[HN Gopher] Lockdown, distance learning likely to increase socia...
       ___________________________________________________________________
        
       Lockdown, distance learning likely to increase social class
       achievement gap
        
       Author : infodocket
       Score  : 206 points
       Date   : 2021-09-27 14:32 UTC (8 hours ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.nature.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.nature.com)
        
       | eric_b wrote:
       | This is my US-based perspective:
       | 
       | Closing schools last year due to COVID was as bad of a policy as
       | putting COVID patients in nursing homes (looking at you MN and
       | NY). We knew by September of _last year_ that kids were less
       | impacted by COVID (they spread it less, they get less ill etc).
       | We learned from Europe that it wasn 't killing teachers at an
       | increased rate either (a fear-based argument I heard ad nauseum
       | in my very blue state).
       | 
       | There was no good science-based argument to close schools last
       | year in the US, especially when restaurants and hair salons were
       | reopened. But political polarization - exacerbated by the media -
       | ensured we did the worst possible thing for our children. I am
       | continually disgusted with every person I encounter who promoted
       | (and in many cases still promote) remote learning.
       | 
       | Rich parents could afford professional tutors and create pods and
       | go to other great lengths to ensure their kids got _some_
       | education. Meanwhile the poor parents were going to work in-
       | person and leaving their kids to fend for themselves (many of
       | whom, at least where I live, turned to committing crimes)
       | 
       | The most disgusting part is the people most in favor of closing
       | schools were rich, left-leaning white collar workers. Nevermind
       | that the very people they purportedly want to help with their
       | policies were the most harmed. As long as you say the right
       | words, who cares about outcomes yeah?
        
         | dageshi wrote:
         | The main issue with schools is that the kids catch it, don't
         | suffer with it much but pass it to their parents and
         | potentially grand parents. Schools are just a great nexuses for
         | rapidly spreading covid through communities.
        
           | mikem170 wrote:
           | It is true that kids are always spreading respiratory
           | ailments. We've always had to live with this risk.
           | 
           | It seems to matter how dangerous the situation is, how
           | helpful closing the schools actually is, and how much harm we
           | are doing to kids in order to hopefully protect others. It
           | doesn't help that we don't have exact numbers for some of
           | this. Nor would people assess these risks the same, even if
           | they agree on the numbers.
           | 
           | For example, some people don't think that covid is that
           | dangerous, given that only 1 in 500 people have died and we
           | now have a vaccine. Some people think the harm to kids is
           | significant, especially those just starting school and how
           | long they have been locked down. Some people question how
           | effective closing schools has actually been, how many lives
           | are actually being saved, or are we only delaying the
           | inevitable spread of this through the entire population. Some
           | people feel the opposite, they are vulnerable and want to
           | impose on others to lesson risk to themselves.
           | 
           | Keeping schools closed now that we have vaccines doesn't make
           | as much sense as before. If the vaccines are 95% effective at
           | preventing death and hospitalization then there is 95% less
           | reason for keeping schools closed.
        
             | dageshi wrote:
             | I broadly agree, with vaccines I don't really think there's
             | a good reason to keep schools closed. Before I think it
             | made sense to err on the side of caution.
        
         | credit_guy wrote:
         | > The most disgusting part is the people most in favor of
         | closing schools were rich, left-leaning white collar workers
         | 
         | Correction: the people most in favor of closing schools were
         | the teachers' unions. And they are a tremendous political force
         | in the US.
         | 
         | Right now (Monday 27-Sept-2021) the teacher's union in NYC is
         | arguing that retaining unvaccinated teachers is somehow good
         | for children's safety, and brought the case in front of a
         | Federal Court.
         | 
         | https://abc7ny.com/covid-vaccine-mandate-nyc-teachers-ny-hea...
        
           | Supermancho wrote:
           | > the people most in favor of closing schools were the
           | teachers' unions.
           | 
           | I'm not sure they can be "most in favor" when they are groups
           | of organizations. They are easily the groups with the most
           | influence in how schools are structured.
        
         | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
         | I'm confused about HN. Everyone here seems to agree that in
         | person learning is best and not remote, but exactly the other
         | way around when it comes to work and I wonder why. Is learning
         | not happening at work as well, especially when you're at the
         | beginning of your career?
         | 
         | For me, as a junior, remote work has pretty much been
         | devastating on the learning side of things as well as being
         | invisible to management when it comes to career prospects.
         | Sure, it benefited the seniors as they could more easily dodge
         | some of the annoying responsibility of tutoring the juniors and
         | leave early when their work was done and they had enough time
         | to rub shoulders with management before the pandemic to have
         | guaranteed career prospects.
         | 
         | So, to whit, I'm wonder if the teachers also enjoyed remote
         | teaching more to the detriment of the kids?
        
           | Supermancho wrote:
           | > I'm confused about HN. Everyone here seems to agree that in
           | person learning is best and not remote, but exactly the other
           | way around when it comes to work
           | 
           | One group is composed of children, who we collectively agree
           | need to be supervised for the good of their future and
           | society at large. Kids are irresponsible and we cannot throw
           | kids out of the system when they fail at those expectations.
           | So to maximize participation, you need intervention. The
           | other is not the same, because they are adults and held to
           | different expectations or they are removed from the system.
           | Attendance is not an effective measure of success in almost
           | any work environment (where you can complete tasks remotely)
           | so remote is fine, in these cases. There's nothing confusing
           | about it.
        
           | Normal_gaussian wrote:
           | Consider that it is not the same people that comment on every
           | post, but those most invested in sharing their point of view.
        
           | api wrote:
           | > exactly the other way around when it comes to work and I
           | wonder why.
           | 
           | Telework isn't ideal, but it offers us a chance to break the
           | big city real estate hyperinflation trap. If all good jobs
           | must be concentrated in SF, NYC, LA, and Seattle, then the
           | choice is "no jobs or unaffordable real estate, pick one."
           | Either way you lose. Everyone loses except property owners in
           | those cities (who bought before the inflation).
           | 
           | Long term my hope is that telework and diaspora lead to re-
           | nucleation of talent centers in lots of places all over the
           | country, a reversal of the geographic consolidation trend of
           | the past 20-30 years.
           | 
           | Of all industries, this is the one we would expect to be at
           | the forefront of geographic de-consolidation. We could, you
           | know, actually use this Internet thing we built.
        
           | bena wrote:
           | Because both of these things impact them in different ways.
           | 
           | Remote learning means they are responsible for the upkeep of
           | their children during the day. There are more demands on
           | their time and resources.
           | 
           | Remote work means they are less beholden to their employers.
           | There are fewer demands on their time and resources.
           | 
           | So "remote learning bad" and "remote work good" aren't
           | opposing opinions if you realize that their opinion isn't
           | about the nature of "remote" but about the demands on their
           | time and resources.
           | 
           | And let's not forget that all day primary school is a
           | relatively modern invention. All the talk about socialization
           | and whatever, somehow children got that before the invention
           | of school.
           | 
           | People who complain about "the politicization" of a topic are
           | themselves engaging in politicization of the same. But trying
           | to use the accusation as a cudgel to get their way. It's
           | almost as if they've defined "politicization" as "not getting
           | my way". I've hardly met anyone who seriously used a
           | politicization argument in a good faith manner. Not to
           | mention, it's not a good argument either. Whether or not
           | something is contentious is hardly ever a factor in whether
           | or not it should or should not be done.
           | 
           | I mean, there are other things in his post that are telling,
           | but he's got a certain worldview and he's going to interpret
           | whatever data that comes through, mix it with some personal
           | anecdotes, and spice it up with what he intuits to be correct
           | so that his predetermined conclusion is reached.
           | 
           | And about whether or not teachers enjoyed remote teaching, it
           | was a challenge. I'm sure some enjoyed it, but it would vary
           | by grade level and socio-economic factors.
           | 
           | So while there are plenty of children who probably lost a
           | year of education (although depending on the grade level,
           | catching up isn't much of an issue), with over 700,000 dead
           | and counting even with the precautions we _did_ take (among
           | those who took them, of course), it 's hard to say what the
           | effect of putting all of these kids in school along with the
           | attendant support staff would have been. Because there's way
           | more opportunity for cross-contamination when you do that.
           | Especially with families with members working in public-
           | facing essential jobs. Anyone arguing otherwise is just
           | playing hypothetical hindsight games.
        
           | burnafter182 wrote:
           | From my anecdotal experiences, teachers did not like it,
           | unanimously. And my N is about 50, so take it how you may.
        
           | PoignardAzur wrote:
           | _> I 'm confused about HN. Everyone here seems to agree that
           | in person learning is best and not remote, but exactly the
           | other way around when it comes to work and I wonder why. _
           | 
           | Hot take: because school as most of us conceive it is
           | fundamentally about soft-coercing children into ignoring that
           | they're bored out of their mind so they can focus on
           | something they don't really care about learning.
           | 
           | Remote school fails for the same reason old-school management
           | can't be remote: because its efficacy strongly depends on the
           | teacher's ability to coerce children, and it falls apart when
           | you remove that ability.
           | 
           | (I'm curious how we'd determine if anything I just said is
           | actually true. I'd want to look at how well Montessori
           | schools adapted to the pandemic, but their philosophy is kind
           | of remote-hostile too.)
        
           | testplzignore wrote:
           | I think some of it is the different priorities between
           | children and adults. For themselves, adults might care more
           | about convenience than learning, given that 1) they have many
           | more important priorities than learning, and 2) adults don't
           | have the ability to learn that much (compared to children).
           | It's the opposite for children of course. Learning is the
           | number one priority.
           | 
           | For me personally, I totally agree that remote work is worse
           | for the learning aspect of the job, and is a total disaster
           | for the social aspect.
        
             | ChuckNorris89 wrote:
             | _> It's the opposite for children of course. Learning is
             | the number one priority._
             | 
             | IDK about other kids but when I was in school, my number
             | one priority was having fun outside with my friends or
             | playing video games. Learning was never a priority as a
             | kid, but a chore, a forced exercise on the hamster wheel.
        
               | saurik wrote:
               | "the" not "their"
        
           | bzbarsky wrote:
           | Context: have been doing remote software work for 13-18 years
           | (depending on whether you want to count part-time work). Had
           | kids in fully remote school spring 2020, hybrid for most of
           | 2020-2021 school year, fully back to school since spring
           | 2021.
           | 
           | Remote work as a junior is _very_ hard, for most people. Even
           | worse as an intern.
           | 
           | Remotely mentoring a junior is likewise pretty hard: you have
           | to build in more structure than you would if you're sitting
           | next to each other, and it requires more remote-awareness
           | discipline on the part of the junior, which they may not have
           | yet. Remotely mentoring an intern is pretty impossible in
           | most cases. Taking on interns is something I have not really
           | done, because it would not be fair to them...
           | 
           | For learning, remote learning in kindergarten with the tools
           | we had last year is an absolute shit-show (starting with the
           | fact that the kids can't read yet, so even communicating what
           | they should be doing to them can be quite difficult). Not
           | even the most self-motivated kids can make a lot of progress
           | in that environment. And the kindergarten teachers I talked
           | to completely hated it. They had to invest a lot more time
           | than usual, for worse outcomes than usual. Of course these
           | were teachers who cared about doing their job. :)
           | 
           | Remote learning in late middle to high school (think 13+)
           | still has obvious challenges (science labs? access to
           | equipment? a quiet space for the student to work at home?),
           | but it's a lot closer to viable than kindergarten. The most
           | self-motivated kids can do OK. Everyone else does somewhat
           | worse than they do in-person, not least because they are
           | sitting there at a device with endless temptation even more
           | at their fingertips than in class in terms of social media
           | and whatnot. Doing all the homework electronically can be a
           | PITA compared to writing on paper (e.g. for geometry), but
           | that may not be an inherent feature of remote learning.
           | 
           | In between, it's a gradient from the complete insanity of K
           | to the sorta-maybe-viable-if-we-have-to of high school.
           | Basically, remote stuff requires a lot more maturity and
           | self-discipline, both for school and work...
           | 
           | I love working remote for various reasons, but there are
           | plenty of times I wish I could just hop into the same room as
           | some of my co-workers and sort things out on a big shared
           | blackboard; the tech for this is just not there yet in
           | practice. I would never claim that remote work is always
           | best, or for everyone.
           | 
           | So maybe it's just selection bias, in terms of what you see
           | on HN? Takes a lot longer to type something like the above
           | than "remote work is the best"...
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | ericmcer wrote:
         | If you have ever lived with a kid it is crazy how often they
         | and you will be sick. I lived with a friend who had an 8 year
         | old a few years ago and went from maybe getting sick once a
         | year to almost monthly minor illnesses. 8 year olds are
         | basically disease factories who take no precautions.
        
           | mikem170 wrote:
           | I know what you mean, sometimes it seems that little kids
           | always have a runny nose.
           | 
           | I've assumed it would be a long-term bad thing if we don't
           | allow for this. Perhaps it is better for kids to encounter
           | all these rhinoviruses and coronaviruses when they are young.
           | Maybe a lot of them are like covid-19, easy to fend off when
           | young but deadly when older. Maybe that is why people
           | sometimes die of the common cold, because they never caught
           | that particular virus when young.
        
       | nemo44x wrote:
       | Where I live the public school shut down all of last year and
       | only started in-classroom again this year after lots of
       | frustration and fighting from parents and the teachers union.
       | Many of these kids will be behind, some nearly an entire year.
       | Especially ones where the parents had to go to work all year and
       | they were without much supervision.
       | 
       | The private school near me, which charges about $50k/year stayed
       | open all year last year and increased their enrollment from
       | parents frustrated with the public system. Students from the
       | private school are already about 1.5-2 years ahead of the public
       | schools during normal times (according to testing and
       | testimonials from students that have attended both schools) and
       | now with Covid and the effects of that, they are likely 2.5 years
       | or more ahead.
       | 
       | So yes, the working and poor classes are the biggest victims in
       | all of this in my opinion. If you had money you either sent your
       | kids to private school or you were able to arrange "pods" where
       | parents each chipped in $10k or more for the year to have a
       | version of group home schooling by professionals.
        
       | kaesar14 wrote:
       | I feel there was a very strong brand of thinking in this country,
       | particularly among the gung-ho pro-lockdown (mostly) liberal wing
       | of society, that distance education wouldn't harm children's
       | development at all, or at least that the benefits of lockdown
       | would outweigh the drawbacks. No studies done on the matter, and
       | any disagreement to the contrary of this opinion was treated the
       | same as saying END ALL LOCKDOWNS. Sad to see the consequences of
       | this will mostly be laid upon the children and mostly the poor.
        
         | spookthesunset wrote:
         | Yup. In some cities you can't even erect a cluster of cell
         | antennas on a roof without a public design review and here we
         | are making the largest public policy decisions of our lifetime
         | with absolutely no involvement from the public. In fact many
         | people will scream at you for "not listening to the experts" if
         | you bring this up.
         | 
         | The bullying, censorship, gaslighting, and straight up
         | authoritarianism over the last year and a half has been unreal.
        
         | encryptluks2 wrote:
         | Pretty sure at this point any disagreement automatically means
         | you're a right-wing anti-vaccine protester who it is now
         | socially acceptable to wish death upon and cough on hoping they
         | get COVID-19. At least that is the impression I get from
         | r/Portland and r/VancouverWA where these new left-wing
         | terrorist communities are being bred.
        
           | bosswipe wrote:
           | Wow. As a more left-wing person I've been shadow banned on HN
           | for much less than this. HN used to be one of the few places
           | where intelligent debate accros political spectrum was
           | allowed. If you look at this whole comment thread all you see
           | is one POV.
        
             | eli_gottlieb wrote:
             | I'm quite left-wing myself (check out my downvoted comments
             | against capitalism, lol), but it's a simple _fact_ that
             | local civil-society has combined with local activism in
             | much of the developed world to generate a nasty sequel to
             | 60s-70s-style ultraleftism. Are they some second coming of
             | Stalin? Hell no, but are they going to go to every single
             | planning board meeting, run for school board, and screech
             | nasty names at you when you disagree with their most
             | obviously self-serving, power-grabbing hot-takes? Oh yeah,
             | they 've been doing that at least five years now, if not
             | longer.
        
       | harlanji wrote:
       | I had achieved a nice middle class life and faced a setback that
       | left me homeless 18 months before pandemic began. Hard worker
       | from ages 14 to 32ish when pandemic hit, even crawling back up
       | from homelessness with labor and service jobs.
       | 
       | Now I've been forced into an abusive situation that seems
       | terminal. The working class where I come from love to abuse me
       | and refuse to understand how hard I've worked in last decades,
       | and the wealthy who I used to be close with largely dismiss me as
       | irrelevant or mentally ill. Due to legal problems created while
       | in my vulnerable state I can't even expect to pass a background
       | check and get work.
       | 
       | Not so much about me, but I just know I'm far from alone in
       | sinking into terrible circumstances. I anticipate a sharp rise in
       | domestic violence and similar boil overs as winter closes in and
       | the ability to retreat is compromised (mouse bites cat only when
       | cornered).
        
       | tbihl wrote:
       | Basically, beneficial environments are anything but guaranteed.
       | Plus, quiet is an underappreciated luxury good (and an
       | underappreciated aspect of public libraries); seriously, poverty
       | is so loud.
        
         | tombert wrote:
         | Agreed. When I started doing online school, I figured I would
         | work on my bed, next to my wife, and have the TV on playing
         | "King of the Hill" or something else I've seen a million times
         | and thus could tune out.
         | 
         | That was definitely _not_ the case; I found that trying this
         | just made me worse at studying _and_ worse at watching TV.
         | Eventually I cleaned my basement (which I 'm lucky to have),
         | put a desk down there, and made that my "don't bother Tom cuz
         | he's studying" zone, and it was much easier as a result.
         | 
         | I cannot imagine that I would have completed school if I were
         | living in a one-bedroom apartment.
        
         | fighterpilot wrote:
         | Which is a reason why we need more aggressive laws around noise
         | pollution. Leaf blowers, excessively loud motorcycles and cars
         | and potentially purely cosmetic renovations in dense areas
         | should be illegal or heavily taxed. What gives anyone the right
         | to spike my cortisol and raise my risk of dementia and other
         | negative health outcomes just so they can exercise their
         | stylistic preferences when quieter substitutes exist?
        
         | beckman466 wrote:
         | > quiet is an underappreciated luxury good (and an
         | underappreciated aspect of public libraries); seriously,
         | poverty is so loud.
         | 
         | this is one of the most compassionate things i've read today.
         | thank you
        
           | geebee wrote:
           | Agreed, thank you for this. I think we should do more to
           | defend quiet spaces.I work for a library, and much of the
           | emphasis is on creating "collaborative" spaces. Those are
           | important too, and I fully understand the irritation
           | librarians have with the "shhhhh!" meme. But public silent
           | spaces are rare, and may be a truly under appreciated
           | resource by people who have the means to access quite private
           | spaces.
        
             | beckman466 wrote:
             | The compassionate part I was talking about was the
             | acknowledgement that kids today don't have the equal
             | opportunities in schools that many claim they do.
             | Environmental context (rich family or not) matters.
             | 
             | "quiet is a luxury good" + "seriously, poverty is so loud"
             | 
             | Having said that, I do agree with your point about the need
             | for quiet spaces.
        
       | say_it_as_it_is wrote:
       | Distance learning is being used as a scapegoat. High school kids
       | with elementary-school level reading comprehension skills didn't
       | suddenly forget how to read during the pandemic, nor was their
       | passion for reading extinguished by physical distancing.
       | 
       | If the Biden administration were to spend a Billion dollars
       | funding additional school programs, the educational disparity may
       | be even more pronounced in a few years as the children and
       | families who take education seriously use the resources available
       | while the others don't.
        
