[HN Gopher] Finland lobbied EU to declare nuclear power sustainable
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       Finland lobbied EU to declare nuclear power sustainable
        
       Author : JaakkoP
       Score  : 211 points
       Date   : 2021-10-12 16:14 UTC (6 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (yle.fi)
 (TXT) w3m dump (yle.fi)
        
       | zokier wrote:
       | Here is official press release from Finnish Government, which
       | also links to the statement from the ministers:
       | https://valtioneuvosto.fi/en/-/1410877/lintila-and-other-eu-...
       | 
       | Also the relevant EC page has a section on nuclear energy that
       | has some more information: https://ec.europa.eu/info/business-
       | economy-euro/banking-and-...
        
       | sharmin123 wrote:
       | Are There Top Signs of a Cheating Lover? What To do Then?:
       | https://www.hackerslist.co/are-there-top-signs-of-a-cheating...
        
       | unchocked wrote:
       | Finland is a hero on nuclear energy development. After the US
       | bailed on Yucca Mountain, Finland is the only country I know
       | building a stable geological waste repository. Great to see the
       | realist Greens coming along on nuclear as well.
       | 
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Onkalo_spent_nuclear_fuel_repo...
       | 
       | * to be anti-nuclear is to be anti-climate, and pro-coal.
        
         | ben_w wrote:
         | > to be anti-nuclear is to be anti-climate, and pro-coal.
         | 
         | While this was true even 10 years ago, not so much now. While
         | nuclear is still cheaper than the batteries which would
         | otherwise be the main[0] worldwide alternative to backing up
         | PV/wind, it is close, and probable future development curves
         | for renewables and batteries make it not completely insane to
         | reject nuclear.
         | 
         | Personally I would still support new reactors, firstly because
         | I don't want to keep all my eggs in one basket if my
         | expectations for future battery factories are falsified, and
         | secondly because I think diverse solutions are likely to be
         | cheaper and faster overall than monoculture solutions.
         | 
         | [0] Scandinavia in general might be amazing for hydro, which is
         | much cheaper than batteries, but IIRC most places aren't so
         | fortunate.
        
           | lm28469 wrote:
           | > While nuclear is still cheaper than the batteries which
           | would otherwise be...
           | 
           | And here lies the problem, if we see everything through the
           | lens of economics and affordability we'll never get out of it
        
             | ivoras wrote:
             | Get out of what... economics?
             | 
             | And then what would be the driving force of progress which
             | results in all that wondereful green technology?
             | 
             | Technology as a human concept is about solving problems,
             | and throughout history, it's sometimes been about solving
             | problems caused by previous technology. Unless we suddenly
             | get struck by a movement to get back to an agrarian
             | civilisation _and stick there in perpetuity like an ultra
             | strict Amish-like society_ , there's simply no way to
             | escape the race with ourselves where we need more and more
             | technology to fix the problems caused by the previous
             | technologies.
             | 
             | Yes, eventually we'll fail. Or escape to the stars and
             | sacrifice other planets to our selfish genes. But that's
             | ok, eventually the universe itself will fail, you can only
             | slow down entropy for a tiny bit.
        
               | ganzuul wrote:
               | They most likely meant economics as in the numbers game
               | rather than in the original sense.
        
             | baq wrote:
             | If there are better ways to invest effort in instead of the
             | bottomless pit which nuclear power plants are, why bother?
             | I'm not anti-nuclear in principle, but building new plants
             | just doesn't make sense. Takes too long and ties up too
             | much resources. Money is just a proxy for those two things.
        
           | repomies69 wrote:
           | > [0] Scandinavia in general might be amazing for hydro
           | 
           | All the possible rivers are already used, and the plants have
           | killed the fish from the rivers. The effect on wildlife is
           | not that nice.
        
           | tokai wrote:
           | >Scandinavia in general might be amazing for hydro
           | 
           | I don't know. Here in Scandinavia the price of electricity is
           | forecasted to sky rocket, due to lower output of hydro
           | power.[0] If macro weather pattern are to undergo rapid
           | change hydro power might not be the most reliable.
           | 
           | [0]
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | If you're using it as a battery, which is what I'm
             | suggesting here, you don't need to worry about rain.
        
               | Filligree wrote:
               | You can't use it as a battery without large reservoirs of
               | water you can pump _into_ the input reservoir. Norway
               | only has half the necessary infrastructure.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | Not necessarily -- you can modulate output. The input
               | reservoir gets refilled naturally if your average outflow
               | matches the average inflow.
        
               | Arnt wrote:
               | That is precisely what Norway does. Prices go up when
               | average inflow is low. The biggest source of inflow is
               | snow, which maps to outflow 0-18 months later.
        
               | Ekaros wrote:
               | They are still fresh water rivers. So you still need some
               | supply and flow.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | Zigurd wrote:
           | Re "While this was true even 10 years ago..."
           | 
           | A very remarkable thing is the decline in the cost of
           | renewables _just in the last 10 years._
           | 
           | The cost number have completely flipped in that time, not
           | even counting the cost risk from delays, underestimated
           | decommissioning costs for nuclear, the uninsurability of
           | decommissioning costs, and the uninsurability of of nuclear
           | accident risk. Solar and wind are cheapest now, by a
           | multiple.
        
             | throwaway894345 wrote:
             | The parent is correctly factoring in storage costs. If you
             | can't store solar or wind energy, then it can't be used for
             | base load generation.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | Even that is not true, since you can always combine
               | electricity from multiple sources to form your base load,
               | and there's no law of nature saying that the base load
               | must come from a single source.
               | 
               | But even more importantly, the need for storage arises at
               | much higher renewable penetration levels than you observe
               | in the current world. It will take multiple decades to
               | get to the point where you _need_ large amounts of
               | storage in the first place.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | > Even that is not true, since you can always combine
               | electricity from multiple sources to form your base load,
               | and there's no law of nature saying that the base load
               | must come from a single source.
               | 
               | No one is saying it must come from a single source?
               | Combining electricity from multiple _reliable_ sources is
               | fine, but there will be times when the sun isn 't shining
               | and the wind isn't blowing so you need to be able to meet
               | energy demands in those cases. The only _clean_ solution
               | is nuclear (and hydro where available).
        
