[HN Gopher] Microsoft and an army of tiny telecoms are part of a...
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       Microsoft and an army of tiny telecoms are part of a plan to wire
       rural America
        
       Author : noptd
       Score  : 46 points
       Date   : 2021-09-23 09:24 UTC (1 days ago)
        
 (HTM) web link (www.bloomberg.com)
 (TXT) w3m dump (www.bloomberg.com)
        
       | adolph wrote:
       | _To augment coverage, Aristotle [a company profiled in article]
       | is turning increasingly to Citizens Broadband Radio Service
       | (CBRS), a wireless spectrum historically used by U.S. Navy
       | aircraft carriers for radar transmissions. In recent years the
       | Federal Communications Commission has opened a slice of this
       | spectrum for commercial use, enabling Aristotle to beam broadband
       | as far as 6 miles to distant Arkansans over signal stations--
       | installed atop cell towers, barns, even a prison--that are sort
       | of like massive Wi-Fi routers._
       | 
       | What is CBRS?
       | 
       |  _On January 27, 2020, the FCC authorized full use of the CBRS
       | band for wireless service provider commercialization without the
       | restrictions to prevent interference with military use of the
       | spectrum. Under the new rules, wireless carriers using CBRS might
       | be able to deploy 5G mobile networks without having to acquire
       | spectrum licenses._ [0]
       | 
       | 0.
       | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_Broadband_Radio_Servi...
        
         | potiuper wrote:
         | Charred burnt rappelling squirrels "We've fried quite a few
         | squirrels"
        
         | daxfohl wrote:
         | One way to find out:
         | https://careers.microsoft.com/us/en/search-results?keywords=...
        
       | mdasen wrote:
       | I do applaud wireless internet companies that are fighting the
       | good fight today. However, I feel like the big three wireless
       | companies (Verizon, T-Mobile, and AT&T) are likely going to
       | eclipse them in the near future. When dealing with wireless home
       | internet, a lot of it is going to depend on the amount of
       | spectrum you have, how much that spectrum can cover (lower
       | frequencies travel farther), and how much resources you have to
       | deploy it. I think that the big three wireless companies are
       | going to win on those fronts.
       | 
       | Aristotle has 40MHz of CBRS (3.5GHz) spectrum and can also use up
       | to 80MHz more of unlicensed spectrum (though that could suffer
       | interference problems from basically anyone else that wants to
       | use the unlicensed portion). The big three companies have more
       | spectrum - T-Mobile has 335MHz, AT&T 246MHz, and Verizon 290MHz.
       | Not only that, it's across more frequency bands which has
       | implications for coverage. Low-band (below 1GHz) spectrum will
       | travel farther and be less susceptible to disruption. AWS/PCS
       | spectrum from 1.7GHz to 2.1GHz and 2.5GHz BRS/EBS spectrum will
       | travel farther than 3.5GHz spectrum. And yes, the big three also
       | have CBRS/C-Band 3.5/3.7GHz spectrum.
       | 
       | These companies are going to have an army of wireless
       | technicians, a lot more spectrum, and the money to invest in
       | deploying it. T-Mobile already has 30M eligible households for
       | their home internet (around 20-25% of US households) and I'm sure
       | it isn't perfect, but it will be improving rapidly over the next
       | few years as they bring lots more spectrum online. Verizon has
       | announced home internet plans as well (I think hitting 30M by the
       | end of 2023 and 75M by the end of 2024 or 2025, but this is from
       | memory here).
       | 
       | To make a simple comparison, Verizon is going to be averaging
       | 174MHz of 3.5/3.7GHz spectrum vs Aristotle with 40MHz. To me, it
       | seems like Verizon is going to be able to deploy a better home
       | internet service. However, rural wireless carriers have put up a
       | good fight in the past and often serve areas where the big three
       | don't. Aristotle might also invest in equipment that simply works
       | better for what their customers want.
       | 
       | For example, T-Mobile's home internet service just uses a
       | router/modem that's the size of a WiFi router. There's no fancy
       | large antenna or anything. Aristotle might work with their
       | customers to install high-gain directional antennas much like
       | rural people are used to installing for terrestrial or satellite
       | TV. Localities might be more willing to give a small, local
       | company like Aristotle access to their water towers in a way that
       | they wouldn't give the big three access. Aristotle might also be
       | better able to find a report with customers about the trade-offs
       | of adding more capacity, cost, traffic management, etc.
       | 
       | But T-Mobile could copy that playbook in the coming years.
       | T-Mobile has talked a lot on investor calls about seeing rural
       | customers as one of their big growth areas over the next 5 years.
       | If Aristotle can make it work with 3.5GHz spectrum, T-Mobile's
       | 2.5GHz spectrum has better coverage and they have more of it.
       | 
       | I'm probably being overly pessimistic, but it just seems hard to
       | compete with the big three wireless companies.
        