       | refurb wrote:
       | I notice this in SF. The well off parents had private tutors
       | pretty quickly after school closed and even middle class parents
       | would split the bill across 5 kids.
       | 
       | They didn't miss a beat at all. While the lower income families
       | struggle with virtual classes while the parents tried to make
       | ends meet.
        
         | cpncrunch wrote:
         | In the UK, even before COVID there was a government funded
         | Pupil Premium programme [1] which gave funding for
         | disadvantaged pupils to get private tutoring.
         | 
         | Additionally, during COVID, there is a new National Tutoring
         | Programme which allows all schools to get funding for private
         | tutoring [2].
         | 
         | I think it's really important that private online tutoring
         | shouldn't be restricted to well-off parents, as it just
         | perpetuates the poverty gap.
         | 
         | [1] https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/pupil-
         | premium/pup... [2] https://nationaltutoring.org.uk/
        
         | jackson1442 wrote:
         | Exactly. I was a private tutor thru 2020 and this was my
         | experience - it was much less "I'm falling behind" clients and
         | more me just teaching the content since the online group
         | instruction just wasn't working.
        
         | scop wrote:
         | This. Just like with various decriminalization laws, the poor
         | suffer the consequences while the rich feel no consequences of
         | their "deeply caring" policies.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | lithium_throw wrote:
           | And we all went along with it! And gladly shot down anyone
           | who breathed a defiant word! Oh how we never learn.
        
             | darkwizard42 wrote:
             | This comment seems a bit flippant. The choice was distance
             | learning (something) vs. close down schools entirely and...
             | ban students from learning at all?
             | 
             | There was a pandemic and I think in many districts they
             | made as good a switch to digital learning as they could and
             | tried to be effective. Unfortunately we had a black swan
             | event so its a bit disingenuous to act like "we never
             | learn"
        
               | dustintrex wrote:
               | Or do what Sweden did, and never close the schools at
               | all, and still end up with overall mortality (across
               | total population, not just kids) less than most US
               | states.
        
               | lithium_throw wrote:
               | There was a pandemic that basically left kids untouched,
               | and frankly barely registers on the scale of deadly
               | pandemics for almost everyone else.
               | 
               | Let's at least be honest about it - the decision was made
               | to avoid any risk of disease and close schools, and
               | instead pass on the negative effects to those unable to
               | prosper in the new learning regime. That is, those
               | without private tuition, and/or a stable home environment
               | with some kind of suitable space to focus on online
               | learning. In my opinion, the education and welfare of
               | children should be somewhere near the very top of any
               | priority list, and in this case, we have utterly failed
               | them in our scramble to be "Covid safe". Has anyone
               | noticed that the near-retirement-age folks at the top of
               | the power pyramid seem to be doing just fine, as they
               | demanded everything be shut down to "protect" people like
               | themselves? Fortunately, my kids are young enough that I
               | may never have to tell them anything about this pandemic.
               | 
               | Edit: And do you know who will pay for all of this? Me,
               | and people like me. I will be burdened with the societal
               | and economic costs of this for the rest of my life, just
               | because I have a decent enough job and a family I cannot
               | fail.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | It's not flippant at all! People you know in real life
               | would scream in your face if you dared challenge the idea
               | that kids have to be in school. In fact you still see
               | this now!
               | 
               | When the average person thinks getting covid comes with a
               | 10% chance of dying... this crazy reaction starts to make
               | sense. People are literally terrified out of their minds
               | by covid.
               | 
               | Source: http://covid19pulse.usc.edu/
        
               | pgwhalen wrote:
               | Surely there was a third option of keeping schools open.
               | I'm not a parent and am not sure whether that was the
               | right option, but that your comment doesn't even
               | acknowledge it is part of the problem.
        
               | refurb wrote:
               | I mean, plenty of countries never closed their schools
               | down. Or at least not for very long. SF schools were
               | closed from March 2020 to Aug 2021.
        
               | lithium_throw wrote:
               | And the governor of the fine state of CA sent his kids to
               | private school for the entire time.
               | 
               | Also, closing school for "just" a year and half is an
               | enormous disruption to education.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | A year and a half is an eternity for a kid. Remember how
               | long summer break felt as a child? Or a whole year?
               | 
               | Society stole children's childhood from them for a
               | disease that doesn't even affect kids.
        
         | PerkinWarwick wrote:
         | So what happens if high/middle class parents discover that the
         | results are superior for this solution?
         | 
         | Do you force them to send their kids to public school in order
         | to bring up the lower income children?
        
           | beckman466 wrote:
           | > Do you force them to send their kids to public school in
           | order to bring up the lower income children?
           | 
           | As in, peer learning? It's the schooling systems job to
           | accommodate and support, not kids?
        
           | bojangleslover wrote:
           | Yeah, eventually lawmakers will, but will probably keep their
           | own kids in private school the whole time. Just like the UK's
           | abolition of grammar schools.
           | 
           | https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-34538222
           | 
           | tl;dr "It's not fair"
        
           | endisneigh wrote:
           | What? Private schooling and home schooling have always been a
           | thing. Why would they be forced?
        
             | wyager wrote:
             | People are constantly trying to ban private and home
             | schooling. Commonly stated justifications for mandatory
             | public schooling include reducing class divide, fighting
             | extremism, etc.
             | 
             | https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2021/04/privat
             | e...
             | 
             | https://taipd.org/node/307
             | 
             | https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/05/law-school-
             | pr...
             | 
             | https://www.ncregister.com/news/french-government-seeks-
             | to-b...
        
               | endisneigh wrote:
               | People have been trying to do a lot of things - hasn't
               | been successful.
        
               | _-david-_ wrote:
               | Instead of bring the public schools up to the level of
               | private schools the solution is to get rid of private
               | schools? That seems utterly ridiculous. If private
               | schools do better than public schools should emulate them
               | instead of banning the competition.
               | 
               | I am reminded of the Rush song The Trees
               | 
               | > Now there's no more Oak oppression. For they passed a
               | noble law. And the trees are all kept equal by hatchet,
               | axe, and saw
        
               | PerkinWarwick wrote:
               | >Instead of bring the public schools up to the level of
               | private schools the solution is to get rid of private
               | schools?
               | 
               | It depends if private school superiority (or professional
               | tutor superiority) is better in ways that can even be
               | emulated in public schools. For one thing, a lot of their
               | differences are due to exclusion.
               | 
               | On the face of it, I rather doubt that it's possible to
               | raise public schools in the West to that extent.
               | 
               | Of course, there's more to it than that. Public schools
               | in the US have achieved some degree of the nature of
               | private schools purely by geographic segregation.
        
               | _-david-_ wrote:
               | This is true, but I think there are ways we can mitigate
               | this. A voucher system could help fix some of these
               | issues and allow some kids in crappy inner city schools
               | to get out and go to a better one.
        
               | PerkinWarwick wrote:
               | An interesting angle to that is the continuous sorting
               | that goes on.
               | 
               | You end up with some schools with the worst of the worst,
               | and heaven help anyone stuck in there. How do you
               | construct those places? Do they have a SHU?
               | 
               | Given our current infatuation with 'fairness' another
               | issue arises. What happens when the good schools, given a
               | voucher system, and the bad schools tend to have people
               | who look alike within them. Should there be outrage?
        
           | derwiki wrote:
           | Can that be forced?
        
             | chasd00 wrote:
             | i don't think it can be forced but before the pandemic
             | there was a social stigma reinforced by many that
             | homeschoolers were weird and anti-social. When the pandemic
             | hit so many kids became home schooled that the stigma was
             | lost because everyone was doing it. The pandemic was a real
             | setback for those on the anti-homeschool crusade.
        
       | BrianOnHN wrote:
       | There's no substitute for socialization. But, before the lockdown
       | we were at one far end of the spectrum where all edu was in the
       | same social environment.
       | 
       | Lockdown swung us to the other side of the spectrum. The catch is
       | that the ideal balance varies per child and is dependent on more
       | factors than we can control.
        
         | PerkinWarwick wrote:
         | >There's no substitute for socialization.
         | 
         | The odd thing about 'socialization' is that it really means
         | 'age segregated groups in a highly organized situation'.
         | 
         | Really, it's a thing that never existed until the last 100-150
         | years or so.
        
           | lkbm wrote:
           | We might do well to switch to non-age segregated groups and
           | non-organized situations, but "being on Zoom" doesn't seem to
           | meet the requirements in either case.
           | 
           | We've got much smaller family sizes than 100-150 years ago,
           | and much less "go run around town with your friends", so for
           | better or worse, in-person school is the main form of non-
           | virtual socialization a lot of kids get outside of their
           | parents.
        
             | Ekaros wrote:
             | I deeply believe that non-age segregated or at least level
             | segregated fails the other objective of schooling. That is
             | education. Honestly the class room model with enough
             | resources and giving separate access to those truly needing
             | it might be best model.
             | 
             | Like, open offices increase efficiency too right? So why
             | wouldn't they be perfect for education, let's say a few
             | hundred kid in same space?
        
           | beckman466 wrote:
           | > The odd thing about 'socialization' is that it really means
           | 'age segregated groups in a highly organized situation'.
           | 
           | Are you campaigning for self-directed learning like in the
           | Sudbury Valley model?
        
             | missinfo wrote:
             | They could be referring to the Montessori method or the
             | SpaceX school too. They have mixed age ranges and are less
             | organized, understanding that kids learn at different paces
             | and have different interests.
        
               | beckman466 wrote:
               | > They have mixed age ranges and are less organized,
               | understanding that kids learn at different paces and have
               | different interests.
               | 
               | Yep, those are the same qualities of Sudbury Valley
               | schools!
               | 
               | https://www.reimaginedonline.org/2013/06/why-i-started-
               | my-ow...
        
             | PerkinWarwick wrote:
             | I'm not campaigning for anything, just pointing out that
             | 'socialization' in the sense of a modern school never
             | existed for 99.99% of human history.
             | 
             | Is it desirable? I don't know. I suppose it's well suited
             | to producing certain types of workers.
        
       | paulcnichols wrote:
       | I will actively do everything within my power to give my kids an
       | "unequal" advantage. Sorry not sorry.
        
       | josephcsible wrote:
       | IMO, public school should be mandatory for the children of anyone
       | who has authority over how public schools are run (e.g., I object
       | to Newsom, who closed the public schools, sending his children to
       | private school), but I have no problem with anyone else choosing
       | private school or homeschooling for their children.
        
         | chrisseaton wrote:
         | Why should the children have to do something just because their
         | parents have a particular job? It isn't their decision what
         | their parents do.
        
           | josephcsible wrote:
           | You phrase that as if children would get to decide for
           | themselves where to go to school, when in fact it's their
           | parents who decide for them.
        
             | chrisseaton wrote:
             | That's the point - impacts them but never their decision.
             | Shouldn't impose a restriction on someone based on their
             | parents' jobs.
        
         | supperburg wrote:
         | This is already how it works. The people have control over
         | public schools. They elect the officials who oversee it. If
         | everybody wanted public schools to do X, public schools would
         | do X and there wouldn't be anything anyone could do about it.
         | We can amend the fucking constitution. The problem isn't a lack
         | of power for the people, it's that people collectively aren't
         | very smart. There's no civil solution to that.
        
       | baremetal wrote:
       | I would never send my kids to public school. There is no way they
       | could get a better education than they could get from me. This
       | distance learning thing just makes the decision even easier.
        
         | masterof0 wrote:
         | My sister is in the same boat with you,and she is raising a
         | couple of Q soldiers for sure. You really can't teach your kids
         | what they need to know, and also, kids need interaction with
         | other kids to develop social skills, etc.
        
           | hunterb123 wrote:
           | > You really can't teach your kids what they need to know
           | 
           | You clearly haven't interacted with K-12 public school
           | teachers, it's not hard to come up with a better lesson plan.
           | 
           | Anecdotally, it seems the people who go into teaching
           | nowadays are the bottom of the barrel.
           | 
           | You can still socialize homeschooled kids, enroll them in
           | sports, extra-curriculars, etc.
           | 
           | School of choice and group homeschooling are growing more
           | popular and I'm glad.
        
       | PragmaticPulp wrote:
       | > First, we review research showing that social class is
       | associated with unequal access to digital tools, unequal
       | familiarity with digital skills and unequal uses of such tools
       | for learning purposes
       | 
       | I have several friends who are elementary and middle school
       | teachers. This echoes what they've been saying: The pandemic
       | response among parents has been starkly divided across class
       | lines.
       | 
       | Families with stay-at-home parents are, obviously, the least
       | impacted. However, many of their children from less well-off
       | households simply disappear completely during quarantine periods.
       | The problem is so bad that they have scheduled time each
       | afternoon to try to call all of the parents whose children didn't
       | log on to the remote learning session (with their school-provided
       | computers with school-provided cellular connections). If they can
       | reach the parents at all they often indicate they don't even care
       | that their kids were absent because they don't believe in the
       | distance learning. The indifference is mind-boggling as a parent,
       | but it's real.
       | 
       | That said, leaving schools fully opened at all times wasn't
       | really a viable option. Kids may not be as vulnerable to COVID as
       | adults, but put 20-30 of them in enclosed rooms and the virus
       | will spread. Local school districts here tried to stay open as
       | long as possible but they quickly ran into a lack of teachers as
       | the teachers became ill (multiple times in several cases) or
       | simply quit because they couldn't risk it for themselves or their
       | families at home.
        
         | dantheman wrote:
         | It's amazing that private schools were somehow able to operate.
         | 
         | Perhaps instead of doing something didn't work, we just split
         | the kids into 2 groups, Monday-Wednesday, and then Tuesday-
         | Saturday. Then we'd only have 10 - 15 kids per class. Give them
         | more self directed study and homework. Have some pre-recorded
         | video classes they can do on other days and have a proctor to
         | help handle a larger # of kids.
         | 
         | There are many alternatives to remote only learning.
        
           | smileysteve wrote:
           | Boys and Girls Clubs of America did this much of the Fall
           | 2020-2021 school year while schools were remote; they created
           | learning "pods" of 6 students to work remotely with one staff
           | / volunteer.
           | 
           | The idea being to limit the exposure / quarantine size,
           | facilitate remote learning where it was otherwise
           | unavailable.
        
           | retrac wrote:
           | The idea of split time was discussed in the public system
           | here in Canada in many places, at the start. But come summer
           | the general attitude and public discussion seems to have
           | taken a very all-or-nothing turn.
        
             | __blockcipher__ wrote:
             | Somehow nobody seems to feel a need to justify why would we
             | make any changes* to in-person schooling. Instead it just
             | seems to be a foregone conclusion that having kids in
             | school is dangerous.
             | 
             | Why is split learning even on the table? Who are we trying
             | to protect? The kids? The teachers? Are most people in
             | these hyper-partisan democrat areas (I'm speaking from a US
             | perspective, but it's largely the US that has voluntarily
             | wrecked now almost 2 years of education) aware that the
             | kids are not at serious risk of COVID? Are they aware that,
             | not only is the mortality of common comparisons like
             | Influenza way higher, but that the common rebuttal of "but
             | what about long COVID" is basically an evidenceless
             | assertion and there is no evidence that children are
             | getting permanent damage from their largely asymptomatic
             | COVID infections? Are they aware that, even if it were
             | right to try to prevent kids from ever getting infected
             | with SARS-2 (spoiler: it's not), that we don't even have
             | quality studies proving that going to school is even
             | associated with greater COVID infection?
             | 
             | Are they aware that, unlike the H1N1 pandemic, it's
             | actually pretty miraculous that SARS-2 almost entirely
             | spares children? That therefore to undergo these measures
             | like school closures and constant indoor masking of
             | toddlers, and 6 foot distancing, and plastic dividers, and
             | restricted extracurricular events, has no relation to
             | actually keeping children safe, except insofar as those
             | measures very clearly harm the wellbeing of children?
             | 
             | I weep for what we've done to children throughout this. We
             | as adults are supposed to be the ones saying, "hey, even if
             | there's risk to us adults, you guys are more important, and
             | we're never going to ask you to sacrifice your life out of
             | some misguided effort to prevent the transmission of an
             | endemic highly infectious human coronavirus, and on the
             | contrary we will make whatever sacrifices are necessary to
             | keep you guys growing and developing". Instead we turned
             | around and said, "kids are inherently gross, they're
             | spreading this killer virus like crazy, if they develop a
             | cough and hug their grandmother and the grandmother later
             | dies of COVID then they killed their grandma".
             | 
             | As someone who lives in California - which together with
             | New York and Illinois has led the country in absurd and
             | ineffective and incredibly authoritarian COVID policy - I
             | feel like I don't recognize my fellow citizens.
             | 
             | * Well, any changes because of COVID specifically.
             | Obviously there's things like later school start times for
             | teenagers, etc that are no-brainers that should have been
             | implemented long ago
        
               | brendoelfrendo wrote:
               | > Instead we turned around and said, "kids are inherently
               | gross, they're spreading this killer virus like crazy, if
               | they develop a cough and hug their grandmother and the
               | grandmother later dies of COVID then they killed their
               | grandma".
               | 
               | But boy, wouldn't that suck? I have a couple thoughts
               | here:
               | 
               | 1) Kids spend a lot of time with adults, so yes, they
               | could get grandma sick. They could also get their teacher
               | sick, or the school nurse, or other support staff. Good
               | luck convincing the teachers to put their health on the
               | line; they're already underpaid and overworked.
               | 
               | 2) Several metro areas have been running short on
               | pediatric ICU beds. COVID is way less risky for kids, but
               | still risky enough to overwhelm our medical system, so
               | preventing spread should probably be given some level of
               | priority.
               | 
               | On the whole, I'm glad that our school systems moved fast
               | to figure out an alternative solution during the
               | pandemic. I'm less glad that we haven't tried other
               | strategies as those alternative solutions have shown
               | clear gaps in effectiveness, and I'm upset that children
               | who depend on the school environment for socialization,
               | focused learning, and even food have been left behind.
        
               | blitzar wrote:
               | I'm upset that there are children who depend on the
               | school environment for food.
               | 
               | And it isnt even a small number of children at that.
        
               | brendoelfrendo wrote:
               | Agreed! It's a problem that the US hasn't spent nearly
               | enough effort on, and the pandemic pointed a big ugly
               | spotlight at it.
        