               | derriz wrote:
               | Combining sources from multiple _unreliable_ sources is
               | actually fine - as long as the failure/intermittency
               | isn't correlated. Defining "fine" as reasonably low
               | variance - i.e. guaranteeing X amount of capacity will be
               | available for Y% of the time.
               | 
               | Nuclear doesn't give you 100% for Y above - there are
               | times when your nuclear reactor will also be unavailable
               | - the average is about 32 days per year in the US. So
               | nuclear has a similar problem - as has all generation
               | types - albeit with different statistical properties.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | > Combining sources from multiple _unreliable_ sources is
               | actually fine - as long as the failure/intermittency
               | isn't correlated.
               | 
               | This is true for a sufficiently large number of
               | uncorrelated sources, but all solar plants in a region
               | are correlated and all wind plants in a region are
               | correlated so effectively you have only two renewable
               | sources in a region that are decoupled, which is wholly
               | inadequate considering the relatively low reliability of
               | either source. Maybe over-provisioning would help, but I
               | don't know how much you would have to over-provision to
               | get power on a still night, and anyway the whole point is
               | accounting for costs so if it's not storage then you have
               | to account for the over-provisioning costs.
               | 
               | > Nuclear doesn't give you 100% for Y above - there are
               | times when your nuclear reactor will also be unavailable
               | - the average is about 32 days per year in the US. So
               | nuclear has a similar problem - as has all generation
               | types - albeit with different statistical properties.
               | 
               | These aren't similar problems. With wind and solar power,
               | bad weather shuts down all "plants" in a region. With
               | nuclear, you have maintenance windows on individual
               | plants which can be coordinated with other plants in the
               | region such that base load is maintained.
               | 
               | > different statistical properties
               | 
               | Technically true, but doing _a lot_ of rhetorical labor.
        
               | derriz wrote:
               | You but your claim was that it was only possible to
               | provide reliable supply by combining _reliable_ sources.
               | This is not the case.
               | 
               | Wind and solar are largely anti-correlated in most
               | regions. Depending on the geography, differences in wind
               | output can vary significantly over distances in as little
               | 100km and offshore and on-shore capacity factors also
               | tend to show divergence. At distances above 1,500km wind
               | is uncorrelated in Europe.
               | 
               | The stochastic failures of nuclear reactors are largely
               | independent but not always - a natural catastrophe like
               | Fukushima can take out a bunch of reactors. Or extreme
               | weather (heat), like last summer's drought took out a
               | bunch of reactors in a few northern European countries.
               | 
               | It's not rhetorical labor to point out that it's
               | simplistic to present nuclear as completely reliable
               | (it's not) and that unreliable sources can contribute to
               | a reliable grid. It's pointing out that the problem is
               | more subtle.
               | 
               | Unlike 10 years ago, we have now concrete examples of
               | grids which operate with very high shares of wind and
               | solar without any decrease in reliability and have
               | developed practical techniques for incorporating such
               | sources into grids.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | > but there will be times when the sun isn't shining and
               | the wind isn't blowing so you need to be able to meet
               | energy demands in those cases. The only clean solution is
               | nuclear (and hydro where available).
               | 
               | That claim is highly debatable. Lots of people claim that
               | the storage necessary to overcome these generation
               | troughs make it infeasible but they seem to completely
               | ignore holistic cost minimization approaches using
               | overgeneration and then conclude that the amount of
               | storage required makes it impossible. Meanwhile it's been
               | calculated that modest overgeneration squashes storage
               | amounts (and costs) in massive ways. People have actually
               | studied these things, you know...
               | 
               | See for example the 2018 article _On the economics of
               | electrical storage for variable renewable energy sources_
               | by Zerrahn et al.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | It's not like overgeneration is free either, and I'm very
               | skeptical that overgeneration can squeeze blood from a
               | stone on regionally cloudy, still weeks; however, I'll
               | read your source when I have a free moment, thanks for
               | sharing, etc.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | Nobody says that overgeneration is free. But for example
               | if your wind power costs are $20/MWh and your nuclear
               | power costs are $80/MWh, even 100% overgeneration
               | capacity for wind is still cheaper compared to the
               | nuclear alternative. And if it achieves the desired
               | effect cheaper than storage, then it will be preferred
               | over storage as well. The optimal ratio of storage and
               | overgeneration needs to be modeled for every grid
               | independently; I believe the article I mentioned models
               | it for the German grid.
               | 
               | In practice, though, I expect that you won't even get
               | energy waste from overgeneration if flexible energy
               | consumers like BEVs or flexible hydrogen electrolyzers
               | are connected to the grid. These will account for a major
               | portion of electricity consumption and it will be
               | possible to move their consumption around very
               | considerably.
        
               | politician wrote:
               | We can't assume overgeneration will be sustainable since
               | there is profit to be made by idling or scrapping
               | generators to reduce costs.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | We can safely assume that. First, if the deployed mixture
               | of generators is the cheapest mixed solution devised,
               | there's money to be _wasted_ "by idling or scrapping
               | generators", since by definition that would _increase_
               | costs, not reduce them, so it would be an irrational step
               | to make. Second, opportunistic consumers not included in
               | the base load can take advantage of these peaks, to the
               | benefit of both sides (generators AND consumers --
               | consumers get power for peanuts and generators get some
               | extra money they otherwise wouldn 't get), for example
               | for charging BEVs on demand -- and you'll need _lots_ of
               | power for that.
        
