[HN Gopher] Percentage of Hacker News job postings that mention ...
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       Percentage of Hacker News job postings that mention a remote option
       2017-2021
        
       Author : rinze
       Score  : 137 points
       Date   : 2021-10-24 15:02 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (rinzewind.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (rinzewind.org)
        
       | zsmi wrote:
       | You can find the source that generated the graph here:
       | https://github.com/rinze/hn_remote/blob/main/hn_remote_main....
       | 
       | I didn't go through the raw dataset (which is generated by this
       | query, https://news.ycombinator.com/submitted?id=whoishiring) but
       | two obvious issues with the count are, it didn't filter out
       | duplicates and it's just grep'ing the post for the word remote.
       | So for example, "remote work not allowed," counts as a posting
       | for remote work.
       | 
       | I have no doubt the demand for remote work is up but I am not
       | sure this count accurately measures by how much, even for just
       | hacker news postings.
        
         | pzo wrote:
         | On top of that 'remote' has many different meaning these days
         | e.g:
         | 
         | a) remote allowed but you have to be in the same city just in
         | case we need you in office
         | 
         | b) remote allowed but we need you at least 1 day in office
         | 
         | c) remote allowed but you have to be in our country
         | 
         | d) remote allowed but from time to time maybe you will need to
         | be/fly to our office
         | 
         | e) remote allowed for the time being but at one point after
         | it's safe we need you in the office
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | mrfusion wrote:
       | I'm surprised it was up to 20% before.
        
       | hammock wrote:
       | What is driving this trend?
        
         | ResearchCode wrote:
         | Companies made a concession to workers through Force majeure
         | and workers realized office work is miserable and unproductive.
         | Micro-managers try to herd the cattle back into offices but
         | with mixed success.
        
       | version_five wrote:
       | Remote options are increasing, but I bet so is the use of
       | "remote" as a promotional tool in job ads, where technically it's
       | on the books but so infeasible as to be irrelevant when you look
       | at how the job has to be performed (e.g. on site at clients or
       | must be available for regular travel to city x)
        
         | oceanplexian wrote:
         | I think this is true, but in my experience almost every place I
         | worked at, even those that didn't advertise being "Remote" had
         | pretty flexible policies on remote work for engineers, at least
         | in my anecdotal experience in San Francisco. 90% of the time if
         | I asked my manager to take a week and work remotely from X
         | location the response was "Cool, whatever". It was always an
         | option but now they are advertising it as a perk. Especially
         | the ads that say you can work one or two days from home per
         | week, which is kind of ridiculous because everyone was already
         | doing that anyway.
        
         | a_imho wrote:
         | This is my experience as well. Also the majority of 'remote'
         | ads are only considering the US really, which is pretty
         | tiresome to shift through. Then there are the ads where in
         | theory it is possible to hire someone remotely but they would
         | rather have someone from nearby (I totally get this sentiment,
         | but there should be a more useful term for this instead of
         | remote), and last but not least the remote-as-in-cost-cutting
         | (contractors, outsourcing) where the final offer will be
         | considered not on the skills or value add you would bring to
         | the table, but rather where on the map you are located at.
         | There are still only a handful of companies looking for remote
         | employees.
         | 
         | tldr; the revolution is still a bit further down the road
        
           | ghaff wrote:
           | >a more useful term for this instead of remote
           | 
           | Flex or hybrid seems to be most common. So can work from home
           | some days but will come into the office, possibly on a
           | schedule, on a fairly regular basis. (With the implication
           | you need to be within some semblance of commuting distance.)
           | 
           | Nothing wrong with that of course. Flexibility is good but it
           | obviously has constraints that full remote doesn't.
        
             | skeeter2020 wrote:
             | That's not what the GP is saying though; the employer is
             | not offering a mix (which as what my team almost
             | universally wants) but "we want someone local but will
             | consider remote as a second-place option". The later is the
             | worst scenario for remote as it says there are two classes
             | of employees: co-located, then remote. In this case, RUN!
        