       | fidesomnes wrote:
       | I stop reading when it says microsoft. That is my rule.
        
       | mistrial9 wrote:
       | "army" ?
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | Jtsummers wrote:
         | Are you asking what it means? Or questioning the use of a term
         | commonly associated with a military? Because, in English, it
         | has another very commonly used meaning:
         | 
         | > a large number of people or things, typically formed or
         | organized for a particular purpose.
        
       | ToFab123 wrote:
       | https://archive.is/YnlwF
        
       | iammisc wrote:
       | How about we just pay smaller regional companies? I'm like 100%
       | certain the people of the Arkansas delta don't want some company
       | from seattle in their area. Can't we just leave people alone?
       | 
       | For example, this wireless technology is not difficult to deploy
       | and maintain. By allying with large companies, we're just
       | contributing to wealth inequality.
       | 
       | Instead, develop community college programs in these areas to
       | encourage technological development. Recruit microsoft et al as
       | _training_ partners, not owners, and let people start their own
       | ISPs.
       | 
       | Why is it that the moment government subsidizes big business in
       | the name of social welfare, everyone fawns over it?
       | 
       | EDIT: All this is is a wealth transfer from government to
       | companies (that conveniently tend to support the party currently
       | in charge!... how nice) to own yet more infrastructure in a place
       | that predominantly votes against the incumbency. No wonder no one
       | likes the federal government.
        
         | [deleted]
        
         | renewiltord wrote:
         | You must have missed the "army of tiny telecoms" in the
         | headline.
        
           | iammisc wrote:
           | Conveniently beholden to Microsoft.
        
         | rgrieselhuber wrote:
         | > Can't we just leave people alone?
         | 
         | Evangelicalism comes in all shapes and sizes.
        
         | RandallBrown wrote:
         | >How about we just pay smaller regional companies?
         | 
         | I believe that's what the article is about.
        
       | CyanLite2 wrote:
       | So much apparent bias in this article (from telecom vendors).
       | 
       | >Bowles says a fiber-to-the-home alternative would've cost $5.5
       | million, taken at least four months longer to construct, and
       | covered just over 600 homes.
       | 
       | This is the problem. If it was a wealthy neighborhood, no one
       | would blink an eye at spending $5.5 million of government funding
       | to string fiber to 600+ homes. But if it's rural people,
       | especially the black or brown ones, then it's a questionable
       | decision, and they should just get shoddy CBRS-based Internet
       | instead at a $2m cost instead.
        
         | reportingsjr wrote:
         | This is a horse crap take. People in rural areas get an insane
         | amount of subsidization for infrastructure. And for what
         | reason? Why does their incredibly energy intensive, land
         | intensive lifestyle deserve to get subsidized?
         | 
         | This is yet another take that money deserves to get sucked out
         | of cities and pushed to car dependent, unsustainable areas.
         | 
         | The city where I live had a good, commercially successful fiber
         | roll out going. The ISP literally stopped the progress of the
         | roll out in the city for a couple of years, where it was
         | actually affordable and paying for itself, because they got a
         | massive government "grant" to put up fiber in a rural area just
         | to the south.
         | 
         | If people want to live in rural areas and then shit on people
         | living in dense areas, where quality infrastructure is actually
         | possible for a reasonable price, let them pay for it!
        