               | politician wrote:
               | Are you assuming grid-scale storage exists and is
               | deployed widely in your scenario?
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | > Solar and wind are cheapest now, by a multiple.
             | 
             | Absolutely! I'm only suggesting nuclear as a backup for low
             | wind nighttime demand. It's completely pointless to use
             | nuclear as the main power source precisely because of the
             | cost: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_
             | source#...
             | 
             | But to deal with the low-wind nighttime demand, you have
             | the option of storage (hydro and batteries aren't the only
             | options); you can do demand management (it helps people use
             | less when they sleep); you can do intercontinental HVDC (in
             | principle, but think in terms of a square metre of cross
             | section for 100% of EU demand, so it will take a while to
             | build); and you can do other power types -- nuclear
             | (expensive), geothermal (geographically specific in ways I
             | don't understand), tidal (surprisingly expensive), natural
             | gas (sill better than coal).
             | 
             | I'm in favour of all of the above except natural gas. I'm
             | _expecting_ near 100% wind  & PV supported by existing
             | nuclear plants and existing and new storage (and a few 10s
             | of GW intercontinental HVDC) by early 2030s... but my
             | expectations are based on hoping grid storage battery
             | prices get a lot cheaper with less evidence than I'd like
             | to be comfortable, which means I want to support _all_ the
             | solutions rather than just my favourite.
        
               | Zigurd wrote:
               | I was not disagreeing
        
           | throwaway894345 wrote:
           | > While this was true even 10 years ago, not so much now.
           | While nuclear is still cheaper than the batteries which would
           | otherwise be the main[0] worldwide alternative to backing up
           | PV/wind, it is close
           | 
           | The cost of nuclear is artificially high because special
           | interests have lobbied hard against nuclear, draining western
           | countries of the experience to build nuclear facilities
           | rapidly and also taking away any opportunities for
           | efficiencies of scale.
           | 
           | Moreover, I don't think you can look at the cost of batteries
           | as-is. If we seriously invest in batteries as a solution for
           | grid-scale power storage, the demand will go through the roof
           | and I doubt supply will be able to keep up (at least not on
           | the 10-50 year timeframes that the climate challenge
           | requires) while we're also trying to electrify transport and
           | other industries.
           | 
           | > Personally I would still support new reactors, firstly
           | because I don't want to keep all my eggs in one basket if my
           | expectations for future battery factories are falsified, and
           | secondly because I think diverse solutions are likely to be
           | cheaper and faster overall than monoculture solutions.
           | 
           | I strongly agree with this. If climate change is an
           | existential threat, then it's supremely foolish to give up on
           | our only proven clean base load supply in favor of
           | unsubstantiated hope for a miracle breakthrough in renewable
           | storage. We should absolutely pursue both, vigorously.
        
             | cinntaile wrote:
             | You should look at the amount of battery plants that are
             | being built right now. This is just in Europe. Economies of
             | scale at work. https://mobile.twitter.com/ZennRoland/status
             | /135382169441102...
        
             | foepys wrote:
             | > The cost of nuclear is artificially high because special
             | interests have lobbied hard against nuclear, draining
             | western countries of the experience to build nuclear
             | facilities rapidly and also taking away any opportunities
             | for efficiencies of scale.
             | 
             | Hinkley Point C is build in cooperation by China and
             | France, the at the moment most active countries in building
             | and maintaining nuclear power plants. It doesn't get more
             | "economy of scale"-ly than this.
        
               | zdragnar wrote:
               | Smaller, safer, modular reactors should have been our
               | focus decades ago. We are several generations behind
               | where we ought to be, because we haven't prioritized it.
               | The zero-nuclear agenda, combined with cheap natural gas
               | and a (to me) strange fixation on renewables* has held us
               | back.
               | 
               | *I say strange, because renewables have only just now
               | started to get to make sense at scale, despite the
               | reliance on fossil fuels to provide a base load, when we
               | could have had a clean grid by now without them had we
               | tried.
        
               | Retric wrote:
               | Modular reactors don't actually reduce costs in any
               | meaningful way. Construction costs are significant, but
               | surprisingly low percentage of overall costs. For example
               | nuclear needs a large highly trained workforce for
               | decades. Every individual pulling 100k * 50 years is 5
               | million dollars, and you need a large workforce. Arguably
               | security guards and medical staff are unnecessary, but
               | modular reactors don't lower those costs.
               | 
               | Fuel is similarly expensive and no in practice
               | reprocessing doesn't really help. Shutting down for
               | refueling is again expensive when you consider it happens
               | 30 times over the lifetime of a nuclear power plant.
               | Decommissioning is extremely expensive even if it can but
               | off. Even highly subsidized insurance is yet again
               | expensive. Overall construction costs aren't limited to
               | the reactor you still need radiation shielding, cooling
               | towers or the equivalent, cooling ponds for waste, roads,
               | offices etc.
               | 
               | Don't get me wrong if someone had come up with a great
               | modular reactor 20 years ago Nuclear might be much better
               | off today, but we're simply past the point where more R&D
               | is going to help. The only possibly for change is if
               | nighttime electricity costs ended up much higher than
               | current daytime costs. However a lot of demand is being
               | shifted to nighttime because costs are currently cheaper,
               | change that equation and nighttime demand will fall
               | dramatically.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | It certainly could get a lot more "economy of scale"-y
               | than a single bespoke reactor project. Indeed, look into
               | small modular reactors--they're designed to be built at
               | scale in factories (rather than individual bespoke
               | plants). The levels ed cost of energy for these is
               | projected to be well below $100/MWh which compares
               | favorably with fossil fuel sources.
        
               | foepys wrote:
               | One unsolved problem with those small reactors is
               | security. How do you prevent some terrorists from
               | building dirty bombs with material stolen from a
               | company's basement reactor? How do you trace the vast
               | amount of radioactive material at so many sites?
        
