[HN Gopher] Photos from NASA's Perseverance rover indicate ancie...
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       Photos from NASA's Perseverance rover indicate ancient flash floods
       on Mars
        
       Author : el_duderino
       Score  : 92 points
       Date   : 2021-10-10 17:40 UTC (5 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.science.org)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.science.org)
        
       | johnklos wrote:
       | We've known about these for decades - this is just confirmation
       | because there were naysayers that insisted otherwise.
        
         | ChuckMcM wrote:
         | Yes and no right? What I mean is that this is how science
         | works, where someone says "This is the answer to this question"
         | and someone else says "No there is this other answer to the
         | question." And what follows are a series of investigations into
         | why the other person's answer is wrong and your answer is
         | right. Eventually a lot of evidence has been gathered and a lot
         | of theories and predictions have been tested, and then we can
         | say "With everything we know so far, the only possible correct
         | answer is 'A'" which becomes the answer of record. And the
         | longer it holds up against people trying to prove it could also
         | be 'B' or for some reason it could not be 'A' then the more
         | consensus we have that it is the correct answer.
        
         | cronix wrote:
         | Or, it's good to confirm what you think you know.
        
       | harwoodleon wrote:
       | I was watching the ISS live feed going over North West Africa and
       | up to Italy. The landscape was red and arid and it struck me just
       | how 'Mars like' it looked.
       | 
       | It got me thinking that Earth could be facing the same destiny
       | many aeons from now. It's hard to imagine with the amount of H2O
       | on the planet right now, but if it can happen to Mars (the
       | atmosphere is stripped away), it could happen here I suppose.
       | 
       | But I wonder if a Venus situation is more likely first, because
       | of our proximity to the Sun?
       | 
       | This discovery certainly makes me feel that lifecycle of planets
       | is an awesome thing.
        
         | krisoft wrote:
         | About North Africa: archeological findings seems to imply that
         | what is now the Sahara desert was much more lush and wet
         | relatively recently. We have human made cave paintings of river
         | animals in areas which are very dry nowadays. It is thought
         | that the area dried out relatively suddenly about 5k years ago.
         | That is basically yesterday as far as geological timescales go.
         | 
         | When I learned about this I got kinda scarred. If the climate
         | of an area can change this drastically all of a sudden that
         | means to me that the climate system is a lot less stable than I
         | previously have thougt.
        
           | jandrewrogers wrote:
           | Something similar happened on a smaller scale in North
           | America with Lake Lahontan[0], which covered much of Nevada
           | after the last ice age. If you walk the old shoreline up on
           | the mountainsides, it is not uncommon to find evidence of the
           | neolithic people that lived on its shores before it
           | disappeared.
           | 
           | [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Lahontan
        
           | MayeulC wrote:
           | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/African_humid_period
           | 
           | IIRC one of the causes might be orbital precession, which
           | could lead to a re-greening in a few millenia.
        
         | mixmastamyk wrote:
         | The much larger mass, gravity, and magnetic field of Earth
         | prevents large scale atmospheric losses. Whether we have the
         | resources to ignite another Venus remains to be seen.
        
           | exporectomy wrote:
           | Remains to be seen or is already known to be impossible? All
           | the carbon in fossil fuels originally came from the
           | atmospheric CO2, didn't it? And it was never as hot as Venus.
           | What are the steps we would need to take to make it as hot as
           | Venus in any kind of physically possible scenario?
        
             | mixmastamyk wrote:
             | Too many variables to account for.
             | 
             | Didn't mean to imply we could get "as hot as" Venus, which
             | is unlikely due to our distance from the Sun. But hot
             | enough to boil water? Possibly, given a runaway chain
             | reaction. Not sure.
        
             | virtue3 wrote:
             | You are drastically under-estimating the effects of other
             | compounds in the atmosphere.
             | 
             | Methane is a really good example.
             | 
             | HFCs were a great bit of disaster for a bit there as well.
             | 
             | from: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_gas#Impacts_
             | on_the_...
             | 
             | "The contribution of each gas to the greenhouse effect is
             | determined by the characteristics of that gas, its
             | abundance, and any indirect effects it may cause. For
             | example, the direct radiative effect of a mass of methane
             | is about 84 times stronger than the same mass of carbon
             | dioxide over a 20-year time frame[27] but it is present in
             | much smaller concentrations so that its total direct
             | radiative effect has so far been smaller, in part due to
             | its shorter atmospheric lifetime in the absence of
             | additional carbon sequestration. On the other hand, in
             | addition to its direct radiative impact, methane has a
             | large, indirect radiative effect because it contributes to
             | ozone formation. Shindell et al. (2005)[28] argues that the
             | contribution to climate change from methane is at least
             | double previous estimates as a result of this effect.[29]"
        
               | [deleted]
        
         | 5faulker wrote:
         | And here's we are at a paradox, where one side is attempting to
         | escape imminent danger by traveling outside Earth, and in doing
         | so potentially accelerating its instability.
        
         | heavyset_go wrote:
         | > _It's hard to imagine with the amount of H2O on the planet
         | right now, but if it can happen to Mars (the atmosphere is
         | stripped away), it could happen here I suppose._
         | 
         | Mars' atmosphere isn't protected by a strong magnetic field
         | because the planet isn't geologically active, unlike the Earth.
         | Gasses escape from the Earth into space constantly, but not at
         | a rate that will leave the Earth like Mars before the sun
         | becomes a red giant.
         | 
         | In billions of years, the sun will expand and probably blast
         | away the Earth's atmosphere before possibly engulfing it later.
        