       | jjtheblunt wrote:
       | https://terragraph.com/
        
         | scohesc wrote:
         | Somehow I'd be more comfortable with Microsoft handling my
         | traffic rather than Facebook.
         | 
         | I know it's probably misguided, but still.
        
           | ethbr0 wrote:
           | Well, Microsoft spent about 20 years not tracking their
           | users, despite having full control of and an effective
           | monopoly on desktop and laptop operating systems.
           | 
           | Facebook... has never not.
        
             | GDC7 wrote:
             | I bet many would be willing to be tracked in exchange for a
             | free desktop/laptop
             | 
             | It takes 2 to tango. Always.
        
               | Jtsummers wrote:
               | This was done in the past. "Internet appliances", I don't
               | recall any being free but they were inexpensive and
               | paired with free/cheap (for the time) internet service.
               | Netzero was also an ISP that offered free internet funded
               | by ads.
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_appliance
               | 
               | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NetZero
        
               | syntaxing wrote:
               | Wow that was a blast to the past! I remember my dad
               | trying it out because AOL was getting too expensive for
               | us to sustain. Good times!
        
           | ipaddr wrote:
           | You are really misguided. Microsoft is more aligned with
           | military/government with contacts and projects going back 20+
           | years. Facebook hacks around your privacy to keep you coming
           | back to sell higher priced ads. Microsoft doesn't really sell
           | ads but they make great products for law enforcement and
           | desire to work with the cia, nsa, fbi,etc.
        
       | madengr wrote:
       | If there is an electric/telephone pole, put fiber on it. I don't
       | see what the hell the problem is. Power and telephone were run
       | before, thus fiber can be run now.
        
       | JoeAltmaier wrote:
       | Diminishing returns? In the '80s half of America was in cities,
       | and the rest rural. But today its more like half are in coastal
       | cities, and most of the rest in cities. Rural folk are a
       | diminishing fraction of America.
        
         | topkai22 wrote:
         | Did you mean the 1880s? The US population has been majority
         | urban / suburban since the 1920s. The rural population is
         | declining, but remains 17% of the population. That's a
         | significant portion of the population and would be incredibly
         | wrong to write off.
        
         | coding123 wrote:
         | I think you will see that in the next 10 years will be the big
         | return of rural as people want to get away from... other
         | people.
        
       | spa3thyb wrote:
       | More terrestrial infrastructure - fiber and radios - is an
       | interesting 'Tech New Deal', but I look at just Starlink (and I
       | hope there are more competitors with customers soon!) and see
       | this area is already covered:
       | 
       | https://sebsebmc.github.io/starlink-coverage/index.html
       | 
       | If we're gonna spend 65B, could we throw 100M at buying everyone
       | in the delta a dish?
        
         | smoldesu wrote:
         | Starlink is quite good. I've been using them for a few months
         | now after switching from a more traditional, smaller WISP (and
         | before that, godforsaken Hughesnet). It's really hard to beat
         | Starlink, especially at the price. Unless you have a local
         | telecom willing to run CAT6 out to your house, you can't really
         | find speeds like it. Latency is low enough to game on,
         | bandwidth is zippy (and unlimited), and the uptime puts 4G
         | hotspots to shame.
         | 
         | If I had one complaint with it, it's probably the hardware
         | itself. For $500, the installation kit is fairly barebones. On
         | top of that, the router is pretty obviously "beta hardware"
         | too, as well as the software and even parts of the dish itself.
         | I'd be a little disappointed if I opened a Comcast installation
         | kit with the same trappings, but I'll give Starlink some credit
         | for pulling together such an impressive infrastructure/consumer
         | hardware product at a non-alienating price.
        
           | jagger27 wrote:
           | > Unless you have a local telecom willing to run CAT6 out to
           | your house, you can't really find speeds like it.
           | 
           | Is CAT6 all that common? 100m runs seems pretty limiting in a
           | rural setting. I think even the fibre that was strung up to
           | my house in a fairly dense inner city neighbourhood has a
           | longer run than that to the hub.
           | 
           | Is it possible to provide power to signal repeaters with POE
           | to get around the ~100 meter limit?
        