               | handrous wrote:
               | > Why is split learning even on the table? Who are we
               | trying to protect? The kids? The teachers? Are most
               | people in these hyper-partisan democrat areas (I'm
               | speaking from a US perspective, but it's largely the US
               | that has voluntarily wrecked now almost 2 years of
               | education) aware that the kids are not at serious risk of
               | COVID?
               | 
               | It was to protect staff & their families, and generally
               | reduce community spread.
               | 
               | Schools this year, that are fully back in person, are
               | _barely_ holding it together. There aren 't enough subs.
               | Trying to go fully in-person everywhere last year
               | probably would have fallen apart, for that reason. It
               | still might, this year. It's _bad_.
               | 
               | I agree that the harm outweighed the benefit _by a long
               | shot_ if we 're talking just about the kids, but I don't
               | think we'd have been able to keep fully in-person school
               | running last year anyway. The ones that went in-person
               | suffered badly, in some cases worse than fully-online
               | cohorts. The only way to fix it would have been a policy
               | of having teachers & students who _very likely were_
               | COVID-exposed but not _actively ill-feeling_ come in
               | until it was proven that they were COVID-positive--but
               | that policy would also have increased spread, so I wouldn
               | 't guarantee that'd actually improve the situation of
               | having too many staff out for quarantine.
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | > It was to protect staff & their families, and generally
               | reduce community spread.
               | 
               | There is no evidence that school closures had any
               | positive impact on community spread, FWIW. Hell, even for
               | Influenza, which kids are much less resistant to than
               | they are for COVID, studies have often found that school
               | closures are counterproductive due to actually ending up
               | with an increased number and diversity of
               | contacts/events.
               | 
               | > but I don't think we'd have been able to keep fully in-
               | person school running last year anyway.
               | 
               | But why do you think this? Are you aware that many parts
               | of the world have returned to fully in-person school for
               | several months or longer at this point? That here in deep
               | blue parts of the US we are unique in our rabid devotion
               | to denying children in-person school?
               | 
               | > The ones that went in-person suffered badly, in some
               | cases worse than fully-online cohorts.
               | 
               | [Citation Needed]
               | 
               | > The only way to fix it would have been a policy of
               | having teachers & students who very likely were COVID-
               | exposed but not actively ill-feeling come in until it was
               | proven that they were COVID-positive--but that policy
               | would also have increased spread, so I wouldn't guarantee
               | that'd actually improve the situation of having too many
               | staff out for quarantine.
               | 
               | First of all I actually reject the premise that avoiding
               | spread is necessarily a good thing. Indeed it only
               | prolongs the epidemic stage and as the rise of variants
               | like Delta have shown, even rushing out vaccines in an
               | unprecedented amount of time hasn't actually allowed
               | people to avoid the virus. I should also mention that for
               | teachers who are quarantining (which remember is also a
               | result of policy, you're not talking about teachers being
               | unable to teach due to being sick, but rather being
               | forbidden from in-person teaching because they or someone
               | they know hit a positive on a PCR test), they could still
               | teach remotely to a class of in-person kids (yes you
               | might need some other adult to oversee things, but I'd
               | wager even without such supervision you'd still have far
               | better results than the unmitigated disaster that
               | "distance" learning has been)
               | 
               | The kids who have survived distance learning have done
               | well in spite of it, not because of it. They have access
               | to tutors and learning pods and actually have a quiet
               | space at home to do work, and actually have parents that
               | give a shit. Not everyone has those resources.
               | 
               | But yeah I really want to hammer home the point that, the
               | only possible way in which we wouldn't have "been able to
               | keep fully in-person school running last year" is purely
               | itself an artifact of absurd COVID quarantine policies,
               | and has nothing to do with an actual lack of staff nor an
               | actual crippling health problem preventing people from
               | being able to work.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | It's really a shame this stuff gets downvoted. I really
               | wish people understood that it is quite possible for a
               | well intentioned person to completely disagree with
               | almost all of what we've done. In fact it would be highly
               | unusual for all "smart" people to take one side of an
               | issue.
               | 
               | > But yeah I really want to hammer home the point that,
               | the only possible way in which we wouldn't have "been
               | able to keep fully in-person school running last year" is
               | purely itself an artifact of absurd COVID quarantine
               | policies, and has nothing to do with an actual lack of
               | staff nor an actual crippling health problem preventing
               | people from being able to work.
               | 
               | I suspect we will eventually "discover" the same with
               | hospital capacity. When you test everybody on the way in
               | and then have all positive results follow strict, labor
               | intense quarantine protocols regardless of patient
               | symptoms... yeah you will have problems with capacity.
               | Imagine if they tested all patients for other viruses and
               | did this sort of thing...
               | 
               | A lot of the problems we've experienced the last year and
               | a half are self-made. Testing everything under the sun
               | for covid and then acting on positive results regardless
               | of symptoms is gonna throw a wrench in just about any
               | machine.
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | I think what makes me the saddest is that the pro-
               | lockdown pro-school-closures pro-vaccine-passport-to-
               | engage-in-society people never seem to think that the
               | onus is on them to prove anything.
               | 
               | They don't need to prove that school closures aren't
               | deleterious.
               | 
               | They don't need to prove that the supposed epidemic of
               | long COVID is actually real.
               | 
               | They don't need to prove that the missed medical
               | appointments and missed routine non-COVID vaccinations
               | aren't going to outpace the supposed benefits of doing
               | the epidemiological equivalent of hiding in your closet
               | from the monster (SARS-2).
               | 
               | They don't need to account for second-order effects, such
               | as the fact that "avoiding" COVID for a month or two is
               | really just postponing it and that we exist in a state of
               | dynamic equilibrium with the countless pathogens we're
               | surrounded by.
               | 
               | No, they just get to assume that their intervention de
               | jur is without harm, and conversely that COVID is the
               | worst thing ever and that SARS-2 is 10 times as deadly as
               | all the other shit we don't spend an excessive amount of
               | time worrying about (Influenza, OC43, noravirus,
               | rhinovirus, you name it)
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | Agree. Extraordinary claims require extraordinary
               | evidence. And it isn't the skeptic's job to prove any of
               | that. Logic and science got flipped on its head.
               | 
               | It's truly remarkable.
        
               | NineStarPoint wrote:
               | The main problem with hospital capacity was ICU beds
               | though, not all the trappings around the bodies in those
               | beds. People didn't get put in those beds just due to a
               | positive test. Fundamental issue was that our system
               | isn't built to handle the sort of excess load a disease
               | that leaves someone in an ICU bed for weeks causes. If
               | covid killed who it killed quickly it wouldn't have been
               | nearly as much of an issue.
        
               | ssully wrote:
               | >Hell, even for Influenza, which kids are much less
               | resistant to than they are for COVID, studies have often
               | found that school closures are counterproductive due to
               | actually ending up with an increased number and diversity
               | of contacts/events.
               | 
               | Can you link to those studies? The big story last year
               | was that cases of/deaths from influenza dropped
               | worldwide[1].
               | 
               | [1]: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/flu-has-
               | disappear...
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | > The big story last year was that cases of/deaths from
               | influenza dropped worldwide[1].
               | 
               | There's a huge difference between "influenza plummeted
               | worldwide" and "influenza plummeted worldwide as a direct
               | result of school closures [or lockdowns, physical
               | distancing, and universal masking]". Influenza did
               | plummet worldwide. Indeed, it did so even in places that
               | didn't go to nearly the same extent as the US did as far
               | as school closures and the like. That should already hint
               | at you that it's not actually related to what we did
               | intervention-wise (which also makes sense given that
               | everything we did was ineffective at slowing the spread
               | of COVID more than a marginal amount [granted, SARS-2
               | spreads more easily than Influenza so it's theoretically
               | possible the COVID measures were completely ineffective
               | for COVID yet were completely effective for Influenza,
               | but seems farfetched])
               | 
               | To me the most plausible explanation is that of viral
               | interference: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30950360/
               | 
               | > Since the interferon system can control most, if not
               | all, virus infections in the absence of adaptive
               | immunity, it was proposed that viral induction of a
               | nonspecific localized temporary state of immunity may
               | provide a strategy to control viral infections.
               | 
               | Briefly, infection with a virus causes one's cellular
               | hackles to get raised, so to speak. That is to say, that
               | infection with virus A leads to a ramp-up in innate
               | immunity, particularly cell-mediated innate immunity,
               | which decreases the probability of being infected by
               | virus B in the ensuing days/weeks. The paper I linked is
               | about leveraging that intentionally, but obviously it's a
               | mechanism that occurs naturally as well. This next point
               | is orthogonal to our discussion but I'd be remiss if I
               | didn't mention that SARS-2 is, in a sense, actually the
               | ideal candidate for intentional exploitation of viral
               | interference, given how readily it infects human cells
               | and how in large swaths of the population it is very non-
               | threatening (and yes, in a small proportion of the
               | population it is very threatening)
               | 
               | --
               | 
               | So to tie it back to the Influenza dropping, I suspect
               | that viral interference was quite significant, and that
               | altered social interactions accounted for a big chunk of
               | it as well. Specifically, it seems like social networks
               | got much more "local". There was still people going out
               | and doing stuff, but overall the average person was
               | significantly less likely to visit extended family,
               | attend large events, etc. This is somewhat related to the
               | lockdowns/forced shuttering of businesses, but I think a
               | lot of it was broader than that as well.
               | 
               | ---
               | 
               | > Can you link to those studies [regarding influenza and
               | school closures]?
               | 
               | I'll start with one review that does seem to suggest a
               | benefit in school closures for Influenza:
               | https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/3/2/e002149.short. It has
               | the usual problems associative studies do, but in this
               | case specifically the confound of regression to the mean
               | is incredibly great. They mention as such in the results:
               | 
               | > However, as schools often closed late in the outbreak
               | or other interventions were used concurrently, it was
               | sometimes unclear how much school closure contributed to
               | the reductions in incidence.
               | 
               | Here's one from Hong Kong. I really like their discussion
               | because it points out just how difficult it is to
               | actually show a link, given the way epidemic curves
               | naturally rise and fall and the delayed natural of
               | intervention impact:
               | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2609897/
               | 
               | > Although we can only speculate, given the limitations
               | of an uncontrolled natural experiment on the population
               | level, routine surveillance data did not detect a large
               | effect from the school closures. In particular, we noted
               | a decline in laboratory isolations of influenza viruses
               | that preceded the intervention and the lack of
               | association between school closures and Rt. In fact,
               | sentinel data may not accurately represent the incidence
               | of influenza in the underlying population because, for
               | example, other cocirculating upper respiratory viruses
               | contribute to overall influenza-like illness consultation
               | rates. Laboratory data, however, should be less affected,
               | and extra testing in response to the heightened awareness
               | of influenza activity might have artifactually lowered
               | the positivity rate. The epidemic curves generated from
               | the surveillance data showed a decline in cases that may
               | have naturally concluded without any intervention. We
               | note the difficulty of making inferences directly from
               | changes in epidemic curves because changes in the
               | epidemic curve may lag behind changes in the underlying
               | transmission dynamics by at least 1 serial interval, as
               | has previously been shown for severe acute respiratory
               | syndrome
               | 
               | -
               | 
               | This next one is more about the ethics, but I think the
               | abstract is pretty sensible:
               | 
               | "Mitigating Pandemic Influenza: The Ethics of
               | Implementing a School Closure Policy" - https://journals.
               | lww.com/jphmp/Abstract/2008/07000/Mitigatin...
               | 
               | > Pandemic influenza response plans have placed a
               | significant emphasis on school closures as a community
               | mitigation strategy. However, school closures raise
               | serious ethical concerns, many of which have been largely
               | overlooked. First, evidence of this intervention's
               | efficacy has not yet been firmly established, calling
               | into question whether it will be useful against the
               | threat. Second, school closures have the potential to
               | create serious adverse consequences, which will
               | disproportionately affect vulnerable populations. Thus,
               | policy makers should focus on gathering more evidence
               | about the efficacy of school closures and on
               | strengthening communication and transparency about the
               | strengths and weaknesses of any school-closure plan that
               | they decide to adopt.
        
               | handrous wrote:
               | > > but I don't think we'd have been able to keep fully
               | in-person school running last year anyway.
               | 
               | > But why do you think this? Are you aware that many
               | parts of the world have returned to fully in-person
               | school for several months or longer at this point? That
               | here in deep blue parts of the US we are unique in our
               | rabid devotion to denying children in-person school?
               | 
               | Because they're--US schools in my city-- _barely_
               | managing this year, due to staffing /substitute
               | shortages? I'm not in a deep blue part of the US,
               | incidentally.
               | 
               | > > The ones that went in-person suffered badly, in some
               | cases worse than fully-online cohorts.
               | 
               | > [Citation Needed]
               | 
               | I have insight into districts that accidentally ran
               | experiments for this, by running in-person and fully
               | online programs concurrently. I can't share the numbers
               | (they were in internal documents, with only some
               | presented at school board meetings, which I certainly
               | didn't save links to). Look at education & public policy
               | journals in the coming years, should be some "fun"
               | results (spoiler: _everything_ was extremely bad, not
               | just online learning)
               | 
               | > First of all I actually reject the premise that
               | avoiding spread is necessarily a good thing.
               | 
               | .... ok.
               | 
               | > [quarantining teachers] could still teach remotely to a
               | class of in-person kids (yes you might need some other
               | adult to oversee things, but I'd wager even without such
               | supervision you'd still have far better results than the
               | unmitigated disaster that "distance" learning has been)
               | 
               | The amount of planning and support you need to make this
               | work, on short-ish notice, under the constraints and in
               | the environment schools were operating in, makes it
               | unrealistic.
               | 
               | Overall, you're _severely_ underestimating the disruption
               | this has all had on in-person schooling, and the stress
               | it 's added for staff. You're overestimating how much
               | extra work and (perceived, if you like) risk teachers
               | were willing to take on, before they'd have simply quit.
               | 
               | > But yeah I really want to hammer home the point that,
               | the only possible way in which we wouldn't have "been
               | able to keep fully in-person school running last year" is
               | purely itself an artifact of absurd COVID quarantine
               | policies, and has nothing to do with an actual lack of
               | staff nor an actual crippling health problem preventing
               | people from being able to work.
               | 
               | I 100% guarantee you there'd have been a significant loss
               | of staff at schools in our area if you announced a policy
               | that all staff & students were to come in unless
               | _actually too ill to attend_. You 'd have had serious
               | problems with sick-outs among the rest. Again: schools
               | would have been crippled due to staffing reasons. You may
               | disagree with what those people chose to do in response
               | to that policy, but it's what they _would_ have done.
               | Source: I know a _shitload_ of teachers in my area, and
               | all of the ones who _could_ afford to walk away from
               | their job, spent most of last year right on the cusp of
               | doing so, and they were absolutely serious about it. That
               | kind of policy would have pushed every single one over
               | the edge, instantly. Again, I 'm not even in a "deep
               | blue" area (rather more red than blue, in fact). I assume
               | that effect would have been even worse in "blue" areas.
               | 
               | Your plan would not have worked, for staffing reasons.
               | In-person school this year is _barely_ working... for
               | staffing reasons. That 's just a fact, source: go talk to
               | any public school teachers or administrators and ask them
               | how the substitute supply situation is going, and how
               | school attendance is going (80-85%ish daily attendance
               | rates are common this year). Get ready for some stories.
               | Attempting it last year would have gone even worse.
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | > I 100% guarantee you there'd have been a significant
               | loss of staff at schools in our area if you announced a
               | policy that all staff & students were to come in unless
               | actually too ill to attend. You'd have had serious
               | problems with sick-outs among the rest. Again: schools
               | would have been crippled due to staffing reasons. One
               | thing that is absolutely baffling to me is why this is a
               | problem in the US, when there are other places in the
               | world that simply do not have this problem.
               | 
               | I'm Swedish, and none of my friends with school-age kids
               | have mentioned any problems with this. Schools were open,
               | and only older kids (16+) did hybrid or distance learning
               | to keep them out of school and reduce spread, because it
               | was deemed that they were old enough to handle it, while
               | smaller kids weren't.
               | 
               | But there's no hysteria anywhere, everyone just kept
               | chugging along. I have plenty of friends' kids who got
               | infected, but recovered. Their teachers got sick, and
               | recovered. I have teacher friends, I don't know if anyone
               | of them got infected, but absolutely no-one has been
               | afraid or hysterical about the situation or thinking
               | about quitting their job because of the pandemic.
               | 
               | And everyone agrees that distance learning is absolute
               | shit for kids, and those of my friends with high-school
               | aged kids can clearly see that it was bad for their kids.
        
               | handrous wrote:
               | > I have teacher friends, I don't know if anyone of them
               | got infected, but absolutely no-one has been afraid or
               | hysterical about the situation or thinking about quitting
               | their job because of the pandemic.
               | 
               | There's a difference in how US teachers are treated,
               | under ordinary circumstances, versus those in Sweden, I
               | expect, that accounts for some of this. I'd not be
               | surprised if the average US teacher is _always_ closer to
               | quitting than the average Swedish teacher.
               | 
               | > But there's no hysteria anywhere
               | 
               | Whether it was hysteria or not, the fact was that an
               | awful lot of US teachers were ready to quit last year, if
               | they couldn't teach remotely or in an environment with
               | masking + distancing + quarantine-after-exposure. Enough
               | that there's no way they could have had normal in-person
               | school last year, over the whole country, _especially_
               | while also trying to do distancing and such (you can 't
               | go to 40+ kid class sizes to try to make up for lost
               | staff, and still distance). Again, quarantine-after-
               | exposure policies and burn-out mean they're having
               | serious trouble staffing schools _this_ year. It would
               | not have gone better last year, and trying to open in
               | person without quarantine policies or remote-teaching
               | options would have driven out so many teachers that it
               | would not have made matters better.
               | 
               | > And everyone agrees that distance learning is absolute
               | shit for kids, and those of my friends with high-school
               | aged kids can clearly see that it was bad for their kids.
               | 
               | All school have suffered for what'll be 2.5 years, when
               | this school year is over--if we're optimistic, perhaps 2
               | years total, because maybe the second semester of this
               | one will markedly improve. Most schools are almost
               | entirely back in-person this year (some still have online
               | options, but I don't think they've had as many takers as
               | those options had last year) and it is _not_ going great.
               | Not as bad as last year, but it 's still not normal.
               | Hopefully next year is better.
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | > Whether it was hysteria or not, the fact was that an
               | awful lot of US teachers were ready to quit last year, if
               | they couldn't teach remotely or in an environment with
               | masking + distancing + quarantine-after-exposure.
               | 
               | Right, and this mindset simply doesn't exist in Sweden
               | and many other parts of Europe.
               | 
               | This _fear_ doesn 't exist there.
               | 
               | The average American is horribly misinformed about the
               | actual risks of covid, many young healthy Americans still
               | believe the unvaccinated risk of death is about 10% for
               | them, they're off in their estimate by _four magnitudes_.
               | It 's absolutely unbelievable how misinformed they are,
               | and how they're allowed to perpetuate this unfounded
               | hysteria unopposed.
               | 
               | I haven't seen similar surveys for Sweden or other
               | European countries, but from talking to my friends and
               | family, it's clear that their risk estimates are much
               | more in line with actual reality. And consequently, their
               | fear level is much more proportional and rational than
               | that of the average American.
        
               | ModernMech wrote:
               | Thank you for your posts and insight. As a teacher, the
               | number one thing I ask people with the opinion you're
               | replying to is: "How many teachers do you know who have
               | died from Covid?" If the answer is 0, I will take their
               | point of view with a huge grain of salt. For me, the
               | answer is > 5, and they contracted it in school. These
               | were not extremely old or sick individuals.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | How do you know where they contracted it? Given the
               | variable multi-day incubation period, it's usually
               | impossible to reliably determine the point of infection.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | retrac wrote:
               | > Somehow nobody seems to feel a need to justify why
               | would we make any changes* to in-person schooling.
               | 
               | Here in Canada we responded more aggressively than most
               | parts of the USA. While we never had a lockdown that
               | ordered us into our homes in most of the country, we
               | generally shut nearly everything non-essential besides
               | health, food, supply chain, etc. towards the start and
               | then started re-opening various businesses and
               | facilities. Schools and daycares (private and public)
               | closed in March 2020 along with most workplaces.
               | 
               | That justification seems self-explanatory enough. We
               | intended (and still intend) to contain the virus from
               | doing too much damage too quickly until we're all
               | vaccinated. (The vast majority of Canadians have still
               | not been exposed to the virus because of our more drastic
               | reaction. In terms of the virus alone, we did control it
               | better because of it.)
               | 
               | So at that point, it became a question of when and how to
               | re-open under conditions that would prevent the spread of
               | COVID-19 sufficiently. That includes in the schools. I
               | supported the lockdowns in March 2020. But we seem to be
               | unable to navigate the discussion into the next phase of
               | living with this. We cannot sacrifice child education,
               | and the more of us are vaccinated and less likely to get
               | ill, the more compelling the argument to resume truly
               | normal education becomes. (In person education re-opened
               | in September 2021 here in Ontario, but the doomsayers are
               | already calling for closures, and many students are
               | remote.)
        