             | londons_explore wrote:
             | > I doubt [battery] supply will be able to keep up.
             | 
             | Any tech that exists today can be made in almost-limitless
             | quantities given a few years and customers willing to pay.
             | 
             | Eg. Say you want to make 100x the worlds current production
             | of nuts and bolts. You just count up how many nut and bolt
             | factories there are, how many steel works, how many mines,
             | etc, and you multiply that by 99 and build them. Provided
             | you have financing (which you will have if enough people
             | are happy to buy nut and bolt futures ahead of time),
             | they're all parallel projects so can be done independently,
             | almost eliminating schedule risk.
             | 
             | The only time it doesn't hold true is when the need for a
             | product is short term, unpredictable, unexpected, or where
             | someone desires to pay less than market price.
        
               | throwaway894345 wrote:
               | We're talking about enough batteries for the entire
               | world's total energy needs for weeks at a time. That
               | means the battery industry needs to increase in size by
               | many times it's current state, which implies many new
               | factories built and so on, never mind contention over
               | natural resources. Meeting such demand seems likely to
               | take many decades and untold trillions in investment.
        
         | zokier wrote:
         | > Finland is a hero on nuclear energy development
         | 
         | Finland is also a country that just spent almost 20 years
         | building one new nuclear reactor, and its still not in
         | commercial operation
        
           | nabla9 wrote:
           | It was the failure of the French who build the damn thing
           | (Areva NP, now Framatome). The French tried to make a rush
           | job and cut corners but Finnish radiation safety organization
           | don't allow it like French does.
           | 
           | They tried to cut corners in concrete casting, then they had
           | to do it again. Then they tried to get away with bad welds
           | and had to redo them, and inspection. Endless use of as cheap
           | labor as possible.
        
             | ganzuul wrote:
             | Then they complained they could not make a profit.
             | 
             | Should have thought of that when bidding.
        
           | TravelPiglet wrote:
           | And it's not looking pretty:
           | 
           | https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_expensive_build.
           | ..
        
             | arthurcolle wrote:
             | How in the name of Allah is the nominal cost of mosque
             | around the Kaaba $100 billion? That is bonkers
        
               | JustFinishedBSG wrote:
               | Worth 5 state of the art nuclear power plants
               | apparently...
        
               | dpedu wrote:
               | I suspect this number is inflated for the purpose of
               | showing off the kingdom's or the religion's wealth and
               | power.
        
               | ganzuul wrote:
               | To me and I assume most Westerners it looks like an
               | egregious excess while poverty is rampant. At least space
               | projects produce trickle-down technology, but this is
               | just busy-work.
        
               | Spooky23 wrote:
               | The the cousin of the brother in law of some minor prince
               | has to get his piece of the pie.
               | 
               | If you're ever in New York, check out the Tweed
               | courthouse, which was built in the 1880s. The total cost
               | was $10.5B 2020 dollars.
        
               | lelandfe wrote:
               | Tammany Hall did corruption better than _anybody_. Robert
               | Moses would blush.
               | 
               | It's worth reading the line items from that construction.
               | Carpenters getting paid hundreds of thousands of dollars
               | - multiple millions now - for a couple days of work.
               | Enough carpeting ordered to cover whole parks several
               | times.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | Petrodollars, that's how.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | open-source-ux wrote:
           | Olkiluoto 3 in Finland, Flamanville 3 in France and Hinkley
           | Point C in the UK are all using the same reactor design:
           | European Pressurised Reactor (EBR). This was jointly
           | developed by France (Framatome and EDF) and Germany
           | (Siemens).
           | 
           | All three projects are over-budget and have been dogged by
           | delays.
           | 
           | I'm not against nuclear, but the cost of new (large) nuclear
           | plants always spiral out of control. For example, Hinkley
           | Point C in the UK is due for completion in 2026. Estimated
           | total cost: PS23 billion - making it one of the most
           | expensive nuclear power plants in the world.
           | 
           | This BBC report on Hinkley Point C has some interesting
           | facts:
           | 
           |  _Hinkley nuclear power station on track for 2026 opening_ :
           | https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-somerset-58724732
           | 
           | From the article:
           | 
           | > When Hinkley was approved in 2016, EDF estimated the cost
           | at PS18bn. Today, the company puts the bill at nearer PS23bn.
           | 
           | The deal to build Hinkley Point C includes a fixed-price or
           | ceiling cost for electricity known as the Strike Price:
           | 
           | > ...in 2016, the British government fixed that price at
           | PS92.50 per megawatt hour (MWh). The price rises with
           | inflation and has now reached PS106/MWh.
           | 
           | > Back then, the equivalent price for electricity from
           | offshore windfarms was well over PS120/MWh. But wind costs
           | have fallen fast. Today new wind projects are fixed at about
           | PS50/MWh, well under half the price of Hinkley power.
           | 
           | > So, the big question for Hinkley watchers is this. By 2026,
           | will the electricity it produces look very expensive?
        
             | VBprogrammer wrote:
             | When the wind isn't blowing it will probably look rather
             | cheap, especially if gas shortages remain prevalent.
             | 
             | Regardless, I'm all for maintaining at least our current
             | level of nuclear contribution to the grid until the
             | renewable storage story is complete at GW scale. It's much
             | harder to commission new nuclear plants if we allow all of
             | ours to fall into disuse.
        
           | fulafel wrote:
           | The second EPR build in France started 2 years later is not
           | faring much better, jury is still out whether it will take
           | less time or budget: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/EPR_(nuc
           | lear_reactor)#Flaman...
        
         | option wrote:
         | to be anti-nuclear is like being anti-vaccine during the
         | pandemic
        
           | ihsw wrote:
           | It's okay to be anti-bad-nuclear-management and pro-nuclear,
           | just like how it's okay to be anti-mandate and pro-vaccine.
        
             | option wrote:
             | true. I am pro-vaccines but anti _gov_ mandate. But modern
             | nuclear is so safe and, arguably, over regulated so it is
             | pretty safe to just support "nuclear
        
         | jhgb wrote:
         | Countries, sadly, don't get to pick their geology.
        
