drill it into our heads when we using magnetic
       | vs true numbers then as soon as you pass your first check ride
       | you basically never think about it again.
       | 
       | I've been flying since 2013 with almost 500 hours at this point.
       | I could make some educated guesses about where we use true vs
       | magnetic, but aside from runway designations couldn't tell you
       | much for certain.
       | 
       | Its never come up in my flying.
        
         | ah88 wrote:
         | CFI here. It's not a big deal in most of the country but the
         | Pacific Northwest does have variation of about 20 degrees. It
         | can make a difference when calculating takeoff and landing data
         | as winds are true but runways are magnetic.
        
           | bronco21016 wrote:
           | I think it's important to point out the nuance. Observational
           | winds (eg METAR) are recorded in true. Reported winds (ATIS,
           | ASOS, AWOS) are given in magnetic. [1]
           | 
           | The adage goes "If you read it, it's true. If you heard it,
           | it's magnetic."
           | 
           | [1]
           | https://www.faa.gov/documentLibrary/media/Order/7900_5D.pdf
           | Chapter 7.4
        
             | barbazoo wrote:
             | What if you read the ATIS though? /s
        
               | maxcan wrote:
               | one of my favorite apocryphal exchanges:
               | 
               | airplane inbound to land: "KXYZ tower, N12345 at 3000'
               | tower: "N12345, KXYZ tower, confirm you have Romeo"
               | airplane: "KXYZ tower, N12345 has Romeo" tower: "N12345,
               | fine, but bravo is current, recommend you recheck atis"
        
               | bronco21016 wrote:
               | Oh you must have meant KDTW.
        
           | sheepybloke wrote:
           | When I was working on FMS, that's what we used to test our
           | true north to mag conversions. Just fly across the Pacific
           | Northwest and toggle the switch to verify that everything
           | looks good.
        
       | euroderf wrote:
       | GPS goes down or is spoofed or blocked, a solar storm hits,
       | software bugs & crashes, how many RISKS to the public ?
        
         | wwn_se wrote:
         | GPS is not involved in this change really. Solar storms affect
         | the magnetic field of earth to. Magnetic north is just a sensor
         | going through software like everything else. Less risk... not
         | more.
        
           | rob74 wrote:
           | Er... I get it that it's about changing the "reference
           | system" and not primarily about GPS. But the difference
           | between "magnetic North" and "true North" depends on your
           | position, and how are you going to get your position if not
           | using GPS?
        
             | jcrawfordor wrote:
             | Using a wide variety of "traditional" techniques that range
             | from dead reckoning (or "pilotage" which is dead reckoning
             | corrected by landmarks) to politely asking a controller if
             | they have you on radar. Airplanes operated under
             | challenging conditions without falling out of the sky for a
             | long time before GPS became a ubiquitous flight instrument
             | (pretty recently, really).
        
           | chrisseaton wrote:
           | > GPS is not involved in this change really.
           | 
           | How do you determine true north without a GPS system?
        
             | lisper wrote:
             | How do you determine true north _with_ a GPS system? GPS
             | only gives you your position, not your orientation.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | > How do you determine true north with a GPS system?
               | def true_bearing(magnetic_bearing, location)
               | magnetic_bearing + gma(location)       end
               | 
               | And that's the point - your true bearing is a function of
               | your location.
        
               | lisper wrote:
               | Ah. Right. Duh. (I must be having an even worse day than
               | I thought.)
        
             | lxgr wrote:
             | Wouldn't it be possible to broadcast local magnetic
             | declination over ATIS or other automated broadcast systems?
             | 
             | As far as I know (and according to the article), modern
             | navigation systems contain databases of the local magnetic
             | declination anyway; instead of updating maps and
             | navigational databases, we could just update these
             | declination database instead every once in a while if I
             | understand it correctly.
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | How do you apply these things without knowing where you
               | are?
               | 
               | True/magnetic deviation is localised. You need to know
               | where you are to know what the localised value is.
        
               | lxgr wrote:
               | Wouldn't a very rough location suffice, i.e. something
               | that could be either manually set (for general aviation
               | and shorter distances), derived from a VOR station
               | identifier or similar, or just estimated via dead
               | reckoning/an INS?
               | 
               | In other words, if you don't even have a rough idea of
               | where you are, what good will a magnetic heading do?
        