               | robhunter wrote:
               | > While we never had a lockdown that ordered us into our
               | homes in most of the country
               | 
               | This is not accurate? Ontario was very explicitly under a
               | stay-at-home order for many months in the winter &
               | spring; you could (technically) be charged for leaving
               | your home for non-essential purposes
        
               | dontbedumb wrote:
               | While you may not care about using children as test
               | subjects for long COVID, the most obvious reason to not
               | allow in person learning is that the kids will act as a
               | substrate for the virus, allowing further mutations.
               | 
               | It seems like you've let politics get in the way of
               | common sense.
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | > While you may not care about using children as test
               | subjects for long COVID
               | 
               | And you apparently don't care about using them as test
               | subjects in an experiment in long-term social deprivation
               | and cutting off of access to resources like in-person
               | school. Perhaps you don't know any kids in real life but
               | the effects I've seen in my deep blue California area
               | have been absolutely staggering. Kids who never got so
               | much as a B failing all their classes, kids who never had
               | psychological issues struggling with anxiety and
               | depression and agoraphobia, and that's just the kids that
               | didn't already have those issues!
               | 
               | So two can play at that game. I suggest you avoid such
               | specious and deceptive emotionalistic argumentation.
               | 
               | And once again I need to remind you that, places all over
               | the world - and even in the United States - are open for
               | fully in-person learning and there is no epidemic of
               | children with long-term complications. There's simply no
               | evidence for it (nor have you even attempted to balance
               | the risks of this supposed long-term complications with
               | the long-term complications of missed schooling, social
               | isolation during critical developmental periods, etc)
               | 
               | > the most obvious reason to not allow in person learning
               | is that the kids will act as a substrate for the virus,
               | allowing further mutations.
               | 
               | Sorry, are you envisioning a universe in which you can
               | actually prevent kids (or anyone) from getting COVID? Are
               | you not aware that we literally tried to "stop, drop and
               | roll" the global economy for over a year, rolled out
               | novel vaccines in _record_ time, and still ended up with
               | the virus propagating through the population, as it was
               | always destined to do?
               | 
               | > It seems like you've let politics get in the way of
               | common sense.
               | 
               | No, my problem is I've let common sense get in the way of
               | the politics. I'm so tired of people like you taking the
               | moral highground when you actively support policies that
               | are harming children in ways that vastly eclipse the
               | harms of the physical virus itself.
               | 
               | --
               | 
               | Lastly, I hope you're aware that every viral infection
               | bears the risk of long-term complications, but that such
               | reactions are exceedingly rare - so rare it's really not
               | worth living your life in fear of such complications -
               | and that COVID is no exception. Hundreds of millions of
               | children worldwide have gotten COVID. The bogeyman you're
               | afraid of would have surfaced by now.
        
               | [deleted]
        
           | SV_BubbleTime wrote:
           | >Perhaps instead of doing something didn't work, we just
           | split the kids into 2 groups, Monday-Wednesday, and then
           | Tuesday-Saturday. Then we'd only have 10 - 15 kids per class.
           | 
           | In practice this would get you two groups of 30-40 kids in
           | each class - but they didn't need to build a new school they
           | were planning on.
           | 
           | I'm from an area that used to have one high school. It now
           | has 8 in the area. I had a class of 1100. This year with the
           | additional schools it is around 1000.
        
           | michaelt wrote:
           | _> Perhaps instead of doing something didn 't work, we just
           | split the kids into 2 groups, Monday-Wednesday, and then
           | Tuesday-Saturday._
           | 
           | While that might be good for reducing the achievement gap, it
           | doesn't help parents who are being kept from returning to
           | work by the need to care for their children
        
             | conductr wrote:
             | > it doesn't help parents who are being kept from returning
             | to work by the need to care for their children
             | 
             | I'm not sympathetic to parents that view school as daycare.
             | 
             | I feel bad for those kids, but the education system
             | shouldn't cater to this behavior.
             | 
             | I feel like these kids are also consuming a larger share of
             | education resources due to goofing off, etc because their
             | parents may not be involved enough or setting higher
             | standards/expectations for their kids.
             | 
             | It always gets framed as the hard working low income family
             | who values education as a generational vehicle of mobility.
             | The stereotypical immigrant family with mom and dad both
             | working 3 jobs.
             | 
             | However, I feel like that is not the norm. There is a lot
             | of people who just don't care about education except for
             | the free daycare and meals it provides. Many parents care
             | more about their kids place on the sports team/etc than
             | their test scores. They'll let there kid play video games
             | all day then cry about how remote learning doesn't work.
        
             | dantheman wrote:
             | Completely agree, but it's better than 100% remote which is
             | what happened.
        
           | handrous wrote:
           | > Perhaps instead of doing something didn't work, we just
           | split the kids into 2 groups, Monday-Wednesday, and then
           | Tuesday-Saturday. Then we'd only have 10 - 15 kids per class.
           | Give them more self directed study and homework. Have some
           | pre-recorded video classes they can do on other days and have
           | a proctor to help handle a larger # of kids.
           | 
           | A district I have good insight into did a split-week schedule
           | similar to that, with online portions for the "off" days,
           | plus a _completely separate_ online program for parents who
           | wanted their kids 100% remote. Unlike some other districts
           | around here that outsourced the online program to one or
           | another terrible companies when offering both options, this
           | district ran their own fully-remote program.
           | 
           | The results were that _both groups did terribly_ but the _in
           | person group did worse_ , despite high levels of near-zero
           | engagement at the online school (i.e. a double-digit
           | percentage of kids basically didn't do school at all). The
           | actual effect of that half-on-half-off schedule in practice
           | was that ~half as much material was covered right off the bat
           | --few of the kids took the online component for the "off"
           | days seriously, and teachers had a hell of a time trying to
           | arrange things so that even _could_ work in the first place,
           | and mostly failed at it or gave up--but then, it gets worse:
           | in-person means people will get COVID, and will expose
           | others, even with fewer kids around at a time reducing the
           | rates, it still happens. So now you 've got some weeks with
           | whole classes at home, pretty much not doing school, lots of
           | teachers out and calling for subs, and sub shortages leading
           | to baby-sitting rooms, basically, with too many kids in them
           | to realistically teach--incidentally, this is still happening
           | all over in our city, as the sub shortage remains very bad.
           | 
           | > It's amazing that private schools were somehow able to
           | operate.
           | 
           | Our kids are now in a private school for this school year
           | (the above was not our district last year, incidentally, but
           | another nearby one) that stayed open all of last year and had
           | minimal issues with "quarantining" or viral spread. How? 1)
           | Cut extracurriculars, especially sports--public school
           | parents would _never_ allow this, sports kept running through
           | all of last year and were only barely interrupted the year
           | before, shutting them down was _not_ an option unless school
           | board members all wanted to lose their next election and
           | probably get some death threats and experience some
           | vandalism, 2) powerful air purifiers in every room, 3)
           | everyone masked  & distanced and took it seriously--again,
           | compliance issues at public schools are less of a problem at
           | some private schools, 4) no-one constantly pushing to relax
           | measures the second the local infection rates trended
           | slightly down--they had much better and more consistent
           | planning. This year? Vaccine mandates for staff, and high
           | levels of (voluntary) vaccination among eligible kids.
           | 
           | As with other cases where (some) private schools do better
           | than most public schools, dealing with COVID better mostly
           | had to do with those schools getting to select who they have
           | to deal with.
        
           | artursapek wrote:
           | Private schools didn't have insane months-long "remote
           | learning" because they're accountable to their
           | students/families, who pay tuition and _choose_ to attend
           | that school over other schools. It 's free market capitalism
           | at work and it's beautiful.
        
           | bzbarsky wrote:
           | A lot of public schools in MA did just that. Our school
           | district had two cohorts, one of which was in school Mon,
           | Tue, Thurs, Fri one week, the other the next week,
           | alternating. Fully remote Wednesdays, ostensibly to do
           | cleaning/sanitizing. Parents could also opt for their kids to
           | be fully remote, and some kids (e.g. those whose parents were
           | teachers, not necessarily in our district) were in school
           | full-time, except Wednesdays.
           | 
           | It was definitely much better than remote-only.
        
           | ativzzz wrote:
           | I live next to a private school, and they did not close down
           | at all. It's a pre-k - 5th grade school and the kids have
           | been wearing masks the whole time (still do) even at recess.
           | IDK what other measures they have taken, but they certainly
           | have had in person school the entire pandemic
        
         | ASinclair wrote:
         | > If they can reach the parents at all they often indicate they
         | don't even care that their kids were absent because they don't
         | believe in the distance learning. The indifference is mind-
         | boggling as a parent, but it's real.
         | 
         | Is it because they don't believe in distance learning or just
         | learning in general? Maybe they relied on school as a glorified
         | daycare. Education was just a side effect.
        
           | grumpyprole wrote:
           | In the UK, opportunities for the working class are certainly
           | much harder to come by. Entrance to many professions is
           | closed-off by not going to the right private school, not
           | having the money to pay for tuition to get into a grammar
           | school or not having enough money or connections to work for
           | free as an intern. Our government, businesses and the media
           | are mostly run by privately educated individuals. We don't
           | have "the American dream". It's not unsurprising to see why
           | some parents might see state education as just day care.
        
             | michaelt wrote:
             | Aren't unpaid internships mostly for industries that have
             | shitty job prospects anyway?
             | 
             | I mean, I know unpaid internships are widespread in things
             | like fashion design and poetry and journalism - but there's
             | no need to do unpaid internships if you're trying to get
             | into programming or accounting.
        
               | grumpyprole wrote:
               | My point was that when people turn on their TV and they
               | don't see people like them in the media and in the arts,
               | it must not exactly inspire.
        
           | pc86 wrote:
           | I don't think relying on primary and secondary education as
           | glorified daycare is class-specific, or all that surprising a
           | statement. Plenty of my HS and college classmates who are
           | successful economically were complaining publicly about
           | having to "deal with" their kids during the day while trying
           | to work.
        
         | 908B64B197 wrote:
         | > whose children didn't log on to the remote learning session
         | (with their school-provided computers with school-provided
         | cellular connections).
         | 
         | That's just laziness.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | retrac wrote:
         | > The indifference is mind-boggling as a parent
         | 
         | Imagine you were raised by parents who had unpleasant
         | experiences with formal education and/or by parents who had an
         | attitude themselves of "my kid isn't getting any use out of
         | those six hours" anyway. That's often the mindset behind the
         | attitude, not so much as that parents don't love their kids and
         | want what they see is the best for them. (Of course there's
         | plenty of abuse and full-on neglect motivating such
         | absenteeism, too.)
        
         | whoknowswhat11 wrote:
         | I can talk a bit about private schools.
         | 
         | Many of them adapted quickly. Outdoor classrooms, meeting at
         | parks. Tons of flexibility from teachers / staff. Very quick
         | remodels of spaces - ie, take a wall out of a classroom so it
         | open straight outside with a rolling door etc, very high levels
         | of ventilation. Some doing weekly testing - test on Thursday,
         | turn in Friday, results by Sunday to make decisions on stay at
         | home / come in. Vaccine mandates for all adult staff.
         | 
         | In other words, for parents of private school students, the
         | value of in-person learning is clear, and the schools are
         | delivering it.
         | 
         | The risk in an outdoor classroom, students and teachers masked,
         | teachers vaccinated, is relatively minimal. Student viral load
         | in terms of spread is not so high either from what I've heard.
         | Even inside, with in and out fans running, significant
         | ventilation I'm not sure risk is as terrible as its made out to
         | be.
         | 
         | We'll see how this all plays out. From what I've seen, those
         | kids are doing great (and yes, camping trips replaced
         | sleepovers etc in these families - but their kids remaining
         | socially engaged with friends etc).
        
           | bachmeier wrote:
           | > In other words, for parents of private school students, the
           | value of in-person learning is clear, and the schools are
           | delivering it.
           | 
           | There's nothing surprising about that. You have a group of
           | parents with money and a desire to educate their children in
           | a particular way, so they went ahead and spent the necessary
           | money and put in the necessary time to make it happen. That
           | doesn't help much for the parents that have to send their
           | kids to an underfunded public school in a big city.
        
             | handrous wrote:
             | Private schools that did well with in-person learning last
             | year could take measures public schools couldn't, and had
             | much better compliance rates for things like masking and
             | distancing. For instance, parents wouldn't let public
             | schools suspend sports programs. There'd have been actual,
             | physical violence if that'd been seriously attempted, lots
             | of places. Private schools? Might be a thing they could do
             | (and many did). Many public schools have to deal with kids
             | who couldn't be trusted in outdoor classrooms, or face
             | parent agitation when they take kids outside in anything
             | but perfect weather (this is a weird phenomenon I've seen
             | repeated at a couple private schools vs. public schools in
             | the same area--the private-school goers want their kids out
             | unless the weather's so bad they'll lose fingers to it even
             | if they're bundled up, or there's an intense thunderstorm
             | or something, while the public schools have been cowed into
             | only taking kids out if the weather's quite good; I don't
             | know what causes this).
             | 
             | Private schools could plan better because, despite
             | supposedly being _more_ beholden to their paying customers
             | then public schools are to their constituent families, in
             | practice they seem to have an easier time saying  "nope,
             | this is how we're doing it, deal with it", for whatever
             | reason. They didn't have to pay any mind to morons trying
             | to strip all protective measures every time "the numbers"
             | started to look a little better, or lose planning time &
             | focus to misguided planning for those sorts of things.
             | 
             | Private schools may already have had things like longer and
             | more recesses than nearby public schools, so already spent
             | a larger portion of the day outside--public schools have
             | cut recess down to almost nothing, chasing those sweet,
             | sweet test scores.
             | 
             | Private schools also may have had both the money and the
             | leadership to get things like ventilation improvements or
             | other expensive measures done _fast_. Public schools were
             | crippled by indecision, and various factions pushing for
             | things to go  "back to normal" ASAP, fighting any spending
             | or policies that acknowledged this would be a problem for
             | more than a very small number of months and trying to deal
             | with it in those terms.
        
               | aweiland wrote:
               | We looked at a private school, but ultimately opted for
               | virtual K. The other thing this private school had going
               | for it was class size. Way smaller than what public
               | schools have to put up with.
        
             | 908B64B197 wrote:
             | > You have a group of parents with money and a desire to
             | educate their children in a particular way, so they went
             | ahead and spent the necessary money and put in the
             | necessary time to make it happen.
             | 
             | I don't even think it's a matter of money, but you nailed
             | it on the head with the desire part. Some public schools
             | actually get more funding than private ones...
             | 
             | Private schools get to filter out applicants. They only get
             | applicants from families that are interested in education
             | (and willing to spend a little bit more on it than average)
             | and they are allowed to expel students that are not
             | compliant.
             | 
             | That significantly lightens the teacher's workload and
             | makes it easier for them to adapt.
             | 
             | Keep in mind in a public school classroom there will be a
             | percentage of kids that don't want to be there and that
             | will disrupt at much as they can no matter what. And,
             | thanks to the Pareto rule, probably get 80% of the
             | teacher's attention and energy. Some magnets schools
             | manages to bypass that, but they are slowly being shamed
             | and bullied into not doing [0].
             | 
             | [0] https://thelowell.org/8815/news/board-of-education-
             | announces...
        
             | sreque wrote:
             | I think there have been enough studies now to show that the
             | problem with most public schools in the U.S. have little or
             | nothing to do with underfunding. Thomas Sowell's recent
             | book, "Charter Schools and their enemies", shows that
             | Charter schools with less funding can insanely outperform
             | public schools they compete with in inner cities, even
             | though the public schools have more funding per student.
             | 
             | https://www.amazon.com/Charter-Schools-Enemies-Thomas-
             | Sowell...
        
               | asoneth wrote:
               | I have not read Sowell's book. Do you know how he
               | addresses the issue of self-selection? For example, with
               | cost: Some kinds of students require orders of magnitude
               | more resources than others due to
               | health/behavioral/developmental/poverty-related issues. A
               | school that is able to attract specific families or expel
               | specific students should logically attempt to minimize
               | the number of these kinds of students and therefore we
               | would expect them to have significantly lower "per pupil"
               | costs than average. Comparing such a school to one that
               | must accept all students is an apples-to-oranges
               | comparison.
               | 
               | As a personal anecdote I used to manage an academic
               | department that was highly ranked. I'm proud of the
               | faculty and curriculum but to be perfectly frank the
               | biggest factor in our success was that our ranking
               | attracted top-tier applicants. At the level we were at,
               | the differences between us and similar institutions
               | mostly boiled down to that initial self-selection.
        
               | nradov wrote:
               | Public charter schools can't pick and choose their
               | students the way private schools do. They have to take
               | students with special needs, discipline problems, etc.
               | Expulsions can only be done in extreme circumstances.
               | 
               | The real advantage of charter schools is parent
               | engagement. Parents usually have to specifically ask for
               | their children to be placed into charter schools. That's
               | a signal that the parents take education seriously and
               | will impose some discipline on the children.
        
               | sreque wrote:
               | He addresses all of self-selection, demographics, and
               | discipline directly in the book, if I remember
               | accurately.
               | 
               | First, to address self-selection as a primary cause,
               | Sowell specifically compares the outcomes of students who
               | won the charter school lottery versus those who didn't,
               | and shows the performance gap between public and charter
               | schools remains even when only considering students who
               | entered the lottery.
               | 
               | Second, Sowell purposely compares schools that have as
               | similar demographics as possible, including racial makeup
               | and economic status. He also attempts to control for
               | location differences by comparing schools that are co-
               | located in the same building or are located within a
               | small distance of each other.
               | 
               | Finally, he specifically calls out charter schools'
               | ability to enforce stronger discipline and even expel
               | students as a distinct competitive advantage, one that
               | the teachers unions recognize and are trying to
               | undermine. He also believes that relaxing discipline in
               | the name of reducing disparate outcome among identity
               | groups has a direct causal effect on worsened education
               | in public schools.
               | 
               | To me, with regards to discipline, the lesson to be
               | learned is that public schools need to be empowered to
               | enforce stricter discipline as well. There is no justice
               | or fairness in allowing a small minority to disrupt the
               | education of a willing majority. A few of the discipline-
               | related anecdotes Sowell shares in his book are heart-
               | wrenching, including one story of a student punching a
               | pregnant teacher in the stomach, telling her he was going
               | to punch the baby right out of her, and finally returning
               | to school the next day with no imposed consequences for
               | his violent behavior. I don't know how any student could
               | learn in an environment like that.
        
               | asoneth wrote:
               | With respect to cost, I'm not sure any of these points
               | refute the hypothesis that charters cost less per pupil
               | primarily because they are able to offload the most
               | expensive students. And _if_ that is true then increasing
               | the number of charter schools will simply increase the
               | concentration of the most expensive students into fewer
               | schools that have less funding to deal with them. At that
               | point we can either acknowledge that expensive students
               | require an order of magnitude more money or we let them
               | pass through to the welfare and justice systems. In
               | either case it doesn 't seem like we're saving society
               | money by switching to charters, we're just shifting it to
               | other parts of the budget.
               | 
               | With respect to educational opportunities that seems more
               | compelling. But as Sowell alludes, I suspect you could
               | get a similar effect by allowing public schools to
               | enforce stronger discipline and make it easier to suspend
               | or expel difficult students. On that note I'm surprised
               | to hear that teachers unions are opposed to that now.
               | I've certainly heard that unions are an obstacle to
               | getting rid of poor-performing teachers, but I rarely
               | hear of them being an obstacle to dealing with difficult
               | students. At least a couple decades ago the AFT was
               | actively pushing to make it _easier_ to expel students
               | for things like drugs or weapons in school.
        