           | bpodgursky wrote:
           | Yucca mountain is absolutely safe and geologically stable.
           | That was why it was chosen. Don't spread FUD.
        
             | jhgb wrote:
             | Only the US has access to Yucca Mountain; my country
             | doesn't. Not sure how Yucca Mountain is relevant for the
             | all other non-US, non-Finnish countries talked about by
             | GGP.
        
               | akvadrako wrote:
               | Not every country has every resource; that's why we have
               | global trade. Yet that isn't even relevant since nuclear
               | storage doesn't require special geography - US plants
               | mostly just keep it onsite.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | So will your country allow my country to store our waste
               | in Yucca Mountain, then?
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | There's a lot more nuclear waste storage facilities than
               | you might think. Europe has many, for example, and the US
               | has 80+[1][2] in total including Yucca Mountain. Any
               | nation that has operated a nuclear power plant is going
               | to have some sort of storage site.
               | 
               | Regardless, it's possible to negotiate this as some sort
               | of trade agreement, sure. Your country could also build
               | their own if they didn't have one already...
               | 
               | [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radioactive_waste#/medi
               | a/File:...
               | 
               | [2]
               | https://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffmcmahon/2019/05/31/new-
               | map-...
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | Thank you; I'm fully aware of our intermediate storage
               | sites (we have exactly two of them). But that's not what
               | the top-level comment about the stable storage site was
               | talking about.
               | 
               | > Your country could also build their own if they didn't
               | have one already
               | 
               | It's like you didn't read at all what I wrote!
               | (https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=28842914)
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | Being near a populated area is not a factor for these
               | sites, particularly if you are geologically stable.
               | 
               | Look at the map from the US, many sites of varying level
               | are extremely close to major metropolitan areas. They are
               | often deep underground.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | It absolutely is a factor for the politics of site
               | decision. I've checked Yucca Mountain; apparently the
               | closest settlement is like 25 kilometers away or so, the
               | next one like 40 kilometers or so. Finding a comparable
               | site in a country 1% the size of US with quadruple the
               | population density and with no sparsely inhabited areas
               | is a Herculean task -- especially if you don't have huge
               | areas appropriated by the military for such purposes.
               | 
               | > Look at the map from the US, many sites of varying
               | level are extremely close to major metropolitan areas.
               | They are often deep underground.
               | 
               | Wikipedia tells me that the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant
               | in Carlsbad, NM is currently the only deep underground
               | waste storage site in the US.
        
               | bpodgursky wrote:
               | I'm quite confident you could sell your waste to Russia,
               | to store in the vast empty tundra, for a couple rubles.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | That would be politically problematic because of our
               | relations with Russia. Also, the tundra is going to thaw
               | soon.
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | Yes, but that is a political problem, not a nuclear
               | problem.
               | 
               | > Wikipedia tells me that the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant
               | in Carlsbad, NM is currently the only deep underground
               | waste storage site in the US.
               | 
               | The US storage sites are old (the Carlsbad facility
               | design is from the 70's for example), and the US has vast
               | amounts of land. European sites are often much deeper,
               | and new sites are deeper and deeper, up to 800 meters
               | below the surface.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | They're "old", but the Carlsbad facility that went into
               | operation in 1999 was only the third in the world after
               | two German sites? That still doesn't seem to make sense
               | for the claim that the US sites are "often deep
               | underground" if only only of them is. One out of many is
               | not "often" -- that's "rarely".
        
               | Alupis wrote:
               | Carlsbad stores waste from production of nuclear weapons,
               | among other things, and is the only facility in the US
               | tasked with storage of so-called "transuranic waste".
               | There are different classifications for nuclear waste,
               | and each warrants different handling as you might
               | imagine.
               | 
               | The Yucca Mountain site is 50 meters underground, which
               | is about 164 feet. That's deep enough to not disturb
               | things on the surface if in a geologically stable area.
               | 
               | You can see Yucca in on the shallow-side of things for
               | many countries[1].
               | 
               | Perhaps I overspoke when I alleged many are deep in the
               | US. The US is very spread out, and it seems going 200+
               | meters below the surface wasn't warranted except for the
               | highest classifications of waste.
               | 
               | However, in a more densely populated nation, there is no
               | hurdle to building deep repositories, except politics.
               | 
               | [1]
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deep_geological_repository
        
               | Hamuko wrote:
               | Money talks.
        
           | ben_w wrote:
           | Fortunately we don't need many storage places. Nuclear waste
           | is _very_ compact.
        
             | jhgb wrote:
             | Yes, we also need "only one", except in my country it's
             | basically impossible to go a few kilometers from any spot
             | without hitting a settlement (and if you _can_ do that,
             | your point of origin was probably inside a protected
             | national park). That 's probably why we still don't have a
             | storage place despite even having reasonable (even if not
             | perfect) geology for it.
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | We'd only need one place _worldwide_ if people didn't
               | object to it crossing borders.
               | 
               | Everything nasty from all of them put together is
               | something like one large modern soccer stadium.
        
               | exdsq wrote:
               | But the logistics of transporting this is crazy even
               | without objections
        
               | ben_w wrote:
               | Really? Why?
        
               | slaymaker1907 wrote:
               | Nuclear waste is a mostly artificial problem considering
               | we've known how to recycle/reuse nuclear waste to the
               | point where it is no longer dangerous. The actual hurdle
               | to nuclear adoption is really more about concerns with
               | nuclear proliferation since a lot of the recycle tech can
               | also be adapted to create weapons grade nuclear fuel.
               | 
               | Additionally, even with no nuclear reactors whatsoever,
               | we'll still have to deal with nuclear waste as it is used
               | in various other areas like medicine. The Goiania
               | accident incident in Brazil killed many people
               | _immediately_ (unlike Fukushima) and originated from a
               | defunct hospital, not a nuclear power plant. We need to
               | find ways to deal with this stuff regardless if you use
               | nuclear power or not.
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | > Nuclear waste is a mostly artificial problem
               | considering we've known how to recycle/reuse nuclear
               | waste to the point where it is no longer dangerous.
               | 
               | These repositories are meant specifically for the
               | separated waste from the recycling/reusing process. So
               | the process you're suggesting is the one that _creates_
               | this  "artificial problem".
        