               | chrisseaton wrote:
               | Rough yeah - but I think it does change by integer
               | degrees from actual map sheet to map sheet, so you could
               | probably drift a couple of degrees without knowing it
               | within an hour or so of flying.
        
         | Ekaros wrote:
         | Magnetic declination and deviation are already trained concepts
         | in nautical navigation. Don't see why they couldn't be used
         | with aeroplanes as well. Bit more calculating, but not really
         | very big deal.
        
           | NovemberWhiskey wrote:
           | They already are; every private pilot is trained on magnetic
           | variation and deviation as well as magnetic dip (turning) and
           | acceleration errors.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _GPS goes down or is spoofed or blocked, a solar storm hits,
         | software bugs & crashes, how many RISKS to the public_
         | 
         | None. The second sentence in the article:
         | 
         | "...navigation by global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) -
         | backed up by ring laser gyro-stabilised INS/attitude and
         | heading reference system platforms, radio beacons and air
         | traffic control surveillance using multiple technologies."
         | 
         | https://www.flightglobal.com/flight-international/why-aviati...
        
         | ah88 wrote:
         | The FAA is also maintaining a core set of ground navigational
         | based stations (VOR) in case of GPS failures. It's the COBOL of
         | the aviation industry :) There are occasionally parts of the
         | sky that have GPS outages due to military activity anyway.
        
       | dosman33 wrote:
       | With how much the military has been practicing for situations
       | where GNSS will be jammed in the past few years it seems...
       | overly optimistic to coerce the entire industry to ditch the
       | magnetic compass at this point.
       | 
       | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/17987/usaf-is-jamming-...
       | 
       | https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/15194/russia-jammed-ph...
       | 
       | FAA issued NOTAMs (Notices To Airmen) reveal a lot of deliberate
       | GNSS jamming across the US around military bases, it's not just
       | limited to the Nelis area:
       | https://notaminfo.com/explain?id=1630592
       | 
       | Also Russia enjoys just messing with GPS to annoy NATO exercises,
       | so you never know when you might fly through an area of active
       | GNSS denial: https://www.ofcom.org.uk/spectrum/information/gps-
       | jamming-ex...
        
         | peytoncasper wrote:
         | I mean the article mentions that GA (General Aviation) has
         | pretty much adopted GNSS at this point. And its likely that
         | airliners can afford the cost of INS as a backup system along
         | with the other backup mechanisms mentioned in the article.
         | 
         | "Today, however, navigation by global navigation satellite
         | systems (GNSS) - backed up by ring laser gyro-stabilised
         | INS/attitude and heading reference system platforms, radio
         | beacons and air traffic control surveillance using multiple
         | technologies - means that aviation has no real need to use a
         | magnetic reference."
         | 
         | Lastly, I would imagine the inclusion of AHRS systems as backup
         | still supports a mission critical VFR/IFR type of flight.
         | 
         | In the event of GPS jamming, I doubt non-critical operations
         | would operate given the heightened risks.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | alfalfasprout wrote:
         | I doubt we'll lose the magnetic compass tbh... but the idea is
         | that we would use true north for everything. If you needed to
         | use your magnetic compass because your GPS is INOP you'd just
         | apply the appropriate declination + compass card correction
         | then.
         | 
         | In practice, most GA pilots have at least a VFR GPS on the
         | plane and the majority fly with iPads w/ Foreflight now. You
         | put one of those window-mounted ADS-B receivers and you even
         | get traffic alerts and <1m accuracy. For IFR, pretty much all
         | approaches are VNAV and use GPS now anyways.
        
           | BoiledCabbage wrote:
           | And how much do they change while flying from LA to NYC? Or
           | on medium distance trips? Or out over one of the owns.
           | 
           | Having to recalibrate continuously during a flight seems very
           | counterproductive. Especially if you drift off course and so
           | can't recalibrate accurately.
        
             | jcrawfordor wrote:
             | The HI needs to be adjusted continuously during flight
             | (every 15 minutes is a rule of thumb but more if
             | maneuvering) anyway. Having to factor in the variation when
             | doing so doesn't seem like a significant increase in
             | workload, and the industry will quickly start producing
             | aids to doing so.
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | AdamN wrote:
             | I think they're saying in the extreme event of needing to
             | do declination manually you are safe and can navigate and
             | land the plane, not that it would be a normal occurrence.
             | The default would be using true North and all the modern
             | navigation equipment.
        