               | sreque wrote:
               | So I think an underlying assumption you have that I want
               | to scrutinize is that misbehaving students are costlier
               | from a monetary perspective, or that they require more
               | money spent to handle them, or that spending more money
               | will result in better outcomes for these students. This
               | assumption may or may not be true, but I think it is
               | valuable to question it and expect some evidence to
               | support it. For instance, it is quite possible that
               | stricter and more rigorous discipline in schools could
               | benefit misbehaving students far more than any spending
               | increase in the school system. Likewise, there may be
               | certain cultural norms or expectations in charter schools
               | that have far more impact on misbehaving students than
               | spending increases.
               | 
               | I think the far more important point, however is that
               | some charter schools are working phenomenally well for
               | the underprivileged and doing so with less funding, and
               | that there are valuable lessons to be learned from that
               | fact, which lessons are at risk of being ignored or lost.
               | However, instead of either trying to learn from these
               | charter schools or allow more of them to be created,
               | teacher's unions and the government officials they
               | support via campaign funds are openly hostile to them, as
               | the book details. These adults are clearly acting in
               | their best interests, not in the interests of the
               | children they are claiming to serve.
               | 
               | With regard to government policy in general, there seems
               | to be a complete disincentive to analyze policy in
               | retrospect honestly, determine successes and failures,
               | and learn from the past in order to influence future
               | decisions. With government policy, intent often matters
               | more than results, as intent earns votes. This can easily
               | lead to perverse incentives.
               | 
               | As an example, it's easy to claim good intent when
               | proposing to spend more money on schools. But, if we want
               | to actually help children out, results matter more than
               | intent, and it seems very clear that, past a certain
               | point, pouring more money into the public school system
               | has little to no impact on educational outcomes. Instead,
               | we should both be looking at other factors, and we should
               | be allowing for more competition so that we can iterate
               | on more ideas more rapidly. The relative monoculture of
               | the public school system, combined with perverse
               | incentives among both the government and teacher's
               | unions, seem unhealthy for society and for our children.
        
               | willcipriano wrote:
               | The US spending is on a per student basis is on par with
               | other OECD nations[0], it is incumbent upon the teachers
               | unions and department of education to explain why they
               | can not achieve what the rest of the world has with the
               | same funds, not the taxpayer to throw more money onto the
               | bonfire.
               | 
               | [0]https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/indicator/cmd
        
               | tyoma wrote:
               | US schools serve as a de-facto provider of social
               | services. Think free lunches and breakfast, school
               | nurses, screening for disease/disabilities, sports and
               | multitudes of after school activities to keep kids
               | occupies until parents return, transportation to/from
               | school, etc. Those services are a separate line-item i (I
               | imagine) every other country.
               | 
               | A better and more instructive comparison would be money
               | spent only on instruction, adjusted for PPP and maybe
               | student poverty.
        
               | willcipriano wrote:
               | I can't find that data, but I doubt that a couple of
               | minimum wage lunch ladies and a school nurse are why our
               | schools have to cost twice as much as everywhere else.
               | Other nations provide transportation as well, all of
               | Europe doesn't live in areas with public transit, despite
               | that perception.
               | 
               | As for sports, if sports aren't moving the needle
               | academically then we shouldn't be funding them. If other
               | nations priotized education over sport, and got better
               | results we should learn from them.
               | 
               | Just throwing more money at probably won't do anything,
               | what is likely is that they will double down on the
               | strategies that aren't working.
        
               | tyoma wrote:
               | My point is that its not as simple as concluding the US
               | wastes money and is ineffective at teaching. The schools
               | in the US do a lot more than instruction, and work with a
               | different set of students.
               | 
               | We certainly could learn from what works around the
               | world, but comparing raw numbers is simply not helpful.
               | 
               | We can also learn from what works in different states.
               | For instance, Massachusetts, as a state, has PISA scores
               | that are on par with the best in the world.
        
               | willcipriano wrote:
               | I just don't see a basis for calling them categorically
               | underfunded.
               | 
               | For example, New York State has the highest spending per
               | student $24,040 and is ranked 14th in this survey[0]
               | while Virginia is ranked fourth and only spends $12,216.
               | Massachusetts spends $17,058 and tops the list.
               | 
               | A honest look at the school system may reveal that some
               | parts of it are underfunded, but it will likely also
               | reveal parts that are overfunded. I suspect a lot of
               | progress can be made by being better stewards of the
               | money they currently have, and therefore suggest starting
               | there. Ultimately any taxes come from the wallets of
               | families supporting the children we are trying to help
               | here, making them poorer needs to show benefit to be
               | justified.
               | 
               | [0]https://wallethub.com/edu/e/states-with-the-best-
               | schools/533...
        
             | slownews45 wrote:
             | The thing is, these schools in some cases do not charge a
             | lot more than the funding allocated to the local public
             | schools.
             | 
             | What they do have obviously is incredibly flexibility and
             | there really was no option in folks mind to cancel all in
             | person learning. So they just do everything they can, small
             | pods / cohorts, split schedules for recess, split day
             | schedules even and all the other steps.
             | 
             | So I wouldn't say money, but the time and decision velocity
             | was there. Teachers WERE going to be teaching, and the
             | admin (with teachers and parent council) basically said,
             | how do we make this work.
             | 
             | The secondary win was that this let parents work from home!
             | So they could stay home in peace and quiet and avoid
             | spreading stuff around.
             | 
             | I'm seriously curious what the larger model of learn from
             | home was in public schools? How do these parents work and
             | progress vis a vis their colleagues who send their kids to
             | in-person learning?
             | 
             | The folks I know with kids in school actually did very well
             | career wise, they were 100% on it for remote work, got lots
             | done without commute or kids or if on an in-person job were
             | 100% there (usually with an N95 mask if school demanded
             | that).
             | 
             | If anything, if folks were struggling you'd think in person
             | would be even MORE critical for both parents and kids.
             | 
             | Note that my local suburban public school has TONS of field
             | space outside to set up some tents and outside classrooms.
             | 
             | Some links as to what this looks like sometimes:
             | 
             | https://www.greenschoolyards.org/covid-learn-outside
        
       | hgial wrote:
       | Everyone here seems to be certain the pandemic will have huge and
       | lasting effects on educational outcomes for kids. I would instead
       | bet that while there will be effects in the short term, these
       | effects will mostly fade within a few years (preexisting gaps
       | will remain, but they won't get much bigger).
       | 
       | This post reviews some of the existing evidence on the effect of
       | missing school:
       | 
       | https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/kids-can-recover-from-...
       | 
       | And generally finds that kids can catch up quite quickly.
       | 
       | I think my one caveat is that there may be a group of at-risk
       | kids for whom school was keeping them from getting into serious
       | trouble with the law. Those effects could conceivably be both
       | large and lasting (e.g., if you carjack someone and kill them in
       | the process and spend the next 15 years in prison it's going to
       | have a big effect on your life!).
        
         | JoeAltmaier wrote:
         | I agree - primary school is an interesting exercise but maybe
         | over-stressed.
         | 
         | Anecdata: my brother-in-law grew up in rural Oklahoma. "How
         | were the schools?" "Oh, terrible. No AP courses; not a lot of
         | math. I had to spend an extra year starting college, to be
         | ready for regular college courses."
         | 
         | "So", I asked, "your entire primary education could be
         | recapitulated in 1 year once you were 18? Why then do we put
         | kids through all that?"
         | 
         | He had no answer. Of course, since he is a High School teacher,
         | he didn't want to think that was true. But I wonder.
        
       | hirako2000 wrote:
       | Entirely fed up with these articles. The debate is whether these
       | things should be mandated or let to the appreciation of the
       | people.
       | 
       | Let me keep my kids at home, or get them to a school, or
       | socialise, or wear a mask, or get vaccinated.
       | 
       | Enough. Enough of this non sensical noise about whether x or y is
       | better. Let people be. Stop coercing people to follow the
       | potential idiocy of some group sitting in an office think will be
       | wiser for society.
       | 
       | The scandal isn't that deprived kids suffer social distancing
       | most, the scandal is that governments around the globe have been
       | telling people to cover their face wherever they go, to not meet
       | their friends, to find themselves a other job because their
       | industry is shut, to get infected or be banned from travels and
       | other public places if they don't.
       | 
       | Let people be. We don't care what you think is better for people.
       | They know better.
        
         | NineStarPoint wrote:
         | First major issue is that you can't get your kids to school if
         | there aren't enough teachers willing to teach there. Whether
         | it's even worth paying a teacher to be there depends on the
         | aggregate of the decisions of other parents as well. We've
         | decided on a very standardized way of doing public schooling,
         | and that goes beyond just what is taught.
         | 
         | But the bigger issue is that you're talking almost entirely
         | about decisions that only have effects with society wide
         | adoption. Me wearing a mask doesn't help, everyone wearing a
         | mask does. Me getting vaccinated gives me 70% protection,
         | everyone getting vaccinated creates herd immunity. There are
         | classes of decision that only have an effect if almost everyone
         | in society has to make them, you can't just say "you do what
         | you want and I do what I want" and expect that to make any
         | sense when we are talking about that kind of decision.
         | 
         | Which isn't to say we should force everyone to do things like
         | get vaccinated. Arguing that choice and liberty are more
         | important than safety is reasonable (as is arguing that the
         | system is too incompetent to be trusted with that sort of
         | power). But you have to argue for that specifically, not say
         | "let me do what you want and I'll do what I want" as if that's
         | a valid way to handle this type of situation. When we're
         | talking about things that only help if everyone does them, the
         | choice is to enforce it or accept we won't get the benefits.
        
         | eropple wrote:
         | There are plenty of public-health mandates out there--because
         | it's not about you, it's about the people you impose upon with
         | your unmasked, unvaccinated presence--and _even if you think
         | lockdowns weren 't a good idea_ (which I think is an arguable
         | point, even if it's one with which I disagree) to try to
         | contest that one about a mask over your nose and mouth reveals
         | your position as an unserious one.
         | 
         | There's no serious objection in the whole of existence to "wear
         | a mask to reduce transmission", and you tip off your false
         | reasonableness by trying to sliiiide that one in there.
        
           | nradov wrote:
           | You cannot expect asymptomatic people to wear masks in public
           | indefinitely. That is an unserious position. So what are the
           | exit criteria? Several European countries either never had
           | much in the way of mask mandates, or have recently removed
           | them.
        
             | eropple wrote:
             | That's not what the prior poster was referring to, and if
             | we're being honest we both know that, but you and I can
             | have that conversation, sure. Given the general benefits to
             | public health and how frankly effortless wearing a mask has
             | been every day since March before last, my S1 response is
             | 99% vaccination coverage, which at least where I live is in
             | line with the vaccination coverage of most other major
             | vaccines, and two cases a day in whatever reasonably sized
             | area (metro, county, whatever)--what's yours?
        
           | henrikschroder wrote:
           | There is plenty of serious objection to mask mandates, the
           | literature on the subject was unanimously against universal
           | masking before 2020.
           | 
           | It is absolutely possible to find examples of positive
           | correlation between mask use and lowered spread, but it's
           | also possible to find examples of the opposite, and of no
           | difference.
           | 
           | If it works, why are there so many cases where it just
           | doesn't?
        
             | henrikschroder wrote:
             | If you want some fun examples of counter-correlations, this
             | is a good article: https://ianmsc.substack.com/p/the-more-
             | masks-fail-the-more-w...
             | 
             | Yes, those examples are cherry-picked, but if you're
             | defending the null hypothesis - mask mandates don't work -
             | that's a perfectly valid argument for your case.
             | 
             | If you argue that mask mandates work, it's on _you_ to
             | explain every single counter-correlation, you can 't
             | cherry-pick correlations that happen to support your case.
        
           | ghoward wrote:
           | Not GP.
           | 
           | There _are_ serious objections to masks: they make people
           | more anonymous (which is hard on everyone, but especially
           | kids), they increase carbon dioxide intake, and the ones
           | people generally use may not be effective against something
           | as small as the COVID virus.
        
             | bena wrote:
             | The COVID virus is 20 nanometers in diameter at its
             | smallest.
             | 
             | Carbon Dioxide is one carbon atom and two oxygen atoms. Its
             | diameter is 0.33 nanometers.
             | 
             | If a mask increases carbon dioxide intake, then it can stop
             | the COVID virus. If masks are not effective against
             | something as small as the COVID virus, then it wouldn't
             | increase carbon dioxide intake.
        
               | ghoward wrote:
               | To add to the sibling comment, which is correct, I
               | actually created a model [1] that showed that any
               | impedance leads to the air behind a mask eventually
               | stabilizing at half oxygen and half carbon dioxide.
               | 
               | This means that _any_ mask will eventually lead to about
               | the same carbon dioxide intake, even if they let air
               | through quite freely.
               | 
               | [1]: https://gavinhoward.com/2020/08/masks-and-carbon-
               | dioxide/
        
               | Fellshard wrote:
               | The latter premise is false, as there is still some
               | impedance to exhalation - air is not allowed through
               | completely freely. That is not to say the impedance is
               | great, but it must still be acknowledged that it exists
               | and has an effect on the air breathed, however
               | negligible. The matter, then, is one of 'to what degree',
               | more than 'does or doesn't'.
        
               | bena wrote:
               | If there is impedance to carbon dioxide, then there must
               | be impedance to COVID.
               | 
               | That's what you and the other have missed. Or ignored.
               | 
               | You can't argue that it both impedes carbon dioxide, but
               | not COVID.
               | 
               | And even if some gets through, it's got to be better than
               | all. I thought we weren't supposed to let perfect be the
               | enemy of good.
        
               | redis_mlc wrote:
               | Your virtue signalling is nothing but repugnant.
               | 
               | Any mask under a dollar doesn't work.
        
               | ghoward wrote:
               | Just because COVID is impeded does not mean the mask is
               | effective.
               | 
               | The mask might impede COVID by 1% and carbon dioxide by
               | 0.5%. That means the mask is 99% not effective against
               | COVID, but a model I created [1] shows that even the 0.5%
               | impedance will eventually lead to the mask keeping in
               | half oxygen and half carbon dioxide, leading to higher
               | carbon dioxide inhalation.
               | 
               | [1]: https://gavinhoward.com/2020/08/masks-and-carbon-
               | dioxide/
        
             | spookthesunset wrote:
             | Don't forget folks who can't hear have a hell of time
             | functioning.
             | 
             | But thanks to covid myopia these problems get gaslight
             | away. Only covid matters to some people... almost
             | literally. Sadly they are the ones in control.
        
         | kingkawn wrote:
         | This strain of opinion is why the US still has >2,000 deaths
         | per day from COVID, and has the highest death toll of any
         | wealthy country.
        
           | Mikeb85 wrote:
           | > the highest death toll of any wealthy country.
           | 
           | And the largest population of any 'wealthy' country.
        
             | nivenkos wrote:
             | And higher rates of obesity and diabetes.
             | 
             | Just looking at the data, it's clear mask mandates and
             | lockdowns don't work at scale. Compared to the vaccines,
             | the effect size is minuscule, and the fact it's even
             | debatable (unlike the vaccines) means that it definitely
             | isn't worth the costs.
             | 
             | If anything they should mandate vaccines, and end all
             | restrictions and mask mandates.
        
           | Fellshard wrote:
           | That is malign use of data, undifferentiated by vastly
           | different locales and policies across the nation, and not
           | even accounting for per-capita.
        
             | bena wrote:
             | I don't think differentiating is going to help your
             | argument any.
             | 
             | We're approaching two very different situations in the U.S.
             | Health outcomes with regards to COVID are following
             | political leanings. And it is not looking good for one of
             | them.
        
               | rsj_hn wrote:
               | > We're approaching two very different situations in the
               | U.S. Health outcomes with regards to COVID are following
               | political leanings
               | 
               | Which group do you think is doing worse? Whatever that
               | opinion is, it's not supported by the data:
               | 
               | Highest covid deaths per 100,000 are in Mississippi at
               | 317 but New Jersey is #2 at 308. Alabama is high at 286
               | but NY is right there at 284. Arkansas is terrible at
               | 252, but Massachussets is worse at 269. Texas at 221 is
               | better than Connecticut at 238 and much better than Rhode
               | Island at 266, but worse than Illinois at 215, which
               | itself is worse than Ohio at 187.
               | 
               | Given the disparities in poverty and obesity and how both
               | of these lead to much higher mortality rates, the red
               | states are doing much better than the blue states on a
               | wealth/obesity adjusted basis, and are the same on an
               | absolute basis.
               | 
               | https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-
               | covi...
               | 
               | I suspect the mistake you are making is the same kind of
               | observational bias that is common in these culture wars
               | -- e.g. bad things happening to your side are a terrible
               | tragedy whereas bad things happening to the other side is
               | proof of their misguided policies. But the facts don't
               | show any meaningful difference in total deaths, even
               | though deaths in any given week swing wildly as the
               | disease burns through some states before others. E.g. NY
               | was hit hardest in the beginning, and then it spread to
               | other states when NY was already recovering, then those
               | states recovered and it spread to others, etc. It would
               | be _extremely foolish_ to look at only a snapshot in time
               | rather than cumulative deaths since 2019.
        
               | bena wrote:
               | You know doing it from the start of things is a bit
               | misleading, right? Of course you do. You do it because it
               | misleads.
               | 
               | Do the daily average. Do it since April.
               | 
               | Because that's what it means when one says "we're
               | approaching". Things are changing in two different
               | directions.
               | 
               | You only think it's foolish to disregard the rolling
               | average rather than the cumulative deaths because it's
               | only by considering the cumulative deaths can you ignore
               | the pattern forming.
               | 
               | COVID is becoming an epidemic of the unvaccinated. Even
               | with daily variations, the trends are moving in two
               | directions. That's what the facts are showing. Disregard
               | them at your own peril.
        
               | rsj_hn wrote:
               | > You know doing it from the start of things is a bit
               | misleading, right?
               | 
               | No, this is absolutely false. Please stop spreading
               | misinformation. You know as well as I do that diseases
               | move from region to region, and burn through some regions
               | quickly while they slowly move through others. What
               | matters is the total deaths after everything is said and
               | done, and you must understand this -- everyone else does.
               | There is no advantage to having your population killed
               | earlier rather than later, or later rather than earlier.
               | 
               | Please stop misleading people in the arena of public
               | health - total deaths per capita during the entire course
               | of the disease is how reasonable people measure the toll
               | of the disease and the overall success or failure of any
               | approach.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | spookthesunset wrote:
           | > This strain of opinion is why the US still has >2,000
           | deaths per day from COVID, and has the highest death toll of
           | any wealthy country.
           | 
           | Is it though? Or is it some people trying to moralize
           | catching a highly infectious respiratory virus? I know plenty
           | of people who "took this serious" and did all the double
           | masks, washing mail and quarantining groceries and they still
           | caught covid.
           | 
           | Until I see actual research done when people have a level
           | head that suggests "not taking it seriously" actually changed
           | things... it's all just wild conjecture.
        
       | [deleted]
        
       | eawze wrote:
       | DEATH TO ALL MASKERS!
       | 
       | I hope you vaxxers get ran over by a bus.
       | 
       | The only good fascist is a dead one! I wish death on every single
       | vaxxer/masker here.
       | 
       | FUCK YOU!
        
       | spoonjim wrote:
       | When my kid was in lockdown I taught him math and science and now
       | he does algebra at 5. Other kids his age were in lockdown getting
       | beaten by their stepdads. I think the achievement gaps will be
       | massive and that the lengths of these school lockdowns were a
       | crime against a generation of kids. A society with restaurants
       | open for sit down dining but schools closed has its priorities
       | completely upside down.
        
         | WhereIsSweden wrote:
         | Indeed, if restaurants are open - school should be open too.
        
         | josephcsible wrote:
         | > A society with restaurants open for sit down dining but
         | schools closed has its priorities completely upside down.
         | 
         | Be careful: that's analogous to asking "why is Narcan free for
         | drug addicts but insulin so expensive for diabetics?". The fact
         | that restaurants are open isn't relevant, and mentioning it
         | like that will just make people suggest that they be closed,
         | instead of addressing the real problem.
        