         | Cloudef wrote:
         | Not really. Most of youth in finland think nuclear energy
         | produces lots of waste and are against it
        
           | Kkoala wrote:
           | Do you have some data to back that claim?
        
           | ab336d109c1f wrote:
           | Strange, I consider myself part of this "youth in Finland"
           | and haven't met a person who would agree with this one
        
       | cunidev wrote:
       | Isn't traditional nuclear power, while sustainable, also
       | immensely dangerous?
        
         | trenchgun wrote:
         | Where does the immense danger come from?
        
           | baq wrote:
           | Tail risks. Black swans if you wish. Unknown unknowns which
           | leave the immediate area uninhabitable forever and a wide
           | radius for generations.
        
         | mike_d wrote:
         | Nuclear is the safest form of energy generation we have today
         | when measured in deaths per unit of energy produced.
         | 
         | Nuclear kills 90 people per terawatt generated, rooftop solar
         | kills 440 per terawatt. Hydro kills 1,400 and wind kills 150.
        
           | thehappypm wrote:
           | This isn't really predictive of the future though. So far we
           | 've had very good luck that all the catastrophic failures of
           | nuclear have resulted in minimal loss of life. A bad nuclear
           | meltdown could kill thousands or worse. There is no path to
           | solar or wind suddenly becoming exponentially more dangerous
           | than it currently is.
        
             | clusterfish wrote:
             | You're right, it's not predictive of the future because
             | modern reactors are much safer than 1970s designs and are
             | even less likely to kill anyone.
        
           | pflanze wrote:
           | Watt is not a unit of energy, but of power. Did you mean TWh?
           | What are your sources?
        
       | m0zg wrote:
       | Arguably the _only_ real, reliable, sustainable energy option we
       | have right now. That is if you believe that we're actually are in
       | a "crisis" rather than virtue signal on the issue as you jet
       | around the world in a private plane, which "climate advocates"
       | have the habit of doing.
        
       | wvh wrote:
       | Finland with its cold winters doesn't exactly have a lot of
       | sunlight and it knows better than to depend on Russia for energy,
       | so at this point geographical reality is that nuclear power
       | really seems the best option.
        
         | Hamuko wrote:
         | It's not that there isn't sunlight, it's that the sunlight is
         | massively skewed towards the summer when it's between +20degC
         | and +30degC with low energy demand, and not during the winter
         | when it's -10degC to -30degC with high energy demand. You could
         | get 24/7 solar power in Lapland for like a month when the sun
         | comes up in June and finally sets in July.
        
       | more_corn wrote:
       | What if we agreed that Nuclear energy could be considered green
       | only if it isn't a design that provides dual use enriching fuel
       | for nuclear weapons? Creating nuclear weapons seems incompatible
       | with preserving the environment.
       | 
       | It seems that the nuclear reactor choices have historically been
       | geared towards the dual purposes of 1) Producing power AND 2)
       | Enriching fuel for the most environmentally destructive weapons
       | ever invented. If we were to decouple those two things we'd
       | probably unlock some interesting designs that have fewer problems
       | with long-lived waste and provide a part of our green energy
       | future.
        
         | sigg3 wrote:
         | This sounds clever.
         | 
         | Can anyone knowledgeable chime in, please? I'd love to see more
         | nuclear power.
        
         | rtkwe wrote:
         | I think we should also include long term disposal and
         | reprocessing requirements in there too.
        
       | mdf wrote:
       | The Green League party in Finland is kind of interesting when
       | compared to other Greens worldwide. They used to be vehemently
       | anti-nuclear, having for example previously left a government due
       | to decisions related to investments in new nuclear power plants
       | (as referred in TFA). However, since then they've:
       | 
       | - Removed the opposition to nuclear power from their official
       | party program
       | 
       | - Just recently elected a known pro-nuclear vice-chairman
       | 
       | - Now this, lobbying for inclusion of nuclear energy in the EU as
       | sustainable
       | 
       | Also, a sub-organization Finnish Greens for Science and
       | Technology (Viite) (also pro-nuclear, pro-GMO, etc.) has taken a
       | nice foothold in the party.
       | 
       | Commendable to see people coming around and updating their
       | beliefs.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | isoprophlex wrote:
       | "Finland lobbied EU to declare nuclear power sustainable"
       | 
       | Well, isn't it? Am I missing something or is nuclear about as
       | sustainable as it gets? The perfect baseload to cover us when
       | solar or wind is out. Almost no CO2 produced, much lower
       | deaths/GWh produced, plentiful fuel supplies?
        
         | fsckboy wrote:
         | you are focusing on pollution in terms of sustainability, but
         | perhaps fission is unsustainable because it relies on "fuels"
         | which can run out? there is only a finite supply of uranium.
        
           | whiddershins wrote:
           | How finite though? I mean, everything uses materials.
        
           | 3np wrote:
           | Right, but that time-horizon is orders of magnitudes compared
           | to fossils, no?
        
             | Ekaros wrote:
             | And accepting something comparable to coal leaves a lot of
             | time to sort things out. We are talking about hundreds of
             | years. Not only tens.
        
               | trenchgun wrote:
               | At least thousands of years with breeders.
        
           | smileysteve wrote:
           | This seems a bit reaching; especially considering breeding
           | reactors; and the amount of fuel contained in a small volume;
           | 
           | Lithium is not in great supply comparatively; Photovoltaics
           | depend on p/n junctions and silicon. Wind turbines depend on
           | rare earth magnets.
        