             | sokoloff wrote:
             | On an LAX to JFK trip, magnetic variation changes from 12E
             | to 13W, or about 1o per 100 miles. In a case of falling
             | back to magnetic navigation from a GPS/INS failure, this
             | would represent an insignificant increase in workload (on
             | that trip; around the magnetic poles, it's higher workload,
             | but it's already higher workload to do magnetic navigation
             | very near the poles).
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | willis936 wrote:
         | Magnetic variation can be pretty dramatic, especially at
         | latitudes past the tropics. It's reasonable to use a
         | combination of magnetic compass with dead reckoning.
        
           | lazide wrote:
           | And ever changing - drift is quite visible over a decade or
           | so, and using old maps can cause real problems if you're only
           | using magnetic when you get even as far north as Seattle.
        
             | ls65536 wrote:
             | And this is why when doing any sort of navigation activity
             | you should always check the publish dates on your
             | maps/charts and act accordingly!
        
               | BayAreaEscapee wrote:
               | My uncle was a private pilot. He used to take me flying
               | from time to time.
               | 
               | I remember him saying that it's legal to fly _without_ a
               | map, but it 's not legal to fly with an outdated map. If
               | you have a map, it must be up-to-date.
        
               | mordechai9000 wrote:
               | Don't some maps actually show the current rate of change?
               | I seem to remember some of the USGS maps I purchased
               | showed this.
        
               | ls65536 wrote:
               | You're right that they do often show the local magnetic
               | declination's rate of change (around the time of
               | publishing), but even that goes out of date eventually.
               | For relatively short periods (maybe on the order of years
               | or possibly even a decade or two, depending on the
               | particular location), applying this rate of change may
               | give a good approximation of the present day's magnetic
               | declination value, but beyond that the errors can become
               | unacceptably large.
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | shadowgovt wrote:
         | As context: aviators have at least five references that (in
         | reasonably-populated and infrastructure-supported areas) they
         | can usually use:
         | 
         | * GNSS
         | 
         | * compass
         | 
         | * VOR (ground radio beacons emitting a patterned signal to
         | point to where the beacon is)
         | 
         | * Visual landmarks
         | 
         | * Asking air traffic control where radar spots them to be
         | 
         | The meat of this planned change, IIUC, is that maps that have
         | to change to account for shifts in magnetic north over time
         | will now be static, and instead additional offsets to correct
         | the true north / magnetic north error will need to be factored
         | in when an aviator uses one of their five common navigational
         | aids. This seems like a reasonable place to put the costs.
        
           | Scoundreller wrote:
           | Not just maps, but also runway number repainting and all
           | associated documentation.
        
           | vwcx wrote:
           | Flying as a GA pilot in Montana, I can't rely on VOR for two
           | reasons: signal interference from terrain and the fact that
           | the FAA is actively decommissioning the VOR system. I can't
           | rely on ATC radar because of terrain, either.
        
           | ryandrake wrote:
           | Don't forget (if you're VFR): Your eyeballs looking out the
           | window. My instructor would pull the circuit breaker on the
           | GPS if I looked at it too often, to encourage me to always be
           | actually looking outside of the aircraft for ground reference
           | points and point them out on the paper chart.
        
           | jillesvangurp wrote:
           | NDB (non directional beacon) is also still in use in quite a
           | few places. With two beacons in reach and a bit of math, you
           | can cross reference your position.
        
       | FabHK wrote:
       | While you're at it, please shift to metric! Feet for altitude,
       | nautical miles for distance, statute miles for visibility, metres
       | for runway visual range (most often)...
       | 
       | Take a plane that has a glide ratio of 1:10, say. It's 1 km high.
       | How far can it glide? 10 km.
       | 
       | Now it's 3000 ft high. How far can it glide, in nautical miles?
        
       | joncrane wrote:
       | Neat article, but I have a question that's kind of a tangent:
       | what are those rose-colored lenses that the pilots have flipped
       | down to look through the windshield of the plane in the picture?
        
         | BrentOzar wrote:
         | A heads-up display: https://www.flyingmag.com/how-it-works-
         | head-up-display/
        
         | this_is_not_you wrote:
         | My first guess would be heads-up displays. On photos they
         | always appear blank.
        
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       (page generated 2021-10-26 23:01 UTC)