           | spoonjim wrote:
           | Not sure what your point is. Restaurants are a Lower priority
           | than schools. If Covid is out of control, close the
           | restaurants and open the schools (assuming both are disease
           | vectors). If the disease is too dangerous then of course
           | there can be circumstances where both must remain closed
           | (especially if it was a disease targeting young people like
           | H1N1)
        
       | qsort wrote:
       | This is something I did a complete 180 about.
       | 
       | I used to think closing schools wouldn't hurt anybody and that
       | performance would at worst remain stationary. My reasoning was
       | that so much time is wasted at school that it doesn't really make
       | a difference where the learning happens, but I _severely_
       | underestimated effects I thought were second-order like the
       | familiarity with technology, the digital divide, or even just
       | having access to a quiet, private space where one can focus.
       | 
       | The data really speaks for itself, it's been a disaster.
        
         | z3t4 wrote:
         | Another reason why accessibility is so important. Someone might
         | be doing their homework/research from a smarttv or hacked
         | kindle.
        
         | spoonjim wrote:
         | What do you do for a living? I also found school to be a huge
         | waste of time but I was a very high IQ kid. When I would be
         | stuck at home I would just read books or mess around with
         | chemical reactions. Plus I had a very comfortable middle class
         | life. But the average IQ kid cannot self study like that and
         | the average income family may not have a private room for the
         | kid to study, may have abusive situations at home, etc.
        
           | qsort wrote:
           | > What do you do for a living?
           | 
           | I'm a software developer, I have been working from home since
           | the pandemic started and that's probably what led me to my
           | initial opinion - I had almost no drop in productivity and I
           | (wrongly) assumed school wasn't kinda sorta like my job.
           | 
           | > I also found school to be a huge waste of time but I was a
           | very high IQ kid.
           | 
           | I was top ~1% as well. I agree K-12 is inherently useless for
           | the top few percent, but I still think "normal" school is
           | massively wasteful, even when you only take into account the
           | middle 90%. Most of it just felt fake if I'm being honest:
           | dumbed down versions of reality fed by teachers to students
           | with the mutual understandment that it's all bullshit, so
           | that eventually there's going to be a garbage test where the
           | teacher knows the grades in advance.
           | 
           | I'm Italian though, not American, so YMMV.
           | 
           | > average income family may not have a private room for the
           | kid to study, may have abusive situations at home, etc.
           | 
           | Yes, completely agree. I thought they'd be second-order
           | effects but they weren't. My parents were working class but I
           | don't recall money ever being a pressing issue, we were
           | "poor" but not " _really_ poor ", so that might have skewed
           | my perspective as well.
        
         | packetlost wrote:
         | Not to mention the fact that a _massive_ part of school is just
         | learning to socialize with people who aren 't your family and
         | that you may or may not particularly like.
        
           | CharlesW wrote:
           | I'm wondering: Do we understand the long-term impact of this
           | lack of "social school" from how homeschooled kids do post-
           | education?
        
             | orwin wrote:
             | I'm not in the US, we have a far smaller culture of
             | homeschooling here from what i read, but due to my pre-dev
             | activities and social engagements (i was young and full of
             | hope :) ), i met a bit more than two dozen homeschooled
             | children.
             | 
             | They all did pretty heavy extracurricular activities. Keep
             | in mind that i met them in a particular time, either as a
             | youth camp counselor or as a "street educator" (not really,
             | basically i animated open physics classes with
             | experiments/construction for kids, think Kiwico but free
             | and with social settings).
             | 
             | They also were quite late in STEM, even those with
             | engineers parents (definitely not the majority), but at
             | least bilingual (i saw a 10 year old girl speaking 4
             | languages and playing violin better than i did). The most
             | "advanced" i saw (at least in mathematics principles and
             | understanding) where those with a formal musical education.
             | Most of them could play at least one instrument, but those
             | who understood underlying music principle were definitely
             | more likely to "get" physics and engineering for some
             | reasons. I think pattern recognition is definitely
             | important for people to understand STEM work, and that can
             | explain my limited, anecdotal data.
             | 
             | Another common point is that each of their familly were
             | fairly religious (or spiritual rather), but not close-
             | minded. I think around half were christian (not really
             | defined), and the other half were more new-age. No Chomsky
             | day for any of the famillies.
             | 
             | [edit] It's quite unfair from me, putting them in boxes
             | like christian and new-age. Let say around half of them
             | believed in a single entity we could call god creating the
             | universe and guiding humanity, and the other half believing
             | that the universe himself (or Nature, or the soul) guide
             | them. I'm pretty sure one couple were active dualist
             | proponents
        
             | txsoftwaredev wrote:
             | As a parent of three home schooled children, the social
             | aspect is always brought up by those not informed about
             | home schooling. My kids are socialized through various
             | group activities (P.E, dance, piano, art classes etc.) and
             | with close friends. They also have friends of various age
             | groups since they are not forced to socialize with kids of
             | their age group as they would in public schools. Overall I
             | find the social aspect to be of higher quality than my
             | experience as a kid going through public schools. One big
             | benefit is not having to deal with being bullied, which is
             | very common in public schools.
        
               | PoignardAzur wrote:
               | There's this joke I often see about homeschooling: "I
               | didn't want my kid to miss out on the high school social
               | experience, so I beat him up and stole his lunch money."
        
             | _-david-_ wrote:
             | This is not universal but there are often times groups of
             | homeschooling families that get together and have their
             | kids socialize. It is likely significantly less than at
             | school but probably changes the formula a bit.
        
             | OldHand2018 wrote:
             | There are a wide variety of homeschool types. But in
             | general, homeschool parents make conscious efforts to
             | ensure the kids get social activities.
             | 
             | In standard school, there are very rigid age-based
             | hierarchies. Sixth graders rule over fifth graders, who
             | rule over fourth graders. And the adults rule over all of
             | them. And then you have the cliques, etc.
             | 
             | You'll find that such hierarchies do not exist in the
             | homeschool world, and the kids are better for it. If the
             | homeschool environment is religion-based, you'll probably
             | find that the children do not know how to interact well
             | with people in other religions, but you still have
             | excellent interactions between age groups.
        
             | loonster wrote:
             | There is a wide range of socialization that happens in
             | homeschool. Some kids are practically hermits, only meeting
             | other kids during church. Other kids have a full schedule
             | of extracurricular activities that rival HS and college
             | kids.
        
             | packetlost wrote:
             | Anecdotal, but I grew up in a cult that encouraged home-
             | schooling. While I was lucky and did not get home schooled,
             | nearly every person I know who did was socially stunted in
             | some way.
        
               | ryandrake wrote:
               | I wouldn't say the homeschooled people I have encountered
               | were "stunted" but definitely "different enough to not
               | gel smoothly with the rest of society." They kind of just
               | run in totally different circles: They socialize but with
               | a totaly disjoint set of kids. All their friends are from
               | their church and they don't know anyone in public school,
               | their parents take them to totally different movies
               | (Christian movies, no Marvel superheroes), listen to
               | totally different music. Can't talk sports with them
               | because they literally can't name a football team. No
               | culture overlap at all. Totally siloed off in their own
               | world.
               | 
               | Maybe these traits are specific to Christian
               | homeschoolers and not homeschoolers in general, but
               | frankly I have never met someone who was homeschooled
               | because of secular, rather than religious reasons.
        
               | d883kd8 wrote:
               | Personally I was homeschooled and sports was one of the
               | main points of common ground I had with kids from
               | "regular school"
        
               | dragonwriter wrote:
               | > I wouldn't say the homeschooled people I have
               | encountered were "stunted" but definitely "different
               | enough to not gel smoothly with the rest of society."
               | 
               | IME, the homeschooled people raised by people
               | (homeschooled or not) to whom that description does not
               | apply also do not tend to fit it, but people to whom
               | (again, homeschooled themselves or not) that description
               | _does_ apply are overrepresented among those choosing
               | homeschooling for their kids.
        
               | oceanplexian wrote:
               | I don't think life would be worse off if I never watched
               | popular movies or if Football didn't exist. I have
               | actually given this some thought given recent events.
               | 
               | These last two years have changed my perspective. While
               | the vast majority of people were bathing in hand
               | sanitizer, hoarding toilet paper, locking themselves away
               | in quarantine, and avoiding elevator buttons, the people
               | who were least in tune with popular culture (Religious,
               | rural, etc.) seemed like the most rational actors. In my
               | opinion turning off the TV and ignoring mass media,
               | sports, culture is probably the most healthy thing a
               | person could do.
        
           | missinfo wrote:
           | The counterargument is that it's an artificial socialization.
           | You are put in a group based on age; an axis we don't
           | segregate on beyond school. It means you are mostly being
           | socialized by other kids of the same age. It's the blind
           | leading the blind. It's cliques. It's bullies. It's mean
           | girls. I think it's a special kind of torture for both the
           | body and mind.
        
           | inglor_cz wrote:
           | One thing that rubs me the wrong way about school socializing
           | is that you learn to socialize only with people of your own
           | age. That is a very unnatural group that succumbs to
           | idiosyncratic peer pressures, fashions and groupthink.
           | 
           | I definitely got better at socializing when I left school and
           | started to interact with much more age diverse groups in the
           | wider world.
        
             | farmerstan wrote:
             | No this is a good thing. Kids develop at different ages and
             | being around kids their age build up confidence. If they
             | mixed classes too much then the older kids would dominate
             | everything and the younger kids would learn to just shut
             | up.
             | 
             | Especially with girls it's important for kids to learn self
             | esteem and agency, and they can't do that when bigger,
             | stronger, smarter and faster older kids are dominating
             | everything in the classroom.
        
               | PoignardAzur wrote:
               | Sounds like post-hoc rationalization to me.
               | 
               | With that reasoning, you could also decide that classes
               | shouldn't be mixed-gender, because boys might bully girl
               | or girls might bully boys, and it's better to keep
               | everyone in a group of people exactly like them.
        
             | packetlost wrote:
             | This really isn't true though. Some schools have mixed-
             | grade lunches, clubs, some classes, etc. and how can you
             | not categorize interactions with teachers and other faculty
             | as not being in a different age group???
        
               | fighterpilot wrote:
               | Almost nobody is building meaningful relationships
               | outside of their year group. It's an unhealthy state of
               | affairs that wasn't this way in our ancestral past. A
               | side effect of going for economies of scale in schooling.
               | It contributed to my own immaturity as a teenager. I
               | would've been better off with actual friends older than
               | me and especially some actual friends older than 25.
               | 
               | This is one thing home schooling has going for it, where
               | the social life is built around activities with other
               | home schooled kids who likely differ in age. It's much
               | harder for kids to get caught up in the typical pet
               | immaturities and stupidities of their age group.
        
               | verall wrote:
               | In my American public school, and likely where the parent
               | is from, there are not mixed-grade lunches, clubs, or any
               | classes, until around 9th grade or 14ish years old.
               | Interactions with teachers and faculty is extremely
               | limited by the ratio (at least 1:20) and the context
               | ("You need to remain quiet and do as we tell you").
               | 
               | Kids that have siblings, neighborhood friends, or social
               | activities like boy scouts, which generally include
               | children over a range of ages, really appreciate it.
               | 
               | It sounds like your school had access to this stuff
               | already though, do you think it was valuable?
        
               | jlokier wrote:
               | > interactions with teachers and other faculty
               | 
               | Interactions, yes, but I wouldn't call those interactions
               | _socialising_.
               | 
               | In my entire time as a child and teenager at multiple
               | schools, I don't recall spending any time socialising
               | with teachers and other faculty. Not once, and not even
               | with my favourite teachers who made the most lasting
               | impressions through their teaching, and willingness to
               | teach me more advanced things than on the standard
               | curriculum.
               | 
               | It was pretty minimal at university too. Socialising was
               | with other students.
        
               | packetlost wrote:
               | Social education is _not_ just _socializing_. It 's
               | important for children to learn social dynamics with
               | people who are a different standing as them and their
               | immediate peers.
        
               | jlokier wrote:
               | I agree those things are important.
               | 
               | But the post by inglor_cz you replied to was specifically
               | about _socialising_ being limited to peer ages as a
               | child, not social eduction in general.
               | 
               | Therefore your reply "this isn't really true though" and
               | "how can you not categorise .. teachers" implied
               | _socialising_ with teachers and faculty, not just formal
               | social interactions.
               | 
               | It really is true that many children don't have the
               | opportunity to socialise with people outside a narrow age
               | range at school, and that seems like a legitimate thing
               | to dislike.
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | "how can you not categorize interactions with teachers
               | and other faculty as not being in a different age group"
               | 
               | These are interactions, but form just a very limited
               | subset of socializing. Most teachers remain fairly
               | distant and unknown. Or at least that was my experience
               | when going to school.
               | 
               | YMMV.
        
             | Nasrudith wrote:
             | Yeah - mosr schools are frankly missocialization. It
             | "works" because it is a largely synchronized one which sets
             | the norms which are accepted.
        
           | Spivak wrote:
           | And there's not really an age where this stops either.
           | Socialization is an ongoing life-long process. I'm sure all
           | the exceptions will be in my replies but we need social
           | interaction in order to not go crazy. And with our shitty
           | hyper-individualistic culture, work and school is the only
           | non-parasocial human interaction a lot of people get.
        
         | BeFlatXIII wrote:
         | Once enough time has passed to give proper retrospective stats,
         | I am very curious to know if there is a clear dividing line
         | between the harm of remote learning at the elementary grades
         | compared to high school or college or if it gradually tapers
         | off in later elementary school into the baseline education
         | reduction in high school.
         | 
         | I'll also admit to not thinking that a missed semester of
         | school was a big deal. Why'd I ever think that? I only thought
         | of the glacial pace of American middle and high schools and
         | elementary grades simply skipped my mind entirely. There's no
         | way to teach a child to read over Zoom.
        
           | [deleted]
        
         | lithium_throw wrote:
         | I know a headteacher from a fairly disadvantaged area in the
         | UK. He said a lot of the kids will never recover.
         | 
         | Hopefully soon, it will no longer be contraversial to say that
         | lockdowns (especially any that lasted longer than the initial
         | "flatten the curve for 2 weeks" we were all promised) caused
         | more harm than good.
         | 
         | For a (Western) society that is obsessed with helping the
         | needy, it's just incredible that something that obviously would
         | hurt the poorest very hardest was also something that could not
         | be disagreed with.
        
           | spookthesunset wrote:
           | > something that could not be disagreed with.
           | 
           | Disagreement with the narrative still gets you exiled in many
           | parts. I've gotten called all kinds of extremely horrible
           | things by people I know in real life just for asking basic
           | questions. It's really amazing what fear does to people.
        
             | eli_gottlieb wrote:
             | Hell, I got a lecture from someone once for questioning
             | whether cloth masks were accomplishing anything meaningful
             | in a 100% vaccinated workplace with surveillance testing. A
             | lot of authorities are concentrating more on appearing to
             | Do Something against COVID than on the cost-benefit
             | calculation of NPIs' actual impact on preventing disease.
        
           | nivenkos wrote:
           | Indeed, we might have a serious issue with illiteracy again.
           | 
           | All over a virus with a 99.5+% survival rate, with 92% of the
           | deaths in the UK in over 75s (and mostly with diabetes and
           | dementia).
        
           | asoneth wrote:
           | > was also something that could not be disagreed with.
           | 
           | At the time I recall significant disagreement on this point
           | between politicians, the news media, the school boards in my
           | area, and my neighbors. After much debate, our local public
           | schools ultimately did decide to maintain full-in person
           | school for as long as possible due in no small part to equity
           | concerns. Everyone seemed uncertain about whether this was
           | the right thing to do, and I don't recall anyone on either
           | side insisting that disagreement was forbidden.
        
             | lithium_throw wrote:
             | I was referring to the broader topic of lockdowns in
             | general, but at least where I was, it was the narrative
             | that "selfish" parents who "didn't want to look after their
             | own kids" wanted to keep the schools open, and therefore
             | risking the very lives of the teachers.
        
               | asoneth wrote:
               | That's rough. Some of the discussions here also got
               | heated and a couple people on both sides of the debate
               | did sink to leveling personal attacks and questioning
               | others' motivations, patriotism, intelligence, sincerity,
               | empathy, etc rather than understanding their point of
               | view. It's amazing how damaging it can be to have even a
               | small number of people who have decided to abandon good-
               | faith discussion.
               | 
               | I'm not sure how you prevent folks like that from getting
               | a foothold, but seems like it's worth figuring out.
        
           | adpirz wrote:
           | I'd be curious to hear why you think Western society is
           | obsessed with helping the needy.
        
             | rsj_hn wrote:
             | As an adult, you should have a basic grasp of things like
             | knowing which societies have large social insurance
             | programs and which do not, rather than being baffled by
             | these basic facts of life.
             | 
             | https://data.oecd.org/socialexp/social-spending.htm
             | 
             | Western society has a historically unique obsession with
             | social insurance programs, to the point where between
             | 20-30% of GDP is spent on social insurance, whereas in
             | other socities the number is much lower. In fact the modern
             | version of these programs were invented in Germany under
             | Bismarck, and the ancient version in the Roman Empire with
             | their bread dole. From the Roman Empire's 'dole' to the
             | hospitals in the middle ages, there was a tradition in
             | Western societies with having the government help the
             | needy. That's not to say that individuals didn't help the
             | needy in many different societies (begging was an
             | occupation in early Islamic societies) but having organized
             | government programs on a mass scale simply to help the poor
             | was the invention of Western civilization during the Roman
             | Empire and continued as a Western obsession to the present
             | day.
             | 
             | Even in the US, the share of national wealth spent on
             | social benefits is 19%, the dirty secret being not that the
             | US spends much less than Europe on things like publicly
             | funding healthcare and education (because the US government
             | spends about the same amount as in Europe), but in the US
             | those public funds are pocketed by well-paid professionals
             | and still the private sector is left with large individual
             | bills, whereas in Europe those same institutions have to
             | get by on the public funds only.
             | 
             | If you want a quick way of shutting someone up who is
             | arguing that the US should have European style funding of
             | universities, tell them we already spend as much as they do
             | in Europe with public subsidies, so the missing step is
             | just making tuition and fees illegal with no increase in
             | government spending. Same thing for healthcare. That will
             | be a cold dose of reality.
        
               | inglor_cz wrote:
               | "whereas in Europe those same institutions have to get by
               | on the public funds only."
               | 
               | Europe isn't a homogeneous place and you have a lot of
               | private healthcare and educational institutions here.
               | They might not form a majority, but richer people will
               | often make use of them, if they dislike the public option
               | or consider it subpar.
               | 
               | Sometimes not even richer people. I know a lady in Madrid
               | who does not make much money, but gives about half of her
               | income for her son's schooling. He visits a semiprivate
               | school where he gets reasonable education. In her own
               | words, a fully public option would mean that he might not
               | even learn proper Spanish, as only kids of the poorest
               | immigrants frequent it.
        
               | rsj_hn wrote:
               | Yes, this is a good point. Everything is messier in real
               | life than a few paragraphs can properly portray.
               | 
               | But my main point is that the difference between the
               | national healthcare you see in Europe versus the U.S. is
               | not the level of public spending, but the universal
               | nature of service delivery achieved for roughly the same
               | total public spending. The same thing for university
               | education.
               | 
               | In both cases, the government spends an enormous amount
               | and in Europe that covers a baseline of service (with
               | private spending optional to supplement it) but in the US
               | that covers maybe 1/2-1/3 of your bill, leaving private
               | citizens to still face huge costs for things that are
               | fully covered in Europe. The natural solution -- to cut
               | employment and wages on the part of US healthcare or
               | education workers so that they make do with the public
               | funds they are already receiving -- is rarely advocated
               | by those who want a more european-style system of social
               | insurance.
        