           | slaymaker1907 wrote:
           | This is only if you define sustainable == infinite which is
           | ridiculous. Sure solar power/wind power might be present long
           | after humanity is gone, but that doesn't mean we can continue
           | maintaining solar/wind power plants indefinitely, these
           | things take resources to produce. On the other hand, if we
           | define sustainable as being can we do this thing for a 1000
           | years without modification, modern nuclear power starts to
           | look a lot more sustainable.
        
         | gfft wrote:
         | In the EU, if Germany diktates that something is bad then so it
         | stays. While Germany energy is coal based (so its not just that
         | their low quality cars cheat on emissions to pollute the
         | continent) everyone in europe must obey and not use nuclear.
         | Hope the tide turn and we once again liberate this continent of
         | their fascism.
        
       | baq wrote:
       | By the time all needed nuclear reactors are built, there won't be
       | anything left to sustain. Time to first watt for nuclear is so
       | atrocious it isn't even funny. You could install and end of life
       | an equivalent amount of wind, solar and batteries for the same
       | money and time (...hyperbole, but maybe not).
        
         | germandiago wrote:
         | My limited understanding is that (this is France and Spain
         | FWIW) nuclear centrals way back were built to provide energy as
         | a first source, non-stop.
         | 
         | Wind and solar energies are _not_ stable and can grant all the
         | supply. So, at least in France, there has been at least one
         | nuclear central that was adapted as  "backup energy". It could
         | start/stop in one minute and increase every minute the amount
         | of energy by a lot, but I do not remember the numbers right
         | now, sorry.
         | 
         | All in all, and, as I said, with my limited understanding,
         | nuclear energy could be ok as a backup of energy if the
         | centrals are adapted or built on purpose for it, favoring clean
         | energy when possible.
         | 
         | In Spain, a windy day a few years ago could give you around 40%
         | of the supply for that day. There is also solar energy. But do
         | not forget, these energies are not a panacea: some days are
         | windy or sunny but others are not and the supply is much lower.
         | 
         | It looks to me like there is a lot of politization around this
         | and people keep repeating "wind, solar" as if that granted the
         | supply. That is factually wrong, I am pretty sure since I
         | consider my sources of information reliable (people close to me
         | having worked around 16 years in the energy market
         | exclusively).
        
           | baq wrote:
           | I completely agree, that's why I said "wind, solar and
           | batteries" :)
        
       | lutorm wrote:
       | For the purpose of the climate crisis, we should talk about
       | "carbon neutral" instead of "sustainable". It's both more clearly
       | defined and more relevant to the current challenge.
        
       | awillen wrote:
       | The lack of support for nuclear power is truly astounding,
       | especially as we watch the slow motion car crash of climate
       | change happening around us.
       | 
       | It's obviously unsurprising from anti-science Republicans, but
       | the Democratic party as a whole should be deeply embarrassed that
       | they're going toe to toe on irrationality with the other side on
       | such an important issue.
        
         | sebow wrote:
         | What are you talking about? I've never seen republicans talk
         | against nuclear, except maybe from those that are angry about
         | the effects of previous environmental damage where exotic
         | particles were found in food, soil, ended up in humans,etc. Not
         | necessarily from nuclear sources though.
         | 
         | In europe the vast majority of anti-nuclear rhetoric is coming
         | from the left, especially in Germany.I would also bet this is
         | the case in US, but never seen a good dataset made available on
         | this topic.It's not really an anti-science position, because
         | that would assume people are informed even in a non-scientific
         | way,whereas the reality is that the vast majority of anti-
         | nuclear folks are people who fear the "armageddon" from past
         | tragic events, coinciding with the "end is near" climate
         | doomsayers.You don't need a scientific understanding to assume
         | those positions, sadly.
         | 
         | Whatever the position one has,I think people should agree this
         | is a shitshow and sadly it has turned into a political
         | mess.Nuclear is the most green energy there is: it is efficient
         | and the (unavoidable) waste is very localized,unlike solar/wind
         | energy, where the downside effects are very hard to quantify,
         | and only recently the scientific community was made aware that
         | those are not without drawbacks.
        
         | vlozko wrote:
         | Whatever Republican's views are on climate change, they've been
         | consistently pro nuclear power.
        
           | kristofferR wrote:
           | Until Democrats' start supporting it, at least :/
        
             | hunterb123 wrote:
             | Well we won't know until Democrats start supporting it...
        
               | t-3 wrote:
               | I recall nuclear being part of Hillary Clinton's
               | presidential platform, and Biden has mentioned it as
               | well, though I'm not sure it's a priority for him.
               | Lobbyists are more an issue than political parties when
               | it comes to energy. Nuclear energy doesn't have a
               | powerful lobbying arm like Big Oil, unless you count the
               | military.
        
             | micromacrofoot wrote:
             | Won't really matter which party supports it because <50% of
             | the population supports is
        
           | elzbardico wrote:
           | Do they support it in their backyards? I do, but do they?
        
             | [deleted]
        
             | Alupis wrote:
             | I have yet to hear an argument from a pro-nuclear power
             | supporter that excluded building plants nearby.
             | 
             | Conversely, we tend to see massive wind and solar farms
             | built far away from the people most adamantly insisting
             | they are the only green future...
        
             | thehappypm wrote:
             | New Hampshire (the most conservative state in New England,
             | one of the most conservative states in the Northeast) has a
             | nuclear reactor, placed near its extremely short coastline.
        
         | dantheman wrote:
         | You need to stop thinking these parties make sense, both are
         | pro science, both are anti-science. They're a random set of
         | beliefs/agendas/policies that are not coherent. For instance,
         | before covid democrats were the party of the anti-vaxxers.
         | 
         | They don't represent the majority - their membership and
         | approval has been declining. They're about power and directing
         | money to their constituents.
        