             | tim-- wrote:
             | > Is it possible to provide power to signal repeaters with
             | POE to get around the ~100 meter limit?
             | 
             | Yes, but at that point you may as well just run fiber.
             | These days, the SFP modules are cheap (20km SFP for ~$80).
             | 
             | The loss of signal on a CAT6 cable will be much greater
             | then on fiber. When too much noise is introduced on a CAT6
             | cable, speeds will drop considerably. Packet loss will be
             | quite high.
        
         | posguy wrote:
         | Starlink has a finite amount of bandwidth, orders of magnitude
         | less bandwidth than fiber. This is due to a restricted range of
         | spectrum that will penetrate the atmosphere to their clients
         | and an even smaller set which Starlink is allowed to use.
         | 
         | It is questionable whether their network could immediately
         | handle 100k additional households, and by the time they scale
         | the network to handle this, it is likely their existing 90k
         | users will have continued with the yearly double digit
         | bandwidth usage increase, eating much of the added capacity.
         | 
         | https://www.lightreading.com/4g3gwifi/starlinks-network-face...
        
         | chollida1 wrote:
         | Starlink has been incredibly unreliable for us in our testing.
         | VPN's dropping alot. I'm sure its great for basic web surfing
         | or things that don't require low latency but it has it issues
         | for sure.
        
           | fallingknife wrote:
           | Their constellation is < 10% deployed, though.
        
         | mdasen wrote:
         | We kinda are. Starlink has won $885.5M in FCC subsidies
         | already. However, as others have pointed out, Starlink doesn't
         | have infinite bandwidth.
         | 
         | Starlink works because they're building a constellation of
         | thousands of satellites. Previous satellite internet companies
         | had comparatively few satellites so they needed to restrict how
         | much you could use the internet with low data caps. Starlink
         | still has capacity constraints.
         | 
         | Terrestrial wireless infrastructure is likely to be cheaper for
         | the amount of capacity you get - especially when you consider
         | that most of the cost will be shared with existing mobile
         | networks.
         | 
         | With terrestrial wireless, it's relatively easy to split cells
         | when you need more capacity. Wireless cells can cover hundreds
         | of square miles in rural areas.
         | 
         | That's not to say that Starlink doesn't have a place, but it
         | isn't a cheap service. $100/mo and $550 sign-up cost isn't
         | cheap internet. $100M wouldn't buy a Starlink Dishy for even
         | 200,000 people, never mind the monthly cost and never mind the
         | fact that we're already spending $885.5M on Starlink.
         | 
         | $65B looks like a big number, but if we're talking 25M people
         | it's only $2,600 per person and that pays for less than 2 years
         | of Starlink per person (including the $550 startup cost). Plus,
         | Starlink won't have capacity for 25M people. Elon Musk has said
         | that they'll probably be able to serve the 500,000 preorders
         | and that things get more challenging in the several million
         | user range - never mind 25M users.
         | 
         | If we're talking 43M people like Broadband Now estimates or the
         | 120M that Microsoft estimates, it gets even more clear that
         | we'll need more than Starlink.
         | 
         | Starlink is a good way to serve extremely rural customers who
         | likely won't even get decent wireless signals and it's a good
         | way for SpaceX to get large government subsidies for providing
         | service to rural areas. Starlink isn't a private company
         | solving a problem for the public. It's public money being
         | offered for a solution to a problem and SpaceX wanting to go
         | after some of that money and hopefully create a decent business
         | out of it.
        
       | jessaustin wrote:
       | _The Delta is what government officials refer to as a "high-cost
       | area," a remote spot with a sparse population, high poverty rate,
       | and topography that makes everything complicated._
       | 
       | I support more broadband options and in general I like TFA, but
       | this is the sort of thing that undermines the argument. There is
       | no easier "topography" in which to bury lines or over which to
       | beam LOS than completely flat alluvial plain. The lines can be
       | simply plowed into the ground and the antennas only have to clear
       | the treetops.
        