       | wakamoleguy wrote:
       | Since the Y axis only goes to 80%, the chart appears at first to
       | have a bigger absolute jump than it actually does. For example,
       | it makes it harder to tell at a glance that there are about as
       | many (percentage-wise) remote-not-ok postings now as there were
       | remote-ok postings several years ago.
       | 
       | The actual change _is_ amazing, though! It wouldn 't be possible
       | to tell from the posts themselves, but I wonder how many of these
       | roles are actually filled with remote workers. Do you think
       | employers in that middle 60% seriously consider remote
       | candidates, or are they just including it to fit in? Or perhaps
       | the move towards remote work has led to more postings overall.
       | 
       | Over time, I'm curious if we'll see statistics on tenure and
       | engagement across remote and in-person employees. Are there
       | similar examples from history where multiple small talent pools
       | were (relatively suddenly) merged together into one big market?
        
       | bgro wrote:
       | "This is a remote position. You will be working remotely from
       | your home, at our office."
        
       | yosito wrote:
       | It's interesting to me that, according to the 80-20 rule, the
       | number of jobs mentioning remote went from "basically none" to
       | "basically everything".
        
       | jpgvm wrote:
       | Having worked primarily remote for the last 10 years I welcome
       | this change in general but also somewhat lament the loss of the
       | old status quo.
       | 
       | It's great because now many others that weren't as fortunate as
       | me are now able to experience something I have had for a long
       | time, many of my friends and family are enjoying new freedoms and
       | greater amounts of personal time because commutes have been
       | eliminated etc.
       | 
       | The downside (however minor) is I can't easily use this as the
       | same proxy for "company I think I would like to work for" that I
       | did in the past. My old formula for evaluating opportunities was
       | to filter for places that would accept full time remote and then
       | filter for those willing to pay full market rates and then decide
       | from there. The latter half of that funnel is still likely to be
       | highly effective as companies attempt to lowball people by making
       | it out like remote is some sort of luxury but the entry to the
       | funnel just got a whole lot bigger so I need to do a ton more
       | filtering now.
       | 
       | I'm optimistic though, this has opened up a lot of companies I
       | otherwise would have liked to work for but had draconian hiring
       | policies w.r.t fully remote.
        
         | SkyPuncher wrote:
         | I have worked remotely for about 7 years now. I share your
         | sentiment.
         | 
         | With that being said, the signals are still there - just a bit
         | more nuanced. Gitlab has good terminology around this:
         | https://about.gitlab.com/company/culture/all-remote/stages/
         | 
         | My signals:
         | 
         | * Do they talk about central office locations where certain
         | people/groups of people work? Does being in that location give
         | you advantage.
         | 
         | * Do they expect you to be in the same chair/desk/location
         | everyday? I don't care to do #vanlife, but I want the
         | flexibility to work from a hotel/other location from time to
         | time.
         | 
         | * How does the team manage work hours? How much of the workday
         | needs to be "the same". In my view, ideal teams have some core
         | hours where it's easy to collaborate then leave it to
         | individuals to round out a productive day elsewhere.
        
           | jerf wrote:
           | "Do they expect you to be in the same chair/desk/location
           | everyday? I don't care to do #vanlife, but I want the
           | flexibility to work from a hotel/other location from time to
           | time."
           | 
           | Huh. It literally never even _crossed my mind_ until you said
           | that to care about where you are if you are remote. As long
           | as you 're doing the job, what does it matter where the "not
           | here" you are?
        
             | mcspiff wrote:
             | Could be anything from poor management to contractual/legal
             | requirements. For one client, we had to fly from Canada to
             | the US, but could work remotely from any US site. Usually
             | the client would set us up with a nice office a short
             | flight away from home base. There were very specific legal
             | requirements for them, and I had the impression they were
             | generally as flexible as they could be.
        
             | Ma8ee wrote:
             | For us in Europe that works with personal data, things tend
             | to become complicated as soon we leave the EU, since it is
             | often the case that the data must not leave the union.
        
           | jpgvm wrote:
           | These are all great.
           | 
           | The last one is super important.
           | 
           | When they talk about core locations/areas a good signal is if
           | they have close to full timezone coverage, i.e Asia + NA +
           | EU. This generally means you will be able to find
           | collaborators that have some overlap and important meetings
           | are likely to be recorded, etc.
        
         | ferdowsi wrote:
         | There's always other proxies for quality given changing life
         | circumstances. Generous parental leave matters much more to me
         | now than office vibe.
        