         | kleer001 wrote:
         | I think it goes beyond political party. It sounds like a basic
         | human level misunderstanding and lack of foresight. Also the
         | understandable choice during the heyday to pick the one kind of
         | nuclear power that created weapons as a by product. Unless I'm
         | missing something. Is there a world-wide acceptance of nuclear
         | power and only the USA is outstanding in their phobia? I
         | honestly don't know, my understanding of world politics is a
         | bit thin.
        
       | Tsarbomb wrote:
       | Sometimes I feel crazy when people start arguing about nuclear.
       | Up here in Ontario, 60% of our power comes from nuclear. If
       | Canada can manage to have an indigenous nuclear industry with our
       | culture of regulations and red-tape, what on earth is stopping an
       | economic powerhouse like the EU.
        
         | rsj_hn wrote:
         | Politics, especially the green movement. They want the "war" on
         | CO2 to be about personal sacrifice and de-industrialization.
         | 
         | Sometimes I wish the European governments would open "climate
         | sanctuaries", where Green Party members and other individuals
         | can go and live for a while taking only cold showers, not using
         | any plastic, living with dim lightbulbs and low flush toilets,
         | and perhaps even whipping themselves occasionally.
         | 
         | As they leave, they will get a certificate that says they
         | helped to "save the planet". The dedicated ones can live there
         | while less dedicated visit just for a few hours on Sundays.
         | 
         | Meanwhile the actual governments can build out nuclear power
         | and do something that is effective. This would give both sides
         | what they want.
        
         | Gravityloss wrote:
         | Let's do it! Macron just announced the French are doing small
         | nuclear reactors with a massive investment.
        
       | Maakuth wrote:
       | The next good nuclear news from Finland will hopefully be about
       | the new reactor entering production, currently expected in the
       | next June. The EPR construction has been impossibly overtime and
       | over budget, but one would hope constructing more of the same
       | type of unit should be faster. Right?
        
         | Factorium wrote:
         | The operating costs of Nuclear are minimal, the problem is
         | planning, building, regulating, decommissioning them.
         | 
         | On that basis, modular nuclear reactors seem to make the most
         | sense. Rolls Royce in the UK looks to be onto a winner with
         | their 470mw SMR:
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_small_modular_reactor_...
         | 
         | 2 years site prep, 2 years building the unit. PS1.8 billion per
         | unit. They could be mass produced with the right investment.
         | 
         | Operate them for 60 years each, take out the remaining fuel,
         | and just leave the rest of the power plant in the ground
         | forever.
         | 
         | We should be mass producing these units right now and
         | installing them across the EU, UK, USA, Australia. We could be
         | building 100 a year with the right investment.
        
         | hannob wrote:
         | Wrong:
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flamanville_Nuclear_Power_Plan...
        
           | liotier wrote:
           | Flamanville and Olkiluoto are the lead ships in that class.
           | They pay for the loss of institutional knowledge since
           | building the previous generation in France. Now with that
           | experience the new EPR design (EPR 2) improves for the coming
           | series.
        
           | Maakuth wrote:
           | I know OL3 is not the only EPR under construction.
           | Flamanville construction was started too early though, to
           | augment much of the lessons learned from the other plant's
           | construction. In fact I think both plants have had quite
           | similar problems. It is these things that I would expect to
           | be better understood in the possible future EPR projects.
        
       | errantspark wrote:
       | The whole nuclear power situation is a total clownshow. Here in
       | California we've regulated nuclear out of existence and we're
       | replacing it with natural gas in an effort to save the
       | environment/children. Truly as fucking stupid as it sounds.
        
         | sm0ss117 wrote:
         | Look, in order to prevent scary radiation from entering the
         | environment through nuclear we have to use clean and even more
         | radioactive natural gas.
        
           | Siecje wrote:
           | Can you explain how natural gas is radioactive?
        
             | sm0ss117 wrote:
             | https://www.epa.gov/radiation/tenorm-oil-and-gas-
             | production-... Basically there are radioactive rocks in the
             | deposits that natural gas is stored in. Additionally there
             | is some radioactive gas in the Gas deposits as a result of
             | radioactive decay.
        
             | ben_w wrote:
             | Wikipedia says radon gets into it:
             | 
             | """Radon is found in some petroleum. Because radon has a
             | similar pressure and temperature curve to propane, and oil
             | refineries separate petrochemicals based on their boiling
             | points, the piping carrying freshly separated propane in
             | oil refineries can become radioactive because of decaying
             | radon and its products.[84]
             | 
             | Residues from the petroleum and natural gas industry often
             | contain radium and its daughters. The sulfate scale from an
             | oil well can be radium rich, while the water, oil, and gas
             | from a well often contains radon. Radon decays to form
             | solid radioisotopes that form coatings on the inside of
             | pipework.[84]""" - https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radon
             | 
             | Unfortunately citation 84 is a dead link: "Potential for
             | Elevated Radiation Levels In Propane" (PDF). National
             | Energy Board. April 1994. Retrieved 2009-07-07" -
             | http://www.neb-one.gc.ca/clf-
             | nsi/rsftyndthnvrnmnt/sfty/sftyd...
        
               | jhgb wrote:
               | Except natural gas does not get distilled propane added
               | into it (or at least I'm not aware of anyone doing that;
               | the varying composition of natural gas is due to its
               | varying geological origins).
        
         | jhgb wrote:
         | > Here in California we've regulated nuclear out of existence
         | 
         | That sounds weird to me in light of the regulatory capture of
         | US nuclear industry. I remember the incident with the thinning
         | piping being "fixed" by adjusting (downwards) the thickness
         | required by the regulations, until the pipe burst. If anything
         | the regulators seem to be bending over backwards for the
         | utility operators.
        
         | option wrote:
         | that is wrong. We are replacing it with coal in Utah. LA county
         | buys up to 20% of its electricity from Utah, triggering a coal
         | and gas expansion there.
        
       | sMarsIntruder wrote:
       | They did that because they're both deep into it and because
       | that's the right thing to do. Just for comparison let's have a
       | look at the "green" Germany emissions.
        
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