[HN Gopher] How Fast Do Algorithms Improve? [pdf]
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How Fast Do Algorithms Improve? [pdf]
Author : djoldman
Score : 12 points
Date : 2021-09-22 19:59 UTC (1 days ago)
(HTM) web link (ieeexplore.ieee.org)
(TXT) w3m dump (ieeexplore.ieee.org)
| tedsanders wrote:
| Progress in computation can be decomposed into three factors:
|
| Perf = (perf / op) * (op / $) * $
|
| (1) Perf / op is essentially software progress, the subject of
| this article. (And for AI/ML, you can further decompose it into
| algorithm progress and training data progress.)
|
| (2) Op / $ is essentially Moore's law, which has been slowing
| down and can be further decomposed into: Ops / $ = (ops /
| transistor) * (transistor / area) * (area / $)
|
| (3) $ is willingness to spend money. This has probably been the
| biggest source of progress for AI projects in the past 10 years,
| with Deep Mind and Open AI and Google Brain and Silicon Valley ad
| tech spending billions to build models more complex and capable
| than any that have come before. http://www.rossgritz.com/trends-
| in-deepmind-operating-costs/...
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