           | kibwen wrote:
           | I'm no astrophysicist, but I'm under the impression that the
           | effect of the magnetosphere is popularly overstated. Rather,
           | the reason that Earth still has its atmosphere and Mars
           | doesn't is that Earth has the gravity to hold onto it more
           | tightly, and Mars is just too small. Hence why Venus, which
           | also (curiously) has no dynamic magnetosphere, still has an
           | atmosphere: it's 80% the mass of Earth (compare Mars, which
           | is 10% the mass of Earth).
        
       | therealdrag0 wrote:
       | I once saw a clip of Elon saying the fast way to terraform Mars
       | is to nuke the poles. And now that I'm watching The Expanse it
       | got me thinking about that. Except for the possible impact on
       | passive scientific study, it seems like a process worth starting
       | sooner than later right?
       | 
       | Any thoughts on this. Or are there other better ways to get a
       | better atmosphere and water on Mars?
        
         | spfzero wrote:
         | Right now Mars is a pristine snapshot of processes I think we'd
         | like to learn more about. We should propose Terraforming only
         | after we think we've learned pretty much everything we care
         | about.
         | 
         | I'm not against terraforming eventually, but I think we need to
         | give exploration a bit of time before considering which early
         | 21st century tech would work best.
        
         | JumpCrisscross wrote:
         | > _nuke the poles_
         | 
         | Nuking asteroids to steer them into the poles would seem like a
         | better solution. (Haven't run the math on the delta-v for
         | candidate impactors, though. You'd need to manage energy to
         | avoid losing too much to space.)
        
         | IAmGraydon wrote:
         | I think that comment was tongue in cheek. It would take an
         | utterly massive amount of nuclear weapons to appreciably melt
         | the poles and it would likely poison the environment.
        
         | tsimionescu wrote:
         | First of all, never listen to Elon Musk on scientific topics,
         | he has no training and often spouts nonsense which he later may
         | decide was a joke.
         | 
         | Second of all, nuking obviously (1) produces far too little
         | energy for terraforming, and (2) produces large amounts of dust
         | and radioactive fallout. It's also very doubtful that melting
         | Mars's poles would do much to help with the habitability of
         | Mars - it will still be extremely cold, extremely lacking in
         | Oxygen, extremely lacking in atmospheric pressure, and
         | extremely radioactive on the surface.
         | 
         | We also don't know how much water is left on Mars after the
         | atmosphere was washed away - water may have frozen, but a good
         | amount may have simply boiled away in the low pressure and been
         | long carried away by the solar winds. Until we know for sure,
         | boiling away more water would be extremely irresponsible.
         | 
         | Also, given humanity's current total energy output, there is
         | simply no way to terraform Mars. If in the future we will
         | discover some way of using orders of magnitude more energy, we
         | could visit this, but given current scientific knowledge, any
         | energy used to start terraforming Mars is as wasted as trying
         | to terraform the Sun.
        
           | whoknowswhat11 wrote:
           | I think a lot of the folks who have claimed musk is wrong on
           | the science (ie, pro hydrogen, anti nuke etc folks) are
           | surprisingly poorly informed.
           | 
           | They have nuclear designs which are 98% fusion. The
           | radioactive fallout for these is much more limited.
           | 
           | For example, atomic lake (which was terraformed with nuclear
           | bombs), has radiation levels of 9 uSv vs 3 from background
           | per week
           | 
           | What's even weirder about the "pro-science" folks - they
           | don't seem to understand radiation exposure ranges in space.
           | Surface of mars is going to have radiation levels on the
           | order of 20 uSv per HOUR - we are talking RADS/year (not mili
           | rads).
           | 
           | That said, impactors or nuclear power on the surface are
           | likely more feasible.
        
             | magicalist wrote:
             | > _They have nuclear designs which are 98% fusion. The
             | radioactive fallout for these is much more limited._
             | 
             | > _For example, atomic lake (which was terraformed with
             | nuclear bombs), has radiation levels of 9 uSv vs 3 from
             | background per week_
             | 
             | It's kind of weird to take an authoritative stance with
             | that example. "atomic lake" was from an _underground_
             | detonation of a moderate-yield fission device 50 years ago
             | and largely just moved dirt around while still sending up
             | detectable radioactive waste. OK, you can go _near_ the
             | lake now without ill effect but you 've accomplished...what
             | exactly?
             | 
             | So scale it up to what is actually needed to vaporize a
             | meaningful amount of the ice caps and look at how effective
             | that would be at making a dent in the Martian atmosphere
             | and the GP has a very good point. It's not a workable idea.
        
           | mensetmanusman wrote:
           | ?????
           | 
           | " (2) produces large amounts of dust..."
           | 
           | The purpose would be to produce dust to spark a warming
           | feedback loop...
        
             | _Microft wrote:
             | We would want something that lets light through but traps
             | the heat, meaning that it needs to be intransparent for
             | infrared radiation. That's basically greenhouse gases.
             | Carbon dioxide and water vapor fit the bill.
        
             | tsimionescu wrote:
             | Dust cools, it doesn't help with warming. Also, martian
             | dust is extremely erosive, dust storms are already a major
             | problem for the prospect of above-surfave structures (such
             | as sun panels). Kicking up massive amounts of dust for who
             | knows how long into the atmosphere may well backfire.
        
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       (page generated 2021-10-10 23:00 UTC)