       | dataviz1000 wrote:
       | We are going to see lots of digital nomad and work vacation
       | services develop over the next few years as people realize that
       | they can live a week or month in a different city working being
       | productive the whole time. There are already co-working / co-
       | living services but now expect people in tech living and working
       | in the jungles of Brazil, on the beaches of Uruguay, or or within
       | riding distance of mounting biking trails every morning in
       | Arkansas. Places like Puerto Rico which is still reeling from the
       | devastation of hurricane Maria 4 years ago will have an
       | opportunity to participate in the digital nomad ecosystem. There
       | is a co-working facility on the North - Western corner of the
       | island with generator backup and fiber internet. Hopefully this
       | will have a positive benefit on remote exotic places.
       | 
       | Prepare for an another work culture shift.
        
         | benatkin wrote:
         | I'm not so sure about that. There are a lot of remote workers
         | who could live anywhere but choose San Francisco or NYC.
        
         | shahbaby wrote:
         | This seems like an even worse arrangement than working from an
         | office.
         | 
         | Most tech jobs demand time, focus and a strong wifi connection.
         | Good luck doing that from the jungles of Brazil.
        
           | OmarIsmail wrote:
           | For now.
           | 
           | But now that the pool of people that could work from the
           | jungles of Brazil has increased 10-100x there's a lot more
           | incentive to making that possible.
        
       | gilbetron wrote:
       | I wonder how that graph will look in several years times. Will it
       | be a bump that goes back down to near where it was? Seems
       | doubtful. But I don't think we'll see it plateau at 80%, either.
       | Maybe a drift back down to 50% ish?
       | 
       | At the beginning of the pandemic, I read a quote from a person
       | that study the histories of pandemics and they said something
       | like, "there will be two worlds, one before Covid, and one
       | after."
       | 
       | It seemed like hyperbole then, but not anymore.
        
         | rtutz wrote:
         | >"there will be two worlds, one before Covid, and one after."
         | 
         | However at the same time this cannot be applied to all areas of
         | life. While a kind of awakening may have taken place at work,
         | the importance of social interactions became particularly
         | visible on the other side. I assume that the majority would
         | rather like to return to the pre-covid era, and will strive for
         | it.
        
           | datameta wrote:
           | If anything I have seen communities come together more than
           | before. The fact that everyone now shares a somewhat similar
           | challenging experience, we can choose to relate to each other
           | more easily.
        
           | oblio wrote:
           | Some things will change for the long term, for example
           | increased remote work.
           | 
           | However, there will be definitely a ton of people wanting go
           | get their 2-3+ years back and to take advantage of life
           | especially since so many have seen or been around death for
           | so long.
           | 
           | Prepare for the New Roaring Twenties.
        
         | gravypod wrote:
         | I don't think I'd consider working in office for a company for
         | my next position. All recruiters that email me in office work
         | are ignored, all remote options get a reply and go on a list
         | for when I'm looking again.
         | 
         | I want to eventually own a home but that's not going to happen
         | for a long while in the Northern NJ area for me. For some place
         | with temperatures I prefer more, lower taxes, and cheaper cost
         | of living? It's definitely a possibility already.
        
           | HenryKissinger wrote:
           | > All recruiters that email me in office work are ignored
           | 
           | I would write a short reply that you won't consider their
           | offers solely because of the office work requirement.
           | Otherwise they can't be certain why they're being ignored.
           | Make it abundantly clear why you're not interested. So when
           | their managers grill them for low performance they can show
           | them: Here boss, people aren't biting because we're asking
           | them to come into the office. We need to change this asap.
        
             | skeeter2020 wrote:
             | Considering I get fire-bombed by recruiters who don't even
             | consider my geographic location, skills or stated desires,
             | and who also can't be bothered to even acknowledge me when
             | I respond like you suggest, I'd say don't waste your time.
             | The vast majority of recruiters only want something from
             | you and treat you like garbage once they're not going to
             | get it. The profession's abysmal reputation is well
             | deserved.
        
             | gravypod wrote:
             | That's a good point. I think I'll start doing that.
             | Hopefully it (in a small way) nudges the industry.
        
               | erikerikson wrote:
               | Maybe throw in a 4-day work week too?
        
               | piva00 wrote:
               | I've been floating that sometimes, just to gauge
               | interest. I tell them that I'd be willing to change if a
               | 4-day work week would be offered, at least covering my
               | current salary.
               | 
               | It's a 20% increase in pay and I'd absolutely love to
               | work Mon-Thu.
        
           | oceanplexian wrote:
           | It's too bad because there's nothing wrong with offices, it's
           | the implication that you're required to show up on some kind
           | of schedule or something. "We have a fantastic office
           | locations with free food, cool decor and meeting spaces, and
           | you can go whenever you want", but remote work is OK as much
           | as you need/want is a great pitch to me.
        