             | lithium_throw wrote:
             | Are you for real? Find me another culture that spends so
             | much time fretting over people suffering in other
             | countries, or the poor or disadvantaged in their own
             | countries (Covid polices exempted, of course).
        
               | gunfighthacksaw wrote:
               | Our elites just love flying round on jets to African
               | countries to help, if you run a foundation you're seen as
               | a good person. The defining musical event of the 80s that
               | still has cultural continuity today was Live Aid. Most
               | cities have food banks and soup kitchens too.
               | 
               | I think we still have a notion of "the right sort" of
               | needy though, compare starving African kids to any of the
               | wretched opioid addicts (and their families) that shuffle
               | around North American cities and the sympathy given to
               | each.
        
             | [deleted]
        
           | valeness wrote:
           | This is almost impossible to quantify because we can't
           | determine how the pandemic would have played out without
           | lockdowns. It could have gone from 600,000 dead in the United
           | States, to 2 million. (Again, we don't know, it could very
           | well have been less than that, or more. :shrug:)
           | 
           | I would say losing parents or grandparents (any primary
           | caretakers really) to COVID would be far more impactful on a
           | child's development than missing a year of school.
           | 
           | I will gladly concede that lockdowns did cause harm, but
           | "more harm than good" is something I'm still not seeing as
           | true.
        
             | WhereIsSweden wrote:
             | One word - Sweden.
        
               | glogla wrote:
               | Sweden was beating the "we're not restricting stuff!"
               | drum for a while, but eventually they chickened out and
               | locked down, just like everyone else, if not more. They
               | are not a good example.
        
               | WhereIsSweden wrote:
               | Wrong, flat out wrong. Sorry. I wonder from where people
               | like you get their information, just wow. Educate
               | yourself: https://www.government.se/government-
               | policy/the-governments-...
        
               | nivenkos wrote:
               | I live in Sweden. There were some restrictions on closing
               | times of bars, and seating in shopping centres.
               | 
               | This is nothing compared to the "stay in your flat for a
               | month" lockdowns in Italy and Spain. Or shutting almost
               | everything in the UK, France, Australia, NZ, etc.
        
             | lambdaba wrote:
             | Only in those useless models. I recall one interview on
             | Unherd with one of the British modelers, if more people
             | understood what kind of "science" this was hinged on there
             | would be outrage.
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | lithium_throw wrote:
               | I do understand, and I am outraged. The stastical
               | modellers have given science, and particularly the public
               | perception of science, a terrible blow, as well as the
               | actual outcomes of blindly swallowing their predictions.
               | I'm planning to put together a list of all of the
               | predictions made since March 2020, and what actually
               | happened.
        
             | lithium_throw wrote:
             | If it had been 2 million dead in the same period, it would
             | still have been a fairly tame global pandemic, by the
             | standards of deadly global pandemics.
             | 
             | It was pretty clear after the first few weeks that Covid
             | was not the horrible killer that leaves people literally
             | dropping dead in the streets, yet the response continued as
             | if it were. Given the incredible disruption our response to
             | it has caused, that I predict will continue for years and
             | decades, the fact that we can't even say (and probably
             | never will be able to) whether it was worth it, is damning
             | enough.
             | 
             | Most kids lose a grandparent at a young age (I did). I
             | really disagree that it was worse than losing a year of
             | school, and being shut in the house for a considerable
             | period of that. If anything, we have forgotten the lessons
             | that death teaches us, and have lost touch with the cycle
             | of life and death. The incredible aversion to a relatively
             | harmless (for most) disease shows this is the case.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | > the fact that we can't even say (and probably never
               | will be able to) whether it was worth it, is damning
               | enough.
               | 
               | Exactly. I assert that for _any_ of these non
               | pharmaceutical interventions to have been worthwhile
               | their effect on "the charts" should be plain and
               | dramatic. You should be able to pull anybody off the
               | street and show them a lockdown state vs a non-lockdown
               | state and have them see plain as day the profound
               | difference.
               | 
               | If you need grad student level statistics to tease apart
               | differences it means even if these things worked, their
               | impact was so minor that the extreme social costs made
               | them not worthwhile at all.
        
               | handoflixue wrote:
               | > You should be able to pull anybody off the street and
               | show them a lockdown state vs a non-lockdown state
               | 
               | Keep in mind that the constitution protects free travel
               | between states, so such an analysis only shows what
               | results a mixed response gives.
               | 
               | If you compare Australia to the US, you can see that
               | lockdowns very clearly do work: 1K vs 600K deaths. Even
               | accounting for relative size, that suggests lockdowns
               | produced a 50x effect.
               | 
               | (of course, if the question is "should California be
               | draconian" then this is still very useful information!
               | I'm just saying the answer changes depending on whether
               | California is doing this while still being forced to have
               | open borders with states that aren't locking down, or if
               | the entire country coordinate a federal lockdown)
        
               | [deleted]
        
               | lambdaba wrote:
               | Moreso, I sincerely believe the fear exacerbated by the
               | ridiculous measures and the social isolation especially
               | of the vulnerable and sick (no visits etc.) caused a
               | substantial proportion of the deaths. We are not isolated
               | organisms.
               | 
               | Fear causes stress. Chronic fear causes chronic stress.
               | Chronic stress causes chronic cortisol. Chronic cortisol
               | causes immunosupression.
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | Indeed. And to flesh out in more detail, we caused:
               | 
               | - lack of sleep/exercise (which destroys the body's
               | immunoregulatory capacities, leading to either a sort of
               | acute immunosenescence like you said wrt fear, or
               | alternatively leading to an overreactive immune system
               | that kills via cytokine storm)
               | 
               | - decline in social interaction
               | 
               | - more time spent inside (which apart from the other
               | correlates, very obviously leads to less sunlight).
               | sunlight => vitamin d + nitric oxide; vitamin d is
               | critical for respiratory pathology specifically, as well
               | as just general health, and nitric oxide is very
               | important as an immunoregulatory compound and as a
               | preventer of strokes
               | 
               | - the general environment of fear/stress/anxiety (again,
               | going to screw up the immunoregulatory balance of the
               | body)
        
               | lithium_throw wrote:
               | At least where I am (UK, and in particular, Wales), it
               | seems our healthcare system is in the process of failing.
               | It was already doing badly, and our response to Covid has
               | tipped it over the edge. That alone will cause a
               | significant amount of suffering and death.
        
               | KittenInABox wrote:
               | I think this is being too light on the impact of covid.
               | In places like NYC, where they had refrigerated trucks
               | full of bodies because their morgues were full, or India
               | where the oxygen shortage killed many many people from
               | Delta infection...
               | 
               | I would argue the severe aversion in reaction to the news
               | coming out of NYC wasn't unreasonable, even if it was an
               | overreaction.
        
               | lithium_throw wrote:
               | I too saw the widely-circulated picture of the "open
               | graves" in NYC. Somehow they forgot to mention it was
               | just a regular picture of a pauper's graveyard. Funny
               | what fear can be provoked by context-free visual imagery.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | > where they had refrigerated trucks full of bodies
               | because their morgues were full
               | 
               | Is that really true though? Because what the headlines of
               | these kinds of stories say vs. what the article itself
               | says usually never match.
        
               | handoflixue wrote:
               | While the overall death rate isn't up that much, I've
               | heard that it's clustering a lot more, which means
               | various systems are overwhelmed: We can process X bodies
               | per day but we have a couple weeks where we're getting
               | 1.5X bodies, and so for a while we have a few bodies in
               | refrigerated trucks or other overflow systems.
               | 
               | So... it's sort of true, but it's more of a congestion
               | issue (like rush hour traffic), not a sign of systemic
               | collapse.
        
               | tinus_hn wrote:
               | It's kind of true. These refrigerated trucks were on
               | standby anyway because they are needed every time there's
               | a bad flu season.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | And that is what I found for almost all articles of that
               | type. If you read into the article it was never "this is
               | happening" but "we are getting prepared".
        
               | mikem170 wrote:
               | Hospitals and related services are optimized for
               | efficiency, not flexibility. They don't like having empty
               | beds that aren't being used, or idle workforces. So when
               | something out of the ordinary happens they can't deal
               | with it while maintaining their normal level of service.
               | As a society we don't seem to want to pay for idle
               | capacity. Human nature, I guess. We could have been
               | building more hospitals over the last year, training more
               | nurses, etc. But that doesn't appear to have happened.
        
             | AndrewUnmuted wrote:
             | The burden of proof is on those who promote the lockdowns
             | as an effective strategy to show how they help. This is
             | because without that proof, so many other issues arise from
             | legal, ethical, and practical perspectives that make
             | supporting it not just non-scientific, but also highly
             | irrational.
             | 
             | Legally, what right do our nations have to shutter
             | businesses as they did? Where in the legal frameworks do
             | they legitimately yield such enormous & violent authority
             | over us? Did they do enough to protect & compenate us all
             | against these violations of our rights?
             | 
             | Ethically, is this even a moral way to conduct statecraft
             | during a pandemic? Is scapegoating appropriate at a time
             | like this, and were we right to erode so much of our
             | monetary base to provide the benefits that states did to
             | their citizenry, necessitated by the lockdowns in the first
             | place?
             | 
             | And practically, how many people have been harmed or killed
             | by the conditions of lockdowns? How many people committed
             | suicide who otherwise wouldn't? How much industrial output
             | was sacrificed and how did this impact the deaths of
             | despair that rose considerably over the last 1.5 years? How
             | many people didn't get their cancer detected early enough
             | to survive it? How many people didn't get their emergency
             | medical care due to the chaos caused by lockdowns and
             | perished as a result? Did these figures remain low enough
             | to make the actual policies of lockdown worth it?
        
             | henrikschroder wrote:
             | > This is almost impossible to quantify because we can't
             | determine how the pandemic would have played out without
             | lockdowns.
             | 
             | There is a wide spread of pandemic responses from different
             | countries and regions, so yes, we can make pretty good
             | guesses as to what the effect would have been.
             | 
             | All the various lockdown-supporting studies compare
             | lockdowns to a do-nothing base scenario, where people are
             | essentially assumed to be rolling around naked in a big
             | heap, licking everything and everyone. This is completely
             | false, because people _everywhere_ acted on their own to
             | protect themselves from spread.
             | 
             | And when you compare the effects of the decreased mobility
             | due to ordered lockdowns vs. what people voluntarily
             | achieve anyway, the effect is zero. No benefit, all harm.
        
               | only_as_i_fall wrote:
               | Isn't that decreased mobility largely impossible without
               | lockdowns though? I can't imagine more than 20% of
               | workers would realistically have been able to stay home
               | if their employers didn't have to lock down.
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | Absolutely not, because you could measure a substantial
               | decrease in mobility _before_ any region instituted a
               | lockdown.
               | 
               | You can _support_ working-from-home and furloughing
               | without _forcing_ it. And that 's enough.
               | 
               | Last autumn in Sweden, cases started rising, still no
               | lockdown, and people voluntarily decreased their
               | mobility. Everyone I talked to decreased their social
               | activity, skipped out on things, stayed home more.
               | Without being told to. Without being ordered around. It's
               | enough.
        
               | only_as_i_fall wrote:
               | >Absolutely not, because you could measure a substantial
               | decrease in mobility before any region instituted a
               | lockdown.
               | 
               | Source?
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | https://www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
        
         | scop wrote:
         | I commend you for changing your opinion. That is no small task
         | these days.
        
         | snarf21 wrote:
         | It can be an easy mistake to make. Too often we assume that
         | everyone is high functioning and higher than average aptitude
         | with higher than average support. I'm sure all those kids did
         | okay during distance learning. It is all the other kids that
         | will struggle. We forget that there were kids in our classes
         | that struggled even with the full support and structure of
         | school. I think it may allow us to change our approach to
         | education moving forward. We had a forced experiment that
         | created a lot of data. Hopefully we all learn something from
         | it.
         | 
         | I always take it back to a conversation I've had with co-
         | workers about meetings. Frequently, people all leave the same
         | meeting with different expectations and understandings. This is
         | despite a long meeting, discussion, white boards and back and
         | forth. Communication is hard and a skill we tragically under
         | develop. Education is the same, you have abstract concepts that
         | must be converted into internal mental models by students at
         | different levels and abilities.
        
         | CountDrewku wrote:
         | It's a HUGE issue when you look at low income, lower class
         | individuals. A lot of the kids in those circumstances only get
         | reprieve from their terrible home lives by going to school.
         | 
         | This is not to say it doesn't affect kids in other income
         | classes but the effect is far worse on the lower class.
         | 
         | The younger the child is the worse as well.
        
         | vmception wrote:
         | I don't know how this is surprising.
         | 
         | We locked down to protect boomers and obese people because we
         | could and they are such a large <<' part of the population and
         | we value their contributions to society and lives. There would
         | be consequences, fairly obvious ones, and we coordinated
         | quickly anyway.
         | 
         | I thought everyone knew that. You did a 180? like, you
         | supported lockdowns because you didn't know that?
        
           | bachmeier wrote:
           | Just FYI, this idea that the only impact of covid is deaths
           | in people over 65 and obese people is simply bad reporting.
           | 
           | https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#demographics
           | 
           | If you want to stick to deaths, we have by age
           | 
           | Under 5: 183
           | 
           | 5-11: 119
           | 
           | 12-15: 152
           | 
           | 16-17: 125
           | 
           | That's a total of 579 deaths among kids 17 or less _in spite
           | of the fact that schools and most activities were closed_. We
           | don 't know what the total death count would have been with
           | everything open, but 579 child deaths used to be considered a
           | lot, and it would have been a lot higher without the
           | precautions that were taken.
        
             | WhereIsSweden wrote:
             | but 579 child deaths used to be considered a lot,
             | 
             | When?
        
             | orangecat wrote:
             | _That 's a total of 579 deaths among kids 17 or less in
             | spite of the fact that schools and most activities were
             | closed._
             | 
             | Schools stayed open in half of the US and many other
             | countries, and they didn't have noticeably worse results.
             | 
             |  _579 child deaths used to be considered a lot_
             | 
             | Bluntly, it's not. There were over 20,000 childhood deaths
             | in 2016
             | (https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmsr1804754). That
             | level of risk doesn't remotely justify shutting down
             | schools and massively disrupting their lives.
        
               | [deleted]
        
             | ghoward wrote:
             | For the number of children in America, those numbers are
             | tiny. Really. And do we have the data on the comorbidities
             | those children had?
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | Pretty much every single one of those kids had at least a
               | comorbidity, usually diabetes, obesity or cancer.
               | 
               | There's also a slight problem of overcounting covid
               | deaths in the US, so a few of those kids actually died of
               | car accidents, and then tested positive for the virus, so
               | into the pile of covid deaths they went...
               | 
               | The actual risk of death from covid for a healthy child
               | is 1:1000000. There are so many things in life that are
               | much riskier than that, and yet many places closed
               | schools over such a tiny risk. It's absolute insanity.
        
               | vmception wrote:
               | > There's also a slight problem of overcounting covid
               | deaths in the US
               | 
               | Recounts already happened like a year ago due to this
               | specific criticism, revised down for miscounts and
               | further resulting in a greater total due to missed ones.
               | This is such an old argument that never got updated, just
               | added to the pile of frustrations that never get
               | revisited.
               | 
               | The other issue with this argument is that the numbers
               | are for indicative seriousness, and all other diseases
               | especially respiratory illnesses have the same counting
               | flaws, which means for relative seriousness everyone is
               | still getting an accurate signal, compared to other
               | ailments.
        
               | ghoward wrote:
               | Agreed, and it's even more insane when you consider the
               | fact that the lockdowns _increased_ the comorbidity of
               | obesity among children!
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | In the US, for 2020, kids and teenagers seeking help for
               | suicidal thoughts doubled, suicide attempts in that group
               | increased by 50%, and successful suicides increased by
               | 20%.
               | 
               | Can we have a sane debate about the drawbacks of
               | lockdowns and school closures? Weigh the pros and cons?
               | Estimate the cost of each option?
               | 
               | Nope! Hysteria it is, and if you disagree you're a
               | grandma-killing science-hating Trumper.
        
           | kingkawn wrote:
           | Indeterminate impacts of long-covid on people, including
           | children, also played a role in the extension of the initial
           | lockdowns.
        
             | nradov wrote:
             | There is no reliable scientific evidence of significant
             | "long Covid" effects on many children. Even before the
             | current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, children were commonly
             | infected by the other four endemic coronaviruses. A small
             | minority experienced post viral syndrome but the vast
             | majority made full recoveries.
        
         | david38 wrote:
         | For more I think is having someone around to ask questions of.
        
         | dougmwne wrote:
         | I will comment that I kind of love this process of fact
         | finding. We could have an endless political debate a about
         | teaching methods, tech in the classroom, distance learning,
         | teacher quality, school funding and so on. We could have an
         | unquestionable doctrine that smaller class sizes lead to the
         | best education or other maxims. We could have heartfelt beliefs
         | in teacher compensation. But at the end of the day, you try
         | something and it either works or doesn't work, and you really
         | and truly have an opportunity to learn what works best. The
         | best possible way to honor the tough years that students had
         | during the pandemic is to supercharge our learning about
         | learning, take the distance education lessons to heart and let
         | previous dogma be overturned with new best practices.
        
         | jseliger wrote:
         | I've taught English to undergrads (mostly freshmen), on and
         | off, for 13 years, and it's apparent that no one I'm aware of
         | has a great model for teaching reading and writing skills
         | online, at least to college students. Most of the efforts I've
         | seen attempt, mostly unsuccessfully, to replicate the classroom
         | model, or attempt what looks mostly like a busywork model.
         | College students are likely more motivated on average than K-12
         | students. It's possible for the highly motivated to learn a
         | lot, but, for the median student, things look much grimmer.
         | 
         | I'm not a luddite and would love to see successful online
         | education that works at least as well as offline. So far, I'm
         | not hugely optimistic, for the median student:
         | https://seliger.com/2013/08/19/computers-and-education-an-
         | ex....
        
           | toast0 wrote:
           | I think there's this expectation that online/computer based
           | education would reduce/eliminate teachers and allow for
           | mostly unsupervised learning, and I just don't see how that
           | would work for reading and especially writing.
           | 
           | Maybe reading, a bit, because a lot of people will get most
           | of the way there with learn by example and a couple check
           | ins. And then lots of practice.
           | 
           | Writing seems difficult to computerize. And having a
           | classroom full of students doing roughly the same thing seems
           | a lot less labor intensive than each student at their own
           | pace with a teacher available with enough context to
           | appropriately critique and encourage and provide useful
           | resources.
           | 
           | The arithmetic portions of elementary mathematics seem a lot
           | more amenable to computerization. The computer can easily
           | judge the answers, and while it takes a lot of time and
           | practice to master some of the skills, the breadth of skills
           | is really not that deep, so there's not a whole lot of
           | context that needs to be considered when help is needed. I
           | don't know that this still holds at higher level math, but
           | there's parts that might. On the other hand, group
           | instruction can allow for peer assistance with tricky things
           | which may help both parties understand the material more.
        
           | qsort wrote:
           | To be fair that's a _very_ hard problem.
           | 
           | I have no formal teaching experience, but I taught several
           | competitive mathematics seminars for elite high school
           | students. Transposing the classroom model is unsatisfactory,
           | working remotely strongly encourages you to pursue
           | asynchronous models. But on the other hand a lesson is more
           | than just a youtube video, you definitely want some degree of
           | interactivity.
           | 
           | It sounds really silly, but I wonder if internet-first models
           | like Twitch streams with rich interactive chats are actually
           | closer to the solution.
        
         | aardvarkr wrote:
         | Don't forget those who had to work during the pandemic. Many
         | many high school students whose families were in a bad position
         | financially had to work and would frequently be listening to
         | zoom class while working a cash register for example. How
         | effectively do you think they could listen and participate, or
         | even care?
        