         | fallingknife wrote:
         | The rivers that make up a delta deposit a lot of sediment and
         | rapidly switch channels, so I imagine that could actually be a
         | very difficult environment to bury wires in.
        
           | jessaustin wrote:
           | This exaggerates the range over which the rivers in question
           | move. They aren't regularly destroying houses and other
           | buildings that need broadband. Rather, they take various
           | paths through low land that is already devoted to the passage
           | of rivers. Rivers on alluvial plains are more movable than
           | rivers in mountain gorges, but they pose no greater threat to
           | cables than they do to other permanent facilities like roads,
           | buildings, power lines, etc.
           | 
           | Even in the rare cases when a section of cable must be
           | replaced, it's still just plow it into deep soil rather than
           | bore through rock the whole way.
        
         | cptskippy wrote:
         | According to the article it's $50,000 a mile to run fiber.
         | 
         | According to Wikipedia:                   The Delta has some of
         | the lowest population densities in the          American South,
         | sometimes fewer than 1 person per square mile.
         | 
         | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arkansas_Delta#Today
        
           | User23 wrote:
           | That's surprisingly high. Surely locals who already have
           | tractors and experience digging trenches would take the job
           | for less?
           | 
           | It's not like unrolling a spool of fiber is rocket science
           | either.
        
             | renewiltord wrote:
             | I'm with you. I suspect this is in places where you need to
             | be careful. If you go "we provide service to this node -
             | last mile is your problem" and sell wholesale fiber optic
             | I'm sure you could make it cheaper. Let the guy run his own
             | repeaters and cable. You just provide the link to the
             | closest node.
             | 
             | I wonder if there are consumer laws that make that
             | infeasible.
        
             | cptskippy wrote:
             | Also from the Wikipedia article:
             | Urbanization and the shift to mechanization of farm
             | technology during          the past 60 years has sharply
             | reduced jobs in the Delta. People have          followed
             | jobs out of the region, leading to a declining tax base.
             | This          hampers efforts to support education,
             | infrastructure development,          community health and
             | other vital aspects of growth. The region's
             | remaining people suffer from unemployment, extreme poverty,
             | and          illiteracy.
        
         | scohesc wrote:
         | Back when the telecom companies were running cross-country
         | cabling in the 80's 90's in Canada, there's a large part of the
         | country starting about central Canada going east-wards that's
         | called the Canadian Shield. It's made of _EXTREMELY_ dense
         | rock. Cable companies had to literally make a series of
         | controlled explosions to run cables underground or to even set
         | communications poles in the ground.
         | 
         | There's a lot of factors that go into running underground
         | cable, heck even above-ground can be problematic too!
         | 
         | I believe Telus buries their cross-country fiber cables at
         | least 18 feet underground, far below anybody even coming close
         | to excavating it, due to the sheer amount of financial damage
         | that could be caused by a fiber cut.
        
           | Arrath wrote:
           | > Cable companies had to literally make a series of
           | controlled explosions to run cables underground or to even
           | set communications poles in the ground.
           | 
           | Trench blasting can be expensive at times, but its not an
           | unknown quantity for infrastructure projects[1]. That expense
           | of installation can be weighed against, as you mention,
           | service cuts of more vulnerable surface lines.
           | 
           | [1]See the first video here:
           | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZc2gAMxFzg
        
           | garmaine wrote:
           | Is this a job for The Boring Company? Dig a straight hole
           | through bedrock that can be "tapped" from the surface with a
           | precisely positioned narrow drill, but is wide enough for
           | human technicians to traverse in electric golf carts.
        
             | scohesc wrote:
             | You'd be looking at billions of dollars to dry and drill
             | through that rock. It's incredibly dense.
             | 
             | But yeah, it would be pretty cool to see done.
        
           | 908B64B197 wrote:
           | There's already a much easier path if you are going to drill
           | coast to coast by simply going south.
           | 
           | Plus that reuses existing infrastructure.
        
         | adolph wrote:
         | Yeah, I think the author got the delta mixed up for Arkansas in
         | general.
        
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       (page generated 2021-09-24 23:00 UTC)