             | gravypod wrote:
             | Yea, fully agreed. I don't care about the existence of an
             | office. I do care about the costs associated with me
             | needing to _be_ in the office. I recently ran the numbers
             | for current job and, assuming I spend $15 /meal + $1/cup of
             | coffee, I still lose ~$3/day just commuting when I take
             | advantage of free office breakfast/lunch food +
             | microkitchen coffee. I also _do not_ spend $15 /per meal
             | (my breakfast+lunch meal this morning ~$.60 to ~$1.60
             | depending on cost of ingredients, electricity, and my
             | time).
             | 
             | I would, however, not mind having an _optional_ office (and
             | would actually prefer working for a company like that) so
             | if it 's a really hot day or I'm feeling crumby and want to
             | change my scenery for a day or two I have a place I can go.
        
         | downrightmike wrote:
         | Before the industrial revolution, most people worked from home.
         | Outside of farmers we can think about jewelers, watch/clock
         | makers, cobblers. There were those that worked in work houses
         | because they were destitute.
        
         | HenryKissinger wrote:
         | Mainstream remote work has arrived, and it's here to stay.
         | White collar occupations outside tech will be forced to adapt
         | and provide similar accommodations. Accountants, financial
         | analysts, clerks. Any job that doesn't require manual labor or
         | physical face time with a client will go remote. People will
         | notice software engineers making 6 figures WFH and ask "Why
         | can't I have that?" I believe this is part of what's fueling
         | the Great Resignation. The disparity in terms of salary and
         | work conditions between the worst jobs in society and the best
         | jobs in society has become so great that a lot of people who
         | used to occupy the worst jobs collectively said "fuck it" and
         | successfully transitioned to better jobs, even if they're still
         | not the best jobs society has to offer.
         | 
         | This is also the reason why I believe that teaching will
         | eventually either go fully remote or start paying 6 figures
         | straight out of college. The teaching profession sucks.
         | Teachers understand now that they can earn the same income
         | without having to babysit 30 kids five days a week and deal
         | with the kafkaesque bullshit that is school administration.
        
           | rsynnott wrote:
           | I don't see software engineering going fully remote. I
           | certainly hope not; I'd have to retrain. The last 19 months
           | have been enough to convince me I'll never voluntarily do WFH
           | for more than a day or so a time again.
        
             | tester756 wrote:
             | yea sure it's not for everybody, but should be totally up
             | to you whether you want remote or onsite.
        
       | mountaineer wrote:
       | cool to see others using this data, I've been tracking this trend
       | and more over at https://www.hntrends.com/2021/july.html
        
         | malshe wrote:
         | Nice graphs! Highcharts is awesome
        
         | codingclaws wrote:
         | that's neat
        
       | dang wrote:
       | The Economist did this too:
       | 
       |  _For programmers, remote working is becoming the norm_ -
       | https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28152174 - Aug 2021 (438
       | comments)
       | 
       | The charts look much the same.
        
         | rinze wrote:
         | Damn, I didn't know this! Anyway, it's good to see that at
         | least we reached the same conclusion. Thanks for the link.
        
       | rossdavidh wrote:
       | I have often worked remote, even before pandemic lockdowns, and
       | it works fine for me, but I am a little concerned about the
       | impact on the next generation of programmers. There are
       | advantages to both old and especially new programmers, that
       | neither experienced nor inexperienced programmers are fully aware
       | of, to having a mix of experience levels in the same office area.
       | Remote work allows for the conscious, I-need-to-know-x-so-I'll-
       | ask-someone kind of interaction, but it's not as good at the
       | spontaneous and unplanned learning from observing or talking to
       | others. It's difficult to measure, but I believe it's
       | significant.
       | 
       | I'm sure experienced programmers lose out from this as well, but
       | my guess is that the impact is less, and in any case they're not
       | just starting their career so the damage is less. I worry that
       | the younger generation is kind of getting screwed by this change
       | (as with so much else in the last couple decades).
        
       | Waterluvian wrote:
       | Happy to see the curve was trending upwards even before covid.
        
       | BugsJustFindMe wrote:
       | This is great. Next please track the percentage of Hacker News
       | job postings that give a salary number.
        
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       (page generated 2021-10-24 23:02 UTC)