           | spywaregorilla wrote:
           | I'm not convinced this was a common thing. Source?
        
         | skizm wrote:
         | I agree with this for like 95-99% of people. I do think there
         | are a few internally motivated students who will thrive in this
         | environment. Obviously you can't make policy around those few,
         | but it would be interesting to give students the option going
         | forward now that there is some sort of infrastructure set up
         | around remote learning. The primary issue I see is that a large
         | group of very non-motivated students will probably take
         | advantage of this option and just slack off even more. These
         | are the ones that need the in person structure the most.
         | 
         | Overall though, agree that it has been a total disaster apart
         | from being a rare learning opportunity for policy makers.
        
           | icelancer wrote:
           | > I agree with this for like 95-99% of people. I do think
           | there are a few internally motivated students who will thrive
           | in this environment.
           | 
           | No doubt. Perhaps ironically, outliers that thrive on
           | independent study (I likely would have been one of these
           | people) drive inequality up!
        
           | qsort wrote:
           | Yeah, I agree that a mixed model can possibly work, but I
           | worry you'd be running into similar problems as those that
           | came out during the pandemic.
           | 
           | I'm a big believer that meritocracy and an ethics of self-
           | motivation can genuinely help disadvantaged but talented
           | people, but that requires offering them a place where they
           | can dedicate themselves to developing that talent. I worry
           | that talented but poor people would actually those that get
           | hit the most by mixed solutions like that.
           | 
           | > I agree with this for like 95-99% of people.
           | 
           | Honestly, K-12 education is completely useless for the top 5%
           | in the first place. You simply can't design a system around
           | those people.
        
           | odessacubbage wrote:
           | my high school actually had a good structure for this kind of
           | model. all class attendance was effectively optional and
           | there was no homework outside of a few big quarterly projects
           | (every classroom has a drawer full of practice assignments
           | you could refer to as-needed). you were essentially given
           | complete freedom... provided your gpa stayed at least 3.0, if
           | you fell below you'd be put on academic probation which
           | required you to come to class and do homework etc until your
           | grades improved.
           | 
           | in general i dislike the notion of 'unmotivated students'
           | more often ime you have kids who not being provided an
           | educational experience that aligns with their motivations.
        
         | InitialLastName wrote:
         | My SO is an elementary school teacher in a post-industrial
         | urban school. Her students (mostly poor, and crucially almost
         | all with parents who were working in-person through the
         | lockdown) were effectively remote-only from March 2020 until
         | earlier this month, and it's had some substantial visible
         | effects on them. Among other things:
         | 
         | - Missing that in-person school time meant losing a lot of
         | "leaving home" practice for a large chunk of kids. Current
         | second graders were in-person for 6 months of kindergarten, and
         | remote from there. This means there are a lot of mechanical and
         | social things they haven't had to do (sit quietly next to each
         | other, tie their shoes, ask to go to the bathroom).
         | 
         | - The "summer slide" has been much more severe than usual. A
         | large chunk of the students didn't get much education out of
         | being remote for first grade, so a much-larger-than-usual chunk
         | of the cohort are substantially behind grade level for basic
         | skills, especially reading.
         | 
         | - Related to above, there has been a huge backlog of students
         | who need to be evaluated for various special education and
         | disability needs who just haven't been able to be accommodated
         | and who, due to the process difficulties for the last year,
         | probably won't be able to be evaluated based on their data from
         | last year (leaving them severely under-supported for another
         | year while the data is collected).
        
           | vxNsr wrote:
           | Yup that's why every private school that had honest staff and
           | wasn't bound by the National Teachers Union who were playing
           | political games was in person most of last year.
           | 
           | Kids come first. Until this summer the chance of them getting
           | sick or transmitting was super low, with delta it's a little
           | higher but with sane precautions most of the risk can be
           | alleviated. In a few years time you're gonna see real
           | disparities between even religious private school kids (which
           | don't necessarily have better education standards) and public
           | based solely on who was in person.
           | 
           | If you're trying to win one over your political opponents get
           | out of this, it's not game.
        
             | 8note wrote:
             | If you kill all the teachers, the students still aren't
             | going to get an education
        
               | twofornone wrote:
               | Are you implying that a significant proportion of
               | teachers are going to die of COVID? You're aware that
               | this is a virus with a 99.x% survival rate, right? And
               | the vast majority of cases are asymptomatic or mild?
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | The average American thinks if they catch covid their
               | chance of death is around 10%.
               | 
               | People are _horrifically_ misinformed on the risks of
               | covid. It has made it impossible to have a reasoned
               | discussion on public policy.
               | 
               | Source: http://covid19pulse.usc.edu/
        
               | farmerstan wrote:
               | The split is worse between liberals and conservatives.
               | Liberals think the chance of being hospitalized is up to
               | 50%. I'm a liberal myself but the abject fear that I see
               | among my friends and the families in my mostly liberal
               | school is scary.
               | 
               | Even worse, they believe it's even more dangerous for
               | children when it's the exact opposite. Even considering
               | delta the chance of hospitalization is still less than 1%
               | and death is almost nil. "But what about long covid?" is
               | the response I get, which is just as small.
               | 
               | If fear is dictating policy we will never break out of
               | this because the time to vaccinate everyone plus the
               | chances of a variant coming along means we will never be
               | free.
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | I always catch flak for saying it, but we need to be
               | honest about the fact that long COVID is largely a
               | psychogenic illness. It can be a real thing, in the way
               | that any infection can leave a sort of malaise that
               | persists for years or even decades for the unlucky, but
               | such reactions are incredibly rare. Yet based off the
               | self-reported surveys, you'd think the rate of long COVID
               | was like 10% among progressive twitter users in their
               | early 20's...
               | 
               | I don't have the link to it but I saw a hilarious pre-
               | print on "long COVID" the other day that was comparing
               | the incidence of long COVID amongst people that had vs
               | never had COVID. In many groups the people with COVID had
               | more long COVID (but not enough to reach significance),
               | but in the age range of like 12-15 years old there were
               | literally more kids who never had COVID who reported long
               | COVID than those who had COVID. It's as if people forgot
               | that fatigue and malaise and chronic inflammation are all
               | things that happened before COVID and will continue to
               | happen long after...
        
               | in_cahoots wrote:
               | Most 'long' Covid cases aren't that long. It's entirely
               | common for people to still feel symptoms 8-12 weeks after
               | a respiratory infection; by most studies that's 'long'
               | Covid.
               | 
               | What gets reported however are the extreme outliers,
               | people who are reporting Chronic Fatigue-type symptoms 6+
               | months later. Some of these people genuinely have a
               | delayed immune response, while others were probably
               | psychosomatic cases (turns out having to live with the
               | fear of a deadly virus does a number on people's mental
               | state if they actually do get sick). But either way,
               | these cases are likely a minority of what's included in
               | the 'long Covid' umbrella.
               | 
               | It's irresponsible reporting, and I'm not sure if it
               | happens through ignorance (scary news is fun to talk
               | about) or an ulterior motive (if we can convince our
               | readers that they'll likely to have long-term effects
               | from getting Covid maybe they'll mask up and vaccinate).
               | Either way, it's proof that even 'mainstream' media often
               | can't be trusted to report the facts.
        
               | twofornone wrote:
               | The worst part is that you're effectively not allowed to
               | have any sort of objective discussion, as evidenced by my
               | immediate negative comment score. This has become a
               | borderline religious hysteria.
        
               | spookthesunset wrote:
               | I've been called "dangerous" multiple times for posting
               | screenshots of the state department of health covid
               | dashboard. It's crazy...
        
               | InitialLastName wrote:
               | > as evidenced by my immediate negative comment score.
               | 
               | I don't like commenting on internet points (it isn't
               | usually productive) but you'll note that the person you
               | replied to has been downvoted and flagged into oblivion.
        
               | CountDrewku wrote:
               | The teachers can vaccinate if they want to now so that's
               | a moot point. Even before that the likelihood of
               | suffering any severe outcome from COVID was extremely low
               | and no higher due to being a school teacher. Students are
               | at very low risk of contracting it and/or spreading it.
        
               | TrevorJ wrote:
               | My understanding is that the data indicate that children
               | do not transmit Covid as easily as adults, so the
               | situation is a bit more subtle than you seem to suggest
               | here.
        
               | Gibbon1 wrote:
               | Only true of Covid classic, the Delta variant negates
               | that.
        
               | abduhl wrote:
               | Was in person schooling shut down before or after the
               | delta variant? Imputing a risk to behaviors/decisions
               | that occurred before the risk manifested is a logical
               | error.
        
               | __blockcipher__ wrote:
               | I'd also note that an even-more-infectious variant of
               | SARS-2 (Delta), in which children transmit just as
               | readily (I haven't seen proof of this whatsoever but
               | let's accept it for the sake of argument), and which
               | largely-but-not-completely bypasses vaccine immunity
               | (this is definitely the case; the Israel data confirms
               | that the approach of vaccinating against just the spike
               | protein was an incredible failure given that a couple
               | point mutations on the spike like we saw with Delta was
               | enough to drop vaccine efficacy to <=40% against
               | infection), should tell us that trying to run away from
               | this virus or wage war on it is folly and that, yes, your
               | kid is going to be exposed to COVID, and that's okay.
               | 
               | This is a bit of a side tangent but it never ceases to
               | amaze me that the supposed asymptomatic spread of COVID
               | (which was never proven; pre-symptomatic was but
               | asymptomatic appears to have been a myth) was used as a
               | justification for the necessity of lockdowns and the
               | like, when really it should have been a screaming
               | indicator that we should stop trying to aggressively
               | contain the damn thing and just focus on population
               | health and focused protection of the severely vulnerable.
               | 
               | By the same logic (this is me basically restating my
               | first paragraph), the idea that a variant that infects
               | kids more easily or as was argued above that kids can
               | transmit more easily, is a sign that we should stop
               | trying to close schools, not that we need to double down.
               | And regardless it seems like people seem to have
               | forgotten that we're now in late September 2021. It's
               | almost been two years of this now.
               | 
               | Hell, I remember catching major flak here (on a different
               | account) in early-mid 2020 for saying that we were going
               | to stay locked down until they coerced everyone into
               | being vaccinated, and at the time I was called a
               | conspiracy theorist; nowadays people act like I'm crazy
               | for not wanting vaccine passports, and will turn around
               | and act as if we all collectively knew they were going to
               | happen from the beginning! More than 18 months of this, a
               | third-world child starvation / missed medical appointment
               | crisis, a massive worldwide uptick in missed preventative
               | care like cancer screenings, a >30% rise in y/y fentanyl
               | overdose deaths in the US alone, and yet people still
               | insist on more of these ineffective and outright
               | authoritarian measures?!
        
             | handrous wrote:
             | > Yup that's why every private school that had honest staff
             | and wasn't bound by the National Teachers Union who were
             | playing political games was in person most of last year.
             | 
             | Teachers' unions are so weak in my state that they're
             | nearly worthless as far as contract negotiation &
             | enforcement goes, yet every district I know of in my city
             | had a well-attended online option last year, if they
             | weren't fully online, and in-person was largely "hybrid"
             | (in-person some days, remote other days). The unions had
             | nothing to do with it. Parents and teachers--not their
             | unions, just teachers, directly--drove most of the
             | decisions.
        
               | vxNsr wrote:
               | I'm sorry but that's not been my experience at all, in my
               | state the union refused to work in person even after they
               | were vaccinated.
        
           | geerlingguy wrote:
           | As someone who's battled with that last point, it's not only
           | the 'intake' side of things (it can be weeks or months before
           | you can get an evaluation, then weeks afterwards before any
           | results can be tabulated)--but even if you do get any kind of
           | evaluation, good luck finding counselors.
           | 
           | Only about 10% of the counselors we called would even call
           | back, and of that 10%, almost all of them said they would not
           | accept any new patients, indefinitely. A couple had openings
           | within a year or so, and one or two had any availability in a
           | shorter time frame.
           | 
           | Not sure what all the reasons are, but I'm guessing it's the
           | perfect storm of more kids needing more services in this
           | unprecedented time, more counselors on the older side
           | retiring early, and funding for these programs being a
           | continual battle.
        
             | PeterisP wrote:
             | A local response from some child psychiatrists is that
             | they're swamped by existing patients, as the pandemic
             | changes have been very harsh on kids already having issues
             | with e.g. self-harm or being shut-in so relapsing patients
             | are returning and not leaving much space for new ones.
        
             | InitialLastName wrote:
             | Yes, for sure in that situation the staff shortage and
             | backlog of students have made a system that is difficult to
             | navigate in normal times essentially intractable.
        
         | goalieca wrote:
         | I know people who have special needs and others who have
         | terrible internet where the parents and kids can't video at the
         | same time. Remote learning is just one problem, we need the
         | full spectrum of school activities and programs too! All of
         | those little things that communities have built over the last
         | few decades really really matter!
        
       | Shadonototra wrote:
       | It's always the people not affected by it who comes with such
       | arguments
       | 
       | They do not see how negatively it affects public workers, nobody
       | care about them anymore since they became invisible, you don't
       | get to see them when you work from home
       | 
       | We are heading toward a soulless society, full of inequalities,
       | and nobody will be able to do shit because gatherings will be
       | looked down because people are scared
        
       | chasd00 wrote:
       | my wife is a teacher, when her school closed some of her kids
       | ended up in CPS and others simply vanished and haven't returned.
       | Elementary schools in low income areas are basically social
       | safety nets for kids. Now that her school re-opened a sizable
       | portion of the student body is still missing.
        
       | willcipriano wrote:
       | When the lockdowns and the masking up in daycare started, I
       | presumed this would be the case and took steps to ensure my 2.5
       | year old received sufficient social interaction. I took her out
       | more, talked with her more, and attempted to find like minded
       | parents.
       | 
       | As things opened back up the differences between kids of parents
       | who did that and not is striking. My daughter is social and
       | rarely shy, other kids we see seem so scared and withdrawn.
       | 
       | Sample size of one but I'm glad I did it.
        
         | blitzar wrote:
         | Yeah, sadly those steps put you in the top 1%.
        
         | _-david-_ wrote:
         | >other kids we see seem so scared and withdrawn.
         | 
         | It would be interesting to know how many of those other parents
         | also told their kids if they go outside without a mask or
         | socialized with other kids they would get sick and die.
         | 
         | That would be enough to cause any kid to be scared and
         | withdrawn.
        
           | henrikschroder wrote:
           | The weird obsession in the US with masking toddlers and
           | children is absolutely baffling to me.
        
             | NineStarPoint wrote:
             | Are children less likely to spread the disease than adults?
             | You don't wear masks to protect yourself, they're generally
             | bad at that, you wear them to not spread disease to others.
        
             | robhunter wrote:
             | Who is downvoting this?
             | 
             | Why?
        
               | henrikschroder wrote:
               | People who are myopically obsessed with how the pandemic
               | is being handled in their immediate vicinity, without
               | knowing what it looks like in other parts of the world,
               | I'm guessing.
               | 
               | Throughout most of Europe, you would be viewed as an
               | extreme child-abusing weirdo if you suggest masking
               | toddlers or small children is a good thing.
        
       | busymom0 wrote:
       | I commented about this easily and obviously noticeable change
       | based on anecdotal observations on HN late last year. Even simply
       | observations of politicians getting away with not practicing
       | their own guidelines and sending their own kids to private tutors
       | while locking down everyone else should have woken up people. I
       | got a lot of negative comments ranging from how I was advocating
       | for putting kids and their elderly parents at risk and what not.
       | It's like everyone has completely forgotten about all the other
       | side effects and have tunnel vision of covid only. Last week, CDC
       | came out showing how the obesity rates in youth has doubled
       | during the pandemic. All these decisions will have long term
       | consequences which people get silenced over.
        
         | masterof0 wrote:
         | I also got down-voted for suggesting the same, a year or so
         | ago, it turns out the people who suffers the most with a lock-
         | down, are not hanging out here in HN, go figure.
        
           | missinfo wrote:
           | Worrying about nothing but Covid is a luxury.
        
           | busymom0 wrote:
           | Just an observation - many people on HN work in the tech or
           | similar industries which can be performed by working from
           | home. They have a hard time relating to others who don't have
           | the same luxury.
        
         | srl wrote:
         | > Last week, CDC came out showing how the obesity rates in
         | youth has doubled during the pandemic.
         | 
         | Do you have a link to the CDC saying that? I found [0], which
         | claims the rate went from 19% to 22% --- far from doubling.
         | 
         | [0] https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-
         | updates/2021/0...
        
           | ghoward wrote:
           | https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7037a3.htm
           | 
           | That's the one referred to.
        
             | busymom0 wrote:
             | Yep, this is the one I was referencing. Thanks.
        
           | anthonypasq wrote:
           | i think the person meant to say that the rate of increase
           | doubled
        
         | [deleted]
        
       | renewiltord wrote:
       | I believe the trend toward a peaceful society has led to an
       | imbalance of power based on age. When life was violent, it
       | stabilized wealth concentration issues by periodically resetting
       | the power of entrenched interests.
       | 
       | Today, the old disproportionately control power and they direct
       | that power towards their own protection. This is true of 80 yr
       | olds. But it is also true of 50 yr olds. And even 30 yr olds.
       | 
       | The COVID crisis response is one such example. Overbearing
       | responses were put into place primarily because the danger was to
       | old people. Concerns over this very outcome were handwaved away
       | with low likelihood counterfactuals.
       | 
       | Alternatives exist in some other cultures. We are familiar with
       | the Fukushima Skilled Veteran Corps
       | https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-pacific-13598607 but there
       | are people who have a similar perspective who occupy this world.
       | 
       | My parents are surgeons in their sixties and they continue to
       | practise during this crisis and do not advocate for the degree of
       | total lockdown that is so popular. They do not advocate for
       | closed schools. I would rather be them than be like risk-averse
       | 70 yr olds saying that life should pause (but not their
       | pensions).
       | 
       | I'm going to go ahead and say it: intransigent old people might
       | be the greatest threat to humanity's long term survival through
       | their normalcy bias, grip on power, and fear of change. I hope
       | that as I grow older I, too, manage to prioritize the next
       | generation over myself.
        
         | notyourday wrote:
         | > Overbearing responses were put into place primarily because
         | the danger was to old people.
         | 
         | Not only that - but these responses were put in place by _the
         | old people_ to protect _the old people_ at the expense of _the
         | young people_
        
         | ls65536 wrote:
         | This reminds me of an old Greek proverb: "A society grows great
         | when old men plant trees whose shade they know they shall never
         | sit in."
        
         | opheliate wrote:
         | Do you believe that, if the numbers had been reversed, and
         | COVID was much more fatal to children and young people than it
         | was to the old, lockdowns wouldn't have happened? That seems to
         | be the implication of your post, but I find it difficult to
         | imagine that being the result.
        
           | [deleted]
        
           | WhereIsSweden wrote:
           | Check the Swine Flu epidemic
        
           | _-david-_ wrote:
           | I'm not who you were responding to but I think if covid was
           | more fatal towards children than adults we would have seen
           | far less opposition to lock downs. I am not sure what the
           | current number is but at the beginning the average age of
           | death from covid was around the average life expectancy in
           | the US. I am not saying we shouldn't take actions to avoid
           | getting old people sick, but it is hard to justify completely
           | stalling the education of children in that situation. If
           | children were dying from at high rates people would have
           | found hurting their education to be more acceptable.
        
       | dnprock wrote:
       | Closing schools and lockdown exacerbate the inequality that has
       | already been in place. Instead of seriously looking at how to
       | address the problems, we blame it on lockdowns. We're taught to
       | think that opening schools will fix the problems. The US
       | government printed 16k per individuals. Each person gets 1.4k.
       | The rest goes into "recovery". We just want to find convenient
       | ways to bury the real problems.
        
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       (page generated 2021-09-27 23:01 UTC)