[HN Gopher] America Needs Higher, Longer-Lasting Inflation
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       America Needs Higher, Longer-Lasting Inflation
        
       Author : hncurious
       Score  : 9 points
       Date   : 2021-10-14 21:07 UTC (1 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bloomberg.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bloomberg.com)
        
       | dkdk8283 wrote:
       | This is absurd. Inflation destroys lives and retirement savings.
        
         | thescriptkiddie wrote:
         | Inflation spurs economic growth. And people shouldn't save for
         | retirement, they should have pensions.
        
       | randomhodler84 wrote:
       | This is basically gaslighting so people don't realize how much
       | they are being robbed. The inflation rate is closer to 15%...
       | Good luck buying any kind of house with static wages and vastly
       | inflating prices.
        
       | nabla9 wrote:
       | It's so hard to make people to think in the terms of real wages,
       | that politician saying his aloud would be a political suicide.
       | 
       | All you get is unintelligent comments like:
       | 
       | - fed conspiracy against working man, and
       | 
       | - money printing brrr.
        
         | mlindner wrote:
         | I think the arguments are much more complex than that. Some
         | primary reasons:
         | 
         | - High inflation destroys savings. If someone is saving to buy
         | a house or saving for their children's schooling, inflation
         | destroys it if it's not invested in something.
         | 
         | - High inflation is rarely if ever matched by wages going up.
         | Just look at the minimum wage, it hasn't matched inflation at
         | all.
         | 
         | - Inflation penalizes anyone who isn't invested in things that
         | hold their value versus the value of the money. Namely if
         | you're rich enough to invest in stocks and bonds your money
         | holds better value than if you live day to day or keep your
         | money in a savings account. It's a form of regressive taxation.
         | 
         | - Inflation isn't bad at all for people who are in the
         | financial system itself, namely the people who actually control
         | the inflation rate.
         | 
         | - It frees the government to spend even more wastefully as they
         | can use the inflation to erase the federal debt
        
           | nabla9 wrote:
           | >High inflation destroys savings
           | 
           | This is not true. When the inflation is high, normal savings
           | accounts pay interest rate that protects from inflation.
           | Besides if you are saving a lots of money you should invest
           | it for something. Like government bonds at least.
           | 
           | > High inflation is rarely if ever matched by wages going up.
           | 
           | This is not true. Inflation and real wages are not connected.
           | Why would they? See for example: https://en.wikipedia.org/wik
           | i/Real_wages#/media/File:United_...
           | 
           | What high inflation does in some jobs, it allows employers
           | not to lay off people by not increasing their wages (when
           | their productivity is not increasing).
           | 
           | > Inflation penalizes anyone who isn't invested in things
           | that hold their value versus the value of the money
           | 
           | And this is how it should be. Money should not be good store
           | of value in long term.
           | 
           | And as I said before, savings account interest rates are not
           | zero when inflation gets going.
           | https://www.finder.com/history-of-savings-account-
           | interest-r...
           | 
           | https://www.bankrate.com/banking/cds/historical-cd-
           | interest-...
        
             | sjg007 wrote:
             | Inflation and wages are in fact connected.
        
             | simplemts wrote:
             | You are discussing a theoretical world. In the real world,
             | interest rates are 0.
             | 
             | I can't find a SINGLE savings account over 1%, while
             | inflation is over 5%:
             | 
             | https://www.bankrate.com/banking/savings/rates/
             | 
             | Treasury bonds are barely better -- 10yr < 2% (!)
        
             | randomhodler84 wrote:
             | We have lived in a time of very low interest rates for a
             | long time, if they ramp it up; the leveraged real estate
             | market will collapse. Repeat the money printing to bail
             | them out. A hole cannot be escaped by digging deeper.
        
               | simplemts wrote:
               | This comment is spot on.
               | 
               | Interest rates are not in line with inflation, therefore,
               | savers are being eaten alive. Those on fixed income
               | (retirees, disabled) are getting absolutely screwed.
        
             | dnautics wrote:
             | > normal savings accounts pay interest rate that protects
             | from inflation
             | 
             | Pray tell which banks are you banking with?
             | 
             | > What high inflation does in some jobs, it allows
             | employers not to lay off people by not increasing their
             | wages
             | 
             | shorter: "Let's screw the labor class over so that their
             | managers don't have to fire themselves."
             | 
             | > Money should not be good store of value in long term.
             | 
             | "it is important to encourage consumption at all cost in
             | the long term"
        
               | doubled112 wrote:
               | It's definitely not a bank in Canada.
               | 
               | A TD High Interest bank account has a 0.050% interest
               | rate after $5,000. Before that the interest rate is
               | 0.000%.
               | 
               | Don't worry, as long as you have $25,000 dollars in
               | there, they'll waive the transaction fees every month ($5
               | per transaction).
               | 
               | I might as well stick it under the mattress and pretend I
               | don't have it at those rates.
        
       | mchusma wrote:
       | I'm skeptical of this author's claim: that inflation will make
       | housing more affordable.
       | 
       | The core problem of housing is limited supply, mainly driven by
       | zoning, parking requirements, and NIMBY actions.
       | 
       | Inflation by printing money is a tax. In recent times, this tax
       | was used for things like giant unemployment programs and PPP
       | loans. You can argue whether or not those were good things, but
       | all things being equal more taxes are bad. (for example, if the
       | fed printed trillions and gave them to politicians, nobody would
       | purport that it was good).
        
         | sjg007 wrote:
         | Inflation eats the interest rate right? If your mortgage is
         | less than inflation that's basically free money, assuming your
         | wages increase.
        
         | nabla9 wrote:
         | > Inflation by printing money is a tax.
         | 
         | Inflation is tax on lazy money. As it should be. Money should
         | be put into work or lose value.
        
           | randomhodler84 wrote:
           | For most of human history, a fine gentleman's suit cost 1troy
           | oz of gold. It's still the same today. I don't agree that
           | savers must take on risk in order to maintain value. Take on
           | Risk for treading water?
           | 
           | I feel like this is financial engineering to ensure the
           | continuous capital injection into equities markets.
        
         | dnautics wrote:
         | I don't know if there is, but if there is also a "foreign real
         | estate investment sops up housing supply" and/or "makes prices
         | slow down supply churn" then inflation might making housing
         | LESS affordable, by making it nominally cheaper for foreign
         | investment participate in the market.
        
         | nwah1 wrote:
         | Those supply issues you mention are true but ultimately not the
         | key.
         | 
         | Cities are expensive, but we have endless amounts of cheaper
         | suburbs. Yet people still want to live in cities despite the
         | price. Why is that? Because they get a value from that, and
         | that value is reflected in higher _land values_
         | 
         | Adding more supply of buildings doesn't make the land any
         | cheaper. In fact it would make it more expensive via
         | agglomeration effects.
         | 
         | So the issue for affordability is land value. And the way to
         | reduce it without destroying the underlying desirability is to
         | clamp down on land speculation.
         | 
         | This can be done by shifting taxes off of buildings and onto
         | land.
        
           | randomhodler84 wrote:
           | By George I think you might be on to something there...
        
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       (page generated 2021-10-14 23:02 UTC)